Garch And Volatility.docx

FALLING EW WHEN WAVE 5 IS COMPLETE IN FALLING EW (DYNAMIC)– LOOK FOR WAVE 3 DYNAMIC OF RISING EW, IF LOW PRICE IS WITHIN 10-15 PIPS OF START OF WAVE 3 , THEN WAVE 5 OF RISING MAY COMPLETE (EURUSD, 01/25/2018) – IN AN UPTREND, DAILY. THIS IS NOT APPLICABLE WHEN IN AN UPTREND ABC IS ALREADY COMPLETE ON DAILY AND 4H (GBPUSD, 02/15/2018). IN THIS CASE WAVE 5 OF RISING EW MAY COMPLETE. THIS IS APPLICABLE ONLY IF IT BREAKS THE UPPER TRENDLINE AND CLOSES ABOVE IT (EURUSD, 03/22/2018) --- IF IN AN UPTREND, IF VOLATILITY BUY IS ABOVE THE HIGH PRICE OF PREVIOUS DAY AND IF WAVE 4 SETUP IS ALSO COMPLETE, THEN BUY 15-20 PIPS BELOW VOLATILITY BUY PRICE AFTER DOUBLE DIP (GBPUSD, 04/09/2018). IF IN THE CHART PATTERN, IT IS IN DOWNTREND AND A-B IS COMPLETE AND VOLATILITY BUY IS AROUND WAVE A HIGH, THEN WAIT FOR IT TO BREAK AND DO A BUY SETUP (GBPJPY, 02/15/2018). IF IN A DOWNTREND, IF THE PATTERN ON 1H IS OF AN IMPULSE THEN SEE FOR A BUY SETUP, IF IT IS THERE, THEN BUY AT THE BREAK OF THIS SETUP (EURUSD, 02/06/2018). IN UPTREND, 5 SUBWAVES

COMPLETE OF WAVE 1 AND THE MOVEMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS SUBWAVE 4, SUBWAVE 5 (1) AND (2) AND (3) – BUY DOUBLE DIP AFTER WAVE (5) IS COMPLETE (USDCAD, 04/24/2018).

IN AN UPTREND, IF THE LOW PRICE HAS GONE BELOW WAVE 5 EXPASION OF FALLING DYNAMIC, THEN MAX TARGET IS 10 PIPS, IT MAY BOUNCE BACK OR RETRACE BACK (AUDJPY, 05/22/2018).

IN UPTREND, (1) (2) IS COMPLETE AND SUBWAVE 1, 2, 3, 4 OF (3) ARE COMPLETE, WAIT FOR SUBWAVE 4 OF (3) TO COMPLETE – BUY DOUBLE DIP AFTER SUBWAVE 5 OF (3) IS COMPLETE (GBPUSD, 04/09/2018).

WHEN WAVE 5 IS COMPLETE IN FALLING EW (STATIC) – When in an uptrend, when this price movement seems of wave B, prices may come 10-15 pips above wave B end of static of rising EW (EURUSD 01/19/2018). When in a downtrend, in daily and when this price movement seems of wave B, prices may take resistance at or around wave B static of rising EW (AUDNZD, 03/06/2018). THIS SCENARIO MAY MEAN A POSSIBLE WAVE B (IF THE STATED RESISTANCE IS TAKEN AT OR AROUND WAVE STATIC OF RISING EW)

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WHEN WAVE C IS COMPLETE OF FALLING EW (STATIC) OR DYNAMIC: IN MAIN TREND DOWN TREND BUT CORRECTION IS UPTREND, IF UPPER TRENDLINES ARE BROKEN AND BUYSETUP IS ALREADY IN PLACE, THEN IT IS DOUBLE DIP BUY, BUT PRICES MAY TAKE RESISTANCE AT WAVE 3 START OF DYNAMIC OF FALLING EW (GBPJPY, 03/13/2018) IF THERE IS NO CLEAR TRENDLINES AND IN VOLATILITY BUY IS AFTER A-B-C ON DAILY AND THIS IS IN WAVE 2 OF WAVE 1-2 AFTER A-BC, THEN BUY IS DOUBLE DIP BUT MAX TARGET IS 10 PIPS (EURUSD, 03/12/2018). THIS MAY BE AFTER WAVE 3 DYNAMIC SETUP THE PREVIOUS 2 DAYS ?????? IF THE MOVEMENT OF THIS IS FROM HIGH TO LOW AND THAT IT DOESN’T BREACH THE UPPER TRENDLINE, THEN SELL IS DOUBLE DIP???, MAY GO 3-4 PIPS ABOVE SELL PRICE AFTER DOUBLE DIP USDCHF (03/12/2018). IN DOWNTREND, IF THE MOVEMENT IS OF WAVE 5 IMPULSE AND A-B-C, THEN WAIT FOR DOUBLE DIP AFTER WAVE C FOR VOLATILITY BUY (EURAUD, 05/18/2018) – NOTE THIS 1H FORMATION AND EURUSD OF 03/12/2018 1H FORMATION ABOVE HAVE THE SAME 1H STRUCTURE.

