Nuclear Negligence
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Nuclear Negligence 2009 November 26 tags: Government, National Security, Nuclear Non-Proliferation, Nuclear Weapons, Obama Administration, Public Issues, Russia, Shipping Containers, Technology, Terrorism, War by Mitch Chester
Port security, worldwide, has been compromised by a forseeable, and avoidable, mistake. That humans make mistakes is obvious. Sometimes those mistakes carry little, if any consequences. Sometimes errors can be overwhelming. If there is one current theme in our efforts to achieve nuclear security, it is that we are ”mistake prone.” What comes of these blunders…only time will tell. Take the example of nuclear material and bomb detectors intended for use at world-wide cargo ports. Clearly it is wise to develop technology for detecting nuclear devices which can be secreted into the country in shipping containers. It is a colossal mistake, however, to run out of a key ingredient, a raw material essential to the development of such technology, because someone forgot to make sure there was enough helium-3 to make functional the 1,300 to 1,400 machines planned to spot uranium or plutonium.
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According to the New York Times on November 23, helium-3 is derived from decayed tritium, which comes from hydrogen bombs. The last time we made tritium was in 1989, when the Berlin Wall fell. Since then, the available supply of helium-3, which detects neutrons which are given off by plutonium bombs, has diminished. While there are substitutes for the scarce ingredient, none are reported to be as effective or as discriminatory when discerning between nuclear weapons and ordinary things cargo like kitty litter and bananas. According to the Times report, “The helium-3 problem is another symptom of the decline of nuclear technology.” Why the Department of Homeland Security did not seem to know it could not deploy all of the detection machines because of a limited amount of helium-3 is a mystery. It signals a serious mistake in planning. According to Representative Brad Miller (D-North Carolina), “I have not heard any explanation of why this was not entirely foreseeable.”
The problem of bombs and nuclear components being ushered in with cargo containers is not new or limited to the U.S. It is a real and present danger across the globe. (See video). The helium problem is particularly troubling. The miscalculation about how much was available could be catastrophic if a smuggled weapon or nuclear material is actually used because of the lack of detection equipment at American and foreign shipping ports. While there are other technologies to try to prevent a shipping container disaster, this was to be one of the most promising. Such nuclear negligence takes other forms. Back in 1998 and again in 2000, the United States and Russia agreed to open up a joint early warning center on formerly Soviet soil to detect and analyze missile launches in an effort to avoid accidental warfare. Delayed by 11 years, the center has still not opened. However, since the agreement was made, nuclear brinksmanship has morphed into a state of complexity, and continues to do so. There are still old warheads for which there is no accounting, and more terrorist organizations and rouge governments seek nuclear capability. The Times reported on November 14 that legal issues (like who is responsible for the construction of the center) have held up opening the facility. Amazing. We are living in the time of North Korean nuclear weapons, Iranian development of nuclear technology and an unstable Pakistani warhead arsenal. Even Myanmar is suspected of wanting “the bomb.” Al Qaeda seeks the bomb. It is ironic that Russians and Americans can cooperate with the complex International Space Station, but jointly we can’t open a building which might help prevent World War III. The importance of such an early warning center is crystalized by recalling recent history. According to the International Relations Center in October, 2001, ”U.S. nuclear attack warning systems generated more than 1,150 serious false alarms between 1977 and 1984.” On January 25, 1995, the Russians thought an American missile was headed their way. In the minutes before a retaliation launch was being contemplated, the path of the missile was determined to be non-hostile. Even though told of the launch (designed to probe the Northern Lights), someone forgot to tell Russian rocket commanders. We came close…very close, to the end…because of nuclear negligence. Yes. We are being too lax…too trusting that things will not go wrong. What’s most troubling is the fact that both of these examples of malfeasance fit into the “completely avoidable” category. They are examples of how accidents and incidents are allowed happen, and by then, of course, it is too late. We cannot rely on good luck to avoid nuclear devastation. Quality control in our efforts to avoid nuclear winter needs to be job one. The legal definition of negligence is clear. It is ”the failure to use reasonable care.” U.S. Courts explain ”Reasonable care is that degree of care which a reasonably careful person would use under like circumstances. Negligence may consist either in doing something that a reasonably careful person would not do under like circumstances or in failing to do something that a reasonably careful person would do under like circumstances.” Applying these definitions, the helium-3 and early warning center examples shout NEGLIGENCE.
