Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
10/03/08
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Tel: 972.458.9600 Fax:480-287-9560 www.platinagroup.com
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Company Introduction
MARKET DATA
Symbol Exchanges Current Price Price Target Rating Outstanding Shares Market Cap. Average 3-m Volume
Sep
Thousands
Platina Energy Group Inc. 14850 Montfort Drive, Suite 131 Dallas, Texas 75254
PLTG OTC BB $0.05 $0.30 Speculative Buy 156.6 Million $6.4 Million 666,715
Source: Yahoo Finance, Analyst Estimates
Platina Energy Group Inc. (OTCBB: PLTG) is an independent exploration and production company with multiple oil and gas lease properties in North America and a proprietary enhanced recovery technology. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the Company owns net proven reserves of 2.9 million barrels of oil and 21.6 thousand million cubic feet (MMCF) of natural gas. PLTG operates as a publicly traded company with several wholly owned subsidiaries. The Company’s strategy is to minimize risk by owning a diversified portfolio of energy sector subsidiaries, including Appalachian Energy Corp., Wildcat Energy Corp., and Platina Exploration. The Company’s subsidiaries own oil and gas leases in Hawkins County, Tennessee, in Young County, Texas, in Rusty Creek, Wyoming, in Seminole County, Oklahoma, and in Laurel and Whitley Counties, Kentucky. PLTG also holds rights to a proprietary technology, the Thermal Pulse Unit (TPU), designed for cost-effective and eco-friendly oil well stimulation and enhanced oil recovery. On October 2007, in order to coordinate private equity raising activities, the Company formed Applegate Petroleum Management LLC. In line with the Company’s strategy to grow both organically and inorganically, on March 31, 2008, PLTG acquired Enhanced Oil Recovery Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Utek Corp. Oil Recovery Technology currently has two TPU units deployed and operating successfully in the field. An independent geologist report on the Company’s Appalachian Basin property states that proven reserves have a present value discounted over 10 years, exceeding $62 million. PLTG has established
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
production at increasing levels from its Young County, Texas, property. The Company’s production estimate for its Kentucky properties during the month of July was 550 BOE per month with an approximate value of $75,000 per week.
Investment Highlights Inorganic growth strategy to boost growth PLTG is aggressively acquiring drilling properties and related energy assets. The Company formed Wildcat Energy Corp. in January 2008, with plans of acquiring more acreage across Kentucky. Wildcat has already acquired more than 4,700 acres under various arrangements, with a potential of 70 oil/gas well locations. Ten wells have already been drilled, four of which are fully completed and are producing oil and gas on a daily basis. These wells have already posted robust revenues for the Company. PLTG’s past acquisitions, such as Appalachian Energy Corporation in Tennessee, consist of approximately 50 well sites in the Devonian Shale formation. Studies indicate proven reserves worth more than $60 million in these wells. The Rusty Basin prospect is about 1,600 acres with more than 10 well locations identified. According to third-party reports, the Company has acquired proven producing and non-producing reserves estimated to be worth more than $300 million. Technology acquisition complements production business PLTG is focused on enhancing oil and gas recovery using cost-effective methods. In April 2008, the Company acquired Enhanced Oil Recovery Technology from Utek Corp. The acquisition gives the Company an exclusive worldwide license for a patented technology that uses an electrical submersible pump and a jet pump to separate liquid and gas streams. This allows oil wells with a high gas content to recover the gas versus burning it off. Through its Oil Recovery Technologies subsidiary, the Company purchased rights to a technology used for paraffin build-up reduction and oil recovery. The Thermal Pulse Unit (TPU) provides a significantly lowered cost basis per barrel for recovery of heavy oil and avoids the problems associated with CO2 flooding, steam or dangerous open flame heating of oil on the surface. PLTG plans to deploy TPU technology and the recently acquired combination technology in its own fields to enhance production and reduce the production decline curve. It is also exploring potential joint ventures to commercialize these technologies. Increasing energy demand creates opportunities for developing leased properties and unexplored areas Industrial and technological developments have increased the demand for energy resources, including oil and gas. According to the Energy Information Administration, average U.S. oil consumption is projected to reach nearly 26.1 million barrels per day by 2025. However, most existing oil fields are mature, and production from these fields is declining. Hence, there is an urgent need for exploration and development of new properties and work-over of existing wells. PLTG is leveraging its resources by bringing various small energy companies together under one umbrella, with each business run by a local management team compensated on a performance basis. Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Soaring energy prices to support growth prospects The Company has valued its reserves on a very conservative energy prices base of $70 per barrel oil and $6 per MVF natural gas. Accordingly, the Company believes it can exceed its current revenue forecasts. Also, as production increases and cash flow becomes more predictable, the Company plans to use sophisticated hedge strategies to generate higher profits.
