4 Scenarios Economy Final

You know I got to thinking as I typically do.....especially when we talk.... And I thought it might be helpful to run some scenarios to help in future planning.... You know...I love scenarios planning so I applied it to the economy.... I really did this for me last night....but thought I would share it with you guys... I thought....I dont like to be in reaction mode.....so I sat and mind mapped 4 scenarios that might be likely to happen 4 scenarios.....these are over 9-12 months....if at least 50% of these start to happen I would probably recognize the direction... A) Super Great B) Leaning to Good C) Leaning to Bad D) Super Bad A) Super Great 1. Government cuts military budget 50% 2. Government invests $50 BB in zero point energy....electric cars, bullet trains, hydrogen cars... 3. Gas $2 gallon 4. Gold at $2500 an ounce www.kitco.com...this is important because Gold is really value below what it is worth right now at $800... 5. Euro to US Dollar. at .70 www.xe.com basically where it is now....give or take 6. Inflation at 4%...3% is cost of living http://www.inflationdata.com/inflation/ 7. Income Tax and sales tax are postponed. Money kept in peoples hands 8. Dow is at 10,000 .http://google.com/finance 9. Price of goods reduces... 10. Venezuela and US Sign trade agreement.... 11. Pull out troops from Iraq and Afghan. 12. Close 50% of bases in Iraq....thats 7 we currently have 14 bases there 13. Closing of military bases worldwide....25% 14. Unemployment rate 4% http://www.miseryindex.us/urbymonth.asp B) Leaning to Good 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.

Gold $1200 ounce www.kitco.com No more bailouts....companies allowed to fail Committee set up to investigate past presidential administrations Date set to pull out full from Iraq and Afghan with no moving or shifting of troops to other war zone Trade talks with south American countries Euro to US Dollar. at .60 www.xe.com Unemployment rate stays constant at 6.5% for 6 months...does not increase http://www.miseryindex.us/urbymonth.asp Gas $2.50 gallon

9. Dow 8800 10. Amount of military troops does not increase remains or decreases 11. Inflation steady at 4% for 6 months http://www.inflationdata.com/inflation/ 12. Decrease in government spending overall.....and elimination of duplicity of offices to reduce deficit C) Leaning to Bad 1. Unemployment rate stays constant at 7.5% increases http://www.miseryindex.us/urbymonth.asp 2. Houses that are defaulting is 1 out of 5....currently 1 out of 10 that is reported.... 3. Draft type event like recruiting of 18 to 25 year olds for some mandatory service.... 4. Military increase budget spending 20% 5. Hostage situation in middle east or conflict situation escalates 6. Euro to US Dollar. at ..50 www.xe.com 7. Gold at $800 ounce 8. Dow 7200 9. More troops on streets of US in NFL cities like Los Angeles, Chicago 10. Gas $3.25 11. Troops called for any reason 12. Bailouts continue like auto industry 13. Cities are Bailed out like AIG and Fannie Mae 14. Comex defaults on Gold certificates 15. Inflation increases to 6% represents a 60% increase currently at 3.66 http://www.inflationdata.com/inflation/ 16. Unemployment at 8.5% http://www.miseryindex.us/urbymonth.asp 17. Outages of begin of public services...like sanitation pickup every other week rather than weekly... 18. Tent cities in every NFL Cities like Los Angeles, Chicago 19. Talks increase of war in Iran 20. Bank holiday called...all banks are closed....no access to money D) Super Bad 1. 2. 3. 4.

Bailouts for States Public Services stop Euro to US Dollar. at ..20 www.xe.com Gold at $400 ounce price manipulation as US holds 15% gold reserve and market manipulation of precious metals. 5. Dow 4900 6. Gas $6 7. Tax increases across the board 30% more....such as sales tax in California to 11% 8. Unemployment at 10% http://www.miseryindex.us/urbymonth.asp 9. Soup lines 10. Riots in NFL Cities 11. War in Iran

12. Martial Law declared 13. Credit ceases.....lines of credit completely unavailable 14. Inflation increases to 15% represents currently at 3.66 http://www.inflationdata.com/inflation/ 15. Houses unable to pay mortgage 1 out of every 2 16. Food and water shortages 17. Rationing of gas 18. Riots in EU Major Cities normal occurrence..like Paris Madrid London 19. US Defaults on all loans from other countries....like China... This is just my take....I would guess.....which this just is....if 50% or more of any of the above mentioned scenarios happens....it might....just maybe worth looking at...and planning accordingly... Take care...hope this.helps... I know you have a family....and we dont have a crystal ball....but we do have scenario planning.....