Fabio Innocenzi, CEO
Divo Gronchi, CEO
Gruppo Bancario Popolare Presentation of the BPVN-BPI merger plan at the Banca Leonardo Italian Banking Conference
Naples, 24 November 2006
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Disclaimer In connection with the proposed business combination, the required information document will be sent to Commissione Nazionale per le Società e la Borsa (“CONSOB”). Investors are strongly advised to read the documents that will be sent to CONSOB, the registration statement and prospectus, if and when available, and any other relevant documents sent to CONSOB, as well as any amendments or supplements to those documents, because they will contain important information. This presentation is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be further distributed or passed on to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States, Canada, Australia or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States, Canada or Australia or distributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law or regulation. Accordingly, persons who come into possession of this document should inform themselves of, and observe, these restrictions. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, the companies involved in the proposed business combination disclaim any responsibility or liability for the violation of such restrictions by any person. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Banco Popolare di Verona e Novara or any member of its group, any securities of Banca Popolare Italiana or any member of its group nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities in Banco Popolare di Verona e Novara or any member of its group, any securities of Banca Popolare Italiana or any member of its group or any commitment whatsoever. Persons who intend to participate in the proposed tender offers are reminded that any such participation may only be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the respective offer documents to be issued by Banco Popolare di Verona e Novara and Banca Popolare Italiana in accordance with the relevant tender offer and securities laws regulations which may be different from the information contained in this presentation. The information contained in this presentation is not for publication, release or distribution in Australia, Canada, Japan or the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act")). This presentation and the information contained herein are not an offer of securities for sale in the United States and may not be viewed by persons in the United States except for qualified institutional buyers (as defined in Rule 144A under the Securities Act) (“QIBs”). The securities proposed to be offered in Banco Popolare di Verona e Novara have not been and will not be registered under the Securities Act and may not be offered or sold in the United States except to QIBs in reliance on an exemption from, or transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act. The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only and is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements under the US federal securities laws about Banco Popolare di Verona e Novara and Banca Popolare Italiana and their combined business after completion of the proposed business combination. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. These statements include financial projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding plans, objectives and expectations with respect to future operations, products and services, and statements regarding future performance. Forward-looking statements are generally identified by the words “expects”, “anticipates”, “believes”, “intends”, “estimates” and similar expressions. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These include, among other factors, the satisfaction of the conditions of the offering, changing business or other market conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by the Banco Popolare di Verona e Novara’s and Banca Popolare Italiana’s management. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. Banco Popolare di Verona e Novara and Banca Popolare Italiana do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation.
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CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Agenda
I.
Key Transaction Highlights
II.
Industrial Rationale and Value Creation
III.
Corporate Governance
IV.
Financial Impact
V.
Closing Remarks
Appendix
2
2
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
I. Key Transaction Highlights
3
3
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Key Transaction Highlights Strategic Rationale Friendly merger of equals based on shared objectives with key points of strength: 1
2 Unique distribution network: excellent geographical fit and deeply rooted presence in richest Northern Italy regions
Significant value creation – ~€500m run-rate synergies fully realised by 2010, with an estimated ~€3bn net present value
– Third largest branch network in Italy, with almost 2,200 branches
– Proven track-record in restructuring/integration
3
