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Effect of the risk factors on the Structural Conservation Process Delay
Main Risks
Secondary Risks
Project Name
Encroachments & Occupation(EO)
Structural Failure of Monuments(SFM)
Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Delay Time/ Project No Time
Magra el Eyon
no.1
El sour El shamaly
no.2
Structural Failure of Surrounding Unfeasible Structural Buildings(SFSB) Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS)
Structural Solution(SS)
Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Time Time Time
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Solution(SS) Delay Time/ Project Time
40/24= 166% (VH) 5/24= 21% (L)
6/24= 25% (L)
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
5/24= 21% (L)
7/24= 29% (L)
22/24= 92%(VH)
14/24= 58% (H)
4/24= 17% (VL)
Gohary group
no.4
6/24= 25% (L)
1/24= 4% (VL)
6/24= 25% (L)
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
8/24= 33% (L)
2/24= 8.3% (VL)
6/24= 25% (L)
Beshtak Group
no.6
8/24= 33% (L)
6/24= 25% (L)
6/24= 25% (L)
El Selehdar Group
no.7
2/18= 11% (VL)
6/18= 34% (L)
4/18= 22% (L)
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. no.8
7/24= 29% (L)
4/24= 17% (VL)
Kalawoon Group
no.9
6/24= 25% (L)
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
New Technological Solutions(NTS)
4/24= 17% (VL) 4/24=17% (VL)
no.12
2/24= 8% (VL)
Wekala el Khory
no.13
30/18= 167% (VH)
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
12/24= 50% (M)
4/24= 17% (VL)
El Khory Group
no.15
24/24= 100% (VH)
6/24= 25% (L)
13/18= 72% (H)
3/24= 13% (VL)
3/24= 13% (VL) 9/24= 38% (M) 22/24= 92% (VH)
9/24= 38% (M) 62/24=258%
10/24= 42% (M)
40/24=167%
6/24= 25% (L)
29/24=121%
10/24= 42% (M)
2/24= 8.3% (VL)40/24=167%
38/18=211%
6/24= 25% (L)
20/24=83%
4/24= 17% (VL)
22/24=92%
3/24= 13% (VL)
12/24=50%
10/24= 42% (M)
55/24=229% 30/24=125% 30/18=167%
9/24= 38% (M) 4/24= 17% (VL)
12/24= 50% (M)
37/24=154%
10/24= 42% (M)
4/24= 17% (VL) 6/30= 20% (L)
no.17
9/24= 38% (M)
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
18/24= 75% (H)
Bebars Group
no.19
Shabshery Group
no.20
9/36= 25% (L)
24/24=100%
13/18= 72% (H)
6/24= 25% (L)
El Ameer Taaz House no.16 El Eeny Group
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL)
6/24= 25% (L)
4/24= 17% (VL)
3/24= 13% (VL)
9/24= 38% (M)
Sadat House
6/24= 25% (L)
8/24= 34% (L)
9/24= 38% (M)
4/24= 17% (VL)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
9/24= 38% (M) 61/24=254%
20/24= 83% (VH
6/24= 25% (L) 23/24= 96% (VH)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
Archeologica Archeological Architictura Architictur Archeological&Ar l&Architictu Prermissions of the Structural Archeological&Archi &Architictura l& Survey al& Survey Total Delay chitictural ral Relevent Solution(SS) or PRA tictural Studies(AAS) l Documents( Documents Time/ Studies(AAS) Studies(AAS Authorities(PRA) Studies(AAS) ASD) (ASD) Project ) Time Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Time Time Time Project Time Time Time
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra no.3
Mamaay el Seefy Groupno.11
6/24= 25% (L)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
4/24= 17% (VL)
14/24= 58.3% (H)
2/24= 8.3% (VL)
48/24=200% 6/30=20%
5/24= 21% (L)
44/24=183% 18/24=75%
2/36= 5% (VL)
5/36= 14% (VL)
5/36=14%
4/36= 11% (VL)
15/36=42%
Main Risks
Secondary Risks
Project Name
Encroachments & Occupation(EO)
Structural Failure of Monuments(SFM)
Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Probapility No
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Probapility
Impact
Magra el Eyon
no.1
80% (H) 166% (VH)
El sour El shamaly
no.2
15% (VL) 21% (L)
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
no.3
10% (VL) 17% (VL)
Gohary group
no.4
20% (VL) 25% (L)
60% (H) 4% (VL)
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
20% (VL) 33% (L)
5% (VL) 8.3% (VL)
Beshtak Group
no.6
20% (VL) 33% (L)
El Selehdar Group
no.7
10% (VL) 11% (VL)
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
no.8
25% (L) 29% (L)
Kalawoon Group
no.9
10% (VL) 25% (L)
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
Mamaay el Seefy Group no.11
40% (M) 96% (VH)
Sadat House
no.12
Wekala el Khory
no.13
65% (H) 167% (VH)
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
40% (M) 50% (M)
El Khory Group
no.15
50% (M) 100% (VH)
El Ameer Taaz House
no.16
El Eeny Group
no.17
25% (L) 38% (M)
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
50% (M) 75% (H)
Bebars Group
no.19
Shabshery Group
no.20
15% (VL) 25% (L)
10% (VL) 17% (VL) 60% (H) 8% (VL)
40% (M) 25% (L)
85% (VH) 17% (VL)
Risk Probability (%)
VL (0-23 %)
L (18-42 %)
M (39-63 %)
Risk Impact (%)
VL (0-24 %)
L (19-40 %)
M (37-63 %)
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-25 %)
L (20-45 %)
M (43-80 %)
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS) Probapility
Impact
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Solution(SS)
Probapility
Impact
30% (L) 25% (L)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
Structural Archeological&Architict Solution(SS) or PRA ural Studies(AAS) Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
90% (VH) 21% (L)
70%( H) 29% (L)
90% (VH) 92%(VH)
70% (H) 58% (H)
40% (M) 83% (VH) 80% (VH) 25% (L) 70% (H) 25% (L)
10% (VL) 17% (VL)
80% (VH) 25% (L)
40% (M) 25% (L)
75% (H) 34% (L)
80% (VH) 22% (L)
40% (M) 17% (VL)
10% (VL) 13% (VL) 90% (VH) 38% (M)
50% (M) 25% (L)
10% (VL) 13% (VL)
70% (H) 38% (M)
40% (M) 38% (M) 90% (VH) 92% (VH)
70% (H) 17% (VL) 40% (M) 25% (L)
25% (L) 13% (VL)
70% (H) 25% (L)
40% (M) 38% (M) 90% (VH) 17% (VL)
60% (H) 42% (M)
80% (VH) 58.3% (H)
90% (VH) 5% (VL)
H (60-84 %)
VH (79-100 %)
H (58-78 %)
VH (76-100 %)
H (75-95 %)
VH > 95%
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Technological Solutions(NTS)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Architictural Architictural Archeological& Archeological& & Survey Archeological&Architic & Survey Architictural Architictural Documents( tural Studies(AAS) Documents( Studies(AAS) Studies(AAS) ASD) ASD) Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL) Prermissions of the Relevent Authorities(PRA) Probapility
Impact
90% (VH) 38% (M) 20% (L) 25% (L)
80% (H) 38% (M)
70% (H) 42% (M) 90% (VH) 17% (VL)
10% (VL) 25% (L)
90% (VH) 34% (L)
30% (L) 25% (L) 85% (VH) 42% (M) 90% (VH) 17% (VL)
10% (VL) 72% (H)
20% (L) 72% (H) 40% (M) 25% (L) 40% (M) 17% (VL) 10% (VL) 13% (VL)
90% (VH) 42% (M)
90% (VH) 50% (M) 10% (VL) 17% (VL) 50% (M) 20% (L) 10% (VL) 8.3% (VL)
10% (VL) 21% (L)
10% (VL) 14% (VL) 4/36= 11% (VL)
5%(VL) 8.3% (VL)
Total Delay Time/ Project Time
61/24=254% VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258% VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167% VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121% VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167% VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100% VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
38/18=211% VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83%
H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92%
H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50%
M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229% VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125% VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
32.5 Wekala el Khory
37/24=154% VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200% VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20%
VL
6 El Ameer Taaz House
44/24=183% VH
34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75%
M
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14%
VL
5 Bebars Group
15/36=42%
L
15 Shabshery Group
Main Risks
Encroachments & Occupation(EO) Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Secondary Risks
Project Name
Project Probapility No
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB)
Structural Solution(SS)
Structural Solution(SS)
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Magra el Eyon
no.1
80
100
1
1
1
El sour El shamaly
no.2
15
21
1
1
1
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
no.3
10
17
1
1
1
Gohary group
no.4
20
25
1
1
60
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
