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IMPORTANT NOTICE: ================ Our stock price forecasts are unsurpassed in their reliability and accuracy. Using them in conjunction with sound, prudent strategies, un-leveraged annual returns of 30% and much more can be achieved in any type of market, bull, bear or sideways.
PLEASE NOTE THAT AN INTERPRETATION GUIDE FOR THE FORECASTS IS GIVEN AT THE VERY END OF THIS FILE. YOU SHOULD SPEND SEVERAL MINUTES TO READ THE INTERPRETATION GUIDE, IF YOU ARE USING THE STOCK PRICE FORECASTS FOR THE FIRST TIME.
THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS' PRICE FORECASTS FOR THE TICKER SYMBOL YOU WANT ARE PRESENTED IMMEDIATELY BELOW, FOLLOWED, AS STATED EARLIER, BY THE INTERPRETATION GUIDE.
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SYMBOL, DATE, XOM, 20090424, XOM, 20090423, XOM, 20090422, XOM, 20090421, XOM, 20090420, XOM, 20090417, XOM, 20090416, XOM, 20090415, XOM, 20090414, XOM, 20090413, XOM, 20090409, XOM, 20090408, XOM, 20090407, XOM, 20090406, XOM, 20090403, XOM, 20090402,
PRICE, 66.7000, 65.9000, 64.7600, 66.3200, 65.3000, 66.7100, 67.4100, 68.3500, 67.4100, 68.1000, 69.3700, 68.9600, 68.7100, 70.1000, 70.4000, 70.0200,
FORECAST, PERCENT -0.6211, -0.9 -0.8170, -1.2 0.9861, 1.5 0.6725, 1.0 2.1134, 3.2 0.5187, 0.8 0.2163, 0.3 0.5033, 0.7 0.7791, 1.2 0.1957, 0.3 0.2103, 0.3 0.8134, 1.2 0.7191, 1.0 -0.9182, -1.3 -2.2825, -3.2 -1.2162, -1.7
XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM,
20090401, 20090331, 20090330, 20090327, 20090326, 20090325, 20090324, 20090323, 20090320, 20090319, 20090318, 20090317, 20090316, 20090313, 20090312, 20090311, 20090310, 20090309, 20090306, 20090305, 20090304, 20090303, 20090302, 20090227, 20090226, 20090225, 20090224, 20090223, 20090220, 20090219, 20090218, 20090217, 20090213, 20090212, 20090211, 20090210, 20090209, 20090206, 20090205, 20090204, 20090203, 20090202, 20090130, 20090129, 20090128, 20090127, 20090126, 20090123, 20090122, 20090121, 20090120, 20090116, 20090115, 20090114, 20090113, 20090112, 20090109, 20090108,
69.2500, 67.6800, 68.8100, 70.1700, 71.0400, 70.3400, 69.5000, 70.4000, 66.1000, 68.4700, 69.3000, 69.0200, 67.1000, 67.4000, 67.1100, 65.5000, 67.5300, 64.5800, 64.4000, 62.3800, 65.8100, 64.0500, 65.0600, 68.0200, 71.0500, 72.4000, 72.2800, 69.6000, 71.3900, 72.0700, 71.6000, 71.3000, 74.5600, 75.2400, 74.6600, 76.2500, 79.3500, 80.3400, 79.7000, 77.5000, 78.1000, 76.7000, 76.7300, 76.8600, 78.9500, 79.2000, 78.6000, 77.8000, 77.9800, 79.0800, 76.3100, 78.1900, 76.8300, 75.0000, 77.9300, 76.6000, 77.7800, 79.0500,
0.4389, 2.0755, 0.8284, -0.8609, -1.0066, -3.7922, -1.1984, -1.0410, 1.7287, -1.3895, -1.6860, -1.8422, -1.6695, -0.1983, -2.6515, -1.6466, -4.8588, 0.3317, -0.7128, 1.8143, 1.2826, 4.8961, 5.2876, 3.3447, -1.4110, -0.6476, -0.4246, 1.3452, -0.1892, 2.0749, 2.6957, 2.3006, 1.0355, 3.0514, 4.2384, 2.6912, -1.2863, -1.3439, -1.8650, -0.2817, -0.5624, 1.7456, 1.8752, 1.5941, -0.4638, -0.4637, 0.4673, -1.1583, 0.4482, -1.2930, -0.8750, 0.1727, -0.1770, 1.7098, 0.6583, 1.1057, 2.0089, 1.9913,
0.6 3.1 1.2 -1.2 -1.4 -5.4 -1.7 -1.5 2.6 -2.0 -2.4 -2.7 -2.5 -0.3 -4.0 -2.5 -7.2 0.5 -1.1 2.9 1.9 7.6 8.1 4.9 -2.0 -0.9 -0.6 1.9 -0.3 2.9 3.8 3.2 1.4 4.1 5.7 3.5 -1.6 -1.7 -2.3 -0.4 -0.7 2.3 2.4 2.1 -0.6 -0.6 0.6 -1.5 0.6 -1.6 -1.1 0.2 -0.2 2.3 0.8 1.4 2.6 2.5
XOM, XOM, XOM, XOM,
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**\\ GUIDE TO INTERPRETATION OF FORECAST RESULTS //**
GENERAL PRINCIPLE: The most important general principle to remember is that investing and trading involve mostly a patience to wait for good opportunities to occur and then take advantage of them. Do nothing until opportunities present themselves as indicated by the very latest stock price forecasts.
