Beyond Carbon: Trading Regional to Global Scale Ecosystem Services Andrew Mitchell Global Canopy Programme, UK Hylton Murray Philipson Canopy Capital Ltd.
Biodiversity and Finance Conference London 26th November 2008 London
Structure of Talk 1. 2. 3. 4.
Why do forests fall Forests as Global Utilities Amazonas Initiative Canopy Capital
Acknowledgements QuickTim eª and a None decom pressor are needed to see this picture.
science
policy
finance
Core Areas
Its Not Just About Carbon
Forests fall because they are worth more cut down than they are standing up - A Market Failure!
A Crisis of Values • Food Security • Energy Security • Environmental Security
All on a collision course!
Demand and Poverty drive Deforestation
• Beef • Soya • Palm oil • Timber
Land Use changes are very significant Agriculture 5.6 Gt 14% Soils and livestock Land Use changes 7.6 Gt 18% primarily deforestation
Electri city & Heat
Energy – 25.6 Gt 61% Consuming fossil fuels
Transport
Othe Industry r Ener gy WRI 2000 estimate all GHG CO2 equivalent
Four Market Approaches All can help to reduce emissions from deforestation
1. PLANTATION FORESTRY 2. REDD (REDUCED EMISSIONS FROM DEFORESTATION AND DEGRADATION) 3. CONSERVED CARBON (STOCKS) 4. ENVIRONMENTAL ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
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The movie file that was used here can be found on this website:
http://www.vets.ucar.edu/vg/CCM3T170/index.shtml
The Amazon Water Pump
The Amazon Rainforest puts some 20 billion tonnes of water into the atmosphere each day. Some of this falls as rain in the Rio Plata Basin to the south. Marengo et al. 2004, Journal of Climate
RAINFALL MECHANISM IN AN UNDISTURBED RAINFOREST
[MODEL]
CLEAN ATMOSPHERE
TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN
VOCs
+ Biogenic Cloud Condensation Nuclei (CCNs)
H2OVAPOR N IO T A IR P S N A R T
Heavy but Gentle Rainfall
Diagram by Antonio D Nobre
PHOTOXIDATION
Warm Low Level Clouds
based on results of LBA: Claeys et al and Andrea et al. Science 2004; Marengo et al 2004, 2005; others
Forest Ecosystem Services whichUntouched could become Tradable? forest Emissions Reduction (REDD) Carbon Sequestration Carbon storage Water storage Rainfall generation Weather Moderation Biodiversity
A critical interface between the Biosphere and the Atmosphere Future markets will not just be about Carbon Paying for Services could drive billions to forest owning nations!
Forests are Global Eco-Utilities providing services all of humanity uses but does not yet price…
The Global Context for Forests is Changing
14th May 2007
Forest Owning Nations are Gathering
Emerging Frameworks for Forests UNFCCC - REDD/CDM EU ETS US Market Australia/Others Voluntary * CBD - PINC?
Existing and New Frameworks Pro-active Investment in Natural Capital (PINC)
Tradable Currency = 1 hectare forest?