20
33
10
17
5
Beshtak Group
no.6
20
33
1
1
1
El Selehdar Group
no.7
10
11
1
1
1
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
no.8
25
29
1
1
1
Kalawoon Group
no.9
10
25
1
1
1
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
1
1
1
1
1
40
96
1
1
1
Mamaay el Seefy Group no.11 Sadat House
no.12
1
1
1
1
1
Wekala el Khory
no.13
65
100
1
1
1
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
40
50
1
1
1
El Khory Group
no.15
50
100
1
1
1
El Ameer Taaz House
no.16
1
1
1
1
1
El Eeny Group
no.17
25
38
1
1
85
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
50
75
1
1
1
Bebars Group
no.19
1
1
1
1
1
Shabshery Group
no.20
40
25
1
1
1
Risk Probability (%)
VL (0-23 %)
VH (79-100 %)
M
Risk Impact (%) Construction Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (CCPDE) %
VL (0-24 %)
VH (76-100 %)
M
VL (0-25 %)
VH > 95%
M
Construction Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (CCPDE) %
80 15 10 20 20 20
VL (0-25 %)
VH > 95%
90 90 15 10
60 5
M
30 40 80 70 80
10
10 25 10
10 90 10
40
10 60
70 40 50 0
90 21 92 25 4 17 8
13 38 13
96
17 8
167 50 100
25
90
85
40
38 75
50 70
90
25 50
10
90
65 40 50
166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25
75 40
25 83 25 25 25 34 17 25 38
25
72
42
92
17
17 25 20 8
17
5
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Structural Failure of Monuments(SFM)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS)
Structural Solution(SS)
Structural Solution(SS) or PRA
Structural Solution(SS)
New Technological Solutions(NTS) Archeological&Architic tural Studies(AAS)
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
1
1
1
90
21
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
90
92
30
25
1
1
1
15
25
1
1
40
83
1
1
4
1
1
1
1
80
25
10
25
8
1
1
1
1
70
25
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
80
25
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
75
34
10
72
1
1
1
10
13
40
17
1
1
1
1
1
90
38
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
10
13
50
25
1
1
1
10
17
1
1
70
38
90
42
1
60
8
90
92
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
70
17
1
1
1
1
1
90
17
40
25
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
50
20
17
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
90
5
1
1
1
1
(39-63 %)
L (18-42 %)
H (60-84 %)
(37-63 %)
L (19-40 %)
H (58-78 %)
(43-80 %)
L (20-45 %)
H (75-95 %)
(43-80 %)
L (20-45 %)
70 70 90 90 40
20 70 30 85 90
H (75-95 %)
90 80
5
80
20 40 40 10
25 40 70 40 60
90 10
80
10 10 11
29 58 17 34 25 22 13
25 42 25 42 17 72 25 17 13
38 25 38 42 58
50 17 21 14 11
38 38
8
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI) Archeological&Architict ural Studies(AAS)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Architictural Architictural Archeological& Archeological& & Survey & Survey Architictural Architictural Documents( Documents( Studies(AAS) Studies(AAS) ASD) ASD)
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL) Prermissions of the Relevent Authorities(PRA)
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
70
29
1
1
1
1
90
38
70
58
1
1
20
25
80
38
1
1
1
1
70
42
1
1
1
1
90
17
30
25
1
1
1
1
90
34
85
42
5
8
40
25
1
1
90
17
1
1
80
22
1
1
20
72
1
1
1
1
1
1
40
25
1
1
25
13
1
1
40
17
1
1
1
1
1
1
10
13
1
1
40
38
1
1
1
1
1
1
70
25
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
40
38
90
50
1
1
1
1
60
42
1
1
10
17
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
80
58
1
1
10
21
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
10
14
1
1
1
1
1
1
11
11
1
1
Total Delay Time/ Project Time
61/24=254% VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258% VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167% VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121% VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167% VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100% VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
38/18=211% VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83%
H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92%
H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50%
M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229% VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125% VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
32.5 Wekala el Khory
37/24=154% VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200% VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20%
VL
6 El Ameer Taaz House
44/24=183% VH
34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75%
M
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14%
VL
5 Bebars Group
15/36=42%
L
15 Shabshery Group
Main Risks
Encroachments & Occupation(EO) Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Secondary Risks
Project Name
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Probapilit Probapilit Impact% No y% y%
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Impact%
Probapilit y%
Magra el Eyon
no.1
99
99
15
20
85
El sour El shamaly
no.2
95
80
15
40
95
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra no.3
95
80
25
70
95
Gohary group
no.4
85
75
25
40
60
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
90
65
25
40
20
Beshtak Group
no.6
90
85
25
40
60
El Selehdar Group
no.7
90
40
25
60
0
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. no.8
90
70
25
40
20
Kalawoon Group
no.9
90
70
25
40
70
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
0
0
25
40
0
Mamaay el Seefy Groupno.11
99
99
25
50
70
Sadat House
no.12
90
40
25
70
0
Wekala el Khory
no.13
99
99
25
40
0
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
90
85
20
20
20
El Khory Group
no.15
99
99
25
40
50
El Ameer Taaz House no.16
95
35
25
40
80
El Eeny Group
no.17
90
95
25
40
80
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
95
85
25
20
0
Bebars Group
no.19
90
80
25
40
70
Shabshery Group
no.20
99
99
25
40
70
Risk Probability (%) Risk Impact (%)
VL (0-23 %) VL (0-24 %)
L (18-42 %) L (19-40 %)
M M
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-22%)
L (20-43 %)
M
80 15
90 90
30
10 20 20 20 10 25 10
15 60 5
10
10 90 10
40
10 60
70 40 50 0
90 21 92 25 4 17 8
13 38 13
96
17 8
167 50 100
25
90
85
40
38 75
10
50 70
90
25 50
10
90
65 40 50
166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25
40 80 70 80 75 40
25 83 25 25 25 34 17 25 38
25
72
42
92
17
17 25 20 8
17
5
The senarios of Historic Building Restoration Projects Structural Failure of Surrounding Structural Failure of Buildings(SFSB) Monuments(SFM) Structural Solution(SS) Impact%
Structural Solution(SS)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP) Structural Solution(SS) or PRA
Probapilit Probapilit Impact% y% y%
Impact%
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS)
New Technological Solutions(NTS) Archeological&Arc hitictural Studies(AAS) or LAFP
Probapility Probapilit Impact% Impact% % y%
25
20
30
90
95
70
40
60
65
25
25
30
90
92
70
50
50
40
95
90
95
80
40
85
75
60
65
25
70
80
0
0
80
90
60
70
20
40
60
0
0
70
90
60
35
25
80
60
0
0
80
90
60
40
0
80
80
0
0
75
80
60
70
30
40
45
95
70
70
70
60
70
65
70
70
95
95
70
60
60
70
0
50
70
70
50
70
80
50
60
45
80
75
0
0
70
85
90
85
0
90
65
95
99
80
90
90
40
0
20
20
0
0
80
80
60
40
20
50
40
0
0
70
85
50
30
40
80
90
90
90
80
85
60
65
45
90
60
0
0
80
70
80
40
45
90
70
0
0
80
87
80
40
0
20
25
0
0
60
60
50
40
40
70
80
0
0
75
70
50
40
50
75
80
90
80
75
80
50
40
(39-63 %) (37-63 %)
H (60-84 %) H (58-78 %)
VH (79-100 %) VH (76-100 %)
(38-59 %)
H (57-81 %)
VH (78-100)%
70 70
20
90 80
70 30 85 90 20 40 40 10
90 90 40 80 25
5
40 70 40 60
90 10
80
10 10 11
29 58 17 34 25 22 13
25 42 25 42 17 72 25 17 13
38 25 38 42 58
50 17 21 14 11
38 38
8
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL)
Archeological Architictura Archeologica Architictur Archeological&Arch Prermissions of the &Architictura l& Survey l&Architictur al& Survey itictural Relevent l Documents( al Documents Studies(AAS) Authorities(PRA) Studies(AAS) ASD) Studies(AAS) (ASD) Probapilit Impact% Probapility% y%
Impact% Probapility% Impact%
Probapilit Impact% y%
70
90
80
85
70
45
70
87
70
90
80
95
70
30
70
83
70
90
90
87
70
90
0
0
80
90
90
50
70
65
0
0
95
99
95
95
85
90
0
0
85
90
80
65
90
90
0
0
80
85
0
0
90
90
0
0
80
80
0
0
60
65
0
0
80
80
90
75
60
70
0
0
70
70
0
0
60
60
20
20
70
80
70
