Finance Lect 12

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starting date of toll b

2010

2011

assumptions width of the bridge site clearance cost per sq.m cost of clearance

2012

2013

2014

24 m 24000 m2 100 per sqmt 2400000

cost of cons. Of road

30000000

manpower Engineer salary Head Supervisor

250000 Per year 1000000 Per year

No 4 1

Permanent staff

100000 Per year

2

Technical Consultant 2% of Project Cost

600000 Total Project Cost

Traffic Projection Growth rate Types of Vehicles 2 Wheeler 4 wheelar S.T.Buses Total Length Vehicle perRates

4% 2012 20000 75000 1000 2.5 10 Rate per KmRate of 2.5 km

2013 20800 78000 1040

2014 21632 81120 1082

2015 22497 84365 1125

2 Wheeler 4 wheelar S.T.Buses

7.5 10 1000

18.75 25 2500

20.63 27.5 2750

Final Revenue 2 Wheeler 4 wheelar S.T.Buses

375000 390000 405600 1875000 ### ### 2500000 ### ###

### ### ###

Year wise Revenue

4750000

###

Total Revenue

Operation Expense O.M Of Bridge

18.75 25 2500

###

Sources Private Operator Authority State Govt. State Govt. Senior Lenders

18.75 25 2500

Equity Equity Equity Debt at Debt at

37400000 Share 25 9350000 15 5610000 10 3740000 6% 10 3740000 10 % 40 14960000

18.75 25 2500

###

###

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2019 2020 2021 26319 27371 28466 98695 102643 106748 1316 1369 1423

2022 29605 111018 1480

2023 30789 115459 1539

2024 32021 120077 1601

Total Total Project Totaltime costin year ### 2 ### ### 2 ###

200000

2 400000

Total Project Cost

2016 23397 87739 1170

### Rs

2017 24333 91249 1217

2018 25306 94899 1265

20.63 27.5 2750

20.63 27.5 2750

22.69 30.25 3025

22.69 30.25 3025

22.69 249.56 30.25 332.75 3025 33275

249.56 332.75 33275

### ### ###

### ### ###

### ### ###

### ### ###

### ### ###

### 7388269.29 7683800.06 8790267.27 ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ###

###

###

###

###

###

###

93584744

249.56 332.75 33275

274.52 366.03 36602.5

97328134 111343385

2024

2025

2025 33301 124881 1665

2026 34634 129876 1732

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

274.52 366.03 36602.5

274.52 366.03 36602.5

9141877.96 ### ###

### ### ###

115797121 120429006

2033

2034

A

Cost Estimates Consultant Fees Expert Fees Environmental Clearence Preoperative Expense Contigencies Increase in Manpower cost Cost of Engineers (Rs.) Cost of Supervisor (Rs.) Cost of Permenant Staff (Rs.) Cost of Administrative Office Cost of Construction Toll Plaza

B

Traffic Projections Average Annual Growth Rate in vehicular traffic Inflation Rate (Every 3rd Year) Bridge Length Toll Rate 2- Wheelers 4- Wheelers S.T.Bus Advertisement Revenue

C

Financial Plan Interest During Construction is Payed back quarterly Moratorium Period is considered as 3 years for both the debts

D

Operation And Maintenance Inflation Operation And Maintenance of Bridge Periodic Re-Surfacing Increase in Operation of Toll Plaza Cost of Operating Toll Plazas

E

Depreciation Written Down Value Method Straight line Method

F

Proffit And Loss Account Corporate tax

G

Cash Flow Method of Depreciation Considered for preparing the cash Flow in straight line Method WACC is considered as Discounting rate for Project NPV Cost of Equity is Considered as Discounting rate for Equity NPV

COST ESTIMATION A

Construction Cost Discription

1.50% Of total Construction 0.50% Of total Construction 5% Of Construction Cost 3% Of total Construction 5% Of total Construction 10% Per Annum ### Per Annum ### Per Annum ### Per Annum 0.50% Of Construction Cost 1% Of Construction Cost

Cost Cost Cost Cost

4% 10% 2.5 K.m.

