12 6 Presentation(2)
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Ukraine Political Risk Assessment High Risk: Uncertain Future
Agenda I. II. III. IV.
Introduction Top 5 Risks Risk Mitigation Conclusions
Introduction
Top 5 Risks 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Corruption Economic Condition External Security Internal Security Human Development
Corruption • • • •
Kleptocracy Elite Cartels Enforcement Institution Weakness Taxes
External Security • NATO/EU vs. Russia • Demilitarization • Trading Relationships
Economic Conditions • • • •
Inflation Informal Economy Energy Business Organizational Difficulties
Internal Security • Nation Building Issues • Crimean Ethnic Tensions • State Security Services
Social Risks • • • •
Education Health Inequality Population
Risk Mitigation • • • • •
Consulting Expertise Collaborate with Local Business Private Security Employee Healthcare and Education Exit Strategy
Conclusion • Overall Risk HIGH • Corporations Cannot Mitigate Governmental Risks • Stability Contingent on Clear Political Strategy
Agenda I. II. III. IV.
Introduction Top 5 Risks Risk Mitigation Conclusions
Introduction
Top 5 Risks 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Corruption Economic Condition External Security Internal Security Human Development
Corruption • • • •
Kleptocracy Elite Cartels Enforcement Institution Weakness Taxes
External Security • NATO/EU vs. Russia • Demilitarization • Trading Relationships
Economic Conditions • • • •
Inflation Informal Economy Energy Business Organizational Difficulties
Internal Security • Nation Building Issues • Crimean Ethnic Tensions • State Security Services
Social Risks • • • •
Education Health Inequality Population
Risk Mitigation • • • • •
Consulting Expertise Collaborate with Local Business Private Security Employee Healthcare and Education Exit Strategy
Conclusion • Overall Risk HIGH • Corporations Cannot Mitigate Governmental Risks • Stability Contingent on Clear Political Strategy
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