MARKET OVERVIEW Second Quarter 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
■ Executive Summary –
Economic Overview
–
NY Capital Markets
–
NY Office Leasing
–
NY Residential
■ Addenda –
Economic Overview
–
NY Capital Markets
–
NY Office Leasing
–
NY Residential
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Table of Contents
22
Economic Overview - National
33
■ 9.5% unemployment rate highest since 1984; projected to reach 10% by year-end ■ TALF and CMBS Public-Private Investment Program underway to help unfreeze commercial loan market – market impact TBD ■ A record high 5.5% of outstanding CMBS loans in special servicing ■ Unprecedented loan maturities during next five years ■ 2008 real estate investment activity down 82% versus 2007; 2009 running 86% below 2008 ■ REIT prices down 60%+ from 2007 peak
* Additional data can be found in the addenda (Slides 32-46).
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Executive Summary
44
Economic Overview - National Civilian Unemployment Rate
10%
9.5% 9.0%
8%
7.9%
7.8%
7.4%
7.8%
6.9% 5.9%
6.3%
5.9%
6%
`
4%
2% 1949
1954
1959
1964
1969
1974
Recessions
1979
1984
1989
1994
Unemployment Rate
6/09 unemployment rate at 9.5% is highest in 25 years. Two-thirds of jobs lost have occurred since 3Q08. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
1999
2004
2009
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
10.8%
55
Economic Overview - National
$512 $500 $128
$352
$400 $ Billions
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
$600
$303
$29
$9
$66
$300
$62
$204 $200
$79 $100 $15
$102 $22
$123
$137
$144
$3 $43
$0.2 $232
$23
$256
$247
$34
$158
$63
$79
$100
2001
2002
2003
$110
$13
$0
Individual Asset Sales
2004
2005
2006
Portfolio (Non-privatization)
2007
2008
2009YTD*
Privatizations
2008 US investment volume down 63% versus prior 3 year average; down 72% versus 2007. 2Q09 annualized $31 billion; lowest this decade.
* As of May 31, 2009, except for Hotel as of March 2009. Source: Real Capital Analytics, Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
US Historical Investment Volume (Billions), 2001-2009 YTD
66
Economic Overview - National
$350 BN $300 BN $250 BN $200 BN $150 BN $100 BN $50 BN $0 BN 2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
CMBS
2016
2017
2018
Non-CMBS
Total commercial mortgage maturities from 2009 – 2013 estimated at $1.4 trillion or almost $300 billion per annum.
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, Trepp, Foresight Analytics, UBS Investment Research
2019
2020
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Total Commercial Mortgage Maturities
77
Economic Overview - National CMBS Loan Maturities $ Billions
$140
CMBS Floating Rate CMBS Fixed-rate Conduit
$120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20
$265 billion matures from 2009 to 2012; $371 billion matures from 2015 to 2017. 2Q09 CMBS in special servicing up 170% from 4Q08; $14.3 billion to $39.9 billion.
* CMBS Other represents private deals, not publicly tracked, etc. Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, Realpoint
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
$0
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
CMBS Other *
2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
$160
88
Economic Overview - National
Loan Balance (Millions) $60,000
24.0% 23.6%
$50,000
$40,000
$30,000
12.2% $20,000
11.6% $10,000
6.7%
6.9%
7.1%
8.7% 1.0%
$0 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
CMBS Origination Year Note: % is percentage of each year’s total issuance on watchlist. CMBS Loan Balance on Watchlist
16% all CMBS loans issued since 2000, or $153 billion, on watchlist. Source: Bloomberg
2008
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
CMBS Loans on Watchlist
99
Economic Overview - National Current Implied Public Market Pricing
Nominal Cap Rates for NAV Peak: 5.2 Current: 9.0 ’99-’08 Avg: 7.8 ’99-’05 Avg: 8.7
Nominal Cap Rates for NAV Peak: 6.2 Current: 8.8 ’99-’08 Avg: 7.9 ’99-’05 Avg: 8.6
Nominal Cap Rates for NAV Peak: 5.4 Current: 7.6 ’99-’08 Avg: 7.4 ’99-’05 Avg: 8.2
Nominal Cap Rates for NAV Peak: 6.1 Current: 8.6 ’99-’08 Avg: 7.6 ’99-’05 Avg: 8.3
Nominal Cap Rates for NAV Peak: 6.2 Current: 9.3 ’99-’08 Avg: 8.2 ’99-’05 Avg: 8.8
% 12 10
9.1
8.5
7.5
8 6
8.6
8.5
5.2
5.8
5.5
4.9
5.3
4 2 0 Office
Industrial
Apartment Peak
Mall Current
Current cap rates generally in-line with historic levels. Source: Green Street Advisors
Strip Center
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Implied Nominal Cap Rates
10 10
Economic Overview - New York
3,900 3,800 3,700
Projected total job loss: 250,000
3,600
4Q 2010 Vacancy Projection: 15%
3,500 3,400 3,300
National Recessions
NYC Em ploym ent
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2010
2009
2008
NYC Employment Projection
U.S. unemployment at 9.5%; New York City at 9.3%.
* As per New York City OMB 2009 projections.
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
3,200
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
June 2009 10.5% Vacancy $60 PSF Rents 117,000 Jobs Lost (thru 6/09)
12% Vacancy $44 PSF Rents 140,000 Jobs Lost
18% Vacancy $30 PSF Rents 150,000 Jobs Lost
Thousands of Persons
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
NYC Employment,1988-2010
11 11
Economic Trends & Forecast
NYC 3,800
135,000 3,700 130,000
3,600
125,000
120,000
3,500
NYC job loss since August 2008: -117,400 (-3.0%)
115,000
3,400
110,000 3,300 105,000
National Recessions
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
NYC Employment
National Employment
2009
2007
2005
2003
2001
1999
1997
1995
1993
1991
1989
3,200 1987
100,000
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
US job loss since December 2007: -6.5 million (-4.7%)
National
Thousands of Persons
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
U.S. Payroll Employment Compared with NYC
12 12
NYC Potential Job Loss Impact on Vacancy 18.0%
Historical +40,000* +65,000* +125,000*
15.0% 14.0%
14.3% 13.2%
13.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
60,000 office using jobs lost since the start of the recession, approximately 50% of NYC total job loss.
