COMMODITIES FUTURES UPDATE AS ON 6TH APRIL 2009 GOLD
INTERNATIONAL UPDATE PARTICULARS
RATE 1.3571
0.76
RUPEE :
49.910
-0.3
SILVER$ : PLATINUM $ : CRUDE$ :
877.2
-1.88
12.490
-2.04
1137
-1.52
53.41
1.86
STOCKS UPDATE: NAME NASDAQ :
% 1316.16
1.69
SHICOM :
0
0
STRAITS :
1857.04
1.99
NIKKEI :
8897.36
1.69
DJ :
8017.59
0.5
842.5
0.97
15029.62
3.33
FTSE : HANSANG :
CRUDE
COPPER
CRUDE OVERALL LOOKING BULLISH THIS WEAK FOR TGT 56-58$
COPPER SOME PULL WILL BE GOOD TO BUY TGT 234 LVL FOR THIS WEEK
Æ
Ê
%
EURO : GOLD$ :
SILVER
TIME: -10.40 IST
GOLD BELOW 888$ LOOK TILL 862-840$ MOSTLY MARKET WILL RECOVER AFTER WEDNESDAY DATA. CRUDE LOOK STRONG TILL 5658$ ON MCX TILL 2780-2820 LEVEL BASEMETAL LOOKING BULLISH SOME DIP IS GOOD TO ADD LONG.
AS TOLD GOLD BELOW 900$ AND 888$ LOOK TILL 862840$ THIS WEEK ON MCX LOOK TILL 13800 LEVEL AND SILVER TILL 20000 LEVEL
ÐÆ NICKEL
PEPPER
MENTHOL
RUPEE
NICKEL LOOK BULLISH ABV 522 LEVEL RESISTANCE IS AT 560 LEVEL
ANY DIP TILL 11800 BUY FOR TGT 12400
MENTHOL LOOKING WEAK AND BERISH ONLY OVERALL TGT IS 520 LEVEL
RUPEE IRM LOOK LOOK TILL 49.7049.80 LEVEL ONCE
Ê
ÌÊ
ÆÌ
¨
TODAYS MARKET CALLS GOLD RANGE 13860-14480. GOLD BELOW 8884 LOOK WEAK TILL FOR THE NEXT SUPPORT AT 862$IMF MIGHT SELL 403 TONS OF GOLD TO FREE UP $12 BILLION TO HELP POOR NATIONS. SELL GOLD JUNE BELOW 14400 SL 14480 TGT 14345-14298-14262-14212-14165. MCX SPOT GOLD BELOW 884$ LOOK TILL 868-862$ SILVER RANGE IS 20380-21400. AS TOLD SILVER BELOW 12.64 LOOK TO TAKE SUPPORT AT 12.22$ A BREAK BELOW 20760 WILL FIND THE SUPPORT AT 20480 LEVELS. SELL SILVER MAY BELOW 21100 SL 21222 TGT 21020-20956-20870-20760. MCX SOME BUYING CAN BE SEEN NEAR TO 12.20$ AND 20300 LEVEL DURING THIS WEEK. CRUDE RANGE IS 2460-2720. CRUDE AS PER EXPECTATION JUMPED TILL 2680 LEVEL STILL LOOKING STRONG TILL 2740 LEVEL LAST WEEK OPEC COUNTRIES CAME WITH THE MORE CUT IN SUPPLY THAT HAD SUPPORTED THE PRICES. BUY CRUDE APR @ 2600-2620 SL 2570 TGT 2640-2658-2680-2712. MCX SOME PULL BACK TILL 2580 LEVEL IS GOOD TO BUY FOR TGT 2740 LEVEL IN COMING SESSION. COPPER RANGE IS 205-226.20. COPPER JUMPED ON G-20 MEET THAT INDUSTRIAL DEMAND WILL BE THERE. MKT IS EXPECTING DEMAND AFTER A MEET AS THEY AGREED A $1.1 TRILLION PACKAGE SOME PROFIT BOOKING CAN BE SEEN AS IMP RESISTANCE IS AT 222.80 LEVELS AND SUPPORT 218.60. SELL COPPER APR BELOW 219.60 SL 221.20 TGT 217.60-216.20-214.80.MCX ZINC RANGE IS 64-70.50. AS TOLD ZINC THIS WEEK LOOKING STRONG TILL 68 LEVEL LAST WEEK WE HAVE SEEN THE SAME. SELL ZINC APR BELOW 68 SL 69.30 TGT 67.80-66.60-66. MCX BUY ZINC ON SOME DIP TILL 65.50-66 SL 64.20 TGT 67.40-68.20-68.90. MCX NICKEL RANGE IS 515-578. TECHNICALLY NICKEL IS GETTING A STRONG SUPPORT AT 10400$ ON LME AND 518 ON MCX. BUYING LEVEL FOR NICKEL IS AT 525-528 LEVEL SHORT TERM SELL NICKEL APR