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Ryerson Inc (United States) CREDIT SNAPSHOT
10/13/09
01 DEBT DISTRIBUTION 02 BONDS 03 INCOME STATEMENT 04 CASH FLOW 05 BALANCE SHEET 06 COVERAGE RATIOS 07 LEVERAGE RATIOS 08 ENTERPRISE VALUE 09 RETURN ON CAPITAL e-mail
[email protected]
10 RECOVERY & TANGIBLE NET WORTH
blog
www.zerohedge.com
11 ACCOUNTING RED FLAGS 12 LATEST SEC FILINGS 13 LEGAL DISCLAIMER
RYI US Equity equity ticker:
RYI US
capitalisation (USD in millions):
bond ticker:
RYI
stock price
sector:
Basic Materials
shares outstanding (million)
-
subgroup:
Steel-Producers
market capitalisation (USD mm)
-
company description: Ryerson Inc. is a metals service center in the United States. The Company distributes and processes metals and other materials, operating as an intermediary between primary metals producers and customers. Ryerson carries a full line of carbon steel, stainless steel, and aluminum, and a limited line of alloy steel, nickel, red metals, and plastics. Ryerson Inc has 5,700 employees.
total debt cash + marketable securities
not listed
625 38
other capital
-
enterprise value (excl. cash)
-
current EV / TTM EBITDA
-
www.ryersontull.com
The distribution of this report is restricted. Important information concerning these restrictions and legal disclaimer is set forth at the end of this report.
03 /3 1 05 /05 /3 1 07 /05 /3 1 09 /05 /3 0 11 /05 /3 0 01 /05 /3 1 03 /06 /3 1 05 /06 /3 1 07 /06 /3 1 09 /06 /3 0 11 /06 /3 0 01 /06 /3 1 03 /07 /3 1 05 /07 /3 1 07 /07 /3 1 09 /07 /3 0 11 /07 /3 0 01 /07 /3 1 03 /08 /3 1 05 /08 /3 1 07 /08 /3 1 09 /08 /3 0 11 /08 /3 0 01 /08 /3 1 03 /09 /3 1 05 /09 /3 1 07 /09 /3 1 09 /09 /3 0/ 09
03 /3 1 05 /05 /3 1 07 /05 /3 1 09 /05 /3 0 11 /05 /3 0 01 /05 /3 1 03 /06 /3 1 05 /06 /3 1 07 /06 /3 1 09 /06 /3 0 11 /06 /3 0 01 /06 /3 1 03 /07 /3 1 05 /07 /3 1 07 /07 /3 1 09 /07 /3 0 11 /07 /3 0 01 /07 /3 1 03 /08 /3 1 05 /08 /3 1 07 /08 /3 1 09 /08 /3 0 11 /08 /3 0 01 /08 /3 1 03 /09 /3 1 05 /09 /3 1 07 /09 /3 1 09 /09 /3 0/ 09 03 /3 1 05 /05 /3 1 07 /05 /3 1 09 /05 /3 0 11 /05 /3 0 01 /05 /3 1 03 /06 /3 1 05 /06 /3 1 07 /06 /3 1 09 /06 /3 0 11 /06 /3 0 01 /06 /3 1 03 /07 /3 1 05 /07 /3 1 07 /07 /3 1 09 /07 /3 0 11 /07 /3 0 01 /07 /3 1 03 /08 /3 1 05 /08 /3 1 07 /08 /3 1 09 /08 /3 0 11 /08 /3 0 01 /08 /3 1 03 /09 /3 1 05 /09 /3 1 07 /09 /3 1 09 /09 /3 0/ 09
BONDS
02
*interpol. swap spread
coupon mat
RYERSON TULL INC 8.250 12/15/11 USD 4,384,000
78375PAK RYERSON INC 7.858 11/01/14 USD
78375PAL RYERSON INC 12.000 11/01/15 USD
id
Ryerson Inc issuer
78375PAG
RYERSON INC 8.25% 12/2011 USD 15
RYERSON INC 7.85813% 11/2014 USD 10
RYERSON INC 12% 11/2015 USD
outstanding S&P MDY ask px
www.zerohedge.com yield
NR WR 79.00 20.7 1929 10/11/09
101,876,000 CCC+ Caa1 87.00 FRN FRN 10/11/09
382,200,000 CCC+ Caa1 97.50 12.6 961 10/11/09
spread*
Prices & yields bid side to 28/7/08 and ask side thereafter. Spread is Govt Bid Sprd to 28/7/08 and Interpol. Swap Ask Sprd then.
