Marshall Ks

2008

Marshall County

North Central Kansas County Profiles

ROUGH DRAFT

Project funding support provided through Rural Business Tax Credits from the Kansas Department of Commerce through NCKCN an affiliate of North Central Regional Planning Commission.

Advanced Manufacturing Institute 510 McCall Road Manhattan, KS – 66502-5034 785-532-7044 785-532-7031

MARSHALL COUNTY

Section I Overview of Marshall County

Marshall County is one of 105 counties of the sunflower state located in the north central part of Kansas. The county seat is Marysville.

2

MARSHALL COUNTY

County Profile - Marshall County, KS Marshall County is one of the 105 counties in the state of Kansas. The 2007 populations estimate lists the population to be 10,186. According to 2000 estimates, it has 902.53 square miles in land area and a population density of 12.1 people per square mile. The average household size is 2.4 persons (2000), and the median household income is $36,899 (2004) (US census Bureau).

Population Estimates Marshall County has a population of 10,186 as of July 1, 2007 (US Census Bureau). The population decreased by 7.10% from the year 2000 to 2007. As per the 2000 census survey, population of the county was 10,965 with median age of 41.7 years. In 2000, Marshall County had 19.4% population under the age of 15 years, 20.5% in the age group 15 to 34 years, 33.6% in the age group 35 years to 59 years and 26.5% of the population above 60 years of age. Table 1: Population Estimates for Marshall County Year Ending July 1,2007 July 1,2006 July 1,2005 July 1,2004 July 1,2003 July 1,2002 July 1,2001 July 1,2000 Census 2000 April 1,2000 1990 to 2000 % change 2000 to 2007 % change

Marshall County 10,186 10,196 10,274 10,315 10,454 10,594 10,795 10,933 10,965

Population Estimates

-6.3% -7.10%

Source: US Census Bureau

3

Kansas 2,775,997 2,755,817 2,741,665 2,730,828 2,721,824 2,712,383 2,700,979 2,692,890 2,688,418 8.5% 3.26%

MARSHALL COUNTY 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 Kansas 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 Marshall  10,000 5,000 0 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Source: US Census Bureau

Figure 1: Population Change in the Last Century Table 2: Sex and Age of Population (2000 Census) SEX AND AGE Male Female Under 5 years 5 to 9 years 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 25 to 34 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 59 years 60 to 64 years 65 to 74 years 75 to 84 years 85 years and over

Count 5,393 5,572 543 655 923 871 472 905 1,681 1,444 560 497 1,096 893 425

Source: US Census Bureau

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Percentage 49.2% 50.8% 5.0% 6.0% 8.4% 7.9% 4.3% 8.3% 15.3% 13.2% 5.1% 4.5% 10.0% 8.1% 3.9%

MARSHALL COUNTY

Household Income Median household income for Marshall County is $38,111 which is around 11% less than the state median income. The median household income had increased by 1.31% from 2000 to 2005, although the state median income has declined by 9.9% in the same period. Table 3: Median Income in Marshall County Median Income Median household income in 2005 Median household income in 1999 (adj. for inflation1) 5-year percent change 2000 to 2005

Marshall $38,111 $37,617 1.31%

Kansas $42,861 $47,622 -9.9%

Source: USDA ERS (www.ers.usda.gov) and US Census Bureau

$60,000  $50,000  $40,000  $30,000  $20,000  $10,000  $0 

$38,111 

$47,622 

$42,861 

$37,617  Marshall Kansas

Median household income in 2005

Median household income in 1999

Figure 2: Median Income in Clay County and Kansas

Poverty Rates The current poverty rate for Marshall County is 10.4 which is less than that of the state poverty rate of 11.7. In 2000, Marshall County’s poverty rate was 9.6 which increased to 10.4 in 2005 i.e. an increase of 8.3%. The poverty rate for Kansas in the same period went from 8.9 to 11.7. Table 4: Poverty Estimates for Marshall County Poverty Estimates

