Power Generation Industry Risk Management Forum October 24 – 26, 2007 Doral Resort and Spa Miami, Florida, USA
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement
Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle Power Generation Technology Sustainability
Forum Opportunities for Success Organizational & Policy Issues
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement Forum
IGCC = Sustainable Carlo Wolters Plant Manager IGCC Buggenum Power Plant Nuon
Working Draft
Last Modified 10/18/2006 4:47:40 PM W. Europe Standard Time Printed 16-10-2006 13:34:41 W. Europe Standard Time
CONFIDENTIAL
IGCC = Sustainable
Carlo Wolters, Document Plant Manager, Buggenum IGCC Plant Date October 26th FM Global Miami FL
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Unit of measure
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Bron:
Footnote Bron *
What is IGCC? Unit of measure Coal preparation
The Process Gasification (syngas production)
Syngas cleaning solids, sulphur
Syngas treatment
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Air Separation Fuel feeding
* Bron:
Footnote Bron
Rest Products
Power production
Unit of measure
Gasification: Status electricity production
Project/ Location
GE 7 F
Nuon Netherlands
Siemens V 94.2
ELCOGAS Puertollano Spain
Siemens V 94.3
Footnote Bron
E gas
Start-Up Date
262
Oct 1995
250
Sept 1996
253
Jan 1994
310
Dec 1997
(Now Conoco Phillips)
Tampa Electric, FL
* Bron:
GE 7 FA
Net Output MW
Texaco (Now GE Energy)
Shell (Now offered jointly with Krupp Uhde as Shell)
Prenflo (Now joint with Shell)
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Wabash River, IN
Combustion Gasification Turbine Technology
What is sustainability? Unit of measure • environment friendly
• Relatively low (slide)
• Green house gas
• CO2 capture ready
• Rest products
• Useable products
• Fuel flexibility
• Multi-fuel concept
• Scenario robust
• Solid business case
• Plant utilization
• Continuous improvement
• Costs
• Competitive
• socially accepted • External Safety • Environment • Reputation
Bron:
• economical
Footnote Bron
• socially accepted • Safety management
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• Emissions
• economical
*
• environment friendly
What is sustainability?
Emissions
Unit of measure
* Bron:
Footnote Bron
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Potential reduction to approx 30% when CO2 capture
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Bron:
Footnote Bron *
Rest products What is sustainability? Unit of measure
What is sustainability?
Fuel flexibility
Unit of measure Specs Moisture S Cl Ash
< 15% 0.4-1.5% 0-0.15% 7-15%
coal secondary fuels biomass
usable by products
energy
emissions
green energy
waste Salt 350 ton/year Sludge 50 ton/year
fluxes * Bron:
Footnote Bron
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Al2O3 / SiO2 0.3-0.55 Fe2O3 3-15%Ash Volatiles 15-35%
Wood Agro residues Sewage sludge
What is sustainability? Unit of measure • Scenario robust: Regulatory Market Technology
• Prices forecast 2008
2009
2010
Coal €/MWh
22
22
21
NGas €/MWh
75
77
77
Power €/MWh
59
59
57
• Availability improvement Buggenum
• Investment, NPV • Investment (cost $/kW, eff HHV)
IGCC USC * Bron:
Footnote Bron
w/o ccs
eff
w ccs
Eff
1977 1549
41,1 39,1
2668 2895
32,0 27,2
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• Plant utilization Operating hoursMaximum output Reducing overhaul
Economical
What is sustainability?
Scenario Robust
Unit of measure Profitability of a Concept based on IGCC in a Number of Scenario’s (“worlds”) Solid business case IGCC vs. alternatives
CCGT USC
* Bron:
Footnote Bron
World 9
World 8
World 7
World 6
World 5
World 4
World 3
World 2
World 1
NPV (mln €)
USC+CCGT
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Profitability of IGCC in different worlds (worlds can be e.g. CO2 free, monopolistic, limited gas availability, micro-generation, etc) is guaranteed by the versatility of IGCC:
IGCC
What is sustainability?
Socially accepted
Unit of measure Worse case events can harm (external) safety, environment, reputation • Explosion • Operating outside permits • Wrong fuel
How to minimize risk • Awareness • Safety management • Preventative actions
* Bron:
Footnote Bron
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• Poisoning
UnitConclusion: of measure
IGCC = sustainable!