px date
Total Debt for the company currently stands at USD 625.4mm.
bond price
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
yield
25
20
5
0
interpolated swap spread
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
www.zerohedge.com
Ryerson Inc USD in millions
Q4 06
Q2 07
Q1 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
06/30/09 Revenues
1,415
1,663
1,618
805
743
2,189
3,302
5,781
5,909
COGS
1,232
1,407
1,379
679
658
1,767
2,811
4,894
5,051
87.1%
84.6%
85.3%
84.4%
88.5%
80.7%
85.1%
84.7%
85.5%
169
185
169
124
118
414
394
657
696
11.9%
11.1%
10.5%
15.4%
15.9%
18.9%
11.9%
11.4%
11.8%
COGS % of Revenues SG&A SG&A % of Revenues EBITDA
25
81
79
11
-15
33
119
270
202
Interest Expense
21
25
15
18
18
19
24
76
71
EBT
-7
47
54
-17
-51
-10
74
154
92
Net Income
-4
28
38
-4
-130
-14
56
98
72
EBITDA Margin
1.7%
4.9%
4.9%
1.3%
-2.0%
1.5%
3.6%
4.7%
3.4%
EBIT Margin
1.0%
4.3%
4.3%
0.2%
-4.4%
0.4%
3.0%
4.0%
2.7%
Q1 09
Q2 09
02
3.4%
4.7%
4.0%
3.0%
1.5%
3.6% 01
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
00
03
-0.6%
Q2 07
1.8%
1.3% Q1 07
0.2%
4.9%
4.3%
4.3%
4.9% 1.7%
Q4 06
-0.9%
Q3 06
1.0%
4.1%
3.4%
4.2%
Q2 06
EBIT Margin
04
05
06
-4.4%
-2.0%
Q1 06
3.5%
3.9%
Q4 05
3.2%
3.9%
Q3 05
3.2%
2.8%
3.5%
EBITDA Margin
0.7%
INCOME STATEMENT
12/31/06
2.7%
03
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06/30/09
06 12/31/06
5,909
6,124
6,234
2,189
3,302
5,781
5,909
207
232
248
33
119
270
202
TTM D&A
40
40
40
24
21
39
40
TTM EBIT
167
192
208
9
98
230
162 71
TTM Revenues TTM EBITDA
TTM Interest Expense
71
80
80
19
24
76
TTM EBT
96
112
128
-10
74
154
92
TTM Net Income
72
68
83
-14
56
98
72
TTM EBT
TTM Interest Expense
39 40 40 76 80
40
80 71
71 21 24
96
Q4 06
112
Q1 07
128
Q2 07
0
0
Q1 09
Q2 09
24 19 -10 03
154 92
74
04
202
Q2 07
05
06
Q4 06
33
119
TTM D&A
40
Q1 07
270
06
207
05
0
04
0 03
248
0 Q2 09
232
0 Q1 09
5,909
Q2 07
5,781
Q1 07
3,302
6,234
Q4 06
TTM EBITDA EBITDA
2,189
6,124
TTM Revenues Revenues TTM
5,909
TTM INCOME STATEMENT
USD in millions
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
04
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Ryerson Inc USD in millions
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
CASH FLOW
06/30/09
06 12/31/06
Cash from Operations (CFO)
-18
138
182
195
354
-13
-170
322
Cash from Investing (CFI)
-52
-11
-6
7
2
-18
-57
-418
-17
Free Cash Flow (CFO + CFI)
-70
127
177
202
356
-30
-227
-97
-278
83
-145
-179
-269
-427
32
232
106
305
Cash from Financing Activities
Cash from Operations (CFO)
-261
Free Cash Flow (CFO + CFI)
400 300 200 100 0 Q3 05
-100
Q4 05
Q1 06
Q2 06
Q3 06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
-200 -300 -400
USD in millions
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06/30/09 -261
-86
187
TTM Cash from Invest. (CFI)
-17
-73
-75
TTM Capex
-36
-40
-49
TTM Cash from Operations (CFO)
TTM D&A TTM Free Cash Flow (CFO + CFI) TTM Cash from Financing Activities
-7
-13
-170
322
-18
-57
-418
-261 -17
-19
-33
-33
-36
-40
-40
-40
-24
-21
-39
-40
-278
-159
112
-30
-227
-97
-278
305
171
-102
-297
-126
138
-510
-1,019
32
232
106
305
-32
-203
289
-297
TTM EBITDA - Capital Expenditures
171
193
199
13
86
237
167
TTM EBITDA - Capex - Change in WC
171
193
199
13
87
237
167
45
53
39
3
48
82
41
TTM CFO/Total Debt
-21.6%
-8.2%
21.3%
-4.7%
-32.3%
36.7%
-21.6%
TTM FCF/Total Debt
-23.0%
-15.2%
12.8%
-11.4%
-43.2%
-11.0%
-23.0%
TTM EBITDA-Capex-WC-CshIntEx-CshTax-CshDiv
TTM EBITDA - Capital Expenditures -36 -40 -17
-33 -21 -57
