FINANCIAL MELTDOWN
Before, understanding “Recession”, we need to understand the market economy; TWO STAGES OF MARKET ECONOMY
A] TWO STAGES OF MARKET ECONOMY
A1 ] Growing Market Economy
A2 ] Declining Market Economy
A1 ] Growing Market Economy
Starting Point = Willingness to buy
A2 ] Declining Market Economy Starting Point = Unwillingness to buy
What is Recession?
Recession is the economy shrinking for two consecutive quarters (=6 months) with a decrease in the GDP (=Gross Domestic Product)
GDP = Value of all the reported goods and services produced by the people operating in the country GDP = MONEY VALUE OF { C + I + G + ( X – M )} C = Consumables , I = Gross Investments , Government Spending , X = Exports , M = Imports
G =
GDP GROWTH TREND Overview of the World Economic Outlook Projections
Year over Year
Projections
2007
2008
2009
2010
World Output
5.1
3.1
-1.4
2.5
Advanced Economies
2.7
0.8
-3.8
0.6
United States
2
1.1
-2.6
0.8
Euro area
2.7
0.8
-4.8
-0.3
Germany
2.5
1.3
-6.2
-0.6
Japan
2.3
-0.7
-6
1.7
Africa
6.2
5.2
1.8
4.1
Russia
8.1
5.6
-6.5
1.5
China
13
9
7.5
8.5
India
9.4
7.3
5.4
6.5
Middle East
6.3
5.2
2
3.7
Brazil
5.7
5.1
-1.3
2.5
Months of year-on-year negative growth rates (sorted by decreasing order)
Trade turnover: Year-on-year monthly growth rates, January 1965 to March 2009
Some who have been heavily effected by the financial meltdown Company
Worth
Loss
£33.24bn
£21.4bn
£4.05bn
£3.28bn
£4.287bn
£2.95bn
Resources Sports Direct ((Feb May 08) Bear 07) Stearns (Dec 07) Schroders
£1.169bn
£1bn
£670m
£602m
£1.521
£508m
(Sept 07) 08) ICAP (Jan
£895
£483m
Lakshmi Mittal Arcelor & family Kim (June 08) Vladimir Kazakhmys 08) Anil Agarwal (May Vendanta Mike Ashley Joe Lewis Bruno Schroder Michael & family Spencer
These are billionaires among the big losers of the 2008 financial meltdown
THANK YOU
http://www.ft.com/indepth/global-financial-crisis http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subprime_mortgage_crisis http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bailout
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2009/update/02/index.htm http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm http://rapidlibrary.com/index.php?q=latest+recession+ppt http://www.google.co.in/search?hl=en&source=hp&fkt=6484&fsdt=14687&q=reces http://www.oecd.org/document/15/0,2340,en_2649_33715_1873295_1_1_1_1,00.html#emplo
Well AIG certainly knew what to do with the bailout money. http://rainbowwarrior2005.wordpress.com/2008/10/08/guess-what-aig-did-after-the-ba nber- national be of economic and research imf
http://www.tourismeconomics.com/docs/financial_crisis_update(ja pdf