Eia 2008 Aeo - Renewable Energy Generating Capacity And Generation

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Report #:DOE/EIA-0383(2008) Release date full report: June 2008 Next release date full report: February 2009

Table 16. Renewable Energy Generating Capacity and Generation (gigawatts, unless otherwise noted)

2005

Electric Power Sector 1/ Net Summer Capacity Conventional Hydropower Geothermal 2/ Municipal Waste 3/ Wood and Other Biomass 4/, 5/ Solar Thermal Solar Photovoltaic 6/ Wind Offshore Wind Total Generation (billion kilowatthours) Conventional Hydropower Geothermal 2/ Biogenic Municipal Waste 7/ Wood and Other Biomass 5/ Dedicated Plants Cofiring Solar Thermal Solar Photovoltaic 6/ Wind Offshore Wind Total End-Use Generators 8/ Net Summer Capacity Conventional Hydropower 9/ Geothermal Municipal Solid Waste Biomass Solar Photovoltaic 6/ Wind Total Generation (billion kilowatthours) Conventional Hydropower 9/

2006

2007

76.72 2.23 3.21 1.96 0.40 0.03 8.92 0.00 93.46

76.72 2.29 3.39 2.01 0.40 0.03 11.50 0.00 96.34

76.72 2.36 3.43 2.18 0.53 0.04 15.90 0.00 101.16

266.91 14.69 12.70 10.57 8.60 1.97 0.54 0.02 17.81 0.00 323.23

285.07 14.84 13.46 10.97 9.06 1.91 0.49 0.01 25.78 0.00 350.62

258.56 16.19 14.50 12.31 10.34 1.97 0.92 0.08 38.12 0.00 340.66

0.71 0.00 0.34 4.72 0.18 0.01 5.96

0.70 0.00 0.35 4.64 0.27 0.04 6.00

0.70 0.00 0.35 4.66 0.45 0.04 6.20

3.46

3.24

3.24

Geothermal Municipal Solid Waste Biomass Solar Photovoltaic 6/ Wind Total

0.00 1.95 28.33 0.28 0.02 34.03

0.00 2.06 28.44 0.43 0.06 34.22

0.00 2.82 28.56 0.72 0.06 35.40

1/ Includes electricity-only and combined heat and power plants whose primary business is to 2/ Includes hydrothermal resources only (hot water and steam). 3/ Includes municipal solid waste, landfill gas, and municipal sewage sludge. Incremental gro is included, although a portion of the municipal solid waste stream contains petroleum-derived p 4/ Facilities co-firing biomass and coal are classified as coal. 5/ Includes projections for energy crops after 2012. 6/ Does not include off-grid photovoltaics (PV). Based on annual PV shipments from 1989 thro generation PV applications (i.e., off-grid power systems) were in service in 2005, plus an additio non-grid-connected, specialized applications. See Energy Information Administration, Annual En Table 10.8 (annual PV shipments, 1989-2005). The approach used to develop the estimate, bas stock, including both grid-based and off-grid PV. It will overestimate the size of the stock, becau and each year some of the PV units installed earlier will be retired from service or abandoned. 7/ Includes biogenic municipal solid waste, landfill gas, and municipal sewage sludge. Increm municipal waste is included. The Energy Information Administration estimates approximately 7 stream containing petroleum-derived plastics and other non-renewable sources. See Energy Inf to Biogenic and Nono-Biogenic Energy, (Washington, DC, May 2007). 8/ Includes combined heat and power plants and electricity-only plants in the commercial and commercial, and industrial sectors used primarily for own-use generation, but which may also se 9/ Represents own-use industrial hydroelectric power. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2005 Sources: 2005 and 2006 capacity: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Form EIA-860, "A Annual Energy Review 2006, DOE/EIA-0384(2006) (Washington, DC, June 2007). Projections: E