-19 -24 -18
237 -7
-61
-49 -40 -75
-40 -40 -73
-36 -40 -17
TTM Cash from Invest. (CFI) 0 0
TTM D&A 0 0
TTM Capex
-33 -39
TTM CASH FLOW
TTM CFO - Capital Expenditures
-61
06 12/31/06
199
193 171
-418
167
86
13
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
TTM EBITDA - Capex - Change in WC
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
0
0
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
TTM EBITDA-Capex-WC-CshIntEx-CshTax-CshDiv
250 200 150 100 50 0 Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
03
04
05
06
05
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Ryerson Inc USD in millions
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06/30/09 55
Cash
37
35
42
06 12/31/06
38
14
18
27
55
Marketable Securities / ST Investments Accounts & Notes Receivable Inventories & Unbilled Receivables
837
806
432
386
258
465
610
643
879
791
710
575
438
607
834
1,129
Net Fixed Assets
401
403
406
542
542
225
239
398
401
75% of Accounts Receivable
482
628
605
324
290
193
349
458
482
30% of Inventories & Unbill. Rec.
339
264
237
213
173
131
182
250
339
10% of Net Fixed Assets Collateral (Liquidation) Asset Value Working Capital Net Other Long Term Assets & Liabs. Total Borrowings (includes ST Borrowings)
40
41
54
54
23
24
40
40
969
918
633
555
361
573
775
916
1,420
1,173
1,015
822
728
503
779
778
1,420
-48
-51
-33
-278
-413
-80
-52
-104
-48
1,207
1,045
876
771
625
266
526
877
1,207
1,151
1,008
841
729
587
253
508
850
1,151
75.9%
92.7%
104.8%
82.2%
88.7%
135.5%
109.0%
88.4%
75.9%
Net Debt Collateral Asset Value / Total Borrowings
40 916
explanations and definitions: The approximation we use to calculate a company's total Collateral (Liquidation) Asset Value (for an asset based liquidation scenario) is calculated as the sum of Cash plus Marketable Securities / Short-Term Investments plus assets with the following valuation rates applied: 75% of stated Accounts Receivable 30% of stated Inventory 10% of stated Net Fixed Assets. Although we acknowledge that some industries and individual situations demand clearly different assumptions we nevertheless think this is a useful approximation across all industries covered, if only as a starting point for further individual in-depth analysis. 75% of Accounts Receivable
30% of Inventories & Unbill. Rec.
Working Capital
10% of Net Fixed Assets 1,420 40
41
40 264
1,015
40
237
339
339 54
24
54 213 628
173
605
482 324
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
290
Q2 09
728
182 23 131 349
779
778
04
05
503 458
482
05
06
193 03
04
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
Total Borrowings (includes ST Borrowings)
-33
-51
822
250
Net Other Long Term Assets & Liabs.
-48
1,420 1,173
40
03
06
Net Debt
-48
-52 -80
1,207 1,151
877 850 266 253
526 508
625 587
771 729
876 841
-278
1,045 1,008
-104
1,207 1,151
BALANCE SHEET
643 1,129
-413 Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
Collateral Asset Value / Total Borrowings
135.5% 109.0%
104.8% 92.7% 82.2%
75.9%
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
88.7%
88.4% 75.9%
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
As of 12/31/2006 the Pension Plan of Ryerson Inc was underfunded by USD 91mm. The discount rate used for the company's Pension Plan liabilities is 5.95%. As of 12/31/2006 the Post Retirement Benefits Plan of Ryerson Inc was underfunded by USD -206mm. The discount rate used for the company's Post Retirement Benefits liabilities is 5.55%.
