POLL NEW YORK CITY May 29 - June 3, 2009
Total N = 683 White N = 385 Black N = 184 Results are based on the total city-wide sample unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents. TRENDS ARE BASED ON NEW YORK TIMES POLLS EXCEPT: NEW YORK TIMES/CBS NEWS POLLS: OCT. 1998 - OCT. 2000, SEPT. 2006
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? 6/4-9/02 8/25-29/02 10/12-16/02 1/11-15/03 6/6-11/03 7/13-27/03 8/31-9/4/03 4/16-21/04 8/20-25/04 2/4-13/05 6/21-26/05 8/22-28/05 10/21-26/05 8/23-27/06 6/6-11/08 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Approve 48 47 47 31 24 25 32 38 40 43 50 59 67 63 67 60 64 53
Disapprove 26 31 41 53 65 67 57 46 49 45 35 31 23 22 28 34 32 39
DK/NA 26 22 12 16 11 8 11 16 11 12 15 11 10 15 5 6 5 7
1
13. How would you rate the condition of the New York City economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad?
9/29-10/3/93 3/1-6/97 8/5-12/01* 10/6-9/01* 10/27-11/1/01* 6/4-9/02 1/11-15/03 6/4-11/03 4/16-21/04 8/20-25/04 2/4-13/05 6/21-26/05 8/22-28/05 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Very good 2 6 12 5 4 4 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 2 2 4
Fairly good 30 53 66 55 54 46 28 22 43 44 51 51 55 34 29 42
Fairly bad 40 25 13 27 30 34 42 43 33 32 27 28 25 38 47 26
Very bad 25 12 5 8 9 12 24 30 19 19 17 14 13 25 21 28
DK/NA 3 4 4 5 2 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 4 1 1
14. Compared to a year ago, do you think New York City's economy is getting better, getting worse, or is it staying about the same? 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Better 12 7 17
Worse 53 59 48
Same 35 33 35
DK/NA 1 1
17. Do you think what you are currently paying for housing is more than you can afford, about as much as you can afford, or could you afford more if you wanted?
2/4-13/05 6/6-11/08 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
More than can afford 32 35 39 31 43
As much as can afford 50 53 47 51 51
Could afford more 14 10 9 13 1
Not paying for housing 2 1 3 3 2
DK/NA 2 1 1 1 2
20. Is your opinion of Michael Bloomberg favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Michael Bloomberg yet to have an opinion? Favorable 8/5-12/01* 26 10/6-9/01* 26 10/27-11/1/01* 37 6/4-9/02* 39 1/11-15/03 26 8/31-9/4/03 21 4/16-21/04 28 8/20-25/04 28 2/4-13/05* 41 6/21-26/05* 48 8/22-28/05* 50 10/21-26/05* 52 6/6-11/08* 56 5/29-6/3/09 48 White 55 Black 38
Not favorable Undecided 16 26 16 27 15 30 13 18 30 28 39 28 33 23 34 24 34 22 33 17 28 19 23 21 23 13 19 26 24 18 33 23
2
Haven't heard enough 31 29 17 30 15 9 13 13 2 1 2 2 7 5 3 5
Refused 1 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 2 1 1
25. Is your opinion of Archbishop Timothy Dolan favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Archbishop Dolan yet to have an opinion? ASKED IN NEW YORK ARCHDIOCESE ONLY N = 386 Favorable 5/29-6/3/09 20 Catholics 35
Not favorable 6 2
Undecided 16 16
DK enough 56 46
Refused 3 1
Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the election district where you now live, or aren't you? 5/29-6/3/09
Yes 83
No 16
DK/NA -
38. Do you feel things in New York City are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? 10/21-26/05 6/6-11/08 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Right direction 63 37 40 42 37
Wrong track 28 56 51 49 53
DK/NA 8 7 9 9 9
