10X45 BARGAIN HUNTER
Presented by the Research Team of
“The critical investment factor is determining the intrinsic value of a business and paying a fair or bargain price.” —Warren Buffett
Presented by the
November 1, 2009
Top Three Screen Results, by Category
Manual of Ideas Research Team
Company
Ticker
Price
Market Value
Enterprise Value
Dear Fellow Idea Seekers,
"Magic Formula," based on Trailing Financials 1 KHD Humboldt Wedag KHD $9.16
$277mn
-$72mn
Trailing EBIT / EV infinite
We are pleased to bring you this latest issue of 10x45 Bargain Hunter, our bi-weekly stock screening report. This report is based on market prices as of October 30th.
2
GT Solar
SOLR
$5.25
$753mn
$592mn
26%
3
ePlus
PLUS
$15.04
$124mn
$96mn
26%
"Magic Formula," based on This Year's EPS Estimates 1 EarthLink ELNK $8.10
Sincerely, Your Manual of Ideas Team
2
Pre-Paid Legal
3
PRG-Schultz
Special Offer
$860mn
$485mn
EPS Yield FY0 13%
PPD
$39.54
$434mn
$442mn
14%
PRGX
$5.18
$120mn
$109mn
11%
"Magic Formula," based on Next Year's EPS Estimates 1 GigaMedia GIGM $4.10
$224mn
$141mn
EPS Yield FY1 16%
2
Net1 UEPS
UEPS
$17.49
$792mn
$575mn
12%
3
Centene
CNC
$17.83
$810mn
$652mn
12%
Get 10x45 Bargain Hunter FREE with your subscription to the acclaimed monthly newsletter, Downside Protection Report.
Contrarian: Shunned by the market, but not by insiders 1 * Genomic Health GHDX $18.57
$530mn
$475mn
Insider Buys $4,550mn
2
* Western Refining
WNR
$5.61
$498mn
$1,502mn
$2,491mn
3
* Preferred Bank
PFBC
$2.53
$25mn
n/m
$2,338mn
Contrarian: Biggest Losers (deleveraged & profitable) 1 Cardionet BEAT $5.91 2
Questcor Pharma
3
Emergent BioSolution
of Downside Protection Report! www.manualofideas.com
About This Publication 10x45 Bargain Hunter is a bi-weekly screening service for investors looking to uncover hidden value in the stock market. Bargain Hunter is brought to you by the acclaimed Manual of Ideas research team. Inspired by the Zeiss 10x45 Victory Rangefinding Binocular ("essential equipment for long range hunting and a reliable shot"), the 10x45 Bargain Hunter is designed as an essential tool for every value investor’s arsenal. Whether you run your own screens or not, we hope you'll find 10x45 Bargain Hunter a valuable ally as you seek out undervalued companies trading in U.S. markets.
$141mn
$96mn
∆ Price YTD -76%
QCOR
$4.54
$291mn
$221mn
-51%
EBS
$14.42
$439mn
$392mn
-45%
n/m
∆ Shares Q-Q -7%
2
Banco Macro
BMA
$29.23
$1,778mn
n/m
-7%
3
* Hawk
HWK
$13.92
$112mn
$120mn
-6%
$513mn
$954mn
Div. Yield 11%
Value with Catalyst: Cheap Repurchasers of Stock 1 LaBranche LAB $2.76
Profitable Dividend Payors with Decent Balance Sheets 1 * Calumet Specialty CLMT $15.92
$148mn
2
Integrys Energy
TEG
$34.60
$2,644mn
$2,337mn
8%
3
* Plains All American
PAA
$47.83
$6,167mn
$10,581mn
8%
Deep Value: Lots of Revenue, Low Enterprise Value 1 Tech Data TECD $38.43
$1,932mn
$1,242mn
EV/Revenue .06x .07x
2
Winn-Dixie Stores
3
Ingram Micro
WINN
$11.09
$608mn
$484mn
IM
$17.65
$2,878mn
$2,084mn
.07x
Deep Value: Neglected Gross Profiteers 1 Molina Healthcare MOH
$18.72
$478mn
$16mn
EV/GP .03x
2
WellCare Health
WCG
$26.13
$1,103mn
$162mn
.16x
3
Kindred Healthcare
KND
$14.70
$574mn
$652mn
.17x
Activist Targets: Potential Sales, Liquidations or Recaps 1 QLT QLTI $3.49 $191mn 2
Myriad Pharma
3
Imation
-$3mn
NCAV / MV 138%
MYRX
$5.52
$133mn
-$36mn
124%
IMN
$8.82
$336mn
$225mn
119%
10X45 BARGAIN HUNTER is published bi-weekly by BeyondProxy LLC, P.O. Box 1375, New York, NY 10150. Website: www.manualofideas.com. Email:
[email protected]. Please email or call if you have any subscription questions. Managing Editor: John Mihaljevic. Subscription $99 per year. © Copyright 2009 by BeyondProxy LLC. All rights reserved. Photocopying, reproduction, quotation, or redistribution of any kind is strictly prohibited without written permission from the publisher. This newsletter bases screening results on techniques and sources believed to be reliable in the past and cannot guarantee future accuracy and results. The stocks listed in this newsletter should not be construed as investment recommendations. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees and/or principals (collectively “Related Persons”) may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments listed or discussed in this newsletter. John Mihaljevic, Chairman of BeyondProxy, is also a principal of Mihaljevic Capital Management LLC (“MCM”), which serves as the general partner of a private investment partnership. MCM may purchase or sell securities and financial instruments discussed in this newsletter at any time on behalf of the investment partnership or other accounts it manages. Use of this newsletter and its content is governed by the Terms of Use described in detail at www.manualofideas.com/terms.html. Pictured in the top left corner is the Zeiss 10x45 Victory Binocular with built-in laser rangefinder.
"Magic Formula," based on Trailing Financials
Click on company name, ticker or stock price for more information!