– ~10% market share in Northern Italy, with market share in excess of 8% in 27 provinces
Doubling in size: significant strengthening of competitive positioning
4 Effective organizational structure and clean governance
– On path to become the 3rd largest Italian bank by market cap and branches
– Well defined management team with clear accountability vis-à-vis value creation targets
– Domestic leadership ambitions – First step towards European top league: new entry in top 30 largest players by market cap
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CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Key Transaction Highlights Main Terms of the Transaction and Estimated Financial Impact
Structure:
Merger by union of BPI and BPVN into a NewCo Creation of Gruppo Bancario Popolare (“GBP”) Spin-off of Retail banks
Consideration Structure¹:
Share-for-share component¹: – 0.43 BPVN shares for 1 BPI share2 Cash component: – €2.17 extraordinary dividend per BPI share from BPI to BPI shareholders
Financial and Capital Implications:
– Cash EPS accretive for BPVN shareholders from 2009 (including only phased synergies), positive thereafter with over a 10% EPS accretion in 2010E – Cash EPS accretive for BPI shareholders by over 30% from the beginning – Pro forma Tier 1 Ratio of 6.0% – 6.5% from 2007 onwards
Conditions:
Confirmatory data room on selected information Regulatory approvals Approval at BPVN and BPI shareholder meetings
¹ GBP, as NewCo, will issue new shares to BPVN and BPI shareholders 2 Ex extraordinary dividend (€1,520m to BPI shareholders, of which €40m to holders of BPI convertible bond “Banca Popolare di Lodi Prestito Obbligazionario Convertibile Subordinato 2000/2010”) and ex ordinary dividend
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CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Key Transaction Highlights Timetable
6
October 2006
16 October 2006: Announcement 16 October 2006: Presentation to the financial community October/November 2006: Roadshows and One-on-One meetings with investors
Mid-Nov. – mid-Dec. 2006
Confirmatory data room
December 2006
BPVN and BPI Board of Directors – To approve merger document and Business Plan for Gruppo Bancario Popolare – To request Bank of Italy authorisation for the Merger Project Presentation to the financial community
March/April 2007
BPVN and BPI EGMs to approve merger project BPI AGM to approve extraordinary dividend
May 2007
Payment of ordinary dividends (separately to the respective shareholder bodies)
By end-June 2007
Payment of the extraordinary dividend by BPI to BPI shareholders Legal effectiveness and quotation of the NewCo
6
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
II. Industrial Rationale and Value Creation
7
7
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
rd 1 On Path to be 3 Italian Bank by Aggregate Market Cap
Top Italian Banks (€bn)
69.9
69.6
Expected aggregate market cap of €18.7bn (2.4x and 3.8x other major Italian popolari banks BPU and BPM) pre extraordinary dividend
#3
17.8
7.7
7.1
6.0
5.5
4.9
4.2
3.5
3.2
Credem
8.6
#7
CR Firenze
7.1
#5
BPER
15.0
BPM
18.7 18.7 3.01
¹ Net present value of synergies Source: Datastream, data as of 13-Oct-2006
8
8
Carige
Lombarda
BPI
BPU
BPVN
MPS
Capitalia
Gruppo BP
Intesa + SPIMI
UniCredit
8.6
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
1 Key Step to Achieve European Scale Top European Banks (€bn) Top 10 Average market cap: €89bn
174 Top 10-20 Average market cap : €48bn
105 90 84
Top 20-30 Average market cap : €19bn
81 79 70 70 70 58 58 44 43
Only “cooperative bank” among top 30 European largest players
#25
32
30 28
#45
#50
19 19 19
25 20 19
3 7
1
18 18 17 16 16 15 15 15 14 13 13 11 9
8
7
5
4 BPER
49
BPM
53 51
BPI
62
BPU
65
¹ Net present value of synergies ² Aggregate market capitalisation including NPV of synergies, pre extraordinary dividend Source: Datastream, data as of 13-Oct-2006
9
9
BPVN
Natexis
Swedbank
DnB NOR
SHB
MPS
Bank of Ireland
SEB
Banco Popular
Erste Bank
NBoG
Capitalia
Commerzbank
Gruppo BP
AIB
Danske Bank
Dexia
Nordea
Std. Chartered
KBC
Fortis
ABN Amro
Lloyds TSB
Deutsche Bank
Credit Agricole
SocGen
Credit Suisse
HBOS
BBVA
Intesa+SPIMI
Barclays
UniCredit
ING
BNP Paribas
Santander
RBS
UBS
HSBC
2
9
Italian Bank s
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
1 Strong Improvement in Domestic Competitive Positioning Domestic Branch Network (#)
Customer Loans (€bn)
5,498
301
3,018
#3
#5
#9
#5
2,176
1,944
1,877
90 1,205
1,198
1,181
86
Market Share
19.5%
#11
73
978
45
45 28
978 BIN-SPI
#7
146
UCI
GBP
CAP
MPS
BPVN
9.6%
6.7%
6.2%
5.9%
3.8%
BPU
…
3.8%
BIN-SPI1
BPI Market Share
2.9%
Customer Deposits (€bn)
24.5%
UCI 13.2%
CAP
M PS
GBP
6.9%
6.8%
5.6%
…
BPV N
28
…
BPI
3.3%
2.3%
Consumer Credit Volumes of Related Companies (€bn)
326
#5
#7
3.1
#9
187
2.4 88
79
Market Share
25.0%
UCI 14.2%
CAP
M PS
7.2%
6.1%
1.8
#11
#12
1.2
1.0
0.9
Ducato
De lta
Line a
4.6%
3.8%
3.3%
1.6
73
39
GBP 5.8%
1.2
34
2
…
BPV N 3.0%
…
Findom e s tic
BPI Market Share
2.7%
1
Pre-disposal of Cariparma, Friuladria and selected branches ² 20% stake of BPVN 349% stake of BPVN Source: interim reports 2006, Bank of Italy for market shares
10
2.2
#10
0.6 39 34
BIN-SPI
#4
10
11.5%
DB Pre s t.
