ESA SME Training Course B: Financing Innovative Projects ESTEC, Noordwijk, 17-21 September 2001
„Finance in Brief“ JOERG KREISEL International Consultant & Partner @ GENES GmbH Venture Services Germany Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
What do We Need to Know: „The Big Picture“ • Finance Is Much More than Figures & Money! It Is Key to Success! • Dimensions of Finance • Sorts of Finance • Sources of Finance • Stages of Development & Phased Financing Approach • The „Financials“ • Valuation & Return Issues • Finance Drivers • The Challenge is: How to get Started & How to Do it Well! (Help) The Focus is Not Budget or Project Finance! Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Genesis of New Commercial Business © J. Kreisel/GENES
Requirement & Boundary Condition: “Long-Term-Strategy / Policy“ (Vision, Business Acumen, Commitment, Intruments/Processes, Advice …) Challenge No. 1 „Creativity“
Challenge 2 „Professionalism“
Challenge 3 „Implementation“
Core or Exit?
„0“ •Status •Activity •People
Idea
Business Plan
•Real World Issues •Creativity •Assets •Know-How •Capacity •People
•Market & Business Case •Experience & Know-how •Sexy Story & USP •Finance (internal) •Support •People
Effort (EUR)
~50-200k
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
Go / No-Go
~200-2.000k 2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Commercial Business •Startup Activities •Management / “People“ •Partnership •Finance (internal & external) •Organization & Structure •Advice Go / No-Go
~2.000-20.000k
Go
New Business Creation Process “from Complexity to Feasibility”
© J. Kreisel/GENES
Gadget (Technology)
Markets Strategy/Policy (Economy)
Already at this Stage Financing Is Crucial
Alternatives
Idea
Business Plan
GOALS ? Growing Complexity
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
Growing Feasibility
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Finance in Brief - Dimensions • • • • • •
Supporting the “Due-Diligence” Process Business Plan Private Placement Memorandum Public Placement Document Bank/Investor Relations Venture Managers/Intermediaries
Banks
•
Public Participation Companies
•
Venture Capitalists
•
Stock Markets
•
Industrial/Strategic Investors
•
Public Bodies
•
Employee Participation Models
•
Underwriters
•
Investment Banks
•
M&A-Consultants
Reasons for Financing When?
Instruments How?
Internal • Entrepreneurs/Founders • Internal Financing • Private Sources • Employees External •
© G E NES
• • • • • • • • • • •
Seed/Start-Up Growth MBO/MBI Diversification R&D Finance Project Finance Joint Ventures/ Internal Ventures Subsidiaries Mergers & Acquisitions Consolidation/Turn-Around etc.
Types of Finance What? Commercial Space Business
• • • • • • • •
Sources of Finance Where From?
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
Financial Needs What For?
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
• • •
•
• • •
Equity Quasi-Equity Debts & Loans – Long Term Loans – Short Term Credit Lines Mezzanine Finance Bridge Finance Leasing Factoring Subsidies Other Supporting Programs etc.
Fixed Assets – Intangible Assets – Tangible Assets – Financial Assets Current Assets – Stocks/Inventories – Receivables – Liquidity Projects Losses etc.