* Additional job loss from July 1, 2009
2010
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
17.0%
Office Using Jobs Lost
16.0%
Vacancy Rate
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
17.0%
13 13
Economic Overview – New York New Office Building Construction, By Decade 65.3
60.0
1285 Aven of the Ame - 1,473,950
270 Park Ave - 1,132,460
54.6
55.9
50.0
1 Chase Manhattan Plz - 1,898,158 399 Park Ave - 1,250,000 60 Broad St - 1,014,041 200 Park Ave - 2,254,274
40.0
1290 Ave of the Ame - 1,987,328 277 Park Ave - 1,529,945 1301 Ave of the Ame - 1,764,411
30.0
59 Maiden Ln - 1,043,007 245 Park Ave - 1,611,046 26 Federal Plz - 1,109,969 140 Broadway - 1,200,000
20.0
909 Third Ave - 1,125,000 767 Fifth Ave - 1,637,379 1345 Ave of the Ame - 1,640,000 2 Penn Plz - 1,500,000
10.0
1 NY Plz -2,103,750 345 Park Ave - 1,600,519 450 West 33rd St - 1,500,000
153 East 53rd St - 1,492,860
237 Park Ave - 1,142,196
1166 Ave of the Ame - 1,430,000
55 East 52nd St - 1,050,000
1211 Ave of the Ame - 1,734,105
101 Park Ave - 1,137,000
1 Bankers Trust Plz - 1,363,334
590 Madison Ave - 1,016,413
1633 Broadway - 2,240,000
335 Madison Ave - 1,046,984
1 Penn Plz - 2,072,136
85 Broad St - 1,040,000
1 Liberty Plz - 2,121,437
101 Barclay St - 1,140,000
55 Water St - 3,600,000
787 Seventh Ave - 1,429,610
9 West 57th St - 1,500,000
1 WFC - 1,461,365
1114 Ave of the Ame - 1,310,000
3 WFC - 2,300,000
1185 Ave of the Ame - 1,000,000
4 WFC - 1,600,000
1221 Ave of the Ame - 2,200,000
2 WFC - 2,200,000
1251 Ave of the Ame - 1,893,652
7 WTC - 1,855,000
1515 Broadway - 1,417,450
Financial Sqr - 1,000,301
Average = 15.0 MSF per decade Inventory reduced 25 MSF due to World Trade Center (15 MSF) and residential conversion (10 MSF)
17.6 12.5
1 WTC - 3,958,091
825 Eighth Ave - 1,550,212
2 WTC - 3,958,091
388 Greenwich St - 1,600,000
1585 Broadway - 1,220,732
2 NY Plz - 1,345,919
60 Wall St - 1,587,849
4 Times Square - 1,477,631
0.0 1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
Net addition to supply over last 20 years = 6.5 MSF. Long term, NYC faces space supply shortage. Note: New buildings identified > 1,000,000 SF; total construction SF includes all new office buildings above 100,000 SF. Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
383 Madison Ave - 1,200,000 745 Seventh Ave - 1,036,741 5 Times Square - 1,062,203 Columbus Center - 1,016,000 300 Madison Ave - 1,200,000 7 Times Square - 1,000,000 7 WTC - 1,700,000 1101 Ave of the Ame - 2,100,000 620 Eighth Ave - 1,500,000
2000s
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
70.0
643 West 43rd St - 1,128,000
S q u a r e F e e t (m illio n s )
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Average = 58.6 MSF per decade
NY Capital Markets
14 14
Manhattan Overview
■ Sharp sales volume decline due to: –
Real estate debt illiquidity
–
Lack of available product
–
Declining fundamental and lack of completed transactions
■ Declining fundamentals, lack of financing and increased yield requirements have caused values to fall as much as 60%+ ■ Only two Midtown Class A office transactions closed in 2009, accounting for 38% of sales volume YTD –
1540 Broadway – sale price represents a 6% cap on in-place income and an 8% cap on stabilized income
–
World Wide Plaza – $315 PSF price reportedly includes projected leasing costs
■ The sales of the former Macklowe/EOP properties reflect an estimated value decline (from 1/07 prices) of 30% for those properties sold in 2008, and 65% for those properties sold in 2009
* Additional data can be found in the addenda (Slides 47-51).
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
■ 2009 YTD sales volume down 95% from 2007 peak; down 90% from 2004-2008 average
15 15
NY Capital Markets Manhattan Annual Investment Sales Activity Price PSF (1)
$941
$55.0
$1,000
$875
$50.0 $45.0
$900 $800
$749
$40.0
$700
$35.0 $421
$25.0 $20.0 $15.0
$600
$549
$30.0 $336
$308
$443
$475
$500
$434
$340
(2)
$392
$253
$400 $300 $200
$10.0 $5.0
$1.8B
$0.0
$100 $0
1997
# of Deals 128 Total
1998
173
1999
155
2000
111
2001
78
Midtown and Midtown South
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2Q09
58
83
165
170
259
346
191
28
Downtown
Weighted Average Midtown Class A Office Price PSF
2Q09 closed and under contract $2.5B.
(1) 2008 Average price PSF excluding GM Building: $832 PSF (2) Based on the only Class A sale through 2Q09: 1540 Broadway Source: Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Sales Activity (Billions)
16 16
Investment Sales by Investor Profile
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Corporate / User 1%
Based on 2007 Total Sales of $48.5 Billion Corporate / User 1% Pension Fund 4%
Other 2%
Pension Fund 10%
Other 3%
REIT 19%
REIT 18% Foreign 13%
Foreign 13% Private Capital 56%
Private Capital 55%
Based on 2008 Total Sales of $19.8 Billion Corporate / User 6% Pension Fund 10%
Other 1%
REIT 11%
Based on 2Q09 Total Sales of $1.8 Billion (Closed) Corporate / User 25%
Private Capital 37%
Foreign 39% Private Capital 33%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield CMG
Foreign 5%
Pension Fund 33%
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Based on 2006 Total Sales of $34.8 Billion
17 17
NY Capital Markets
Cap Rate 10.00%
10.00%
9.00% 8.00%
9.00% 7.91% 7.30%
7.58%
8.00%
7.34%
7.00%
6.34%
6.00%
6.00% 4.93%
5.00%
4.64% 4.04%
4.00%
7.00% 6.00% 5.00%
4.45% 3.55%
4.00%
3.00%
3.00%
2.00%
2.00%
1.00%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00% 1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2Q09*
*1540 Broadway transaction at approximately 6% cap on in-place NOI (22% vacancy).
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Midtown Class A Cap Rates - Weighted Overall Cap Rates, 1999 – 2Q09
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Notable 2009 Sales Status / Address
Type / Size
Sale Price
Seller / Buyer
Comments
Under Contract
Office
$110,000,000
AIG, Inc.
AIG will vacate in December 2010. Mixed use development planned.
70 Pine Street (AIG)
1,243,624
$88 PSF
Young Woo and Kumho Investment Bank
Closed 7/09
Office
$605,000,000
Deutsche Bank
825 Eighth Avenue (World Wide Plaza)
1,919,000 SF
$315 PSF
George Comfort & Sons, Longview Capital and DRA Advisors
Closed 1Q09
Condo Unit
$355,000,000
Deutsche Bank
1540 Broadway
905,533 SF
$392 PSF
CBRE Investors
Closed 1Q09
Condo Unit
$225,000,000
New York Times
620 Eighth Avenue (New York Times Building)
750,000 SF
$300 PSF
W.P. Carey & Co.
Price reportedly includes projected leasing costs; 40% vacant. Approximately $470 million seller financing.
Sale of the office condominium portion of the property. 78% leased at time of sale; price represents a 6% cap on in-place income. Part of the 2007 EOP/Macklowe portfolio transaction. New York Times entered into a 10year sale-leaseback transaction for 21 floors or 58% of the building. Sale price represents an 11% coupon. New York Times has an option to purchase the property at end of lease at set price.
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
18 18
NY Office Leasing Market
19 19
Overview
■ Leasing statistics through 3Q08 lagged downturn; showing impact 4Q08 - 2Q09 ■ Vacancy 10.5% vs. the low of 5.3% in 2Q07; may reach 15% over next year ■ Midtown Class A net effective rents down 48% from peak ■ Midtown Class A vacancy 12.7%; availability 14.2% ■ Tenants seeking short-term extensions or blend-and-extend; more tenants focusing on potential long-term opportunities to lock in low net effective rents ■ Leasing velocity picking up – more upcoming expirations, and tenants taking advantage of the market
* Additional data can be found in the addenda (Slides 52-90).