Marshall

5-Year % Change

Kansas

Poverty rate in 2005

10.4 9.6 13.4 12.8

8.3% 4.7%

11.7 8.9 15.2 11.9

In 2000 Poverty rate for children under 18 in 2005 In 2000

Source: US Census Bureau (Downloaded from www.stats.indiana.edu)

1

Value 2005 dollars term calculated using CPI inflation calculator available at Bureau of Labor Statistics website http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl. The CPI inflation calculator uses the average Consumer Price Index for a given calendar year. This data represents changes in prices of all goods and services purchased for consumption by urban households. This index value has been calculated every year since 1913. For the current year, the latest monthly index value is used (www.bls.gov).

5

MARSHALL COUNTY

Labor Force Marshall County’s current unemployment rate is 3.2 which is less than the state rate of 4.1. The total labor force for the county declined by 2.1% in the last five years and by 3.6% in the last ten years. The total employed labor force declined by 1.5% in the last five years but along with that the unemployed labor force also declined by 18.8% in the last five years. Table 5: Labor Force Annual Averages for Marshall County Labor Force Annual Averages in 2007 Total Labor Force 5-year % change 10-year % change Employed 5-year % change 10-year % change Unemployed 5-year % change 10-year % change Unemployment Rate 5-year % change 10-year % change

Marshall County

Kansas

5,750 -2.1% -3.6% 5,564 -1.5% -3.8% 186 -18.8% 1.6% 3.2 -17.9% 3.2%

1,478,781 3.8% 6.9% 1,418,666 5.0% 6.7% 60,115 -17.8% 12.0% 4.1 -19.6% 5.1%

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (Downloaded from www.stats.indiana.edu)

3%

Employed Unemployed

97%

Figure 3: Employed and Unemployed Labor Force in Marshall County

6

MARSHALL COUNTY

Educational Attainment About eighty-five percent of the population above the age of 25 has at least a high school degree. Around twenty-two percent of the population above the age of twentyfive has some college education, and 16.8% hold some kind of college degree. Table 6: Educational Attainment – Marshall County Educational Attainment: Census 2000 Total Population 25 and Older Less Than 9th Grade 9th to 12th, No Diploma High School Graduate (incl. equiv.) Some College, No Degree Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate or Professional Degree

Marshall

Percent of Population 25+

Kansas

Percent of Population 25+

7,460 524 591 3,407 1,693 258 647 340

100.0% 7.0% 7.9% 45.7% 22.7% 3.5% 8.7% 4.6%

1,701,207 88,124 149,675 507,612 417,722 99,096 290,271 148,707

100.0% 5.2% 8.8% 29.8% 24.6% 5.8% 17.1% 8.7%

Source: US Census Bureau

100% 90% 80% 70%

4.60% 8.70% 3.50%

17.10%

22.70%

5.80%

Some College, No Degree 45.70%

30%

29.80%

20% 0%

Bachelor's Degree

24.60%

50%

10%

Graduate or Professional  Degree

Associate Degree

60% 40%

8.70%

7.90% 7.00%

8.80% 5.20%

Marshall

Kansas

High School Graduate  (incl. equiv.) 9th to 12th, No Diploma Less Than 9th Grade

Figure 4: Educational Attainment – Marshall County

7

MARSHALL COUNTY

Workers Commuting to Work More than eighty-seven percent of the labor force work in the county itself. The maximum outflow of workers from Marshall County is to Riley County (157 workers i.e. about 3% of total commuting workers travel to Riley County for work). Another 143 workers commute to Nemaha County for work. Table 7: Workers (Commuting to Work) Living in Marshall County Workers Living in County in 2000 Total Working in County Working Elsewhere Adams Co. CO Fulton Co. GA Polk Co. IA Brown Co. KS Clay Co. KS Cloud Co. KS Geary Co. KS Harper Co. KS Johnson Co. KS Lyon Co. KS Nemaha Co. KS Osage Co. KS Pottawatomie Co. KS Rawlins Co. KS Riley Co. KS Saline Co. KS Sedgwick Co. KS Seward Co. KS Shawnee Co. KS Washington Co. KS Wyandotte Co. KS Gage Co. NE Jefferson Co. NE Lancaster Co. NE Pawnee Co. NE Cuyahoga Co. OH

