The season is approaching, this year I've decided that I was going to be able to watch football online live. As week 1 of the NFL picks season approaches a considerable portion of the gambling public begins to examine a teams prospects according to last years stats. The NFL is one of the leagues where player changes from one NFL picks year to the next completely alter a teams potential. Just take a look at the Bears who vaulted into contention simply with the acquisition of Cutler. The other factor that you need to also remember is to disregard about pre-season records and NFL Picks final scores. What occurred during the pre-season can have little effect on a teams readiness for the regular season. Just look at last years Detroit Loins who were a prefect 4-0 in pre-season only to go 0-16 when it really mattered. With that in mind I took a historical look at Week 1 of the NFL picks season to see if there were some profitable betting trends. I found 10 NFL Picks Week 1 winning betting trends: Home Favorites that had a worse SU record than their opponent the prior year are 21-4 ATS in Week 1 since 2001. Week 1 NFL Picks: Texans, Packers, Bengals. Week 1 Home Favorites facing an opponent who was .500 or better last season 28-12 the L40 opportunities. Week 1 NFL Picks: N.Y. Giants, Steelers, Falcons, Texans, Packers, Bengals, Panthers. Under dogs in Week 1 that were 6-10 SU or worse last year are 27-12-1 ATS 2000. Week 1 NFL Picks: Lions, Chiefs, Rams, Jaguars. Divisional favorites of three points or less are 15-3 SU & 14-3-1 ATS since 2000 during the first week of the season. Week 1 NFL Picks: Packers. Under dogs of 3-1/2 points or more in divisional games are 6-16 SU but 15-7 ATS since 2000. Week 1 NFL Picks: Bills, Jaguars, 49ers, Redskins. When the difference in the teams’ points per game margin from the previous year is 10.0+ points, the team with the worst differential is 1810 ATS in the opening week since 2001. Week 1 NFL Picks: Lions, Chiefs, Chargers.
Home Favorites of -6 to -9.5 are 24-5 SU & 18-11 ATS in week 1 of the NFL season since 2000. Week 1 NFL Picks: Ravens, Seahawks, Colts, Cardinals, Giants. Home Favorites of less than 3 is 10-4 SU & ATS since 2001. Week 1 NFL Picks: Bengals, Panthers. Double-digit under dogs in Week 1 of the NFL season are 3-4 SU & 6-1 ATS since 2000. Week 1 NFL Picks: Lions, Buffalo. Road Favorites in NFL Week 1 facing a team that was .500 or better last season are 12-8 ATS the L20. Week 1 NFL Picks: Cowboys. Now that I have my NFL Picks, I can keep closer tabs on my teams and players 24/7 as I watch football online live on my computer.