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

76.73 2.40 3.44 2.20 0.54 0.05 20.21 0.00 105.57

76.73 2.42 3.44 2.20 0.54 0.06 20.61 0.00 106.01

76.73 2.50 3.99 2.20 0.54 0.07 25.61 0.00 111.63

77.02 2.63 3.99 2.20 0.54 0.08 27.26 0.00 113.72

77.02 2.73 3.99 2.20 0.63 0.09 27.78 0.00 114.43

77.15 2.78 3.99 2.20 0.71 0.11 28.50 0.00 115.43

77.15 2.83 3.99 2.46 0.79 0.12 29.03 0.00 116.37

267.99 16.82 14.53 12.84 10.88 1.95 1.13 0.11 49.91 0.00 363.32

282.86 17.03 14.54 13.11 11.03 2.08 1.14 0.14 56.84 0.00 385.66

289.47 17.52 18.85 22.98 11.06 11.92 1.15 0.16 74.13 0.00 424.27

296.28 18.61 18.85 21.92 11.64 10.28 1.16 0.19 79.38 0.00 436.38

296.30 19.60 18.85 26.89 11.62 15.27 1.42 0.22 81.08 0.00 444.36

297.19 20.00 18.85 31.87 11.62 20.26 1.69 0.25 83.44 0.00 453.29

297.20 20.39 18.85 37.32 13.52 23.80 1.96 0.29 85.20 0.00 461.20

0.70 0.00 0.35 4.68 0.57 0.04 6.34

0.70 0.00 0.35 4.68 0.60 0.04 6.38

0.70 0.00 0.35 4.89 0.67 0.04 6.65

0.70 0.00 0.35 5.03 0.68 0.04 6.80

0.70 0.00 0.35 5.12 0.69 0.04 6.91

0.70 0.00 0.35 5.77 0.71 0.04 7.57

0.70 0.00 0.35 6.19 0.72 0.04 8.00

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

0.00 2.82 28.63 0.92 0.06 35.67

0.00 2.82 28.69 0.96 0.06 35.77

0.00 2.82 29.98 1.07 0.06 37.17

0.00 2.82 30.79 1.09 0.06 38.01

0.00 2.82 31.40 1.11 0.06 38.63

0.00 2.82 36.16 1.13 0.06 43.41

0.00 2.82 39.22 1.16 0.06 46.50

mary business is to sell electricity, or electricity and heat, to the public.

e. Incremental growth is assumed to be for landfill gas facilities. All municipal solid waste petroleum-derived plastics and other non-renewable sources.

ents from 1989 through 2005, EIA estimates that as much as 192 megawatts of remote electricity 005, plus an additional 481 megawatts in communications, transportation, and assorted other nistration, Annual Energy Review 2006, DOE/EIA-0384(2006) (Washington, DC, June 2007), op the estimate, based on shipment data, provides an upper estimate of the size of the PV e of the stock, because shipments include a substantial number of units that are exported, ice or abandoned. age sludge. Incremental growth is assumed to be for landfill gas facilities. Only biogenic es approximately 7 billion kilowatthours of electricity were generated from a municipal waste ces. See Energy Information Administration, Methodology for Allocating Municipal Solid Waste

he commercial and industrial sectors; and small on-site generating systems in the residential, ut which may also sell some power to the grid.

ing. Data for 2005 and 2006 are model results and may differ slightly from official EIA data reports. A), Form EIA-860, "Annual Electric Generator Report" (preliminary). 2005 and 2006 generation: EIA, 07). Projections: EIA, AEO2008 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2008.d030208f.

