Acquisition of Skype
Legal disclosures placeholder This presentation contains non-GAAP measures relating to the company's performance. You can find the reconciliation of those measures to GAAP measures in the tables of our earnings release which is available through our investor relations website located at http://investor.ebay.com/downloads/Reconciliation.pdf. In addition, this presentation may contain forward-looking statements regarding matters that involve risk and uncertainty, including those relating to the future financial results of Skype and eBay, and the impact of the acquisition of Skype on eBay’s financial results. Our actual financial results could differ materially from those represented in this presentation. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, the receipt and timing of the closing of the transaction, the possibility that the transaction may not close, the reaction of the users of Skype’s services, the future growth of Skype’s user base, the reaction of competitors and regulatory agencies to the transaction, developments in the regulation of voice-over-Internet protocol (VoIP) services including those provided by Skype, and the possibility that integration following the transaction may be more difficult than expected. More information about factors that could affect the company’s operating results is included under the captions “Risk Factors That May Affect Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in the company’s annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and current reports on Form 8-K, copies of which may be obtained by visiting the company’s investor relations site at http://investor.ebay.com. Undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements in this release, which are based on information available to the company on the date hereof eBay assumes no obligation to update such statements.
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The acquisition of Skype
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eBay is evolution
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1996 – 1998: US only, collectibles only
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1999 – Moving beyond collectibles
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1999 – Going global
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2000 – Introducing Fixed Price and eBay Stores
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2002 – PayPal: removing friction and building a huge new business
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2004 – 2005: Creating other marketplaces Æ Marktplaats, Mobile, Rent.com, Shopping.com, Kijiji, ProStores
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Common theme – expanding our vision, our market and our opportunity
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Aspirational goal of growing faster than e-commerce
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High performance company (Real 2003 $M)
1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1 1
5
9
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
Years Since Incorporation
41
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High performance company (Real 2003 $M)
1,000,000 100,000 GMV TPV
10,000 1,000 100 10 1 1
5
9
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
Years Since Incorporation
41
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Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce
• Skype will accelerate commerce on eBay • Skype opens up new lines of business, new monetization models, new geographies • A great standalone communications business • eBay + PayPal + Skype = Unparalleled e-commerce and communications engine
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Agenda
What is Skype? Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce A great standalone business Financials
8
Simply powerful
Any Skype user in the World (Free)
Internet
9
Simply powerful
Any Skype user in the World (Free)
Internet
Any Regular Telephone in the World (Low cost)10
Easy to set up and use 1 Download and install Skype client from website, get headset
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Easy to set up and use 1
2
Download and install Skype client from website, get headset
Look up and add buddies
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Easy to set up and use 1
2
3
Download and install Skype client from website, get headset
Look up and add buddies
Start talking with other Skype users
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Rich functionality Find other Skype users
Advanced Instant Messaging
Skype Me…
Send any kind of file
Make conference calls Are you available?
Call any phone Wallet
Get calls from any phone on your Skype number
Leave voicemail Forward calls to any number
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Viral growth 44.1
On track for 57M registered Users in Q3!
32.9
19.8
11.5 6.8 4.1
Q104
Q204
Q304
Q404
Q105
Q205
Skype Registered Users (M) 15
Viral usage 3.9 3.3
67% CQGR! 2
0.9 0.3
Q104
0.5
Q204
Q304
Q404
Q105
Q205
Skype Quarterly Minutes Served (B) 16
Historic success Number of Reg Users (MM) 60
50
40
30
20
10
0 1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25 Months(1)
(1) eBay starts Q2 98, PayPal starts Q1 00, Yahoo! starts Q1 95, AOL since Q1 92 17 (IPO) from company data and Merrill Lynch estimates, Skype since launch in 2003
Historic success Number of Users (MM)
60
Adding 150K registered users / day
50
40
30
20
10
0 1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25 Months(1)
(1) eBay starts Q2 98, PayPal starts Q1 00, Yahoo! starts Q1 95, AOL since Q1 92 18 (IPO) from company data and Merrill Lynch estimates, Skype since launch in 2003
A truly global community
SKYPE users Non SKYPE users
Skype has a presence in 225 countries and independent territories worldwide
Skype is a market leader in every major country(1) (1) Skype estimates
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Significant buzz all over the world…
“To ‘Skype’ is to call someone over your computer” USAToday (17 December 2004)
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Agenda
What is Skype? Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce A great standalone business Financials
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Accelerating e-commerce
• Accelerate existing categories • Create a new way to monetize e-commerce
• Expand into new categories
• Remove a key friction
• Monetize new marketplaces • Expand the global footprint 22
A new way to monetize e-commerce
eBay Today
eBay with Skype
Transactionbased monetization
Transaction and lead-generation monetization
Listing fees Final value fees Feature fees PayPal fees
Listing fees Final value fees Feature fees PayPal fees
+
Pay per call 23
Communication is key to e-commerce The online transaction process requires various communication points along the way “Steve” the seller
“Bob” the buyer Q+A before purchase Closing transaction Order status
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Communication is key to e-commerce The online transaction process requires various communication points along the way “Steve” the seller
5M e-mail messages are initiated per day between eBay buyers & sellers
“Bob” the buyer
30% of eBay bids take place in the last 2 hours!