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan
20 20
NY Office Leasing Market Inventory
Direct Vacancy
Total Vacancy(1)
Total Availability(2)
Rent
240,433,464 sf
8.3%
11.7%
12.8%
$66.82
Midtown South
64,504,640 sf
6.7%
8.7%
9.3%
$49.55
Downtown
87,656,973 sf
6.4%
8.7%
9.6%
$43.81
Manhattan
392,595,077 sf
7.6%
10.5%
11.5%
$60.23
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Midtown
21.0%
19.0% 17.0% 15.0% 13.0% 11.0% 9.0%
Equilibrium 7-9% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0% 1987
1988
1989
1990
1991 1992
Recessions 1) 2)
1993
1994
1995 1996
1997
Manhattan
1998
1999
2000 2001
MT
Total Vacancy is defined as available space that is currently vacant or will be vacant within 6 months. Total Availability is defined as available space that is currently vacant or will be vacant within 12 months.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2002
2003
2004 2005
MTS
2006
2007
DT
2008 2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Overall Vacancy Rates
21 21
NY Office Leasing Market
$90.00 $80.00
2Q09 Overall Asking Rents Manhattan MT MTS DT
$60.23 $66.82 $49.55 $43.81
$70.00 $60.00 $50.00 $40.00 $30.00 $20.00 $10.00 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2Q09
Recessions
Manhattan
MT
MTS
DT
Asking rents down 21% in Midtown and 14% in Downtown compared to 3Q08.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$100.00
$/sf
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Overall Average Asking Rental Rates
22 22
NY Office Leasing Market
Average Gap (1995-2008): $5.40 Current Gap: $17.68
$85.00
$75.00
$76.99
$65.00 $59.31
$55.00
$45.00
$35.00
Midtown Direct
Midtown Sublease
Midtown direct and sublease asking rent spread at $17.68 per square foot, approximately 23% delta, highest since 1996.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
$25.00
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$95.00
$/SF
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Midtown Office Market | Class A Asking Rental Rates Direct rent vs. Sublease
23 23
NY Office Leasing Market
$46.15
$60.00
$63.32
$63.89
$71.58
$70.00
$50.00
$40.00 2Q08
3Q08
Midtown Asking
4Q08
1Q09
Midtown Net Effective
2Q09 Net effective rents 35.5% less than asking rents. 2Q09 Asking rents down 22.4% versus 2Q08.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$79.13
$78.75
$80.42
$80.00
$86.40
$92.59
$92.30
$90.00
$/SF
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Midtown Class A Rents | Asking Vs. Net Effective
24 24
NY Office Leasing Market 2003-2005 Recovery | Asking Vs. Net Effective Rents
$29.79
$27 $25 1Q03
4Q03
1Q04
2Q04
Net Effective Rent
3Q04
4Q04
1Q05
2Q05
3Q05
Asking Rent
In 2003-2005 recovery asking rents remained stagnant while net effective rents grew significantly as concessions declined. Rent spikes followed. Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
4Q05
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$40.58
$42.48
$41.35
$40.80
$39.94
$40.28
$38.11
$39.53
$40.51
$40.54
$40.06
$40.53
$37.00 3Q03
$32.26
2Q03
$29
$33.37
$31
$32.57
$33
$33.71
$35
$33.68
$37
$37.79
$39
$40.39
$41
$41.12
$41.97
$43
$43.29
$45
$/SF
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Overall Rents
25 25
NY Office Leasing Market Midtown Class A Forecast
$83.40
$80 $75
14% 12% 10% 8%
$50 6%
$45 $40
4%
$35 $30
2%
$25 $20
0%
Asking Rents
Vacancy Rate
Vacancy is expected to peak in 2009 and asking rents projected to bottom in 2010 as vacancy turns the corner. Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Vacancy
$71.56
$55
$67.90
$60
$66.85
$65
$66.25
$71.40
$70 $/SF per Year
$86.40
$85
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
16%
13 20 12 20 11 20 10 20 09 20 08 20 07 20 06 20 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 19 98 19 97 19 96 19 95 19
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
$90
NY Residential Market
26 26
■ Manhattan residential fundamentals weakening, but not as dramatically as the office sector ■ Condominium market hit hard as debt market dries up – Since its peak in 1Q08, average pricing per unit dropped 22.6%; Luxury Sector witnessed a 37.9% decrease in average unit pricing – Annualized sales volume down 44.5% since year ending 2008 ■ Projected 2009 permits down 87% from 2008 peak ■ Peak to trough condo pricing estimated to drop 35% to 45% ■ Peak to trough rental rates estimated to drop 20% - 30%
* Additional data can be found in the addenda (Slides 91-98).
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Overview
27 27
NY Residential Market
$ PSF $1,600
$2,000,000 $1,800,000
$1,400
$1,600,000 $1,200 $1,400,000 $1,000
$1,200,000
$800
$1,000,000 $800,000
$600
$600,000 $400 $400,000 $200
$200,000
Average Unit Price
Average Price Per Square Foot
Average unit pricing has dropped 16.0% since the prior quarter and a total of 22.6% since 1Q08 peak.
Source: Miller Samuel, Inc.
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
$0 1999
$0
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$ Per Unit
1998
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Residential Condo Sale Prices, 1998 – 2Q09
28 28
NY Residential Market
$ PSF
$1,600,000
$1,400
$1,400,000
$1,200
$1,200,000
$1,000
$1,000,000 $800 $800,000 $600 $600,000 $400
$400,000
$200
$200,000
Average Unit Price
Average Price Per Square Foot
Average Co-Op unit pricing has dropped 10.4% since the prior quarter and a total of 23.3% since 1Q08 peak.
Source: Miller Samuel, Inc.
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
$0 1999
$0
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$ Per Unit
1998
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Residential Co-Op Sale Prices, 1998 – 2Q09
29 29
NY Residential Market
$ PSF $3,000
$8,000,000 $7,000,000
$2,500
$6,000,000 $2,000
$5,000,000 $4,000,000
$1,500
$3,000,000
$1,000
$2,000,000 $500
$1,000,000
Average Unit Price
Average Price Per Square Foot
Luxury unit pricing down 39.0% and sales volume down 27.5% since 1Q09.
Note: Luxury market accounts for top 10% of all Condo and Co-op Sales Source: Miller Samuel, Inc.
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
$0 1999
$0
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$ Per Unit
1998
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Luxury Residential Condo and Co-op Sale Prices, 1998 – 2Q09
30 30
Manhattan Residential Overview Yearly Volume of Condominium & Co-Op Sales
14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Condos
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Q209
Co-ops
Annualized 2009 sales volume of Manhattan condominium and co-op units down 47% since 2008. Source: Miller Samuel, Inc.
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
16,000
31 31
Manhattan Residential Overview Residential Unit Permits Issued for New York City
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
Estimated 2009 issued permits have dropped by 87% from 2008. 421a program influenced peak issuance in 2008.