39. Regardless of your overall opinion of Michael Bloomberg, what s the BEST thing he has done since he became mayor? 4/16- 2/4- 6/21- 10/216/65/2921/04 13/05 26/05 26/05* 11/08 6/2/09 Controls spending/handling of finances 6 8 4 5 5 6 Handles government like a business 1 1 1 3 5 4 Social promotion change/Board of Ed 2 1 1 Smoking law 4 3 2 2 1 2 Taxes 1 6 1 3 2 2 Jobs/unemployment 1 2 1 4 1 2 Dealings with the NYPD 2 2 2 1 1 1 Crime/safety 3 3 10 13 5 8 1 2 2 Transportation 1 2 World Trade Center/9-11 1 1 3 3 2 Education 14 7 17 19 5 8 General quality of life 1 3 1 3 4 2 Starting the 311 system 1 1 3 2 2 Rent/Affordable housing 1 4 1 Improved city 3 2 Building services/cranes Congestion pricing 2 Nice guy/pleasant to people 2 1 Everything 1 Nothing 7 4 5 3 4 3 Other 4 6 2 5 10 18 DK/NA 48 49 39 26 42 37
3
40. Regardless of your overall opinion of Michael Bloomberg, what s the WORST thing he has done since he became mayor? 4/16- 2/46/21- 10/216/65/2921/04 13/05 26/05 26/05* 11/08 6/2/09 Handling of finances 3 3 1 1 4 1 Social promotion change/Board of Ed 2 1 1 Smoking law 9 3 2 3 1 1 Taxes 9 7 8 6 7 9 Jobs/unemployment 2 3 5 5 2 Dealings with the NYPD 2 1 1 2 3 2 Crime/safety 1 3 1 Transportation 3 6 3 1 3 3 World Trade Center/9-11 1 1 Ticket blitz/ticketing in general 4 2 3 3 2 1 Education 9 7 8 6 4 5 Dealings with the FDNY 4 3 2 3 1 General quality of life 1 1 1 1 Welfare/poor 2 2 1 1 1 Rent/Affordable housing 1 2 2 3 3 1 New stadiums 1 7 13 7 2 The middle class 1 1 1 1 Congestion pricing 4 2 Building services/crane problems 3 1 Term limit change 11 Nothing 2 1 3 2 3 1 Other 5 8 7 7 5 13 DK/NA 39 40 35 44 50 42
4
41. Looking ahead about four years, if it were entirely up to you, would you want to be living where you are now, or would you want to be living somewhere else in New York City, or outside the city? Living where now 44 42 55 47 40 38 42 40 43 40 41 47 46 44 58
4/27-5/3/85 8/5-12/01 10/6-9/01 6/4-9/02 8/25-29/02 1/11-15/03 6/6-11/03 8/31-9/4/03 4/16-21/04 8/20-25/04 2/4-13/05 6/21-26/05 8/22-28/05 6/6-11/08 5/29-6/3/09
Elsewhere in in NYC 15 21 12 16 17 17 13 11 14 12 16 14 14 16 9
Outside NYC 40 35 31 34 42 42 42 47 41 47 41 38 38 39 29
DK/NA 1 3 2 3 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 4
Varied wording: Looking ahead about four years, if it was entirely up to you, would you want to be living in New York City, or would you want to be living somewhere else? In NYC 48 54 38 37 49 62 67 63 57 55 55 51 57 52 57 60 60 60
12/7-14/81 1/5-10/85 6/17-20/90 11/2-12/91 3/1-6/97 8/5-12/01 10/6-9/01 6/4-9/02 8/25-29/02 1/11-15/03 6/6-11/03 8/31-9/4/03 4/16-21/04 8/20-25/04 2/4-13/05 6/21-26/05 8/22-28/05 6/6-11/08
IF OUTSIDE NYC, ASK:
Too expensive Taxes too high Too noisy Want more space Not safe Want more land Better jobs Better weather Quality of life Other DK/NA
Somewhere else 48 42 59 60 47 35 31 16 43 42 42 47 41 47 41 38 38 39
DK/NA 4 4 3 3 4 3 2 3 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1
What's the main reason you want to leave New York City? 5/29-6/3/09 9 2 1 2 1 3 2 8 4
42. Do you think Michael Bloomberg has performed his job as Mayor well enough to deserve re-election, OR do you think it's time to give a new person a chance? 4/16-21/04 8/20-25/04 6/21-26/05* 8/22-28/05* 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Deserves re-election 27 27 48 52 40 49 28
Time for new person 64 67 44 44 55 48 66 5
DK/NA 9 7 7 5 5 3 6
43. Do you think the New York City economy is something a Mayor can do a lot about, or is that beyond a Mayor's control? 1/11-15/03 6/4-11/03 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Mayor can 53 58 59 60 57
Beyond control 32 27 29 27 35
Some, not a lot 11 7 8 9 6
DK/NA 4 9 3 4 2
44. How satisfied are you with the way city officials having been managing the response to the H1N1 or swine flu outbreak? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not too satisfied, or not at all satisfied? 5/29-6/3/09