A Future Market Choice? ‘Living Carbon’ Rain Stored in forests + Ecosystems + Livelihood for 1.4 billion of the poor
‘Dead Carbon’ Mainly emissions from Energy Captured and stored underground
A New World Order is Emerging Capitalism Questioned - a New Bretton Woods? • G20 Rising - G8 “irrelevant” Lula? • Middle East Money - bailed out Western Banks • Annex I Prosperity - depends on Brazil, India, China • Power has shifted • A historical opportunity • Natural Capital rising? •
Losses 3 x Credit Crunch! Pavan Sukhdev - TEEB CBD COP Bonn 2008
“Are we creating wealth that’s worth having?” Clinton Global Initiative, New York, October 2007
FEAR…. That doing nothing will add to costs …is growing 7.32 billion tonnes of CO2e released / yr…. (FAO)
One hurricane event US $81.2 billion of losses
THE SERVICES and THE BUYERS 1. Water
Storage – 16% of global freshwater supplies - 70-80% of Brazil’s electricity depends on Hydropower 2. Rainfall Generation – 20 billion t/day; Agribusiness, Soya, Beef and Sugarcane all depend on rain; 40% of Brazil’s cars use ethanol, bio-ethanol set to expand 3. Weather Moderation – a regional air-conditioning unit; Amazon drought in 2005 coincided with record Caribbean hurricanes US$xxxx billion in Insurance
Losses
4. Biodiversity – natural nano technology; Forest disturbance leads to a 300 fold increase in mosquito biting incidence affecting Health 5. Carbon
Storage – 150-300 tonnes/ha; 67 billion tonnes/CO2e stored = an opportunity for Carbon Markets
70% of Brazil’s electricity needs are from hydro power
Replacement of Brazil’s hydro capacity = $100 billion. Values Remaining Forest @ $260/ha.
A Different Economic Paradigm?
An Evolution in Thinking Two Brief Case Studies •Amazonas Initiative, Brazil •Iwokrama, Guyana
Case Study 1: Amazonas Initiative AIM: Renconcile the maintenance of 67 billion tons of CO2e with the ethical need to improve the livelihoods of its people through sustainable land uses
Virgílio Viana Amazonas State Government Brazil www.sds.am.gov.br
Amazonas State, Brazil • • • •
Amazonas Initiative Law of Climatic Changes State Parks Decree Amazonas Foundation For Sustainability • $10m Bradesco Bank • Blosa Floresta Gov. Eduardo Braga
Improving Social Capital • Documents • Health • Marriages
Counter Deforestation by increasing the value of forest products and services
Matrix’s Dynamics
Matrix Dimensions
Program Action
after
befor e
Good Condition
Regular Condition
Critical Condition
Direction to Sustainability
Desirable Condition
Add Value to Standing Forests
Bolsa Foresta Re50 / family/ Month Payments for Ecosystem Services Community & Dirstrict “Make no Smoke”
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Guyana Nov. 2007 • President Jagdeo’s call to the World Community
Guyana National Context • 80% of forests intact • Major road development - Soy • Deepwater port • Oil based economy • Logging/biofuels/agriculture • Bauxite and gold mining
•McKinsey Report - Dec 2008 •A Model for the world?
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International Centre For Conservation And Development Given to the Commonwealth in 1995 to pioneer novel ways of utilising forests and conserving biodiversity. •371,000 hectares •50% SFM; 50% Pristine •119 million tonnes of carbon •7000 strong indigenous community A key signature site for demonstrating a new financial paradigm for forest valuations.
Iwokrama Project Development Collaborators F C D
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1. Iwokrama International Centre - Field Expertise
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2. North Rupununi Development Board - Community Relations
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Key Activities •Forest Research •Community Businesses •Sustainable timber harvesting •(50% only) •Eco-Toursim (lodge/walkway) •Training Courses •Equitable Benefit Sharing
3. Intitute for Environmental Security - ESS Contract model 4. Guyana Shield Inititative -UNDP (Guyana) 5. Government of Guyana
Iwokrama Forest and Communities
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Investment by • Designed to invest in Eco-System Services worldwide • High net worth investors • Secured first asset with Iwokrama • Option to value ecosystem services • Design of investment instruments • 80% upside to Iwokrama • Community business development • Only one way Standing Forest values can go!
Q u ic k T im e ª a n d a T IF F (U n c o m p re s s e d ) d e c o m p r e s s o r a re n e e d e d to s e e th is p ic tu re .
• International community must recognise the services • Minding the ‘Carbon Store’ $3c/tonne/yr wd generate $5.7m./yr or $15/ha. • Every emission will have an increasing cost • Every conservation will have a value • Time to stop talking, and start acting • World is waking up to this and will drive capital to the canopy
Creating wealth that’s worth having
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www.iwokrama.org
www.canopycapital.co.uk
www.globalcanopy.org