* Annualized based upon first five months of 2009. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
*Est. 2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
0
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
35,000
1980
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
40,000
ADDENDA: ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
33 33
US Banks Rapidly Shrinking Banking Industry US Banks
Non-US Banks
Mar. 1, 2007
Government stake*
July 10, 2009***
Mar. 1, 2007
Deutsche Bank
$45bn
Government stake:
July 10, 2009
None
225.3
JP Morgan Chase
Government stake*
$25bn
75.1
170.9
38.4
96.0
33.6
Goldman Sachs $10bn
HSBC
200.5 124.8
Government stake*
67.8
72.3
14.4
49.4
Government stake:
None
UBS
123.9
Swiss government stake:
$5.3bn
96.3 250.4
BNP Paribas
French government stake:
$3.9bn Citigroup
Government stake*
$52bn
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Atlantic Equities; companies
Potential value of hybrid planned
* US government investments are in preference shares and are non-comparable to ordinary shares ** Total value of outstanding shares *** Market caps at 6pm GMT July 10, 2009
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Market caps ($bn) Bank of America
.1 82
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Market caps ($bn)
34 34
Economic Overview - National
REIT's 1.1% Finance Companies 2.1%
Commercial/Savings Banks 50.3%
All Other 4.4%
Govt. Entities 7.5%
Life Insurance Cos 9.1%
Commercial/Savings Banks - $1.7T CMBS - $891B Life Insurance Cos - $316B Govt. Entities - $261B All Other - $153B CMBS 25.6%
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
Finance Companies - $72B REIT’s - $37B
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
U.S. Commercial Real Estate Debt Markets, $3.5 Trillion
35 35
Economic Overview - National
REIT's 0.3% Finance Companies 3.3% Credit Unions 3.1% Govt. Entities 0.9%
Commercial/Savings Banks 26.4%
All Other 5.5% Life Insurance Cos 0.1%
Commercial/Savings Banks - $2.9T MBS, ABS and Agency - $6.6T Life Insurance Cos - $12B MBS, ABS*and Agency/GSE ** Mortgage Pools 60.3%
All Other - $604B Govt. Entities - $102B Credit Unions - $346B Finance Companies - $368B REIT’s - $31B
* **
ABS containing home equity loans only. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae
Source: Mortgage Bankers Association
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
U.S. Residential Real Estate Debt Markets, $11 Trillion
36 36
Economic Overview - National
$230 $203
200 $169
150
$93
100 $78 $67
50
$52
$47
$12 $0
0 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
No US CMBS Issuance in first-half 2009; 2008 down 95% from 2007.
Source: CMAlert.com, Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
2008
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
250
$Billions
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
US Annual CMBS Issuance
37 37
Economic Overview - National
2004 $4.9
2005
2006
2007
2008
May-09
$53.2
$208.5
Office $3.0
$37.4
$101.3
Apartment $2.6
$20.6
$67.1
Retail $0.6 1
$11.8
$89.0
Hotel $1.9
Industrial $0
$21.5
$51.1
$50
$100
$150
$200
Dollar Volume (billions)
All property types nationally reflect major downdraft in sales.
1
As of 1Q09
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
$250
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
US Annual Sales Volumes by Core Property Type, 2004 - May 2009
38 38
US Top CBD Office Investment Markets Sales Volume 2005 – MAY 2009 2006
2007
2008
May-09
$1.7 1
$13.1
Manhattan
$37.5
$0.3 $2.4
Washington DC
$6.0
$0.2 $1.4
Chicago
$7.9
$0.2 $1.0
San Francisco
$10.2
$0.6 $0.9
Boston
$7.0
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
Sales Volume (Billions) 1
As of June 2009
Source: Real Capital Analytics, Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
$30
$35
$40
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
2005
39 39
US Top CBD Office Investment Markets Average Capitalization Rate, 2005 – 1Q2009* 2006
2007
2008
1Q09 6.0%
4.7% 4.5%
Manhattan
6.6% 5.8%
Washington DC
5.0%
8.1% 8.0%
Chicago
5.8%
6.5% 6.1%
San Francisco
4.3%
6.9% 5.8%
Boston
4.9%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Weighted Average Cap Rate * Fall off in investment sales activity make quarterly cap rate changes unreliable due to lack of trades. Source: Real Capital Analytics, Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
8%
9%
10%
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
2005
40 40
US Top CBD Office Investment Markets
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
2005
2006
2007
2008
1Q09 $392 * $787
Manhattan
$703
$570 $564
Washington DC
$440
$177 $230 $244
Chicago
$396 $390
San Francisco
$479
$301 $343 $370
Boston
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
Average Sales Price per Square Foot * Based on the only Class A sale through 1Q09: 1540 Broadway Source: Real Capital Analytics, Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
$700
$800
$900
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Average Sales Price PSF, 2005 – 1Q2009
41 41
US Top CBD Office Markets Vacancy Rates, 1997 – 1Q 2009 Chicago
Manhattan
San Francisco
Washington DC
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0% 1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research, Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Boston
42 42
US Top CBD Office Markets Average Asking Rents, 1997 – 1Q 2009 Chicago
Manhattan
San Francisco
Washington DC
$80
$70
$60
$50
$40
$30
$20
$10
$0 1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research, Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
1Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Boston
Manhattan Employment And Office Space Demand: Conservative
43 43
Employment Forecast: 1990 – 2016 and Implied Space Demand
Thousands
1,250 1,200 1,150 1,100 1,050
Cumulative Space Demand 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Employment and Office Space Demand: Forecasted return to pre-2008 levels after 2016. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Moody’s Economy.com
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1,000
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
1,300
Thousands of Square Feet
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Office Using
Manhattan Employment And Office Space Demand: Aggressive
44 44
Employment Forecast: 1990 – 2016 and Implied Space Demand
Thousands
1,250 1,200 1,150 1,100 1,050
15
Cumulative Space Demand
10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Employment and Office Space Demand: Forecasted return to pre-2008 levels in 2015. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Moody’s Economy.com
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1,000
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
1,300
Thousands of Square Feet
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Office Using
45 45
Impact of the Securities Industry Percent of Jobs 5.2% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% 4.4% 4.2% 4.0% 1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2002
2004
2006
Percent of Income
18.0% 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 1990
1992
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
1994
1996
1998
2000
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
5.4%
46 46
Manhattan Office Market Manhattan Office Construction – Annual Added Inventory 10.0
7.0
New Construction (In Process)
6.0
Potential Future Developments
5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0
NEW CONSTRUCTION (IN PROCESS): 2009 510 Madison Avenue
Macklowe Organization
11 Times Square
SJP Properties
450 West 14th Street/HighLine Building
Charles Blaichman
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
0.0
2009 +: New Construction (In Process): 5.5 msf The Drawing Board: 30.7 msf
POTENTIAL FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS (cont’d):
350,000 1,100,000 88,300
2010 Goldman Sachs HQ/200 West St./6 WFC
Goldman Sachs/ Madison Equities
2,000,000
2013 World Trade Center: Tower 1 (Freedom Tower)
Port Authority of NY & NJ
2,000,000
MT MT MTS
World Products Center
Extell Development
1,500,000
MT
8th Avenue & 46th Street
Boston Properties/ Related Companies
1,000,000
MT
World Trade Center: Tower 4
Silverstein Properties
1,800,000
DT
20 Times Square/641 Eighth Avenue
Lawrence Ruben Company/ Vornado Realty Trust
1,300,000
MT
World Trade Center: Tower 5
Port Authority of NY & NJ
2,000,000
DT
4 Hudson Square
Trinity Real Estate
1,310,000
MTS
Brookfield Site: South Tower
Brookfield Properties
3,400,000
MT
Brookfield Site: North Tower
Brookfield Properties
2,300,000
MT
Vornado Realty Trust
3,000,000
MT
DT
DT
POTENTIAL FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS: 855 Avenue of the Americas