WHEN WAVE C IS COMPLETE OF FALLING EW (DYNAMIC) – prices may fall?? (USD, 01/19/2018). IN MAIN TREND DOWN TREND BUT CORRECTION IS UPTREND, IF UPPER TRENDLINES ARE BROKEN AND BUYSETUP IS ALREADY IN PLACE, THEN IT IS DOUBLE DIP BUY, BUT PRICES MAY TAKE RESISTANCE AT WAVE 3 START OF DYNAMIC OF FALLING EW (GBPJPY, 03/13/2018) IF THERE IS NO CLEAR TRENDLINES AND IN VOLATILITY BUY IS AFTER A-B-C ON DAILY AND THIS IS IN WAVE 2 OF WAVE 1-2 AFTER A-B-C, THEN BUY IS DOUBLE DIP BUT MAX TARGET IS 10 PIPS (EURUSD, 03/12/2018). THIS MAY BE AFTER WAVE 3 DYNAMIC SETUP THE PREVIOUS 2 DAYS ?????? IF THE MOVEMENT OF THIS IS FROM HIGH TO LOW AND THAT IT DOESN’T BREACH THE UPPER TRENDLINE, THEN SELL IS DOUBLE DIP???, MAY GO 3-4 PIPS ABOVE SELL PRICE AFTER DOUBLE DIP USDCHF (03/12/2018). IN DOWNTREND, IF THE MOVEMENT IS OF WAVE 5 IMPULSE AND A-B-C, THEN WAIT FOR DOUBLE DIP AFTER WAVE C FOR VOLATILITY BUY (EURAUD, 05/18/2018) – NOTE THIS 1H FORMATION AND EURUSD OF 03/12/2018 1H FORMATION ABOVE HAVE THE SAME 1H STRUCTURE.

WHEN HIGH IS TAKEN AT WAVE 3 END OF FALLING EW: On 1 hour chart, Prices tend to take support from this fall, making a buy setup, now wait to get a sell setup after this. Once u get a sell setup then chances r that u r in wave 5 (EURUSD, 02/06/2018) -- this is in 1H downtrend but daily uptrend. CADJPY (03/27/2018) in downtrend on 4H A-B is complete and we are in C, if the pattern has made A-B-C on 1H, then may break the upper trendline (CADJPY 03/28/2018), same with CADCHF (03/28/2018)

WHEN WAVE 4 IS COMPLETE IN FALLING EW (DYNAMIC): In a downtrend, when this is a correction of A-B which has completed, then we are in C, then wave 5 of static may complete (USDCAD, 01/30/2018). In an uptrend, if the price movement seems of A (1H), then prices may make a B and then fall down, buying is risky in this. If sell price is hit first, then it may go down 10-15 pips before going for wave B and then may fall down (EURUSD, 03/08/2018), IF THERE IS NO CLEAR

TRENDLINES AND VOLATILITY BUY IS AFTER A-B-C ON DAILY AND THIS IS IN WAVE 2 OF WAVE 1-2 AFTER A-B-C, THEN BUY IS DOUBLE DIP BUT MAX TARGET IS 10 PIPS above wave 1 high (EURUSD, 03/12/2018).

WHEN WAVE 4 IS COMPLETE OF FALLING EW (STATIC): (EURUSD, 04/02/2018) IF IN A DOWNTREND, SHARP A-B-C IS COMPLETE AND IT DOESN’T TAKE SUPPORT AT BEFORE THE LOW THEN MAY MAKE A LOWER LOW, BUT MAY NOT GO MUCH LOWER (EURUSD, 04/02/2018) – THIS IS APPLICABLE IF THERE IS A MAJOR TRENDLINE FROM BOTTOM ON 4H.