Sorts of Finance • Equity
Investors
• Debt
Lenders
• Grants/Subsidies
Public
• Revenues
Business
Major Financing Needs • Losses • Capital Investments
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Equity vs Debt - Simplified Definitions • Equity = Liable Capital – – – – – –
Is Provided by Investors Is Capital Gains Oriented (No Interest Payments) Dividends Are Being Paid Performance-Related Does Not Require Collateral (= Unsecured) Covers the Business Risk Defines Shareholder Structure
• Creates a Company or Finances Growth, Consolidation, Turn-Around ... • Covers Start-Up Losses • Enables for Further Financing • Creates Good Standing • Requires Business Plan, Partnership, Risk Readiness & Upside Potential • A Buffer When Something Goes Sour
Mezzanine: Semi-Equity &/or Semi-Debt • Debt = Basically a Loan – – – – – –
• Provides Cash Is Typically Provided by Banks • for Investments, Requires Interest Payments & Repayments (Scheduled) Stocks, Receivables, Requires Collateral (Needs to be Secured) & Healthy Equity Ratio Project Finance ... • Requires the Ability Interest Payments Are Not Performance Related to Serve the Loan and Reduced Risk/Risk Bearing: Different Risk Classes a Good Standing Does Not Represent Ownership in the Business
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Equity Classes & Venture Capital Players
© G E NES
Equity
Public Equity
Main Market
Private Equity
Parallel Markets
Pre-IPO
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
Venture Capital •Independent •Corporate •Captive •Business Angels •Mezzanine
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Later-Stage Equity •Independent •Corporate •Captive ••Mezzanine
Sources of Finance - Young/Growth Business
© J.Kreisel - GENES
Internal
External
• Entrepreneurs/Founders
•
Banks
•
Public Participation Companies
– “Sweat Equity” – Contributions in Cash – Contributions in Kind
• PE & Venture Capitalists
– Shareholder Loans
•
• Internal Financing – from Cash Flow – (by Asset Stripping) • Private Sources – Family – Friends
– “Business Angels” (passive)
Stock Markets
• Industrial/Strategic Investors •
Public Bodies
•
Employee Participation Models
•
Underwriters
•
Investment Banks
•
M&A-Consultants
• “Business Angels” (active) Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Searching Financial Partners (Companies) • • • • • • • • • • • •
Profil/Terms of Conditions Image Financial Strength Continuous Coaching and Monitoring Market Know-How/Expertise Antitrust Issues Interest Conflicts Decision Making Policies Readiness to Take Risk Independence to Act (Management) Timing Aspects Value Adding
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Profile of Early-Stage Equity Investors Independent Venture Capital & Active Business Angel Industrial Investor
© G E NES
Understanding of Financial Need
good
weak
Ability of Further Financing
high
low
Decision Behavior
assessable
in-assessable
Readiness to Take Risk
high
low
Value Adding (Industry)
high
low
Value Adding (Lifecycle)
high
low
Image of Financial Partner
good
less good
Term of Partnership
short
long
Impact by Financial Partner
high
low Passive Business Angel
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Lifecycle Technology-Based Start-Up: e.g. Space
© G E NES
Profit
Later-Stage Growth/Expansion
Maturity/Bridge
Stagnation
Early-Stage Seed
Start-Up
1st Round
Foundation
R&D
t
Product Development
Market Entry
Market Penetration
Market Diffusion
Debt Mezzanine Equity (Stock Markets)
Debt
VENTURE
Equity Mezzanine Debt VENTURE
100%
66%
50%
33%
Equity? Equity Project Budget ? (Semi-Equity) VENTURE Optimal Equity-Ratio Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
© G E NES
Financials • The Financials Are Forecasting (Over the Planning Period) – – – –
The Financial Needs of a Business How It will Be Financed How Profitable & Stable It Will Develop & Allow Financial Engineering
• The Financials Consist of the Following Elements (e.g. in the Business Plan): – – – –
Profit & Loss Account/Income Statement (Costs/Profitability/Effectiveness) Balance Sheet (Status/Assets/Financing) Cash Flow Statement/Liquidity Plan Financial Plan • Financial Needs • Financial Sources/Structure
– (Shareholder Structure/Valuation over Time: Dilution Effects)
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
P&L, Balance Sheet & Liquidity Plan Balance Sheet
Profit & Loss Account Sales/Revenues - Costs of Goods Sold = Gross Margin/Gross Profit - Expenses/Costs Personnel Administration R&D Marketing & Sales, etc.
c pa Im
t
Depreciation = Operating Result (EBIT) +/-Financial Income/Expenses = EBT - Taxes Net Income (Loss)
Assets Fixed Assets • Intangible Assets • Tangible Assets • Financial Assets/Inv. Current Assets • Stocks/Inventories • Receivables/Debtors a.o. • Securities/Investments • Cash Prepaid Expenses
Impact + = =
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
Equity & Liabilities Shareholder´s Equity • Subscribed/Share Capital • Capital Reserve • Revenue Reserve • Retained profits/ Acc. Losses b.f. • Net Income/Loss for the Year Accruals/Provisions Liabilities/Creditors Deferred Income
Beginning Period Cash Income (Period) Expenses (Period) Ending Period Cash “Liquidity”(MUST be >0!)
