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Background 0 BP Amoco investment of 34.1% in AIOC developing oil fields 0 0 0 0 0 0
in the Azerbaijani Sector. Completed $ 1.9 Billion (Escalated from $1 Billion) Early oil Project ± 100,000 BPD. BP ± General Corporate Finance. Amoco ±Finance through two multilateral Agencies. Full Field Development project comprised of three stage. Investment needed of about $ 8 - $ 10 Billion. Estimated Reserves of 4.5 to 5 Billion Barrels. Stage 1 capital expenditure to start within a year.
Background Cont͙ 0 9ewly Formed Azerbaijan. 0 9ew & Untested Constitution. 0 Declining Oil Reserves (Reserve Risk) ± 70% 0 0 0 0
8%. Political Instability, High Unemployment Rate, Oil dependent Economy. 9ot so peaceful neighbors (Russia & Iran). Geo Politically Challenging Territory. MEP (Main export Pipeline) Feasible only when proven reserves of 6 billion Barrels. Ã&'(')''#* ) Ã
roject Risks Ú + # )'#) , Ú - ./ )# ' , Ú /0)'##'' 1)# '#' 2 #, Ú 3 ( , Æ Ú * ) # #'# 4 ), Ú /) # 22 )#'2 ) ' # # #) , Ú 5 ' 5'/0-,
roject Risks Cont͙ Ú # '#' '# '' '# )#. )'' )# , Ú 6 2- 0()' '## ) . ) ) ', Ú # #') '), Ú 6 2'5 52'# '' ' '
, Ú - .'' )- , Ú /0( ( ' '2 2 )'' )#, Ú & '# # ) ), ) #'78 ' ( '278 5 #, Ú ')'/)''(59 $95
ssues M ' 2 )')': ' )#'2 ' #' # ' ), 2 { -2 ) #'#'( )''22, ' ; #'"/5 )'# ' </0: # ' ( /*.=-3, ¬
¯ecision Options ʹ Cost Benefit Analysis ¬ &'('* )*##2 #3#' ' )Ã 8,> ' )* ), { ##'( '2 '' 2, { # 2 ' '# )# , ¯ 6 ')#'#, & )''25,
¯ecision Options ʹ Cost Benefit Analysis $,'2' ' ' * ), { '( )''22, { ? ) #'22, ¯ "#' )''222' ' 5 , 6)'' '#, 3 ' )2' 2 2 ) ,
¯ecision Options ʹ Cost Benefit Analysis ²,3#* ) 2 { -# ## )''22, { -# ## '))#2, 3 & 2' ' 5 '2 ' , 0 5 2 22 )#' # 2 5# ) ',
Conclusion 0 > #2 ) '2)'
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