WHEN WAVE A IS COMPLETE IN FALLING EW DYNAMIC: IN AN UPTREND, BUY WHEN UPPER TRENDLINE BREAKS (EURUSD, 03/16/2018). THIS IS VALD IF IT BREAKS AND CLOSES ABOVE THE TRENDLINE (EURUSD, 03/22/2018). Selling this is risky (NZDUSD, 03/22/2018). IN UPTREND, 5 SUBWAVES COMPLETE OF

WAVE 1 AND THE MOVEMENT IS SUBWAVE 4, SUBWAVE 5 (1) AND (2) AND (3) – WAIT FOR A-B-C TO COMPLETE IN 15-MINUTES THEN PUT A TRENDLINE AND WAIT FOR PRICES TO CLOSE ABOVE THIS TRENDLINE (USDCAD, 04/24/2018).

WHEN WAVE A IS COMPLETE IN FALLING EW STATIC:

RISING EW WHEN WAVE 3 IS COMPLETE OF DYNAMIC OF RISING EW – MAY TAKE SUPPORT AT WAVE 4 START OF DYNAMIC AND JUMP AND IF IT MAKES DOUBLE DIP AT WAVE 4 START THEN YOU CAN SELL --- IN A DOWNTREND, DAILY --- (USDJPY, 03/21/2017). IF IT HAS MADE LOW TILL WAVE 5 EXPANSION OF DYNAMIC OF FALLING EW, THEN PRICES MAY JUMP. IF IN AN UPTREND THIS MOVE OF WAVE 3 IS OF WHAT LOOKS LIKE A 3 (1-2 AND SHARP MOVE OF 3), THEN BUY BELOW 15-20 PIPS OF VOLATILITY BUY (EURUSD, 03/07/2018). THIS BUYING 15-20 PIPS OF VOLATILITY BUY IS NOT APPLICABLE IF WHAT LOOKS LIKE WAVE 4 IS COMPLETE, IN THIS CASE BUY 3-5 PIPS BELOW VOLATILITY BUY AFTER DOUBLE HIT (AUDNZD, 03/12/2018). THIS IS ALSO APPLICABLE IF VOLATILITY BUY IS ABOVE THE HIGH PRICE OF PREVIOUS DAY AND IF WAVE 4 SETUP LOOKS LIKE A SIDEWAYS MOVEMENT, THEN BUY 15-20 PIPS BELOW VOLATILITY BUY PRICE AFTER DOUBLE DIP (GBPUSD, 04/09/2018).

IN A DOWNTREND, IF THIS MOVE LOOKS LIKE WAVE 4, THEN BUYING IS RISKY, PUT A TRENDLINE AIMING AT PRICES AT 2 O’CLOCK, THEN SELL AT BREAK OF TRENDLINE, (USDCAD, 03/23/2018).

WHEN WAVE A DYNAMIC IS COMPLETED OF RISING EW: WAVE B IS NEXT (USDCAD, 01/29/2018). PUT THIS WAVE A START AND END IN AUDUSD AND LOOK FOR ENTRY??? (SEE FIGURE A)

WHEN WAVE 3 (1.618) OF STATIC IS COMPLETED IN RISING EW; (NOTE THIS AND “WHEN WAVE 4 IS COMPLETE IN FALLING EW (DYNAMIC)” ABOVE HAVE THE SAME WAVE VALUES) - SEE IF WAVE 4 HAS JUST COMPLETED (2-3 HOURS BEFORE PREVIOUS DAY’S CLOSE), IF SO THEN WAVE 5 STATIC WILL COMPLETE, AB OF STATIC MAY COMPLETE (USDCAD, 01/30/2018). This is applicable in a downtrend, when A-B has completed, then we are in C, then wave 5 of static may complete (USDCAD, 01/30/2018).

WHEN WAVE 3 OF STATIC IS COMPLETE: In uptrend on 4H and daily and on 1H, it has completed 3-4-5 up and long drop down, wait for a sell setup to happen, sell at break of this sell setup (CADCHF, 05/18/2018).