Socially accepted Profitable
And this leads to ….. * Bron:
Footnote Bron
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Environment
Today's Plan of the future: Nuon Magnum Unit of measure
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Bron:
Footnote Bron *
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement
Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle Power Generation Technology Sustainability
Forum Opportunities for Success Organizational & Policy Issues
IGCC Opportunities for Success •Integrated Technology •Risk Management
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Opportunities for Success •Integrated Technology •Risk Management
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Integrated Technology •Benefits •Environmental •Economic •Technological •National Security
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Integrated Technology “many electricity producers in the industrial world recognize that environmental concerns will at some point force them to implement CCS if they are to continue to employ coal..”
SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN September 2006, p. 73
Studies suggest that for comparable levels of installed capacity the largest cost reductions regarding CCS will be seen for IGCC plants.
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Integrated Technology •Challenges •Higher capital costs than other power plants •Doubts about plant viability without subsidies •Increased up-front development costs/ risks •Low plant availability in the early stages
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Integrated Technology •Challenges (continued) •The uncertainty of environmental regulations •Past technological failures of IGCC •Availability of project finance •Lack of overall performance guarantees •Uncertainty of tax credits.
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Integrated Technology •Challenges Classification •Legal/Regulatory •Environmental •Financial •Economic •Cultural •Technological.
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Opportunities for Success •Integrated Technology •Risk Management
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Risk Management •Integrated Technology Design and Construction •Special Hazards •Organizational Structure Culture •Carbon Sequestration Policy Issues
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Risk Management •Integrated Technology Design and Construction •Special Hazards •Organizational Structure Culture •Carbon Sequestration Policy Issues
2007 Risk Management
2007 Risk Management
2007 Risk Management
2007 Risk Management
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Organizational and Policy Issues •Integrated Technology Design and Construction •Special Hazards •Organizational Structure Culture •Carbon Sequestration Policy Issues
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Organizational Structure Issues •Organizational Culture •Operator Skills •Process Safety Management •Labor Shortage
2007 Risk Management
IGCC Organizational and Policy Issues •Integrated Technology Design and Construction •Special Hazards •Organizational Structure Issues •Carbon Sequestration Policy Issues
2007 Risk Management
Carbon Sequestration Policy Issues
2007 Risk Management
Key Issues • CO2 Pipeline Requirements for CCS • Economic Regulation • Commodity vs. Pollutant Classification • Pipeline Costs • CO2 Pipeline Safety • Other Issues.
2007 Risk Management
USA CO2 Pipeline Network
2007 Risk Management
Source: U.S. Dept. of Transportation, National Pipeline Mapping System (June 2005). https://www.npms.phmsa.dot.gov]
CO2 Pipeline Requirements for CCS Prospective CCS areas in sedimentary basins: saline formations, oil or gas fields, coal beds
2007 Risk Management
Power Generation Industry Risk Management Forum October 24 – 26, 2007 Doral Resort and Spa Miami, Florida, USA
Back up Slides
2007 Risk Management
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement
Economic Regulation
•Rate Regulation –CO2 a valuable commercial commodity (e.g., for EOR) or an industrial pollutant for disposal? –Who has regulatory authority over CO2 pipelines –How and when are rates established?
Forum
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement Forum
Economic Regulation •CO2 Pipeline Siting Authority –Federal or State Jurisdiction –Easement rights, rights of way –Public opposition
“In sum, it seems probable that the siting of critical infrastructure will continue to present a major challenge for policymakers.” Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Pipelines for Carbon Sequestration: Emerging Policy Issues April 19, 2007. Paul W. Parfomak, et al
2007 Power Is CO2 a Commodity or a Pollutant? Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement •EPA classification Forum
•EOR Commodity
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement
Pipeline Costs
Forum
U.S. Prices for Large-Diameter Steel Pipe
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement Forum
Costs for onshore pipelines and offshore pipelines as a function of the CO2 mass flow rate
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement Forum
Costs for onshore pipelines, offshore pipelines and ship transport
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement Forum
CO2 Pipeline Safety
•CO2 Properties •Loss Scenarios •Exposures •Criminal & Civil Liabilities
Cap-&-Trade and Carbon Tax Legislation
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk •Carbon Trade Manag ement •Carbon Tax Forum
•Clean Coal Technologies •Carbon Sequestration
2007 Power Gen Industr y Risk Manag ement Forum
Cap-&-Trade and Carbon Tax Legislation •Clean Air/Climate Change Act of 2007 (S.1168) •Clean Air Planning Act of 2007 (S. 1177) •Climate Stewardship Innovation Act 2007 (S. 280, H.R.620) •Electric Utility Cap and Trade Act of 2007 (S.317) •Global Warming Pollution Reduction Act (S.309) •Global Warming Reduction Act (S. 485) •Low Carbon Economy Act (S.1766) •Safe Climate Act of 2007 (H.R.1590) •Save Our Climate Act of 2007 (H.R. 2069)