Early Warning Systems:
Fundamental Component of Disaster Risk Management
By Marzuki Sinambela
Disaster Risk Management Framework Derived from Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015 Governance and Organizational Coordination and Cooperation Risk Identification
Historical hazard data, analysis and changing hazard trends Exposed assets & vulnerability Risk quantification
Risk Reduction
PREPAREDNESS: early warning systems, emergency planning and response capacities MITIGATION AND PREVENTION: Medium to long term sectoral planning (e.g. building resilient infrastructure)
Risk Transfer
CAT insurance CAT bonds Alternative Risk Transfer mechanisms Other emerging products
Information and Knowledge Sharing Education and training
Global Coordination in Hazard Detection and Forecasting to Support Multi-Hazard EWS Global Observing System
Coordinated Satellite System
Global Data Processing and Forecasting System
Global Telecommunication System
Communication and Dissemination
National Meteorological and Hydrological Services
Media
General public
Private sector Government and civil defence authorities
1
What is an Effective EWS?
COORDINATION AMONG NATIONAL SERVICES
k ac b d fee gs n i rn wa
supported by DRR plans, legislation and coordination mechanisms
3
3
3
warnings
Hydrological
Marine Health (etc.)
5
feedback
5
feedback pr ev ac ent tio iv ns e
wa rn in gs
Meteorological
Geological
Community Preparedness
National to local governments
5
2
4
Effective Early Warning Systems National to local disaster risk reduction plans, legislation and coordination mechanisms are critical to ensure emergency planning and response involving 4 technical components
National Example: Cyclone Preparedness Programme in Bangladesh
Analysis of NMHSs’ Capacities, Gaps and Needs related to DRR and EWS 139 National Meteorological and Hydrological Services participated: 1. Assessment of role of NMHSs as reflected in planning, legislation and national DRR coordination mechanisms; 2. Assessment of NMHS' capacities in observing, data management, forecasting and warning services; 3. Capacities to deliver products and services and warnings; 4. Assessment of NMHSs’ cooperation and coordination with other agencies and ministries.
Responses to the WMO Country-Level Survey 44/48 92 %
18/22 82 %
25/34 74 %
10/12 83 %
14/19 74 %
24/52 54 %
139 out of 187 Members (74 %) responded Least developed countries: 25/50 50 %
Developing countries: 85/137 54 %
Status of EWS Projects with Multi-Hazard Approach
South-Eastern Europe, East Asia Caucasus South Asia China (Shanghai)
Central America
South-Eastern Asia South-Eastern Africa
Thank You