BELOW 541 SL 546.20 TGT 539.60-536.20-532.40. MCX GUAR RANGE IS 1680-1778. GUAR LOOKING BULLISH AND STRONG ON EXPORT DEMAND AND SPECULATION ON RAIN.LAST WEEK MARKET HAS MADE A GOOD RALLY TILL 1760 LEVEL SOME PROFIT BOOKING IS NECESSARY IN ORDER TO SUSTAIN THE RALLY TOEARDS 1800 LEVEL. BUY GUAR APR ON DIP @ 1690-1710 SL 1678 TGT 1728-1750-1780. NCDEX ON STRONG EXPORT DEMAND FROM CHINA AND FIRM SPOT AS SUPPOTING THE PRICES
GET SAMPLE SM S“SAMPLE REPORT” ON 09819296333
PEPPER TRADED IN THE RANGE OF 11500-12425. PEPPER JUMPED ABV 12000 AS PER EXPECTATION NOW LOOK TILL 12380 LEVEL SOME PROFIT BOOKING CAN DIP THE PRICES TILL 11870-11950 LEVEL BUY PEPPER APR ON DIP @ 11800-11900 SL 11680 TGT 11980-12056-12170-12280. NCDEX MENTHOL RANGE IS 535-570. MENTHAOIL SPOT IS AT 597/- SPOT IS FLAT AND UP BY 2-3RS. BUY MENTHOL APR @ 560-561 SL 558.80 TGT 562.20-564.40-567.80. MCX SELL MENTHOL APR ON JUMP @ 568-569 SL 574.20 TGT 564.20-560.80-558.60-554.20. MCX OVERALL BELOW 554 LOOK BERISH TILL 520 LEVEL
PIVOT TABLE NAME
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
OPEN INT
Change in Rs.
Change in %
Volume
RSI (18 DAYS)
6454
-0.3
0
288
38.77
ENERGY COMPLEX NATURAL GAS
APRIL
192.20
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
192.20
191.50
191.90
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
191.5
191.2
190.8
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
192.2
192.6
192.9
P.POINT POSITIVE 191.9
BASEMETAL COMPLEX ZINC
MARCH
65.90
66.45
65.25
66.30
505
0.70
1.06
2274
64.96
APRIL
68.30
68.40
68.10
68.30
2431
0.15
0
360
67.25
INTRA-DAY LEVEL
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
65.6
64.8
64.4
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
66.8
67.2
68.0
MARCH MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 66.0
NICKEL
APRIL
552.00
555.00
551.00
553.70
567
2.2
0
100
0.93
MAY
563.90
563.90
563.40
563.70
12
10.6
0
2
0.17
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
551.5
549.2
547.5
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
555.5
557.2
559.5
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 553.2
LEAD
APRIL
66.10
66.35
65.90
66.25
1415
0.2
0
144
57.55
MAY
66.85
66.85
66.65
66.70
64
0.05
0
12
66.9
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
66.0
65.7
65.5
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
66.4
66.6
66.9
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 66.2
ALUMINIUM
APRIL
73.10
73.60
73.05
73.50
729
0.25
0
63
1.84
MAY
74.50
74.50
74.50
74.50
74
1.1
0
6
62.22
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
73.2
72.8
72.6
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
73.7
73.9
74.3
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 73.4
NAME
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
OPEN INT
Change in Rs.