40
70
75
0
0
80
70
0
0
90
60
70
55
70
65
0
0
50
30
0
0
80
75
90
95
70
65
0
0
80
85
90
45
80
95
70
65
95
80
0
0
90
75
0
0
80
99
80
83
80
85
0
0
70
65
0
0
50
30
0
0
70
75
50
40
80
65
0
0
70
80
85
82
70
70
0
0
Total Delay Time of SCP/ Project Time
61/24=254%VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258%VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167%VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121%VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167%VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100%VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
38/18=211%VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83% H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92% H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50% M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229%VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125%VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
32.5 Wekala el Khory
37/24=154%VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200%VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20% VL
6 El Ameer Taaz House
44/24=183%VH
34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75% M
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14% VL
5 Bebars Group
15/36=42% L
15 Shabshery Group
Magra el Eyon El sour El shamaly Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra Gohary group El Moayed Sheekh Beshtak Group El Selehdar Group El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. Kalawoon Group Ebn Tolon Masged Mamaay el Seefy Group Sadat House Wekala el Khory Abo el Dahab Group El Khory Group El Ameer Taaz House El Eeny Group Kasr el Manyal Bebars Group Shabshery Group
Delay 73.1 63.6 63.8 61.7 63.8 61.4 64.4 63.8 63.8 61.6 64.1 63.8 63.9 69.0 63.9 63.7 61.4 63.6 64.1 64.1
73.1 63.6 63.8 61.7 63.8 61.4 64.4 63.8 63.8 61.6 64.1 63.8 63.9 69.0 63.9 63.7 61.4 63.6 64.1 64.1 Impact =
Impact 62.5 62.3 72.1 61.7 69.2 61.4 67.7 60.3 70.1 66.5 73.8 68.5 68.5 68.3 70.3 62.4 70.6 58.0 69.8 68.8
62.54 62.26 72.11 61.74 69.16 61.4 67.71 60.33 70.13 66.51 73.76 68.53 68.51 68.25 70.34 62.41 70.6 57.96 69.78 68.76
Evalution 82.4 76.6 90.6 62.9 90.6 51.3 90.6 72.2 90.6 76.6 90.6 90.6 90.6 91.6 90.6 76.6 72.3 72.2 90.6 90.6
61.96 59.93 70.88 50.02 68.74 49.88 67.73 60.51 69.59 58.87 71.78 68.74 68.74 61.06 69.59 59.93 58.84 60.85 69.59 68.74
VH H VH H VH M
Evalution =
Main Risks
Encroachments & Occupation(EO) Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Secondary Risks Project Name
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Probapilit Probapilit Impact% No y% y%
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Impact%
Probapilit y%
Magra el Eyon
no.1
95
99
50
70
95
El sour El shamaly
no.2
95
80
50
70
95
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra no.3
95
80
50
70
95
Gohary group
no.4
85
85
50
70
60
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
90
80
50
70
90
Beshtak Group
no.6
90
90
50
70
90
El Selehdar Group
no.7
90
75
50
70
70
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. no.8
90
70
50
70
70
Kalawoon Group
no.9
90
70
50
70
70
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
80
70
50
70
60
Mamaay el Seefy Groupno.11
90
90
50
70
70
Sadat House
no.12
90
80
50
70
70
Wekala el Khory
no.13
99
99
50
70
70
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
90
85
50
70
80
El Khory Group
no.15
99
99
50
70
80
El Ameer Taaz House no.16
90
70
50
60
80
El Eeny Group
no.17
90
95
50
60
80
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
95
85
50
70
60
no.19
90
80
50
60
70
Shabshery Group no.20 Risk Probability (%) Risk Impact (%)
99
99
50
70
70
Bebars Group
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-23 %) VL (0-24 %)
L (18-42 %) L (19-40 %)
M M
VL (0-22%)
L (20-43 %)
M
80 15 10 20 20 20 10 25 10
90 90 60 5
10
10 90 10
40
10 60
70 40 50 0
90 21 92 25 4 17 8
13 38 13
96
17 8
167 50 100
25
90
85
40
38 75
10
50 70
90
25 50
10
90
65 40 50
166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25
30 40 80 70 80 75 40
15
25 83 25 25 25 34 17 25 38
25
72
42
92
17
17 25 20 8
17
5
The senarios of Historic Building Restoration Projects Structural Failure of Surrounding Structural Failure of Buildings(SFSB) Monuments(SFM) Structural Solution(SS) Impact%
Structural Solution(SS)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
New Technological Solutions(NTS)
Archeological&Arc hitictural Studies(AAS) or LAFP Probapility Probapilit Impact% Impact% Impact% % y%
Structural Solution(SS) or PRA
Probapilit Probapilit Impact% y% y%
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS)
95
80
95
90
90
70
85
60
70
80
80
95
90
92
70
85
60
70
95
90
95
80
80
95
95
60
70
80
70
80
50
75
80
90
60
70
80
80
80
50
75
70
80
60
70
80
80
80
50
75
80
90
60
70
80
80
80
50
75
75
80
60
70
80
70
80
95
80
70
60
60
70
80
70
90
95
95
70
60
60
70
60
60
70
80
80
70
80
50
60
85
80
90
50
70
70
85
90
85
70
90
90
95
99
80
90
90
90
80
75
80
50
70
80
80
60
70
85
80
90
60
70
70
85
50
70
85
80
90
90
90
80
85
60
70
85
90
80
50
60
80
85
80
70
85
90
95
50
70
80
87
80
70
60
60
70
50
60
60
60
50
60
65
70
80
40
60
75
70
50
60
80
75
80
90
80
75
80
50
70
(39-63 %) (37-63 %)
H (60-84 %) H (58-78 %)
VH (79-100 %) VH (76-100 %)
(38-59 %)
H (57-81 %)
VH (78-100)%
70 70
90 80
20 70 30 85 90 20 40 40 10
90 90 40 80 25
5
40 70 40 60
90 10
80
10 10 11
29 58 17 34 25 22 13
25 42 25 42 17 72 25 17 13
38 25 38 42 58
50 17 21 14 11
38 38
8
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL)
Archeological Architictura Archeologica Architictur Archeological&Arch Prermissions of the &Architictura l& Survey l&Architictur al& Survey itictural Relevent l Documents( al Documents Studies(AAS) Authorities(PRA) Studies(AAS) ASD) Studies(AAS) (ASD) Probapilit Probapilit Impact% Probapility% Impact% Probapility% Impact% Impact% y% y% 70
85
80
85
70
75
90
90
70
90
95
95
70
75
80
90
70
90
90
95
70
80
80
80
80
90
90
90
70
80
80
80
95
99
95
95
85
90
70
80
85
90
90
90
90
90
70
80
80
85
90
90
90
90
70
80
80
80
50
60
60
65
50
70
80
80
90
80
60
70
50
70
70
70
50
50
60
60
50
50
70
80
70
80
70
75
60
75
80
85
80
95
90
95
70
85
70
85
50
65
70
70
60
70
80
85
90
95
70
85
50
60
80
85
90
95
80
95
70
70
95
80
90
75
90
75
70
60
80
99
80
83
80
85
70
65
70
65
50
60
50
55
60
50
70
75
60
60
80
85
60
60
70
80
85
82
70
75
60
60
Total Delay Time/ Project Time
61/24=254%VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258%VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167%VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121%VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167%VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100%VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
38/18=211%VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83% H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92% H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50% M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229%VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125%VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
32.5 Wekala el Khory
37/24=154%VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200%VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20% VL
6 El Ameer Taaz House
44/24=183%VH
34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75% M
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14% VL 15/36=42% L
5 Bebars Group 15 Shabshery Group
Magra el Eyon El sour El shamaly Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra Gohary group El Moayed Sheekh Beshtak Group El Selehdar Group El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. Kalawoon Group Ebn Tolon Masged Mamaay el Seefy Group Sadat House Wekala el Khory Abo el Dahab Group El Khory Group El Ameer Taaz House El Eeny Group Kasr el Manyal
Bebars Group Shabshery Group
Compare bet.the results of programes & the actua Program Results Project Name
Project No RiskProbapility%
Values
Risk Impact %
Magra el Eyon (finished)
no.1
73.510
H
83.450
El sour El shamaly (finished)
no.2
73.510
H
83.230
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra (finished)
no.3
73.510
H
83.877
Gohary group (finished)
no.4
71.668
H
83.446
El Moayed Sheekh (finished)
no.5
