Agree/disagree with E&E’s projections? E-mail
[email protected]
www.eedaily.com TALLY (AS OF JUNE 26, 2009):.............YES (185)......................... FENCE SITTERS (75)........................NO (174)
RACE TO 218: HOUSE CLIMATE BILL E&E Daily analyzed the positions of the 434 House lawmakers expected to debate a comprehensive climate bill this summer. Projections are for final passage of H.R. 2454, American Clean Energy and Security Act. Positions outlined here are based on interviews with congressmen, plus dozens of Democratic and Republican sources, industry and environmental groups. It also factors in sponsorships of previous cap-and-trade bills, signature on Democratic leadership’s 2008 global warming principles and a 2007 House floor vote on climate change. E&E will update this breakdown as the debate unfolds.
FENCE SITTERS (75) NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC REGION (21)
MIDWEST REGION (24)
DE – Castle, Michael N. (At Large)
KS – Moore, Dennis (3rd) +
MO – Skelton, Ike (4th)
IL – Bean, Melissa L. (8th) + IL – Kirk, Mark Steven (10th) IL – Foster, Bill (14th) IL – Johnson, Timothy V. (15th)
OH – Driehaus, Steve (1st) OH – Turner, Michael R. (3rd) OH – Austria, Steve (7th) OH – Fudge, Marcia (11th) OH – LaTourette, Steven C. (14th) OH – Boccieri, John (16th) OH – Kaptur, Marcy (9th)
MD – Kratovil, Frank (1st) + MD – Ruppersberger, C. A. Dutch (2nd) MD – Bartlett, Roscoe G. (6th)
NY – McHugh, John M. (23rd) NY – Maffei, Dan (25th) NY – Massa, Eric (29th)
NJ – LoBiondo, Frank A. (2nd) NJ – Adler, John (3rd) NJ – Lance, Leonard (7th) NJ – Frelinghuysen, Rodney P. (11th)
PA – Dahlkemper, Kathy (3rd) PA – Gerlach, Jim (6th) PA – Carney, Christopher P. (10th) + PA – Kanjorski, Paul E. (11th) PA – Dent, Charles W. (15th) PA – Platts, Todd Russell (19th)
NY – McMahon, Michael (13th) NY – Murphy, Scott (20th)
VA – Nye, Glenn (2nd) + VA – Wolf, Frank R. (10th)
IN – Visclosky, Peter J. (1st) + IN – Donnelly, Joe (2nd) + IN – Ellsworth, Brad (8th) + MI – Ehlers, Vernon J. (3rd) MI – Schauer, Mark (7th) MI – Peters, Gary (9th) MI – Kilpatrick, Carolyn C. (13th)
SD – Herseth Sandlin, Stephanie (At Large) + WI – Kind, Ron (3rd) WI – Petri, Thomas E. (6th)
MN – Paulsen, Erik (3rd)
SOUTH REGION (21) AL – Griffith, Parker (5th) + AR – Snyder, Vic (2nd) FL – Grayson, Alan (8th) FL – Buchanan, Vern (13th) GA – Bishop, Sanford D. Jr. (2nd) + GA – Marshall, Jim (8th) + GA – Scott, David (13th) + LA – Cao, Anh (2nd) MS – Childers, Travis W. (1st) +
LEGEND:
NC – Ethridge, Bob (2nd) NC – McIntyre, Mike (7th) + NC – Kissell, Larry (8th) + NC – Shuler, Heath (11th) + TN – Davis, Lincoln (4th) + TN – Tanner, John S. (8th) + TX – Hinojosa, Rubén (15th) TX – Reyes, Silvestre (16th) TX – Edwards, Chet (17th) TX – Rodriguez, Ciro D. (23rd) TX – Ortiz, Solomon P. (27th) TX – Cuellar, Henry (28th) +