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No reasonably careful individual would plan for and develop vital equipment to safeguard our ports that cannot ultimately be widely deployed because of a scarce ingredient. No reasonably prudent person would agree that early warning center is crucial and should be opened, and then just argue about legalities while our enemies seek access to technology, which if used or even threatened, make our other disputes trivial. We don’t just need one joint early warning center. The world could benefit several, jointly hosted by rivals. Too many Americans think that since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1989, that we are safer, in terms of nuclear security, than during the days of the Cold War. In fact, we are in a much more perilous situation thanks to the likes of proliferation profiteers and power hungry extremist regimes. It is telling that the “Doomsday Clock” devised by the Board of Directors of the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists has been just 5 minutes from midnight since 2007, closer than it was during the cold war. (In 1990 the clock was 10 minutes to midnight). We add to our peril and risk a closer proximity to the fateful midnight hour by the excercise of a culture of nuclear negligence in an era of enhanced risk. Since ICBM’s are no longer the only delivery vehicle, cooperation and planning cannot get caught up in details and tunnel vision. We cannot afford to get sloppy when it comes to averting present-day nuclear threats, and yet, with the examples of helium-3 and the joint warning center, ”mistake prone“ is our reality. To err is human, but to commit too much error in these hyper nuclear times may ultimately be inhumane. We must do better.
All countries are at risk with cargo container trucks. Above, China inspects a North Korean freight carrier. Edit This from → Affordable Housing, Al Qaeda, National Security, Nuclear Proliferation, Nuclear Weapons, Obama Administration, Physics, Russia, Shipping Containers, Technology, War No comments yet Leave a Reply Logged in as Mitch Chester. Logout »
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Nuclear Negligence 2009 November 26 tags: Government, National Security, Nuclear Non-Proliferation, Nuclear Weapons, Obama Administration, Public Issues, Russia, Shipping Containers, Technology, Terrorism, War by Mitch Chester
Port security, worldwide, has been compromised by a forseeable, and avoidable, mistake. That humans make mistakes is obvious. Sometimes those mistakes carry little, if any consequences. Sometimes errors can be overwhelming. If there is one current theme in our efforts to achieve nuclear security, it is that we are ”mistake prone.” What comes of these blunders…only time will tell. Take the example of nuclear material and bomb detectors intended for use at world-wide cargo ports. Clearly it is wise to develop technology for detecting nuclear devices which can be secreted into the country in shipping containers. It is a colossal mistake, however, to run out of a key ingredient, a raw material essential to the development of such technology, because someone forgot to make sure there was enough helium-3 to make functional the 1,300 to 1,400 machines planned to spot uranium or plutonium.
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According to the New York Times on November 23, helium-3 is derived from decayed tritium, which comes from hydrogen bombs. The last time we made tritium was in 1989, when the Berlin Wall fell. Since then, the available supply of helium-3, which detects neutrons which are given off by plutonium bombs, has diminished. While there are substitutes for the scarce ingredient, none are reported to be as effective or as discriminatory when discerning between nuclear weapons and ordinary things cargo like kitty litter and bananas. According to the Times report, “The helium-3 problem is another symptom of the decline of nuclear technology.” Why the Department of Homeland Security did not seem to know it could not deploy all of the detection machines because of a limited amount of helium-3 is a mystery. It signals a serious mistake in planning. According to Representative Brad Miller (D-North Carolina), “I have not heard any explanation of why this was not entirely foreseeable.”
