Consumerism
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Consumer Effect
SG-2 Technical Brief
Assumptions 1. The consumer effect is closely related to the economic effect. 2. Applies to discretionary DRGs/OPCs only 3. Grows over the decade by an SG-2 determined curve
Approach: 1. Convolute D's from economic analysis with the SG-2 Consumerism curve. 2. These are the new rates 3. Apply only to discretionary DRGs (non-Medicare fraction) or discretionary OPCs (total fraction)
Consumerism Curve Chart 12.
Fractional Impact
10.
8.
6.
4.
2.
. 2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Year
DRG
DRG Description
Discretionary DRG?
1.00 Craniotomy >17 X Trauma
N
1.10 Craniotomy >17 X Trauma
N
2.00 Craniotomy For Trauma >17 N 2.10 Craniotomy For Trauma >17 N 3.00 Craniotomy Age 0-17
N
3.10 Craniotomy Age 0-17
N
4.00 Spinal Proc
N
4.10 Spinal Proc
N
5.00 Extracranial Vascular Procs N 5.10 Extracranial Vascular Procs N 6.00 Carpal Tunnel Release
Y
6.10 Carpal Tunnel Release
Y The Impact of Change™
The Impact of Change™
Results:
Population / Consumerism "Wedge" NHDS National 2000 - 2010 SG-2 Forecast
250 Consumerism Population
200
150
100
50
0 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Consumerism Effect Detail 157,500 157,400 157,300 157,200 157,100 157,000 156,900 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
The Impact of Change™
Future Work: 1. How to integrate with the formal "Payment" series. 2. Reevuate our analysis 3. Localization?
The Impact of Change™
SG-2 Technical Brief
Assumptions 1. The consumer effect is closely related to the economic effect. 2. Applies to discretionary DRGs/OPCs only 3. Grows over the decade by an SG-2 determined curve
Approach: 1. Convolute D's from economic analysis with the SG-2 Consumerism curve. 2. These are the new rates 3. Apply only to discretionary DRGs (non-Medicare fraction) or discretionary OPCs (total fraction)
Consumerism Curve Chart 12.
Fractional Impact
10.
8.
6.
4.
2.
. 2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Year
DRG
DRG Description
Discretionary DRG?
1.00 Craniotomy >17 X Trauma
N
1.10 Craniotomy >17 X Trauma
N
2.00 Craniotomy For Trauma >17 N 2.10 Craniotomy For Trauma >17 N 3.00 Craniotomy Age 0-17
N
3.10 Craniotomy Age 0-17
N
4.00 Spinal Proc
N
4.10 Spinal Proc
N
5.00 Extracranial Vascular Procs N 5.10 Extracranial Vascular Procs N 6.00 Carpal Tunnel Release
Y
6.10 Carpal Tunnel Release
Y The Impact of Change™
The Impact of Change™
Results:
Population / Consumerism "Wedge" NHDS National 2000 - 2010 SG-2 Forecast
250 Consumerism Population
200
150
100
50
0 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Consumerism Effect Detail 157,500 157,400 157,300 157,200 157,100 157,000 156,900 2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
The Impact of Change™
Future Work: 1. How to integrate with the formal "Payment" series. 2. Reevuate our analysis 3. Localization?
The Impact of Change™
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