Cherit Group
355,279
MT
Hotel Pennsylvania
360 Tenth Avenue
Extell Development
140,000
MT
One Penn East
Vornado Realty Trust
2,000,000
MT
World Trade Center: Tower 3
Silverstein Properties
2,100,000
DT
World Trade Center: Tower 2
Port Authority of NY & NJ
2,300,000
DT
Madison Square Garden/Moynihan Station
Vornado Realty Trust/ Related Companies
3,000,000
MT
708 First Avenue
Sheldon Solow
1,100,000
MT
51 Astor Place/Cooper Union Tech School
Minskoff Properties
325,000
MTS
Extell Diamond Tower/West 47th Street
Extell Development
800,000
MT
250 West 55th Street/920 Eighth Avenue
Boston Properties/ Madison Equities
1,000,000
MT
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Historical Construction Completions
8.0
(msf)
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
9.0
ADDENDA: NY CAPITAL MARKETS
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Investment Sales Summary
Summary of Manhattan Sales Activity (Rounded to the nearest $1 Million) As of June 30, 2009 Midtown Closed $1,529,000,000 Under Contract
$627,000,000
Total $2,156,000,000
Midtown South
Downtown
Uptown
TOTAL
$176,000,000
$0
$80,000,000
$1,786,000,000
$0
$110,000,000
$0
$737,000,000
$176,000,000
$110,000,000
$80,000,000
$2,523,000,000
Note: Includes transactions of $10 million and higher Closed and Under Contract
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
48 48
49 49
Manhattan Year-to-Year Comparison
Midtown
Midtown South
Downtown
TOTAL
% Change vs. '07
Class A Office
$580
$0
$0
$580
-89.1%
Other Office
$167
$82
$0
$249
-74.9%
Multifamily
$174
$18
$0
$192
-82.3%
All Other
$688
$77
$0
$765
-55.5%
TOTAL
$1,610
$176
$0
$1,786
-80.4%
2Q08 Closed Sales, as of June 30 ($ Million) Midtown
Midtown South
Downtown
TOTAL
$4,992
$310
$19
$5,320
Other Office
$376
$532
$84
$992
Multifamily
$822
$139
$126
$1,087
All Other
$864
$597
$259
$1,719
TOTAL
$7,054
$1,578
$487
$9,118
Class A Office
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
2Q09 Closed Sales, as of June 30 ($ Million)
Manhattan Investment Sales by Market
50 50
Midtown $1.6 Billion – 90%
Midtown South $176 Million – 10%
Note: No 2009 Downtown transactions have closed. AIG/70 Pine is under contract for $110 Million. Source: Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Closed as of June 30, 2009 ($1.8 Billion)
Manhattan Investment Sales by Product Type
51 51
All Other $520 Milion – 29% Class A Office $580 Million – 33%
Retail $23 Million – 1%
Hotel $223 Million – 13%
Other Office $249 Million – 14% Multifamily $192 Million – 11%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Capital Markets Group
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Closed as of June 30, 2009 ($1.8 Billion)
ADDENDA: NY OFFICE LEASING
53 53
Manhattan Office Market
Manhattan
LEASING FUNDAMENTALS
MT
MTS
DT
Vacancy
10.5%
9%
11.7%
11%
8.7%
7%
8.7%
7%
Overall Asking Rents
$60.23
-7%
$66.82
-9%
$49.55
-6%
$43.81
-2%
Class A Asking Rents
$67.24
-9%
$71.58
-10%
$53.27
-10%
$48.47
-1%
Leasing Activity (SF)*
6,383,685
-45%
4,289,864
-43%
690,908
-56%
1,402,913
-43%
• Leasing activity only reflects new leases (i.e. not renewals). • Leasing activity compares 2Q09 vs. 2Q08 due to the cyclical nature of leasing over a year.
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Leasing Fundamentals 2Q09 vs. 1Q09
54 54
Manhattan Office Market (392,595,077 SF)
14.0%
12.0%
10.5%
10.0%
8.0%
Equilibrium 7-9%
7.6%
6.0%
4.0%
2.9% 2.0%
0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2Q09
Total
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Sublease
Direct
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Overall Vacancy Rates
55 55
Manhattan Office Market
14.0%
11.5%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
7.6%
Equilibrium 7-9%
6.0%
4.0%
3.9%
2.0%
0.0% 1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Total
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2003 Direct
2004
2005
Sublease
2006
2007
2008
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Class A Vacancy Rates
56 56
Manhattan Office Market
18%
$ 69. 44
$70
$ 65. 08 $ 60. 23
16%
$60 $ 50. 92
$50
14%
$ 50. 56 $ 46. 69
12%
$ 42. 96 $ 40. 53 $ 39. 55
$ 38. 04
$40
$ 40. 58
10%
$ 35. 31 $ 31. 26 $ 29. 03
$30
$ 27. 37 $ 26. 77 $ 26. 90
8%
$ 28. 79 $ 26. 22 $ 26. 71
6% $20 4% $10
2%
Overall Asking Rent al Rates
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Vacancy Rate
2Q09
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
0%
1991
$0
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
20%
$80
1990
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Overall Rental Rates vs. Overall Vacancy Rates
57 57
Manhattan Office Market
$80.00
$71.58
$70.00 $60.00
$53.27
$50.00
$48.47 $40.00 $30.00 $20.00 1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
MT Class A
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2002
2003
2004
MTS Class A
2005
2006
2007
DT Class A
2008
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$90.00
$/sf
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Class A Average Asking Rental Rates
58 58
World’s ten most expensive cities
Rank 2008 2007
Country
City
Market
$/SF/Yr
1
1
United Kingdom
London
West End
$311
2
3
China
Hong Kong
CBD
$238
3
2
Japan
Tokyo
CBD
$210
4
5
India
Mumbai
Cetral - Worli
$166
5
7
Russia
Moscow
CBD
$158
6
4
France
Paris
CBD
$141
7
n/a
Singapore
Singapore
CBD
$130
8
10
United Arab Emirates
Dubai
CBD
$126
9
6
Ireland
Dublin
2/4 Districts
$112
10
9
United States
New York
Midtown
$100
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research Office Space Across the World 2008
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Occupancy Costs
59 59
Manhattan Office Market
35
33.4 30
33.1 31.2
31.5 29.5
25
25.5
27.1 23.6
20
20.8 18.9
20.1
19.1
15
2Q08 10
11.5 5
6.4
0 1997
1998
1999
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
40
Millions SF
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
New Leasing Activity
60 60
Manhattan Office Market
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
-2,000,000
-4,000,000
-6,000,000
-8,000,000 1997
1998
1999
2000 Midtown
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2001
2002
2003
2004
Midtown South
2005
2006
2007
Downtown
2008
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Manhattan Total 2Q09: (7,849,420) 2008: (3,910,360) 2Q08: (1,983,351) 2007: (972,073)
6,000,000
Square Feet
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Comparative Direct Net Absorption
61 61
Manhattan Office Market
Financial Services 33.1%
Other 21.3%
Legal Services 12.3%
Apparel 3.8% Communications 4.1% Advertising 4.3%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Business Services 8.2%
Printing & Publishing 7.8%
Gov't/Education/Soc Svcs 7.2%
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Tenant Industry Breakdown – By % of SF Occupied, 2Q09
62 62
Manhattan Office Market
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
53.7
58.5
62.9 61.0 58.1 51.6
30.0
30.1
35.7
45.4 32.9
20.0
29.8
33.3 21.6 20.4
22.2
10.0 14.3
18.7 12.1
12.2
11.1
8.4
0.0
12.3 6.8
6.8
5.4
5.2
5.7
23.6
26.3
27.3
4.1
16.3
2.7
12.9
9.6
6.4
5.7
8.2
11.4
3.5
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2Q09
Sublease
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Direct
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Total Available Area
(in million SF)
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Total Available SF – Direct VS Sublease
63 63
Manhattan Office Market
Period
75
# of Blocks
Available SF
2Q09:
154
24,641,230
4Q08:
126
22,663,000
3Q08:
129
23,425,000
4Q07:
104
16,808,000
70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35
73
55
30
59
59
25
52
51 42
20 15
30
10
26
25
3Q08
4Q08
19
22
5 0 4Q07
3Q08
3Q08
50,000-99,999 SF
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2Q09
4Q07
3Q08
4Q08
2Q09
100,000-249,999 SF
4Q07
250,000 + SF
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
80
Number of Blocks
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Size Distribution of Available Space (Contiguous Blocks)
64 64
Manhattan Office Market
50
50 44
40
42
30
30
30 27
25 20
32
22
21
10
14
15
2002
2003
12
0 1997
1998
1999
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2000
2001
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
60
Number of Leases
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
100,000 SF+ Leases (including renewals)
65 65
NY Office Leasing Market Average Asking Rent By Submarket Midtown
% Change Year-over-Year
-2.0% -8.9%
-7.9% -12.4%
-11.7%
-8.2% -14.9%
-16.1%
-20.4%
-11.6%
-17.4%
-4.5%
-8.5%
-14.0% -20.1%
-25.2% Total MT
Murray Hill
Grand Central
% Change over Prior QTR
-32.0% Park Avenue
East Side
Madison / Fifth
-32.6% Sixth Rock Ctr.