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Skype is a leap forward in communication
• In transaction flow • Instantaneous and private • Free with rich experience • Advanced functionality
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eBay has historically removed friction Solution
Friction point
Trust & safety
Description
Feedback
Pictures
Payments
Shipping 27
Removing friction is powerful $1.4B $1.4B
eBay UK GMV (USD)
Q1 Q1
Q2 Q2
Q3 Q3
2001
Q4 Q4
Q1 Q1
Q2 Q2
Q3 Q3
2002
Q4 Q4
Q1 Q1
Q2 Q2
Q3 Q3
2003
Q4 Q4
Q1 Q1
Q2 Q2
Q3 Q3
2004
Q4 Q4
Q1 Q1
2005 28
Accelerating e-commerce
• Accelerate existing categories • Create a new way to monetize e-commerce
• Expand into new categories
• Remove a key friction
• Monetize new marketplaces • Expand the global footprint 29
Skype accelerates certain existing categories
Communications can accelerate categories that are:
Motors
Business and industrial
Collectibles
Sporting goods
• High involvement • Expensive • Complex
Music instruments
Jewelry and watches
Motors, collectibles, and B&I alone represent ~40% of eBay GMV 30
Skype accelerates certain existing categories: Example Future motors listing
Firstclassauto – currently online!
“
Firstclassauto – currently online!
” 31
Communications enables expansion into new categories
Skype allows superior access to categories that • Require significant communication • Are less suited to transaction-based monetization
Source: Jupiter, Borrell, NADA, Manheim, eBay estimates
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Communications enables expansion into new categories
Skype allows superior access to categories that • Require significant communication • Are less suited to transaction-based monetization
Source: Jupiter, Borrell, NADA, Manheim, eBay estimates
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Pay Per Call enables monetization of new marketplaces Pay Per Call on Local Classifieds Paris
Listing Sponsorisé Charles de Gaulle Renault Les meilleurs voitures!
Skype moi! Bagnolet Peugeot Skype moi! BelleVille Audi Skype moi!