The problem of bombs and nuclear components being ushered in with cargo containers is not new or limited to the U.S. It is a real and present danger across the globe. (See video). The helium problem is particularly troubling. The miscalculation about how much was available could be catastrophic if a smuggled weapon or nuclear material is actually used because of the lack of detection equipment at American and foreign shipping ports. While there are other technologies to try to prevent a shipping container disaster, this was to be one of the most promising. Such nuclear negligence takes other forms. Back in 1998 and again in 2000, the United States and Russia agreed to open up a joint early warning center on formerly Soviet soil to detect and analyze missile launches in an effort to avoid accidental warfare. Delayed by 11 years, the center has still not opened. However, since the agreement was made, nuclear brinksmanship has morphed into a state of complexity, and continues to do so. There are still old warheads for which there is no accounting, and more terrorist organizations and rouge governments seek nuclear capability. The Times reported on November 14 that legal issues (like who is responsible for the construction of the center) have held up opening the facility. Amazing. We are living in the time of North Korean nuclear weapons, Iranian development of nuclear technology and an unstable Pakistani warhead arsenal. Even Myanmar is suspected of wanting “the bomb.” Al Qaeda seeks the bomb. It is ironic that Russians and Americans can cooperate with the complex International Space Station, but jointly we can’t open a building which might help prevent World War III. The importance of such an early warning center is crystalized by recalling recent history. According to the International Relations Center in October, 2001, ”U.S. nuclear attack warning systems generated more than 1,150 serious false alarms between 1977 and 1984.” On January 25, 1995, the Russians thought an American missile was headed their way. In the minutes before a retaliation launch was being contemplated, the path of the missile was determined to be non-hostile. Even though told of the launch (designed to probe the Northern Lights), someone forgot to tell Russian rocket commanders. We came close…very close, to the end…because of nuclear negligence. Yes. We are being too lax…too trusting that things will not go wrong. What’s most troubling is the fact that both of these examples of malfeasance fit into the “completely avoidable” category. They are examples of how accidents and incidents are allowed happen, and by then, of course, it is too late. We cannot rely on good luck to avoid nuclear devastation. Quality control in our efforts to avoid nuclear winter needs to be job one. The legal definition of negligence is clear. It is ”the failure to use reasonable care.” U.S. Courts explain ”Reasonable care is that degree of care which a reasonably careful person would use under like circumstances. Negligence may consist either in doing something that a reasonably careful person would not do under like circumstances or in failing to do something that a reasonably careful person would do under like circumstances.” Applying these definitions, the helium-3 and early warning center examples shout NEGLIGENCE.
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No reasonably careful individual would plan for and develop vital equipment to safeguard our ports that cannot ultimately be widely deployed because of a scarce ingredient. No reasonably prudent person would agree that early warning center is crucial and should be opened, and then just argue about legalities while our enemies seek access to technology, which if used or even threatened, make our other disputes trivial. We don’t just need one joint early warning center. The world could benefit several, jointly hosted by rivals. Too many Americans think that since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1989, that we are safer, in terms of nuclear security, than during the days of the Cold War. In fact, we are in a much more perilous situation thanks to the likes of proliferation profiteers and power hungry extremist regimes. It is telling that the “Doomsday Clock” devised by the Board of Directors of the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists has been just 5 minutes from midnight since 2007, closer than it was during the cold war. (In 1990 the clock was 10 minutes to midnight). We add to our peril and risk a closer proximity to the fateful midnight hour by the excercise of a culture of nuclear negligence in an era of enhanced risk. Since ICBM’s are no longer the only delivery vehicle, cooperation and planning cannot get caught up in details and tunnel vision. We cannot afford to get sloppy when it comes to averting present-day nuclear threats, and yet, with the examples of helium-3 and the joint warning center, ”mistake prone“ is our reality. To err is human, but to commit too much error in these hyper nuclear times may ultimately be inhumane. We must do better.