7.5 K.m. 10 K.m. 1000 K.m. 1% Of Total Vehicular Toll Revenue

4% Every Year 1.5% Of initial Investment 4% Every 3 Year 10% Every Year 5% O & M of Bridge

15% 10%

40%

aight line Method

Cost Estimates Consultant Fees Expert Fees Environmental Clearence Preoperative Expense Contigencies Increase in Manpower cost Cost of Engineers (Rs.) Cost of Supervisor (Rs.) Cost of Permenant Staff (Rs.) Cost of Administrative Office Cost of Construction Toll Plaza

A

B

Construction Cost Description Land Cost Site Clearances Bridge Construction Site Office Construction of Toll Plaza Expert Fees Total (Bridge Cost)

Unit 0 Sqm. Km. L.S. L.S. L.S.

Of total Construction Cost Of total Construction Cost Of Construction Cost Of total Construction Cost Of total Construction Cost Per Annum Per Annum Per Annum Per Annum Of Construction Cost Of Construction Cost

No 0 2 1 2

Man Power

Site Clearances Engineer Supervisor Permanent staff Total (Man Power)

C

1.50% 0.50% 5% 3% 5% 10% 500000 300000 100000 0.50% 1%

Expert & Consultancy Supervisor Technical Consultancy fees Expert employed by State Govt. Total (Expert & Consultancy)

Unit Persons Persons Persons

No 4 1 2

D

Pre Operative Expenses

E

Contengencies

A+B+C +D+E Total Project Cost

Length Breadth Height 0 0 0 500 24 1 2.5 1 1

Period (Years) 1 1 1

Quantity Rate (Rs.)/Sq.mAmount (Rs.) 0 0 0 24000 100 2,400,000 2.5 12,000,000 30,000,000 150,000 648,000 1,627,500 ###

Rate / Rate / Amount Annum(IN Annum(INR.) Amount (INR) R.) Year I Year II (INR) Year I Year II ### 550,000 2,000,000 ### ### 330,000 300,000 330000 ### 110,000 200,000 220000 2,500,000 ### ###

Amount (INR) 522,383 174,128 696,510

### ###

###

COST ESTIMATION A

Construction Cost Discription

Average Annual Growth Rate 4% rd Inflation Rate (Every 3 Year) 10% Bridge Length 2.5 Km. Toll Rates 2- Wheeler 7.5 per km 4-Wheeler 10 perkm S.T.Bus 1000 per vehicle per annum Advertisement Revenue 1% of Total Vehicular Toll Revenue Inflation rate is also applied to the per annum payment of State Transport Buses

1 2013

2 2014

3 2015

4 2016

5 2017

Traffic Projection 2- Wheeler 4-Wheeler S.T.Bus

20000 75000 1000

20800 78000 1040

21632 81120 1082

22497 84365 1125

23397 87739 1170

Toll Projection 2-Wheelers (Rs) 4-Wheelers (Rs) S.T. Bus (Rs./each)

18.75 25 1000

18.75 25 1000

18.75 25 1000

20.63 27.5 1100

20.63 27.5 1100

Toll & Advetisement Revenue Generation(INR) 2-Wheelers (Rs) 375000 390000 405600 464006 482567 4-Wheelers (Rs) ### ### ### ### ### S.T. Bus (Rs./each) ### ### ### ### ### Advertisement Revenue 32500 33800 35152 40214 41822 Total Revenue Generation ### ### ### ### ###

nsport Buses

6 2018

7 2019

24333 91249 1217

25306 94899 1265

20.63 27.5 1100

22.69 30.25 1210

8 2020

9 2021

10 2022

11 2023

12 2024

13 2025

14 2026

15 2027

26319 27371 28466 29605 30789 32021 33301 34634 98695 102643 106748 111018 115459 120077 124881 129876 1316 1369 1423 1480 1539 1601 1665 1732