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Expanding the global footprint Emerging markets
India
China
New markets
Cross-border trade
Japan Nordic
Poland
• • • • •
Brazil
Russia
Large grey markets Limited trust on Internet Culture of haggling Culture of IM/mobile Price sensitivity
• Limited eBay presence • Large growth in Skype users
• Limited trust • Buyers need more interaction and information from sellers 35
Skype on eBay China
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Agenda
What is Skype? Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce A great standalone business Financials
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A great standalone business
1
A large and growing opportunity
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A strong leadership position
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Competitive advantage
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An important consumer activity Minutes per user 500 per 450 month(1)
480
44% of all user time online is spent communicating(2)
400 350
435
300
Calls from home(3)
250
195
200
127
150
80
100 50
Share of VOIP calls expected to increase significantly over time
16
45
0 Search
eBay marketplace
Web Email
IM
Skype today
Phone
Communications Source: (1) Nielsen Netratings averages for biggest sites in each category, (2) eBay estimates from Comscore data, (3) Yankee Group as of April 2003
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Increasing penetration Global Broadband subscribers (M) '04-'09 CAGR
350
317.3 300
21.6%
287.8 256.9
250
13.8%
223.1 200
150
185.4 145.7 18.1%
100
50
18.8%
0 2004
2005
2006
United States
2007
Europe
2008
2009
Asia/Pacific
ROW
Source: IDC
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Increasing penetration Global Broadband subscribers (M) '04-'09 CAGR
350
US Broadband and VOIP households (M) 30M VOIP households in US by 2009
80
317.3 300
21.6%
287.8 256.9
70
Total BB
38%
% VoIP
66.9
58.5
60
250
72.3
13.8%
223.1
50.1 50
200
185.4
41.1 40
150
145.7
32.6 18.1%
30 24.6
100 20 29% 50
18.8%
0
10
0 2004
2005
2006
United States
2007
Europe
2008
2009
Asia/Pacific
20% 1%
3%
8%
13%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ROW
VoIP subscribers
Broadband households
Source: IDC
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Increasing usage 1,495
VOIP Annual Minutes of Use (B)
760
367 183 10
17
27
42
72
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005E
2006E
2007E
2008E
2009E
Source: IDC
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A leadership position Skype’s global revenue base
Other 12% EU 48%
NA 13% Asia 27%
% of total
Source: Skype, Sandvine
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A leadership position Skype’s global revenue base
Other 12% EU 48%
Skype segment share in North America
VOIP Minutes
46.2%
Skype is #1
NA 13% Asia 27%
VOIP Users
Skype is #1
35.8%
% of total
0 Estimated ~25% of Skype users are businesses
20
40
60
Percent of total (%)
Source: Skype, Sandvine
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Strong team
• Founders created Kazaa, were executives at Tele2 • Entrepreneurial senior management team from Tele2, Microsoft, Yahoo!, OpenWave
Niklas Zennström CEO & Co-Founder
• Developers pioneered peerto-peer technology Janus Friis Co-Founder 45
Focus matters Commerce Payments
46
Focus matters Commerce Payments
Search Content 47
Focus matters Commerce Payments Communications Search Content 48
Advanced technology Virtual, peer-to-peer architecture brings key advantages • System is massively scalable • No single point of failure • Low CapEx
In addition, Skype has • Better firewall tunneling that allows more calls to be completed • Advanced security and encryption technology
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Many great applications Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
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Many great applications Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
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Many great applications
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Many great applications Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
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Many great applications
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Many great applications Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
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Many great applications Internet Explorer Toolbar
Integration with Outlook
Picture share with Kodak
Web Presence Integration
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Many great applications Internet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Integration with Outlook - Beta
Web Presence Integration
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
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Many great applications
Voice Marketplace
• Create and share innovative voice services • Content providers get a share of call revenue
Valuable content and services
Interactive voice response (eg. traffic reports)
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
Key partners
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Reinforcing ecosystem
1000+ Developers
200+ Hardware devices labeled as Skype-compatible
200+ Skype-enabled Applications
30+ partnerships with world-class companies 59
The power of three Users invite other users
New users invite more users
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The power of three Users invite other users
Sellers go where buyers are
More sellers offer PayPal
New users invite more users
Buyers go where sellers are
More buyers use PayPal
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The power of three Users invite other users
Sellers go where buyers are
More sellers offer PayPal
New users invite more users
Buyers go where sellers are
More buyers use PayPal
PayPal Wallet Skype Users Skype-Enabled Commerce