73.510
H
84.094
Beshtak Group (finished)
no.6
71.524
H
82.335
El Selehdar Group (finished)
no.7
73.764
H
81.720
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. (finished)
no.8
73.510
H
66.508
Kalawoon Group (finished)
no.9
73.510
H
75.855
Ebn Tolon Masged (finished)
no.10
44.133
M
51.213
Mamaay el Seefy Group (finished)
no.11
71.668
H
81.720
Sadat House (finished)
no.12
73.510
H
84.094
Wekala el Khory (finished)
no.13
73.764
H
84.094
Abo el Dahab Group (finished)
no.14
71.668
H
83.877
El Khory Group (finished)
no.15
73.767
H
84.094
El Ameer Taaz House (finished)
no.16
70.932
H
55.333
El Eeny Group (finished)
no.17
71.524
H
84.094
Kasr el Manyal (Continuous)
no.18
73.510
H
71.232
Bebars Group (Continuous)
no.19
69.008
H
56.573
Shabshery Group (Continuous) Risk Probability (%)
no.20
73.764
H
73.768
VL (0-23 %)
L
Risk Impact (%)
VL (0-24 %)
L
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-22%)
L
80 15 10 20 20 20 10 25 10
10
40 65 40 50 25 50 40 166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25 96 167 50 100 38 75 25
17
of programes & the actual results Program Results
Actual Results
Values
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation(SCPD)%
Values
VH
90.220
VH
61/24=254%
VH
VH
90.220
VH
62/24=258%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
40/24=167%
VH
VH
89.984
VH
29/24=121%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
40/24=167%
VH
VH
89.984
VH
24/24=100%
VH
VH
89.984
VH
38/18=211%
VH
H
68.742
H
20/24=83%
H
H
68.795
H
22/24=92%
H
M
48.593
M
12/24=50%
M
VH
89.984
VH
55/24=229%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
30/24=125%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
H
90.450
VH
37/24=154%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
48/24=200%
VH
M
48.619
M
6/30=20%
L
VH
90.450
VH
44/24=183%
VH
H
68.742
H
18/24=75%
H
M
48.583
M
5/36=14%
VL
H
68.742
H
15/36=42%
(18-42 %)
M (39-63 %)
Total Delay Time of SCP/ Values Project Time%
30/18=167% VH
M H (60-84 %)
VH
(19-40 %)
M (37-63 %)
H (58-78 %)
VH
(20-43 %)
M (38-59 %)
H (57-81 %)
VH
(79-100 %)
(76-100 %) (78-100)%
Delay =
Impact =
73.51
83.44
73.51
83.23
73.51
83.88
71.67
82.33
73.51
84.09
71.52
82.33
73.76
81.72
73.51
66.51
73.51
75.86
44.13
51.21
71.67
81.72
73.51
84.09
73.76
84.09
71.67
83.88
73.77
84.09
70.93
55.33
71.52
84.09
73.51
71.23
69.01
56.57
73.76
73.77
Evaluation =
90.22 90.22 90.45 89.98 90.45 89.98 89.98 68.74 68.79 48.59 89.98 90.45 90.45 90.45 90.45 48.62 90.45 68.74 48.58
68.74
Main Risks
Natural Risk(NR) Encroachments & Occupation(EO) Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Secondary Risks Project Name
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Probapilit Probapilit Impact% No y% y%
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Impact%
Probapilit y%
Magra el Eyon
no.1
95
99
50
70
95
El sour El shamaly
no.2
95
80
50
70
95
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra no.3
95
80
50
70
95
Gohary group
no.4
85
85
50
70
60
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
90
80
50
70
90
Beshtak Group
no.6
90
90
50
70
90
El Selehdar Group
no.7
90
75
50
70
0
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. no.8
90
50
50
40
0
Kalawoon Group
no.9
90
70
50
70
70
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
0
0
20
30
0
Mamaay el Seefy Groupno.11
90
90
50
70
70
Sadat House
no.12
90
80
50
70
0
Wekala el Khory
no.13
99
99
50
70
0
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
90
85
50
70
80
El Khory Group
no.15
99
99
50
70
80
El Ameer Taaz House no.16
90
30
20
20
50
El Eeny Group
90
95
50
80
90
no.17
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
95
85
0
0
0
Bebars Group
no.19
90
60
20
20
70
Shabshery Group no.20 Risk Probability (%) Risk Impact (%)
99
99
50
70
70
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-23 %) VL (0-24 %)
L (18-42 %) L (19-40 %)
M M
VL (0-22%)
L (20-43 %)
M
80 15 10 20 20 20 10 25 10
90 90 60 5
10
10 90 10
40
10 60
70 40
85
90 21 92 25 4 17 8
13 38 13
96
17 8
167 50 100
25
90
50 0
40
38 75
10
50 70
90
25 50
10
90
65 40 50
166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25
30 40 80 70 80 75 40
15
25 83 25 25 25 34 17 25 38
25
72
42
92
17
17 25 20 8
17
5
The senarios of Historic Building Restoration Projects
Structural Failure of Surrounding Structural Failure of Buildings(SFSB) Monuments(SFM) Structural Solution(SS) Impact%
Structural Solution(SS)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
New Technological Solutions(NTS)
Archeological&Arc hitictural Studies(AAS) or LAFP Probapility Probapilit Impact% Impact% Impact% % y%
Structural Solution(SS) or PRA
Probapilit Probapilit Impact% y% y%
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS)
95
80
95
90
90
70
85
60
70
80
80
95
90
92
70
85
60
70
95
90
95
80
80
95
95
60
70
80
70
80
0
0
80
90
60
70
80
80
80
0
0
70
80
60
70
80
80
80
0
0
80
90
60
70
0
80
80
0
0
75
80
60
70
0
70
40
95
70
70
60
60
60
80
70
90
95
95
70
60
60
70
0
30
40
20
50
50
60
50
50
85
80
90
0
0
70
85
90
85
0
90
90
95
99
80
90
90
90
0
75
80
0
0
80
80
60
70
85
80
90
0
0
70
85
50
70
85
80
90
90
90
80
85
60
70
30
90
80
0
0
80
85
80
50
85
90
95
0
0
85
90
80
70
0
60
70
0
0
60
60
50
60
40
20
20
0
0
50
50
0
0
80
75
80
90
80
75
80
50
70
(39-63 %) (37-63 %)
H (60-84 %) H (58-78 %)
VH (79-100 %) VH (76-100 %)
(38-59 %)
H (57-81 %)
VH (78-100)%
70 70
90 80
20 70 30 85 90 20 40 40 10
90 90 40 80 25
5
40 70 40 60
90 10
80
10 10 11
29 58 17 34 25 22 13
25 42 25 42 17 72 25 17 13
38 25 38 42 58
50 17 21 14 11
38 38
8
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL)
Archeological Architictura Archeologica Architictur Archeological&Arch Prermissions of the &Architictura l& Survey l&Architictur al& Survey itictural Relevent l Documents( al Documents Studies(AAS) Authorities(PRA) Studies(AAS) ASD) Studies(AAS) (ASD) Probapilit Probapilit Impact% Probapility% Impact% Probapility% Impact% Impact% y% y% 70
85
80
85
70
75
90
90
70
90
95
95
70
75
80
90
70
90
90
95
70
80
0
0
80
90
90
90
70
80
0
0
95
99
95
95
85
90
0
0
85
90
90
90
90
90
0
0
80
85
0
0
90
90
0
0
80
80
0
0
60
65
0
0
80
80
90
80
60
70
0
0
70
70
0
0
60
60
0
0
70
80
70
80
70
75
0
0
80
85
0
0
90
95
70
85
70
85
0
0
70
70
0
0
80
85
90
95
70
85
0
0
80
85
90
95
80
95
70
70
95
80
0
0
90
75
0
0
85
99
85
90
90
85
0
0
70
65
0
0
50
55
0
0
50
50
0
0
70
60
0
0
70
80
70
70
50
50
0
0
Total Delay Time/ Project Time
61/24=254%VH
90.220 VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258%VH
90.220 VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167%VH
90.450 VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121%VH
89.984 VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167%VH
90.450 VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100%VH
89.984 VH
38/18=211%VH
89.984 VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83% H
68.742 H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92% H
68.795 H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50% M
48.593 M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229%VH
89.984 VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125%VH
90.450 VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
90.450 VH
37/24=154%VH
90.450 VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200%VH
90.450 VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20% VL
48.619 M
44/24=183%VH
90.450 VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
32.5 Wekala el Khory
6 El Ameer Taaz House 34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75% H
68.742 H
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14% VL
48.583 M
5 Bebars Group
15/36=42% L
68.742 H
15 Shabshery Group
Magra el Eyon El sour El shamaly Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra Gohary group El Moayed Sheekh Beshtak Group El Selehdar Group El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. Kalawoon Group Ebn Tolon Masged Mamaay el Seefy Group Sadat House Wekala el Khory Abo el Dahab Group El Khory Group El Ameer Taaz House El Eeny Group
Kasr el Manyal Bebars Group Shabshery Group
Delay =
Impact = 73.51 73.51 73.51 71.67 73.51 71.52 73.76 73.51 73.51 44.13 71.67 73.51 73.76 71.67 73.77 70.93 71.52 73.51 69.01 73.76
Modefy third table
