Tokyo Residential Market Report 090706_savills

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  • Words: 7,674
  • Pages: 89
Leading International Property Advisors

For:

Tokyo Residential Market Report July 2009

Tokyo: The World’s Largest City by GDP in 2005 and also in 2020 ($1 Billion at PPPs)

• Tokyo’s GDP was the largest in the world in 2005 worth around 1.2 trillion dollars • It is expected to be at the top of the table in 2020, with a GDP worth 1.6 trillion dollars

2005

2020 (estimate)

r ng k el Lo es nd Ch o n ic a go M P ar ex i i co s Ph i la Ci ty O d elp s W a ka hia as hi / K o n b B u g to n e en D os C Ai re Bo s S a s to n o P D a H o au ll a ng l o s/ F o K on rt g W S h or t an h gh Sa a n Se i Fr ou an l A cis tl a co nt a /O ak l H o and us to n M ia To m i ro M n to os co M w um b M ai ad r D e id tr Is o it ta nb S e ul at tle M B ei j et ro in g M an ila

Lo

sA

Yo

w

Ne

To

ky

o

1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0

(Source: United Nations, PwC, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Population of Tokyo: Growth Expected

Tokyo’s population (including its exterior cities) is projected to increase until 2020, peaking at 13.05 million Tokyo’s population will not decrease to its 2005 level until after 2035 Japan (LHS)

Tokyo (RHS)

(Million) 130.0

(Million) 13.2 13.1 13.0 12.9 12.8 12.7 12.6 12.5 12.4 12.3

125.0 120.0 115.0 110.0 105.0 100.0 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2035

Tokyo Residential: Beginning Transaction Cap Rate (%)

Studio Residential

•Residential cap rates reached its lowest level in 2007/2H • Currently, beginning transaction cap rates are expected to be between 50 ~100 basis points higher than its 2007/2H level

Family Residential

Luxury Residential (Low Rise)

Luxury Residential (Tower)

20

03 2 0 /1 0 03 / 20 12 04 2 0 /2 04 2 0 /4 04 2 0 /6 0 2 0 4 /8 04 2 0 /1 0 04 / 20 12 05 2 0 /2 05 2 0 /4 05 2 0 /6 0 2 0 5 /8 05 2 0 /1 0 05 / 20 12 06 2 0 /2 06 2 0 /4 06 2 0 /6 0 2 0 6 /8 06 2 0 /1 0 06 / 20 12 07 2 0 /2 07 2 0 /4 07 2 0 /6 0 2 0 7 /8 07 2 0 /1 0 07 / 20 12 08 2 0 /2 08 2 0 /4 08 2 0 /6 0 2 0 8 /8 08 2 0 /1 0 08 / 20 12 09 2 0 /2 09 /4

7.2 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2

(Source: Japan Real Estate Institute, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Tokyo Residential - Major Investment Transactions

Property

Purchasing Price Price per Tsubo Location

Cap Rate (estimate)

Transaction Date Purchaser

Lietocourt Arx Tower

Cosmos Nishiojima Grand Stage

Concieria Shibakoen

J-Flats Sangenjaya

¥13,000,000,000

¥710,000,000

¥4,000,000,000

¥871,130,000

¥1,808,660

NA

NA

NA

3-8-1, MInato, Chuo Ward, Tokyo

3-5-20,21, Kitasuna, Koto Ward, Tokyo

6-15-1, Shimbashi, Minato Ward, Tokyo

2-16-9, Sangenjaya, Setagaya Ward, Tokyo

5.4%

7.8%

6.0%

5.2%

February 2009

January 2009

December 2008

December 2008

St. Martins

Star Mica

Sumitomo Forestry

Joint REIT

(Source: Real Capital Analytics, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Tokyo 23 Wards: Chiyoda, Chuo, Minato, Shinjuku Shibuya, Shinagawa, Meguro, Ota, Setagaya, Nakano, Suginami, Bunkyo, Toshima, Nerima, Itabashi, Kita, Koto, Sumida, Arakawa, Adachi, Katsushika, Edogawa Area (sq.km) Population (persons) Day Time Population (persons) No. of Households Population Density persons/sq.km