eBay Users Skype Users eBay & Skype Usage
eBay Users eBay Usage PayPal Wallet
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Agenda
What is Skype? Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce A great standalone business Financials
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Valuation considerations • Traditional financial valuation methods – Precedent transactions – Value per user – Discounted cash flow
• Earn out structure based on aggressive goals • A great standalone business, not just VOIP functionality – Leading market position with considerable momentum – Technology leadership – Considerable monetization potential
• Synergistic opportunities with existing businesses 64
The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users • 157M eBay registered users • 79M PayPal accounts • 1% overlap between Skype and eBay US users today(1) eBay Usage • 5M email messages/day • 1.4B new listings/year
PayPal Wallet • Boosts sales of premium services (1) Nielsen Netratings
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The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users • 157M eBay registered users • 79M PayPal accounts • 1% overlap between Skype and eBay US users today(1) eBay Usage • 5M email messages/day • 1.4B new listings/year
PayPal Wallet • Boosts sales of premium services
Skype Users • 54M registered users • ~25% of users are business accounts
Skype Commerce (usage) • Skype-enabled commerce • 200+ Skype hardware applications
(1) Nielsen Netratings
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The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users • 157M eBay registered users • 79M PayPal accounts • 1% overlap between Skype and eBay US users today(1) eBay Usage • 5M email messages/day • 1.4B new listings/year
PayPal Wallet • Boosts sales of premium services
Skype Users • 54M registered users • ~25% of users are business accounts
Skype Commerce (usage) • Skype-enabled commerce • 200+ Skype hardware applications
Skype Users • >80% outside US
Skype Usage • Payment of call services • Send money to buddies
(1) Nielsen Netratings
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Transaction summary
Transaction Value and Structure
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Pay $1.3B(1) in cash
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Deliver $1.3B(1) in eBay stock subject to certain sale restrictions
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Total of $2.6B (4.8% of market cap)
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Earn out of up to an additional $1.5B(1,2) based on high active user, gross profit, and revenue goals in 2008 – Earn out participants received less up-front consideration – All of management opted for the earn out
•
Q4 2005
Performance-based earn out
Expected Closing
(1) Based on an exchange rate of € 1.239 (2) Earn-out value presented on an undiscounted basis
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Strong Business Model
• Large market opportunity • Transaction-based revenues
Rapid revenue growth
• No inventory or warehouses • Efficient customer acquisition • High operating leverage
Outstanding cash generation
• Low capital requirements
(1) Nielsen Netratings
69
Skype revenues
Free services
Premium services
SkypeIn and SkypeOut
Free Skype to Skype calls (cost nothing to provide)
Expressive content (avatars, ringtones, ringbacks)
Hardware royalties
70 Voice services
Strong Revenue Growth
$259.0
Existing Lines Of Business
$200+
$103.8
$60 $47.4
(Dollars in millions)
$7 2004
2005E
2006E
$0.4
$5.7
1996
1997
$12.6
1998
2000
2001
2002
71
Strong Revenue Growth
$259.0
Existing Lines Of Business
$200+
$103.8
$60 $47.4
(Dollars in millions)
$7 2004
2005E
2006E
$0.4
$5.7
1996
1997
$12.6
1998
2000
2001
2002
72
Skype revenues Free services
Premium services
New eBay Opportunities
• Existing eBay Categories SkypeIn and SkypeOut Free Skype to Skype calls (cost nothing to provide)
Expressive content (avatars, ringtones, ringbacks)
• Emerging markets • New geographies • Cross-border trade
Hardware royalties • New categories
Voice services
• New marketplaces (classifieds, shopping.com)
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Leveraged cost structure •
Efficient customer acquisition – Word of mouth significantly reduces user acquisition cost
•
High operating leverage – Minimal incremental cost for each user call – Software business model with low fixed costs
•
Infinitely scalable network infrastructure with low capex – – – –
Peer to Peer technology requires minimal capex Distributed architecture eliminates single point of failure Centralized server(s) for authentication for basic services Centralized server(s) for premium services, e.g. voicemail
Outstanding cash generation capability 74
Financial impact
• Dilutive to Q4-05 pro-forma and GAAP EPS by $0.01 and $0.04, respectively • Dilutive to 2006 pro-forma and GAAP EPS(3) by $0.04 and $0.12, respectively • Breakeven on a pro-forma basis in Q4 2006 • Long term operating margins of 20-25%
(3) Not adjusted for FAS 123
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eBay Inc Balance Sheet
•
Funding acquisition through internally generated cash flows
•
Balance sheet fundamentals remain unchanged: – Cash reserves of >$1B – Annualized free cash flows of >$1.5B – Low capex requirements: ~$2M in 2006 – No long-term debt
•
Long-term revenue and profit growth will continue to add to already strong cash flow position
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Summary
• A great standalone business with a very complementary business model • Significant growth opportunities: – Build on Skype momentum – Accelerate eBay existing and new businesses – Create entirely new businesses
• The power of 3 77
The power of 3 Sellers go where buyers are
Buyers go where sellers are Users invite other users
More Sellers Offer PayPal
New users invite more users
More Buyers use PayPal
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