Evaluation = 83.44 83.23 83.88 82.33 84.09 82.33 81.72 66.51 75.86 51.21 81.72 84.09 84.09 83.88 84.09 55.33 84.09 71.23 56.57 73.77
90.22 90.22 90.45 89.98 90.45 89.98 89.98 68.74 68.79 48.59 89.98 90.45 90.45 90.45 90.45 48.62 90.45 68.74 48.58 68.74
VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL
Main Risks
Secondary Risks
Project Name
Encroachments & Occupation(EO)
Structural Failure of Monuments(SFM)
Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Delay Time/ Project No Time
Magra el Eyon
no.1
El sour El shamaly
no.2
Structural Failure of Surrounding Unfeasible Structural Buildings(SFSB) Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS)
Structural Solution(SS)
Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Time Time Time
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Solution(SS) Delay Time/ Project Time
40/24= 166% (VH) 5/24= 21% (L)
6/24= 25% (L)
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
5/24= 21% (L)
7/24= 29% (L)
22/24= 92%(VH)
14/24= 58% (H)
4/24= 17% (VL)
Gohary group
no.4
6/24= 25% (L)
1/24= 4% (VL)
6/24= 25% (L)
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
8/24= 33% (L)
2/24= 8.3% (VL)
6/24= 25% (L)
Beshtak Group
no.6
8/24= 33% (L)
6/24= 25% (L)
6/24= 25% (L)
El Selehdar Group
no.7
2/18= 11% (VL)
6/18= 34% (L)
4/18= 22% (L)
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. no.8
7/24= 29% (L)
4/24= 17% (VL)
Kalawoon Group
no.9
6/24= 25% (L)
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
New Technological Solutions(NTS)
4/24= 17% (VL) 4/24=17% (VL)
no.12
2/24= 8% (VL)
Wekala el Khory
no.13
30/18= 167% (VH)
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
12/24= 50% (M)
4/24= 17% (VL)
El Khory Group
no.15
24/24= 100% (VH)
6/24= 25% (L)
13/18= 72% (H)
3/24= 13% (VL)
3/24= 13% (VL) 9/24= 38% (M) 22/24= 92% (VH)
9/24= 38% (M) 62/24=258%
10/24= 42% (M)
40/24=167%
6/24= 25% (L)
29/24=121%
10/24= 42% (M)
2/24= 8.3% (VL)40/24=167%
38/18=211%
6/24= 25% (L)
20/24=83%
4/24= 17% (VL)
22/24=92%
3/24= 13% (VL)
12/24=50%
10/24= 42% (M)
55/24=229% 30/24=125% 30/18=167%
9/24= 38% (M) 4/24= 17% (VL)
12/24= 50% (M)
37/24=154%
10/24= 42% (M)
4/24= 17% (VL) 6/30= 20% (L)
no.17
9/24= 38% (M)
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
18/24= 75% (H)
Bebars Group
no.19
Shabshery Group
no.20
9/36= 25% (L)
24/24=100%
13/18= 72% (H)
6/24= 25% (L)
El Ameer Taaz House no.16 El Eeny Group
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL)
6/24= 25% (L)
4/24= 17% (VL)
3/24= 13% (VL)
9/24= 38% (M)
Sadat House
6/24= 25% (L)
8/24= 34% (L)
9/24= 38% (M)
4/24= 17% (VL)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
9/24= 38% (M) 61/24=254%
20/24= 83% (VH
6/24= 25% (L) 23/24= 96% (VH)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
Archeologica Archeological Architictura Architictur Archeological&Ar l&Architictu Prermissions of the Structural Archeological&Archi &Architictura l& Survey al& Survey Total Delay chitictural ral Relevent Solution(SS) or PRA tictural Studies(AAS) l Documents( Documents Time/ Studies(AAS) Studies(AAS Authorities(PRA) Studies(AAS) ASD) (ASD) Project ) Time Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Delay Time/ Project Time Time Time Project Time Time Time
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra no.3
Mamaay el Seefy Groupno.11
6/24= 25% (L)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
4/24= 17% (VL)
14/24= 58.3% (H)
2/24= 8.3% (VL)
48/24=200% 6/30=20%
5/24= 21% (L)
44/24=183% 18/24=75%
2/36= 5% (VL)
5/36= 14% (VL)
5/36=14%
4/36= 11% (VL)
15/36=42%
Main Risks
Secondary Risks
Project Name
Encroachments & Occupation(EO)
Structural Failure of Monuments(SFM)
Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Probapility No
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Probapility
Impact
Magra el Eyon
no.1
80% (H) 166% (VH)
El sour El shamaly
no.2
15% (VL) 21% (L)
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
no.3
10% (VL) 17% (VL)
Gohary group
no.4
20% (VL) 25% (L)
60% (H) 4% (VL)
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
20% (VL) 33% (L)
5% (VL) 8.3% (VL)
Beshtak Group
no.6
20% (VL) 33% (L)
El Selehdar Group
no.7
10% (VL) 11% (VL)
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
no.8
25% (L) 29% (L)
Kalawoon Group
no.9
10% (VL) 25% (L)
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
Mamaay el Seefy Group no.11
40% (M) 96% (VH)
Sadat House
no.12
Wekala el Khory
no.13
65% (H) 167% (VH)
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
40% (M) 50% (M)
El Khory Group
no.15
50% (M) 100% (VH)
El Ameer Taaz House
no.16
El Eeny Group
no.17
25% (L) 38% (M)
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
50% (M) 75% (H)
Bebars Group
no.19
Shabshery Group
no.20
15% (VL) 25% (L)
10% (VL) 17% (VL) 60% (H) 8% (VL)
40% (M) 25% (L)
85% (VH) 17% (VL)
Risk Probability (%)
VL (0-23 %)
L (18-42 %)
M (39-63 %)
Risk Impact (%)
VL (0-24 %)
L (19-40 %)
M (37-63 %)
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-25 %)
L (20-45 %)
M (43-80 %)
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS) Probapility
Impact
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Solution(SS)
Probapility
Impact
30% (L) 25% (L)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
Structural Archeological&Architict Solution(SS) or PRA ural Studies(AAS) Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
90% (VH) 21% (L)
70%( H) 29% (L)
90% (VH) 92%(VH)
70% (H) 58% (H)
40% (M) 83% (VH) 80% (VH) 25% (L) 70% (H) 25% (L)
10% (VL) 17% (VL)
80% (VH) 25% (L)
40% (M) 25% (L)
75% (H) 34% (L)
80% (VH) 22% (L)
40% (M) 17% (VL)
10% (VL) 13% (VL) 90% (VH) 38% (M)
50% (M) 25% (L)
10% (VL) 13% (VL)
70% (H) 38% (M)
40% (M) 38% (M) 90% (VH) 92% (VH)
70% (H) 17% (VL) 40% (M) 25% (L)
25% (L) 13% (VL)
70% (H) 25% (L)
40% (M) 38% (M) 90% (VH) 17% (VL)
60% (H) 42% (M)
80% (VH) 58.3% (H)
90% (VH) 5% (VL)
H (60-84 %)
VH (79-100 %)
H (58-78 %)
VH (76-100 %)
H (75-95 %)
VH > 95%
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Technological Solutions(NTS)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Architictural Architictural Archeological& Archeological& & Survey Archeological&Architic & Survey Architictural Architictural Documents( tural Studies(AAS) Documents( Studies(AAS) Studies(AAS) ASD) ASD) Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL) Prermissions of the Relevent Authorities(PRA) Probapility
Impact
90% (VH) 38% (M) 20% (L) 25% (L)
80% (H) 38% (M)
70% (H) 42% (M) 90% (VH) 17% (VL)
10% (VL) 25% (L)
90% (VH) 34% (L)
30% (L) 25% (L) 85% (VH) 42% (M) 90% (VH) 17% (VL)
10% (VL) 72% (H)
20% (L) 72% (H) 40% (M) 25% (L) 40% (M) 17% (VL) 10% (VL) 13% (VL)
90% (VH) 42% (M)
90% (VH) 50% (M) 10% (VL) 17% (VL) 50% (M) 20% (L) 10% (VL) 8.3% (VL)
10% (VL) 21% (L)
10% (VL) 14% (VL) 4/36= 11% (VL)
5%(VL) 8.3% (VL)
Total Delay Time/ Project Time
61/24=254% VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258% VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167% VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121% VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167% VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100% VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
38/18=211% VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83%
H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92%
H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50%
M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229% VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125% VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
32.5 Wekala el Khory
37/24=154% VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200% VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20%
VL
6 El Ameer Taaz House
44/24=183% VH
34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75%
M
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14%
VL
5 Bebars Group
15/36=42%
L
15 Shabshery Group
Main Risks
Encroachments & Occupation(EO) Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Secondary Risks
Project Name
Project Probapility No
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB)
Structural Solution(SS)
Structural Solution(SS)
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Magra el Eyon
no.1
80
100
1
1
1
El sour El shamaly