06
06
Ryerson Inc
COVERAGE RATIOS
USD in millions
www.zerohedge.com Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06/30/09
06 12/31/06
TTM EBITDA / TOTAL INTEREST
2.9x
2.9x
3.1x
-
-
1.7x
5.0x
3.5x
2.9x
TTM EBITDAR / TOTAL INTEREST+RENT
2.3x
2.4x
2.5x
-
-
1.4x
3.4x
2.8x
2.3x
TTM EBITDA-CAPEX / TOTAL INTEREST
2.4x
2.4x
2.5x
-
-
0.7x
3.6x
3.1x
2.4x
TTM EBITDAR-CAPEX / TOTAL INTEREST+RENT
2.0x
2.0x
2.1x
-
-
0.8x
2.5x
2.5x
1.9x
explanations and definitions: TTM TOTAL INTEREST: For all coverage ratio calculations we use the Total Interest figure which in addition to Interest Expense also includes Capitalized Interest Expenses. We think this gives a better view of the economic reality than the simple Interest Expense figure.
TTM EBITDA / TOTAL INTEREST
TTM EBITDAR / TOTAL INTEREST+RENT
3.4x
5.0x
2.8x 3.5x 2.9x
2.9x
3.1x
2.3x
2.4x
2.5x 2.3x
2.9x 1.4x 1.7x
0.0x
0.0x
Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q1 09 Q2 09
03
04
05
06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
0.0x
0.0x
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
2.5x
2.5x
06
TTM EBITDAR-CAPEX / TOTAL INTEREST+RENT
TTM EBITDA-CAPEX / TOTAL INTEREST 3.6x 3.1x
2.4x
2.4x
2.0x
2.5x
2.0x
2.1x 1.9x
2.4x
0.8x 0.7x
0.0x
0.0x
Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q1 09 Q2 09
03
04
05
06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
0.0x
0.0x
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
07
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Ryerson Inc USD in millions
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
LEVERAGE RATIOS
06/30/09
06 12/31/06
NET DEBT / TTM EBITDA
5.6x
4.3x
3.4x
7.7x
4.3x
3.2x
5.7x
TOTAL DEBT / TTM EBITDA
5.8x
4.5x
3.5x
8.1x
4.4x
3.3x
6.0x
TOTAL DEBT / TTM EBITDA-CAPEX
7.1x
5.4x
4.4x
20.0x
6.1x
3.7x
7.2x
Rentadj. TOT DEBT / TTM EBITDAR
6.1x
4.9x
4.0x
8.1x
4.9x
3.7x
6.2x
Rentadj. TOT DEBT / TTM EBITDAR-CAPEX
7.2x
5.8x
4.9x
13.4x
6.4x
4.2x
7.4x
HAIRCUT EBITDA MULTIPLE / TOTAL DEBT
54.0%
69.9%
89.1%
38.7%
71.1%
96.8%
52.8%
7.2x
5.5x
4.2x
30.3x
5.4x
3.8x
7.4x
TOTAL DEBT / TTM EBIT
explanations and definitions: Rent adj. Total Debt/TTM EBITDAR: This ratio is calculated by dividing the Rent Adjusted Total Debt figure (Total Debt plus 8 times TTM Rental Expenses) by EBITDAR (TTM EBITDA plus TTM Rental Expenses). HAIRCUT EBITDA MULTIPLE / TOTAL DEBT: We adjust TTM EBITDA to 70% of its stated value, multiply the result with 4.5 as an assumed exit multiple and relate the resulting figure (the haircut EBITDA multiple) to the TOTAL DEBT number. This ratio should reflect the situation of an issuer's liquidation, whereby the assets can be sold at a reduced EBITDA multiple.
