Challenges & Opportunities in Indian Retail Industry
Agenda Retailing : An overview Indian retail The change factor FDI in Indian retailing Why FDI ? How FDI ?
FDI in Indian retailing
Retailing: An overview
An overview
Retailing World’s largest private industry US$ 6.6 trillion sales annually
Indian retailing Largest employer after agriculture 8%* of population Highest outlet density in world Around 12 mn outlets Still evolving as an industry Long way to go
Retailing: An overview
Wal-Mart Topmost global Fortune 500 company(3 Consecutive Years) Annual Sales of over US$ 250 bn India’s two largest retail player turnover around US$ 158 mn (Bata) and US$ 102 mn (Shoppers Stop)
Fortune 100 9 Retailers Carrefour, Ahold, Home Depot, Kroger, Metro, Kmart-Sears, Target, Albertsons’
An overview
Evolution of Indian retail Historic/Rural Reach
Traditional/Perva sive Reach
Government Supported
PDS Outlets Khadi Stores Cooperatives
Weekly Markets Village Fairs Melas Source of Entertainmen t
Modern Formats/ International
Exclusive Brand Outlets Hyper/Super Markets Department Stores Shopping Malls
Convenience Stores Mom and Pop/Kiranas
Neighborhood Stores/Convenie nce
Availability/ Low Costs / Distribution
Shopping Experience/Efficie ncy
Evolution of Indian retail
Indian retail
Informal retailing Sector Typically small retailers. Evasion of taxes Difficulty in enforcing collection mechanisms No monitoring of labor laws
tax
Formal Retailing Sector Typically large retailers Greater enforcement of taxation mechanisms High level of labor usage monitoring
Categories of Indian retail
Indian retail
Corporate Houses Tatas: Tata Trent RPG group: Food World, Health and Glow, etc ITC: Wills Life Style Rahejas(ShoppersStop), Hiranandani(Haiko), DLF(DT cinemas) etc. Dedicated brand outlets Nike, Reebok, Zodiac etc Multi-brand outlets Vijay Sales, Viveks etc Manufacturers/ Exporters Pantaloons, Bata, Weekender
Classifying Indian retail
Modern Format retailers Supermarkets (Foodworld) Hypermarkets (Big Bazaar) Department Stores (S Stop) Specialty Chains (Ikea) Company Owned Company Operated
Traditional Format Retailers Kiranas: Traditional Mom and Pop Stores Kiosks Street Markets Exclusive /Multiple Brand Outlets
Indian retail
Large Indian retailers
Hypermarket
Department store
Indian retailers
Big Bazaar Giants Shoprite Star Lifestyle Pantaloons Pyramids Shoppers Stop Trent
Entertainment
Fame Adlabs Fun Republic Inox PVR
The changing Indian consumer
Indian consumer
Greater per capita income Increase in disposable income of middle class households 20.9%* growth in real disposable income in ’99-’03. Growing high and middle income population Growing at a pace of over 10%* per annum over last decade Affordability growth Falling interest rates Easier consumer credit Greater variety and quality at all price points
The changing Indian consumer
Indian consumer
The urban consumer Getting exposed to international lifestyles Inclined to acquiring asset More discerning and demanding than ever
No longer need-based shopping Shopping is a family experience Changing Mindset Increasing tendency to spend Post Liberalization children coming of age 100 mn 17-21 year olds*. Tend to spend freely. Greater levels of education
Challenges in the Industry Low domestic competition
Because of fragmented nature of industry
Lack of exposure to global best practices Low entry barriers for unorganized retailing Moderate entry barriers for organized retailing
Wholesale system under-invested leading to 20-40% wastage
Non level playing field issues Wide differences in treatment of small and large retailers
Industry Challenges
Challenges……
issues
Real Estate Costs
Supply Chain Inconsistency
Poor Infrastructure
Lack of Skilled Manpower
Opportunities
Anticipated growth
Market size Current market size is roughly US$ 286 bn* 96% of the 12 Million stores are less than 500 Sq. ft. Forecast Growth rate for the retailing industry is roughly 8.3% for 20032008 Sales from large format stores would rise by 24-49%** Formal and modern format retailing would enjoy rapid growth
Growth factors
Growth factors
Growth determining factors Government Policy Infrastructure development GDP growth Employment generation and job creation In several new sunrise industries Implies greater purchasing power
The Indian advantage
Advantage India
India ranked 1st in the Global Kearney Retail Development Index India
Russia
China
A.T
THE SIZE OF THE OPPORTUNITY Products
Total Retail
Organised
Organised
Rs. Billion
Retail
Retail as %
Rs. Billion
of Total
Food & Grocery
6422
50
1
Textiles & Apparel
980
185
19
Jewelry & Watches
554
30
5
Consumer durables
415
43
10
Pharmaceuticals
364
10
3
Home Solutions
351
32
9
Books, Music & Gifts
115
15
13
Others
1159
111
10
10360
476
5
Total
FDI in Indian retailing
FDI in Retail not permitted
Current Indian FDI Regime FDI not permitted in retail trade sector, except in: Private labels Hi-Tech items / items requiring specialized after sales service Medical and diagnostic items Items sourced from the Indian small sector (manufactured with technology provided by the foreign collaborator) For 2 year test marketing (simultaneous commencement of investment in manufacturing facility required)
FDI in Indian retailing
Current FDI
Metro Group of Germany Cash-and-carry wholesale trading Proposal faced strong opposition
Entities established prior to 1997 Allowed to continue with their existing foreign equity components. No FDI restrictions in the retail sector pre-1997 Foodworld 51:49 JV between RPG and Dairy Farm International, Leading food retailer in India now Mc Donalds
International retailers in India: Strategies
How they are present
Franchise International company gives name and technology to local partner. Gets royalty in return In case master franchise is appointed for region or country, he has right to appoint local franchisees Nike, Pizza Hut, Tommy Hilfiger, Marks and Spencer, Mango Manufacturing Company sets up Indian arm for production Bata India. It also has right to retail in India
International retailers in India: Strategies
Distribution International company sets up local distribution office Supply products to Indian retailers to sell Also set up franchised outlets for brand Swarovski, Hugo Boss
Wholesale trading Cash and Carry operations 100% FDI permitted Metro Cash n Carry
How they are present
Why FDI?
Benefits of FDI
Improve competition Develop the market Greater level of exports due to increased sourcing by major players Sourcing by Wal-Mart from China improved multifold after FDI permitted in China Similar increase in sourcing observed for Metro in India Provides access to global markets for Indian producers
Why FDI?
Investment in technology Cold storage chains solve the perennial problem of wastage Greater investment in the food processing sector technology Better operations in production cycle and distribution
Benefits of FDI
Better lifestyle Greater level of wages paid by international players usually More product variety Newer product categories Economies of scale to help lower consumer price Increased purchasing capacity of consumers
How FDI ?
How FDI ?
FDI should be allowed in stages Initial stages: 26% FDI
2 yrs
Establishment Phase: 49% FDI 2 yrs
Mature Phase: 100% FDI
2 yrs
FDI policy No incentives needed to attract FDI Market size and potential are sufficient inducers No need for costly tax breaks, import duty exemptions, land and power subsidies, and other enticements
Thank you