Marshall

Pct Dist. in County

Kansas

Pct Dist. in State

5,228 4,570 658 1 2 3 34 27 3 1 4 2 14 143 3 41 4 157 8 2 2 22 88 2 67 12 3 10 3

100.0% 87.4% 12.6% 0.02% 0.04% 0.06% 0.65% 0.52% 0.06% 0.02% 0.08% 0.04% 0.27% 2.74% 0.06% 0.78% 0.08% 3.00% 0.15% 0.04% 0.04% 0.42% 1.68% 0.04% 1.28% 0.23% 0.06% 0.19% 0.06%

1,310,746 1,214,739 96,007 -

100.0% 92.7% 7.3% -

Source: US Census Bureau (Includes only workers over 16 years old)

8

MARSHALL COUNTY – less than 1% of residence county population commutes – less than 5% of residence county population commutes – less than 10% of residence county population commutes – less than 20% of residence county population commutes – more than 20% of residence county population commutes

Figure 5: Workers Commute from Marshall County 9

MARSHALL COUNTY

The maximum inflow of workers to Marshall County is from Washington County. Two hundred eighty-six workers commute to Marshall County from Washington County for work, and eighty-one come from Nemaha County. In total 752 workers commute to Marshall County for work. Table 8: People Working in Marshall County People Working in County in 2000

Marshall

Pct Dist. in County

Kansas

Pct Dist. in State

Total Living in County Living Elsewhere Pottawattamie County, Iowa Clay County, Kansas Cloud County, Kansas Dickinson County, Kansas Douglas County, Kansas Franklin County, Kansas Geary County, Kansas Graham County, Kansas Jackson County, Kansas Jewell County, Kansas Johnson County, Kansas Lyon County, Kansas Nemaha County, Kansas Osborne County, Kansas Ottawa County, Kansas Pottawatomie County, Kansas Riley County, Kansas Seward County, Kansas Sumner County, Kansas Wabaunsee County, Kansas Washington County, Kansas Douglas County, Nebraska Gage County, Nebraska Jefferson County, Nebraska Lancaster County, Nebraska Pawnee County, Nebraska Richardson County, Nebraska Seward County, Nebraska Grady County, Oklahoma Kay County, Oklahoma

5,322 4,570 752 10 19 17 12 5 7 3 2 5 2 10 9 81 2 6 69 57 3 3 2 286 14 64 14 10 18 8 6 1 7

100.0% 85.9% 14.1% -

1,317,070 1,214,739 102,331 -

100.0% 92.2% 7.8% -

Source: US Census Bureau (Includes only workers over 16 years old.)

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MARSHALL COUNTY – less than 1% of residence county population commutes – less than 5% of residence county population commutes – less than 10% of residence county population commutes – less than 20% of residence county population commutes – more than 20% of residence county population commutes

Figure 6: Workers Commuting to Marshall County 11

MARSHALL COUNTY

Section – II Industry Analysis

12

MARSHALL COUNTY

Industry Analysis Industry Totals for Marshall County Industry employment increased in the county by thirty-two percent from 1990 to 2007. Average pay (after adjusting for inflation) has grown by 18.54%, and the number of establishments in the same period increased at around 3%. This is a good indicator of growing industry in the county as population in the county has been declining every decade since 1990 (Figure 1). The same is also true for the fact that around 752 workers commute to Marshall County for work according to 2000 census numbers (Table 8). Table 9: Annual Covered Employment & Wages2 Over Time (NAICS) – Marshall County Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 2

Establishments

Employment

395 401 403 395 389 396 403

3618 3530 3745 3934 4069 4231 4360

Average Annual Pay $15,304 $15,307 $15,456 $16,210 $16,707 $17,340 $18,010

Average Pay in terms of 20073 Dollars (adj*) $24,278 $23,302 $22,842 $23,260 $23,374 $23,591 $23,800

