ANALYSIS OF EXTERNAL INFLUENCE
SESSION 2: Dr. Sasmita Palo TISS, Mumbai
Today's agenda ØWhat is the external environment? ØKey components of external environment ØAnalysis of external environment ØTechniques of scanning of general environment ØPEST Analysis ØSWOT Analysis ØCASE STUDY ANALYSIS
• What is external environment?
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A Copernican view of the Organisation.
The Copernican Universe
A Copernican view of the Organisation.
A Ptolemaic view
Alternative Models of Superior Returns The I/O Model: Porter, Rumelt Industrial Organization model suggests that above-average returns for any firm are largely determined by characteristics outside the firm. The
Resource-based Model of AboveAverage Returns:barney, Wernerfelt 1. Firm’s Resources
The Firm
1. Strategy dictated by the firm’s unique resources and capabilities 2. Find an environment in which to exploit these assets (where 7
Alignment of Firm-Strategy-Environment
I/O model –External Analysis --What might
Alignment/ ”Fit” Integrat ion
Environme nt Competitive Arena Social, Political,
Strategy Position ing Intent, Mission, Core Strategy, Goals, Effectiveness
Economic,
Resource-Based Model --Internal Analysis
FIRM Core Competencies Resources & Capabilities Valuable, rare, hard to imitate
Technological, Industry Forces
Leadership, Governance
Value chain, culture, control systems 8
External Analysis: Identification of Opportunities Opportunities
Threats
Layers of the Business Environment
Components of EXTERNAL Analysis
• • • •
Scanning: collecting information Monitoring: detecting the trend Forecasting: anticipating the future Assessing: impact on the firm
What is Environmental Scanning Environmental scanning is the acquisition and use of information about various events in an organization's external environment, the knowledge of which would assist management in planning the organization's future course of action.
Objectives Of An Environmental Scanning System detecting scientific, technical, economic, social, and political trends and events important to the institution, defining the potential threats, opportunities, or changes for the institution implied by those trends and events, and
env. scanning is an important component of the organization's strategic planning process, improving the org 's ability to react to and implement change in response to external factors.
• • • •
Competitor intelligence Competitive intelligence Business intelligence Environmental scanning
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External Audit Techniques • PESTEL • SWOT Analysis
Macro-environment – PESTEL
POLITICAL/ GOVERNMENT political stability and risk political climate - amount of government activity Political party in power and its philosophy
Economy
GNP or GDP per capita GNP or GDP growth unemployment rate inflation rate consumer and investor confidence Disposable income currency exchange rates trading partners balance of payments government debt budget deficit or surplus future trends
Socio-Cultural
demographic factors such as:
population size and distribution age distribution education levels income levels ethnic origins religious affiliations
attitudes towards:
materialism, capitalism, free enterprise individualism, role of family, role of government, collectivism role of religion consumerism environmentalism importance of work, pride of accomplishment
cultural structures including:
diet and nutrition housing conditions
Technology
efficiency of infrastructure, including: roads, ports, airports, hospitals, education, healthcare, communication, etc. industrial productivity new manufacturing processes new products and services of competitors new products and services of supply chain partners any new technology that could impact the company cost and accessibility of electrical power
Ecology Environmental laws ecological concerns that affect
o the firms production processes o customers' buying habits o customers' perception of the company or product
LEGAL Industrial laws Labour laws corporate and personal tax rates payroll taxes import tariffs and quotas export restrictions restrictions on international financial flows
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Key Aspects of PESTEL • Not just a list of influences • Need to understand key drivers of change • Focus is on future impact of environmental factors • Combined effect of some of the factors likely to be most important
Issues Priority Matrix Probable Impact on Corporation Medium
Low
High Priority
High Priority
Medium Priority
High Priority
Medium Priority
Low Priority
Medium Priority
Low Priority
Low Priority
Medium Low
Probability of Occurrence
High
High
Issues Priority Matrix Probable Impact on Corporation Medium
Low
High Priority
High Priority
Medium Priority
High Priority
Medium Priority
Low Priority
Medium Priority
Low Priority
Low Priority
Medium Low
Probability of Occurrence
High
High
Internal Audit Techniques: SWOT (1) • After an environmental scan, a SWOT will help analyze your results
Internal Environment l Strengths
Weaknesses
External Environment l Opportunities
Threats
The SWOT analysis
The SWOT analysis
External Factor Analysis Summary (EFAS) External Factors Opportunities
Weight 1
2
Ratin g
Weighted Score 3
4
Comment s
Threats
Total Weighted Score 1 .00 Notes: 1. List opportunities and threats (5–10 each) in column 1. 2. Weight each factor from 1.0 (Most Important) to 0.0 (Not Important) in Column 2 based on that factor’s probable impact on the company’s strategic position. The total weights must sum to 1.00. 3. Rate each factor from 5 (Outstanding) to 1 (Poor) in Column 3 based on the company’s response to that factor. 4. Multiply each factor’s weight times its rating to obtain each factor’s weighted score in Column 4. 5. Use Column 5 (comments) for rationale used for each factor. 6. Add the weighted scores to obtain the total weighted score for the company in Column 4. This tells how well the company is responding to the strategic factors in its external environment. A weighted score of 3.0 means average performance. Source: T. L. Wheelen and J. D. Hunger, “External Strategic Factors Analysis Summary (EFAS).” Copyright © 1991 by Wheelen and Hunger Associates. Reprinted by permission.
