REAL ESTATE
Presented by: HARKESH BANSAL(5) PANKAJ JAIN (13) ANUPAM KASUHIK (16) NIMISH SHINGHATWADIA (23)
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Size of Indian Real Estate is currently USD 16 billion. Industry estimates indicate that the sector will – Grow at CAGR of 30% – To reach USD 50 billion by 2010 Demand for quality real estate in India is seeing unprecedented growth-demand supply gap exists across all segments of realty.
…Tremendous opportunity for real estate development across India.
Trends in Real Estate • • • • • • • • •
Growth of India's middle class creating demand for housing. Strong demographic impetus: India has the second largest population in the world and the growth rate of population is still rapid. High growth in service sector (IT/ITES) leading to demand for commercial space. Rising FDI levels has increased commercial space requirements by foreign firms. Expansion of organized retail sector. Growth in retain trade and tourism industry due to growth in Organised retain and hotel industry Development spreading to Tier II and Tier III cities. Easy availability of finance. Alternative/Innovative financing options
DEMAND FORECASTING FOR REAL ESTATE SECTOR Y = a + B1 I + B2P + B3R + B4G
REGRESSION LINE
Y = 1407.8 + 45.9(I) + 0.1 (P) + (-)17.3 (R) + (-)1.26 (G)
FY
Demand in mn sq ft
Income in lacs
Price Per sqft
Int_rate
GDP at FC
Estimated Demand
1
1382
2.25
1200
13.25
4.4
1383.45
2
1423
2.5
1300
12
5.8
1423.64
3
1466
2.75
1400
11
3.8
1463.80
4
1510
3.25
1500
10
8.5
1506.99
5
1555
3.75
1800
10
7.5
1557.89
6
1602
4.3
2250
11
9
1604.02
7
1650
5.15
2900
14
9.4
1648.56
8
5.65
3300
12.5
9
1733.51
9
6.15
3600
12.5
9
1783.15
10
6.75
4000
12.5
9
1846.28
SOURCES : ICICI, E&Y, DEUTSHE BANK, NHB, FICCI………....
Demand Forecasting 2000
Demand in Sq Ft
1800 Fin_Year
1600
Estimated Demand
1400
Actual Demand
1200 1000 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Financial Year
8
9 10
D L F
• The largest real estate development company in India • In existence since 1946 • Completed 224mn sq ft of development • Focus area – NCR (Delhi and Gurgaon) • Responsible for developing the Satellite town ship in Gurgaon • Current Land Base of 10,255 acres of land bank
DLF- Financials Particulars
FY 05
FY 06
FY 07
608
1154
2615
88
193
1944
Net Profit Margins %
14.5
16.7
74.2
ROE %
11.8
22.7
78.7
ROCE %
8.9
15.5
30
EPS %
0.6
1.3
12.7
Income from Operations in Cr Rs.
PAT in Rs. Cr.
*Source IndiaInfoline
DLF BUSINESS MIX
• • • • •
Brand Name and Reputation Extensive Land Reserves Scale of Operations Strategic Locations Experienced and Dedicated Management
• Regional concentration • Dependency on DAL
• • Political risks. • Macroeconomic Factors • Execution risk
• • • •
Large demand-supply gap in affordable residential accommodation Availability of loans at low interest rates, tax incentives and a growing middle class with higher savings Housing Increasing demand for commercial space Office space for IT/ITeS
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