Very 27
Somewhat 43
Not too 18
Not at all 8
DK/NA 5
45. How satisfied are you with the information city officials have been providing about the H1N1 or swine flu outbreak? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, not too satisfied, or not at all satisfied? 5/29-6/3/09
Very 36
Somewhat 37
Not too 18
Not at all 7
DK/NA 2
46. How concerned are you that you or someone in your household could get the H1N1 or swine flu — very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned, or not at all concerned? 5/29-6/3/09
Very 34
Somewhat 29
Not too 21
Not at all 15
DK/NA 1
48. The city's term-limits laws, which went into effect eight years ago, restrict city officials, including the mayor and members of the city council to eight years in office. Some people say term limits are a GOOD idea that keep public officials from staying in office too long and losing touch with the concerns of average voters. Others say term limits are a BAD idea that put inexperienced people in office and prevent voters from reelecting capable legislators. What do you think? Are term limits a good idea, or a bad idea? Good idea Bad idea DK/NA 63 30 7 4/16-21/041 6/6-11/082 67 27 6 5/29-6/3/09 72 22 6 White 68 26 6 Black 83 13 4 1 Question read: 2 Question read:
The city's term-limits laws, which went into effect three years ago . . . The city's term-limits laws, which went into effect seven years ago . . .
49. As you may know, last fall, the City Council extended term limits from two terms to three terms for New York City elected officials. Do you approve or disapprove of this extension of term limits? 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Approve 37 39 34
Disapprove 58 58 62
DK/NA 5 4 4
6
50. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied? Satisfied Not satisfied DK/NA 5/10-14/93 14 72 13 9/29-10/3/93 13 73 14 6/12-15/94 20 71 12 3/1-6/97 21 67 13 10/13-18/97* 13 76 11 8/5-12/01* 15 73 12 10/27-11/01* 22 61 17 6/4-9/02 20 68 12 1/11-15/03 20 66 14 4/16-21/04 16 72 12 2/4-13/05* 16 68 15 6/21-26/05 24 64 12 8/22-24/05 28 59 13 10/21-26/05 30 55 15 5/29-6/3/09 31 54 15 White 28 51 21 Black 32 61 7 51. Is your opinion of Bill Thompson favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Bill Thompson yet to have an opinion? Not Haven't Favorable favorable Undecided heard enough Refused 6/6-11/08 12 6 16 64 2 5/29-6/3/09 13 2 13 72 1 White 9 4 13 73 Black 20 1 15 64 1 53. Do candidates who use their own money to pay for their election campaigns bother you or not? IF YES, ASK: Does it bother you a lot, some, just a little, or not at all? 8/5-12/01* 10/27-11/1/01* 10/21-26/05* 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Lot 11 13 16 13 15 11
Some 9 7 9 10 11 5
A little 4 5 4 4 4 6
Not at all 75 75 69 71 69 75
DK/NA 1 1 2 2 1 4
54. How much do you think Michael Bloomberg cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself — a lot, some, not much, or not at all? 7/13-27/03 4/16-21/04 2/4-13/05* 10/21-26/05* 6/6-11/08 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
A lot 10 11 15 21 25 24 26 21
Some 26 32 35 43 42 38 37 37
Not much 27 30 28 21 18 23 24 23
Not at all 32 24 19 12 12 13 13 14
DK/NA 6 3 3 3 2 2 5
55. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Mayor Bloomberg pays too much attention to Manhattan and not enough to the other boroughs. 12/7-14/811 6/6-11/03 6/21-26/05* 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Agree 54 62 67 57 52 61
Disagree 36 28 24 35 41 32
DK/NA 10 10 9 7 8 7
1 Question read: “Now I’m going to read you a few statements and for each one I’d like you to tell me whether 7
you agree or disagree.