Companies with high returns on capital employed, trading at high trailing EBIT-to-enterprise value yield
Move To 52-Week Low High
▼
▼
MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
EV/ Sales
Trailing EBIT/ EV
EBIT/ Capital Employed
Tax Rate
Price/ Tangible Book
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
KHD Humboldt Wedag GT Solar ePlus GigaMedia PRG-Schultz
KHD SOLR PLUS GIGM PRGX
9.16 5.25 15.04 4.10 5.18
-29% -83% -48% -36% -52%
101% 72% 13% 89% 35%
277 753 124 224 120
(72) 592 96 141 109
n/m 1.1x .1x .8x .6x
infinite 26% 26% 22% 22%
infinite infinite infinite infinite 6971%
n/m 38% 42% 3% 17%
1.1x >9.9x .8x 1.9x >9.9x
22% 78% 44% 21% 20%
-/- / 12 - / 16 -/3 3/-
6 7 8 9 10
EarthLink PDL BioPharma Centene Cass Information Chicago Bridge
ELNK PDLI CNC CASS CBI
8.10 8.41 17.83 29.73 18.81
-32% -38% -16% -22% -75%
10% 11% 26% 22% 14%
860 1,005 810 274 1,871
485 1,268 652 196 1,822
.6x 3.9x .2x 4.5x .4x
29% 23% 21% 19% 18%
396% 768% infinite infinite infinite
n/m 22% 36% 27% 39%
2.1x n/m 2.4x 2.5x n/m
9% 1% 2% 7% 2%
- / 12 1/-/-/6 -/-
11 12 13 14 15
Foster Wheeler USA Mobility Maxygen Argan Virgin Mobile USA
FWLT USMO MAXY AGX VM
27.99 10.90 5.58 12.35 4.00
-55% -22% -31% -32% -85%
28% 29% 70% 30% 33%
3,541 247 214 168 269
2,903 151 11 118 499
.5x .5x .1x .5x .4x
17% 42% 546% 16% 16%
infinite 178% 162% infinite infinite
12% n/m n/m 39% 4%
7.0x 1.5x 1.1x 2.6x n/m
0% 1% 21% 29% 4%
-/1 -/6 -/1 2 / 33 -/7
16 17 18 19 20
Cornerstone Net1 UEPS Pre-Paid Legal EMCOR Group KBR
CRTX UEPS PPD EME KBR
5.60 17.49 39.54 23.62 20.47
-69% -53% -33% -53% -52%
119% 28% 34% 12% 21%
139 792 434 1,556 3,284
126 575 442 1,232 2,207
1.3x 2.3x 1.0x .2x .2x
16% 16% 21% 26% 26%
infinite 8895% 214% 158% 158%
26% 33% 38% 39% 38%
>9.9x 4.4x 8.4x 6.0x 2.3x
88% 16% 33% 2% 1%
- / 19 - / 10 -/1/3 -/3
21 22 23 24 25
Gentiva Health Primoris Services Questcor Pharma Hawaiian Holdings * Amedisys
GTIV PRIM QCOR HA AMED
24.00 7.33 4.54 7.09 39.79
-46% -56% -32% -69% -37%
25% 11% 116% 29% 49%
699 238 291 365 1,113
832 196 221 322 1,291
.7x .4x 2.2x .3x .9x
26% 20% 27% 40% 17%
156% 195% 151% 140% 238%
17% 29% 30% 21% 39%
n/m 3.7x 4.0x n/m n/m
10% 66% 7% 4% 2%
- / 11 3/-/4 1/2 - / 13
26 27 28 29 30
Lihua International AmSurg * China-Biotics ICO Global Comms Lockheed Martin
LIWA AMSG CHBT ICOG LMT
6.99 21.07 11.60 0.78 68.79
-34% -42% -53% -74% -17%
53% 22% 64% 379% 27%
166 646 198 162 26,194
156 854 140 169 27,290
1.3x 1.3x 2.4x n/m .6x
17% 26% 17% 132% 17%
205% 135% 203% 113% 189%
15% 19% 20% 2% 29%
3.8x n/m 2.8x n/m n/m
90% 2% 49% 45% 0%
2/-/6 -/1 -/-/-
31 32 33 34 35
UGI Corp. China Sky One Wright Express Energen H&R Block
UGI CSKI WXS EGN HRB
23.88 11.87 27.91 43.88 18.34
-11% -35% -71% -48% -25%
15% 61% 15% 11% 27%
2,589 198 1,064 3,147 6,150
4,657 150 1,224 3,778 6,282
.8x 1.3x 3.9x 2.5x 1.5x
15% 28% 21% 13% 13%
331% 114% 132% infinite infinite
30% 21% 38% 37% 39%
n/m 2.0x >9.9x 1.6x n/m
1% 36% 1% 1% 4%
1 / 13 -/- / 14 1/7 1/-
36 37 38 39 40
Dell Lorillard i2 Technologies Digital River * Sohu.com
DELL LO ITWO DRIV SOHU
14.45 77.72 15.74 22.83 55.60
-46% -32% -65% -26% -39%
19% 5% 12% 80% 30%
28,259 12,513 353 881 2,131
19,704 11,750 286 539 1,535
.4x 2.4x 1.2x 1.4x 3.1x
13% 13% 13% 13% 13%
infinite infinite infinite infinite 2768%
27% 38% 16% 25% 8%
>9.9x >9.9x >9.9x 2.5x 3.9x
12% 1% 26% 2% 22%
-/3 -/2 -/2 -/4 -/4
41 42 43 44 45
* Mirant * China Education * j2 Global Comms McGraw-Hill * Raytheon
MIR CEU JCOM MHP RTN
13.98 5.16 20.45 28.78 45.28
-35% -84% -36% -40% -27%
45% 26% 23% 18% 17%
2,029 119 922 9,063 17,632
2,751 91 729 9,303 17,483
.6x 2.8x 3.0x 1.6x .7x
105% 15% 13% 13% 17%
93% 216% 1673% 1326% 137%
n/m 7% 31% 37% 32%
.5x 3.3x 5.4x n/m n/m
0% 58% 4% 2% 0%
-/-/- / 15 -/- / 11
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► Market value > $100 million ► ADRs and banks excluded New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 2
"Magic Formula," based on This Year's EPS Estimates Companies with high returns on capital employed, trading at high earnings yields (based on this FY EPS estimates) ▼
▼
Move To 52-Week Low High
MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
EV/ Sales
This FY EPS Yield
EBIT/ Capital Employed
Tax Rate
Price to Tangible Book
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
EarthLink Pre-Paid Legal PRG-Schultz GigaMedia Endo Pharma
ELNK PPD PRGX GIGM ENDP
8.10 39.54 5.18 4.10 22.40
-32% -33% -52% -36% -30%
10% 34% 35% 89% 17%
860 434 120 224 2,625
485 442 109 141 2,539
.6x 1.0x .6x .8x 1.8x
13% 14% 11% 11% 12%
396% 214% 6971% infinite 247%
n/m 38% 17% 3% 39%
2.1x 8.4x >9.9x 1.9x >9.9x
9% 33% 20% 21% 2%
- / 12 -/3/-/3 1/-
6 7 8 9 10
Centene China Sky One Net1 UEPS Foster Wheeler Cornerstone
CNC CSKI UEPS FWLT CRTX
17.83 11.87 17.49 27.99 5.60
-16% -35% -53% -55% -69%
26% 61% 28% 28% 119%
810 198 792 3,541 139
652 150 575 2,903 126
.2x 1.3x 2.3x .5x 1.3x
11% 19% 10% 10% 10%
infinite 114% 8895% infinite infinite
36% 21% 33% 12% 26%
2.4x 2.0x 4.4x 7.0x >9.9x
2% 36% 16% 0% 88%
-/-/- / 10 -/1 - / 19
11 12 13 14 15
Mirant GT Solar Questcor Pharma * China-Biotics * Apollo Group
MIR SOLR QCOR CHBT APOL
13.98 5.25 4.54 11.60 57.10
-35% -83% -32% -53% -3%
45% 72% 116% 64% 58%
2,029 753 291 198 8,841
2,751 592 221 140 8,462
.6x 1.1x 2.2x 2.4x 2.1x
22% 10% 11% 10% 9%
93% infinite 151% 203% 461%
n/m 38% 30% 20% 43%
.5x >9.9x 4.0x 2.8x >9.9x
0% 78% 7% 49% 17%
-/- / 12 -/4 -/1 - / 19
16 17 18 19 20
j2 Global Comms America's Car-Mart Innophos Continucare EMCOR Group
JCOM CRMT IPHS CNU EME
20.45 20.73 19.35 2.62 23.62
-36% -67% -61% -42% -53%
23% 24% 42% 26% 12%
922 243 412 156 1,556
729 274 564 142 1,232
3.0x .9x .7x .5x .2x
9% 10% 15% 10% 9%
1673% 181% 74% 121% 158%
31% 36% 23% 39% 39%
5.4x 1.5x 2.2x 4.8x 6.0x
4% 13% 17% 46% 2%
- / 15 - / 19 -/8 -/1/3
21 22 23 24 25
Cytokinetics CF Industries GameStop * ITT Educational American Oriental
CYTK CF GME ESI AOB
3.19 83.25 24.29 90.35 3.96
-56% -53% -30% -22% -17%
74% 14% 35% 48% 93%
194 8,307 4,000 3,338 310
72 7,390 4,298 3,213 335
.9x 2.3x .5x 2.6x 1.2x
13% 10% 10% 9% 16%
74% 117% 97% 258% 57%