Covered Employment & Wages (CEW) also known as ES202 data are the product of a federal-state cooperative program, the Quarterly Census of Employment

and Wages (QCEW) program, also known as the ES-202 program. The data are derived from summaries of employment and total pay of workers covered by state and federal unemployment insurance (UI) legislation and provided by State Workforce Agencies (SWAs). The summaries are a result of the administration of state unemployment insurance programs that require most employers to pay quarterly taxes based on the employment and wages of workers covered by UI. (www.bls.gov). 3

Average wages in 2007 dollars term were calculated using the CPI inflation calculator available at Bureau of Labor Statistics website http://data.bls.gov/cgibin/cpicalc.pl. The CPI inflation calculator uses the average Consumer Price Index for a given calendar year. This data represents changes in prices of all goods and services purchased for consumption by urban households. This index value has been calculated every year since 1913. For the current year, the latest monthly index value is used (www.bls.gov).

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MARSHALL COUNTY Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Change from 1990 to 2007 Percent change from 1990 to 2007

Establishments

Employment

414 420 406 396 388 394 391 390 392 390 407 12 3.04%

4375 4487 4509 4671 4714 4766 4656 4726 4834 4687 4791 1173 32.42%

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) *adj = Adjusted for Inflation.

14

Average Annual Pay $19,019 $19,552 $20,039 $21,606 $22,277 $22,345 $22,946 $24,473 $25,175 $26,305 $28,779 $13,475 88.05%

Average Pay in terms of 20073 Dollars (adj*) $24,570 $24,871 $24,940 $26,015 $26,081 $25,754 $25,857 $26,862 $26,727 $27,054 $28,779 $4,501 18.54%

407 390

392

390

391

394

396

403

396

388

390

389

403

395

400

395

410

401

420

406

414

Establishments 430

420

MARSHALL COUNTY

380

4791

4687

4834

4726

4656

4766

4714

4671

4509

4487

4375

4231

4069

3934

3745

4000

3530

5000

3618

Employment 6000

4360

370

3000 2000 1000

$24,278 

$23,302 

$22,842 

$23,260 

$23,374 

$23,591 

$23,800 

$24,570 

$24,871 

$24,940 

$26,015 

$26,081 

$25,754 

$25,857 

$26,862 

$26,727 

$27,054 

$28,779 

0

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Average Pay in terms of 2007 dollars $35,000  $30,000  $25,000  $20,000  $15,000  $10,000  $5,000  $0 

Figure 7: Changes in Establishments, Employment and Average Annual Wages in the County 15

MARSHALL COUNTY

Jobs and Average Wages by Industry Retail Trade has the largest number of establishments in Marshall County. It has 64 establishments with 584 jobs and annual average wages of $17,601. The Manufacturing sector has 20 establishments but the largest number of jobs at 1103 and annual average wages of $37,682. The Health Care & Social Assistance sector has 32 establishments with 509 jobs and annual average wages of $28,584. The highest paying sector is Construction with annual average wages of $43,595 and 49 establishments. Another high wage paying sector is the Transportation & Warehousing sector with annual average wages of $35,013. Table 10: Industry Distribution of Establishments, Jobs, and Average Wages – Marshall County Industry Distribution of Establishments, Jobs & Average Wages (2007) Total Covered Employment and Wages Private Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support & Waste Management & Remediation Services Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Public Administration) Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) N – Non-disclosed, NA- Not Applicable

16

Establishments 407 334 5 NA 5 49 20 28 64 36 9 27 4 20 1 13 8 32 4 25 30

Jobs 4791 3872 18 N N 425 1103 261 584 45 134 N N N N 109 434 509 N N 275

Annual Average Wages $28,779 $30,644 $26,137 N N $43,595 $37,682 $29,461 $17,601 $35,013 $26,544 N N N N $18,294 $23,992 $28,584 N N $17,062