Oil & Gas Industry Outlook The global oil and gas industry generated revenues exceeding $4.3 trillion in 2007 and has produced 17.7% annual growth since 2003. Exploration and production represents about 40% of this market. Increasing global energy demand The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimated global oil consumption in 2007 at 85.8 million barrels per day. In the first six months of 2008, global consumption surged by 370,000 barrels per day from year-ago levels.
Million Barrel per Day
Exhibit 1: World Oil Consumption
90 85 80 75 70 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: Energy Information Administration
Population and economic growth in developing countries is expected to lift energy consumption from 462.7 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) in 2005 to 694.7 quadrillion Btu by 2030.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Exhibit2: Global energy consumption
Quadrillion Btu
750 600 450 300 150 0 1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Total Energy Consumption
2015
2020
2025
2030
Natural Gas
Oil
Source: Energy Information Administration
Petroleum consumption by the transportation sector continues to increase in the absence of suitable alternative energy sources. By 2030, out of the total projected consumption increase, 57.9% will come from the transportation sector, and 31.4% will come from the industrial sector. Exhibit 3: Break-up of world oil consumption by sector, 2005-2030
Quadrillion Btu
250 200 150 100 50 0 2005 Transportation
2010 Industrial
2015
2020
Residential
2025 Electricity
2030 Commercial
Source: Energy Information Administration
U.S. remains the largest energy consumer The U.S. has a huge appetite for energy and spends more than $500 billion annually on energy costs. Average domestic oil consumption (20.7 million barrels per day in 2007) represents about 23.9% of global consumption. However, a weaker economy and higher oil prices are expected to reduce U.S. oil consumption by about 613,700 Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
barrels per day in 2008 and 76,200 barrels per day in 2009. Exhibit 4: Break-up of global consumption by region in 2007
23.9%
30.0%
US Rest of North America (excluding US) South & Central America
4.8% 3.5%
6.4%
Europe & Eurasia Middle East Africa
7.4% 24.0%
Asia Pacific Source: BP Statistical Review 2008
Domestic natural gas consumption, on the other hand, is forecast to rise 2.7% this year and 2.2% in 2009. This growth will come from the residential and commercial sectors in 2008 and the electric power sector in 2009. Despite higher prices in the first half of 2008, natural gas consumption by the industrial sector rose 3.7% year-overyear. Consumption by the industrial sector is forecast to rise 1.6% in 2008 and 1.4% in 2009 while consumption for electricity generation is predicted to increase 4.6% in 2009. Dependence on oil imports While U.S. oil consumption has risen, production has lagged, resulting in an increased dependence on oil imports. U.S. oil production declined from 5.8 million barrels per day in 2000 to 5.1 million barrels per day in 2007. In contrast, domestic consumption increased to 20.7 million barrels per day from 19.7 million barrels per day over the same period.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Million barrels per day
Exhibit 5: Production and Consumption of oil in the U.S. (2000-2009)
25 20 15 10 5 0 2000 2001 2002
2003 2004
Oil Production
2005
2006 2007 2008 2009
Oil Consumption
Source: Energy Information Administration
Natural gas production increased slightly to 55.21 billion cubic feet per day in 2007 from 55.18 billion cubic feet per day in 2000, while domestic consumption declined marginally to 63.17 billion cubic feet per day in 2007 from 63.76 billion cubic feet per day in 2000. However, demand for natural gas continues to far exceed the domestic supply.
Million barrels per day
Exhibit 6: Production and Consumption of natural gas in the U.S. (2000-2009)
70 65 60 55 50 45 2000 2001 2002
2003 2004
Natural gas Production
2005
2006 2007 2008 2009
Natural gas Consumption
Source: Energy Information Administration
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
To fill the large supply/demand gap, the U.S. relies heavily on oil imports from the Gulf countries. In 2007, the U.S. imported 4.9 million barrels of oil and 4.6 million cubic feet of natural gas. Any major new oil and gas discoveries in the U.S. would be readily absorbed by the domestic market. Supply/demand imbalance fuels price hikes Crude oil prices are determined by global supply and demand. Recent price hikes are the result of consumption growth in emerging markets such as China and India and a reduced supply outlook for non-OPEC countries. Supply disruptions and geopolitical tensions in countries such as Venezuela, Iraq, Iran and Nigeria are contributing to price volatility.