no.2
15
21
1
1
1
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
no.3
10
17
1
1
1
Gohary group
no.4
20
25
1
1
60
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
20
33
10
17
5
Beshtak Group
no.6
20
33
1
1
1
El Selehdar Group
no.7
10
11
1
1
1
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
no.8
25
29
1
1
1
Kalawoon Group
no.9
10
25
1
1
1
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
1
1
1
1
1
40
96
1
1
1
Mamaay el Seefy Group no.11 Sadat House
no.12
1
1
1
1
1
Wekala el Khory
no.13
65
100
1
1
1
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
40
50
1
1
1
El Khory Group
no.15
50
100
1
1
1
El Ameer Taaz House
no.16
1
1
1
1
1
El Eeny Group
no.17
25
38
1
1
85
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
50
75
1
1
1
Bebars Group
no.19
1
1
1
1
1
Shabshery Group
no.20
40
25
1
1
1
Risk Probability (%)
VL (0-23 %)
VH (79-100 %)
M
Risk Impact (%) Construction Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (CCPDE) %
VL (0-24 %)
VH (76-100 %)
M
VL (0-25 %)
VH > 95%
M
Construction Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (CCPDE) %
80 15 10 20 20 20
VL (0-25 %)
VH > 95%
90 90 15 10
60 5
M
30 40 80 70 80
10
10 25 10
10 90 10
40
10 60
70 40 50 0
90 21 92 25 4 17 8
13 38 13
96
17 8
167 50 100
25
90
85
40
38 75
50 70
90
25 50
10
90
65 40 50
166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25
75 40
25 83 25 25 25 34 17 25 38
25
72
42
92
17
17 25 20 8
17
5
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Structural Failure of Monuments(SFM)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS)
Structural Solution(SS)
Structural Solution(SS) or PRA
Structural Solution(SS)
New Technological Solutions(NTS) Archeological&Architic tural Studies(AAS)
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
1
1
1
90
21
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
90
92
30
25
1
1
1
15
25
1
1
40
83
1
1
4
1
1
1
1
80
25
10
25
8
1
1
1
1
70
25
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
80
25
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
75
34
10
72
1
1
1
10
13
40
17
1
1
1
1
1
90
38
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
10
13
50
25
1
1
1
10
17
1
1
70
38
90
42
1
60
8
90
92
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
70
17
1
1
1
1
1
90
17
40
25
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
50
20
17
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
90
5
1
1
1
1
(39-63 %)
L (18-42 %)
H (60-84 %)
(37-63 %)
L (19-40 %)
H (58-78 %)
(43-80 %)
L (20-45 %)
H (75-95 %)
(43-80 %)
L (20-45 %)
70 70 90 90 40
20 70 30 85 90
H (75-95 %)
90 80
5
80
20 40 40 10
25 40 70 40 60
90 10
80
10 10 11
29 58 17 34 25 22 13
25 42 25 42 17 72 25 17 13
38 25 38 42 58
50 17 21 14 11
38 38
8
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI) Archeological&Architict ural Studies(AAS)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Architictural Architictural Archeological& Archeological& & Survey & Survey Architictural Architictural Documents( Documents( Studies(AAS) Studies(AAS) ASD) ASD)
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL) Prermissions of the Relevent Authorities(PRA)
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
Probapility
Impact
70
29
1
1
1
1
90
38
70
58
1
1
20
25
80
38
1
1
1
1
70
42
1
1
1
1
90
17
30
25
1
1
1
1
90
34
85
42
5
8
40
25
1
1
90
17
1
1
80
22
1
1
20
72
1
1
1
1
1
1
40
25
1
1
25
13
1
1
40
17
1
1
1
1
1
1
10
13
1
1
40
38
1
1
1
1
1
1
70
25
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
40
38
90
50
1
1
1
1
60
42
1
1
10
17
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
80
58
1
1
10
21
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
10
14
1
1
1
1
1
1
11
11
1
1
Total Delay Time/ Project Time
61/24=254% VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258% VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167% VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121% VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167% VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100% VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
38/18=211% VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83%
H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92%
H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50%
M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229% VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125% VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
32.5 Wekala el Khory
37/24=154% VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200% VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20%
VL
6 El Ameer Taaz House
44/24=183% VH
34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75%
M
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14%
VL
5 Bebars Group
15/36=42%
L
15 Shabshery Group
Main Risks
Encroachments & Occupation(EO) Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Secondary Risks
Project Name
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Probapilit Probapilit Impact% No y% y%
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Impact%
Probapilit y%
Magra el Eyon
no.1
99
99
15
20
85
El sour El shamaly
no.2
95
80
15
40
95
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra no.3
95
80
25
70
95
Gohary group
no.4
85
75
25
40
60
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
90
65
25
40
20
Beshtak Group
no.6
90
85
25
40
60
El Selehdar Group
no.7
90
40
25
60
0
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. no.8
90
70
25
40
20
Kalawoon Group
no.9
90
70
25
40
70
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
0
0
25
40
0
Mamaay el Seefy Groupno.11
99
99
25
50
70
Sadat House
no.12
90
40
25
70
0
Wekala el Khory
no.13
99
99
25
40
0
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
90
85
20
20
20
El Khory Group
no.15
99
99
25
40
50
El Ameer Taaz House no.16
95
35
25
40
80
El Eeny Group
no.17
90
95
25
40
80
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
95
85
25
20
0
Bebars Group
no.19
90
80
25
40
70
Shabshery Group
no.20
99
99
25
40
70
Risk Probability (%) Risk Impact (%)
VL (0-23 %) VL (0-24 %)
L (18-42 %) L (19-40 %)
M M
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-22%)
L (20-43 %)
M
80 15
90 90
30
10 20 20 20 10 25 10
15 60 5
10
10 90 10
40
10 60
70 40 50 0
90 21 92 25 4 17 8
13 38 13
96
17 8
167 50 100
25
90
85
40
38 75
10
50 70
90
25 50
10
90
65 40 50
166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25
40 80 70 80 75 40
25 83 25 25 25 34 17 25 38
25
72
42
92
17
17 25 20 8
17
5
The senarios of Historic Building Restoration Projects Structural Failure of Surrounding Structural Failure of Buildings(SFSB) Monuments(SFM) Structural Solution(SS) Impact%
Structural Solution(SS)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP) Structural Solution(SS) or PRA
Probapilit Probapilit Impact% y% y%
Impact%
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS)
New Technological Solutions(NTS) Archeological&Arc hitictural Studies(AAS) or LAFP
Probapility Probapilit Impact% Impact% % y%
25
20
30
90
95
70
40
60
65
25
25
30
90
92
70
50
50
40
95
90
95
80
40
85
75
60
65
25
70
80
0
0
80
90
60
70
20
40
60
0
0
70
90
60
35
25
80
60
0
0
80
90
60
40
0
80
80
0
0
75
80
60
70
30
40
45
95
70
70
70
60
70
65
70
70
95
95
70
60
60
70
0
50
70
70
50
70
80
50
60
45
80
75
0
0
70
85
90
85
0
90
65
95
99
80
90
90
40
0
20
20
0
0
80
80
60
40
20
50
40
0
0
70
85
50
30
40
80
90
90
90
80
85
60
65
45
90
60
0
0
80
70
80
40
45
90
70
0
0
80
87
80
40
0
20
25
0
0
60
60
50
40
40
70
80
0
0
75
70
50
40
50
75
80
90
80
75
80
50
40
(39-63 %) (37-63 %)
H (60-84 %) H (58-78 %)
VH (79-100 %) VH (76-100 %)
(38-59 %)
H (57-81 %)
VH (78-100)%
70 70
20
90 80
70 30 85 90 20 40 40 10
90 90 40 80 25
5
40 70 40 60
90 10
80
10 10 11
29 58 17 34 25 22 13
25 42 25 42 17 72 25 17 13
38 25 38 42 58
50 17 21 14 11
38 38
8
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL)
Archeological Architictura Archeologica Architictur Archeological&Arch Prermissions of the &Architictura l& Survey l&Architictur al& Survey itictural Relevent l Documents( al Documents Studies(AAS) Authorities(PRA) Studies(AAS) ASD) Studies(AAS) (ASD) Probapilit Impact% Probapility% y%
Impact% Probapility% Impact%
Probapilit Impact% y%
70
90
80
85
70
45
70
87
70
90
80
95
70
30
70