22.69 30.25 1210

22.69 30.25 1210

24.96 33.28 1331

24.96 33.28 1331

24.96 27.45 27.45 27.45 33.28 36.6 36.6 36.6 1331 1464.1 1464.1 1464.1

501869 574139 597104 620988 710411 738827 768380 879027 914188 950755 ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### 43495 49759 51749 53819 61569 64032 66593 76182 79230 82399 ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ### ###

PROJECT TIME TABLE

Financial Close Operations Period Considered (Months) Construction Schedule Start of Construction Period Construction Period (months) End of Construction Period Operations: Commercial Operations Date Project Period Ends First Financial Year Begins First Financial Year Ends Concession Period: Concession Period Starts Concession Period Ends

31-Dec-10 180 1-Jan-11 24 31-Dec-12 1-Jan-13 31-Dec-27 1-Jan-11 31-Dec-11 1-Jan-13 31-Dec-27

EQUITY Private operator Authority state government DEBT Sub Ordinated Senior Debt by Senior Lender Total Project Cost

Contribution 50% 25% 15% 10% 50% 10% 40%

Cost

6% 10%

INTEREST DURING CONSTRUCTION

Q1-1 5444756

Contribution of Equity Contribution By Sub Oriented Debt Contribution By Senior Debt

5444756

Q1-2 5444756 16334269 5444756

Total

5444756

5444756

Interest During Construction Sub-Ordinated Senior Debt By senior Lender Total Grand TOTAL IDC

1186957

Senior Proportion of Total Debt Proportion of Total Debt (Amount in INR)

Prime Lending Rate Interest Rate (During Construction Period) Interest Rate (During Operations Period) Drawdown Starts Repayment (years ) Repayment per year No. of Instalments Repayment / Redemption Starts Repayment / Redemption Ends Moratorium Period- 3 years

Sub-ordinated 40%

10%

0 10% 10% 10% 1-Jan-2012

0 6%

10 1-Jan-2014 31-Dec-2023

6% 6% 1-Jan-2012 10 1 10 1-Jan-2014 31-Dec-2023

3

3

10 1

Share

Total Equity/Debt 21779025 10889513 6533708 4355805 21779025 4355805 17423220 43558050 Check

Q1-3 5444756 10889513 5444756

5444756

Q1-4 5444756 5444756 5444756

5444756

Q2-1 5444756

Q2-2 5444756

Q2-3 5444756

Q2-4 5444756

4355805 1088951

5444756

5444756

5444756

5444756

5444756

5444756

5444756

261348 108895 370243

408357 408357

272238 272238

136119 136119

INTEREST ON SENIOR AND SUB-ORDINATED DEBT

Interest On Senior Debt Principal Senior Debt (Repayment) Repayment of Senior Debt

2011 ### ### 0 1 0 0 0

2014 2 ###

2015 2016 3 4 ### 1393858

### ###

### 1742322 ### ###

0 0

0 0

0 0

0

0

0 522697

###

###

Principal Sub-Ordinated Debt (Repayment) 0 Repayment of Sub-Ordinated Debt0

0 0

0 435581 435581 0 ### ###

435581 644659

Interest On Subordinated Debt

2017 5 1219625

2018 2019 6 7 ### 871161

1742322 ###

### ###

### 1742322 ### ###

### ###

### ###

###

###

###

###

###

435581 435581 435581 618524 ### ###

2020 2021 2022 2023 8 9 10 11 696929 522697 348464 174232

2024 12 0

2025 13 0

2026 14 0

### ###

0 0

0 0

0 0

###

0

0

0

435581 435581 435581 435581 540120 ### ### ###

0 0

0 0

0 0

###

2027 15 0 0 0 0 0 0

A

OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE Assumptions Inflation 4.00% every year Operation and Maintenance of Bridge 1.50% of Initial Investment Periodic Re-surfacing 4.00% every 3rd Year Increase in Operations of Toll Plaza 10.00% every year Cost of Operating Toll Plazas 5.00% of O&M for Bridge