160
12
120
9
80
6
40
3 0
0 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008e
2009e
$ per Thousand Cubic Feet
$ per barrel
Exhibit 7: Prices trends of crude and natural gas
Crude Oil Prices - West Texas Intermediate Spot Average (LHS) Natural Gas - Henry Hub Spot (RHS) Source: Energy Information Administration
Crude oil prices have increased sharply in 2008, surging from around $70 in 2007 to $100 per barrel in early 2008 to $140 per barrel in June. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices, which averaged $72 per barrel in 2007, are now projected to average $115 per barrel in 2008 and $126 per barrel in 2009. The overall outlook suggests rising demand, tightening supplies and steadily higher oil and gas prices. High prices encourage new exploration activity in the U.S. Soaring oil prices are prompting new domestic exploration and re-development of existing wells across the United States. Exhibit 8 below shows a steady increase in the number of gas and oil rigs working in the U.S. and increased domestic drilling activity.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Exhibit 8: Working oil and gas rigs in the U.S.
1,600 1,200 800
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-05
Sep-04
Jan-04
May-03
Sep-02
Jan-02
Jan-00
0
May-01
400 Sep-00
Number of rings
2,000
Natural Gas
Crude Oil
Source: Baker Hughes North American Rig Report
As of January 2008, 27% of the world’s fleet of drilling rigs was deployed in the U.S. Exhibit 9: Rigs by region (Till January 2008)
20%
27%
USA North Sea Middle East
4%
Far East
7%
West Africa
7%
15% 10%
10%
Mexico Brazil RoW
Source: Tenaris, Rig Logix
Worldwide, 134 new drilling rigs are scheduled for delivery between 2008 and 2010.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Exhibit 10: New rigs are scheduled to be delivered between 2008 and 2010 60 48
4
36
13
6 20 13
24 12
28
32
7 11
0 2008
2009
Jackup
Semisub
2010 Drillship
Source: Tenaris, Rig Logix
Platina Energy Group Structure Exhibit 11: Platina Energy Group Structure Platina Group Structure
Technology Acquisition
Oil Recovery Technologies
Oil Recovery Technologies has bought the proprietary rights for distribution of Thermal Pulse Technology i.e. TPU
Enhanced Oil Recovery Technologies The Company purchased Enhanced Oil Recovery Technologies, Inc from UTEK Corporation on March 31, 2008. The reason for the acquisition was Electrical submersible pumps "ESP" technology which is to extract oil out of onshore and offshore deep wells.
Lease on Oil Reserves
Appalachian Energy Corp
Wildcat Energy Corp
Platina Energy Corp
50 well sites on 1600 leased acres. The reserves have a value of $ 60 million on a PV 10 basis
Whitley County Field, Laurel County Field and Clinton County Field together have an acreage of 4700 acres with 70 potential well locations of which 10 wells are already drilled successfully out of 4 are fully complete and producing oil daily.
Platina Energy Corp has made several acquisitions by forming joint ventures in Kilgore, Texas and Oklahoma and is producing oil and gas from these wells.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
Source: Company Website and Report
Palo Duro Basin
During 2007, consultants were appointed to ascertain the potential reserve holdings in the Palo Duro Basin but the data to date still remains inconclusive.