n/m 36% 37% 39% 21%
1.7x 5.1x >9.9x >9.9x 1.8x
24% 52% 5% 0% 21%
1 / 24 -/2/4 -/1 -/-
26 27 28 29 30
Energen DPL * Sturm, Ruger & Co. APAC Customer SinoHub
EGN DPL RGR APAC SIHI
43.88 25.34 10.62 6.45 4.95
-48% -27% -59% -85% -65%
11% 5% 43% 9% 15%
3,147 3,035 203 334 122
3,778 4,487 150 324 124
2.5x 2.8x .6x 1.2x 1.2x
8% 8% 14% 10% 11%
infinite 218% 58% 89% 71%
37% 29% 38% 1% 22%
1.6x 2.9x 2.3x 8.2x 4.2x
1% 1% 1% 39% 30%
1/7 1/1/1 - / 74 -/-
31 32 33 34 35
Digital River CSG Systems * Dresser-Rand Group * KBR Bristol Myers Squibb
DRIV CSGS DRC KBR BMY
22.83 16.34 29.47 20.47 21.80
-26% -25% -60% -52% -21%
80% 9% 12% 21% 10%
881 574 2,432 3,284 43,185
539 594 2,604 2,207 43,109
1.4x 1.2x 1.1x .2x 2.0x
8% 10% 9% 8% 9%
infinite 77% 126% 158% 93%
25% 34% 33% 38% 26%
2.5x >9.9x >9.9x 2.3x 6.8x
2% 2% 1% 1% 0%
-/4 -/5 -/-/3 2/2
36 37 38 39 40
Synopsys Buckle Suburban Propane Pioneer Southwest Allegiant Travel
SNPS BKE SPH PSE ALGT
22.02 30.01 43.02 21.20 37.71
-37% -55% -42% -53% -15%
7% 30% 8% 7% 53%
3,209 1,389 1,411 636 753
2,127 1,226 1,679 573 586
1.5x 1.4x 1.3x 4.0x 1.1x
8% 9% 12% 11% 10%
335% 100% 55% 57% 65%
24% 37% 1% 1% 36%
4.4x 3.7x >9.9x 2.6x 2.8x
1% 43% 6% 69% 23%
- / 12 -/8 -/1 -/1 - / 15
41 42 43 44 45
VSE * Aeropostale * Fluor Hewlett-Packard Lorillard
VSEC ARO FLR HPQ LO
43.79 37.53 44.42 47.46 77.72
-55% -67% -36% -47% -32%
12% 20% 32% 4% 5%
225 2,521 7,990 112,531 12,513
227 2,276 6,020 116,124 11,750
.2x 1.1x .3x 1.0x 2.4x
10% 8% 9% 8% 7%
69% 105% 88% 139% infinite
39% 40% 33% 19% 38%
3.9x 5.9x 2.7x >9.9x >9.9x
22% 1% 0% 1% 1%
3/2 -/6 - / 12 1 / 26 -/2
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► Market value > $100 million ► ADRs and banks excluded ► Enterprise value to market value < 1.5 New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 3
"Magic Formula," based on Next Year's EPS Estimates Companies with high returns on capital employed, trading at high earnings yields (based on next FY EPS estimates) ▼
▼
Move To 52-Week Low High
MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
EV/ Sales
Next FY EPS Yield
EBIT/ Capital Employed
Tax Rate
Price to Tangible Book
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
GigaMedia Net1 UEPS Centene Endo Pharma China-Biotics
GIGM UEPS CNC ENDP CHBT
4.10 17.49 17.83 22.40 11.60
-36% -53% -16% -30% -53%
89% 28% 26% 17% 64%
224 792 810 2,625 198
141 575 652 2,539 140
.8x 2.3x .2x 1.8x 2.4x
16% 12% 12% 13% 13%
infinite 8895% infinite 247% 203%
3% 33% 36% 39% 20%
1.9x 4.4x 2.4x >9.9x 2.8x
21% 16% 2% 2% 49%
-/3 - / 10 -/1/-/1
6 7 8 9 10
GT Solar Pre-Paid Legal Questcor Pharma China Sky One MIPS Technologies
SOLR PPD QCOR CSKI MIPS
5.25 39.54 4.54 11.87 3.95
-83% -33% -32% -35% -75%
72% 34% 116% 61% 8%
753 434 291 198 178
592 442 221 150 145
1.1x 1.0x 2.2x 1.3x 2.2x
12% 13% 14% 22% 11%
infinite 214% 151% 114% infinite
38% 38% 30% 21% 59%
>9.9x 8.4x 4.0x 2.0x 6.4x
78% 33% 7% 36% 1%
- / 12 -/-/4 -/-/1
11 12 13 14 15
* Apollo Group PRG-Schultz America's Car-Mart ITT Educational Continucare
APOL PRGX CRMT ESI CNU
57.10 5.18 20.73 90.35 2.62
-3% -52% -67% -22% -42%
58% 35% 24% 48% 26%
8,841 120 243 3,338 156
8,462 109 274 3,213 142
2.1x .6x .9x 2.6x .5x
11% 10% 11% 10% 11%
461% 6971% 181% 258% 121%
43% 17% 36% 39% 39%
>9.9x >9.9x 1.5x >9.9x 4.8x
17% 20% 13% 0% 46%
- / 19 3/- / 19 -/1 -/-
16 17 18 19 20
Bridgepoint Edu. GameStop * InterDigital A-Power Energy Energen
BPI GME IDCC APWR EGN
14.18 24.29 20.56 10.80 43.88
-33% -30% -10% -72% -48%
54% 35% 64% 36% 11%
756 4,000 887 364 3,147
635 4,298 471 267 3,778
3.3x .5x 1.7x 1.0x 2.5x
10% 12% 14% 12% 10%
infinite 97% 73% 87% infinite
43% 37% 35% 1% 37%
9.5x >9.9x 7.1x 2.7x 1.6x
69% 5% 2% 35% 1%
-/2/4 -/8 -/1/7
21 22 23 24 25
EarthLink DPL SinoHub VAALCO Energy American Oriental
ELNK DPL SIHI EGY AOB
8.10 25.34 4.95 4.26 3.96
-32% -27% -65% -17% -17%
10% 5% 15% 100% 93%
860 3,035 122 248 310
485 4,487 124 164 335
.6x 2.8x 1.2x 1.3x 1.2x
10% 10% 13% 15% 19%
396% 218% 71% 64% 57%
n/m 29% 22% 86% 21%
2.1x 2.9x 4.2x 1.6x 1.8x
9% 1% 30% 3% 21%
- / 12 1/-/1/-/-
26 27 28 29 30
Walter Industries j2 Global Comms * Foster Wheeler Mirant Merge Healthcare
WLT JCOM FWLT MIR MRGE
58.50 20.45 27.99 13.98 3.58
-81% -36% -55% -35% -93%
16% 23% 28% 45% 34%
3,094 922 3,541 2,029 215
3,242 729 2,903 2,751 210
2.4x 3.0x .5x .6x 3.5x
11% 9% 9% 11% 9%
92% 1673% infinite 93% infinite
n/m 31% 12% n/m 7%
>9.9x 5.4x 7.0x .5x >9.9x
1% 4% 0% 0% 52%
-/2 - / 15 -/1 -/-/-
31 32 33 34 35
Pioneer Southwest Dell Bristol Myers Squibb Progress Software * China Green Agri.
PSE DELL BMY PRGS CGA
21.20 14.45 21.80 23.10 11.02
-53% -46% -21% -36% -81%
7% 19% 10% 8% 36%
636 28,259 43,185 928 250
573 19,704 43,109 743 235
4.0x .4x 2.0x 1.5x 6.7x
13% 9% 10% 9% 12%
57% infinite 93% 229% 55%
1% 27% 26% 38% 14%
2.6x >9.9x 6.8x 4.4x 7.9x
69% 12% 0% 1% 1%
-/1 -/3 2/2 -/8 2/5
36 37 38 39 40
APAC Customer Allegiant Travel CSG Systems Hewlett-Packard Saba Software
APAC ALGT CSGS HPQ SABA
6.45 37.71 16.34 47.46 4.29
-85% -15% -25% -47% -79%
9% 53% 9% 4% 4%
334 753 574 112,531 120
324 586 594 116,124 98
1.2x 1.1x 1.2x 1.0x 1.0x
10% 11% 10% 9% 8%
89% 65% 77% 139% infinite
1% 36% 34% 19% 68%
8.2x 2.8x >9.9x >9.9x >9.9x
39% 23% 2% 1% 6%
- / 74 - / 15 -/5 1 / 26 - / 23
41 42 43 44 45
Allied Healthcare * Aeropostale * EZCORP * Matrix Service * China Integrated
AHCI ARO EZPW MTRX CBEH
2.65 37.53 12.97 8.87 5.76
-65% -67% -27% -44% -52%
28% 20% 40% 50% 48%
119 2,521 631 232 159
86 2,276 622 200 118
.3x 1.1x 1.1x .3x .5x
9% 9% 13% 13% 17%
94% 105% 47% 46% 42%
27% 40% 32% 36% n/m
2.5x 5.9x 2.2x 1.7x 1.6x
0% 1% 22% 1% 83%
-/-/6 - / 10 -/-/-
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► Market value > $100 million ► ADRs and banks excluded ► Enterprise value to market value < 1.5 New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 4
Contrarian: Shunned by the market, but not by insiders Companies close to 52-week lows, with consistent insider buying and no selling ▼ Move To 52-Week Low High
MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
EV/ Sales
Next FY P/E
Price/ Tang. Book
% Own.