% Change Year-over-Year
1.3%
0.7%
Midtown South -5.6% -6.9%
-2.4%
-5.8%
-6.9%
-9.2%
-12.4%
Total MTS
West Side
Greenwich Village / NoHo
SoHo
-9.0%-10.1%
-12.8%
Madison / Union Square
Hudson Sq. / W. Village
Chelsea
Downtown -1.7%
-13.7%
-0.3%
-1.5%
-3.6% -5.9%
-2.2%
-12.2%
-13.0%
-3.7% -11.3%
-16.7%
Total DT Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
City Hall
World Financial
Financial West
Financial East
Insurance
Times Sq. South
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
% Change over Prior QTR
66 66
Midtown Office Market (240,433,464 SF)
14.0%
12.0%
11.7%
10.0%
8.0%
8.3%
Equilibrium 7-9%
6.0%
4.0%
3.4% 2.0%
0.0% 1996 1997
1998 1999
2000 2001
Total
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2002 2003
Sublease
2004 2005
Direct
2006 2007
2008 2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Overall Vacancy Rates
67 67
Midtown Office Market
22% $76.26 $79.81
$80
$66.82
$70
$50 $34.19 $31.56
$30
14%
$47.41 $48.15 $45.37$45.98
$43.03 $40.36
18% 16%
$58.92
$56.56 $52.83
$60
$40
20%
12% 10%
$33.23
$30.40 $28.97 $28.86 $30.56 $28.52
8% 6%
$20
4%
$10
2%
Overall A sking Rental Rates
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Vacancy Rate
2Q09
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
0% 1991
$0
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$90
1990
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Historical Rental Rates vs. Overall Vacancy Rates
68 68
Midtown Office Market Size Distribution of Available Space (Contiguous Blocks) 1
50
4 2
Period
# of Blocks
Available SF
2Q09:
101
14,237,517
2Q08:
84
14,204,189
40 35 30
3 2
2 6 10
7
6
25
46
4
20
7
15 25
22
10 13
5
2 2
5 5
8
3
0 2Q08
2Q09 3 Months
50,000-99,999 SF
2Q08 6 Months
2Q09 12 Months
2Q08 24 Months
100,000-249,999 SF
Total available space increased 63% year over year. Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2Q09
250,000 + SF
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
55
45 Number of Blocks
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
60
69 69
Midtown Office Market
6.9%
42.7%
10.8%
15.1%
1-9,999 sf 10,000-24,999 sf 25,000-49,999 sf 50,000-99,999 sf 24.4%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
100,000 + sf
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Leasing Activity by Block Size, Total SF Leased – 2Q09
70 70
Midtown Office Market
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
200
171
180
167
160 42
140 120
47
100 51
100 16
43
80 27
60 40 20 0
35
39 23 4
23 1 10 7
9 3 7
21
2004
2005
$80 - $89.99
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
25
34
2006 $90 - $99.99
23 43
2007 $100 - $124.99
52
1 7 3 12
2008
2Q09 $125 +
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Taking Rents of $80 and Above (Number of Deals)
71 71
Midtown Office Market Taking Rents of $80 and Above 2006
2007
2008
2Q09
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
1
2,500
2,500
16
633,784
39,612
42
810,939
19,308
47
866,129
18,428
1
8,000
8,000
10
135,132
13,513
27
729,918
27,034
51
1,864,720
36,563
43
1,701,187
39,562
7
56,471
8,067
7
162,104
23,158
23
684,491
29,760
35
1,025,601
29,303
25
442,848
17,714
3
160,419
53,473
21
329,429
15,687
34
1,655,633
48,695
43
2,151,873
50,044
52
1,507,959
28,999
12
272,022
22,669
39
629,165
16,132
100
3,703,826
37,038
171
5,853,133
34,229
167
4,518,123
27,055
23
496,912
21,605
$80 - $89.99
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
$90 - $99.99
$100 - $124.99
$125 +
TOTALS
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
2005
72 72
Midtown Office Market Average Asking Rent By Submarket OVERALL Total Wtd. Avg. Rental Rate
Total MT
Murray Hill
Grand Central
East Side
Park Avenue
Madison / Fifth
Sixth Rock Ctr.
West Side
Times Sq. South
2nd QTR 2009 $66.82
$50.42
$60.74
$62.61
$75.88
$96.87
$71.05
$65.25
$46.40
1st QTR 2009 $73.31
$51.47
$65.96
$74.64
$89.18
$105.58
$80.33
$71.30
$48.57
2nd QTR 2008 $83.96
$57.08
$69.30
$83.65
$111.65
$117.34
$105.39
$81.71
$53.98
$ Change over Prior QTR
($6.49)
($1.05)
($5.22)
($12.03)
($13.30)
($8.71)
($9.28)
($6.05)
($2.17)
$ Change ($17.14) Year-over-Year
($6.66)
($8.56)
($21.04)
($35.77)
($20.47)
($34.34)
($16.46)
($7.58)
-2.0% -8.9%
-11.7%
-7.9% -12.4%
-8.2% -16.1%
-14.9%
-20.4%
-4.5% -11.6%
-17.4%
-8.5% -14.0% -20.1%
-25.2% Total MT
Murray Hill
% Change over Prior QTR
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Grand Central
East Side
% Change Year-over-Year
-32.0% Park Avenue
Madison / Fifth
-32.6% Sixth Rock Ctr.