587 7,654,272 11,143,712 4,352,894 13,031

Dwellings by Type of Building Detached Houses Tenament Houses Apartments 1-2 Stories 3-5 Stories 6-10 Stories 11 Stories and Over Other

Total 996,250 68,050 2,754,940 669,090 1,078,460 564,250 442,620 23,170

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Population of Tokyo 23 Wards:

•Population of Tokyo’s 23 wards is expected to grow continuously until around 2020 •Tokyo 23 wards’ population is expected to decrease to below 2005 levels by 2035

(Persons)

Tokyo 23 Wards

8,800,000 8,750,000 8,700,000 8,650,000 8,600,000 8,550,000 8,500,000 8,450,000 8,400,000 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Tokyo 23 Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→0.16% - Number of Units→30.94%

(Yen) Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

15,500

1,600

15,000

1,400

14,500

1,200

14,000

1,000

13,500

800

13,000

600

12,500 12,000

400

11,500

200

11,000

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Tokyo 23 Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 2.89% on a Y-o-Y basis. •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 40.40%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS) 9,000

11,500

8,000 11,000

7,000 6,000

10,500

5,000 10,000

4,000 3,000

9,500

2,000

9,000

1,000 0

8,500 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Tokyo 23 Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 or smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→28.21% - Number of Units→51.60%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

14,000

20,000 18,000

12,000

16,000 14,000

10,000 8,000

12,000 10,000

6,000

8,000 6,000

4,000

4,000 2,000

2,000

0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Central 5 Wards: Chiyoda, Chuo, Minato, Shinjuku, Shibuya Area (sq.km) 75.47 Population (persons) 825,627 Day Time Population (persons) 3,722,952 No. of Households 482,090 Population Density persons/sq.km 52,530

Shinjuku Ward

Chiyoda Ward

Shibuya Ward Chuo Ward

Dwellings by Type of Building Detached Houses Tenament Houses Apartments 1-2 Stories 3-5 Stories 6-10 Stories 11 Stories and Over Other

Total 56,760 8,870 347,030 43,430 106,310 92,250 105,030 7,990

Minato Ward

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Central 5 Wards: Population of Chiyoda, Chuo, Minato, Shinjuku & Shibuya Wards

•Population of the central 5 wards is expected to grow continuously until around 2025 •The population of Chiyoda Ward is expected to grow continuously until around 2030 •The population of Chuo and Minato wards is expected to grow continuously until around 2035

Chiyoda (LHS) Shinjuku (LHS)

(Persons)

Chuo (LHS) Shibuya (LHS)

Minato (LHS) Total (RHS)

(Persons) 940,000 920,000 900,000 880,000 860,000 840,000 820,000 800,000 780,000

350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2035

Chiyoda Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger (Yen)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→9.28% - Number of Units→48.91% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

25,000

100 90

20,000

80 70

15,000

60 50

10,000

40 30

5,000

20 10

0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Chiyoda Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m. (Yen)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→6.98% - Number of Units→61.54% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

15,500

250

15,000 200

14,500 14,000

150

13,500 100

13,000 12,500

50

12,000 0

11,500 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Chiyoda Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 or smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2006/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→2.46% - Number of Units→60.49%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

14,400

350

14,200

300

14,000 13,800

250

13,600 13,400

200

13,200

150

13,000 100

12,800 12,600

50

12,400

0

12,200 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H

Chuo Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Number of contracted units peaked in 2008/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→10.23% - Number of Units→34.29%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

16,000

120

14,000

100

12,000 80

10,000 8,000

60

6,000

40

4,000 20

2,000

0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Chuo Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

(Yen)

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2008/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→4.07% - Number of Units→26.78% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

13,500

600

13,000

500

12,500

400

12,000 300 11,500 200

11,000 10,500

100

10,000

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Chuo Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→3.92% - Number of Units→61.62% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

14,600

700

14,400

600

14,200 14,000

500

13,800

400

13,600 13,400

300

13,200

200

13,000

100

12,800

0

12,600 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H

Minato Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/H1 •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H •- Rental Level→6.13% •- Number of Units→11.42% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

19,500 19,000 18,500 18,000 17,500 17,000 16,500 16,000 15,500 15,000 14,500 14,000

450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Minato Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/H1 •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H •- Rental Level→6.82% •- Number of Units→12.43% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