TOTAL DEBT / TTM EBITDA
NET DEBT / TTM EBITDA
TOTAL DEBT / TTM EBITDA-CAPEX
7.7x 20.0x
5.7x
5.6x 4.3x
4.3x 3.4x
3.2x
8.1x 7.1x 5.8x
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
0.0x
0.0x
Q1 09
Q2 09
5.4x 4.5x
6.1x 4.4x
4.4x 3.5x
7.2x 6.0x 3.7x 3.3x
0.0x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x 03
04
05
06
Q4 06
HAIRCUT EBITDA MULTIPLE / TOTAL DEBT
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
Rentadj. TOT DEBT / TTM EBITDAR Rentadj. TOT DEBT / TTM EBITDAR-CAPEX
96.8%
13.4x
89.1% 71.1%
69.9% 54.0%
52.8% 38.7%
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
0.0%
0.0%
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
30.3x
7.4x
7.2x
Q4 06
Q1 07
5.4x
4.2x
Q2 07
3.8x 0.0x
0.0x
Q1 09
Q2 09
5.8x 4.9x
7.4x 6.2x
6.4x 4.9x 4.0x
4.9x
4.2x 3.7x
0.0x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x
TOTAL DEBT / TTM EBIT
5.5x
8.1x 7.2x 6.1x
03
04
05
06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
www.zerohedge.com
Ryerson Inc
08
USD in millions
Q4 06
Q2 07
Q1 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
ENTERPRISE VALUE
06/30/09 8.8x
8.9x
7.4x
16.4x
7.6x
5.5x
9.0x
10.9x
10.8x
8.9x
61.0x
9.2x
6.4x
11.2x
EV / TTM EBITDA EV / TTM EBIT
06 12/31/06
Enterprise Value
1,815
2,064
1,845
TOTAL DEBT
1,207
1,045
876
771
659
1,049
998
915
Equity Market Cap
625
EV / TTM EBITDA
537
902
1,472
1,815
266
526
877
1,207
284
394
614
659
EV / TTM EBIT 16.4x 61.0x
8.8x
9.0x
8.9x 7.6x
7.4x
5.5x
10.9x
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
0.0x
0.0x
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
11.2x
9.2x
8.9x
6.4x 0.0x
0.0x
Q1 09
Q2 09
06 Q4 06
TOTAL DEBT
10.8x
Q1 07
Q2 07
EV - TOTAL DEBT
03
04
05
06
Equity Market Cap
1,049 998
609
659
614
659
594
969
609
1,018
915
Q1 09
625
266 271
526
Q2 09
03
04
1,207
Q2 07
877
771
Q1 07
0 876
Q4 06
1,045
1,207
0
376
394 284
0 05
06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
RYI US stock closing price
45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5
Jul/07
Okt/07
Apr/07
Okt/06
Jän/07
Jul/06
Apr/06
Jän/06
Jul/05
Okt/05
Apr/05
Okt/04
Jän/05
Jul/04
Apr/04
Jän/04
Okt/03
Jul/03
Apr/03
Jän/03
Okt/02
Jul/02
Apr/02
Jän/02
Okt/01
Jul/01
Apr/01
Jän/01
Okt/00
Jul/00
Apr/00
Jän/00
Okt/99
0
09
www.zerohedge.com
Ryerson Inc USD in millions
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06/30/09 6.06%
6.12%
0
7.81%
11.06%
12.63%
7.81%
Tangible Capital
1,733
1,639
1,524
1,009
752
625
938
1,314
1,733
Total Intangibles
67
60
60
88
88
10
9
84
67
9.6%
11.7%
13.6%
1.4%
10.4%
17.5%
9.4%
7.3%
9.7%
6.7%
10.7%
5.9%
After-tax ROIC (assumed tax rate)
6.3%
7.6%
8.9%
0.9%
6.8%
11.4%
6.1%
WACD (Pre-tax)
5.9%
7.7%
9.1%
7.1%
4.6%
8.7%
5.9%
Adjusted Cap Rate RETURN ON CAPITAL
06 12/31/06
Pre-tax ROIC After-tax ROIC (effective tax rate)
explanations and definitions: Adjusted Cap Rate: This ratio shows EBIT reduced by an assumed tax rate of 35% and adjusted for Net Non-Operating and Extraordinary Losses (Gains) - averaged over the last 5 years - divided by the Enterprise Value. Tangible Capital: Starting with the Total Book Capital the Tangible Capital figure is calculated by subtracting Intangibles, Cash and Marketable Securities as well as Short Term Investments. We calculate three different ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) figures: Pre-Tax ROIC: this ratio relates the trailing twelve months (TTM) EBIT to Tangible Capital as defined above. After-tax ROIC (effective tax rate): here EBIT is corrected by the company's effective tax rate as stated in it's latest financials, giving an after-tax ROIC rate. After-tax ROIC (assumed tax rate): here EBIT is corrected by an assumed tax rate of 35%, giving a modified after-tax ROIC rate. WACD (Pre-Tax): This rate is defined as trailing twelve months (TTM) TOTAL INTEREST EXPENSE divided by Total Borrowings.
