371 13 Capacity Planning

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IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST BENIFICIEN THE MOST MERCIFUL

1

Group Members    

Shahid Iqbal Farhan Shahzad

ME2-2002 ME2-2012

Gulraiz Khan

ME2-2017 Muhammad Asadullah ME2-2025

2

Ca pacity pla nning o r Ag gregate Pl annin g

3

Aggregate Plan Aggregate Plan: A statement of a company’s production rates, workforce levels, and inventory holding based on estimates of customer requirements and capacity limitations

Service Industry

Manufacturing Industry



Staffing Plan



Production Plan



Regarding staffs and labor related factors



Regarding production rates and inventory 4

Aggregate Production Planning (APP) 

Determines resource capacity to meet demand



For intermediate time horizon, 6-12 months



Not feasible to build new facility



May be feasible to hire/lay off workers, overtime, or subcontract



Adjusting capacity OR managing demand

5

How should an aggregate plan fit with other plans?

Business or annual plan Production or staffing Plan (Aggregate Plan) MPS or workforce schedule 6

Aggregate Plan – Managerial Inputs Distribution and marketing Customer needs Demand forecasts Competition behavior

Operations Current machine capacities Plans for future capacities Workforce capacities Current staffing level

Materials Supplier capabilities Storage capacity Materials availability

Aggregate plan

Engineering New products Product design changes Machine standards

Accounting and finance Cost data Financial condition of firm

Human resources Labor-market conditions Training capacity 7

Aggregate Plan – Outputs Aggressive Alternatives Complementary Products

Competitive Pricing

Reactive Alternatives Size of Workforce and Workforce Adjustment

Inventory Levels

Aggregate plan

Production per month (in units or $)

Units or dollars Of Backlogs, backorders , or stockout

Units or dollars subcontracted

8

Aggregate Planning Objectives 

Minimize Costs/Maximize Profits



Maximize Customer Service



Minimize Inventory Investment



Minimize Changes in Production Rates



Minimize Changes in Workforce Levels



Maximize Utilization of Plant and Equipment 9

Demand Units

Examples of Capacity Adjustment to Meet Demand

Time 1.

Producing at a constant rate and using inventory to absorb fluctuations in demand 2.

Hiring and firing workers to match demand

Maintaining resources for high demand levels Increase or decrease working hours (overtime and undertime) 5. Subcontracting work to other firms 6. Using part-time workers 7. Providing the service or product at a later time period (backordering) 3.

4.

10

Planning Strategies 

Chase Strategies 

PURE STRATEGIES





Level Strategies 





Match demand during the planning horizon by either Vary workforce or vary output rate

Maintain a constant workforce level or constant output rate during the planning horizon Constant workforce or constant output rate

Mixed Strategies 

Combined several strategies 11

Pure Strategy Level Production

Chase Demand

Demand

Demand Production Units

Units

Production

Time

Time

12

PLANNING STRATEGIES FOR AGGREGATE PLANS Possible Alternatives during Slack Season

Possible Alternatives during Peak Season

1. Chase #1: vary workforce level to match demand

Layoffs

Hiring

2. Chase #2: vary output rate to match demand

Layoffs, undertime, vacations

Hiring, overtime, subcontracting

3. Level #1: constant workforce level

No layoffs, building anticipation inventory, undertime, vacations

No hiring, depleting anticipation inventory, overtime, subcontracting, backorders, stockouts

4. Level #2: constant output rate

Layoffs, building anticipation inventory, undertime, vacations

Hiring, depleting anticipation inventory, overtime, subcontracting, backorders, stockouts

Strategy

13

Aggregate Planning Costs   





Regular-Time Costs Overtime Costs Hiring and Layoff Costs Inventory Holding Costs Backorder and Stockout Costs

14

Ex 1 Candy Company Given the following costs and quarterly sales forecasts of a candy company, compare the two strategies: Strategy 1: Level production with constant workforce level Strategy 2: Chase production by varying workforce level Quarter Spring Summer Fall Winter

Sale Forecast (LB)



80,000 50,000 120,000 150,000





Hiring cost Firing cost Inventory carrying cost

Production rate per employee  Beginning workforce 

$100 per worker $500 per worker $0.50 per pound per quarter 1000 pounds per quarter 100 workers

15

Transportation Method

 



A method of LP Gather all cost info into one matrix Try to obtain the lowest cost alternative

16

Tableau Method 

Step 1: Put all capacities from the total capacity column into the unused capacity column. Next, put unit costs in each of the small boxes



Step 2: In column 1 (period 1), allocate as much production as you can to the cell with the lowest cost but do not exceed the unused capacity in that row or the demand in that column.



Step 3: Subtract your allocation from the unused capacity for the row. This quantity must never be negative.

17

Tableau Method

(Cont’d)



Step 4: If there is still some demand left, repeat step 2, allocating as much production as possible to the cell with the next-to-lowest cost. Repeat until the demand is satisfied.



Step 5: Repeat steps 2 through 4 for periods 2 and beyond. Take each column separately before proceeding to the next. Be sure to check all cells with unused capacity for the cell with the lowest cost in a column.

18

Farnsworth's Production, Demand, Capacity, and Cost Data Sales Period Mar.

Apr.

May

Demand Capacity:

800

1000

750

Regular

700

700

700

Overtime

50

50

50

Subcontracting

150

150

130

Beginning inventory

100 tires 19

Cost    

Regular time = $40 per tire Overtime = $50 per tire Subcontracting = $70 per tire Carrying Cost = $2 per tire per month

20

Supply Form

Demand For

Period 1 (Mar.) 0

Beginning inventory 1

Period 2 (Apr.)

Period 3 (May)

2

100 Regular

Total Capacity Available (supply)

40

Unused Capacity

4 44

42

0

100

0

700

700 Overtime

50

52

54

0

50

72

74

0

150

40

42

50

52

0

50

70

72

0

150

49

0

700

50

0

50

70

0

130

50 Subcontra

70

150 2

Regular

0

700

700 Overtime

50 Subcontra

50 3

100

Regular

700 Overtime

50 Subcontra

21

130 Total Demand

800

1000

750

230

2780

Aggregate Planning in Services Aggregate planning may be easier than in manufacturing for services like    

Restaurants Hospitals National chains of small service firms Airline industries etc

22

Controlling the cost of Labor in services is critical As it is the primary planning vehicle involving :

   

Close scheduling of labor hours (quick response) On Call labor resources (unexpected demand) Flexibility of individual worker skills Individual worker flexibility in rate of out put

23

END THANK U

24

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