MARSHALL COUNTY

Establishments

Jobs

Agriculture Utilities Manufacturing Retail Trade Information Real Estate  Management of Companies  Educational Services Arts, Entertainment & Recreation Other Services (except Public Administration)

Mining Construction Wholesale Trade Transportation &Warehousing Finance & Insurance Professional & Technical Services Waste Management  Health Care  Accommodation & Food Services

Figure 8: Establishments and Jobs in Various Industry Sectors in Marshall County

17

MARSHALL COUNTY

$20,000 

$28,584 

$17,062 

$25,000 

$23,992 

$18,294 

$26,544 

$30,000 

$17,601 

$35,000 

$26,137 

$40,000 

$35,013 

$45,000 

$29,461 

$50,000 

$37,682 

$43,595 

Annual Average Wage

$15,000  $10,000 

$0 

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

$5,000 

Agriculture Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation &Warehousing Information Finance & Insurance Real Estate  Professional & Technical Services Management of Companies  Waste Management  Educational Services Health Care  Arts, Entertainment & Recreation Accommodation & Food Services Other Services (except Public Administration)

Figure 9: Average Wage in Various Industries in Marshall County

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MARSHALL COUNTY

Key Industries Marshall County is home to some very well performing industries. These industries may be a part of existing or emerging clusters. For identifying key industries and clusters, three criteria were used: 1. Location Quotient – Location quotients (LQ) for industries at 6-digit NAICS level were calculated with US industry employment as base. The cutoff for LQ was taken as 1.25 (based on previous studies, especially Cortright 2003). 2. Average Wages – Average wages at 6-digit NAICS codes were compared to US average wages. If any industry has average wages 10% above the US average, it is considered to be a good performing industry. 3. Growth Rate – Growth rates for the employment were calculated over a three year time period from 2003 to 20064; a growth rate above 5% is considered to be an indicator of good industry performance. Any industry that satisfies one of these three conditions is either a good performing industry or an industry with good potential for growth. There may or may not be a cluster existing in a region for every good performing industry, but if there are good performing industries, a cluster may emerge in the near future.

4

There were two reasons for selecting 2003 as the base year. 1) The numbers were more likely to be free from 9/11 impacts as compared to 2001 or 2002 numbers. 2) NAICS definitions changed in 2002, so it was very difficult to bridge between 2002 & 1997 codes for some industries.

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MARSHALL COUNTY Industries with High Growth Rates Most of the industries with high growth rates are local instead of traded5 industries in Marshall County. The highest growth rate is for the Fertilizer, Mixing Only, Manufacturing sector (NAICS 325314) but it has only one establishment. Other sectors with high growth rates are the Offices of Physical, Occupational and Speech Therapists, and Audiologists sector and the Business Associations sector. Table 11: Top 10 Industries (6-digit NAICS) with Highest Growth Rates Establishments

Employment

Average Wages

Growth Differentials

Cluster

Fertilizer, Mixing Only, Manufacturing Offices of Physical, Occupational and Speech Therapists, and Audiologists Business Associations Offices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers

1

30

$53,990

210.72%

Chemicals and Chemical-based Products

2

18

$55,250

108.01%

Local Health Services

2

9

$13,495

108.01%

1

6

$34,720

81.71%

Local Community & Civic Local Real Estate, Construction & Development

541211

Offices of Certified Public Accountants

2

12

$29,526

81.71%

Business and Financial Services

444190

Other Building Material Dealers

2

23

$23,842

79.15%

Local Real Estate, Construction & Development

339950 488510

Sign Manufacturing Freight Transportation Arrangement

2 1

10 12

$30,733 $37,645

71.00% 58.74%

561730

Landscaping Services

1

4

$14,865

58.74%

Printing and Publishing Transportation & Logistics Local Household Goods & Services

621420

Outpatient Mental Health Centers

1

49

$33,795

51.83%

NAICS 325314 621340 813910 531210

NAICS Definition

Biomedical/Biotechnical (Life Sciences)

Source: ES202 2006 data, IMPLAN MIG Group

5

Traded industries are defined as the ones exporting their goods and/or services outside their region. Local industries are the ones with all local (within the region) dealings (Porter 2003).