Insiders Net Sh. Bought * $'000 % of sh. 4,550 <1% 2,491 <1% 2,338 9% 1,672 1% 1,600 2%
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
* Genomic Health * Western Refining * Preferred Bank * Valence Technology * Seacoast Banking
GHDX WNR PFBC VLNC SBCF
18.57 5.61 2.53 1.29 1.49
-15% -8% -9% -16% -13%
47% 191% 215% 125% 558%
530 498 25 164 79
475 1,502 n/m 225 n/m
3.7x .2x n/m 11.3x n/m
133x 11x n/m n/m n/m
8.4x .7x .2x n/m .8x
43% 82% 1% 54% 10%
6 7 8 9 10
TranS1 Ideation Acquisition AT&T * CoBiz Financial * Commonwealth Bank
TSON IDI T COBZ CWBS
3.97 8.30 25.67 4.77 4.40
-2% -15% -16% -16% -16%
120% 11% 19% 155% 126%
82 104 151,479 172 30
21 n/m 217,976 n/m n/m
.7x n/m 1.8x n/m n/m
n/m 8x 11x 3x
1.2x 2.0x n/m 1.0x .3x
36% 20% 1% 18% 14%
1,433 1,428 1,181 1,088 959
2% 1% <1% <1% 3%
11 12 13 14 15
Invesco Mortgage Pinnacle Financial Verizon Metro Bancorp * Breeze-Eastern
IVR PNFP VZ METR BZC
19.94 12.70 29.59 11.83 5.95
-6% -13% -12% -7% -16%
11% 136% 18% 154% 44%
177 419 84,055 77 56
177 n/m 145,182 n/m 77
n/m n/m 1.4x n/m 1.0x
6x 23x 12x 74x -
1.0x 1.2x n/m .7x 1.6x
1% 7% 0% 17% 6%
917 762 681 532 482
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 17 18 19 20
* West. Alliance Banc * Point.360 Enterprise Acq. Ultralife Flowers Foods
WAL PTSX EST ULBI FLO
4.35 1.20 9.59 3.66 23.36
-14% -15% -8% -7% -13%
244% 72% 4% 294% 30%
315 13 300 62 2,149
n/m 20 n/m 92 2,395
n/m .4x n/m .5x .9x
n/m 7x 15x
.7x .7x 1.2x 1.7x 5.9x
34% 41% 20% 28% 16%
439 418 374 359 350
<1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
21 22 23 24 25
ClearOne Comms * Smithtown Bancorp Select Medical * Heritage Commerce * Community Capital
CLRO SMTB SEM HTBK CPBK
2.65 10.35 9.70 2.64 2.61
-15% -12% -7% -2% -4%
58% 105% 9% 464% 286%
24 154 1,514 31 12
12 n/m 3,200 n/m n/m
.3x n/m 1.5x n/m n/m
8x 17x n/m 13x
.8x 1.0x n/m .4x .2x
24% 5% 81% 11% 18%
321 300 291 240 217
1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
26 27 28 29 30
* Xcel Energy TowneBank Old National Bancorp Mid Penn Bancorp * 1st Source
XEL TOWN ONB MPB SRCE
18.86 11.54 10.37 14.04 14.82
-15% -3% -14% -1% -15%
8% 117% 91% 71% 61%
8,595 292 904 49 358
17,487 n/m n/m n/m n/m
1.7x n/m n/m n/m n/m
12x 31x 13x -
1.2x .9x 1.4x 1.3x .9x
0% 14% 3% 5% 16%
207 185 156 154 148
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
31 32 33 34 35
* Senesco Technologies Bancorp of NJ Inter-Atlantic * Cardionet PremierWest Bancorp
SNT BKJ IAN BEAT PRWT
0.36 9.24 7.97 5.91 1.91
-8% -8% -10% -5% -3%
219% 24% 0% 399% 306%
8 47 84 141 47
7 n/m n/m 96 n/m
22.0x n/m n/m .7x n/m
148x n/m
4.5x 1.0x 1.8x 1.3x .6x
48% 21% 15% 4% 12%
146 139 135 130 103
2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 37 38 39 40
Yadkin Valley Fin. Burger King * FNB United Corp. * TF Financial Laclede Group
YAVY BKC FNBN THRD LG
3.68 17.16 1.65 18.60 30.71
-12% -9% -3% -14% -5%
332% 43% 304% 24% 82%
59 2,320 19 50 681
n/m 3,087 n/m n/m 1,114
n/m 1.2x n/m n/m .5x
11x 11x n/m 10x 12x
.6x n/m .3x .8x 1.3x
5% 11% 7% 21% 7%
103 103 97 93 92
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
41 42 43 44 45
American Vanguard * Marten Transport Enterprise Financial First Advantage Banc Old Point Financial
AVD MRTN EFSC FABK OPOF
8.30 17.54 8.53 10.20 15.03
-11% -16% -13% -12% -3%
91% 28% 126% 3% 39%
225 384 110 53 74
321 374 n/m n/m n/m
1.4x .7x n/m n/m n/m
14x 20x 14x 14x
3.3x 1.4x .7x .8x .9x
23% 23% 11% 13% 23%
91 88 85 61 60
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► Major insider buying in past six months ► Price within 20% of 52-week low ► MV > $1 million New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. * during past six months (value estimate based on recent price).
