China VC Market Update
iD TechVentures (iDT) April 16, 2009
Table of Content • Top 10 VC, 2008 (by ChinaVentures) • Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) • Macro Economy in China • RMB Investment & Local Stock Market • China VC 10 Years
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Top 10 VC, 2008 (by ChinaVentures) VC Organization
Score of Exit Case
Score of Exit Value
Score of Weighted ROI
Score of Weighted IRR
Score of Deal Flow Capability
Score of Portfolio Mgmt
Score of Team Stability
Total Score
Ranking in 2007
1
Shenzhen VC
10
4
10
6
9
5
8
7.05
5
2
SAIF
4
10
6
4
10
6
9
5.66
1
3
Legend Capital
6
8
4
2
10
8
10
5.46
2
4
Fortune VC
2
10
8
2
9
7
8
5.36
50
5
iD TechVentures Inc.
4
4
4
6
5
6
10
5.30
20
6
Oriental Fortune
2
2
10
8
4
3
4
5.25
-
7
China Science & Merchants
2
2
10
8
3
3
4
5.15
-
8
Orchid Asia
6
10
4
2
8
8
8
5.07
23
9
IDGVC
2
2
8
2
10
3
9
4.99
3
10
Cowin
6
4
4
8
4
3
4
4.45
-
Ranking
Full report in Chinese: http://events.chinaventure.com.cn/sh2009/cvawards/list_2.html
Top 50 VC, 2008 (by ChinaVentures) Rank 2008
VC
Rank 2007
Rank 2008
VC
Rank 2007
1
Shenzhen VC
5
11
Intel Capital
9
2
SAIF
1
12
Sequoia
4
3
Legend Capital
2
13
SIG Asia
6
4
Fortune VC
50
14
Sino Wisdom
-
5
iD TechVentures
20
15
AsiaVest
27
6
Oriental Fortune Capital
-
16
JAFCO Asia
18
7
China Science & Merchants Investment
-
17
Green Pine Capital
30
8
Orchid Asia
23
18
Morningside
29
9
IDG VC
3
19
Northern Light
16
10
Cowin Capital
-
20
Shenzhen GTJA
-
Top 10 VC, 2008 (by ChinaVentures)
3
Top 50 VC, 2008 (by ChinaVentures) Rank 2008
VC
Rank 2007
Rank 2008
VC
Rank 2007
21
China Renaissance
7
36
Orica Capital
-
22
DCM
41
37
Infotech Pacific
33
23
Fidelity
13
38
Jiuding Capital
-
24
CDH VC
8
39
ZSVC
-
25
NewMargin
10
40
BlueRun
28
26
Tsinghua VC
17
41
SoftBank China
34
27
DT Capital
15
42
CID
45
28
KPCB China
21
43
Govtor
11
29
LIghtSpeed
36
44
Suzhou VC
19
30
Qiming VC
24
45
GGV
32
31
Capital Today
25
46
DFJ Dragon
48
32
GSR
22
47
Matrix
47
33
Chengwei
14
48
Top Bridge
-
34
Silicon Paradise
44
49
CDF Capital
-
35
Walden International
12
50
Huaou
-
Top 10 VC, 2008 (by ChinaVentures)
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Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) •
•
•
After 10 years since the inception of the idea, the Provisional Administrative Measures for Initial Public Offerings and Listing on the GEM (the “Measures”) was finally published on March 30th, and will take effect on May 1. Criteria of listing on GEM: (source: Xinhua, March 31, 2009) – Be profitable for consecutive 2 years with combined profits of at least RMB10 million – Be profitable of at least RMB 5 millions for the most recent year on revenues of at least RMB 50 millions and annual revenue growth rate of at least 30% in recent two years. – Net asset of at least RMB20M – Been in operation for more than 3 years – Innovative business model with potential of high growth rate China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is still the central authority to approve any IPO on GEM but it will invite more outside experts to review the applicants’ qualification.
Growth Enterprise Market (GEM)
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Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) • The Measures is the first step. There are still a lot of work to do before official launch. GEM still need more related regulations, for example, list of application forms and material required; the methodology of pricing…etc. It also takes time to train underwriters, lawyers, and accounting firm. • If the whole system is ready in May or June, considering that the lead time of examining the application is at least 3 months, the earliest IPO on GEM will be August. CSRC estimated at least 8 companies will be the first pioneer group. • Currently, about 300 companies are qualified and preparing for list on GEM
Growth Enterprise Market (GEM)
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Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) • In the past, many new companies or start-ups which have very creative business model and high potential to grow cannot go IPO on the main board due to their revenue / profit do not meet the criteria. This situation more or less strangles VC’s interest in these companies and cause the company suffering from capital shortage. • GEM could be a Nasdaq-like market, spiriting up VC community, enterprises, capital market and local investors. • GEM could further improve the onshore divestment and encourage offshore investors get involved in RMB investment. • GEM is just an initial step of a long journey for local VC investors. Before local VC environment further improve, China VC will still be contributed by offshore funding and dominated by foreign VCs.
Growth Enterprise Market (GEM)
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Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) • GEM will NOT make A-share market less attractive or distract capital from A-share. The reasons are: – GEM is more appropriate for SMEs. Qualified companies are not competent on A-share. – A company can raise only about RMB100~300M on GEM. If there are 100 listed companies on GEM, the capital raised is only RMB10 billion to 30 billion, which will be just equal to the capital raised by a big corporation on A-share main board. – The scale of capital-raised on GEM is only 60% of Shenzhen SME – Hence, different stock markets serve different target company. They are not competitors.