WEST REGION (9) AZ – Kirkpatrick, Ann (1st) AZ – Mitchell, Harry E. (5th) +
OR – DeFazio, Peter A. (4th) OR – Schrader, Kurt (5th)
CA – Costa, Jim (20th) + CA – Baca, Joe (43rd) +
WA – Reichert, David G. (8th)
CO – Salazar, John T. (3rd) + CO – Markey, Betsey (4th)
Red: Republican | Blue: Democrat | Italics: Members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee ** Running for higher office | # Retiring | + Members of the Blue Dog Democratic Coalition | Bold: Won 2008 race by less than 60% | Underline: Freshman
Agree/disagree with E&E’s projections? E-mail
[email protected]
www.eedaily.com YES (185)
AZ – Pastor, Ed (4th) AZ – Grijalva, Raúl M. (7th) AZ – Giffords, Gabrielle (8th) + CA – Thompson, Mike (1st) + CA – Matsui, Doris O. (5th) CA – Woolsey, Lynn C. (6th) CA – Miller, George (7th) CA – Pelosi, Nancy (8th) CA – Lee, Barbara (9th) CA – Tauscher, Ellen O. (10th) CA – McNerney, Jerry (11th) CA – Speier, Jackie (12th) CA – Stark, Fortney Pete (13th) CA – Eshoo, Anna G. (14th) CA – Honda, Michael M. (15th) CA – Lofgren, Zoe (16th) CA – Farr, Sam (17th) CA – Cardoza, Dennis A. (18th) + CA – Capps, Lois (23rd) CA – Sherman, Brad (27th) CA – Berman, Howard L. (28th) CA – Schiff, Adam B. (29th) + CA – Waxman, Henry A. (30th) CA – Becerra, Xavier (31st) CA – Watson, Diane E. (33rd) CA – Roybal-Allard, Lucille (34th) CA – Waters, Maxine (35th) CA – Harman, Jane (36th) + CA – Richardson, Laura (37th) CA – Napolitano, Grace F. (38th) CA – Sánchez, Linda T. (39th) CA – Bono Mack, Mary (45th) CA – Sanchez, Loretta (47th) + CA – Filner, Bob (51st) CA – Davis, Susan A. (53rd) CO – DeGette, Diana (1st) CO – Polis, Jared (2nd) CO – Perlmutter, Ed (7th) CT – Larson, John B. (1st) CT – Courtney, Joe (2nd) CT – DeLauro, Rosa L. (3rd) CT – Himes, Jim (4th) CT – Murphy, Christopher S. (5th) FL – Boyd, Allen (2nd) + FL – Brown, Corrine (3rd) FL – Castor, Kathy (11th)
FL – Meek, Kendrick B. (17th) ** FL – Wexler, Robert (19th) FL – Wasserman Schultz, Debbie (20th) FL – Klein, Ron (22nd) FL – Hastings, Alcee L. (23rd) FL – Kosmas, Suzanne (24th) GA – Johnson, Henry C. Jr. (4th) GA – Lewis, John (5th) HI – Abercrombie, Neil (1st) HI – Hirono, Mazie K. (2nd) IA – Braley, Bruce L. (1st) IA – Loebsack, David (2nd) IA – Boswell, Leonard L. (3rd) + IL – Rush, Bobby L. (1st) IL – Jackson, Jesse L. Jr. (2nd) IL – Lipinski, Daniel (3rd) IL – Gutierrez, Luis V. (4th) IL – Mike Quigley (5th) IL – Davis, Danny K. (7th) IL – Schakowsky, Janice D. (9th) IL – Halvorson, Debbie (11th) PA – Murtha, John P. (12th) IL – Hare, Phil (17th) IN – Carson, André (7th) IN – Hill, Baron P. (9th) + KY – Yarmuth, John A. (3rd) KY – Chandler, Ben (6th) + MA – Olver, John W. (1st) MA – Neal, Richard E. (2nd) MA – McGovern, James P. (3rd) MA – Frank, Barney (4th) MA – Tsongas, Niki (5th) MA – Tierney, John F. (6th) MA – Markey, Edward J. (7th) MA – Capuano, Michael E. (8th) MA – Lynch, Stephen F. (9th) MA – Delahunt, William D. (10th) MD – Sarbanes, John P. (3rd) MD – Edwards, Donna F. (4th) MD – Hoyer, Steny H. (5th) MD – Cummings, Elijah E. (7th) MD – Van Hollen, Chris (8th) ME – Pingree, Chillee (1st) ME – Michaud, Michael H. (2nd) + MI – Stupak, Bart (1st) MI – Kildee, Dale E. (5th)
AK – Young, Don (At Large) AL – Bonner, Jo (1st) AL – Bright, Bobby (2nd) + AL – Rogers, Mike (3rd) AL – Aderholt, Robert B. (4th) AL – Bachus, Spencer (6th) AL – Davis, Artur (7th) ** AR – Berry, Marion (1st) + AR – Boozman, John (3rd) AR – Ross, Mike (4th) + AZ – Franks, Trent (2nd) AZ – Shadegg, John B. (3rd) AZ – Flake, Jeff (6th) CA – Herger, Wally (2nd) CA – Lungren, Daniel E. (3rd) CA – McClintock, Tom (4th) CA – Radanovich, George (19th) CA – Nunes, Devin (21st) CA – McCarthy, Kevin (22nd) CA – Gallegly, Elton (24th) CA – McKeon, Howard P. (25th) CA – Dreier, David (26th) CA – Royce, Edward R. (40th) CA – Lewis, Jerry (41st) CA – Miller, Gary G. (42nd) CA – Calvert, Ken (44th) CA – Rohrabacher, Dana (46th) CA – Campbell, John (48th) CA – Issa, Darrell E. (49th) CA – Bilbray, Brian P. (50th) CA – Hunter, Duncan D. (52nd) CO – Lamborn, Doug (5th) CO – Coffman, Mike (6th) FL – Miller, Jeff (1st) FL – Crenshaw, Ander (4th) FL – Brown-Waite, Ginny (5th) FL – Stearns, Cliff (6th) FL – Mica, John L. (7th) FL – Bilirakis, Gus M. (9th) FL – Young, C. W. Bill (10th) FL – Putnam, Adam H. (12th) # FL – Mack, Connie (14th) FL – Posey, Bill (15th) FL – Rooney, Tom (16th)
FL – Diaz-Balart, Lincoln (21st) FL – Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana (18th) FL – Diaz-Balart, Mario (25th) GA – Kingston, Jack (1st) GA – Westmoreland, Lynn A. (3rd) GA – Price, Tom (6th) GA – Linder, John (7th) GA – Deal, Nathan (9th) GA – Broun, Paul C. (10th) GA – Gingrey, Phil (11th) GA – Barrow, John (12th) + IA – Latham, Tom (4th) IA – King, Steve (5th) ID – Minnick, Walt (1st) + ID – Simpson, Michael K. (2nd) IL – Roskam, Peter J. (6th) IL – Costello, Jerry F. (12th) IL – Biggert, Judy (13th) IL – Manzullo, Donald A. (16th) IL – Schock, Aaron (18th) IL – Shimkus, John (19th) IN – Souder, Mark E. (3rd) IN – Buyer, Steve (4th) IN – Burton, Dan (5th) IN – Pence, Mike (6th) KS – Moran, Jerry (1st) ** KS – Jenkins, Lynn (2nd) KS – Tiahrt, Todd (4th) ** KY – Whitfield, Ed (1st) KY – Guthrie, Brett (2nd) KY – Davis, Geoff (4th) KY – Rogers, Harold (5th) LA – Scalise, Steve (1st) LA – Melancon, Charlie (3rd) + LA – Fleming, John (4th) LA – Alexander, Rodney (5th) LA – Cassidy, Bill (6th) LA – Boustany, Charles W. Jr. (7th) MI – Hoekstra, Peter (2nd) # MI – Camp, Dave (4th) MI – Upton, Fred (6th) MI – Rogers, Mike (8th) MI – Miller, Candice S. (10th) MI – McCotter, Thaddeus G. (11th)