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 5
Contrarian: Biggest Losers (deleveraged & profitable) Non-financial companies with no net debt, positive analyst estimates for next year's EPS, and large YTD price drop ▼ MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
Price Change Since December 31, 2002 2007 2008
Price to Tangible Book
Next FY P/E
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
Cardionet Questcor Pharma Emergent BioSolution Aceto Celera
BEAT QCOR EBS ACET CRA
5.91 4.54 14.42 5.54 6.19
141 291 439 137 507
96 221 392 79 186
n/m 368% n/m 17% -35%
n/m -21% 185% -31% -61%
-76% -51% -45% -45% -44%
1.3x 4.0x 1.9x 1.1x 1.4x
148x 7x 18x 9x 206x
4% 7% 45% 1% 2%
10 / -/4 - / 19 1/1 1/-
6 7 8 9 10
VAALCO Energy ViroPharma VASCO Data Security Martek Biosciences CryoLife
EGY VPHM VDSI MATK CRY
4.26 7.54 6.08 17.96 6.00
248 584 228 597 171
164 432 157 461 144
190% 416% 527% -28% -12%
-8% -5% -78% -39% -25%
-43% -42% -41% -41% -38%
1.6x 5.3x 2.6x 1.1x 1.7x
7x 84x 16x 13x 15x
3% 1% 25% 2% 7%
1/28 / -/1 -/- / 11
11 12 13 14 15
ICx Technologies Synovis Life Tech Imation Granite Construction Rochester Medical
ICXT SYNO IMN GVA ROCM
5.05 12.06 8.82 28.56 10.11
174 140 336 1,104 122
150 90 225 949 91
n/m 34% -75% 84% 132%
-48% -38% -58% -21% -9%
-36% -36% -35% -35% -34%
2.0x 1.9x .6x 1.4x 2.2x
42x 24x 20x 15x 78x
5% 3% 1% 2% 15%
- / 11 1/5 2/-/1 -/9
16 17 18 19 20
Orbital Sciences BigBand Networks Immucor EMS Technologies * Winn-Dixie Stores
ORB BBND BLUD ELMG WINN
12.88 3.70 17.88 17.43 11.09
728 245 1,254 266 608
482 72 1,102 262 484
205% n/m 347% 12% n/m
-47% -28% -47% -42% -34%
-34% -33% -33% -33% -31%
1.7x 1.6x 5.1x 2.3x .9x
17x 18x 14x 10x 31x
1% 41% 1% 1% 1%
-/3 - / 19 -/-/- / 15
21 22 23 24 25
Luminex JAKKS Pacific Met-Pro Comtech Telecomm. Cubist Pharma
LMNX JAKK MPR CMTL CBST
14.72 14.23 9.20 32.12 16.94
611 397 134 907 982
518 341 110 621 726
258% 6% 51% 569% 106%
-9% -40% -23% -41% -17%
-31% -31% -31% -30% -30%
4.3x 1.2x 2.3x 2.1x 2.3x
31x 10x 17x 14x 11x
7% 4% 1% 2% 0%
-/6 -/5 1/4 -/1/2
26 27 28 29 30
Rostelecom Landauer * Viad Cephalon National HealthCare
ROS LDR VVI CEPH NHC
39.05 51.79 17.50 54.58 35.97
4,743 484 360 4,075 492
4,117 452 264 3,657 601
449% 49% n/m 12% 106%
-44% 0% -45% -24% -30%
-30% -29% -29% -29% -29%
2.4x 8.7x 1.5x 8.3x 1.5x
22x 18x 32x 9x 15x
52% 1% 3% 1% 23%
-/-/-/-/1 -/8
31 32 33 34 35
Cogent * NCR Corp. * DSP Group AeroVironment IRIS International
COGT NCR DSPG AVAV IRIS
9.65 10.15 5.78 26.66 10.14
865 1,616 132 573 183
571 1,208 62 433 151
n/m 80% -63% n/m n/m
-13% -60% -53% 10% -48%
-29% -28% -28% -28% -27%
1.6x 4.5x 1.0x 2.8x 2.6x
18x 15x 15x 19x 18x
48% 1% 0% 21% 4%
-/3 -/-/3 - / 20 1/6
36 37 38 39 40
* GigaMedia * Astec Industries * Force Protection Energy Recovery * Callaway Golf
GIGM ASTE FRPT ERII ELY
4.10 23.00 4.40 5.58 6.84
224 518 308 280 441
141 482 186 201 336
503% 132% n/m n/m -48%
-78% -38% -6% n/m -61%
-27% -27% -26% -26% -26%
1.9x 1.1x 1.1x 2.6x .8x
6x 21x 9x 28x 21x
21% 20% 1% 12% 0%
-/3 -/5 1/1 1 / 17 1/-
41 42 43 44 45
* China Sky One Omega Flex Pharma Product * Gushan Environmental * Apollo Group
CSKI OFLX PPDI GU APOL
11.87 15.55 21.55 1.37 57.10
198 157 2,546 115 8,841
150 149 1,973 15 8,462
2020% n/m 47% n/m 30%
-15% -5% -47% -85% -19%
-26% -26% -26% -26% -25%
2.0x 5.8x 2.4x .4x 20.5x
4x 40x 15x 137x 9x
36% 69% 10% 39% 17%
-/-/-/-/- / 19
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► Positive net cash ► Positive next FY EPS estimate ► Market value > $100 million New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 6
Value with Catalyst: Cheap Repurchasers of Stock Companies that may be creating value by reducing their shares outstanding at relatively cheap prices ▼ MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
Q-Q Change in Shares
Next FY P/E
Price to Tangible Book
Net Cash as % of MV
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
LaBranche Banco Macro * Hawk * RRSat Global Comms National West. Life
LAB BMA HWK RRST NWLI
2.76 29.23 13.92 10.75 176.16
148 1,778 112 186 639
n/m n/m 120 155 n/m
-7.4% -6.8% -6.3% -6.1% -5.5%
14x 10x 16x 12x -
.5x 3.3x 1.8x 2.5x .6x
-22% 51% -7% 17% 9%
10% 37% 31% 75% 37%
-/-/-/-/-/-
6 7 8 9 10
Tongjitang Chinese Cincinnati Bell Employers Holdings Simcere Pharma Gaiam
TCM CBB EIG SCR GAIA
3.90 3.08 14.82 7.90 6.53
132 653 672 482 151
77 2,579 n/m 399 108
-5.1% -4.7% -4.3% -3.7% -3.7%
49x 7x 10x 13x 36x
.9x n/m 1.6x 1.9x 1.4x
42% -295% 5% 17% 28%
38% 1% 1% 46% 45%
-/-/38 / -/-/-
11 12 13 14 15
Safety Insurance Triple-S Management * Career Education Home Federal Bancorp Co. Energetica Minas
SAFT GTS CECO HOME CIG
33.47 16.70 20.84 11.55 15.79
513 491 1,775 191 9,796
n/m n/m 1,386 n/m 11,123
-3.3% -2.9% -2.9% -2.4% -2.2%
10x 7x 12x 96x 9x
.9x 1.0x 4.1x 1.0x 2.2x
11% -26% 22% 15% -14%
9% 31% 1% 62% 38%
-/-/4/1/-/-
16 17 18 19 20
* BGC Partners KONAMI 99 Cents Only Stores * GP Strategies AirMedia Group
BGCP KNM NDN GPX AMCN
4.83 18.54 11.37 7.04 8.27
385 2,474 779 110 542
n/m 2,494 647 109 446
-2.0% -2.0% -1.9% -1.7% -1.7%
11x 16x 16x 11x 41x
1.8x 1.9x 1.4x 3.6x 1.9x
59% -1% 17% 1% 18%
54% 28% 33% 7% 50%
1/-/-/-/-/-
21 22
* Sinclair Broadcast Himax Technologies
SBGI HIMX
3.94 2.64
314 244
1,619 105
-1.5% -1.5%
11x 9x
n/m .6x
-415% 57%
68% 27%
3/-/-
No additional companies met the screening criteria outlined below. * New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► MV < 2 * BV ► Price <= 12 * next FY EPS ► Debt/equity < 0.4 ► No net insider selling ► MV > $100 million New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. BV = book value. # of insider trades relates to latest six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 7