Rusty Creek, Wyoming
The Rusty Creek has 1,600 acres and currently has one producing well and one re-entry well opportunity. There are additionally another 20 drilling sites on the property for which the Company is evaluating participation
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Subsidiaries Oil Recovery Technologies Oil Recovery Technologies is a wholly owned subsidiary which has acquired certain marketing rights to a proprietary technology, the Thermal Pulse Unit (TPU) enhanced oil and gas recovery technology. TPU enables enhanced recovery of heavy oil at a fraction of the cost of the current state-of-the-art technology. Two units are deployed with positive results, working different types of tertiary recovery. This German-inspired technology offers a cost-effective and eco-friendly solution for oil recovery and paraffin buildup reduction. TPU utilizes pressurized nitrogen, which is highly effective in restoring formation pressure and improving oil displacement and fluid flow, particularly in wells blocked by paraffin. TPU creates 350F+ heat and 1500+psi pressures for well cleanup, stimulation and production using hydraulically-driven compressor technology. The Company is exploring opportunities to form joint ventures for TPU, with potential partners specializing in extraction technologies. Appalachian Energy Corporation In January, 2007, the Company acquired oil and gas leases to 55 drilling locations on approximately 1,600 acres in the Devonian Black Shale formation located in the Appalachian Basin of East Tennessee and formed a wholly owned subsidiary, Appalachian Energy Corporation. An independent report estimates the current discounted value of proved reserve associated with this property to be more than $60 million. According to third-party forecasts, a 40-50 well program is likely to cost between $12 million and $15 million, and may generate gross production at current prices of $35,000-$42,000 per month per well. Pipeline access and ample compressor capacity are readily available. Wildcat Energy Corp On January 10, 2008, the Company formed Wildcat Energy Corp., which is managed by its CEO and president, Joel Patton. It is headquartered in London, Kentucky. Wildcat has acquired leases located in Laurel and Whitley counties of Kentucky. The Whitley County acreage consists of approximately 1,200 acres and has five wells, of which two produce natural gas. The Laurel County field has acreage of 2,700 acres, with 70 potential well locations and 10 wells drilled successfully. Of these drilled wells, four are fully completed and producing oil and gas. The Clinton County Field consists of 830 leased acres with one shut in gas well. The Company is conducting engineering studies at this site. Platina Exploration Corp. In June 2007, PLTG formed Platina Exploration Corp., which has its headquarters in Dallas, Texas. Platina Exploration has acquired producing interests on multiple leases in Seminole County, Oklahoma, and prospects in Young County, Texas. Through a joint venture with Buccaneer Energy, Platina Exploration has spent more than $500,000 evaluating the potential acquisition of a producing asset with behind the pipe reserves. Young County, Texas The Young County, Texas prospect consists of 325 acres. This property has 20 wells with rework potential. During 2008, the Company drilled three additional wells on the property and identified 120 additional well locations. PLTG plans to expand its operations on this property on a well-by-well basis. Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
The Palo Duro Basin In February 2007, the Company acquired oil and gas lease options on a prospect consisting of more than 722 acres in Texas. According to a Morgan Stanley report and a major trade journal, potential gas recovery associated with the Palo Duro Basin could exceed the prolific Barnett Shale discovery. Platina management believes that the Palo Duro Shale could be one of the largest natural gas deposits in North America. Platina has yet to drill wells on this property. Rusty Creek, Wyoming The Company acquired an oil lease in Wyoming encompassing 1,860 acres. The producing well yielded 1,500 barrels of oil per day for the first 90 days of 1997. However, the last 10 years have witnessed a steep decline in productivity, with yields falling to only 300 barrels per month. There are 20 additional drilling sites on the property, for which the Company is evaluating participation. Exhibit 12: Company’s Developed, Undeveloped and Total Acreage Program
Developed Acreage
Total Acreage
Gross
Net
Gross
Net
Gross
Net
55 0 180 160 446 242
55 0 60 160 446 63
270 722 220 1,440 2,284 1,618
270 722 90 1,440 2,284 421
325 722 400 1,600 2,730 1,860
55 0 60 160 446 63
1,083
784
6,554
5,227
7,637
6,011
Texas - Young County Texas - Palo Duro Basin Oklahoma Tennessee Kentuky Wyoming
Total
Undeveloped Acreage
Source: Company Report
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Business Strategy Exhibit 13 : Business Strategy
Develop Existing Properties
Deploy Local Talent for Assistance
Business Strategy
Cost Reduction through Economies of Scale an d Efficient Operations
Pursue Attractive Acquisitions and Joint Ventures
Minimize costs with th e help of technology e.g.: TPU & ESP
Source: Beacon Equity Research