83
70
90
90
87
70
90
0
0
80
90
90
50
70
65
0
0
95
99
95
95
85
90
0
0
85
90
80
65
90
90
0
0
80
85
0
0
90
90
0
0
80
80
0
0
60
65
0
0
80
80
90
75
60
70
0
0
70
70
0
0
60
60
20
20
70
80
70
40
70
75
0
0
80
70
0
0
90
60
70
55
70
65
0
0
50
30
0
0
80
75
90
95
70
65
0
0
80
85
90
45
80
95
70
65
95
80
0
0
90
75
0
0
80
99
80
83
80
85
0
0
70
65
0
0
50
30
0
0
70
75
50
40
80
65
0
0
70
80
85
82
70
70
0
0
Total Delay Time of SCP/ Project Time
61/24=254%VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258%VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167%VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121%VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167%VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100%VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
38/18=211%VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83% H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92% H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50% M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229%VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125%VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
32.5 Wekala el Khory
37/24=154%VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200%VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20% VL
6 El Ameer Taaz House
44/24=183%VH
34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75% M
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14% VL
5 Bebars Group
15/36=42% L
15 Shabshery Group
Magra el Eyon El sour El shamaly Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra Gohary group El Moayed Sheekh Beshtak Group El Selehdar Group El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. Kalawoon Group Ebn Tolon Masged Mamaay el Seefy Group Sadat House Wekala el Khory Abo el Dahab Group El Khory Group El Ameer Taaz House El Eeny Group Kasr el Manyal Bebars Group Shabshery Group
Delay 73.1 63.6 63.8 61.7 63.8 61.4 64.4 63.8 63.8 61.6 64.1 63.8 63.9 69.0 63.9 63.7 61.4 63.6 64.1 64.1
73.1 63.6 63.8 61.7 63.8 61.4 64.4 63.8 63.8 61.6 64.1 63.8 63.9 69.0 63.9 63.7 61.4 63.6 64.1 64.1 Impact =
Impact 62.5 62.3 72.1 61.7 69.2 61.4 67.7 60.3 70.1 66.5 73.8 68.5 68.5 68.3 70.3 62.4 70.6 58.0 69.8 68.8
62.54 62.26 72.11 61.74 69.16 61.4 67.71 60.33 70.13 66.51 73.76 68.53 68.51 68.25 70.34 62.41 70.6 57.96 69.78 68.76
Evalution 82.4 76.6 90.6 62.9 90.6 51.3 90.6 72.2 90.6 76.6 90.6 90.6 90.6 91.6 90.6 76.6 72.3 72.2 90.6 90.6
61.96 59.93 70.88 50.02 68.74 49.88 67.73 60.51 69.59 58.87 71.78 68.74 68.74 61.06 69.59 59.93 58.84 60.85 69.59 68.74
VH H VH H VH M
Evalution =
Main Risks
Encroachments & Occupation(EO) Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Secondary Risks Project Name
Natural Risk(NR)
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Probapilit Probapilit Impact% No y% y%
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Impact%
Probapilit y%
Magra el Eyon
no.1
95
99
50
70
95
El sour El shamaly
no.2
95
80
50
70
95
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra no.3
95
80
50
70
95
Gohary group
no.4
85
85
50
70
60
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
90
80
50
70
90
Beshtak Group
no.6
90
90
50
70
90
El Selehdar Group
no.7
90
75
50
70
70
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. no.8
90
70
50
70
70
Kalawoon Group
no.9
90
70
50
70
70
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
80
70
50
70
60
Mamaay el Seefy Groupno.11
90
90
50
70
70
Sadat House
no.12
90
80
50
70
70
Wekala el Khory
no.13
99
99
50
70
70
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
90
85
50
70
80
El Khory Group
no.15
99
99
50
70
80
El Ameer Taaz House no.16
90
70
50
60
80
El Eeny Group
no.17
90
95
50
60
80
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
95
85
50
70
60
no.19
90
80
50
60
70
Shabshery Group no.20 Risk Probability (%) Risk Impact (%)
99
99
50
70
70
Bebars Group
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-23 %) VL (0-24 %)
L (18-42 %) L (19-40 %)
M M
VL (0-22%)
L (20-43 %)
M
80 15 10 20 20 20 10 25 10
90 90 60 5
10
10 90 10
40
10 60
70 40 50 0
90 21 92 25 4 17 8
13 38 13
96
17 8
167 50 100
25
90
85
40
38 75
10
50 70
90
25 50
10
90
65 40 50
166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25
30 40 80 70 80 75 40
15
25 83 25 25 25 34 17 25 38
25
72
42
92
17
17 25 20 8
17
5
The senarios of Historic Building Restoration Projects Structural Failure of Surrounding Structural Failure of Buildings(SFSB) Monuments(SFM) Structural Solution(SS) Impact%
Structural Solution(SS)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
New Technological Solutions(NTS)
Archeological&Arc hitictural Studies(AAS) or LAFP Probapility Probapilit Impact% Impact% Impact% % y%
Structural Solution(SS) or PRA
Probapilit Probapilit Impact% y% y%
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS)
95
80
95
90
90
70
85
60
70
80
80
95
90
92
70
85
60
70
95
90
95
80
80
95
95
60
70
80
70
80
50
75
80
90
60
70
80
80
80
50
75
70
80
60
70
80
80
80
50
75
80
90
60
70
80
80
80
50
75
75
80
60
70
80
70
80
95
80
70
60
60
70
80
70
90
95
95
70
60
60
70
60
60
70
80
80
70
80
50
60
85
80
90
50
70
70
85
90
85
70
90
90
95
99
80
90
90
90
80
75
80
50
70
80
80
60
70
85
80
90
60
70
70
85
50
70
85
80
90
90
90
80
85
60
70
85
90
80
50
60
80
85
80
70
85
90
95
50
70
80
87
80
70
60
60
70
50
60
60
60
50
60
65
70
80
40
60
75
70
50
60
80
75
80
90
80
75
80
50
70
(39-63 %) (37-63 %)
H (60-84 %) H (58-78 %)
VH (79-100 %) VH (76-100 %)
(38-59 %)
H (57-81 %)
VH (78-100)%
70 70
90 80
20 70 30 85 90 20 40 40 10
90 90 40 80 25
5
40 70 40 60
90 10
80
10 10 11
29 58 17 34 25 22 13
25 42 25 42 17 72 25 17 13
38 25 38 42 58
50 17 21 14 11
38 38
8
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL)
Archeological Architictura Archeologica Architictur Archeological&Arch Prermissions of the &Architictura l& Survey l&Architictur al& Survey itictural Relevent l Documents( al Documents Studies(AAS) Authorities(PRA) Studies(AAS) ASD) Studies(AAS) (ASD) Probapilit Probapilit Impact% Probapility% Impact% Probapility% Impact% Impact% y% y% 70
85
80
85
70
75
90
90
70
90
95
95
70
75
80
90
70
90
90
95
70
80
80
80
80
90
90
90
70
80
80
80
95
99
95
95
85
90
70
80
85
90
90
90
90
90
70
80
80
85
90
90
90
90
70
80
80
80
50
60
60
65
50
70
80
80
90
80
60
70
50
70
70
70
50
50
60
60
50
50
70
80
70
80
70
75
60
75
80
85
80
95
90
95
70
85
70
85
50
65
70
70
60
70
80
85
90
95
70
85
50
60
80
85
90
95
80
95
70
70
95
80
90
75
90
75
70
60
80
99
80
83
80
85
70
65
70
65
50
60
50
55
60
50
70
75
60
60
80
85
60
60
70
80
85
82
70
75
60
60
Total Delay Time/ Project Time
61/24=254%VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258%VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167%VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121%VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167%VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100%VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
38/18=211%VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83% H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92% H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50% M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229%VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125%VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
32.5 Wekala el Khory
37/24=154%VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200%VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20% VL
6 El Ameer Taaz House
44/24=183%VH
34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75% M
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14% VL 15/36=42% L
5 Bebars Group 15 Shabshery Group
Magra el Eyon El sour El shamaly Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra Gohary group El Moayed Sheekh Beshtak Group El Selehdar Group El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. Kalawoon Group Ebn Tolon Masged Mamaay el Seefy Group Sadat House Wekala el Khory Abo el Dahab Group El Khory Group El Ameer Taaz House El Eeny Group Kasr el Manyal
Bebars Group Shabshery Group
Compare bet.the results of programes & the actua Program Results Project Name
Project No RiskProbapility%
Values
Risk Impact %
Magra el Eyon (finished)
no.1
73.510
H
83.450
El sour El shamaly (finished)