16,000

1,000 900

15,500

800

15,000

700

14,500

600 500

14,000

400

13,500

300 200

13,000

100 0

12,500 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H •- Rental Levels→4.42% •- Number of Units→48.61%

Minato Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller (Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

16,000 15,800 15,600 15,400 15,200 15,000

1,200 1,000 800 600

14,800 14,600 14,400 14,200 14,000 13,800

400 200 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/1H

Shinjuku Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H •- Rental Level→9.66% •- Number of Units→41.30% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

(Yen) 16,000

100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Shinjuku Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H •- Rental Level→2.10% •- Number of Units→28.42% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

(Yen) 14,000

450

12,000

400 350

10,000

300

8,000

250

6,000

200 150

4,000

100

2,000

50 0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/1H

Shinjuku Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H •- Rental Level→4.76% •- Number of Units→52.44% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

13,800 13,600 13,400 13,200 13,000 12,800 12,600 12,400 12,200 12,000 11,800

1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H

Shibuya Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Number of units contracted peaked in 2003/2H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H •- Rental Level→6.64% •- Number of Units→37.50% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

17,500

250

17,000 200

16,500 16,000

150

15,500 15,000

100

14,500 14,000

50

13,500 0

13,000 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Shibuya Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 5.06% on a Y-o-Y basis •Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 45.22%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

16,000

700

15,500

600

15,000 14,500

500

14,000

400

13,500

300

13,000 12,500

200

12,000

100

11,500

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 0.35% on a Y-o-Y basis

Shibuya Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/2H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 51.76% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

15,500

1,200

15,000

1,000

14,500

800

14,000

600

13,500

400

13,000

200

12,500

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Jyonan District: Shinagawa, Meguro, Ota & Setagaya Wards Setagaya Ward

Area (sq.km) 154.96 Population (persons) 2,093,228 Day Time Population (persons) 2,169,603 No. of Households 1,096,464 Population Density persons/sq.km 13,508

Meguro Ward Shinagawa Ward

Dwellings by Type of Building Detached Houses Tenament Houses Apartments 1-2 Stories 3-5 Stories 6-10 Stories 11 Stories and Over Other

Total 252,510 17,780 694,020 196,120 320,450 117,070 59,670 2,660

Ota Ward

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Jyonan District: Population of Shinagawa, Meguro, Ota & Setagaya Wards (Persons)

Shinagawa (LHS)

Meguro (LHS)

•Population of the Jyonan District is expected to grow continuously until around 2020 •Population of Meguro and Setagaya wards is expected to peak at around 2025 •Population of Shinagawa and Ota wards is expected to peak before 2015 Ota (LHS)

Setagaya (LHS)

Total (RHS)

(Persons) 2,200,000

900,000 800,000

2,180,000

700,000 600,000

2,160,000

500,000

2,140,000

400,000 2,120,000

300,000 200,000

2,100,000 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2035

Shinagawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental levels peaked in 2007/2H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 7.54% •Number of units contracted peaked in 2006/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H was 81.08% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

18,000

160

16,000

140

14,000

120

12,000

100

10,000

80

8,000

60

6,000 4,000

40

2,000

20

0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Shinagawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 - 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→6.38% - Number of Units→48.85% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

14,000

400

12,000

350 300

10,000

250

8,000

200 6,000

150

4,000

100

2,000

50 0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Shinagawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller (Yen)

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2007/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→2.87% - Number of Units→54.12% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

13,000

1,200

12,800 1,000

12,600 12,400

800

12,200 600

12,000 11,800

400

11,600 11,400

200

11,200 0

11,000 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Meguro Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→0.17% - Number of Units→51.67%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

16,000

140

14,000

120

12,000

100

10,000

80

8,000 60

6,000

40

4,000

20

2,000 0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Meguro Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→5.33% - Number of Units→28.57%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

13,500

350

13,000

300

12,500

250

12,000

200

11,500

150

11,000

100

10,500

50

10,000

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Meguro Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of units contracted peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→1.56% - Number of Units→52.42%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS) 800

14,000 13,800

700

13,600 13,400

600

13,200 13,000

500 400

12,800 12,600

300

12,400 12,200

200 100

12,000 11,800

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Ota Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 6.17% on a Y-o-Y basis •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of units→48.39%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