Agos
GBP
Clarim a
9.0%
8.3%
6.9%
6.1%
…
3
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
2 Leader of Local Footprint – Strength in Northern Italy (1/2) National Distribution Network BPVN
Ranking by Region
BPI
Region
Ranking Mkt Share 544
Lom bardy 301
Veneto
New Group – National Distribution Network
144
Liguria
130
North
9.0%
North
3°
11.4%
Centre
3°
7.4%
North
236
4°
9.2%
North
2°
8.3%
Island
2°
13.9%
North
Lazio
64
10°
2.5%
Centre
Cam pania
55
8°
3.5%
South
Abruzzo
45
6°
7.0%
Centre
21
5°
2.3%
North
Friuli
15
8°
1.6%
North
Um bria
10
13°
0.8%
Centre
2.5%<=X<7.5%
Marche
9
5°
5.6%
South
7.5%<=X<15%
Molise Valle d'Aosta Puglia
8
9°
1.5%
Centre
6
4°
6.2%
North
6
19°
0.4%
South
Basilicata
3
12°
1.2%
South
Calabria
3
13°
0.6%
South
Sardinia
1
14°
0.1%
Island
1.0%<=X<2.5%
=> 15%
# Branches: 2,176 Market Share 6.7%
Source: interim reports 2006; territorial split based on Bank of Italy; ranking by region based Bank of Italy as of March 2006
11
8.9%
Trentino <1.0%
Of which ~70% in Northern Italy
Sicily
3° 3°
244
285
Tuscany Em ilia Rom agna Piedm ont
Area
11
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
2 Leader of Local Footprint – Perfect Geographic Fit (2/2) Detailed Analysis – Selected Regions Perfect geographic fit with negligible overlap Significant market share in key northern regions Market share in excess of 8% in 27 provinces
Alessandria 7.1% Asti 7.2% Biella 8.6% Cuneo 6.4% Novara 26.5% Turin 3.4% Verbano 27.2% Vercelli 20.1% Total 8.2% Belluno Padova Rovigo Treviso Venice Verona Vicenza Total
2.0% 3.2% 1.1% 3.5% 10.2% 22.8% 5.3% 8.3%
BPI
NG
Province
1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
8.5% 7.8% 8.6% 6.6% 26.5% 4.1% 27.2% 20.1% 8.7%
Bergamo Brescia Como Cremona Lecco Lodi Mantova Milan Pavia Sondrio Varese Total
1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6%
3.0% 3.9% 1.7% 4.4% 10.8% 23.1% 6.0% 9.0%
Lombardy
BPVN
Genoa Imperia La Spezia Savona Total
BPVN 13.6% 6.4% 2.6% 1.5% 1.9% 0.0% 6.3% 2.9% 8.7% 0.0% 3.7% 4.9% 3.3% 6.7% 3.8% 9.0% 4.9%
Source: Bank of Italy, March 2006
12
NG
Bologna 1.5% Ferrara 0.5% Forli'-Cesena 0.6% Modena 14.9% Parma 5.9% Piacenza 1.0% Ravenna 1.3% Reggio Emilia13.2% Rimini 0.0% Total 4.9%
4.6% 0.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.5% 3.8% 2.8% 0.8% 1.5% 2.4%
6.1% 1.4% 2.5% 16.4% 7.4% 4.8% 4.1% 13.9% 1.5% 7.3%
Arezzo Florence Grosseto Livorno Lucca Massa C. Pisa Pistoia Prato Siena Total
3.7% 6.9% 3.6% 25.3% 26.0% 10.6% 16.9% 5.0% 4.5% 2.0% 10.5%
3.7% 8.3% 8.0% 26.8% 28.8% 10.6% 19.2% 8.3% 6.0% 2.0% 12.2%
Market share
Liguria
Veneto
Piedmont
Province
BPI
Emilia-Romagna
Province
Market share
BPVN
Tuscany
Market share
12
BPI
NG
1.9% 3.0% 1.2% 23.4% 1.9% 19.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.5% 0.8% 4.6% 4.0%
15.6% 9.5% 3.8% 24.9% 3.8% 19.1% 8.8% 5.8% 11.2% 0.8% 8.3% 8.9%
12.0% 1.7% 6.1% 6.7% 8.9%
15.3% 8.3% 9.8% 15.7% 13.7%
1.4% 4.3% 1.6% 2.8% 2.3% 3.3% 1.5% 1.7%
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
3
€500m Expected Synergies Driving Significant Value Creation Expected Gross Synergies (€m) Revenue
Cost
500
One-off restructuring costs of about €300m (=~135% of pre-tax cost synergies)
424 220 208
291
146
44%
49%
50%
141 280 59
216
41% 146
83
Phasing
13
51%
50%
59%
2007E
2008E
2009E
28%
58%
85%
13
2010E
100%
56%
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
3 Ambitious but Achievable Targets Based on BPVN
Track-Record Domestic Transactions – as % Combined Entity Cost Synergies/Cost Base 12.0%