MI – Levin, Sander M. (12th) MI – Conyers, John Jr. (14th) MI – Dingell, John D. (15th) MN – Walz, Timothy J. (1st) MN – McCollum, Betty (4th) MN – Ellison, Keith (5th) MN – Peterson, Collin C. (7th) + MN – Oberstar, James L. (8th) MO – Clay, Wm. Lacy (1st) MO – Carnahan, Russ (3rd) MO – Cleaver, Emanuel (5th) MS – Thompson, Bennie G. (2nd) NC – Butterfield, G. K. (1st) NC – Price, David E. (4th) NC – Watt, Melvin L. (12th) NC – Miller, Brad (13th) NH – Shea-Porter, Carol (1st) NH – Hodes, Paul W. (2nd) ** NJ – Andrews, Robert E. (1st) NJ – Smith, Christopher H. (4th) NJ – Pallone, Frank Jr. (6th) NJ – Pascrell, Bill Jr. (8th) NJ – Rothman, Steven R. (9th) NJ – Payne, Donald M. (10th) NJ – Holt, Rush D. (12th) NJ – Sires, Albio (13th) NM – Teague, Harry (2nd) NM – Heinrich, Martin (1st) NM – Lujan, Ben (3rd) NV – Berkley, Shelley (1st) NV – Titus, Dina (3rd) NY – Bishop, Timothy H. (1st) NY – Israel, Steve (2nd) NY – McCarthy, Carolyn (4th) ** NY – Ackerman, Gary L. (5th) NY – Meeks, Gregory W. (6th) NY – Crowley, Joseph (7th) NY – Nadler, Jerrold (8th) NY – Weiner, Anthony D. (9th) NY – Towns, Edolphus (10th) NY – Clarke, Yvette D. (11th) NY – Velázquez, Nydia M. (12th) NY – Maloney, Carolyn B. (14th) NY – Rangel, Charles B. (15th) NY – Serrano, José E. (16th) NY – Engel, Eliot L. (17th) NY – Lowey, Nita M. (18th)
NY – Hall, John J. (19th) NY – Tonko, Paul (21st) NY – Hinchey, Maurice D. (22nd) NY – Arcuri, Michael A. (24th) + NY – Higgins, Brian (27th) NY – Slaughter, Louise McIntosh (28th) OH – Sutton, Betty (13th) OH – Kilroy, Mary Jo (15th) OH – Ryan, Tim (17th) OH – Space, Zachary T. (18th) + OR – Wu, David (1st) OR – Blumenauer, Earl (3rd) PA – Brady, Robert A. (1st) PA – Fattah, Chaka (2nd) PA – Sestak, Joe (7th) PA – Murphy, Patrick J. (8th) + PA – Schwartz, Allyson Y. (13th) PA – Doyle, Michael F. (14th) RI – Kennedy, Patrick J. (1st) RI – Langevin, James R. (2nd) SC – Spratt, John M. Jr. (5th) SC – Clyburn, James E. (6th) TN – Cooper, Jim (5th) + TN – Gordon, Bart (6th) + TN – Cohen, Steve (9th) TX – Green, Al (9th) TX – Jackson-Lee, Sheila (18th) TX – Gonzalez, Charles A. (20th) TX – Green, Gene (29th) TX – Johnson, Eddie Bernice (30th) VA – Scott, Robert C. “Bobby’’ (3rd) VA – Perriello, Tom (5th) VA – Moran, James P. (8th) VA – Boucher, Rick (9th) VA – Connolly, Gerry (11th) VT – Welch, Peter (At Large) WA – Inslee, Jay (1st) WA – Larsen, Rick (2nd) WA – Baird, Brian (3rd) WA – Dicks, Norman D. (6th) WA – McDermott, Jim (7th) WA – Smith, Adam (9th) WI – Baldwin, Tammy (2nd) WI – Moore, Gwen (4th) WI – Obey, David R. (7th) WI – Kagen, Steve (8th)