West Side
Times Sq. South
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
MIDTOWN
73 73
Midtown Office Market
2,000
1,920.5
1,800
2Q08:
7,488.6
2Q09:
4.289.9
1,600 1,400 1,148.0
1,200 1,012.2
948.9
1,000 866.0 800
722.0
600
512.8
477.0
437.2
425.0
730.0
675.9 509.0
357.0
400 211.0
178.0
200 0 Murray Hill
Grand Central
East Side
Park Avenue
2Q08
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Madison/Fifth
2Q09
Sixth/Rock Ctr.
Westside
Times Sq. South
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Total Leased
SF in Thousands
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Leasing Activity, 2Q08 vs. 2Q09
74 74
Midtown Office Market
Midtown Total 2Q09: (6,029,623) 2Q08: (537,141) 1,912,590
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000 86,575
0 (38,624) (209,132)
(210,437) (241,511)
-500,000 (409,409) (411,570)
(476,811)
(540,305) (704,941)(767,399)(696,641)
-1,000,000
(600,653)
(1,274,881)
-1,500,000 (1,627,208)
-2,000,000 Grand Central
East Side
Park Avenue
Madison/ Fifth
2Q08
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
6 Ave/ Rock Cntr
2Q09
Westside
Penn Station
Times Sq South
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
2,500,000
Square Footage
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Comparative Direct Net Absorption
75 75
Midtown Office Market
1.8
1.7
1.8
1.5
1.6 1.5 1.3
1.3 1.3
1.4
1.4
1.4 1.1
1.0
1.3
1.2
1.2
0.9
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.3
1.2 1.1 1.0
0.9
0.8
0.9 0.7
0.6 0.6
0.6 0.5
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.0 July
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
6 Year Average
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Jan
2008
Feb
Mar
2009
Apr
May
Jun
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
October - December preceding 6-yr average total: 3.9 msf October - December 2008 total: 2.1 msf
2.0
MSF Leased
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Leasing Activity by Month – 6 Yr Avg 2002-2007 vs. 2Q09
Midtown South Office Market (64,504,640 SF)
76 76
16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0%
8.7%
Equilibrium 7-9%
6.7%
6.0% 4.0% 2.0%
2.0%
0.0% 1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Total
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2002
2003
Sublease
2004
2005
Direct
2006
2007
2008
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Overall Vacancy Rates
77 77
Midtown South Office Market
22% $54.09 $49.55
$50
$46.89
$45.65
$40
18% 16%
$40.55
$38.74
14%
$33.23
$20
$33.63 $31.34 $30.37
$29.37
$30
20%
12%
$25.73
10%
$20.23 $19.54 $19.10 $17.40 $16.99 $17.08 $16.65 $14.73
8% 6% 4%
$10
2%
Overall Asking Rent al Rat es
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Vacancy Rat e
2Q09
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
0% 1991
$0
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
$60
1990
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Historical Rental Rates vs. Overall Vacancy Rates
78 78
Midtown South Office Market
1
Period 2Q08: 2Q09:
# of Blocks 19 20
Available SF 2,810,397 3,459,353
1
2 9 5 1 7 1
7 1
1
4 1 2 1 0 2Q08
2Q09 3 Months
50,000-99,999 SF
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2Q08 6 Months
2Q09 12 Months
100,000-249,999 SF
2Q08
2Q09
24 Months
250,000 + SF
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
10
Number of Blocks
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Size Distribution of Available Space (Contiguous Blocks)
79 79
Midtown South Office Market
52.09%
0.00% 7.98%
39.93%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
1-9,999 sf 10,000-24,999 sf 25,000-49,999 sf 50,000-99,999 sf 100,000 + sf
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Leasing Activity by Block Size, Total SF Leased – 2Q09
80 80
Midtown South Office Market
Total MTS
Greenwich Madison / Hudson Sq. / Village / NoHo Union Square W. Village
SoHo
2nd QTR 2009
$49.55
$50.31
$55.71
$53.71
$46.41
$46.10
1st QTR 2009
$52.48
$54.04
$55.35
$57.01
$47.57
$50.65
2nd QTR 2008
$53.22
$57.44
$61.38
$61.59
$45.82
$51.26
$ Change over Prior QTR
($2.93)
($3.73)
$0.36
($3.30)
($1.16)
($4.55)
$ Change Year-over-Year
($3.67)
($7.13)
($5.67)
($7.88)
$0.59
($5.16)
Chelsea
1.3%
0.7% -2.4% -5.6%-6.9%
-5.8%
-6.9% -12.4%
Total MTS
SoHo
% Change over Prior QTR Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
-9.0%-10.1%
-12.8%
Greenwich Village / NoHo
Madison / Union Square
% Change Year-over-Year
Hudson Sq. / W. Village
Chelsea
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Average Asking Rent By Submarket
81 81
Midtown South Office Market Leasing Activity, 2Q08 vs. 2Q09 600
582.8
2Q09: 690.9 2Q08: 1,567.7 400
285.2 237.5 200 162.1
154.3 132.4 109.7
27.2 10.0 0 SoHo
Greenwich/NoHo
Madison/Union Sq. 2Q08
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2Q09
Hudson Sq./W. Village
Chelsea
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Total Leased
SF in Thousands
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
557.4
82 82
Midtown South Office Market
129,391
100,000
71,999
62,928 34,945
0 (37,304)
-100,000 (114,856)
-200,000 (204,101) (260,131)
-300,000 (349,602)
(367,638)
-400,000 SoHo
Greenwich/Noho
Madison/Union Square
2Q08 Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2Q09
Hudson Sq./W. Village
Chelsea
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Midtown South Total 2Q09: (726,948) 2Q08: (307,421)
200,000
Square Footage
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Comparative Direct Net Absorption
83 83
Downtown Office Market (87,657,973 SF)
20.0% 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0%
8.7%
Equilibrium 7-9%
6.4%
6.0% 4.0%
2.3%
2.0% 0.0% 1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001 Total
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2002
2003
Sublease
2004
2005 Direct
2006
2007
2008
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Overall Vacancy Rates
84 84
Downtown Historical Vacancy & Rental Rates
22% 20%
$50
$47.47 $47.86
16%
$39.45 $39.17
$40
18% $43.81
$43.41 $38.62
$36.92
14%
$34.40
$30
$29.45
$31.13 $28.01 $28.00
$26.45 $25.97
12%
$31.55 $30.89
$24.80 $25.27 $25.81
10% 8%
$20
6% 4%
$10
2%
Overall Asking Rental Rat es
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Vacancy Rat e
2Q09
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
0% 1991
$0 1990
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
$60
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Historical Rental Rates vs. Overall Vacancy Rates
85 85
Downtown Office Market
5
Period
# of Blocks
Available SF
2Q09:
33
6,944,360
2Q08:
41
9,173,647
15
3
2 1
1
10
14
1
2
4 1
10 10
5
3
8 6
1 2
0 2Q08
2Q09
2Q08 3 Months
50,000-99,999 SF
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
6 Months
2Q09 12 Months
100,000-249,999 SF
2Q08 24 Months
250,000 + SF
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
20
Number of Blocks
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Size Distribution of Available Space (Contiguous Blocks)
86 86
Downtown Office Market
