The Second Fault Line

  • Uploaded by: julymoe
  • 0
  • 0
  • December 2019
  • PDF

This document was uploaded by user and they confirmed that they have the permission to share it. If you are author or own the copyright of this book, please report to us by using this DMCA report form. Report DMCA


Overview

Download & View The Second Fault Line as PDF for free.

More details

  • Words: 4,409
  • Pages: 8
'kwd,tdrf EdkifiHwumpmayqufqHa&;tiftm;pk P.O Box 201 Rochester, NY 14580------Ph: 585-957-6452----Fax: 585-671-4707 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………        “  ”

! “  

"!

# ”$%  " !#   &

…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………

   # '  ($ $ )  * 

$  *.# !/

“ . 5# ..'$  $% “



0 12   (#$3 $ 42 

# $2 1 2#

 $ 2 $  & 2 2% ..

!0

02 '#90   2    $:2 % "$%

“#2 $%

!7 

  

22%;10  $ ..

 …

 1  '   &  

"2 2!/2 0

$2 .

22%$3 !    <  5# $%*! $  

02 *'#90 $  

…

 $' $ #! $ "$%

!0

 *7 "2 %# "$%!0!7  ! $    "  $$ $ 

$  :   0

!7 $= $   ” $

$#

$2 $     

# :7

$3$ ' "!   ”$% & ;$%

  > '$ 

4  ,AAB

0 !! ;2%

$2 1  !

$  $808 '$  C 

4 

 2 $

  

  #

# "!  & #2 $%%

 #

$  *   :7*@2$$$  !

     2 2 2

$2 1  !<

 0 

$ $

2

 !2%

 # ;"!  &

 8  ! &

 $3 > $ "$%$3 ! 22 92! 8 42%2 92! 2 %#  $ : ; & #$3 !0 



;"!  &

“ ! $ !$ D  2%#$ 2 “; ” < 40$ !  $ #  0 !! 

> ?2 

 0 

$3# $% #  2 &

    " 4  $#3 $   “; ” :

!! 

"$$# : ; &

'=    !  ” $ "$$# "!  &

  . 4000< 504 5  %2 3  ..!$2 ! 2% >  “#2 $%*

#$2 $ 0 *”

$2 ...    0$  #$3*8 !

!   $%$  &

!0$2 $2 1  $ '$  $  ” $%$ & 4    

   (,)

$0 2 %   2 7<

#$3 !0  2    !0 # # 2 E!

 "# $$%   4 $

"!



# …..

# (Second Fault line ) $ 0  ' #   &

10 ( Yalta Conference) 4$E!!

0 !!  (#V0$:$  (W) $ $ 8$ 0 2 8'$ 



 !$  ' 

2( !0$2 $

$2 1  !< 5$$2 2% $50 1  !  "!  "2  4 ! <##0 2% ! $%% & XYWZ ""C8 0< ;$2 2  “” $3* ' :< :! $ $ $  0 (B) 0 *2  %"!  &   “10” $

 *7 2% 7

 $ '$ $ 

8  !# 1 $  $ ; &



! 1

$2 1  !2%5$$2 $1 ; &

##01 ! *2 0 $

 *7'$ $

$ 2;"!  & XYWW 

2

 !8  $ $  $

 $   !$$3*$8 !2 ##0

1

!$ $ 2;"!  &    !7 

2  ! (## $3#  $  ;  & 8 !2 ##0   $2 $   $20  < ;( 0  ' ! '$  < 5$$2  #3 $   ($ '$ $ :2 (0< ;($ 50  '$ 2%   2% 5$$2 '$  $ '2

10

 #8;"$%

;

$3;  & !  $ &  8 !2 ##0 ! $ ;2%$3  ..

   )    $ (XY) ! 4! $!0

 2%#1  "$%$3 !  "!  & !  (,A) !  5$$2 :



 0 '$ 

"! 2##20$$    2 & 4 

$2

1  !*  “4 ! ” 1 ##0* '[$     &

“4 ! ” ..    4$E!! $8  "$%$$ $1  2 #

3%'$  4  ;$%



# $> $ '$ 

 

 *7'$ *



 

"!  <  1 1  2 #  4$E!!