Profitable Dividend Payors with Decent Balance Sheets Dividend-paying companies with no net debt and EPS estimates in excess of 75% of the indicated annual dividend ▼ Move To 52-Week Low High
MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
Dividend Yield Last 12 Annual Months Indicated
Est. P/E This Next FY FY
Price to Tangible Book
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
* Calumet Specialty Integrys Energy * Plains All American Barnes & Noble Foot Locker
CLMT TEG PAA BKS FL
15.92 34.60 47.83 16.61 10.48
-64% -44% -49% -35% -65%
16% 45% 7% 73% 41%
513 2,644 6,167 929 1,639
954 2,337 10,581 771 1,362
11% 8% 8% 6% 6%
11% 8% 8% 6% 6%
8x 15x 15x 18x 17x
7x 12x 16x 12x 14x
1.5x 1.2x 2.6x 1.6x 1.0x
42% 1% 11% 30% 1%
5/1 -/1/1 -/1 2/1
6 7 8 9 10
* Repsol * SUPERVALU * Sunoco * SYSCO * Worthington
REP SVU SUN SYY WOR
26.60 15.87 30.80 26.45 11.05
-47% -46% -30% -27% -37%
8% 28% 54% 5% 49%
29,815 3,365 3,601 15,640 874
45,288 11,240 5,894 17,030 987
11% 4% 4% 4% 5%
5% 4% 4% 4% 4%
14x 8x 81x 15x 23x
11x 8x 11x 14x 13x
1.3x n/m 1.3x 8.6x 1.5x
21% 1% 1% 1% 26%
-/-/1/-/5 2/3
11 12 13 14 15
* Cato Corp. * Valero Energy * Weis Markets * Commercial Metals * Delhaize
CATO VLO WMK CMC DEG
19.71 18.10 35.40 14.84 67.80
-42% -23% -36% -58% -21%
18% 45% 7% 43% 11%
583 10,186 952 1,670 6,766
408 15,931 840 2,439 10,515
3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
14x n/m 15x >99x 10x
13x 12x 14x 13x 10x
2.0x .6x 1.5x 1.2x 4.7x
7% 1% 48% 4% 1%
-/7 -/3 -/-/6 -/-
16 17 18 19 20
* Marathon Oil Corp. * Applied Industrial * Tesoro * Steelcase * ABM Industries
MRO AIT TSO SCS ABM
31.97 20.23 14.14 5.77 18.78
-40% -30% -53% -47% -38%
12% 18% 36% 65% 24%
22,626 856 1,973 767 969
29,751 865 3,531 927 1,141
3% 3% 3% 6% 3%
3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
17x 18x n/m >99x 14x
8x 14x 16x 30x 13x
1.1x 2.4x .7x 1.5x >9.9x
1% 13% 1% 18% 10%
-/-/4 -/8 -/1/8
21 22 23 24 25
* Cooper Tire & Rubber * Kaman * PriceSmart * Grupo Casa Saba * Cardinal Health
CTB KAMN PSMT SAB CAH
15.26 20.66 19.30 19.50 28.34
-81% -55% -46% -43% -30%
24% 30% 11% 24% 5%
900 530 572 518 10,220
1,203 609 572 667 12,020
3% 3% 3% 0% 2%
3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
11x 18x 14x 15x
9x 13x 13x 13x
3.8x 3.0x 2.3x 1.0x 3.9x
2% 1% 46% 90% 1%
-/7 3/- / 16 -/-/3
26 27 28 29 30
* J.C. Penney * Whirlpool * Arkansas Best * Owens & Minor * Administaff
JCP WHR ABFS OMI ASF
33.13 71.59 25.82 40.89 24.82
-59% -73% -39% -26% -46%
12% 12% 34% 18% 23%
7,814 5,318 647 1,708 634
8,894 7,512 472 1,873 452
2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
32x 17x n/m 16x 26x
22x 12x 31x 14x 20x
1.7x >9.9x 1.2x 3.6x 3.0x
8% 1% 9% 2% 13%
-/-/-/3 - / 11 - / 52
31 32 33 34 35
* Jabil Circuit * Holly Corp. * Archer Daniels * Granite Construction * Ruddick Corp.
JBL HOC ADM GVA RDK
13.38 29.01 30.12 28.56 26.72
-77% -63% -34% -5% -29%
15% 16% 7% 75% 13%
2,866 1,458 19,345 1,104 1,297
3,224 1,926 23,564 949 1,632
2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
13x 20x 12x 16x 13x
10x 9x 11x 15x 13x
2.2x 3.3x 1.5x 1.4x 1.6x
11% 4% 2% 2% 5%
-/1 -/2 -/7 -/1 -/2
36 37 38 39 40
* Safeway * Frontier Oil * Mueller Industries * Brink's Company * Stepan Company
SWY FTO MLI BCO SCL
22.33 13.86 23.66 23.73 57.24
-23% -46% -34% -23% -60%
9% 33% 17% 104% 14%
9,075 1,451 891 1,082 555
14,063 1,313 707 1,096 634
2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
13x 82x 26x 13x 12x
12x 12x 18x 11x 15x
2.0x 1.2x 1.5x >9.9x 2.5x
1% 1% 1% 2% 28%
3/5 -/2 2/-/5 - / 47
41 42 43 44 45
* Kroger * Sanderson Farms * Manpower * RadioShack * Bunge
KR SAFM MAN RSH BG
23.13 36.59 47.41 16.89 57.06
-16% -45% -52% -62% -46%
26% 35% 33% 9% 28%
15,054 744 3,716 2,115 6,965
22,224 844 3,425 1,946 9,942
2% 2% 2% 1% 1%
2% 2% 2% 1% 1%
12x 9x 68x 11x 16x
11x 8x 43x 11x 10x
4.4x 1.8x 3.1x 2.1x .8x
6% 15% 1% 0% 1%
1 / 13 -/1 -/4 -/-/-
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► Positive net cash ► Positive EPS estimates for this FY and next FY ► MV > $100 million New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 8
Deep Value: Lots of Revenue, Low Enterprise Value Companies that trade at low multiples of net revenue ▼ Move To 52-Week Low High
MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
EV/ Sales
Est. P/E This Next FY FY
Price to Tangible Book
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
Tech Data Winn-Dixie Stores Ingram Micro World Fuel Services AmerisourceBergen
TECD WINN IM INT ABC
38.43 11.09 17.65 50.85 22.15
-63% -28% -51% -63% -40%
16% 46% 6% 12% 8%
1,932 608 2,878 1,507 6,584
1,242 484 2,084 1,204 6,862
.06x .07x .07x .09x .10x
14x 44x 16x 15x 13x
12x 31x 13x 13x 12x
1.0x .9x 1.0x 3.4x n/m
3% 1% 6% 6% 2%
- / 31 - / 15 -/2 2 / 23 -/3
6 7 8
Tutor Perini Cardinal Health McKesson
TPC CAH MCK
17.65 28.34 58.73
-42% -30% -52%
51% 5% 6%
857 10,220 15,739
614 12,020 15,035
.10x .12x .14x
6x 15x 13x
7x 13x 12x
1.8x 3.9x 6.8x
47% 1% 0%
9
SYNNEX
SNX
25.73
-66%
28%
870
1,153
.15x
10x
9x
1.4x
40%
10
Barnes & Noble
BKS
16.61
-35%
73%
929
771
.15x
18x
12x
1.6x
30%
-/4 -/3 - / 20 -/ 177 -/1
11 12 13 14 15
Kindred Healthcare Sunoco Office Depot Centene Brightpoint
KND SUN ODP CNC CELL
14.70 30.80 6.05 17.83 7.37
-45% -30% -90% -16% -61%
26% 54% 30% 26% 26%
574 3,601 1,662 810 604
652 5,894 2,037 652 623
.16x .16x .16x .17x .17x
10x 81x n/m 9x 17x
11x 11x n/m 8x 12x