NO (174)
LEGEND:
MN – Kline, John (2nd) MN – Bachmann, Michele (6th) MO – Akin, W. Todd (2nd) MO – Graves, Sam (6th) MO – Blunt, Roy (7th) MO – Emerson, Jo Ann (8th) MO – Luetkemeyer, Blaine (9th) MS – Harper, Gregg (3rd) MS – Taylor, Gene (4th) + MT – Rehberg, Dennis R. (At Large) NC – Jones, Walter B. (3rd) NC – Foxx, Virginia (5th) NC – Coble, Howard (6th) NC – Myrick, Sue Wilkins (9th) NC – McHenry, Patrick T. (10th) ND – Pomeroy, Earl (At Large) + NE – Fortenberry, Jeff (1st) NE – Terry, Lee (2nd) NE – Smith, Adrian (3rd) NJ – Garrett, Scott (5th) NV – Heller, Dean (2nd) NY – King, Peter T. (3rd) NY – Lee, Chris (26th) OH – Schmidt, Jean (2nd) OH – Jordan, Jim (4th) OH – Latta, Robert E. (5th) OH – Wilson, Charles A. (6th) + OH – Boehner, John A. (8th) OH – Kucinich, Dennis J. (10th) OH – Tiberi, Patrick J. (12th) OK – Sullivan, John (1st) OK – Boren, Dan (2nd) + OK – Lucas, Frank D. (3rd) OK – Cole, Tom (4th) OK – Fallin, Mary (5th) OR – Walden, Greg (2nd) PA – Altmire, Jason (4th) + PA – Thompson, Glen (5th) PA – Shuster, Bill (9th) PA – Pitts, Joseph R. (16th) PA – Holden, Tim (17th) + PA – Murphy, Tim (18th) SC – Brown, Henry E. Jr. (1st) SC – Wilson, Joe (2nd)
SC – Barrett, J. Gresham (3rd) SC – Inglis, Bob (4th) TN – Roe, Phil (1st) TN – Duncan, John J. Jr.(2nd) TN – Wamp, Zach (3rd) ** TN – Blackburn, Marsha (7th) TX – Gohmert, Louie (1st) TX – Poe, Ted (2nd) TX – Johnson, Sam (3rd) TX – Hall, Ralph M. (4th) TX – Hensarling, Jeb (5th) TX – Barton, Joe (6th) TX – Culberson, John Abney (7th) TX – Brady, Kevin (8th) TX – McCaul, Michael T. (10th) TX – Conaway, K. Michael (11th) TX – Granger, Kay (12th) TX – Thornberry, Mac (13th) TX – Paul, Ron (14th) TX – Neugebauer, Randy (19th) TX – Smith, Lamar (21st) TX – Olson, Peter (22nd) TX – Marchant, Kenny (24th) TX – Doggett, Lloyd (25th) TX – Burgess, Michael C. (26th) TX – Carter, John R. (31st) TX – Sessions, Pete (32nd) UT – Bishop, Rob (1st) UT – Matheson, Jim (2nd) + UT – Chaffetz, Jason (3rd) VA – Wittman, Robert J. (1st) VA – Forbes, J. Randy (4th) VA – Goodlatte, Bob (6th) VA – Cantor, Eric (7th) WA – Hastings, Doc (4th) WA – McMorris Rodgers, Cathy (5th) WI – Ryan, Paul (1st) WI – Sensenbrenner, F. James Jr. (5th) WV – Capito, Shelley Moore (2nd) WV – Mollohan, Alan B. (1st) WV – Rahall, Nick J. II (3rd) WY – Lummis, Cynthia (At Large)
Red: Republican | Blue: Democrat | Italics: Members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee ** Running for higher office | # Retiring | + Members of the Blue Dog Democratic Coalition | Bold: Won 2008 race by less than 60% | Underline: Freshman