12,000

70

10,000

60 50

8,000

40 6,000 30 4,000

20

2,000

10 0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Ota Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→4.04% - Number of Units→57.22% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

9,000

600

8,800

500

8,600

400

8,400

300

8,200

200

8,000

100 0

7,800 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Ota Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→3.14% - Number of Units→51.23%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

11,400

1,600

11,200

1,400 1,200

11,000

1,000

10,800

800 10,600

600

10,400

400

10,200

200

10,000

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Setagaya Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→1.08% - Number of Units→65.37% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

14,000

300

12,000

250

10,000

200

8,000 150 6,000 100

4,000

50

2,000 0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Setagaya Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 4.25% on a Y-o-Y basis •Number of units contracted peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of Units→53.28% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,800 10,600 10,400 10,200 10,000 9,800 9,600 9,400 9,200 9,000 8,800 8,600

1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Setagaya Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→1.88% - Number of Units→65.25%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

12,400

2,500

12,200

2,000

12,000 11,800

1,500

11,600

1,000

11,400 500

11,200 11,000

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Jyosai District: Nakano & Suginami Area (sq.km) Population (persons) Day Time Population (persons) No. of Households Population Density persons/sq.km

Nakano Ward

49.61 826,197 725,015 465,962 16,654 Suginami Ward

Dwellings by Type of Building Detached Houses Tenament Houses Apartments 1-2 Stories 3-5 Stories 6-10 Stories 11 Stories and Over Other

Total 103,130 11,120 298,320 128,460 119,940 39,680 9,840 1,830

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Jyosai District: Population of Nakano & Suginami (Persons)

•Population of the Jyosai District is expected to peak at around 2015 •Population of Nakano Ward is expected to peak at around 2010 •Population of Suginami Ward is expected to peak at around 2015 Nakano (LHS)

Suginami (LHS)

(Persons)

Total (RHS)

600,000

860,000

550,000

850,000

500,000

840,000

450,000

830,000

400,000

820,000

350,000

810,000

300,000

800,000

250,000

790,000 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2035

Nakano Ward: Rental Level 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→6.24% - Number of Units→54.17%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

9,500

30

9,000

25 20

8,500

15 8,000

10

7,500

5

7,000

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Nakano Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past five years. Rental levels increased by 5.29% on a Y-o-Y basis •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of units→63.06% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,200

350

10,000

300

9,800

250

9,600

200

9,400

150

9,200 9,000

100

8,800

50

8,600

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Nakano Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→0.70% - Number of Units→62.90% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

11,400

1,000 900 800 700 600

11,200

500 400

12,000 11,800 11,600

300 200 100 0

11,000 10,800 10,600 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Suginami Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 12.72% on a Y-on-Y basis •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of Units→83.02% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

12,000

60

10,000

50

8,000

40

6,000

30

4,000

20

2,000

10 0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Suginami Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 3.77% on a Y-on-Y basis •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of Units→71.72%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

9,600

450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0

9,400 9,200 9,000 8,800 8,600 8,400 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Suginami Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→2.04% - Number of Units→66.35% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

11,900

1,400

11,800

1,200

11,700

1,000

11,600

800

11,500 600

11,400

400

11,300 11,200

200

11,100

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Jyohoku District: Bunkyo, Toshima, Nerima, Itabashi, Kita & Taito

Itabashi Ward Kita Ward

Nerima Ward

Area (sq.km) 135.32 Population (persons) 2,110,284 Day Time Population (persons) 2,312,486 No. of Households 1,083,801 Population Density persons/sq.km 97,010

Toshima Ward Bunkyo Ward Taito Ward

Dwellings by Type of Building Detached Houses Tenament Houses Apartments 1-2 Stories 3-5 Stories 6-10 Stories 11 Stories and Over Other

Total 261,370 18,260 690,130 176,190 267,390 136,940 109,620 6,210

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Jyohoku District: Population of Bunkyo, Toshima, Nerima, Itabashi & Kita (Persons)

•Population of the Jyohoku District is expected to peak at around 2020 •Population of Bunkyo and Nerima wards is expected to peak at around 2025 •Population of Toshima, Itabashi, Kita and Taito wards is expected to peak between 2010 - 2015

Bunkyo (LHS)

Toshima (LHS)

Nerima (LHS)