All countries are at risk with cargo container trucks. Above, China inspects a North Korean freight carrier. Edit This from → Affordable Housing, Al Qaeda, National Security, Nuclear Proliferation, Nuclear Weapons, Obama Administration, Physics, Russia, Shipping Containers, Technology, War No comments yet Leave a Reply Logged in as Mitch Chester. Logout »
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Obama must sell base on unpopular war 11/27/2009 He must persuade his anti-war supporters to back a plan for Afghanistan that would double troop levels. Josh Gerstein Administration praises rebuke of Iran 11/27/2009 Officials say it's an important milestone in international efforts to crack down on Iran's nuclear ambitions. Nia-Malika Henderson,Alexander Burns Reality TV crew filmed dinner crashers 11/26/2009 Network confirms: Michaele and Tareq Salahi were being followed by cameras from 'Real Housewives.' Josh Gerstein Great moments in Thanksgiving politics 11/26/2009 Some of the most dramatic, consequential, or just plain weird Thanksgiving moments in recent years. Alexander Burns Can Obama save Copenhagen talks? 11/25/2009 His decision to attend lends some star power to an event that's lost much luster -- but at considerable risk. Lisa Lerer Activists seek green Black Friday 11/27/2009 Environmental activists say Black Friday sales produce mountains of trash that won't easily go away. Erika Lovley Obama to speak at West Point 11/25/2009 He'll talk directly to future officers on Afghan war policy. Kendra Marr,Mike Allen Purity test reignites RNC tensions 11/25/2009 Internal RNC resolution outlines 10 core party principles for candidates in the 2010 elections. Andy Barr Paper: Trigger best option for reform 11/25/2009 Urban Institute paper casts issue as more about containing health costs than extending benefits. David Rogers Palin: 'We'll see' about run with Beck 11/25/2009 She praises the conservative commentator for getting "his message across in such a clever way." Andy Barr Obama goes basic for Thanksgiving 11/24/2009 Obama's declaration is short and gives no specific examples of things to rejoice in or recover from. Erika Lovley The White House's unprecedented use of 'unprecedented' 11/25/2009 Barack Obama's White House seems to be addicted to the word 'unprecedented." Carol E. Lee
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Job Crunch Even Harder On People With Disabilities 11/28/2009 Large numbers of Americans are still losing their jobs, but the unemployment rate is particularly high among people with disabilities. They are almost twice as likely to get laid off and they have a harder time finding new jobs. Climate Change Is Victim Of 'Tragedy Of The Commons' 11/27/2009 One reason it is so hard to slash carbon emissions is that climate change occurs globally. The countries that produce the most greenhouse gas all need to take action to fix the problem. That raises a classic economic dilemma called the tragedy of the commons. Dubai Fallout Sends Stock Markets Lower 11/27/2009 International stock markets are down Friday. Asian stock markets plummeted nearly 5 percent as fears mount over the fallout from Dubai's massive debt problems. Investors have cut back their riskier bets on equities and commodities. An Investment In Warhol May Hold Its Value 11/27/2009 A painting by the late pop artist Andy Warhol of 200 $1 bills, recently sold for $44 million. That's one of the highest prices ever paid for one of his paintings. Art writer Sarah Thornton has been exploring why works by Warhol maintain such high prices — his continued fame is one reason. She talks to Steve Inskeep about her article in The Economi […] Pumpkin Shortage May Cut Down On Dessert Seconds 11/27/2009 That slice of pumpkin pie you enjoyed on Thanksgiving could be the last you'll see for awhile. Distributors are warning that this year's poor pumpkin crop means that canned filling is in short supply. You may need to diversify your pie plans for the rest of the holiday season. 'Black Friday' Buyers Focus On Bargains 11/27/2009 The nation's biggest retailers began gearing up for the busy post-Thanksgiving shopping day months ago. The Conference Board predicts U.S. households will spend about 7 percent less on gifts this season than last year. At a Target store in Maryland, some shoppers were up early looking for specific items. Sony Optimistic On 3-D TVs, In-House Display 11/26/2009 Sony's new online service connecting the whole range of its gadgets to downloadable content like movies and games should help build brand loyalty, a top executive said. Best Buy Ads Feature Muslim Holiday Greeting 11/26/2009 To appeal to Muslim shoppers this holiday season, Best Buy has been printing circulars in parts of the country with the greeting : "Happy Eid al-Adha." The Muslim holiday is Friday, and it marks the end of the pilgrimage to Mecca. Some people have complained that Best Buy is giving Christmas short shrift. But some Muslims are delighted. Plymouth And Provincetown, After The Pilgrims 11/26/2009 At Thanksgiving, most of us think of pious Pilgrims in black clothes landing at Plymouth, Mass. But they actually arrived at Provincetown, Mass., first. It's hard to imagine two places more different today. Plymouth makes money from its image as the home of righteous, hard-working, religious pilgrims. Provincetown makes money from its pounding disco bea […] Developers In Dubai Seek More Time To Pay Debts 11/26/2009 Dubai was an economic marvel in recent years, enjoying a huge real estate boom. Then came the worldwide recession, and debt payments are now due. Dubai's government said Wednesday that two leading state-run firms are seeking several more months to meet their obligations. The firms have been developing man-made islands shaped like palm trees that feature […]