Internal Factor Analysis Summary (IFAS) Internal Factors Strengths
Weight 1
2
Ratin g
Weighted Score 3
4
Comment s
Weaknesses
Total Weighted Score 1 .00 Notes: 1. List st and wea(5–10 each) in column 1. 2. Weight each factor from 1.0 (Most Important) to 0.0 (Not Important) in Column 2 based on that relevance of the factor to the company’s strategic position. The total weights must sum to 1.00. 3. Rate each factor from 5 (Outstanding) to 1 (Poor) in Column 3 based on the company’s response to that factor. 4. Multiply each factor’s weight times its rating to obtain each factor’s weighted score in Column 4. 5. Use Column 5 (comments) for rationale used for each factor. 6. Add the weighted scores to obtain the total weighted score for the company in Column 4. This tells how well the company is responding to the strategic factors in its external environment A weighted score of 3.0 means average performance.. Source: T. L. Wheelen and J. D. Hunger, “External Strategic Factors Analysis Summary (EFAS).” Copyright © 1991 by Wheelen and Hunger Associates. Reprinted by permission.
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IE Matrix • Based on two key dimensions – The IFE total weighted scores on the x-axis – The EFE total weighted scores on the y-axis • Divided into three major regions – Grow and build – Cells I, II, or IV – Hold and maintain – Cells III, V, or VII – Harvest or divest – Cells VI, VIII, or IX
• grow and build : market penetration, market development, and product development) or integrative (backward integration, forward integration, and horizontal integration) (intensive strategy) • hold and maintain - Market penetration and product development • harvest or divest - Liquidations, retrenchment and divestiture ( defensive strategy)
The Ansoff Matrix The Product/Market direction of the firm can be • • • •
modelled around the Ansoff Matrix. It identifies four basic business strategies for the firm: Market Penetration Market Development Product Development Diversification
The Ansoff Matrix
Produc Market Prese nt New
Present New Market Penetration Consolidation Contraction Market Development
Product Development
Diversification
Market Penetration Objective of this strategy is to increase market share. This is done in the following ways: • Increase the number of users – attract users from competitors – convert non-users into users • Increase the frequency of purchase • Increase the volume of product purchased
Product Development This strategy is aimed at creating new products aimed at existing customers. Possibilities are: • Product reformulation strategies • Product quality improvement • Product line extensions • Product feature enhancements • “New” product development
Market Development The strategy here is to increase the sales of present products by tapping new markets: Two Approaches: • Geographic market expansion • Using new distribution channels to reach un served customers
Diversification - Types Two basic types of diversification can be identified: • Concentric Diversification: diversification into related business areas q Vertical integration n Full integration (100% suppliers +controls distributors) n Taper integration (<50% supplies; use own and external distribution channels) n Quasi-integration (buy/sell from outside suppliers/distributors that under its partial control) n Long-term contract q Backward integration q Forward integration • Conglomerate Diversification: diversification into unrelated business areas
Examples ....