10.1%
10.0%
Intesa-SPIMI
BP Bergamo-BPCI
8.8%
8.4%
7.8%
Unicredito - CI
BPV-BPN Announced
BPV-BPN Achieved
BPVN-BPI
Revenue Synergies/Revenue Base
7.0%
5.4% 1.7%
Intesa-SPIMI
2.9%
BP Bergamo-BPCI
2
8.1%
1
4.5%
4.5%
Unicredito - CI
2.5%
3.6%
BPV-BPN Announced
BPV-BPN Achieved
1
Synergies from productivity alignment announced in November 2003 as part of 2004-2006 business plan ² Including synergies from productivity alignment Source: Company analyst presentation and press releases, internal analysis
14
14
2
6.8%
BPVN-BPI
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
3 €220m Cost Synergies, Driven by Efficiency Gains and
Rationalisation of Central Functions Gross Cost Synergies (€m) Preliminary Breakdown % of Total Personnel
IT / Back Office Administrative Expenses
41%
90
Main Drivers
66
30%
General Administrative Expenses
Total
15
64
29%
Right-sizing and rebalancing of head office workforce through partial replacement only of employees’ exit due to running churn-rate Limited optimisation of branch network Extension of BPVN’s employees incentive program to BPI’s Reduction in IT system support and development staff
Migration to one single IT platform (BPVN) and subsequent elimination of duplicate functions Increased “purchasing power” Integration of back office functions at central and local level Elimination of duplicate head office administrative functions and centralisation of branch network servicing functions Increased efficiency across processing and administrative functions Improved “purchasing power” Reduction in D&A in light of shared investments and logistics optimisation
220
15
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3 €280m Revenue Synergies from Application of Best Commercial Practices, Increased Cross-Selling and Internalisation of Revenues Gross Revenue Synergies (€m) Preliminary Breakdown % of Total Revenue Internalisation
Reduction in Cost of Funding
Consumer Credit Expansion
External network Penetration
Improvement in pro Capita Profitability
Total
16
70
25%
4%
10
11%
30
9%
25
145
52%
Main Drivers
Internalisation of asset management revenues Strengthening of capital markets activities Fees from structuring of retail/corporate investment banking and structured life insurance products currently outsourced
BPI cost of funding still above peers, despite recent improvements – Combined entity to raise funds at better conditions owing to BPVN higher rating
Improved penetration through cross-selling of initiatives Cross-selling enhancements to convert indirect into direct customers Improvement sale capabilities and productivity as well as internalisation of revenues from higher sophistication of product range
Leverage on new cross-selling and business development opportunities arising from the network of specialist intermediaries
Upgrade effectiveness of BPI’s network through broader product range, standardised and effective commercial tools, sales force training Pricing adjustment opportunities from broader / more sophisticated product range and improved lending process and time to market
Realignment to 50% of the gap of revenues per employee to the best practice of BPVN Group (BPV)
280
16
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
4 New Holding Model with Multibrand Strategy of Local Footprint
Holding Popolare
BPL Spa (Lodi) ~530 branches
BPN Spa (Novara) ~400 branches
CR Lucca Pisa Livorno ~240 branches