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Researchers Turn to Artificial Intelligence and Real Data to Improve War Games 11/26/2009 Virtual worlds such as Second Life and World of Warcraft allow players to adopt virtual personas or engage in combat on digital battlefields, but what if similar technology could let government intelligence analysts play out antiterrorism scenarios that would help with better understandings of the consequences of Middle East policy recommendations? A team of […] People Hear with Their Skin, As Well As Their Ears 11/26/2009 The act of hearing is a group effort for the human body's organs, involving the ears, the eyes and also, according to the results of a new study, the skin. [More] Inhaling Bacteria with Cigarette Smoke 11/25/2009 Cigarettes contain hundreds of different strains of bacteria , including many human pathogens that may play a role in lung diseases and respiratory infections, new research shows. [More] Say What? Mice that Resist Hearing Loss Could Help Aging Ears 11/25/2009 Vibrating Technology Promises to Replace Biopsies in Diagnosing Diseased Tissue 11/25/2009 Biopsies , although invasive and unpleasant, are typically the best way to diagnose the health of human tissue, especially the liver. A group of researchers and physicians at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minn., is hoping to change this through a relatively new approach known as magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) , which they developed to measure the stif […] One for the Ages: Bristlecone Pines Break 4,650-Year Growth Record 11/25/2009 Bristlecone pine trees dot the White Mountains in eastern California, giving the stark and rocky landscape one of its few highly visible signs of life. These gnarly-barked trees can survive at altitudes of up to 3,470 meters, although their growth rate at these heights is limited because of cold temperatures. But those limits have been loosening lately. In t […] Numerous "Tramp" Stars Adrift in Intergalactic Space Could Await Discovery 11/24/2009 Take a look up in the night sky. Whether on a mountaintop, largely unfazed by light pollution, or wedged in the heart of a muddied-sky metropolis, thank your lucky stars that you can see anything at all. A new study investigating the disruptive effects of galaxies merging or tugging on each other shows that there should be numerous stars thrown from their ha […] Splitting Time from Space--The Evidence 11/24/2009 Can Climate Change Cause Conflict? Recent History Suggests So 11/23/2009 Some experts call the genocide in Darfur the world's first conflict caused by climate change. After all, the crisis was sparked, at least in part, by a decline in rainfall over the past 30 years just as the region's population doubled, pitting wandering pastoralists against settled farmers for newly scarce resources, such as arable land. [More] […] Circulation of LHC Beams Could Resume in Earnest over the Weekend 11/20/2009 The Large Hadron Collider , the world's most powerful particle accelerator, is drawing near to its long-awaited reboot. More than a year after the European collider's initial start-up was quashed by a helium leak caused by a faulty electrical connection , particle beams have been injected into the collider, known as the LHC, and may be guided fully […]
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Aidan Jones Hard times in Michigan lead town to bid for Guantánamo inmates 11/27/2009 Chris McGreal History of US intervention in Honduras 11/27/2009 Rory Carroll Four shot dead at family Thanksgiving gathering in United States 11/27/2009 Array Video: Space shuttle Atlantis touches down 11/27/2009 Space shuttle Atlantis arrives safely back on Earth after an 11-day mission to the International Space Station Array Iraq invasion was of questionable legitimacy, says British diplomat 11/27/2009 James Meikle Gary McKinnon's mother brands extradition of her son 'disgusting' 11/27/2009 Afua Hirsch, Adam Gabbatt Video: Pardoned turkey comes to California for Thanksgiving 11/27/2009 Bird given reprieve from the roasting tray by Barack Obama is flown to Disneyland for Thanksgiving parade Array The rabid right has made me doubt my faith in America | Michael White 11/27/2009 Michael White Investigating the Catholic paedophiles | Andrew Brown 11/27/2009 Andrew Brown