After-tax ROIC (assumed tax rate)
Adjusted Cap Rate
11.4% 12.6% 11.1% 8.9% 7.6% 7.8%
7.4% 6.1%
7.8%
6.8% 6.3%
6.1%
6.1%
0.9% 0.0%
0.0%
Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q1 09 Q2 09
03
04
05
06
WACD (Pre-tax) 9.1% 8.7% 7.7% 7.1% 5.9%
5.9% 4.6%
0.0%
0.0%
Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q1 09 Q2 09
03
04
05
06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
0.0%
0.0%
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
DEFAULT ESTIMATE
10
Ryerson Inc
Average Bond Spread (in BPoints (1)) Estimated Bond Recovery Rate (2) Resulting Tolerable Default Rate (3)
www.zerohedge.com
972 100.0% N/A
explanations and definitions: We calculate estimated default and recovery rates to be used in other credit models (f.i. for the valuation of CDOs or similar structures) as follows: (1) Average Bond Spread: Average Spread of all bonds listed on page 2 of this report. (2) Estimated Bond Recovery Rate: To calculate this rate we first divide the total debt amount into bond debt and loan debt that is senior to bond debt. As an approximation for the total amount of bond debt we use the sum of the amounts outstanding of all bonds listed on page 1 of this report. The total debt figure is reduced by this sum, giving us an approximate figure for debt that is senior to bond debt. We then calculate a collateral asset coverage figure for the bond debt by starting with the Collateral Asset Value (as defined on page 5 of this report) which we reduce by the amount of senior debt ahead of the bonds. The remaining Collateral Asset Value is then divided by the approximate bond debt amount as defined above, giving an estimated recovery value on a collateral asset basis. We apply the same logic to an EBITDA multiple ratio (as on page 7 of this report) and get a second recovery estimate based on the EBITDA multiple. The higher of the 2 estimates is used as the "Estimated Bond Recovery Rate". (3) Resulting Tolerable Default Rate: The implied default rate calculated using the Market Spread (1) and the Estimated Recovery Rate (2). With the given Market Spread and Estimated Recovery Rate it defines the maximum tolerable default probability for the risk premium paid in the form of Spread. Please note: This rate will only be displayed when it is greater than 0% and lower than 30% as we believe it is not meaningful ('NM') out of this range.
TANGIBLE NET WORTH ESTIMATE
Although we acknowledge that the calculated results are by no means exact, we think they make for a good estimate in the valuation of credit structures when individual default and recovery rates for single issuers are to be used.
USD in millions
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
03
04
05
06/30/09
06 12/31/06
Total Assets
2,537
2,458
2,326
1,990
1,752
1,114
1,541
2,151
2,537
Total Liabilites
1,889
1,768
1,583
1,622
1,499
732
1,101
1,603
1,889
67
60
60
88
88
10
9
84
67
Tangible Net Worth
Total Intangibles
582
631
683
280
165
372
431
464
582
Rent Debt (8x Annual Rental Expense)
257
257
257
Underfunded Pension & Post Ret. Liab. Discount on Hard Assets Adjusted Tangible Net Worth
131
130
246
257
-282
-277
-356
-297
1,312
1,187
1,121
1,093
987
573
757
1,095
1,312
-987
-813
-694
-813
-822
-614
-733
-1,232
-1,284
www.zerohedge.com
Ryerson Inc
11
USD in millions
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q1 09
Q2 07
Q2 09
03
04
05
06
06/30/09 (CFO-Net Income)/Revenues
-0.9%
6.6%
8.9%
24.7%
65.1%
0.1%
-6.8%
3.9%
8.5%
14.9%
7.2%
-47.7%
-47.5%
4.4%
50.8%
75.1%
2.2%
12.9%
15.4%
14.7%
15.6%
11.5%
19.3%
14.9%
15.3%
14.5%
yoy Revenue Growth Gross Margin
-5.6%
Days Sales Outstanding
40
50
47
43
51
39
40
Days Sales of Inventory
70
52
46
73
67
53
70 252
Soft Assets ACCOUNTING RED FLAGS
12/31/06
252
245
228
217
211
169
193
258
Unbilled Receivables
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Deferred / Unearned Revenue
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
15
18
17
19
14
-
14
21
15
Allowance for Doubtful Accounts TTM Dividends Paid
5
6
5
-
-
5
5
5
5
TTM Preferred Dividends
0
0
0
-
-
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
0
0
0
2
4
17
-39
1
12
14
15
2
-25
-386
19
Net Change in Capital Stock Non-Capex CFI (CFI less Capex)
Gross Margin
yoy Revenue Growth
(CFO-Net Income)/Revenues
100.0% 80.0% 60.0%
-6.6%
4%
0%
-2%
15%
50.8% 15%
19% 4.4%
20%
19%
-21.6%
-9%
19%
12%
-47.7%
-7%
14%
-1%
-47.5%
9%
16%
13% 8.5%
7%
25%
-1%
-5%
-20.0%
14% 8.6%
15%
15%
14%
15% 7.2%
10%
15% 14.9%
0.0%
9%