20

MARSHALL COUNTY Industries with High Location Quotient The sector Travel Trailer and Camper Manufacturing (NAICS 336214) has the highest LQ in Marshall County of 365.22. The Gypsum Product Manufacturing (NAICS 327420) and Fertilizer, Mixing Only, Manufacturing (NAICS 325314) sectors also have high LQ. Four out of the top ten sectors with high LQ are a part of the Agribusiness cluster and two others are a part of the Chemicals and Chemical-based Products cluster. Table 12: Top 10 Industries (6-digit NAICS) with Highest Location Quotients Establishments

Employment

Average Wages

Location Quotient

Travel Trailer and Camper Manufacturing

2

596

$33,402

365.22

Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

327420

Gypsum Product Manufacturing

1

141

$35,153

288.10

Chemicals and Chemical-based Products

325314

Fertilizer, Mixing Only, Manufacturing

1

30

$53,990

111.92

Chemicals and Chemical-based Products

336212

Truck Trailer Manufacturing

3

135

$44,835

103.02

Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

322232

Envelope Manufacturing

1

60

$38,837

102.73

424520

Livestock Wholesalers

1

27

$8,417

39.23

Forest and Wood Products Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology

424510

Grain and Field Bean Wholesalers

7

47

$35,536

32.96

Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology

311119

Other Animal Food Manufacturing

1

28

$46,601

27.36

Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology

321214

Truss Manufacturing Farm and Garden Machinery and Equipment Merchant Wholesalers

1

40

$25,826

23.91

4

51

$39,358

15.22

Forest and Wood Products Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology

NAICS

NAICS Definition

336214

423820

Source: ES202 2006 data, IMPLAN MIG Group

21

Cluster

MARSHALL COUNTY Industries with Wages Higher than National Averages The county’s Local Health Services have average wages higher than the national averages. The Offices of Chiropractors sector has wages about 80% higher than national averages, and the Offices of Physical, Occupational & Speech Therapists and Audiologists sector has wages about 50% higher than the national averages. This may be because of two reasons – this sector is a well performing industry with higher profits and they pay higher wages, or there is shortage of labor so to retain employees they have to pay higher wages. Table 13: Top 10 Industries (6-digit NAICS) with Wages above National Averages NAICS 621310

NAICS Definition

$50,387

Wages Compared to Nation6 87.37%

Local Health Services

Establishments

Employment

Average Wages

2

4

Cluster

2

18

$55,250

50.93%

Local Health Services

325314

Offices of Chiropractors Offices of Physical, Occupational and Speech Therapists, and Audiologists Fertilizer, Mixing Only, Manufacturing

1

30

$53,990

30.18%

336212

Truck Trailer Manufacturing

3

135

$44,835

22.10%

237310

4

56

$60,458

18.19%

713950

Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction Bowling Centers

1

5

$15,175

14.33%

311119

Other Animal Food Manufacturing

1

28

$46,601

12.21%

423140

1

1

$34,437

10.03%

443111

Motor Vehicle Parts (Used) Merchant Wholesalers Household Appliance Stores

Chemicals and Chemicalbased Products Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Local Real Estate, Construction & Development Arts, Entertainment, Recreation & Visitor Industries Agribusiness, Food Processing and Technology Defense and Security

1

37

$34,350

8.23%

441229

All Other Motor Vehicle Dealers

1

2

$41,413

5.00%

621340

Local Household Goods & Services Local Motor Vehicle Products & Services

Source: ES202 2006 data, IMPLAN MIG Group

6

Wages compared to nation – the difference in county & national average wages for a particular industry as percentage of the national average.