 "!  & 4    (B)   ;102 

;$  $

 2%  0  ' 

 <

 *7'$ 

# # $  &

# "!  & C$50 1  !8 0 ! " "$% $

$3#   ; &

$50 1  !*808 '$  > $ $  2 “4 ! ”  ! $ !# 1 $"$%$3 !  & $50 1  !  *7'$ *'$  @2 ;*.$;% # '$  

 

C  8  ! " $% & 4     $  $

(    #  "$%” $ “4 ! ”  $50 1  !2%



0  

$

  

22%

 *7'$ :

# "!  &

# 1   & )! 1 ; $%$ &

;  

4  “”10*;10$ '$  (B) '$ 

 *7'$ 

C;10$ “ 4! $!0*:

  ”$%    &

 1 $'$  ' 0     4 !  2   &

5$$2

1 1 ;; 8 !2 ##0$ ; 2"   ! $  &

“$% !42 ” 10 ( Potsdam Conference ) “ 2  ' ! '70  

  :   0 

;: ;$%*;*

!1  $$ !$  2 !"# 0 ! "$%82   : ; &#2 $%:7'$ $



"*

2 !   $ ..E  $ # 

0

#    '$ < !$ D  ! # "! 2 ;<   $ 2

 $% #  2    



70

$

! 0  2

  # !0   2  $

 ”

$2 1  !*  ! "!     (#V0'$ $ 1  0 2 ;%8  40 $ 8 # !0      %; $%$

  $2 %2 $

$2 1  !$2  

  ;   4 ! * 10  $50 1  ! $ 0 ' !  :2 $ ; & ! > $  (#V0'$  $50 2 92!   1 40$ !



   "!  &

C;10 <  

 *   (#2 2 92!  0*2 2 

$2 1  !70   2

 !*(#V0'$ 

70 $70 1   < 4$E!! $"2 0 ; (#2 " ! *





; $

 #% $1 !$ $ 2 &

C!0   2

<;! *

!0

!7 :

   ; 2 !   $

  $     2 & 40$;8 4: $50 1  !$ 2 %# 1  # "! 0 < 7* $ #  $$$  $%  & “

$2 1  !

2 (#V0$#3 $ 0 7$> $ "$%$3 ! 2 < $%1

$%$50    "  &“!   $ 2 ; &  2 

C

 *(#V0$ $50 *$ $    ”

$2 1  !: (#V0 2)08 4$ # 

 $3 2  $ < !0   "%"$3 $70 !   $ 2 & 4 : ! $!$

'  

  "! !

  2 D$

  "!  ”   (#V01

!$ !$

2 1 1  

C      

!! 

>>"!   $ 1 *!0   :

#

1 $   '$  $% 0 (B) 0 2 1 

C 0   &  @2 !0

$ $70 1 $ $3 $ ! $  &

( 4$E!!

2

0 2 ; 2% 808 '$  $ 402%"! # 2 $2 ! $   "2 %# <

 $ 7 0   !# $% “10”2% “$% !42 10”

(# (#0<;$2 $



 *7'$ * 0$2

 $   "!   & 51

2#$3  $  & #2 % $  ! ! "# <2 $   & 40

2

  $2 <

# $

51 5$ #3 ..  $  &)

  (

$  ! )

XYW_ (#9$    !$$3*  2

$2 

 “(#2 22 ” '$  (#2 0$  ! $%  &

40    $50 2 92! *8$   0 ;%*  

#

 $" 0 2

(Containment Strategies)

$2 1  !  '$   ;$

$2 1  !: 2 92! 8 4 0  :5#9:$!