Kita (LHS)

Taito (LHS)

Total (RHS)

Itabashi (LHS)

(Persons) 2,250,000

800,000 700,000

2,200,000

600,000 500,000

2,150,000

400,000

2,100,000

300,000 2,050,000

200,000

2,000,000

100,000 2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2035

Bunkyo Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2003/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→9.39% - Number of Units→51.28% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS) 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

11,400 11,200 11,000 10,800 10,600 10,400 10,200 10,000 9,800 9,600 9,400 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 Bunkyo Ward: years. Rental levels increased by 4.30% on a Y-o-Y Rental Level basis. Sized 40 – 80 Sq.m. •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of Units→63.80% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

11,500

300

11,000

250

10,500

200

10,000

150

9,500

100

9,000

50

8,500

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Bunkyo Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H •Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H • - Rental Levels→2.09% - Number of Units→65.92%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

12,600

800

12,500 12,400

700

12,300 12,200

500

600

12,100

400

12,000 11,900

300

11,800 11,700

100

200

0

11,600 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Toshima Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels and number of contracted units both peaked in 2007/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→22.97% - Number of Units→69.23% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

12,000

30

10,000

25

8,000

20

6,000

15

4,000

10

2,000

5

0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Toshima Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→2.19% - Number of Units→41.67% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,200 10,000 9,800 9,600 9,400 9,200 9,000 8,800 8,600 8,400 8,200

350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Toshima Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→1.59% - Number of Units→58.82%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS) 1,200

11,800 11,700 11,600 11,500 11,400 11,300 11,200 11,100 11,000 10,900 10,800 10,700

1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Nerima Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2003/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→14.40% - Number of Units→91.67%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000

30 25 20 15 10

2,000 1,000 0

5 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

•Rental Levels peaked in 2006/1H Nerima Ward: •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m. Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→1.79% - Number of Units→61.09%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS) 600

7,600 7,500 7,400 7,300 7,200 7,100 7,000 6,900 6,800 6,700

500 400 300 200 100 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Nerima Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→4.02% - Number of Units→64.71% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,600 10,500 10,400 10,300 10,200 10,100 10,000 9,900 9,800 9,700 9,600

1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Itabashi Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→9.51% - Number of Units→75.00%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS) 14

8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0

12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Itabashi Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→5.85% - Number of Units→61.38%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

8,500

400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0

8,000 7,500 7,000 6,500 6,000 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Itabashi Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→2.08% - Number of Units→51.01%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,400

1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0

10,200 10,000 9,800 9,600 9,400 9,200 9,000 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Kita Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→24.56% - Number of Units→73.68%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,000

20

8,000

15

6,000 10 4,000 2,000

5

0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Kita Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

Rental Levels and number of contracted units both peaked in 2008/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→3.84% - Number of Units→67.50%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

9,000

250

8,500

200

8,000

150

7,500

100

7,000

50

6,500

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Kita Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→4.58% - Number of Units→60.45% Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,800

600

10,600

500

10,400

400

10,200

300

10,000

200

9,800

100

9,600

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Taito Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→41.28% - Number of Units→96.88%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

12,000

35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Taito Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 1.22% on a Y-o-Y basis. •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of Units→41.83%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,500

300

10,000

250

9,500

200

9,000

150

8,500

100

8,000

50

7,500

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Taito Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→1.82% - Number of Units→53.31%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

11,600

800

11,400 11,200

700 600

11,000

500

10,800

400

10,600

300

10,400

200

10,200 10,000

100 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Jyoto District: Koto, Sumida, Arakawa, Adachi, Katsushika & Edogawa Area (sq.km) 172.02 Population (persons) 1,798,936 Day Time Population (persons) 2,213,656 No. of Households 1,224,577 Population Density persons/sq.km 273,145

Adachi Ward

Katsushika Ward

Arakawa Ward Sumida Ward Edogawa Ward

Dwellings by Type of Building Detached Houses Tenament Houses Apartments 1-2 Stories 3-5 Stories 6-10 Stories 11 Stories and Over Other

Total 322,480 12,020 725,440 124,890 264,370 178,310 158,460 4,480

Koto Ward

(Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs, at home, Savills Research & Consultancy)

Jyoto District: Population of Koto, Sumida, Arakawa, Adachi, Katsushika & Edogawa (Persons)