22

MARSHALL COUNTY

Shift Share Analysis Shift share analysis breaks down changes in employment (growth or decline) over a period of time into three components: national growth share, industry mix share and local share. This analysis is used to account for the competitiveness of a region’s industries and to analyze the local economic base7. National Growth Share This is the share of growth (decline) in local employment that can be attributed to growth (decline) in employment at the national level. National Growth Share = Employment in base year * National employment growth rate Industry Mix Share This is the growth (decline) in employment in the region that can be attributed to the growth (decline) in that particular industry at the national level. Industry Mix Share = Employment in base year *(Industry’s National Growth rate – National employment growth rate) Local Share This is the share of growth (decline) in employment in a region that can be attributed to the competitiveness of a region. Local Share = Employment in base year *(Region’s industry growth rate – National Industry growth rate) The industry with the highest local share in growth is Travel Trailer and Camper Manufacturing. The employment in the sector increased by 411, and 370 of those jobs were due to local growth (Table 14). The second highest growth in employment was in Nursing Care Facilities. In this sector there was a net growth of 104 jobs, of which 103 were attributable to local growth in the region.

7

Pennstate (2003) Using Employment data to better understand your local economy.

23

MARSHALL COUNTY Table 14: Industries with Highest Local Share of Growth – Shift Share Analysis Marshall County NAICS 336214 623110 452112 327420 322232 621420 561422 325314 443111 424520 444190 423820

NAICS Definition Travel Trailer and Camper Manufacturing Nursing Care Facilities Discount Department Stores Gypsum Product Manufacturing Envelope Manufacturing Outpatient Mental Health Centers Telemarketing Bureaus Fertilizer, Mixing Only, Manufacturing Household Appliance Stores Livestock Wholesalers Other Building Material Dealers Farm and Garden Machinery and Equipment Merchant Wholesalers

Net Growth 411 104 107 40 33 35 38 29 19 18 19

National Growth Share 9.8 5.8 5.8 5.3 1.4 0.7 2.7 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.2

Industry Mix Share 31.7 -5.2 -1.2 -6.1 -4.5 0.7 3.1 -0.1 -2.9 -1.1 0.2

Local Share 369.6 103.4 102.4 40.8 36.1 33.6 32.2 29.0 21.0 18.6 18.6

16

1.8

-1.5

15.7

621340

Offices of Physical, Occupational and Speech Therapists, and Audiologists

16

0.1

0.3

15.6

237130

Power and Communication Line and Related Structures Construction

17

0.7

1.7

14.6

424490

Other Grocery and Related Products Merchant Wholesalers

16

3.7

0.1

12.1

Data Source: ES202 data, IMPLAN MIG group

24

MARSHALL COUNTY

Clusters in Marshall County Traded Clusters An Agribusiness and food processing cluster may exists in Marshall County. The cluster has a growth rate of 11.11%, LQ of 1.92 and wages around 4% more than national average. Forest & wood products cluster has a very high growth rate of 18.44 % but has considerably wages than the rest of the nation. Also, the Business & Financial Services cluster has a high growth rate of 9.75 but low LQ & wages. Investments into these sectors should be considered to make them more competitive. Table 15: Traded Clusters in Marshall County Cluster Advanced Materials Agribusiness, Food Processing & Technology Apparel & Textiles Arts, Entertainment, Recreation & Visitor Industries Biomedical/Biotechnical (Life Sciences) Business & Financial Services Chemicals & Chemical-based Products Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing Defense & Security Education & Knowledge Creation Electrical Equipment, Appliance and Component Energy (Fossil & Renewable) Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing Forest & Wood Products Glass & Ceramics Information Technology & Telecommunications Machinery Manufacturing