Develop existing properties The Company intends to create near-term reserve and production growth from a number of drilling locations identified at existing acreage. PLTG plans to abstain from exploratory wells and focus instead on drilling wells at already established fields. The execution of management’s strategy is subject to availability of funds. Pursue attractive acquisitions and joint ventures The Company plans to continue to acquire companies it believes can provide competitive advantages and intends to pursue industry joint venture partners. Cost reduction through economies of scale and efficient operations Management expects the Company’s unit cost of production to decline as PLTG develops and expands production from its existing properties. Unit costs will be reduced by utilizing the existing infrastructure over a larger number of wells. PLTG plans to carefully control costs and the timing of its exploration, development and production activities. It will also form joint venture to cut costs. Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Use of cost-effective enhancement technology The Company also plans to market its TPU-enhanced recovery technology to oil and gas property operators as well as owners/leaseholders of stripper wells. PLTG plans to deploy TPUs in its own fields to enhance production and reduce the production decline curve. It is also involved in discussions with other well operators regarding potential on-site installations of trial TPUs. The Company also has rights to inline electrical submersible pump and jet pumps. Electrical submersible pumps (ESP) are often used to extract oil from onshore and offshore deep wells. PLTG acquired the rights to this technology after it acquired Utek Corp. on March 31, 2008. The advantages of this technology include costs reductions, reduction in power consumption, increased production, improved efficiencies and improved safety. Management believes this technology will enable the Company to expand its area of operations in terms of profitable recovery of oil and gas from wells, i.e. deep and/or high gas-to-liquid wells. The Company has created a template for producing TPUs; components will be manufactured by several suppliers and then assembled by PLTG at a central location. With this system in place, PLTG is expected to produce two TPU units per day.
Competitive Analysis PLTG competes with other independent exploration and production companies for acquisitions, financing and other resources. Some of its domestic competitors are described below. Aurora Oil and Gas Corporation Aurora Oil and Gas Corp. is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, exploitation and development of unconventional natural gas reserves. The company has project areas in the Antrim Shale of Michigan and New Albany Shale of southern Indiana and western Kentucky. The company focuses on shale plays where large acreage blocks can be easily evaluated through a series of low-cost test wells. These shale plays are associated with relatively low drilling costs compared to conventional exploration and development plays. The Company had proved reserves of approximately 166.6 billion cubic feet of natural gas at year-end 2007 Panhandle Oil and Gas Inc. Panhandle Oil and Gas Inc. (formerly Panhandle Royalty Company) acquires and manages fee mineral acreage and explores and develops oil and gas properties. It has mineral property reserves and other oil and gas interests located in Oklahoma, New Mexico and Texas. The company does not operate any wells, rather it receives production from several thousand small wells. As of September 30, 2007, the company’s principal properties included 254,692 net mineral acres in Oklahoma, New Mexico, Texas and nine other states. The Meridian Resource Corporation (TMR) The Meridian Resource Corporation, founded in 1985 and incorporated in 1990, locates, develops and produces oil and natural gas. It uses 3-D seismic technology to locate reserves. The company owns interest in reserves located in South Louisiana, the Texas Gulf Coast and the Gulf of Mexico. As of December 31, 2007, the company owned interests in leases covering approximately 363,000 gross acres. It owned interest in 121 wells and had proven reserves of approximately 90 billion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent. Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
GMX Resources Inc. (GMX) GMX Resources Inc., incorporated in 1998, acquires, explores for and develops crude oil and natural gas resources in Texas, Louisiana and New Mexico. Oil production focuses on the Cotton Valley Sands in the Carthage, North Field of Harrison and Panola counties of East Texas Brigham Exploration Company (BEXP) Brigham Exploration Company is an oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production company. It uses 3-D seismic imaging and other technologies to explore and develop onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the United States. The company owns property interests in the onshore Gulf Coast, including the Vicksburg trend in Brooks County, Texas; the Frio trend in and around Matagorda County, Texas; and joint venture interests in southern Louisiana, the Rocky Mountains and West Texas. As of December 31, 2007, it had estimated natural gas reserves of 140.2 billion cubic feet. Daily production last year averaged 41.6 million cubic feet of natural gas equivalent.