BPV-SGSP Spa (Verona) ~530 branches
Leverage on Strong Local Brand Recognition
BP Cremona
BP Crema
BP Mantova
Caripe
¹ Other includes Efibanca, Banca Aletti, foreign banks, operations
17
17
CR Bergamasco ~240 branches
Other¹
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
III. Corporate Governance
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18
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Friendly Transaction Based on Shared Objectives and Clear Governance Rules… Key Principles
Structure Supervisory Board Chairman: Carlo Fratta Pasini Deputy Vice-Chairman: Dino Piero Giarda Second Vice-Chairman: Maurizio Comoli 20 members drawn from BPVN and BPI Boards
AGMs in charge of approval of financial statements and dividend policy
Location of AGMs to rotate on an annual basis between Verona and Lodi, whereas EGMs will be held in Verona
Dual-Board structure composed of a Supervisory and Management Board
Management Board
–
Supervisory Board to be elected by the General Shareholders’ Meeting, in charge of controlling, supervision and relevant extraordinary transactions
–
Management Board, elected by the Supervisory Board, in charge of business operations
Chairman: Divo Gronchi 12 members of which 8 executives (i)
CEO Fabio Innocenzi
General Manager Corporate Massimo Minolfi
General Manager - Retail Franco Baronio
Integrated management team –
BPVN CEO to become the new CEO of the Group and to report to the Management Board
–
BPVN and BPI current General Managers in charge of Corporate and Retail businesses, respectively
Proven track-record in managing integration and restructuring
(i) In accordance with the Memorandum of Understanding signed on 1 Nov. 2006, the Management Board shall be composed of a minimum of 12 up to a maximum of 15 members, of which at least two thirds chosen among managers of the new Group and at least one fourth among non-executive representatives.
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19
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
… Leading to an Effective Organizational Structure Chairman of Management Board CEO HR External Specialised Network
Operations
Finance
SGS (Group Operating Machine)
Retail Business
Corporate Business
Staff
BPL
20
Staff
Retail, Affluent, Small Business
Corporate
Direct Banking
Large Corporate
Bancassurance
Loans
Commercial coordination of retail distribution networks
International Banking
Product Factories
Product Factories
BPV-SGSP
BPN
20
CASSA LUCCA PISA LIVORNO
CREBERG
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Balanced and Well Represented Board Composition Combined with Well Defined Roles and Responsibilities
Composition
Supervisory Board
Management Board (i)
20 20members membersofofwhich which40% 40%BPI BPIand and60% 60%BPVN: BPVN: –– Year Year1:1:10 10members members –– ––
From Frominception, inception,12 12members members(including (includingthe the Chairman and CEO) Chairman and CEO) –– ––
Year Year2:2:16 16members members As Asfrom fromYear Year3:3:20 20members members
88members membersdrawn drawnfrom fromtop topmanagement management 44non-executive members non-executive members
(i) In accordance with the Memorandum of Understanding signed on 1 Nov. 2006, the Management Board shall be composed of a minimum of 12 up to a maximum of 15 members, of which at least two thirds chosen among managers of the new Group and at least one fourth among non-executive representatives.