B

Operation and Maintenance

Initial Investment O&M Bridge Periodic Re-surfacing Operating Toll Plazas

43,558,050

2011 0 0

2012 1 0

0

0

cost of periodic resurfacng has to be considered in referenece with construction cost

ruction cost

2013 2 ###

2014 3 ###

2015 4 ###

###

###

###

2016 5 ### ### ###

2017 6 ###

2018 7 ###

###

###

2019 8 ### ### ###

2020 9 ###

2021 10 ###

###

###

2022 11 ### ### ###

2023 12 ###

2024 13 ###

###

###

2025 14 ### ### ###

2026 15 ###

2027 16 ###

###

###

DEPRECIATION Assumptions Method of DepreciationWDM Rate of Depreciation 15%

SLM 10%

Depreciation 2011 Depreciation (WDV) Written Down Value Depreciation (SLM)

2012 0

2013 1 ### ### ###

2014 2 ### ### ###

2015 3 ### ### ###

2016 4 ### ### ###

2017 5 ### ### ###

2018 6 ### ### ###

2019 7 ### ### ###

2020 8 ### ### ###

2021 9 ### ### ###

2022 10 ### ### ###

2023 11 ### ### ###

2024 12 ### ### ###

2025 13 ### ### ###

2026 14 ### ### ###

2027 15 ### ### ###

PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT Assumptions Minimum Alternative Tax 0% Corporate Tax 40% Repayment of the principal for Debt Amount is not considered in the Profit and Loss Account

2011

2013

2014

2015

0 ### 0 0 0 ### 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 686039

### 0 ### 0 ### ### ###

### 0 ### 0 ### ### ###

### 32500

### 33800

### 35152

TOTAL REVENUES

###

###

###

PROFIT BEFORE DEPRE & TAX DEPRECIATION PROFIT BEFORE TAX Corporate Tax PROFIT AFTER DEPRE & TAX

### ### ###

### ### ###

### ### ###

EXPENDITURES O&M Bridge Perioding Re-surfacing Operating Toll-Plazas Non-Operating Expenses Interest on Senior Debt Interest on Subordinate Debt TOTAL EXPENSES REVENUES Operating Revenues Toll Revenues Advertisement Revenue

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2012

rofit and Loss Account

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

### ### ### 0 ### ### ###

### 0 ### 0 ### ### ###

### 0 ### 0 ### ### ###

### ### ### 0 ### ### ###

### 0 ### 0 ### ### ###

### 0 ### 0 ### ### ###

### ### ### 0 ### ### ###

### 0 ### 0 ### ### ###

### 0 ### 0 0 0 ###

### ### ### 0 0 0 ###

### ###

### ###

### ###

### ###

### ###

### ###

### ###

### ###

### ###

### ###

###

###

###

###

###

###

###

###

###

###

### ### ###

### 178253 ### ### ### ###

### ### ###

### ### ###

### 183508 ### ### ### ###

### ### ### ### ### 840498

### ### ###

2026

2027

### 0 ### 0 0 0 ###

### 0 ### 0 0 0 ###

### ###

### ###

###

###

### ### ###

### ### ###

CASHFLOW AND EIRR Assumptions Method of Depreciation considered for preparing the cash flow is Straight line Method WACC is considered as Discounting rate for Project NPV Cost of Equity is Considered as Discounting rate for Equity NPV

2011 0 Depreciation Initial Investment Cash Flow NPV IRR EQUITY IRR Initial Investment Depreciation (SLM) Principal Repayment Cashflow NPV EIRR

2012 0

2013 1 ###

w is Straight line Method

2014 2 ###

2015 3 ###

2016 4 ###

2017 5 ###

2018 6 ###

2019 7 ###

2020 8 ###

2021 9 ###

2022 10 ###

2023 11 ###

2024 12 ###

2025 13 ###

2026 14 ###

2027 15 ###

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