Financial Analysis Financial record For the quarter ended June 2008, PLTG reported revenues of $0.05 million, which was equal to almost half of fullyear FY2007 annual revenues. Significant quarter-over-quarter revenue growth is anticipated in the second half of 2008 and into 2009 as production gains are realized from the Company’s Kentucky projects. In the month of July alone, oil and gas revenues from Kentucky production activities exceeded all of the Company’s production revenues from the prior quarter. Operating expenses during the June quarter were higher at $2.0 million and were up four-fold year-over-year. Most of the increase was due to non-cash, stock-based compensation which caused general and administrative expenses to rise substantially. Operating and net losses totaled approximately $2.0 million and $6.0 million, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2008. Exhibit 15 Selected financial data from income statement Quarter ended June 30, 2008 Revenue Total Operating Expenses Operating Profit / (Loss) Net Interest Income/(Expense) Net Income / (Loss)
$49,180
Quarter ended June 30, 2007 $7,200
Year ended March 31, 2008 $116,863
Year ended March 31, 2007 $18,200
$2,004,402
$480,921
$2,781,972
$664,468
($1,955,222)
($473,721)
($2,665,109)
($646,268)
($585,150)
($21,391)
($568,045)
($195,577)
($5,992,601)
($3,725,278)
($16,165,889)
($1,151,457)
Source: Company Reports, Pink Sheets
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Liquidity and capital requirements As of June 30, 2008, the Company has total assets of $11.7 million and a working capital deficit of $3.4 million. Spending on development activities is budgeted at approximately $25 million over the next 12-to-18 months. PLTG’s ability to implement its drill plan and acquire additional leaseholds will depend on securing additional funding and/or forming joint ventures with other oil and gas operators. The Company plans to pursue debt financing to fund its 2008/2009 business plan. Exhibit 16: Selected financial data from balance sheet
June 30, 2008 $71,571
Cash & cash equivalents Net working capital
($3,390,419)
Total assets
$11,165,375
Total current liabilities
$5,262,602
Stock holders’ Equity (deficit)
$1,898,126
Source: Company Reports, Pink Sheets
Revenue outlook In the fiscal year ending April 2009, we expect PLTG’s revenues from oil and gas sales to exceed $2.5 million. We assume a sales mix of 50/50 oil and gas, $90 per barrel oil prices and $7 per MCF gas prices. At $2.5 million in revenues, we expect the Company to produce 60% gross margins. We estimate general and adminstrative spending will range around $50,000 per month (excluding debt service) and anticipate the Company will reach operating breakeven in FY2009. However, we think PLTG is likely several quarters away from recording net profits due to greatly increased development spending in FY2009. The Company already has proved reserves valued to exceed $60 million, many promising drilling prospects and a low-risk development stratgy, so we expect PLTG to rapidly ramp up production in FY2010 and FY2011, resulting in exponential growth in oil and gas revenues over the next three years. We predict oil and gas revenues will rise ten-fold in FY2010 to approximatley $25 million, double again in FY20100 to around $50 million in FY2011, and jump 50% in FY2012 to approximately $75 million. We also expect gross profits to rise faster than sales as economies of scale are realized on volume growth. Rising gross profits will drive growth in cash flow and enable PLTG to self-fund its development program, commercialize its TPU and ESP-jet pump technologies, and acquire additional leaseholds and reserves.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Our revenue estimates conservatively assume no licensing fees or sales of PLTG’s proprietary production enhancement technologies. The Company plans to deploy its TPU and ESP-jet pump technologies on its own properties. If these technologies prove valuable for large scale drilling projects in the fileld, PLTG is likely to attract many interested licensees and negotiate technology licensing arrangements potentially worth millions of additional dollars. Valuation analysis Forward Price/Sales multiples for PLTG’s peer group of domestic, independent exploration and development companies recently averaged around 2.7 times revenues. The peer companies also trade at 8.1 times forward Price/Earnings multiples.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Exhibit 17: peer Group Company Name Aurora Oil & Gas Corp. GMX Resources Incorporation Brigham Exploration Company
Ticker Symbol
Market Cap. $ million
Price / (Share $)
8.53
2009
2010
2008
2009
2010
NM
NM
0.26
NA
NA
36.67
685.16 17.71
17.71
8.94
5.22
3.30
2.57
8.70
403.02 15.00
15.00
12.99
2.78
2.08
NA
10.24
10.24
5.98
2.75
2.69
2.57
0.08
GMXR
BEXP
PLTG.OB
2008
P/S
NM
AOG
Average for the peer group Platina Energy Group
PE
0.04
6.33
Source: Reuters, Beacon Research