21
21
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
IV. Financial Impact
22
22
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Main Financial Targets and Implied Value Creation
2008E Pro Forma
2010E Pro Forma
Target EPS Impact (%) BPVN Shareholders
Substantially Neutral
Over 10%
Target EPS Impact (%) BPI Shareholders
~ 40%
~ 30%
Target ROI (%) BPVN and BPI Shareholders
11.9%
10.3%
Target ROI (%) BPVN Target ROI (%) BPI
14.1%
Source: IBES estimates for BPVN and internal estimates for BPI
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CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\Slide 24.ppt
Capital Base Evolution Tier 1 Ratio Evolution 2006-2010
Capital strengthening initiatives
~ 6.1%
Capital created from retained earnings1
Strong internal capital
Buyback
generation: 45bps of core capital Tier 1 Capital to finance organic growth in RWA
per year from 2008 ~ 6.3%
Organic growth funding
Return to shareholders in the form of buy back /
Tier 1 After Eur 1.5bn Extraordinary Dividend (including existing preference shares)
The sale on 14 Nov. 2006 by BPVN of a 4.01% stake in Banca Italease, i.e. the stake held outside the shareholder pact, has generated a net capital gain of more than €90 million. This move is part of the capital strengthening initiatives envisaged in the light of the merger project with BPI.
2006PF Basle I
Tier 1 (Including existing and newly issued preference shares)
dividends
New Group to have Tier 1 ratio target at 6.0% – 6.5%
2010E PF Basle I
Capital strengthening initiatives: starting from 2007, the new group will consider several capital actions to improve Tier 1 ratio: Issuance of preference shares Disposal of non-strategic stakes Securitisation of portfolios of performing loans (residential mortgages and SME mortgages)
¹ Retained earnings over the period 2007-2010 including synergies and restructuring costs
24
24
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
V. Closing Remarks
25
25
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Closing Remarks
Creation of a popolare leader with a powerful local franchise in Northern Italy Domestic leadership ambitions and European scale: on path to be 3rd largest Italian player and 25th European player Significant value creation from synergy potential and proven integration skills of combined management teams Effective corporate governance and clear roles and responsibilities in order to achieve value creation targets
26
26
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Appendix
27
27
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Branch Distribution Network Combined Market Share of BPVN and BPI in Northern Italian Regions Market Share ≥8% in 27 Northern Provinces
Piedmont
Veneto
Lombardy
Liguria
EmiliaRomagna
Tuscany
Verbano Novara Vercelli Biella Alessandria Asti
27.2% 26.8% 21.8% 10.9% 8.6% 8.0%
Verona Venice Crem ona Lodi Bergam o Pavia Brescia Mantova Varese Savona Genova La Spezia Im peria
23.4% 10.9% 25.1% 19.7% 15.7% 11.3% 9.5% 8.8% 8.2% 15.8% 15.6% 9.8% 8.5%
Modena Reggio Em ilia Lucca Livorno Pisa Massa C. Pistoia Grosseto
16.7% 14.0% 28.9% 27.0% 19.8% 10.8% 8.4% 8.0%
Source: Bank of Italy, December 2005
28
28
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
BPN Performance and Alignment Productivity Alignment BPVN Group
31/12/2004
BPN
30/09/2006
+22.0% 31.4
31/12/2004
BPN Alignment
30/09/2006
31/12/2004
+48.0%
38.3
25.9 =
Customer loans/branch (€m)
100 67.6
100
17.5
55.8 BPN
209.81
+13.7%
+20.2%
238.61 166.7
100 =
100 84.0
79.4 BPN
84.9 55.0
Op. Income/Avg. Employees (€’000)
=
100
100 82.4
72.2 BPN (7.0) p.p.
Cost/income ratio (%)
67.0 50.9
57.6 =
113.2
115.7 BPN
¹ Related only to the three commercial banks of the Group, thereby allowing a more meaningful comparison (exclusion of BO/IT staff and other)
29
BPVN Group
(9.4) p.p.
100
29
BPVN Group
+54.4%
103.1
76.2
57.9
BPVN Group
200,.4
Revenues/Avg. Employees (€‘000)
+35.3%
30/09/2006
100 BPVN Group
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
BPV-BPN merger: Financial restructuring well on track1 Productivity: total revenues/employees (€’000 avg.)