1-9,999 sf 10,000-24,999 sf 25,000-49,999 sf 50,000-99,999 sf 100,000 + sf
35.44%
16.77%
22.59%
5.12%
20.08%
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Leasing Activity by Block Size, Total SF Leased – 2Q09
87 87
Downtown Office Market
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
60 60 6
50
7
44 40 17
30 5
20
47
12 9
10
3 2
0
0 0
1
2004
2005
$45 - $54.99
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
2
22 2 1
10
2006
6
2007
$55 - $59.99
2008
$60+
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Taking Rents of $45 and Above (Number of Deals)
88 88
Downtown Office Market Taking Rents of $45 and Above 2006
2007
2008
2Q09
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
# of Deals
Total SF
Avg. SF
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
885,766
52,104
6
273,107
45,518
2
198,611
99,306
2
135,789
67,895
2
219,734
109,867
5
217,087
43,417
7
96,373
13,768
1
22,000
22,000
1
35,023
35,023
12
499,247
41,604
22
810,756
36,853
47
629,934
13,403
6
59,430
9,905
3
170,812
56,937
14
718,981
51,356
44
1,913,609
43,491
60
999,414
16,657
9
280,041
31,116
$45 - $54.99
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
$55 - $59.99
$60 +
TOTALS
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
2005
89 89
Downtown Office Market
Total DT
City Hall
World Financial
Financial West
Financial East
Insurance
2nd QTR 2009
$43.81
$43.38
$51.11
$40.06
$41.91
$38.67
1st QTR 2009
$44.58
$43.52
$51.90
$41.55
$42.87
$40.16
2nd QTR 2008
$50.74
$49.88
$61.32
$42.56
$47.73
$43.58
$ Change over Prior QTR
($0.77)
($0.14)
($0.79)
($1.49)
($0.96)
($1.49)
$ Change Year-over-Year
($6.93)
($6.50)
($10.21)
($2.50)
($5.82)
($4.91)
-1.7%
-13.7%
-0.3%
-1.5%
-3.6% -5.9%
-2.2%
-12.2%
-13.0%
-3.7% -11.3%
-16.7%
Total DT
% Change over Prior QTR Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
City Hall
World Financial
% Change Year-over-Year
Financial West
Financial East
Insurance
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Average Asking Rent By Submarket
90 90
Downtown Office Market
992.6 939.5
2Q09: 1,402.9 2Q08: 2,476.7 800
646.8 600 470.5 400 343.1
200
179.4 93.5
110.3
81.8 22.2
0 City Hall
World Financial
Financial West
2Q08 Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
Financial East
2Q09
Insurance
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
Total Leased
1,000
SF in Thousands
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Leasing Activity, 2Q08 vs. 2Q09
ADDENDA: NY RESIDENTIAL
92 92
Manhattan Residential Overview
Manhattan Housing Inventory
Total Housing Units
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
814,227
819,796
840,443
843,349
839,134
Percentage of Ownership to Rental Inventory 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Total Owner Units
22.02%
21.99%
22.78%
22.09%
24.09%
Total Rental Units
77.98%
78.01%
77.22%
77.91%
75.91%
Inventory up 3% in past 5 years. Only 24% home ownership in Manhattan.
Source: US Census Bureau
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Housing Inventory
93 93
Manhattan Residential Overview
Residential Housing Breakdown* (Total # of Occupied Units 762,381)
Co nventio nal Ownership 0.68% 5,157 Units
Rental Residential Housing (Total # of Renter Units 579,657)
Rent Co ntro lled 3.60% 20,839 Units
Co ndo minium 5.31% 40,452 Units Co o perative 16.89% 128,798 Units
No n-Regulated 31.70% 183,727 Units
M itchell-Lama 1.10% 8,417 Units
P ublic-Ho using 10.53% 61,017 Units
Rental 76.02% 579,657 Units
Rental/Owned ratio inverse of US.
* Excludes vacant units not available for sale or rent Source: US Census Bureau
Stabilized 51.66% 299,469 Units
M itchell-Lama 2.52% 14,605 Units
Free market 32% of rental inventory; 52% stabilized.
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
2008 Residential Housing By Type
94 94
Manhattan Residential Overview
5% 4%
3.9%
3.5% 2.6%
3% 2%
0.9%
1%
0.6%
1.1%
1.4%
2007
2008
1.9%
0% 1996
1999
2002
2005
2006
Manhattan Vacancy Rate
Source: Citi Habitats
June 2009 Mean Manhattan Rental Prices Apartment Type
Doorman
Non-Doorman
Studio
$2,347
$1,996
One-Bedroom
$3,320
$2,617
Two-Bedroom
$5,148
$3,610
Source: The Real Estate Group New York
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Residential Rental Vacancy Rate, 1996 – 2Q09
95 95
Manhattan Residential Overview
$6,000 $5,148
$5,000 $4,000
$3,610 $3,320
$3,000
$2,617 $2,347
$2,000
$1,996
$1,000 $0 Studio
One-Bedroom
Doorman
Source: The Real Estate Group New York
Non-Doorman
Two-Bedroom
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Mean Manhattan Rental Prices, June 2009
96 96
Manhattan Residential Overview Mean Manhattan Rental Prices, Year-Over-Year Change
$6,000
-8.85%
-8.45%
-11.28% $4,069
$4,000
$2,859 $2,190
$3,610
$2,617
$1,996
$2,000 $0 Studio
One-Bedroom June-08
Two-Bedroom June-09
Manhattan Doorman Rents: March 2008 vs. March 2009
-11.16%
-12.30%
-9.68% $5,700
$6,000 $3,786
$4,000 $2,642
$5,148
$3,320
$2,347
$2,000 $0 Studio
One-Bedroom M arch-08
Source: The Real Estate Group New York
M arch-09
Two-Bedroom
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Manhattan Non-Doorman Rents: March 2008 vs. March 2009
97 97
Manhattan Residential Overview
1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Annualized 2009 sales volume of luxury units down 47% since 2008.
Note: Luxury market accounts for top 10% of all Condo and Co-Op Sales Source: Miller Samuel, Inc.
2Q09
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
Yearly Volume of Luxury Condominium and Co-Op Sales (1998 – 2Q09)
98 98
Manhattan Residential Overview Residential Unit Permits Issued by Borough
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
Manhattan Total Units
Brooklyn Total Units
Queens Total Units
Bronx Total Units
Brooklyn has outpaced Manhattan for new residential units in each of the prior six years to 2009. * Annualized based upon first five months of 2009. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
*Est. 2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
0
Staten Island Total Units
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
12,000
1980
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
14,000
99 99
New York Capital Markets Group
RICHARD BAXTER
JON CAPLAN
Executive Vice President (212) 841-5946
Executive Vice President (212) 841-5094
[email protected]
[email protected]
YORON COHEN
SCOTT LATHAM
Executive Vice President (212) 841-5947
Executive Vice President (212) 841-5064
[email protected]
[email protected]
Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. 51 West 52nd Street New York, NY 10019 (212) 841-7500 This report contains information available to the public and has been relied upon by Cushman & Wakefield on the basis that it is accurate and complete. Cushman & Wakefield accepts no responsibility if this should prove not to be the case. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. ©2009 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.
MARKET OVERVIEW - SECOND QUARTER 2009
NEW YORK CAPITAL MARKETS GROUP
July 21st, 2009