There are many ways for profiting from a forecasted stock price decline, just as there are many ways of profiting from a stock advance. To be successful in any type of market, one must first have timing, i.e. knowing in advance where the price peaks and bottoms are. Then one should know both bearish and bullish strategies well, so as to profit from any and all low-risk, high-return opportunities that occur daily in both bearish and bullish (and sideways) markets.
In the past, it has been difficult to detect stock price peaks and bottoms. SELL and BUY signals are typically given (i.e. "confirmed") belatedly, often days after the peaks and bottoms have occurred. This is known as "time-lag", which can be very costly in a sideways market since laggiing signals can lead to whipsaws, i.e. selling near the lows and buying near the highs. The price forecasts we provide eliminate that time lag and routinely pin-point the price tops and bottoms, and often a day or so in advance.
Even if the price peaks and bottoms can be detected without time lag. There remains the tougher problem of forecasting the likely magnitude of future price movement at price peaks and bottoms. Once again, we have resolved this difficulty and as you'll see, we do provide you with a precise, reliable forecast on the magnitude of future price movement at price tops and bottoms. This drastically cut down the amount of time you need to spend watching the individual stocks and the market, since you already have a good idea of where the price target will be even before you open a position, long or short. Using our stock price forecasts, investing and trading have become a
child's play. Your ROI is sharply increased while your risk, your expenditure of valuable time, effort and any experience of stress, is drastically reduced. To illustrate how to interpret the data, we'll use the actual price forecasts for the stock BlackStone Group, ticker symbol: BX, shown below: SYMBOL, DATE, BX, 20080528,
PRICE, 18.6600,
FORECAST, PERCENT 0.5215, 2.8
First, you'll notice that there are five(5) columns as shown above. As the column headings indicate, the first column is the ticker symbol (SYMBOL), the next column is the date (DATE), the third column is the last price (PRICE), the fourth column is the forecast on the magnitude of future, short-term, price movement (FORECAST) and the last column (PERCENT) is the forecasted magnitude of future price movement but expressed as a percentage (PERCENT) of the closing price (PRICE). It should be obvious that the important columns to pay attention to are the FORECAST and the PERCENT columns, which we'll discuss in more detail below. Note that the DATE column is expressed as YYYYMMDD, which corresponds to the date of the forecast. For example 20080528 would represent the year 2008, the month 05 (i.e. May) and the date of month 28. So 20080528 is May 28, 2008. The processing of daily stock forecasts begins shortly after markets' close and corresponds to all the available data that may have an influence on the future stock price as of the DATE shown. The entire process takes typically 12 to 16 hours before all the new forecasts become available, one hour or more before markets re-open. On weekends, extensive system maintenance is first done. Thereafter forecasts are generated with the data processing starting typically 18 hours before, and ready by early morning of, the following week's first trading session. That is why you may not see any new updated forecasts on Saturdays and Sundays. The staff and programmers also take those days off. Let's take a look at the earlier-shown data again: SYMBOL, DATE, BX, 20080528,
PRICE, 18.6600,
FORECAST, PERCENT 0.5215, 2.8
Using the information we just provided, you can see that the stock ticker SYMBOL is BX, the DATE of price forecast was 20080528 or May 28, 2008. The PRICE was the closing price of $18.6600 (this may or may not reflect after-hours price) for May 28, 2008, the unit of price being U.S. dollar. This is
then followed by 0.5215 (the unit again being U.S. dollar) which means that the stock BX is forecasted to likely move up by $0.5215 in the near future. The time frame for fulfilling the forecasted future price movement is typically several days, sometimes more than two weeks, or longer. The PRECENT column shows that the forecasted price movement of $0.5215 is equivalent to an upside movement of 2.8%: i.e. PERCENT = 100 X (FORECAST / PRICE) = 2.8 At important price tops or price bottoms, both the FORECAST and PERCENT numbers typically turn highly negative or highly positive, respectively, to alert you of possible resistance or support, respectively. Not only that, both the FORECAST and PERCENT values also indicate the amount of price movement that can be expected in the near future.