Growth Enterprise Market (GEM)
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Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) •
New GEM launch and future listing still come with potential risks, mainly on following six areas: (Source: http://news.xinhuanet.com/fortune/200904/01/content_11110061.htm )
•
– Operation: These companies are still at expansion stage. It’s business model and profitability are still under test. – Integrity: How real are the information and material disclosed by the company? – Price fluctuation: A company’s scale is smaller so the price is easily manipulated. – Technology: It’s hard to identify the marketability of new technology – “Blind investors”: Investors might create a hype and make GEM become another “bubble” due to not well understand the new technology – Underwriters: The underwriter might beautify an unqualified company to IPO. GEM board is not panacea. In short term, both enterprises and investors may just wait-and-see. GEM’s liquidity, valuation, and case quality will be examined after launch.
Growth Enterprise Market (GEM)
9
Current Macro Economy •
•
Chinese government has a 4-trillion stimulus plan to help the economy. The plan will be fully executed within 2 years. 4 trillions are 16% of China’s total GDP. The stimulus plan covers 6 areas: 1) Infrastructure in rural regions; 2) Overall infrastructure including railway, airport…etc.; 3) Education, health, and other social issues; 4) Environmental protection; 5)Technical renovation; 6) Recovering work in the earthquake areas (source:FJKX (东 南在线 ), March 6, 2009)
•
• •
The government also disclosed revitalization plans for 10 industries including iron & steel, automobile, textile industry, equipment manufacture, ship, electronic information, light industry, petrifaction industry, nonferrous metal, and logistics. Among the 10 industries, equipment manufacture, logistics and electronic information are already VCs’ focuses. The 4-trillion stimulus plan is expected to bring new investment opportunity for VC industry. Macro Economy in China
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Outlook of Macro Economy • China has been forecasted to be the first major economy to recover from the global meltdown. The reasons: (source: China Economics, by Merrill Lynch, 10 Feb. 2009)
– Massive FX reserves – Low debt levels ensure financial institutions have enough capital to support enterprises. – Current account surplus – Economy is mainly driven by domestic demand, instead of external demand: China is still during the process of industrialization, market-oriented, and urbanization. The consumer based is continuously enlarging. Comparing with the U.S., personal consumption still accounts lower percentage and has big potential to become the boost of economy situation. Hence, the impact from contraction of China’s export is limited.
Macro Economy in China
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Outlook of Macro Economy • Some other indicators are showing light at the end of the tunnel. – Shanghai A Share market have been on the rise, from as low as 1800 points last November to 2,439 as of April 7th, 2009. – Export slightly bounced back in March. – PMI in Feb has been in the lifting mode for 3 consecutive months. (source: www.shihua.com.cn (世华财讯))
• In 2009, China could contribute half of world’s growth. Comparing with the U.S., Europe and Japan, China is very strong to survive this cold market. China has confidence to achieve keep 8% GDP growth rate • After the financial crisis, China will emerge as a stronger player in the global economies.
Macro Economy in China
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RMB Onshore Investment • During 2008, US$1.4 billion was invested into RMB deals, up more than 247% from 2007. • New regulation releases the right of approving RMB fund set by join venture of local and foreign VCs from Ministry of Commerce to local provincial authority. • Qualified RMB LPs are still not sufficient on the market. • We expect RMB investment will surpass USD investment in the long run.
RMB Investment & Local Stock Market 13
Local Stock Market • Since Sept 18, 2008, there was no new IPO on A-share and Shenzhen SME board. • VCs see a light of hope of IPO market from the listing of Singyes (iDT’s portfolio) on the main board of HKSE (Zero2IPO 3Weekly, 2009-01-06) • Until March 3, all 273 companies on Shenzhen SME board unveiled their financial performance last year: Approximately 60% have profit growth comparing with 2007, about 30% with lower profit than 2007 and less than 10% is loss.
RMB Investment & Local Stock Market 14
China VC 10 Years (1999-2008) VC Investment CAGR: +25% in investment amount (US$M) + 9% in the number of cases
No. of Inv.
Inv. amount
* Source: Zero2IPO research center China VC 10 Years
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China VC 10 Years (1999-2008) No. of Inv. Cases : 3,176
Cleantech, 163, 5%
Investment Amount: US$15B Not Disclose, 1310, 9%
Not Disclose, 304, 10%
Cleantech, 806, 5% Bio / Health, 987, 7%
Bio / Health, 246, 8%
Broad IT, 1683, 53%
Service, 293, 9%
Traditional, 487, 15%
Service, 1847, 12%
Traditional , 2158, 14%
• After 2006, the investment in broad IT has been decling in terms of number of investment and investment amount • The investment allocation in Broad IT in 2008 was only 38% and 36% in terms of number of investment and investment amount
* Source: Zero2IPO research center China VC 10 Years
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Broad IT, 7905, 53%
China VC 10 Years (1999-2008) Market Value of VC-Sponsored Companies has surpassed US$80B
No. IPO sponsored by VC
Overseas Market
Domestic Market
Market Value of VC Sponsored (US$B) * Source: Zero2IPO research center China VC 10 Years
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China VC 10 Years (1999-2008) Comparison of Fund Raising between Foreign VC and Domestic VC
New Domestic Fund
New Foreign Fund
New Foreign Fund * Source: Zero2IPO research center China VC 10 Years
18
New Domestic Fund
USD Million
Thank You
Contact Window: Hanne Chen Investor Relations email:
[email protected] Tel: +886 2 3518 3902
HuiHui-ju Chen Investor Relations email:
[email protected] Tel: +886 2 3518 3903 19
Disclaimer: The content contained in this presentation has been prepared based on current information available. These are outcomes dependant on future events, and under no circumstances can they be treated as commitments by iD TechVentures. TechVentures.
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