Cost efficiency: operating costs/total revenues
+6.6%
2
183 139
2001 BPV
2001 BPN
160
2001 BPVN PF
170
2002
173
2003
181
2004
194
193
2005
2005 IAS
68.9%
210
58.0%
2001 BPV
9M 06
Asset quality: gross and net NPL ratios
4.9%
4.8% 4.0%
2.4%
3.2%
1 2
30
3.2%
6.0%
1.4% 2001 BPV
3.3%
2001 BPN
2001 BPVN PF
3.0% 2002
3.0% 2003
2.0%
1.6%
1.2%
2004
2005
2005 IAS
9M 06
2002
60.1%
2003
57.9%
55.5%
56.0%
2004
2005
2005 IAS
50.9%
9M 06
In the years 2002-2004, the management concentrated effectively on the full integration of BPN into BPVN Group, with a strong focus on cost savings and risk reduction
•
During the same period, revenue synergies were generated through cross selling and through the adoption of the business model of Verona
•
Starting from 2005, BPN has seen an acceleration of the productivity-driven performance turnaround
•
Further significant productivity gains are set to materialise in 2006/2007
2.3%
2.5%
2001 BPVN PF
61.7%
•
9.8%
5.3%
2001 BPN
63.0%
2001-2005 data are based on Italian GAAP and are indicated at consolidated Group level, both for former BPV and BPN standalone as well as for BPVN Group; nine-month and FY2005 data are shown also in IAS annualised
30
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
BPVN Group consolidated nine-month 2006 results BPVN Group standalone 9-month P&L highlights 9 months 2005
1,981.3
1,760.8
+12.5%
2,393.7
990.0
898.5
+10.2%
55.8
36.7
+52.3%
935.5
825.6
+13.3%
1,209.7 55.5 1,128.6
(1,007.6)
(1,018.3)
-1.1%
(1,339.5)
973.7
742.4
31.1%
1,054.2
(54.5)
(19.4)
+180.9%
(75.1)
89.1
69.5
-
(139.4)
(30.7)
(18.7)
+63.7%
(29.9)
48.4
19.1
+153.2%
21.4
Income before tax from continuing operations
936.4
723.4
+29.4%
970.6
Net income of the period
569.1
448.4
+26.9%
597.1
Total operating revenues • net interest income • dividends and profit (losses) from equity investments • net non-interest income Operating costs
Operating margin Net value adjust. for loans, guarantees and commitments • Net value adjustment without reversal impact Net provisions for risks and liabilities Income from the disposal of equity part. and investments
31
Memo
9 months 2006
€m
31
% change
FY 2005
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
BPVN Group consolidated nine-month 2006 results BPVN Group standalone volume highlights as of 30/09/2006
€m
30/09/2006 A
30/06/2006 31/12/2005 B C
30/09/2005 %change %change %change D A/C A/D A/B +14.5%
+2.3%
+3.2%
+7.3%
111,275
+3.4%
+5.5%
+9.9%
39,845
+4.1%
+15.0%
+19.0%
46,970
44,656
42,979
41,032
Indirect customer funds
75,342
73,651
73,004
70,242
Total customer financial assets 122,312
118,307
115,983
47,417
45,556
41,224
Customer loans (gross)
32
32
+5.2%
+9.3%
Direct customer funds
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
BPVN Group consolidated nine-month 2006 results BPI Group standalone 9-month performance highlights Core Economic performance is improving Net income: €151MM 9M’06 vs -€153MM 9M’05 3Q’06 Net income: €59MM, fully reflecting ordinary activity Interest margin is improving: +7% 9M’06/9M’05, +14% 3Q/2Q ’06 (on normalised figures) Positive contribution by the Finance Division: €81MM in 9M‘06 Operating profit: €387MM 9M’06 vs €262MM 1H’06 vs -€115MM 9M’05 Assets expansion, liabilities repositioning, capital strengthening for minorities buy out Normalized customer loans +5% ytd Direct deposits +12% ytd. Securities issued down 6% yoy (on normalised figures) Net Equity €4,070BN 9M’06 vs €2,810BN 1H’06 Commercial trend. Recurrent and progressive signs of recovery in the commercial activity Positive trends in Bank Accounts and sound redemption from advertising campaigns New Production: Residential Mortgages +33%; Personal Loans +34%; Bancassurance +16%; Credit Cards +20% yoy * % changes based on 9M ’05 and 2Q ’06 PRO-FORMA figures
33
33
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
BPVN Group consolidated nine-month 2006 results BPI Group standalone 9-month performance highlights Sep. 2006 – Sep. 2005 comparison is affected by 2005 extraordinary items on net commissions, dividends and trading activities, loans write-downs, risk provisions related to Banca Antonveneta takeover and figures restatement following regulators investigation. ►
PF* 30 SEP 05
CHG%
620,044
579,859
6.93%
► Dividends and similar income
21,514
61,269
-64.89%
► Gains (losses) from investments
36,926
25,714
43.60%
294,482
216,820
35.82%
► Net income from trading and hedging activities
80,568
94,684
-14.91%
► Profit (loss) from sale of loans
68,774
► Profit/loss from sale of finan. assets and liabilities
37,958
25,251
50.32%
PROFIT ON THE SALE OF BANCA ITALEASE STAKE AND NON CORE ASSETS
► Net income from financial assets/liabilities designated at FV
-3,108
97,978
n.s.