"! ;$#  & (#2 22      

"! 21 0  & ;     (X) $50 2 92! :

#

#



   & 1 "C &

 $ “ 22 ! 1” ( Long Telegram)

  

  E$ 82 ;

"!  2 &

(,) $  ! 8 4 2% $  40$!0$ $ : < 2 ;"!  & (B) $50 1  !:

  E $ 2 2 92! $ :$ "%0 #3 $

(W) $50 *  :   ;#$3  *



 < $ $ $ 1 $ 2!0   2%$ ; &

$ !7 #  21 0    *'$    ( < (Z) $50 2 92!

 #$  &

!$ "%!1 :…  1 $ "! # 2

c!$   "!  &

< $ $

 

   2 %#  ! 2 &

$2 . "2  ! 4  $50 2% :1 $'$ 3 '$  $%; ;%$  ;  … 4$E!!

0  1  $50 1  !:$$!!   % $  & $  ! 0# 2%

$2 1  !2%:$ '$ $$ $2 %2! & (X) ! : 4$E!!

(,) $50 !!  $ #  

 

0   $50 *!!



$2 1  !*



 0  !! #0:

  

 $##! "$% $ &

 *7'$ 2 "$% $ &

4  0'$  

    $

 $$   0  &

( 4 : “” 10 # !7 ..!  ! 4 $  ($8 $#$3 " "!  $% (B) $50 1  ! : ($'$  2 92!  2 $ 2 2 2;$



$2    ! $ )

 2 &

(W) $3 2   $50 1  !: ! $% ! ( Bosporous) 2% 4 $2 ( Dardane)    $% 2$ $ $;0'$    ! 3"

%$ "$

(Z) $50 2 92! :

  2 & 02 '$  $ $$ $   ;%* !!  $2 1   "$% $2 &

(#2 22 2% ;%*2 92!  0  21 5#9:# 40

# $!$ $ 2

2 92! * ?2

0

$2 1  ! '$    : (#2 22 * )    '$   ;8 4$ 0

'= $ 0  $!$;  & $50

 “(#$ " !  ”  ;%*   #   !!  $ 

() $50 1  !   !! 



()

$2 1  ! E

   

(()

$2 1  !:

(c)

' %

  5 

$2   82 0



 $ > $  '$  &

 $ $ 2 &

 : $ 0

  2   &

4  ..  $%$50 1  !  !!  ' $ .. $%$ & 4  

 .

   $3 > $  '$ ! $  & #

$2 1  !*!  2 !

 *2 #* $  $"$%

# (W) # $  &

$2 . “;  ”  $50 

$2 1  !

 !! 

# $

22%'#90   2 2%2 1 $  $%

$2 

 #2 

# (B) # 2%

 $!  %2 $ 2 $! !7 !  &



g2 $ ;10

“2$ !!

 !$ "%!1  :“

$2 7'$  @2$   8     <   .. > $ 

(#V0 $' $  ! "$%"!  ” $% 2$ !!

2$ !!

 !$%$  ..

"* ( NATO)

 !$    Load Ismay  "C$ &

$2 70  2 92! 2 %# 

( #$3*$ 2 92! !2! $3# 0 2 “ NATO ” !!

  2$ !!

4$E!!

!#3

 !$! "%!1 "$% '$   ; 5$$2 2%  ! "!  &

   $%2 1 ! 2  2 ) $2 1  ! ! !1  * :  &

0  .. 5$$2 2%  !    ;10!#3 $#3 $0 !!  :$ "% & XYWm     ;10

 $ ; $$    2 & 4  ..

$2 1  !*

2 n$1  !7 !  &  

'$  @2 8   8   $ (X)

 !$%;$#  &

 !  

"! $ #* & 4 ..7 $! *$50 2 92!  !!  #9 #  ;$%*!!  :$

2 1 '$ 

2 7'$ : !! 

2 7'$ 

#$3   8 4 2 1 70  "!  $

(B) 5$$2 : 4$E!!

 $ 0

  



#$2   1 $'$ 

$2 1  !*7



 $ 0 0  2  &

2 7'$  !$ $ $ 2 %2 &

0 1  !0     # 0 "$""! 2 & 7   8 #$2   #1 $'$ 

2 n$

 21 2  &

=2 $ ;10 !! 