Where the FORECAST shows a high negative number, it hints that the direction of forecasted future price movement is down, with its magnitude indicated by the value of the negative number. The PERCENT will also be negative, to indicate downward direction. Conversely, if the FORECAST shows a positive number, as is the case for BX on May 28, 2008, it hints the forecasted future price movement is positive, i.e. up, with the magnitude of movement indicated by the value of the positive FORECAST. In this case, the PERCENT figure will be positive as well, to reflect upward future price direction. One should always review past FORECAST and PERCENT values for the same stock, going back several weeks. A quick review of past forecasts provides a better grasp of the significance of the current FORECAST and PERCENT values. In reviewing recent historical FORECAST and PERCENT figures, one can very quickly notice where past short-term price tops and bottoms were and their corresponding extreme FORECASTS and PERCENT readings at those price peaks and bottoms. The current, latest FORECAST and PERCENT reading can then be mentally compared to those past extreme values to see if current readings are comparable to past extremes. If not, one may want to wait a bit longer, in case the readings become more extreme in coming days, before taking action. Knowing whether to wait will help prevent the mistake of acting too soon. This can greatly improve trading/investment performance while substantially reducing risk. Now, let's take a look at the past price forecasts for BX (shown below): SYMBOL, DATE, BX, 20080528,
PRICE, 18.6600,
FORECAST, PERCENT 0.5215, 2.8
BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX, BX,
20080527, 20080523, 20080522, 20080521, 20080520, 20080519, 20080516, 20080515, 20080514, 20080513, 20080512, 20080509, 20080508, 20080507, 20080506, 20080505, 20080502, 20080501, 20080430, 20080429, 20080428, 20080425, 20080424, 20080423, 20080422, 20080421, 20080418, 20080417, 20080416, 20080415, 20080414, 20080411,
18.9100, 18.5400, 19.1600, 19.3300, 20.5900, 20.2300, 20.0200, 20.6500, 19.5000, 19.0500, 18.9700, 19.2700, 18.8000, 19.3500, 19.4700, 19.5600, 20.2600, 19.4500, 18.6000, 18.8100, 18.9500, 19.1800, 18.5000, 18.3300, 18.6200, 18.6800, 19.0100, 18.6800, 17.7000, 17.3300, 17.2016, 17.7500,
0.4243, 1.4067, 0.7023, 0.4556, 0.1384, -0.3795, -0.5328, -0.9681, -0.1523, -0.1559, 0.2627, 0.1482, 0.5186, 0.6359, -0.0480, -0.6820, -0.9183, -0.3195, 0.3533, -0.1200, -0.2970, -0.2541, 0.0192, 0.3143, -0.1133, -0.6790, -1.0060, -0.8970, 0.0543, 0.5899, 0.8348, 0.5165,
2.2 7.6 3.7 2.4 0.7 -1.9 -2.7 -4.7 -0.8 -0.8 1.4 0.8 2.8 3.3 -0.2 -3.5 -4.5 -1.6 1.9 -0.6 -1.6 -1.3 0.1 1.7 -0.6 -3.6 -5.3 -4.8 0.3 3.4 4.9 2.9
A quick glance of the above forecast history for BX shows that in the past when the PERCENT is close to or greater than 5% or the FORECAST more positive than $0.80, it suggests prices are bottoming and a future price rise may be imminent. On the other hand, if the PERCENT is -4.5% or more negative, or the FORECAST is about -$0.90 or even more negative, then it suggests prices are likely at or near a peak, and a future price decline could be imminent. Note that each stock has its own peculiarities as to what FORECAST and PERCENT readings are extreme. Extreme FORECAST or PERCENT readings for one stock may often be too extreme, or not extreme enough, if applied to another stock. Therefore, the history of past forecasts for a particular stock should be reviewed on its own, independent of other stocks. Even the same stock may change over time as to what constitute extreme readings for its FORECAST and PERCENT. It is advisable to review the most recent forecasts first and then go back to older forecasts, to detect any gradual changes in extreme values.