Change in %
Volume
RSI (18 DAYS)
157
8.5
0
70
80.23
MCX - OTHER ITEMS CARDAMOM
APRIL
665.00
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
682.00
665.00
677.75
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
667.8
657.9
650.8
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
684.8
691.9
701.8
P.POINT WEAK 674.9
MENTHOL - OIL
APRIL
560.20
563.00
556.70
561.70
1140
1
0
162
57.63
MAY
540.00
541.50
536.00
540.60
354
0.5
0
45
53.18
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
557.9
554.2
551.6
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
564.2
566.8
570.5
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 560.5
REF.SOYAOIL
APRIL
457.50
462.00
457.45
459.80
645
2.85
0
358
58.12
MAY
462.80
467.20
462.70
465.30
667
4.9
0
297
60.88
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
457.5
455.2
453.0
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
462.1
464.3
466.6
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 459.8
CRUDE PALM OIL
APRIL
325.50
328.20
325.50
326.50
957
2.2
0
101
61.79
MAY
329.10
331.00
329.10
330.60
250
2.2
0
24
60.67
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
325.3
324.0
322.6
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
328.0
329.4
330.7
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT WEAK 326.7
RAW JUTE
APRIL
2323
2329
2318
2325
679
5.5
0
165
64.56
MAY
2370
2378
2369
2376
208
8
0
14
67.68
INTRA-DAY LEVEL
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
2319
2313
2308
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
2330
2335
2341
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 2324
POTATO - AGRA
APRIL
774.10
INTRA-DAY LEVEL
Support
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
776.10
759.90
768.00
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
759.9
751.8
743.7
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
776.1
784.2
792.3
686
-14.1
0
296
P.POINT POSITIVE 768.0
77.75
NAME
OPEN
HIGH
LOW
CLOSE
OPEN INT
Change in Rs.
Change in %
Volume
RSI (18 DAYS)
NCDEX AGRO ITEMS CASTOR SEED
APRIL
463.00
469.50
459.20
460.00
2630
-2.9
0
1730
60.94
MAY
464.00
471.30
461.00
462.50
2430
-3.10
0
1100
58.73
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
456.3
452.6
446.0
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
466.6
473.2
476.9
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT WEAK 462.9
CHILLI
APRIL
5087.00
5180.00
5060.00
5172.00
1580
120.00
0
465
49.4
JUNE
5390.00
5471.00
5390.00
5452.00
995
89.00
0
485
49.51
INTRA-DAY LEVEL
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
5094.7
5017.3
4974.7
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
5214.7
5257.3
5334.7
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 5137.3
COCUDCAKE
MAY
547.90
553.70
547.80
549.70
38740
0.7
0
18,410
57.29
JUNE
559.00
563.50
557.50
559.00
3160
-0.9
0
1,450
57.89
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
547.1
544.5
541.2
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
553.0
556.3
558.9
MAY MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT WEAK 550.4
GUAR GUM
APRIL
3575
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
3650
3575
3620
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
3580.0
3540.0
3505.0
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
3655.0
3690.0
3730.0
3645
70
0
1,550
66.57
P.POINT POSITIVE 3615.0
GUAR SEED
APRIL
1710
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
1757
1704
1737
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
1708
1680
1655
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
1761
1786
1814
50960
35
0
44,750
70.88
P.POINT POSITIVE 1733
PEPPER
APRIL
11930
12100
11900
12000
2813
96
0
1,803
66.57
MAY
12080
12280
12080
12203
2621
109
0
1,546
67.65
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
11900.0
11800.0
11700.0
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
12100.0
12200.0
12300.0
P.POINT WEAK 12000.0
JEERA
MAY
12434
12576
12370
12510
11118
119
0
4872
61.23
JUNE
12560
12751
12560
12690
2946
159
0
954
64.38
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
MAY MONTH
Resistance
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
12395
12279
12189
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
12601
12691
12807
P.POINT POSITIVE 12485
TURMERIC
APRIL
5439
5522
5435
5483
20050
54
0
23,370
70.88
MAY
5605
5665
5605
5620
37080
34
0
17,710
72.9
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
5438
5393
5351