•Population of the Jyoto District is expected to peak at around 2015 •Population of Koto, Sumida, and Arakawa wards is expected to peak at around 2020 •Population of Adachi and Katsushika wards is expected to peak before 2010 •Population of Edogawa Ward is expected to peak at around 2035

Sumida (LHS)

Koto (LHS)

Arakawa (LHS)

Katsushika (LHS)

Edogawa (LHS)

Total (RHS)

Adachi (LHS) (Persons)

700,000

2,650,000

600,000

2,600,000

500,000

2,550,000

400,000 2,500,000

300,000 200,000

2,450,000

100,000

2,400,000 1

2

3

4

5

6

(Source: National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Savills Research & Consultancy)

7

Koto Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→7.19% - Number of Units→68.89%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Koto Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→2.24% - Number of Units→36.46%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,000

300

8,000

250 200

6,000

150 4,000

100

2,000

50

0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Koto Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 8.22% on a Y-o-Y basis. Number of contracted units peaked in 2008/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of Units→18.14%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

12,000

800 700

11,500

600 500

11,000

400 10,500

300 200

10,000

100 0

9,500 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Sumida Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→45.05% - Number of Units→71.43%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,000

8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Sumida Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

Rental levels in 2008/2H was the highest in the past 5 years. Rental levels increased by 9.76% on a Y-o-Y basis. Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Number of Units→30.68%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,000

300

8,000

250 200

6,000

150 4,000

100

2,000

50 0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Sumida Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→4.77% - Number of Units→46.50%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS) 700 600

12,000 11,500

500

11,000

400

10,500

300 200

10,000 9,500

100 0

9,000 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Arakawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→9.25% - Number of Units→80.00%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,000

12

8,000

10 8 6

6,000 4,000

4 2 0

2,000 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Arakawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2004/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→4.83% - Number of Units→54.66%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS) 200

8,400 8,200 8,000 7,800 7,600 7,400 7,200 7,000

150 100 50 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Arakawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels and number of contracted units both peaked in in 2005/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→7.83% - Number of Units→35.08%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

11,000

350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0

10,500 10,000 9,500 9,000 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Adachi Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→9.34% - Number of Units→98.63%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0

80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Adachi Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→5.93% - Number of Units→62.86%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

6,800 6,600 6,400 6,200 6,000 5,800 5,600 5,400 5,200

350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Adachi Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2006/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→1.66% - Number of Units→49.36%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

9,200 9,000

500 400

8,800 8,600

300

8,400 8,200

200 100

8,000 7,800

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Katsushika Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2005/2H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→37.57% - Number of Units→75.00%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0

10 8 6 4 2 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Katsushika Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels peaked in 2008/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→3.24% - Number of Units→65.00%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

6,600

300

6,500 6,400 6,300

250 200 150

6,200 6,100

100 50

6,000 5,900

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Katsushika Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2006/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→2.41% - Number of Units→61.59%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

9,400 9,200

350 300

9,000

250

8,800

200

8,600 8,400

150 100

8,200 8,000

50 0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Edogawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 80 sq.m. Or Larger

•Rental Levels peaked in 2005/1H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2007/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→24.56% - Number of Units→73.68%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,000

20

8,000

15

6,000 10 4,000 2,000

5

0

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Edogawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 – 80 sq.m.

•Rental Levels and number of contracted units both peaked in 2008/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→3.84% - Number of Units→67.50%

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

(Yen)

No. of Units (RHS)

9,000

250

8,500

200

8,000

150

7,500

100

7,000

50

6,500

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

Edogawa Ward: Rental Level Sized 40 sq.m. Or Smaller

•Rental Levels peaked in 2007/2H •Number of contracted units peaked in 2004/1H Rate of decrease between peak and 2008/2H - Rental Level→4.58% - Number of Units→60.45%

(Yen)

Rent per Month per Tsubo (LHS)

No. of Units (RHS)

10,800

600

10,600

500

10,400

400

10,200

300

10,000

200

9,800

100

9,600

0 2003/2H

2004/1H

2004/2H

2005/1H

2005/2H

2006/1H

(Source: Residential Index Forum, Savills Research & Consultancy)

2006/2H

2007/1H

2007/2H

2008/1H

2008/2H

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