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What to Read on the Financial Crisis 11/24/2009 From the Archives: Afghanistan 11/24/2009 The Root of All Fears 11/23/2009 The Tajik Solution 11/22/2009 The World Next Week Podcast: November 20, 2009 11/19/2009 November 19, 2009 Foreign Affairs Managing Editor Gideon Rose and CFR.org Editor Robert McMahon preview major world events in the week ahead. In this week's podcast: U.S. President Barack Obama returns from his tour through Asia; Honduras holds presidential elections; Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh visits the United States; and New York prepares f […] Where the Wild Things Were 11/19/2009 The L-Word in Afghanistan 11/15/2009 Current Issues in International Affairs 11/13/2009 November 13, 2009 U85 IA 550, Current Issues in International Affairs Professor Marvin MarcusWashington University Course Description This interdisciplinary seminar is the ‘gateway' course for the M.A. program in International Affairs (IAP). It consists of a series of integrated units and individual presentations by members of International Affair […] The World Next Week Podcast: November 13, 2009 11/12/2009 November 13, 2009 Foreign Affairs Managing Editor Gideon Rose and CFR.org Editor Robert McMahon preview major world events in the week ahead. In this week's podcast: the Obama administration makes a decision on Afghanistan; U.S. President Barack Obama meets with Chinese President Hu Jintao in Beijing; and a U.S. envoy arrives in North Korea. Click here […] What to Read on Nuclear Proliferation 11/11/2009
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Affordable Housing Afghanistan Africa Agriculture AIG Airline Safety Al Qaeda Architecture Art Astronomy Automakers Aviation Bailout Beethoven Bill Gates Biodiversity Blogs Body Brain Carl Sagan Censorship Climate Change CNBC CNN Communication Communications Congress Constitution Cosmos Courts Credit Crowdsourcing Detroit Disaster Recovery Economic Development Economic Recovery Economy Education Energy Enlightenment Exchanging Ideas FAA Fincancial Literacy Foreclosures Foregin Affairs Forgeign Policy Free Speech Freedom of Speech Gates Foundation General Motors Geoengineering Global Warming Global Warming/Climate Change Google H1N1 Virus Health Health Care Housing Policy Human Body Hurricanes Intelligence Internet Iran
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Issues Journalism Justice Language Media Medicine Mexico Music Nanomedicine Nanoscience Nanotechnology NASA NASA and Space Policy National Security NATO New Age New York Times Newspapers Nuclear Proliferation Nuclear Weapons Numbers Obama Administration Pakistan Physics Politics Population Growth Public Issues Questions Quotes Rising Sea Levels Russia Sea Levels Seawater Shipping Containers Social Media Stock Market Swine Flu Taliban Teaching Technology TED The Little Guy The New Consumer The Presidency Transportation Safety Uncategorized Wall Street Walter Cronkite War Weather Workforce Housing
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Affordable Housing Afghanistan Africa Agriculture AIG Airline Safety Al Qaeda Architecture Art Astronomy Automakers Aviation Bailout Beethoven Bill Gates
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Biodiversity Blogs Body Brain Carl Sagan Censorship Climate Change CNBC CNN Communication Communications Congress Constitution Cosmos Courts Credit Crowdsourcing Detroit Disaster Recovery Economic Development Economic Recovery Economy Education Energy Enlightenment Exchanging Ideas FAA Fincancial Literacy Foreclosures Foregin Affairs Forgeign Policy Free Speech Freedom of Speech Gates Foundation General Motors Geoengineering Global Warming Global Warming/Climate Change Google H1N1 Virus Health Health Care Housing Policy Human Body Hurricanes Intelligence Internet Iran Issues Journalism Justice Language Media Medicine Mexico Music Nanomedicine Nanoscience Nanotechnology NASA NASA and Space Policy National Security NATO New Age New York Times Newspapers Nuclear Proliferation Nuclear Weapons
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Numbers Obama Administration Pakistan Physics Politics Population Growth Public Issues Questions Quotes Rising Sea Levels Russia Sea Levels Seawater Shipping Containers Social Media Stock Market Swine Flu Taliban Teaching Technology TED The Little Guy The New Consumer The Presidency Transportation Safety Uncategorized Wall Street Walter Cronkite War Weather Workforce Housing
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SharedEmergency is here for a number of reasons. First, the traditional media is failing the American public, and many stories and issues are ignored. Next, I discuss ideas and issues by also advancing potential solutions, so I am not just identifying a topic, but trying to constructively add to the voice of those seeking resolution of the problem. Third, I have ideas and like to write and broadcast in the "new media." Lastly, but most importantly, this blog is devoted to my son and his children, who I hope will inherit a better world. z
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