 2% ;

"%:

# (B) # $  $%$ &

$2 1  !  8 2% $50 1  !*!!  $ 0 "$%$"! '$ ; & $50 !!

(,) (#V0 '$ * ! "$%

 2    "   <

#$3

$2 1  !*.

"%



8 < !! 

$   ' !        $1  <

2% $ '$ < 21 5#9:; Symmetrical War "!  &   < !1 !$ ; $   <

$0  !!  ( XYZA-ZB)  $0   2 2$      Bm #7 $3 $# 0  $0  '$ 0$ #9 # $ 

 <

$2 70  (q 

$0  2 92! $2 1    ( $50  3  !0$$     <  1 ;%.'$ $ (q

"%8

"!

$

  3"$% 2 2#$2 "!  )& 4 

 2 92!  20  $0  !! $8 $  &

$ ! : 8 * $0  !! 

%

4  "; $ 

$2 !!  <  $0  '$ 

$2 . ; 

 !! $ !"$

2

 !

$   #9 # $ $   <  C   &

 ! ( XYZB----XYrX)

3

 ' $ 2!7

$  : 8

!$ $$ 2 & 4  1 50 2          ! 

$2 1  ! $

;

10 



$ ! : 8

!$  !! $

$2 !! 

22%

$ $ 8    "$% $ & $2 .  0  $

$ ! : 8 *     ' !    ;10!!

D$ 0    & 2 92!

$2 1  !$$ $ $ $  :$ '$  $ ! : 8 *

C$ $ 

'= 



 $ #* < 5#9:2 '#90  !!  2 2%$ $ 

'= $ 0 !' ! $  &

'= $ 0 21 5#9:$ Central Deterrence $%C0 <

$2 1  !*

C 0 5#9:$ Extended Deterrence $%C &

 ! ( New Look) $*    & '#90    !

XYZ_   $50 1  ! E$  ($3  “Sputnik” $

"%"%0 2 92!

'= $  0 "$%$3 !  &

  >  $ 

 < $50   $  (BZAA)

# !  '$  ICBM (Iintercontinental ballistic missile) $ $ 20$$  $  & $50 * ! $ 0 $ :

$2 1  !

First Strike $%C '#90   2 2%$ $  4$$ $ < $$ $ 

 " 

  

   $   '$ ; $$  $  &

 !7 !  &40)  

$! ! > $  &   ! $ "2 %# $

(#2

 3   $%! $  & $2 1  !1 Atlas A $%C ICBM

$3 ! $  &

 " 240 ( XYrX-- XYrB)

240    !#$3    & Flexible Response $%C    %2 $ #  & 2 92! $  0 "$% (X) $50 2%

$3 $ $

 $2  $  &



(,) 1 ;;$"$' $  ..21 $ 2%#    50 2

!$ $ 

 50 2

!$ :    $#  3< !!

 50 2

!$ *

V   10

$2 1  ! * (B)  $ $%!!  (W) !$

;

$' !   $  " ! $  &

102%  50 2 $

 #3 "$% !! 5$ #3 70 

$  #   $50 1  !2%

!$ $ !0   $ $%

   &

V$ "$%$3 !  & 4  50 2 2 92!  V $  &

 *(#V0<

2 (#V0@2$ $ $  &

22%.#9  '$ *  1  $   $ 

  $ 0 $ $% ..$50 2% ! $ @2$

 $ "  &

$ 42 (#2  ( XYrB----XYrY) 240    50 2

!$ 0$

 50 2 2 92! 

