2016 Olympic Contenders

2016 Summer Olympic contenders The International Olympic Committee will view presentations from prospective host cities Friday for the 2016 Olympic Games. Of the 106 IOC members, 99 will be eligible to vote in the first round (seven members from the four finalist countries can’t vote as long as their city remains in the race). The winner will be announced on Saturday, between 12:30 and 1 a.m. EDT. Chicago

Tokyo

Madrid

Rio de Janeiro IOC PUBLIC POLL

*OPINION **BETTING

ODDS

Chicago 67.3 U.S. 61.1 4 to 6

Intrade PREDICTION Hubdub PREDICTION

Madrid 84.9 Spain 85.8 8 to 1

MADRID

Population: 2.9 million, with a metropolitan area of 9.6 million Venues: 31; 7 need construction Projected cost: $4.8-billion Pros: Bid presents a compact, scenic Games on waterfront; The U.S.’s hosting experience could give it the edge over lessexperienced Brazil, especially during a recession. Cons: Poll in August found about 50 per cent of the city supported the bid, though a new poll puts support at 72 per cent; Public transport could become taxed.

10%

28%

RIO DE JANEIRO

6.2 million in the greater metropolitan area 33; 10 need construction $6.1-billion More than 80 per cent of city supports bid; One of only a few major European cities to have never hosted; Affordable; Games close to downtown and airport; Excellent public transportation system reaching 26 of the 33 venues. City’s debt is $9.7-billion; With London hosting 2012 Games, IOC may not want to have consecutive Games in Europe; ETA bomb attacks pose security concerns.

9 to 2

37%

19%

35%

Tokyo 55.5 Japan 54.5 5 to 2

6.5%

50.6%

CHICAGO

Rio 84.5 Brazil 68.9

18%

TOKYO

6 million 34; 16 need construction $14.4-billion IOC could make a statement by choosing, for the first time, a South American host; Stable economy; Public support is widespread; Hosting experience with 2007 Pan Am Games.

12.7 million; 34 million in greater metropolitan area 34; 11 need construction $2.8-billion Tokyo’s bid presents a waterfront Games; Emphasis on climate consciousness and measures to reduce CO2 emissions and energy consumption; Compact city; Good public transit; Economic superpower.

IOC’s confidence in the capability of this developing country may be lacking; High crime rate; Much construction would be necessary.

IOC may think it’s too soon to have another Asian Games, since Beijing hosted in 2008; Concerns about congestion in city.

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is in Copenhagen; In December, 2008, Newsweek magazine named him the 18th most important person in the world.

In office for just two weeks, Japan’s new Prime Minister, Yukio Hatoyama, will arrive in Copenhagen today; The Hatoyama family is Japan’s version of the Kennedys.

CELEBRITY ENDORSEMENT Oprah Winfrey is lobbying the 106 IOC members at social functions in Copenhagen; Barack and Michelle Obama will help deliver the final pitch.

Head of state King Juan Carlos is a strong presence in Copenhagen; IOC president Jacques Rogge’s Spanish predecessor, Juan Antonio Samaranch, held the title for 21 years.

HOW LONDON WAS CHOSEN FOR THE 2012 GAMES*** ROUND 1

ROUND 2

ROUND 3

ROUND 4

1 London

22

1 Madrid

32

1 London

39

1 London

54

2 Paris

21

2 London

27

2 Paris

33

Paris

50

3 Madrid

20

3 Paris

25

4 New York

19

New York

15

With Moscow out, Madrid picks up 12 votes and leaps ahead. London gains five but drops to second, while New York is eliminated.

Moscow

No city wins a majority, so the vote goes to a second round. The lowest vote-getter is eliminated.

16

Madrid

31

New York’s 16 votes are in play, and IOC members representing the U.S. are now eligible to vote. London picks up 12 and Paris squeaks by Madrid to advance to the next ballot.

In the final round, enough Madrid supporters cast their votes for London to give the city an outright majority and a four-vote margin over Paris.

*CONDUCTED FEB. 16 TO 24, 2009, IN ALL FOUR CITIES: “TO WHAT EXTENT WOULD YOU SUPPORT HOSTING THE OLYMPIC SUMMER GAMES IN 2016?” **PADDY POWER ODDS FOR “WHO WILL HOST THE 2016 OLYMPICS?” AS OF 5:00 GMT ON SEPT. 20. ***NOTE: TOTAL VOTES VARY IN EACH ROUND BECAUSE COMMITTEE MEMBERS MAY NOT VOTE DURING A ROUND THAT INCLUDES A CITY IN THEIR HOME COUNTRY. THE GLOBE AND MAIL/REUTERS/AP/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL 66 SOURCES: INTERNATIONAL OLYMPIC COMMITTEE; ESRI; BID CITY WEBSITES; PADDYPOWER.COM; INTRADE.COM; HUBDUB.COM