Mayor Koch . . .”
56. Since Michael Bloomberg became Mayor, do you think the overall quality of life in New York City has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same? 2/4-13/05* 6/21-26/05* 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Better 23 27 37 38 36
Worse 23 16 17 17 18
Same 53 54 42 41 42
DK/NA 2 3 4 4 4
57. Since Michael Bloomberg became Mayor, do you think crime in New York City has increased, decreased or stayed about the same? 2/4-13/05* 6/21-25/05* 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Increased 17 13 13 12 12
Decreased 35 39 36 33 37
Same 45 46 48 51 45
DK/NA 3 3 3 4 5
58. Since Michael Bloomberg became Mayor, have your city taxes gone up, gone down or stayed about the same? 2/4-13/05* 6/21-26/05* 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Gone up 54 55 58 61 56
Gone down 2 2 4 4 6
Same 35 33 29 27 28
DK/NA 9 10 9 8 9
59. Since Michael Bloomberg became Mayor, do you think subway and bus service has gotten better, gotten worse or stayed about the same? 2/4-13/05* 6/21-26/05* 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Better 6 13 16 18 14
Worse 44 35 41 35 47
Same 41 45 37 40 33
DK/NA 9 7 6 7 7
60. Since Michael Bloomberg became Mayor, do you think the amount of affordable housing has increased, decreased, or stayed about the same?
6/21-26/05* 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
Increased 27 26 17 37
Decreased 45 38 43 35
Same 22 26 25 22
DK/NA 6 11 14 6
61. How much confidence do you have in Michael Bloomberg's ability to bring new jobs to New York City — a lot, some, not much or none at all? 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
A lot 20 21 18
Some 44 46 42
Not much 22 24 19
None 11 9 15
DK/NA 2 7
62. Do you happen to know if Michael Bloomberg is a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or something else? 5/29-6/3/09 White
Democrat 9 9
Republican 27 23
Independent 32 36 8
Something else 7 9
DK/NA 25 22
Black
7
31
34
6
23
63. Michael Bloomberg may spend $80 million or more of his own money on his campaign this year. Does the fact that he is spending so much make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, doesn't it make much difference either way? 5/29-6/3/09 White Black
More likely 6 5 6
Less likely 24 25 26
No difference 69 69 68
DK/NA 1 1
67. How would you rate the financial situation in your household these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad? 5/29-6/3/09
Very good 8
Fairly good 56
Fairly bad 20
Very bad 14
DK/NA 1
68. In the last year, would you say the financial situation in your household has gotten better, gotten worse, or has it stayed about the same? IF STAYED SAME, ASK: Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with that? 6/6-11/03 5/29-6/3/09
Better 11 12
Worse 39 39
Same, satisfied 25 28
Same, dissatisfied 24 20
DK/NA 1 1
69. Think about your household income, would you say that it is more than enough to pay your bills and obligations, just enough to pay your bills and obligations, or is it not enough to pay your bills and obligations? 5/29-6/3/09
More than enough 13
Just enough to pay bills 59
Not enough to pay bills 27
DK/NA 1
70. Are you currently employed, or are you temporarily out of work but wanting to work, or are you not in the market for work at all? IF EMPLOYED, ASK: Are you self employed or do you work for someone else? IF NOT IN MARKET FOR WORK, ASK: Are you currently retired, or not? 5/29-6/3/09 Employed, work for someone else 43 Employed, self employed 5 Temporarily out of work 17 Not in the market for work 14 Retired 19 DK/NA 1 71. (IF NOT EMPLOYED AND WORKING FOR SOMEONE ELSE) Did you lose a job in the past 12 months? 5/29-6/3/09