Such a historic forecast review takes only a few seconds, but it will save a lot of wondering and guessing, and will very likely improve your trading decision-making and performance. Forecast history review will help make your stock timing a lot more accurate and profitable. Some people, on first impression, might think the forecast is for the very next day. It is NOT so. Most of the time, a FORECAST may take two or many more days to fulfill. Occasionally, it only takes just one or two days to fulfill the price change forecasted (i.e. FORECAST). It really depends on the particular stock and its special situation. There are times the forecasts won't be right, or won't be realized. Perfection is not possible. This is no different from real life situations of support and resistance levels that can fail. This can happen in a strongly trending market, where a persistent buying or selling can break resistance or support levels that otherwise could have held. Should this be happening, the FORECAST and PERCENT readings will usually warn you in advance of such potential failure of support or resistance levels with less extreme readings, as prices fail to turn. This is why it is important to pay attention, not just to the degree of extremeness of the FORECAST and PERCENT values, but also to subtle changes in FORECAST and PERCENT readings relative to changes in price. If you do so, you'll rarely suffer any surprises. Thus, it is usually advisable to wait for extreme readings, even though that, by itself, is not a guarantee of profit. Such patient approach, with a willingness to wait, and being alert to extreme FORECAST and PERCENT readings, and their subtle changes, is usually much safer and more rewarding in the long run. This is especially important to beginners or those who have only a modest amount of risk capital, and therefore limited ability to average down (when long), or up (when short). Unless one is extremely experienced and/or has a very large portfolio, it is usually not advisable to trade on minor or modest FORECAST and PERCENT readings. That is not to say that moderate or mild FORECAST and PERCENT readings are always not profitable or worthwhile, because they can be, especially for very short-term players, such as day-traders. Should one decide to trade even the weak FORECAST and PERCENT readings, on should definitely limit his/her risk by committing a lot less risk capital than when the readings are near the recent historic extremes and correspond to
price peaks or bottoms. Some stocks are "better behaved" than others, or "better behaved" at one time than another. If you find a stock behaving poorly with respect to the price forecasts, then do not trade it, or at least avoid it, but find another stock that is "better behaved". The reasons for "poor behavior" can be many and varied. One is strong herd behavior in a particular stock where the high emotion and crowd conformity happen to be dominant, which can lead to either excessive optimism or pessimism at or near price tops or bottoms, leading to extreme swings. Another possibility is the relative low volume of trading in some stocks that can easily exaggerate trader or investor excesses. The FORECAST and PERCENT readings do adjust even for such cases. However, how successful are such adjustment efforts will vary with each stock. It is usually not advisable to trade against the forecasts, especially when the FORECAST and PERCENT readings are strong, i.e. at or near their extremes. In other words, very bullish readings hint that one should probably cover short, reduce or close out other bearish positions such as puts, and go long. Conversely, for very negative FORECAST and PERCENT readings, one should consider selling long, cutting or closing out bullish positions such as naked puts, and probably planning on opening short positions.
It is important that only a small portion of risk capital allocated to a particular stock situation be committed at a time, and one should be prepared to do scale trading. This ensures that potential profit opportunity (whether bullish or bearish) is not missed, yet retains the flexibility and ability to act effectively to counter and take advantage of any unexpected (including adverse) developments. With reliable and precise price forecasts available, averaging down (for long) and up (for short) may be far more sensible and profitable than stop-loss techniques, especially when such scale trades are done at favorable price junctures, and the correct option strategy is used together, as needed.
The trading approach we apply is in fact EXTREMELY conservative. We move from cash into a bearish or short position, or a bullish or long position, only briefly and for a specific purpose, i.e. to capture an anticipated and substantial price movement in a stock. Once that movement is over, typically in a few days at most, we're back in cash -- the safest, zero-risk state of capital preservation. This is not only possible, but made practical, as a result of forecasting both the direction and magnitude of future price movement, permitting very precise and reliable assessment of future risk, both short and
long.
DISCLAIMER: The stock price forecasts herein are for informational purposes only. They are not meant to be specific investment recommendation or advice, and must not be so construed. Please do your own due diligence and consult a qualified investment professional before you invest or trade in any stock. -----------------------------------------------------====================================================== The above stock PRICE forecast document may be freely distributed in its entirety without altering the key data and key contents. You should always provide the above Interpretation Guide with the price forecasts as it is essential for understanding, and for proper interpretation and profitable trading. Additionally, you should always include the DISCLAIMER, shown above, because it is prudent, and for your and your readers' own protection.
Other than not altering the numbers and the essential content, as described above, you may change the data format as you see fit. You are encouraged to jazz up the above core content with your own creative work of any kind, including addition of pictures, charts, RSS, affiliate, Amazon, eBay, Adsense, ClickBank and other links, including Twitter applications, plus any other improvements for your web-page monetization purposes. Let your imagination and creative abilities soar.