2005 FIGURE INCLUDES CAPITAL GAIN ON BANCA ANTONVENETA
124,089
144,411
-14.07%
30 SEP 06
DATA in €/000 ► Net interest income
► Net commissions
► Other operating income (expenses) Total Revenues
-
1,281,247 1,245,986
n.s.
2.83%
* 2005 Data include effects of 2006 BPI assets at disposal
34
34
CAPITAL GAIN ON BPL LEASING SALE
3Q 2006 €45MM PROFITS MAINLY RELATED TO TRADING NPL’S SALE CAPITAL GAIN
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
BPVN Group consolidated nine-month 2006 results BPI Group standalone 9-month performance highlights DATA in €/000
30 SEP 06
Total revenues
PF* 30 SEP 05 CHG%
1,281,247 1,245,986
►Write-downs on loans ►Write-downs on assets and other financial assets
2.83%
-92,137
-407,232 -77.37%
-4,281
-5,205 -17.75%
►Personnel expenses
-381,483
-375,160
1.69%
►Administrative expenses
-331,756
-298,641
11.09%
-31,502
►Provisions for risks and charges
►Write-downs on intangible and tangible fixed assets-52,753 Operative expenses
-227,097 -86.13% -47,246
11.66%
-893,912 -1,360,581
34.30%
LEGAL EXTRAORDINARY COSTS AND INCREASE ADVERTISING EXPENSES IN 2006
Operating profit
387,335
-114,595
n.s.
Income/loss before taxes
379,101
-127,610
n.s.
- 135,308
23,980
n.s.
36% TAX RATE
► Income/loss after taxes non-current assets HFS
-27,746
-10,750
n.s.
BPL RISCOSSIONI, BPL NET, AREA LIFE EFIBANCA EQUITY STAKES ON DISPOSAL
► Income/loss of minority interests
-65,406
- 38,602 +69,44%
Net profit/loss
150,641
-152,982
► Taxes for the period
n.s.
* 2005 Data include effects of 2006 BPI assets at disposal
35
JUNE 2006 INCLUDE €44MM WRITE-BACK RELATED TO NPL’s SALE
35
CATULLO\_Analyst Presentation Road Show\AP_Roadshow 06.ppt
Investors and Analysts: Key Contacts
BPVN
36
BPI
Tom Lucassen Head of Investor Relations
Office: +39 045 867 5537 e-mail:
[email protected]
Nicoletta Zangrandi Head of Investor Relations
Office: +39 0371 580.036 e-mail:
[email protected]
Elena Segura
Office: +39 045 867 5484 e-mail:
[email protected]
Chiara Leoni
Office: +39 0371 580 073 e-mail:
[email protected]
Vania Farinati
Office: +39 045 867 5580 e-mail:
[email protected]
Elisa Mazzocco
Office: +39 0371 580.681 e-mail:
[email protected]
Francesca Romagnoli
Office: +39 045 867 5613 e-mail:
[email protected]
Fabio Pelati
Office: +39 0371 580.105 e-mail:
[email protected]
36