Bp Amoco (b)

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Background 0 BP Amoco investment of 34.1% in AIOC developing oil fields 0 0 0 0 0 0

in the Azerbaijani Sector. Completed $ 1.9 Billion (Escalated from $1 Billion) Early oil Project ± 100,000 BPD. BP ± General Corporate Finance. Amoco ±Finance through two multilateral Agencies. Full Field Development project comprised of three stage. Investment needed of about $ 8 - $ 10 Billion. Estimated Reserves of 4.5 to 5 Billion Barrels. Stage 1 capital expenditure to start within a year.

Background Cont͙ 0 9ewly Formed Azerbaijan. 0 9ew & Untested Constitution. 0 Declining Oil Reserves (Reserve Risk) ± 70% 0 0 0 0

8%. Political Instability, High Unemployment Rate, Oil dependent Economy. 9ot so peaceful neighbors (Russia & Iran). Geo Politically Challenging Territory. MEP (Main export Pipeline) Feasible only when proven reserves of 6 billion Barrels. Ã&'(›')''#*  )  Ã

›roject Risks ›   Ú     +   #   )'#)     , Ú - ./ )#   '   , Ú /0)'##'' 1)#  '#' 2 #, Ú 3  (   , Æ    Ú *  ) #  #'# 4   ), Ú /)   # 22 )#'2  ) ' # #  #) , Ú 5   '  5'/0-,

›roject Risks Cont͙ •      Ú › # ' #' '# '' '#  ) #. )'' ) # , Ú 6 2- 0()' '## ) .  ) )  ', Ú › #  #') ') , Ú 6  2'5 52'# '' ' '

 ,     Ú - .'' › )- , Ú /›0(  ( '   ' 2 2    )'' ) #, Ú & '#  #  )  ),› ) #'78 '  ( '278  5 #, Ú ›')'/)''(59 $95

ssues M ' 2  )')': ' )#' 2 '  #' # ' ), 2  { -2  )  # '#'( )''22, ' ;    #'"/5  )'# '  </0: #  ' ( /*.=-3, ¬

¯ecision Options ʹ Cost Benefit Analysis ¬ &'('*  )*##2 #3#' › ' )à 8,> › ' )*  ),   { ##'(  '2  ''  2, {  # 2 ' '#  ) # , ¯   6 ')#' #, & )''25,

¯ecision Options ʹ Cost Benefit Analysis $,'2' ' ' *  ),   { '( )''22, { ? ) # '22, ¯   " # '  )''222' ' 5 , 6)''    '#, 3    ' )2' 2 2  ) ,

¯ecision Options ʹ Cost Benefit Analysis ²,3 #*  )    2  { -#  ## )''22, { -#  ##  ' ))# 2, 3     &     2' ' 5 '2 ' , 0 5  2   22 )#'    # 2 5#  ) ',

Conclusion 0 >  #2  )      '2 )' 

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