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
5525
5567
5612
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 5480
MUSTARD SEED
MAY
469.50
474.00
469.00
472.40
97870
3.95
0
46,170
64.62
MAY
469.50
474.00
469.00
472.40
97870
3.95
0
46,170
64.62
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
469.6
466.8
464.6
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
474.6
476.8
479.6
MAY MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 471.8
SUGAR M 200
APRIL
2144
2149
2135
2142
47180
-5
0
13,440
57.77
MAY
2244
2252
2237
2241
53440
-10
0
11,110
60.51
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
2135
2128
2121
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
2149
2156
2163
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT WEAK 2142
YELLOW MAIZE
MAY INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
APRIL MONTH
849.00 Support Resistance
872.00
849.00
864.00
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
0.0
0.0
0.0
2290
-5
0
230
59.01
P.POINT WEAK 0.0
SOYA BEAN
APRIL
2453.50
2507.00
2453.50
2485.50
58710
45.00
0
36,360
68.22
MAY
2460.00
2510.00
2460.00
2488.00
68340
43.50
0
60,840
69.6
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
2457.0
2428.5
2403.5
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
2510.5
2535.5
2564.0
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 2482.0
GUR
JULY
990
995
978
994
8010
10.2
0
6,380
80.03
SEPT
1011
1025
1009
1020
4530
3.6
0
1,910
77.56
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
983
972
966
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
1000
1006
1017
JULY MONTH
Resistance
P.POINT POSITIVE 989
STEEL LONG
APRIL
20730
20950
20730
20870
16490
160
0
930
51.09
MAY
21200
21350
21200
21320
8890
160
0
750
53.85
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
20750
20630
20530
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
20970
21070
21190
P.POINT POSITIVE 20850
CHANA
APRIL
2245
2328
2245
2317
27390
64
0
42,030
59.71
MAY
2300
2385
2300
2368
44550
63
0
57,760
61.5
INTRA-DAY LEVEL FOR
Support
Sup-1
Sup-2
Sup-3
2265
2214
2182
Res-1
Res-2
Res-3
2348
2380
2431
APRIL MONTH
Resistance
Date
Time 2:00pm 2:30pm Mon 2:30pm 10:30pm
P.POINT POSITIVE 2297
ECONOMICAL DATA LATEST Currency Data EUR Sentix Investor Confidence EUR Retail Sales m/m EUR PPI m/m USD FOMC Member Warsh Speaks
Forecast Previous -40.7 -42.7 -0.30% 0.10% -0.50% -0.80%
KING OF MARKET: - GOLD, SILVER & CRUDE COMMODITIES Close Resistance
Support
Special Remark
GOLD June
SILVER May
COPPER Apr
CRUDE Apr
GOLD $
SILVER $
14476 14986 14749 14609 14372 14232 13995 13855 13740
21269 22169 21761 21508 21100 20848 20440 20188 19855
221.40 227.60 225.20 223.60 222.70 219.40 216.80 213.70 211.20
2643 2745 2716 2698 2672 2622 2589 2565 2526
878.60 926.25 911.50 902.75 888.00 879.25 864.50 855.75 848.60
12.46 13.32 13.06 12.91 12.65 12.50 12.24 12.09 11.88
COPPE BELOW 220 LOOK WEAK TILL 216-214 LEVEL BUY THERE
CRUDE MORNING STRONG OVERALL THIS WEEK LOOK STRONG A DIP TILL 2580 LOOK TO BUY
BULLION LOOKING WEAK TILL 14100 AND 13800 LEVEL
GOLD BELOW 888$ LOOK TILL 862$ FRESH BUYING WILL TRIGGER FROM WEDNESDAY ONWARDS
NEWS YOU CAN USE IMF sitting on gold reserves of USD 95 billion: The IMF, which has been authorised by the G-20 leaders to sell gold to assist poor countries, is sitting on reserves of the yellow metal of 3,217 tonnes, valued at USD 95 billion. The IMF, the third-largest official holder of gold in the world, has been directed by the G-20 leaders at their recent summit in London to generate additional resources by selling gold to provide USD 6 billion concessional loans to low-income nations over the next 2 to 3 years. The US has the largest official reserves of gold in the world, followed by Germany at around 3,400 tonnes. Market value of its 3,217 tonnes of gold was USD 95.2 billion as on February 20, 2008. The IMF has also been directed by G-20 leaders to come up with concrete proposals for gold sale at the spring meetings to be held in Washington on April 25-26. The proposal to sell 403.3 tonnes of the Fund's gold, said IMF Survey online, was agreed on last year as part of a plan to bolster the income of the multilateral organisation. The decision, it added, would require the support of 85 per cent of the Fund's executive board, in addition to legislative action by several member countries, including the US. Gold May Rebound Next Week as U.S. Price Report Revives