We think PLTG shares warrant a valuation comparable to its oil and gas industry peers. Although PLTG may be considered somewhat higher risk due to its early development stage and need for additional financing, we think the Company’s proprietary technologies will give PLTG a meaningful competitive advantage positioning the Company for superior long-term growth. We discount our $25 million FY2010 revenue estimate, then multiply the resulting amount by a 2.7 times forward Price/Sales multiple to derive our $0.30 price target. As a result, we are initiating coverage of Platina Energy Group with a Speculative Buy rating and a $0.30 price target. Achieving its production goals and/or successfully commercializing its production enhancement technologies would position PLTG for sustainable, long-term revenues and EBITDA growth. However, the Company must overcome many obstacles to achieve these goals; some of PLTG’s risk factors are described in the next section.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Risk Factors Declining energy prices and competing technologies The Company is exposed to risks associated with declines in oil and natural gas prices as well as technology risk. The possibility exists that a competitor may introduce superior production enhancement technologies that would reduce demand for TPU technology ESP- jet pump technology. Long lead times for developing reserves increase risk Developing oil and gas reserves often involves long lead times, significant expenditures and many uncertainties. Natural occurrences such as water flooding could cause production costs to be substantially higher than estimated. New environmental laws or other legislation could make developing the Company’s energy reserves cost-prohibitive. Investment risk The Company must make significant investments to develop its oil and gas reserves. Although independent reports suggest PLTG has significant proved reserves, there is no guarantee that these estimated are accurate or that production can be developed in a timely and/or economic manner. Production from wells naturally declines over time and the Company will be required to make ongoing investments in new properties and resources to maintain its production profile. Competition for resources PLTG must compete with other exploration and production companies for property acquisitions, drilling resources and development capital. Some of these competitors have significantly greater reserves and much better access to capital. If prices for oil and gas leaseholds continue to rise, PLTG may find it more difficult to fund property acquisitions.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
Management Team Blair Merriam President and CEO
Mr. Merriam has been PLTG’s president and CEO since the Company’s inception. Prior to that, Mr. Merriam was a director and shareholder of a privately held claim contract company that offered third-party services relating to insurance adjustment, including services related to natural resources. From 1999 to 2005, Mr. Merriam served as an oil and gas business consultant.
Dan Thornton Vice-President and Secretary
Mr. Thornton has served as a director and the Company’s vice president of business development secretary since PLTG’s inception. Mr. Thornton has been a director and shareholder of Torii Medical since 2005.
James E. Jack Director
Mr. Jack has been a director of the Company since March 2008. From December 2006 through March 2008, Mr. Jack served as the managing director of the Baron Group USA LLC, an international investment banking firm based in Hong Kong that provides strategic consulting and banking services to large and mid-cap companies in Asia and North America. In June 2006, Mr. Jack formed J. E. Jack & Partners LLC, a financial advisory and consulting firm. He continues to serve as a principal. From late 2003 to June 2006, he served as a principal in PentaCap LLC, another financial advisory and consulting firm. From May 2001 to the summer of 2003, Mr. Jack served as CFO and executive vice president of Medallion Financial Corp., a publicly traded company. Mr. Jack received a BBA in accounting from the University of Notre Dame, an MBA from the Edwin L. Cox School of Business at Southern Methodist University, and an honorary Doctor of Law degree from St. Mary’s College in Notre Dame, Indiana.
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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Analyst: Lisa Springer, CFA Initial Report October 15th, 2008
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However, we do not provide any assurance as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, including information regarding a profiled company’s plans or ability to effect any planned or proposed actions. We have no first-hand knowledge of any profiled company’s operations and therefore cannot comment on their capabilities, intent, resources, nor experience and we make no attempt to do so. Statistical information, dollar amounts, and market size data was provided by the subject company and related sources which we believe to be reliable. 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In no way has my opinion been influenced by outside parties, nor has my compensation been either directly or indirectly tied to the performance of any security listed. I certify that I do not currently own, nor will own and shares or securities in any of the companies featured in this report. Lisa Springer, MBA, CFA - Senior Analyst Lisa serves Beacon Research Partners as a research analyst. She brings to the company over 15 years experience in equity research and investment marketing. Prior to joining Beacon, Lisa worked as an equity analyst for an independent research provider. She has also held positions as investor relations officer for a NYSE-listed company and director of financial analysis for a large consulting firm. Lisa earned an MBA from the University of Chicago and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA).
Platina Energy Group, Inc. ( OTCBB:PLGT)
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