.7x 1.3x 2.1x 2.4x 5.8x
3% 1% 3% 2% 2%
- / 19 1/-/-/- / 11
16 17 18 19 20
Great A & P Tea KBR Interactive Brokers Tesoro Celestica
GAP KBR IBKR TSO CLS
9.91 20.47 16.01 14.14 8.30
-70% -52% -21% -53% -69%
15% 21% 44% 36% 22%
578 3,284 660 1,973 1,902
1,594 2,207 248 3,531 1,222
.17x .17x .17x .17x .19x
n/m 12x 14x n/m -
n/m 13x 11x 16x -
n/m 2.3x 1.2x .7x 1.3x
42% 1% 1% 1% 14%
- / 11 -/3 21 / -/8 -/-
21 22 23 24 25
Magna International BJ's Wholesale Club Sanmina-SCI EMCOR Group Shaw Group
MGA BJ SANM EME SHAW
39.63 35.03 6.42 23.62 25.66
-50% -22% -83% -53% -55%
31% 16% 43% 12% 37%
4,463 1,945 505 1,556 2,145
3,398 1,920 1,078 1,232 1,437
.19x .19x .20x .20x .20x
14x n/m 11x -
13x 40x 13x -
.7x 1.9x .9x 6.0x 2.5x
2% 1% 1% 2% 1%
-/-/6 -/1/3 -/1
26 27 28 29 30
Integrys Energy * Willbros Group Manpower Eastman Kodak Charming Shoppes
TEG WG MAN EK CHRS
34.60 13.14 47.41 3.75 4.53
-44% -59% -52% -46% -90%
45% 29% 33% 169% 29%
2,644 521 3,716 1,006 524
2,337 372 3,425 1,607 509
.21x .21x .21x .22x .23x
15x 16x 68x n/m n/m
12x 14x 43x n/m 19x
1.2x 1.4x 3.1x n/m 1.6x
1% 3% 1% 1% 1%
-/-/-/4 -/3/-
31 32 33 34 35
Arrow Electronics Sears Holdings Valero Energy Avnet Flextronics
ARW SHLD VLO AVT FLEX
25.34 67.86 18.10 24.78 6.48
-54% -61% -23% -52% -81%
18% 17% 45% 11% 23%
3,035 8,063 10,186 3,748 5,256
3,304 10,113 15,931 3,774 5,911
.23x .23x .23x .23x .23x
16x 80x n/m 14x 13x
12x 48x 12x 11x 10x
1.6x 1.7x .6x 1.7x 3.4x
3% 59% 1% 1% 0%
- / 13 1/-/3 - / 13 -/6
36 37 38 39 40
Live Nation * Bunge * Owens & Minor Andersons Frontier Oil
LYV BG OMI ANDE FTO
6.66 57.06 40.89 31.03 13.86
-63% -46% -26% -66% -46%
79% 28% 18% 21% 33%
557 6,965 1,708 568 1,451
919 9,942 1,873 761 1,313
.23x .23x .24x .24x .24x
n/m 16x 16x 14x 82x
n/m 10x 14x 10x 12x
n/m .8x 3.6x 1.5x 1.2x
6% 1% 2% 9% 1%
6/-/- / 11 1 / 25 -/2
41 42 43 44 45
* NCR Corp. SUPERVALU Repsol * Fluor * Administaff
NCR SVU REP FLR ASF
10.15 15.87 26.60 44.42 24.82
-35% -46% -47% -36% -46%
85% 28% 8% 32% 23%
1,616 3,365 29,815 7,990 634
1,208 11,240 45,288 6,020 452
.26x .26x .26x .26x .26x
20x 8x 14x 12x 26x
15x 8x 11x 12x 20x
4.5x n/m 1.3x 2.7x 3.0x
1% 1% 21% 0% 13%
-/-/-/- / 12 - / 52
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► EV to trailing revenue less than 0.5x ► Market value does not exceed revenue ► Market value > $500 million New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 9
Deep Value: Neglected Gross Profiteers Companies that trade at low multiples of gross profit ▼ Move To 52-Week Low High
MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
Enterprise Value / Gross Sales Profit EBIT
Est. P/E This Next FY FY
Price/ Tang. Book
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
Molina Healthcare WellCare Health Kindred Healthcare Winn-Dixie Stores Interactive Brokers
MOH WCG KND WINN IBKR
18.72 26.13 14.70 11.09 16.01
-14% -77% -45% -28% -21%
38% 7% 26% 46% 44%
478 1,103 574 608 660
16 162 652 484 248
.0x .0x .2x .1x .2x
.0x .2x .2x .2x .2x
.2x n/m 5.8x 6.5x .3x
10x 9x 10x 44x 14x
8x 11x 11x 31x 11x
1.4x 1.6x .7x .9x 1.2x
49% 4% 3% 1% 1%
- / 15 -/- / 19 - / 15 21 / -
6 7 8 9 10
RealNetworks Humana Retail Ventures Kelly Services Barnes & Noble
RNWK HUM RVI KELYA BKS
3.57 37.58 6.41 11.08 16.61
-45% -51% -86% -45% -35%
30% 22% 16% 35% 73%
481 6,376 314 387 929
108 2,044 244 350 771
.2x .1x .2x .1x .2x
.3x .4x .4x .4x .5x
n/m 1.5x n/m n/m 5.8x
n/m 6x n/m 18x
n/m 7x n/m 12x
1.3x 2.3x 1.8x .7x 1.6x
37% 1% 41% 23% 30%
-/-/-/1/-/1
11 12 13 14 15
Great A & P Tea Blyth E.W. Scripps Office Depot Star Gas Partners
GAP BTH SSP ODP SGU
9.91 35.43 6.36 6.05 3.90
-70% -62% -89% -90% -55%
15% 39% 42% 30% 1%
578 316 344 1,662 297
1,594 312 375 2,037 209
.2x .3x .4x .2x .2x
.6x .6x .6x .6x .6x
n/m n/m n/m n/m 2.6x
n/m 15x n/m n/m -
n/m 14x 37x n/m -
n/m 1.4x .9x 2.1x 3.5x
42% 34% 47% 3% 18%
- / 11 -/2 -/7 -/-/-
16 17 18 19 20
First American Hutchison Telecom AnnTaylor Stores Core-Mark Brown Shoe
FAF HTX ANN CORE BWS
30.39 2.96 12.97 27.37 10.37
-53% -17% -81% -46% -80%
12% 647% 35% 11% 19%
2,837 950 762 285 445
2,748 1,431 627 276 605
.5x .6x .3x .0x .3x
.7x .7x .7x .7x .7x
18.8x 10.5x n/m 4.5x n/m
14x n/m 7x 69x
12x 39x 9x 27x
n/m >9.9x 1.9x 1.0x 1.5x
5% 62% 3% 2% 4%
1/8 -/-/1 - / 12 -/-
21 22 23 24 25
* Himax Tech * USA Mobility Vonage * Medicines Spherion
HIMX USMO VG MDCO SFN
2.64 10.90 1.58 7.19 4.95
-62% -22% -80% -14% -78%
50% 29% 66% 154% 40%
244 247 248 379 247
105 151 435 207 259
.2x .5x .5x .5x .1x
.7x .7x .7x .7x .7x
7.9x 2.4x n/m n/m n/m
11x n/m n/m
9x n/m n/m
.6x 1.5x n/m 1.4x .9x
27% 1% 61% 1% 3%
-/-/6 -/4 1/-/1
26 27 28 29 30
CDI Liz Claiborne * Alaska Air Group Repsol Haverty Furniture
CDI LIZ ALK REP HVT
12.18 5.74 25.72 26.60 12.11
-47% -75% -47% -47% -37%
37% 47% 20% 8% 10%
231 546 907 29,815 259
157 1,211 1,335 45,288 244
.2x .4x .4x .3x .4x
.8x .8x .8x .8x .8x
44.8x n/m 12.4x 2.8x n/m
94x n/m 9x 14x n/m
49x >99x 7x 11x 19x
1.0x 6.2x 1.2x 1.3x 1.1x
10% 1% 0% 21% 38%
-/-/-/-/-/9
31 32 33 34 35
Christopher & Banks * Cabela's Genesco * Insight Enterprises Health Net
CBK CAB GCO NSIT HNT
6.09 12.57 26.07 10.52 14.91
-60% -67% -60% -81% -51%
48% 41% 14% 34% 21%
219 845 591 483 1,549
119 813 628 482 1,599
.3x .3x .4x .1x .1x
.8x .8x .8x .8x .8x
n/m 5.5x 12.3x n/m 9.5x
n/m 10x 15x 13x 7x
n/m 10x 13x 11x 8x
1.1x .9x 1.7x 1.4x 1.6x
2% 40% 4% 2% 3%
-/1 14 / 8 -/2 -/2 -/2
36 37 38 39 40
* Pier 1 Imports Sears Holdings * Imation * Atlas Air Worldwide Amerigroup
PIR SHLD IMN AAWW AGP
3.52 67.86 8.82 26.29 22.05
-97% -61% -21% -66% -21%
53% 17% 65% 44% 47%