no.2
73.510
H
83.230
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra (finished)
no.3
73.510
H
83.877
Gohary group (finished)
no.4
71.668
H
83.446
El Moayed Sheekh (finished)
no.5
73.510
H
84.094
Beshtak Group (finished)
no.6
71.524
H
82.335
El Selehdar Group (finished)
no.7
73.764
H
81.720
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. (finished)
no.8
73.510
H
66.508
Kalawoon Group (finished)
no.9
73.510
H
75.855
Ebn Tolon Masged (finished)
no.10
44.133
M
51.213
Mamaay el Seefy Group (finished)
no.11
71.668
H
81.720
Sadat House (finished)
no.12
73.510
H
84.094
Wekala el Khory (finished)
no.13
73.764
H
84.094
Abo el Dahab Group (finished)
no.14
71.668
H
83.877
El Khory Group (finished)
no.15
73.767
H
84.094
El Ameer Taaz House (finished)
no.16
70.932
H
55.333
El Eeny Group (finished)
no.17
71.524
H
84.094
Kasr el Manyal (Continuous)
no.18
73.510
H
71.232
Bebars Group (Continuous)
no.19
69.008
H
56.573
Shabshery Group (Continuous) Risk Probability (%)
no.20
73.764
H
73.768
VL (0-23 %)
L
Risk Impact (%)
VL (0-24 %)
L
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-22%)
L
80 15 10 20 20 20 10 25 10
10
40 65 40 50 25 50 40 166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25 96 167 50 100 38 75 25
17
of programes & the actual results Program Results
Actual Results
Values
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation(SCPD)%
Values
VH
90.220
VH
61/24=254%
VH
VH
90.220
VH
62/24=258%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
40/24=167%
VH
VH
89.984
VH
29/24=121%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
40/24=167%
VH
VH
89.984
VH
24/24=100%
VH
VH
89.984
VH
38/18=211%
VH
H
68.742
H
20/24=83%
H
H
68.795
H
22/24=92%
H
M
48.593
M
12/24=50%
M
VH
89.984
VH
55/24=229%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
30/24=125%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
H
90.450
VH
37/24=154%
VH
VH
90.450
VH
48/24=200%
VH
M
48.619
M
6/30=20%
L
VH
90.450
VH
44/24=183%
VH
H
68.742
H
18/24=75%
H
M
48.583
M
5/36=14%
VL
H
68.742
H
15/36=42%
(18-42 %)
M (39-63 %)
Total Delay Time of SCP/ Values Project Time%
30/18=167% VH
M H (60-84 %)
VH
(19-40 %)
M (37-63 %)
H (58-78 %)
VH
(20-43 %)
M (38-59 %)
H (57-81 %)
VH
(79-100 %)
(76-100 %) (78-100)%
Delay =
Impact =
73.51
83.44
73.51
83.23
73.51
83.88
71.67
82.33
73.51
84.09
71.52
82.33
73.76
81.72
73.51
66.51
73.51
75.86
44.13
51.21
71.67
81.72
73.51
84.09
73.76
84.09
71.67
83.88
73.77
84.09
70.93
55.33
71.52
84.09
73.51
71.23
69.01
56.57
73.76
73.77
Evaluation =
90.22 90.22 90.45 89.98 90.45 89.98 89.98 68.74 68.79 48.59 89.98 90.45 90.45 90.45 90.45 48.62 90.45 68.74 48.58
68.74
Main Risks
Natural Risk(NR) Encroachments & Occupation(EO) Legal,Administrator &Financial Procedures(LAFP)
Secondary Risks Project Name
Structural Solution(SS)
Project Probapilit Probapilit Impact% No y% y%
Structural Failure of Surrounding Buildings(SFSB) Structural Solution(SS)
Impact%
Probapilit y%
Magra el Eyon
no.1
95
99
50
70
95
El sour El shamaly
no.2
95
80
50
70
95
Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra no.3
95
80
50
70
95
Gohary group
no.4
85
85
50
70
60
El Moayed Sheekh
no.5
90
80
50
70
90
Beshtak Group
no.6
90
90
50
70
90
El Selehdar Group
no.7
90
75
50
70
0
El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. no.8
90
50
50
40
0
Kalawoon Group
no.9
90
70
50
70
70
Ebn Tolon Masged
no.10
0
0
20
30
0
Mamaay el Seefy Groupno.11
90
90
50
70
70
Sadat House
no.12
90
80
50
70
0
Wekala el Khory
no.13
99
99
50
70
0
Abo el Dahab Group
no.14
90
85
50
70
80
El Khory Group
no.15
99
99
50
70
80
El Ameer Taaz House no.16
90
30
20
20
50
El Eeny Group
90
95
50
80
90
no.17
Kasr el Manyal
no.18
95
85
0
0
0
Bebars Group
no.19
90
60
20
20
70
Shabshery Group no.20 Risk Probability (%) Risk Impact (%)
99
99
50
70
70
Structural Conservation Process Delay Evaluation (SCPDE) %
VL (0-23 %) VL (0-24 %)
L (18-42 %) L (19-40 %)
M M
VL (0-22%)
L (20-43 %)
M
80 15 10 20 20 20 10 25 10
90 90 60 5
10
10 90 10
40
10 60
70 40
85
90 21 92 25 4 17 8
13 38 13
96
17 8
167 50 100
25
90
50 0
40
38 75
10
50 70
90
25 50
10
90
65 40 50
166 21 17 25 33 33 11 29 25
30 40 80 70 80 75 40
15
25 83 25 25 25 34 17 25 38
25
72
42
92
17
17 25 20 8
17
5
The senarios of Historic Building Restoration Projects
Structural Failure of Surrounding Structural Failure of Buildings(SFSB) Monuments(SFM) Structural Solution(SS) Impact%
Structural Solution(SS)
Problems Water Lowering Projects(PWLP)
New Technological Solutions(NTS)
Archeological&Arc hitictural Studies(AAS) or LAFP Probapility Probapilit Impact% Impact% Impact% % y%
Structural Solution(SS) or PRA
Probapilit Probapilit Impact% y% y%
Unfeasible Structural Solutios(USS) Structural Solution(SS)
95
80
95
90
90
70
85
60
70
80
80
95
90
92
70
85
60
70
95
90
95
80
80
95
95
60
70
80
70
80
0
0
80
90
60
70
80
80
80
0
0
70
80
60
70
80
80
80
0
0
80
90
60
70
0
80
80
0
0
75
80
60
70
0
70
40
95
70
70
60
60
60
80
70
90
95
95
70
60
60
70
0
30
40
20
50
50
60
50
50
85
80
90
0
0
70
85
90
85
0
90
90
95
99
80
90
90
90
0
75
80
0
0
80
80
60
70
85
80
90
0
0
70
85
50
70
85
80
90
90
90
80
85
60
70
30
90
80
0
0
80
85
80
50
85
90
95
0
0
85
90
80
70
0
60
70
0
0
60
60
50
60
40
20
20
0
0
50
50
0
0
80
75
80
90
80
75
80
50
70
(39-63 %) (37-63 %)
H (60-84 %) H (58-78 %)
VH (79-100 %) VH (76-100 %)
(38-59 %)
H (57-81 %)
VH (78-100)%
70 70
90 80
20 70 30 85 90 20 40 40 10
90 90 40 80 25
5
40 70 40 60
90 10
80
10 10 11
29 58 17 34 25 22 13
25 42 25 42 17 72 25 17 13
38 25 38 42 58
50 17 21 14 11
38 38
8
Change to Policy of Intervention(CPI)
Major Decisions to Dismentale or Reconstruction(MDDR)
New Archaeological Finds(NAF)
Problems with Utility &Infrastructure Lines(PUIL)
Archeological Architictura Archeologica Architictur Archeological&Arch Prermissions of the &Architictura l& Survey l&Architictur al& Survey itictural Relevent l Documents( al Documents Studies(AAS) Authorities(PRA) Studies(AAS) ASD) Studies(AAS) (ASD) Probapilit Probapilit Impact% Probapility% Impact% Probapility% Impact% Impact% y% y% 70
85
80
85
70
75
90
90
70
90
95
95
70
75
80
90
70
90
90
95
70
80
0
0
80
90
90
90
70
80
0
0
95
99
95
95
85
90
0
0
85
90
90
90
90
90
0
0
80
85
0
0
90
90
0
0
80
80
0
0
60
65
0
0
80
80
90
80
60
70
0
0
70
70
0
0
60
60
0
0
70
80
70
80
70
75
0
0
80
85
0
0
90
95
70
85
70
85
0
0
70
70
0
0
80
85
90
95
70
85
0
0
80
85
90
95
80
95
70
70
95
80
0
0
90
75
0
0
85
99
85
90
90
85
0
0
70
65
0
0
50
55
0
0
50
50
0
0
70
60
0
0
70
80
70
70
50
50
0
0
Total Delay Time/ Project Time
61/24=254%VH
90.220 VH
77 Magra el Eyon
62/24=258%VH
90.220 VH
79 El sour El shamaly
40/24=167%VH
90.450 VH
41 Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra
29/24=121%VH
89.984 VH
29 Gohary group
40/24=167%VH
90.450 VH
40 El Moayed Sheekh
24/24=100%VH
89.984 VH
38/18=211%VH
89.984 VH
38 El Selehdar Group
20/24=83% H
68.742 H
23 El Ashraf Bersbay Gr.
22/24=92% H
68.795 H
23 Kalawoon Group
12/24=50% M
48.593 M
33 Ebn Tolon Masged
55/24=229%VH
89.984 VH
55 Mamaay el Seefy Group
30/24=125%VH
90.450 VH
30 Sadat House
30/18=167% VH
90.450 VH
37/24=154%VH
90.450 VH
37 Abo el Dahab Group
48/24=200%VH
90.450 VH
48 El Khory Group
6/30=20% VL
48.619 M
44/24=183%VH
90.450 VH
23.5 Beshtak Group
32.5 Wekala el Khory
6 El Ameer Taaz House 34 El Eeny Group
18/24=75% H
68.742 H
18 Kasr el Manyal
5/36=14% VL
48.583 M
5 Bebars Group
15/36=42% L
68.742 H
15 Shabshery Group
Magra el Eyon El sour El shamaly Kasr Moh. Aly Shopra Gohary group El Moayed Sheekh Beshtak Group El Selehdar Group El Ashraf Bersbay Gr. Kalawoon Group Ebn Tolon Masged Mamaay el Seefy Group Sadat House Wekala el Khory Abo el Dahab Group El Khory Group El Ameer Taaz House El Eeny Group
Kasr el Manyal Bebars Group Shabshery Group
Delay =
Impact = 73.51 73.51 73.51 71.67 73.51 71.52 73.76 73.51 73.51 44.13 71.67 73.51 73.76 71.67 73.77 70.93 71.52 73.51 69.01 73.76
Modefy third table
Evaluation = 83.44 83.23 83.88 82.33 84.09 82.33 81.72 66.51 75.86 51.21 81.72 84.09 84.09 83.88 84.09 55.33 84.09 71.23 56.57 73.77
90.22 90.22 90.45 89.98 90.45 89.98 89.98 68.74 68.79 48.59 89.98 90.45 90.45 90.45 90.45 48.62 90.45 68.74 48.58 68.74
VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL VL
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