# #  Tet Offensive $ ' &

0

$2



$ (XrAAA) $ 22 ' ! 20  $  $  & XYrm   $  : 8 * 4$0'$0

$0 $  2 2 1  &

2!  ( XYrY---XY_W) 50 2 !! $

 $2  ;

"! ;$# 

$2 .2!      MAD C!0$#   & $50    )1 2%% &

SALT I $%C  ! !! ! $    $2 %  0 ;10$#3 $ &  1 ;%.'$ * 

 !0 2%1 % '  &    $50 1  !$$2 $  "$%  1 2%      "$%



02 $ 2 

    &

 1  !/2 $ ;10  &

(# 0 ( XY__---XYmX) (# 0   .. 4 ..XY_Y  

02     2%:$

$$20  

40' !   $50 1  ! !0

$ 

 

* !!   $

"!   1 $ 2 &

02   2  

$2 1  !2%

02 ' ! '$ *  0    &

"2 2!/2 $#9 #  &

"2 2!/2   3  &  4 *

    "!  

!2   $

   < !!  # <    3   &

4     $50 1  !2% SALT II ;10$%C ICBM <   {C2! > $% SLBM (Submarine-launched Ballistic Missiles)



8 <

0 ! 5 7 <  $

2 %

 2%  "$%

 ;10 &

 2 ( ( XYmX--XYmY) $50 1  ! XY_Y    $   7$$2  '$ "$%

"2 2!/2 $#9 # $ $ 0 $ 2 …

   

;

10$

 <

 $2  $  & “ $ 8

"$ 2%  

$ ..2 92! 2 %# 

 ” $2 %2 $ >  !! 

$ $

 $2  $  &

2 (#V0  2$ 70  0  ! 4 #1 $"2 %# $  &

( $50 "2 %#    ! 4 #1 $ 2 1 #$2  $  "!  &) $50 1  ! *  < ($%: )

2 $ $ '#90  !! $%2 "$%

 Strategic Defense Initiate $"*!1  &

$50   (C5(#5 2% (W) $ % & XYm_  .. $ --BAA 2% $ BWAA # ! > 2$  8 ! <$! ..   4 #1 $"#  $ ! "$% ' ! '$ ; & (C5# *"$ C XYmY   $ $3# & 2 (,) ' !

( *“

$2 *8” !

  !$}$  !#  !0  

 .$2 %2   &

  $50 ;20$3 &

  ;:(C5#

 !$ $  &

(C5# : 3   $2 22 2 ! 2

 .. $ 1

 < ;%*



'=

 !$ $    $%$ &

!!  !! 

$ 

2 …

$  …

$2 .

  *21 5#9:$1 $  $ 2 92! 8 42 % 

:$ '$  $#$3 ;10%2 2% '#90   2 $3 <



4 $ Symmetrical Warfare $%C$'$  & $50 1  !$3 0 !! 

 $50 1  !2%;%*

 1$3 $ 3  "!  &

$ 0  

 <

$2 1  !

 $3  

 $#$3 "!  & E!



!0

!7 ! $###   '$ 

$2 1  !*'$   ;8 4$!  !$2 C"!  $

0   “4 :;!$2 ”! $   & ;8$ '$ $ 8  #9 # $  "!   & XY_Y  $50 #9 # $ ;(#:4 2% ;%*;(#:4 $ "C$ " $ $2 1  !0;10 4   40

;

; $ $ 

$  0  ! 2  

2

 !$2 "$% $  &

50  $70  2;  4 *;(#:4  2 $  *!

!2   $2 !! !2 

;1 $1  *2 & #  

($ $ )  : ;$%

~



 $  1 

!/ 

02 $:$ '$ 

2  $ '$ '$  "!  & 4  1  40 #$3 !0  < :5#9:

 $$<

$! 4     $$   &  40

 "   "!  ;

$2 1  ! 1  $ .. XY_Y  

;

$2 1  ! $

50    2

 !2%

$ "# 0 2 $%!  &

"! 2  $ 1 

!$ *1 ;;

 $3   &

 *

 $  

C !  3 $$2<

 #    &

   4$ ,AAX !   (XX)  2% 

"!

 "  

# ( Second Fault Line )

 "    (2 ( 808 '$  )< 2% 2  

' !  $!$2 C$ $ $ 0 2 .. @2

$! 4  40 $ '   &

10 0 4 :;!$2 $ ;8$ 2$   &

$2 1  !  “

 " 

C!!   $8 :  $#

2  @2..