Yes 8
No 92
72. (IF EMPLOYED AND WORKING FOR SOMEONE ELSE OR IF TEMPORARILY OUT OF WORK) In the past 12 months, have there been layoffs at your place of work? 5/29-6/3/09
Yes 53
No 44
DK/NA 3
73. How concerned are you that in the next 12 months you or someone else in your household might be out of work and looking for a job — very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not concerned at all? 9
5/29-6/3/09
Very 38
Somewhat 24
Not at all 35
10
DK/NA 2
79. How concerned are you about not having enough money for retirement —- very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned? Very concerned 53
5/29-6/3/09
Somewhat concerned 27
Not at all concerned 18
DK/NA 1
80. In the last 12 months, was any adult in your household out of work and actively looking for a job? IF YES, ASK: Did this unemployment have a serious effect on the family's standard of living, or not so serious an effect?
5/29-6/3/09
Unemployment, serious effect 22
Unemployment not serious effect 13
No unemployment 62
DK/NA 3
90. These last few questions are for background only. Are you or any other member of your household - that is, any other adult living in your home or apartment - a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is that person you or someone else?
5/29-6/3/09
Yes, respondent or respondent & else 23
Yes, someone else 7
No 69
DK/NA 1
91. Do you or does any other member of your household work for the City of New York? IF YES, ASK: Is that person you or someone else?
5/29-6/3/09
Yes, respondent or respondent & else 12
Yes, someone else 9
No 79
DK/NA -
Are you the parent or guardian of a child under 18 that lives with you? 5/29-6/3/09
Yes 31
No 69
92. IF PARENT, ASK: Are your children currently enrolled in public school, or private school or parochial school? Public Not Public Private Parochial & other School age Other 5/29-6/3/09 53 18 9 2 16 1 Are you now married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? 5/29-6/3/09
Married 41
Widowed 9
Divorced 10
Separated 5
Never married 35
DK/NA 1
Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? 5/29-6/3/09
Republican 11
Democrat 60
Independent 21
Other 21
DK/NA 5
How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? 5/29-6/3/09
Liberal 34
Moderate 37
Conservative 22
11
DK/NA 7
What is your religious preference today? 5/29-6/3/09
Protestant 30
Catholic 36
Jewish 8
Muslim 2
Other 5
None 16
DK/NA 4
What was the last grade in school you completed? Not a H.S. grad 7
5/29-6/3/09
H.S. grad 35
Some College college grad Post grad 29 15 13
Refused 1
How old are you? 18-29 21
5/29-6/3/09
30-44 25
45-64 33
Over 64 19
Refused 2
Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, or not? 5/29-6/3/09
Hispanic 19
Not Hispanic 77
Interviewed in Spanish 3
DK/NA 1
Are you white, black, or some other race? 5/29-6/3/09
White 48
Black 31
Asian 4
Other 14
Refused 3
Was your total family income, that is your household income before taxes, in 2008 UNDER or OVER $50,000?? IF UNDER, ASK: Was it under $15,000, or between $15,000 and $30,000, or over $30,000? IF OVER, ASK: Was it between $50,000 and $75,000, or between $75,000 and $100,000 or was it over $100,000?
5/29-6/3/09
Under $15,000 10
$15,000$29,999 18
$30,000$49,999 19
$50,000- $75,000$74,999 $100,000 18 12
Gender 5/29-6/3/09
Male 45
Female 55
12
Over $100,000 Refused 15 9