320 8,063 336 555 1,158
296 10,113 225 705 726
.2x .2x .1x .7x .2x
.8x .8x .8x .8x .8x
n/m 52.4x n/m 3.3x 3.0x
n/m 80x >99x 9x 11x
44x 48x 20x 10x 11x
1.9x 1.7x .6x .8x 1.7x
2% 59% 1% 1% 3%
46 / 1/2/- / 24 -/6
41 42 43 44 45
* Jo-Ann Stores Fred's KT Corp. CBRL Group * Universal Health
JAS FRED KTC CBRL UHS
26.62 11.84 16.05 33.15 55.65
-61% -31% -38% -68% -45%
18% 25% 10% 11% 20%
707 474 6,454 755 2,732
773 428 12,280 1,389 3,574
.4x .2x .7x .6x .7x
.8x .9x .9x .9x .9x
12.6x 12.4x 10.2x 9.8x 7.3x
18x 15x 11x 11x 12x
15x 14x 10x 10x 11x
1.5x 1.2x 1.0x 5.6x 2.7x
6% 7% 7% 2% 17%
- / 13 -/2 -/-/8 - / 14
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► EV not more than trailing gross profit ► Market value not more than 2x gross profit ► Market value > $200 million New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 10
Activist Targets: Potential Sales, Liquidations or Recaps Companies that may unlock value through a corporate event ▼ Move To 52-Week Low High
MV ($mn)
EV ($mn)
Price to Tangible Book
Net Cash (% of MV)
Net Net ST Assets (% of MV)
EV/ Sales
Next FY P/E
Insiders % Buys/ Own. Sells
Company
Ticker
Price ($)
1 2 3 4 5
QLT Myriad Pharma Imation Silicon Image Ascent Media
QLTI MYRX IMN SIMG ASCMA
3.49 5.52 8.82 2.11 23.19
-60% -34% -21% -4% -24%
29% 36% 65% 143% 29%
191 133 336 159 327
(3) (36) 225 6 18
.7x .7x .6x .8x .5x
102% 127% 33% 96% 95%
138% 124% 119% 105% 104%
n/m n/m .1x .0x .0x
20x n/m -
1% 0% 1% 0% 6%
4/2 -/2/-/-/-
6 7 8 9 10
Trident Microsystems Adaptec Hurco Integr. Electrical Tech Data
TRID ADPT HURC IESC TECD
1.88 3.19 15.90 6.58 38.43
-35% -31% -48% -40% -63%
65% 16% 55% 107% 16%
133 384 102 101 1,932
(28) (1) 79 71 1,242
.8x 1.0x .9x .7x 1.0x
121% 100% 23% 30% 36%
96% 94% 92% 90% 89%
n/m n/m .7x .1x .1x
n/m >99x 15x 12x
1% 1% 15% 3% 3%
-/11 / 1/2 -/1 - / 31
11 12 13 14 15
TomoTherapy White Electronic Lattice Semi Ingram Micro DivX
TOMO WEDC LSCC IM DIVX
3.32 4.39 1.91 17.65 4.81
-45% -32% -46% -51% -20%
41% 15% 42% 6% 53%
173 101 220 2,878 157
26 42 105 2,084 21
.9x 1.0x .9x 1.0x 1.0x
85% 58% 52% 28% 86%
87% 86% 86% 85% 83%
.1x .7x .6x .1x .3x
n/m 16x 19x 13x 40x
16% 7% 0% 6% 3%
-/1/5 -/1 -/2 -/2
16 17 18 19 20
Zoran Radvision SupportSoft Advanced Analogic CDI
ZRAN RVSN SPRT AATI CDI
8.87 6.17 2.40 3.15 12.18
-43% -30% -35% -42% -47%
38% 56% 13% 77% 37%
458 121 112 135 231
60 15 18 32 157
1.0x 1.0x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x
87% 88% 84% 76% 32%
83% 82% 82% 81% 80%
.2x .2x .7x .4x .2x
52x 23x n/m n/m 49x
0% 15% 6% 5% 10%
2/-/-/-/1 -/-
21 22 23 24 25
Cutera Callaway Golf Aceto PCTEL Electro Scientific
CUTR ELY ACET PCTI ESIO
9.01 6.84 5.54 5.86 10.94
-39% -32% -12% -40% -57%
11% 56% 111% 23% 33%
121 441 137 109 300
23 336 79 41 148
1.1x .8x 1.1x .9x .9x
81% 24% 42% 63% 51%
80% 80% 78% 78% 77%
.4x .4x .2x .7x 1.6x
n/m 21x 9x 34x 55x
5% 0% 1% 5% 0%
-/1/1/1 - / 10 -/4
26 27 28 29 30
Progenics Pharma Bel Fuse Benchmark Electron. * JAKKS Pacific SMART Modular
PGNX BELFB BHE JAKK SMOD
4.19 18.10 16.80 14.23 4.06
-1% -51% -49% -29% -81%
171% 33% 12% 59% 38%
132 208 1,091 397 251
18 208 665 341 185
1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 1.2x 1.1x
86% 0% 39% 14% 26%
76% 75% 75% 74% 74%
.4x 1.1x .3x .4x .4x
n/m 26x 17x 10x 10x
11% 10% 1% 4% 2%
1/3 -/1/-/5 -/5
31 32 33 34 35
* Force Protection * Mattson Technology Miller Industries Universal Stainless Sigma Designs
FRPT MTSN MLR USAP SIGM
4.40 2.12 10.05 15.09 12.01
-48% -86% -51% -47% -42%
128% 48% 16% 41% 47%
308 106 117 102 322
186 40 90 74 129
1.1x 1.0x .9x .7x 1.1x
40% 62% 23% 28% 60%
73% 72% 71% 71% 69%
.2x 1.1x .4x .5x .7x
9x n/m 24x 16x 11x
1% 1% 5% 1% 2%
1/1 -/-/-/-/4
36 37 38 39 40
Vital Images * Spartan Motors A.C. Moore Arts Exar * Silicon Graphics
VTAL SPAR ACMR EXAR SGI
11.41 4.99 4.78 6.90 5.96
-25% -74% -85% -28% -43%
25% 135% 18% 16% 32%
163 164 118 301 180
38 155 81 95 51
1.2x .9x .7x 1.2x .9x
76% 6% 31% 69% 72%
69% 68% 68% 68% 67%
.6x .3x .2x .8x .2x
n/m 17x >99x 58x n/m
2% 9% 2% 0% 1%
4/4 -/8 2/7/1 1/-
41 42 43 44 45
ActivIdentity Infinity Pharma * Rudolph Tech InfoSpace Celera
ACTI INFI RTEC INSP CRA
2.27 5.58 6.34 8.57 6.19
-53% -22% -69% -41% -19%
34% 61% 33% 5% 110%
104 146 196 303 507
25 (4) 124 97 186
1.2x 1.2x 1.3x 1.4x 1.4x
76% 103% 37% 68% 63%
66% 65% 65% 65% 65%
.4x n/m 1.5x .6x 1.1x
38x n/m n/m 37x >99x
4% 17% 8% 0% 2%
-/-/-/3 -/1/-
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► Tang. book > 50% of MV ► ST assets - liabilities > 50% of MV ► Net cash ► Insiders < 20% ► MV > $100 million New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
November 1, 2009
Page 11
WE’VE BEEN CALLED MANY THINGS. BUT WE’RE NOT COMPLAINING. “INVALUABLE.” “IMPRESSIVE.” “INCREDIBLE.” “TREASURE TROVE.” “WINNER.”
“The Manual of Ideas is a tremendous effort and very well put together.” —MOHNISH PABRAI, MANAGING PARTNER, PABRAI INVESTMENT FUNDS “Invaluable tool for the serious investor.” —TIM DAVIS, MANAGING DIRECTOR, BLUESTEM ASSET MANAGEMENT “We do similar work ourselves.” —GLENN GREENBERG, MANAGING DIRECTOR, CHIEFTAIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT “Outstanding.” —JONATHAN HELLER, EDITOR, CHEAP STOCKS “The best institutional-quality equity research to come along in a long time.” —PAVEL SAVOR, ASSISTANT PROFESSOR OF FINANCE, THE WHARTON SCHOOL “One of my must-read sources.” —CORY JANSSEN, FOUNDER, INVESTOPEDIA.COM “Wonderful.” —TOM GAYNER, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, MARKEL CORPORATION
FIND OUT WHAT THE BUZZ IS ABOUT.
WWW.MANUALOFIDEAS.COM