70 # ! ( ($ $ )  )

C!! ” ( War on Terrorism)  $>  $   &

D$  " $$ * $ 2  &

$2 1  !: ;%*!!  $#    

#  ;2 2% $ "$%



 < $3  '$ *!!  ! 1 ( 4  : )

 #     "!  &  < 21 5#9: < %2 * ; Symmetrical Warfare "!  &

 #..;%2 : <  2% %2  ; Asymmetrical Warfare "!  & 4  $ !!   ; & $$  Asymmetrical  $ < 2 % 2   !#$3 !2%     2 $2 .(# 2 1 2$!/$   &

4 

 "   

 "  

$%2 2%

' % 2 & ,AA, ' ! 1  $! 4 $" "$%$   $0

 2$%2  &    2  $!/…

 "  $ '$ $ ;"! 

 (#0205;10  $  “!!

# 8 $$ 2!$; $%$$   & 4  02 $" 0 ' $ ! !!   $! 4 * "2

02

 $ 4

"%8 : '$ $ 

 "  $" $

 ..'$ $ 

"%

!1 

 .. 

 $ 4

 " 

"! !!   & 02 !!  

!1  ( Non-state actors ) 2%    2; 2  "

!1 < ;%

 

 ! 1 

  E8   1   $ 2' !

; !  8 2   8  "%

"2 '$  < "! !!   $ 2 "!  &

"! !!   $  (#0205;10$$ 2 $  $%  2  ;$ 2  &

;  !2;10 

'$ 

"% !1 "!  & 4  02 

#7  ” $ 

  !$ 2  &

!$ $  ;"!  & 4     4 2%;  "!  &  $%…

02 

"%

 "

  

 "  2

:  ; & 2  82 # <

"%< '$  20

"%…!

 2 0&     $ '$ 

"%



!$ :  !

$

  3 

!1 $1 ' ! # !!!  ;   & 4  40 3% $ 2

!1  2 % 2  < n2 #$3 !2%1 $ 2

 "

"%

!1 <"!  & $0 $  808 '$  $

30 

;   !"!  & !! 

$ 0   ..($ $ )  :

($ $ )  : 808 '$  * 

 

   # # 2..2  (XA) ' !

"! 2 1  $   &

 

4  808 '$ 

! C ..2   @2< '$ )  $  ! "$%

'$ 0  $



; !# !  & ( 10$

4 :#2 $% $    4$ 

"!



 *7'$ *.$2 #$#$3  ;1   )

# "!   &

($ $ )  < 808 '$     $" "$% '$ $1 $  $

 !7 ! # 1 '  2  & 7…

4  @2

"! 2 $2

  '$ "! 2 & $%40'$   !0   "%"$3 $  $ 1 !0$2 

 "  $  ! '$ 

'#90 

 "  *$2$5€2 

 0 

#$3 

 

"!    

 $ '$   &

#$3 !0  $ 2 1 $ '$  &

'g $   < $2  ! $   !2! 2%

 *

 $   <

"2 2!/2   <

02

 *7$> $    " 4   …..

!7 ! !$2 1    808 '$  2 0 > $ 2;$% $  &

$2 1  ! 2$'$   2

4 

 2

"!

 3"$%

$2 1  !

“4! $!0< 

#

$2 '$   82 0 :00 2   $$ 2  & 2  !  3   40 50  $'$ 02
 < !! 
# (W) # : '$ 



$ 0$2"!   &

 0   8 "! 2 &

  2"!  ' !  2% 808 '$   # 0 2  …. $2 1  !  $2  70  0 ! $  2 $$3    "$%$ $  &

 $$

"! ..

$2 *8<

%

 $ 8

3$    &

Sources William I. Hitchcook * The Struggle for Europe Donald M. Snow * National Security for A New Era !   #  $;   &

Related Documents


More Documents from ""

12newsm
December 2019 40
Thanshwe Speech
April 2020 21
88
May 2020 40
The Life Of The Buddha
July 2020 20
Turboc
May 2020 27