Average Wages

Average Wages Compared to National Average

Growth Rate

Establishments

Employment

5 23

144 214

$35,182 $35,648

-42.24% 4.26%

2.68% 11.11%

0.78 1.92

1

15

$36,782

-5.69%

N

0.36

11

111

$10,774

-67.14%

0.30%

0.69

9 32.6 7 0 5 3 0 32.3 2 5 0 5.3 0

429 156 191 0 32 55 0 186 2 103 0 49 0

$24,611 $33,461 $37,393 N $32,483 $18,931 N $28,198 $29,557 $33,433 N $35,324 N

-41.27% -55.98% -32.56% N -50.57% -56.80% N -52.81% -32.73% -16.26% N -53.31% N

-3.74% 9.75% 4.58% N 35.02% 1.89% N 0.36% N 18.44% N 0.00% N

1.11 0.40 2.38 0.00 0.23 0.73 0.00 0.73 0.04 1.17 0.00 0.24 0.00

25

LQ

MARSHALL COUNTY Mining Primary Metal Manufacturing Printing & Publishing Transportation & Logistics Transportation Equipment Manufacturing Total All Industries

1 0 8 23 6 331

0 0 96 74 732 3771

N N $23,881 $27,210 $35,518 $27,814

N N -54.21% -36.45% -41.52% -34.41%

Data Source: ES202 data, IMPLAN MIG group Highlighted cell represent values higher than specified criteria values

Education &  Knowledge  Creation,  0.73

Forest &  Wood  Products, 1.17

Arts & Entertainment,  Biomedical, 1.11 0.69 Business & Financial  Energy ,  Services, 0.4 0.73

Apparel & Textiles,  0.36

Chemicals , 2.38

Agribusiness, 1.92

Defense &  Security, 0.23

IT & Telecom, 0.24

Advanced  Materials, 0.78 Fabricated Metal  Product Mfg, 0.04

Printing & Publishing,  1.15 Transportation &  Logistics, 0.56

Transportation Equip  Mfg, 12.46

Figure 10: Location Quotients for Various Clusters in Marshall County

26

N N 10.06% 3.37% 4.15% 0.00%

0.00 0.00 1.15 0.56 12.46 1.00

MARSHALL COUNTY

Figure 11: Traded Clusters in Marshall County 27

MARSHALL COUNTY

Figure 12: Traded Cluster Location Quotients for Marshall County

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MARSHALL COUNTY Local Clusters There are only three local clusters with growth rates higher than the specified criteria of 5%. These are the Local Retail Clothing & Accessories (growth rate of 19.9%), Local Community & Civic Organizations (growth rate of 15.62%) and Local Real Estate (growth rate of 6.12%) clusters. Local Financial Services have the highest LQ of 3.9. Others with high LQ are the Local Utilities cluster with LQ of 2.93 and the Retail Clothing & Accessories cluster with LQ of 1.54. Table 16: Local Clusters in Marshall County Cluster

Average Wages

Average Wages Compared to National Average

Growth Rate

Establishments

Employment

Local Commercial Services Local Community & Civic Organizations

10 4

108 17

$16,663 $9,592

-59.83% -68.33%

-11.72% 15.62%

0.38 0.35

Local Education & Training Local Entertainment & Media Local Financial Services Local Food and Beverages Processing & Distribution

0 2 10

0 3 259

N $17,380 $42,543

N -29.57% -16.93%

N -9.14% -15.42%

0.00 0.09 3.90

13

189

$16,887

-33.46%

-4.79%

1.08

Local Health Services Local Hospitality Establishments Local Household Goods & Services Local Industrial Products & Services Local Logistical Services Local Motor Vehicle Products & Services Local Personal Services (Non-Medical) Local Real Estate, Construction & Development Local Retail Clothing & Accessories Local Utilities

26 27 22 1 0 27 11 24 4 4

126 193 118 1 0 104 44 141 231 40

$36,362 $7,171 $22,556 $34,437 N $22,838 $12,804 $37,594 $15,728 $26,743

-24.27% -49.63% -40.40% -36.01% N -37.95% -47.96% -22.83% -21.13% -40.14%

1.36% -4.99% -3.42% -20.63% N -4.92% 4.10% 6.12% 19.90% -3.13%

0.71 0.60 0.69 0.06 0.00 1.04 0.56 1.11 1.54 2.93

Data Source: ES202 data, IMPLAN MIG group Highlighted cell represent values higher than specified criteria values

29

LQ

MARSHALL COUNTY

Figure 13: Local Clusters in Marshall County 30