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

77.15 2.88 3.99 2.74 0.80 0.14 29.63 0.00 117.32

77.15 2.90 3.99 3.16 0.80 0.15 30.08 0.00 118.21

77.15 2.98 3.99 3.32 0.80 0.17 30.75 0.00 119.15

77.26 3.03 3.99 3.61 0.81 0.18 31.13 0.00 120.01

77.26 3.14 3.99 4.18 0.81 0.20 31.73 0.00 121.31

77.26 3.28 4.02 4.39 0.82 0.22 33.64 0.00 123.62

77.26 3.33 4.02 4.46 0.82 0.23 34.03 0.00 124.15

297.22 20.79 18.85 42.96 15.46 27.51 1.97 0.32 87.19 0.00 469.30

297.24 20.93 18.85 52.17 18.90 33.27 1.99 0.36 88.65 0.00 480.18

297.25 21.58 18.85 56.06 20.26 35.80 2.00 0.40 90.89 0.00 487.03

297.96 22.00 18.85 65.38 22.68 42.71 2.01 0.43 92.16 0.00 498.80

297.98 22.82 18.85 71.80 26.77 45.04 2.02 0.48 94.15 0.00 508.11

298.00 23.96 19.08 77.53 27.74 49.79 2.04 0.52 101.23 0.00 522.35

298.01 24.34 19.08 78.16 27.78 50.38 2.05 0.56 102.52 0.00 524.72

0.70 0.00 0.35 6.44 0.77 0.05 8.31

0.70 0.00 0.35 6.70 0.83 0.05 8.63

0.70 0.00 0.35 7.01 0.89 0.06 9.01

0.70 0.00 0.35 7.36 0.96 0.07 9.44

0.70 0.00 0.35 7.88 1.04 0.08 10.05

0.70 0.00 0.35 8.57 1.13 0.09 10.85

0.70 0.00 0.35 9.54 1.23 0.11 11.92

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

0.00 2.82 41.03 1.25 0.06 48.41

te electricity ed other

al waste id Waste

sidential,

A data reports. eneration: EIA,

0.00 2.82 42.89 1.34 0.07 50.36

0.00 2.82 45.14 1.44 0.08 52.73

0.00 2.82 47.65 1.56 0.10 55.37

0.00 2.82 51.57 1.69 0.11 59.44

0.00 2.82 57.00 1.85 0.13 65.05

0.00 2.82 64.77 2.01 0.15 73.00

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

77.26 3.43 4.03 4.54 0.83 0.25 34.33 0.00 124.67

77.26 3.56 4.03 4.59 0.83 0.27 35.27 0.00 125.81

77.26 3.66 4.06 4.70 0.83 0.29 36.18 0.00 126.98

77.26 3.77 4.06 4.84 0.84 0.30 37.18 0.00 128.26

77.26 3.86 4.06 4.99 0.84 0.32 37.56 0.00 128.91

77.26 3.95 4.06 5.08 0.85 0.34 37.82 0.00 129.37

77.26 4.03 4.06 5.12 0.85 0.36 39.41 0.00 131.09

298.03 25.14 19.20 78.57 28.64 49.93 2.07 0.61 103.58 0.00 527.20

298.05 26.17 19.20 80.52 29.06 51.45 2.08 0.65 106.71 0.00 533.38

298.07 26.99 19.43 81.43 29.87 51.55 2.10 0.70 109.70 0.00 538.41

298.09 27.84 19.46 83.30 30.98 52.32 2.11 0.74 113.14 0.00 544.68

298.11 28.57 19.46 83.41 32.19 51.22 2.13 0.78 114.46 0.00 546.93

298.13 29.29 19.47 83.78 32.85 50.93 2.14 0.83 115.33 0.00 548.97

298.16 29.87 19.47 84.96 33.26 51.70 2.15 0.87 120.72 0.00 556.20

0.70 0.00 0.35 10.65 1.34 0.12 13.17

0.70 0.00 0.35 11.05 1.47 0.14 13.70

0.70 0.00 0.35 11.59 1.61 0.15 14.41

0.70 0.00 0.35 12.21 1.77 0.17 15.20

0.70 0.00 0.35 12.56 1.94 0.19 15.73

0.70 0.00 0.35 12.65 2.12 0.20 16.02

0.70 0.00 0.35 12.73 2.33 0.22 16.33

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

3.24

0.00 2.82 73.76 2.21 0.18 82.21

0.00 2.82 76.42 2.43 0.20 85.11

0.00 2.82 80.29 2.69 0.22 89.26

0.00 2.82 84.74 2.97 0.24 94.02

0.00 2.82 87.18 3.26 0.27 96.77

0.00 2.82 87.71 3.58 0.30 97.64

0.00 2.82 88.18 3.93 0.32 98.49

2029

2030

20062030

77.32 4.08 4.06 5.20 0.86 0.37 39.66 0.00 131.55

77.32 4.18 4.06 5.58 0.86 0.39 40.15 0.00 132.54

0.0% 2.5% 0.8% 4.3% 3.2% 11.2% 5.3% -1.3%

298.51 30.27 19.47 84.88 33.86 51.02 2.17 0.92 121.53 0.00 557.74

298.53 31.05 19.47 82.55 36.64 45.91 2.18 0.96 123.18 0.00 557.91

0.2% 3.1% 1.6% 8.8% 6.0% 14.2% 6.4% 19.6% 6.7% -2.0%

0.70 0.00 0.35 12.80 2.55 0.24 16.65

0.70 0.00 0.35 12.88 2.80 0.26 17.00

0.0% -0.0% 4.3% 10.2% 8.0% 4.4%

3.24

3.24

0.0%

0.00 2.82 88.60 4.33 0.35 99.34

0.00 2.82 89.06 4.76 0.38 100.26

-1.3% 4.9% 10.6% 8.3% 4.6%

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