Demand : Gold may rebound next week on speculation rising prices will revive demand for the precious metal as a hedge against inflation. Prices of goods imported into the U.S. probably rose 0.9 percent in March, the first increase since July, ECB Rate Decision: Stock markets rose yesterday in the United States after U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said that markets are showing signs of improvement, and accordingly investors were optimistic and extended their bullish wave meanwhile stocks soared in Asia after Asian carmakers reported better than expected sales in North America. Meanwhile European markets are waiting for the European Central Bank to announce its interest rate decision; the ECB is expected to cut its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 1.00 percent, which would mark the lowest in the ECB history. The ECB so far rejected accusations that it was rigid in dealing with the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, especially as other central banks around the world have been slashing their interest rates in the most aggressive monetary easing maybe ever seen in the history of financial markets. The ECB should be paying more attention to the fact that the euro zone’s major economies are indeed suffering endlessly from the crisis, as Germany, France, Italy and Spain economies are all undergoing recession, which is expected to prevail over the next period, especially with the lack of profound solutions from the ECB. ECB gold sales: The ECB announced Wednesday that its gold sales were in full conformity with the second Central Banks Gold Agreement, which was signed in 2004 by the ECB and other European major official gold holders. The ECB didn't elaborate how it plans to use the proceeds. The second CBGA, which caps total gold sales of the signatories at 500 tons a year, expires in September. Some analysts expect a third CBGA to be signed before September. The IMF has planned to sell 403 tons of gold to diversify its revenue and strengthen its balance sheet. Some investors are worried that the IMF sale could pressure gold prices, although the fund has said it plans to coordinate closely with CBGA signatories to minimize the impact of this large gold sale. IMF gold sales are likely to be made "off-market" to help countries with huge dollar reserves, such as China, Japan and Russia, to diversify their reserve portfolio without disrupting the gold markets.
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[email protected], URL: www.kediacommodity.com Note: Buy at supports and sell at target. Support broken becomes resistance and a resistance broken becomes support. Always use Stop-loss never average loss making positions. This report is based on previous closing. levels may change based on next day’s opening price. Please register on the site for daily levels. Yahoo messenger id is for getting latest levels on your messenger. The call expires once the target is achieved or the stop-loss is hit. The calls given in this report are valid only for the current day. A trader should understand that, he/she should not carry forward the trade, unless explicitly stated. Date Source: MCX, NCDEX, COMEX, NYMEX, and other Exchange. Disclaimer: The calls made herein are for informational purpose and report contains only the viewpoints. We make no representation or warranty regarding the correctness, accuracy or completeness of any information, and is not responsible for errors of any kind though the information obtained from the sources, which is believed to be reliable. The information contained herein is strictly confidential and is meant for the intended recipients. Any alteration, transmission, photocopied distribution in part or in whole or reproduction of any form of the information without prior consent of Kedia Commodities is prohibited. The information and data are derived from the source that are deemed to be reliable the above calls are based on the theory of Technical Analysis. Neither the company nor its employee is responsible for the Profit (es) & loss (es) arising due to the trader(s). The commodities and derivatives discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors falling under different jurisdictions. All futures entail significant risk, which should be fully understood prior to . Consult your Investment Advisor / Broker before making any investment. www.kediacommodity.com