15%
20.0%
15% 2.2%
75.1%
65%
40.0%
-6%
-7%
-40.0% -60.0%
Days Sales of Inventory
0
0
0
0
0 0
0 0
Q2 06
Q3 06
Q4 06
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q1 09
Q2 09
00
01
02
03
04
05
Auditor Information: Current auditor
ERNST & YOUNG LLP (as of 9.3.2007)
Auditor's opinion
Unqualified
Auditor's opinion - Definitions Not Audited / Unaudited
No tests were performed to verify amounts in financial statements. Typically applied to interim statement.
Partially audited
Not all statements were audited. Auditor may specifically give opinion on one or two statements.
Unqualified
Auditor declares, without reservation, that the financial statements fairly represent the company's financial position at a point in time and that the statements conform in all material respects to GAAP.
Qualified: Limited Scope
An aspect of the company's financial statements could not be verified, such as a portion of inventory not counted.
Qualified: Inconsistent Standards
Accounting standards were not applied consistently between periods.
Qualified: not GAAP
Standard accounting principles for the country were not followed. Typically related to a unique line item and uses the phrase 'except for.'
Qualified: uncertainty
Doubt exists related to a material balance sheet item, such as value of investment or collectability of major receivable; or auditor doubts going concern ability of company. This opinion usually employs the phrase 'subject to.'
Disclaimer
Auditor refuses to state opinion on financial statements, typically due to lack of sufficient documentation provided by company and/or subsidiaries.
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
46
52
53
61
70
0
Q1 06
67
0
Q4 05
65
70
53
0
72
72 53 0 Q3 05
61
73
79
Days Sales Outstanding
06
12
Ryerson Inc
www.zerohedge.com
LATEST SEC FILINGS
Quarterly Report (Form Type 10-Q)
end of period
FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312509162421/d10q.htm
06/30/09
AMENDMENT NO. 1 TO FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312509132547/d10qa.htm
03/31/09
FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312509098124/d10q.htm
03/31/09
FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312507168023/d10q.htm
06/30/07
FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312507099445/d10q.htm
03/31/07
FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312506222355/d10q.htm
09/30/06
FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312506161096/d10q.htm
06/30/06
FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312506101840/d10q.htm
03/31/06
AMENDMENT TO FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312506068926/d10qa.htm
09/30/05
AMENDMENT TO FORM 10-Q
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312506068918/d10qa.htm
06/30/05
Annual Report (Form Type 10-K)
end of period
FORM 10-K AMENDMENT NO. 1
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312507096310/d10ka.htm
12/31/06
FORM 10K
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312507054507/d10k.htm
12/31/06
FORM 10-K
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312506068943/d10k.htm
12/31/05
FORM 10-K
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312505057092/d10k.htm
12/31/04
FORM 10-K
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312504030363/d10k.htm
12/31/03
FORM 10-K
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000095013103000932/d10k.htm
12/31/02
FORM 10-K YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 31
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000095013102000979/d10k405.txt
12/31/01
FORM 10-K
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000095013101500431/d10k405.txt
12/31/00
Special Events & Material News (Form Type 8-K)
filing date
Prospectus (Form Type 42..)
filing date
424B1
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312509039019/d424b1.htm
02/26/09
424B3
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312505231006/d424b3.htm
11/22/05
424B3
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312505199566/d424b3.htm
10/11/05
424B3
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312505135109/d424b3.htm
06/30/05
424B3
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312505114852/d424b3.htm
05/25/05
424B3
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312505088467/d424b3.htm
04/28/05
424B5
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/790528/000119312505029438/d424b5.htm
02/14/05
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