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Liquidity Plan
Valuation “Valuation Is an Art Form and by no Means an Exact Science!” Selected Valuation Techniques (Unquoted Companies; otherwise Share Price)
Analytical Methods
Others
Asset-Based
Earnings-Based
(Balance Sheet)
(Profit & Loss Account)
Net Asset Value
Net Present Value (NPV)
“X”-Based
Strategic (Synergy, Market..) Rules of Thumb
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
Discounted Cash-Flow
Analogy
Price/Earnings-Ratio (P/E)
“Stomach”
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Valuation (cont´d) • Factors to Be Taken Into Account – – – – – – –
Valuation Is
Investors Return Needs Size of the Equity Stake & Value Adding Possibilities Reliability of Business Plan Forecast Exit Multiple Potential/IRR Exit Timescale Exit Route (IPO, Trade Sale, Buy-Back, Liquidation) ...
• But Also – – – – –
Quality of Management Team Proprietary Nature of Product or Service Market Share (Vulnerability) Technological Trends ...
• Based on Business Plan • Based on Income Statements/Balance Sheets Typically Used: • Future Earnings Figures Multiplied by a P/E-Ratio (Price/Earnings) • Helpful: P/E-Ratio of Comparable Quoted Stock ./. 25-33% Discount • Discounted Cash Flow Method • Alternative for Profitable Companies: Future Maintainable Earnings Stream to Be Expected for Next 3-4 Years to Generate a Payback-Ratio (Multiple)
(Financial Equity Investors)
The Net Present Value Method Is Not the Holy Grail When Co-Financing is Needed!
Legal Issues (Handling/Protection of IPRs, etc.) Not to Be Underestimated! Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Return Issues • What is a Return (on Investment?): Output(t)-Input(t) – Input: Equity/Debt, etc. – Output: Dividends/Interest Payments/Capital Gains
• Return Measures – Return on Investment (ROI) = (Internal Rate of Return IRR) – Be Careful When Computing (Monthly, Annual, etc.)
• Perspectives – The Companie´s View – The Investor´s View
• All Forecasts Are Only As Good As the Assumptions Used Return Expectations Rise According to the Risks Involved Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Finance Drivers Business Nature & Financing Needs Environment / Climate
The Business Plan Management Market Product Return/Exit
Who´s Interests Are Driving the Financing? Financier´s Company´s Management´s Shareholder´s Technology? Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Example:Financing Strategy for “WINS” Year
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
1
2
4-10
Total Need: 1 Billion EURO
Debt
Financing Financing
3
High Yield High Yield Bonds Bonds
Total Debt: 545 Million EURO Total Equity: 525 Million Euro
Debt Debt
Initial Public
Debt
Virtual Company
Offering (IPO)
Founders
Venture Capitalist
Strategic Investor
Financial Investor 1
Financial Investor 2
Start-up Phase Satellite Production. and Manufacturing
WINS WINSDevelopment DevelopmentPhases Phases
Ground Segment Procurement Launch
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES
Base Unit Procurement
Contact
Joerg Kreisel International Consultant •Space Com m ercialization, Business & Finance •Coaching of Co m mercial Projects •Fund Raising Support & Investor Relations •Venture Capital •Education & Training •International Connectivity •Co m m unication •General Advice
E-mail:
[email protected] (Joerg Kreisel- Partner @ G E NES G mbh Venture Services) Joerg Kreisel International Consultant
2001J.Kreisel- GENES