WHEN WAVE 5 IS COMPLETED IN RISING EW DYNAMIC: Prices may retrace around wave 5 start of dynamic of rising (AUDNZD, 03/02/2017). This is when in a downtrend, the fall has lost steam and has taken a U-turn towards up (AUDNZD, 03/02/2017). IF PRICES MAKE DOUBLE-TRIPLE DRIP OF THIS WAVE 5 START, THEN IT MAY MEAN DOWNTREND STARTS (USDCAD, 05/10/2018). IF THIS IS FROM HIGH TO LOW IN AN UPTREND, THEN PUT A TRENDLINE AT 4 O’CLOCK, BREAK OF THIS TRENDLINE MEANS THE PREVIOUS UPTREND IS RESUMING (EURUSD, 03/15/2017). THIS IS APPLICABLE EVEN IN A DOWNTREND AND THE PRICE HAS BROKEN OUT OF 4 O’CLOCK TRENDLINE TO THE UPSIDE, BUY AFTER CLOSE ABOVE TRENDLINE AND 5-8 PIPS BELOW VOLATILITY BUY AFTER CLOSE ABOVE TRENDLINE (GBPUSD, 04/02/2018).

IF WAVE 5 DYNAMIC EXPANSION OF RISING EW IS COMPLETED, FROM HIGH TO LOW, AND WE ARE AROUND LOW AND WAVE 5 START, THEN SELLING IS RISKY IF IT HAS MADE A BUY STRUCTURE (GBPUSD, 06/20/2018). BUY IS ON BREAK OF THIS BUY STRUCTURE (GBPUSD, 06/20/2018).

WHEN WAVE 5 OF RISING EW STATIC IS COMPLETED: THIS MAY MEAN 2 DAYS BACK PRICE WAVE C IS DONE (EURUSD, 03/15/2017). IF THIS IS FROM HIGH TO LOW IN AN UPTREND, THEN PUT A TRENDLINE AT 4 O’CLOCK, BREAK OF THIS TRENDLINE MEANS THE PREVIOUS UPTREND IS RESUMING (EURUSD, 03/15/2017). THIS IS APPLICABLE EVEN IN A DOWNTREND AND THE PRICE HAS BROKEN OUT OF 4 O’CLOCK TRENDLINE TO THE UPSIDE, BUY AFTER CLOSE ABOVE TRENDLINE AND 5-8 PIPS BELOW VOLATILITY BUY AFTER CLOSE ABOVE TRENDLINE (GBPUSD, 04/02/2018).

WHEN WAVE C IS COMPLETED OF DYNAMIC IN RISING EW: PUT WAVE C START AND END OF DYNAMIC, PRICES MAY COMPLETE WAVE 5 OF STATIC AND WAVE A OF STATIC (01/30/2018, EURUSD). THIS IS VALID IF IN AN UPTREND ABC IS COMPLETE AND THIS MOVEMENT OF RISING EW WAVE C IS IN WAVE C IN 4H (START TO END). THIS IS ALSO VALID IF THIS WAVE C HAS COMPLETED WAVE C FROM (END TO START) IN AN UPTREND (EURGBP, 02/07/2018). IF THIS MOVEMENT IS OF WAVE A IN UPTREND (START TO END), THEN IT MAY NOT COMPLETE WAVE 5 STATIC (EURUSD, 02/05/2018). IN DOWNTREND, 5 IMPULSE COMPLETE A-B COMPLETE, AND WE ARE IN 1-2 OF WAVE C, BUYING IS RISKY, MAY MAKE A HIGH OF WAVE A HIGH AND FALL DOWN (GBPUSD, 06/19/2018).

IF NO HIGH AND LOW MATCH IN EITHER FALLING OR RISING EW, THEN TRY PUTTING DOUBLE DIP OF DYNAMIC HIGH AND LOW, IF LOW IS AT WAVE 3 START OF DYNAMIC RISING EW, THEN THAT WAVE MAY COMPLETE (USDCAD, 07/26/2017). IN AN UPTREND, IF NO HIGH AND LOW MATCH OF 1 DAY, THEN PUT 2 DAYS BEFORE HIGH AND LOW, FOR BUYING, PUT DYNAMIC HIGH AND

LOW PRICES AGAIN (2ND TIME), PRICES MAY GO ONE STRAIGHT HIT UP TO 10-12 PIPS OF WAVE 5 END OF RISING EW DYNAMIC OF THIS 2ND TIME DYNAMIC HIGH AND LOW, AND MAY FALL DRASTICALLY (USDCHF, 05/02/2018).