Integration: Backwards to sources of supply
Vertical Integration Strategy Forwards to the customer
“ Diversification is a strategic move into a new product/market activity that requires the development of new competencies or the augmentation of existing ones. “
Harvest strategy: Limits investment and optimizes cash flow. Divestiture: Company exits the industry by selling out early to others, avoiding liquidation. Daimler Chrysler selling Chrysler after a failed merger Liquidation - Arthur Andersen after conviction for evidence destruction which was later overturned. Retrenchment - specific examples in the construction industry due to the collapse of the housing market
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SWOT Matrix Four Types of Strategies §Strengths-Opportunities (SO) §Weaknesses-Opportunities (WO) §Strengths-Threats (ST) §Weaknesses-Threats (WT)
SO Strategies
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats SWOT
SO Strategies
Use a firm’s internal strengths to take advantage of external opportunities
WO Strategies
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats SWOT
WO Strategies
Improving internal weaknesses by taking advantage of external opportunities
ST Strategies
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats SWOT
ST Strategies
Use a firm’s strengths to avoid or reduce the impact of external threats
WT Strategies
Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats SWOT
WT Strategies
Defensive tactics aimed at reducing internal weaknesses & avoiding environmental threats
SWOT Matrix
COMPETITVE ADVANTAGES OF A NATION
Porter’s Diamond • PESTEL factors differ from country to country –their competitive impact will differ from country to country • Porter’s (1990) suggests reasons why some countries are more competitive than others
Porter’s Diamond Model: The Determinants of National
Source: M. Porter, Competitive Advantage of Nations, Macmillan, 1990.
Porter’s Diamond • Factor conditions – Education, infrastructure, cash, e.g., Taiwan
• Demand Conditions, e.g., Japanese demand for quality. • Firm Strategy, Structure & Rivalry. • Supporting Industries, e.g Italy, leather, Silicon Valley computer related industry
Strength of interaction • Industry clustering • Geographical location
What is competitiveness? • competitiveness as the set of institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of productivity of a country. • The level of productivity, in turn, sets the sustainable level of prosperity that can be earned by an economy.
Nation’s level of competitiveness • A nation’s level of competitiveness reflects the extent to which it is able to provide rising prosperity to its citizens.
12 pillars of • First pillar: Institutions- framework within which individuals, firms, and governments interact to generate income and wealth in the economy. It includes • Ways in which societies distribute the benefits • Influences investment decisions and the organization of production. • Government attitudes toward markets and freedoms and the efficiency of its operations, excessive bureaucracy and red tape, overregulation, corruption, dishonesty in dealing • with public contracts, lack of transparency and trustworthiness, or the political dependence of the judicial system • Role of private institutions, - accounting and reporting standards and transparency for preventing fraud and mismanagement, ensuring good governance, and
Second pillar: Infrastructure • Well developed infrastructure • quality and extensiveness of infrastructure networks such as quality roads, railroads, ports, and air transport • electricity supplies • solid and extensive telecommunications network
Third pillar: Macroeconomic stability • Inflation rate • interest payments on its past debts.
Fourth pillar: Health and primary education • quantity and quality of basic education received by the population • Health services provided
Fifth pillar: Higher education and training • measures secondary and tertiary enrollment rates • the quality of education as assessed by the business community. • The extent of staff training importance of vocational and continuous on-the-job training
Sixth pillar: Goods market efficiency • Healthy market competition • government intervention in form of distortionary or burdensome taxes, and by restrictive and discriminatory rules on foreign ownership or foreign direct investment (FDI). • demand conditions such as customer orientation and buyer sophistication
Seventh pillar: Labor market efficiency • Flexibility in the labour market • clear relationship between worker incentives and their efforts, as well as the best use of available talent — which includes equity in the business environment between women and men.
Eighth pillar: Financial market • capital available for private-sector investment from such sources as loans from a sound banking sector, well-regulated securities exchanges, venture capital, and other financial products. • ensuring that innovators with good ideas have the financial resources to turn those ideas into commercially viable products and services. • the banking sector needs to be trustworthy and transparent.
• Ninth pillar: Technological readiness • Tenth pillar: Market size • Eleventh pillar: Business sophistication (quality of a country’s business networks and supporting industries, which can be captured by using variables on the quantity and quality of local suppliers and the extent of their
12 pillars of
United States - 1 Switzerland ------2 Denmark 3 Sweden 4 Singapore 5 Finland 6 Germany 7 Netherlands 8 Japan 9 Canada 10 Hong Kong SAR 11 United Kingdom 12 Korea, Rep. 13 Austria 14 Norway 15 France
CAGE FRAMEWORK
Competitor Analysis • What the competitor is doing and can do, as revealed by its current strategy • What the competitor believes about itself and the industry, as shown by its assumptions • What the competitor’s capabilities are, as shown by its capabilities (its strengths and weaknesses)
Competitor Analysis Components