Winc-361-2009

  • April 2020
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N Neettw woorrkk ffoorr DDeem mooccrraaccyy aanndd DDeevveellooppm meenntt D Dooccu um meen nttaattiioon n aan ndd R Reesseeaarrcch hD Deeppaarrttm meen ntt P.O Box 179, Mae Sod, Tak, 63110, Thailand. Tel: 66 (0) 81 7241 281. E-mail: [email protected]

t fw tyygw gwpf pf OOf f jjyyn nw f iG iG ;f ;f o ow wii;f ;f o o;Hk ;Hk o oyycf cf su suf f t Sw trrw S pf pf OOf f ((336611)) “=uyfajy; eef ee;f wGi;f t&_waf wmfyHk trSw(f 26)” ppftyk pf t k wGi;rS f;rSmay:ayguaf ewJh tuGt J +yJawGeJ@ jrefrmjynfwv$m;rSm jzpfymG ;aewJh vufonfray:wJh AH;k ayguu f rGJ j_ zpfpOfawGa=umifh etzppfacgi;f aqmifawGeJ@ rdom;pkawG&J@v+Hk cHKa&;twGuf w&kwEf idk if H axmufvrS ;f a&; tzGJ@u etzppftpd;&ud k;&udk r=umc% owd Jh m awG@&&yg dS&ygw,f? owad y;r_awGjyKvkycf w txdtcdu k f taotaysmufrsrsm;jym;cJw h Jh 2005 ckEpS f arv &efuek Af ;Hk ayguu f rGJ a_ wGrwdik cf if tJ'ED pS f rwfv avmufuwnf;u w&kwaf xmufvrS ;f a&;tzGJ@u etzudk pwifowday;cJ h mjzpfa=umif a=umif; od&&dS ygw,f? &efuek ef J@ y;cJw rEWav;+rd v;+rKd @awGrmS t=urf;zuf AH;k cGJ wdu k cf u dk rf a_ wG xyfrjH zpfymG ;Edik w f t Jh jyif etzt}uD;tuJ Adv k cf sKyf}uD;awGeJ@ olwdk@ rdom;pkawG&J@ jrefrmjynfajrmufyidk ;f eJ@ jrpf0u|e;f ay:c&D f ,f ay:c&D;pOfawGrmS vky}f uHowfjzwfzdk@}udK;yrf;r_awG ay:ayguEf idk w qd+k yD; owday;cJw h mjzpfygygw,f? etzu 2004 ckEpS f atmufwb dk mvrSm Adv k cf sKyf}uD;cif!eG f@ acgif acgif;aqmifwJh trsKd ;om;axmufvrS ;f a&;tzGJ@ (NIB)udk zsuo f rd ;f cJwJ hwt hJ jyif (MIS)vdk@ vlord sm;wJh ppfaxmufvrS ;f a&;wpf k &f iS ;f vif;r_ a&;wpfzGzJ@G v;Hk ud udkvnf; jzKwfxw jyKvkycf w Jh ma=umif k cf sKyf}uD;awGuvnf; olwdk@&J@v+Hk cHKa&;twGuf vdt k yfwowif Jhowif;tcsuaf wG&&d &&dzS dk@ w&kwf ma=umifh etzAdv Edik if u H dk vH;k vH dk m;ud;k ae&wJtcs htcsed v f nf; jzpfygw,f? v;Hk v#m;v#m; rDcS t w&kwaf xmufvrS ;f a&;tzGJ@&J@ owday;csuaf wGxrJ mS ta&;ay:tajctaew &yfeJ@ }uHK}udKufvm&if tqifh ta&;ay:tajctaewpf&yf qifh pDrcH ef@cr_GJrt _ wGuf }udKwifjyifqif qifra_ wG jyKvk f m;zdk@/ ta&;ay:owday;r_tpD tpDtpOfwpf&yf &yf a&;qGcJ srw S x f m;&dzS dk@/ jyKvkyx vH+k cHKa&;wyfzGJ@awGrmS acwfreSD nf;ynmawGeJ@ taxmuftulypP ypPn;f awGudk wyfqifoH o;kH pGzJ dk@/ AH;cG k;cGw J u dk cf u dk rf a_ wGeJ@ vkyf }uHowfjzwfra_ wGusL;vGe&ef f&ef }uHpnftm;xkwaf ewJo h wif;awGudk tcs SDaxmufvS vrS ;f od&EdS idk zf dk@twGuf aiGtiftm; tcsed rf axmuf eJ@ vltiftm;udk ydrk o dk ;Hk pGzJ dk@/ AH;k cGw J u dk cf u dk r_fru _ dk umuG,w f m;qD;Edik w f Jh tpDtrHawGud ukd }udKwifpDppD Ofaqmif aqmif&u G x f m;zdk@/ axmufvrS ;f a&;eJ@ vH+k cHKa&;wyf dk ufjrufaeatmif f m;zdk@/ pwJt h csuf a&;wyfzGJ@awGukd ydrk x eatmif oifwef;ay; avhusir_fhra_ wG jyKvkyx awG yg0ifcaJh =umif; od&&dS ygw,f ygw,f? tJ'v D dk w&kwEf idk iHfiu H wzGzowd Gowday;wJ=h um;u 2005 ckEpS f ar(7)&ufae@rSm &efuek Af ;Hk ayguu f rGJ a_ wG jzpfymG ;cJh &wm[m k w f Jh p&z ac: k cf sKyfjrifah qG/ jynfxaJ &;0ef}uD; &wm[m topfzGJ@pnf;vdu ac: ppfbufa&;&mvH+k cHKa&;tzGJ@&J@t}uD;tuJ Adv Adv k cf sKyfarmif armifO;D eJ@ jrefrmEdik if &H w J yfzGJ@ &JcsKyf cif&D wdk@&J@ aygq h r_eJ@ wm0efvpf[if;r_awG awGa=umifjh zpfw,fq+dk yD; 'kw, d Adv k f csKyfrLS ;}uD; armifat;eJ@ Adv k cf sKyf}uD;a&$ref; wdk@u a0zef k cf sKyfyrf LS ;}uD; a0zefjypfwif ajymqdck =Jh uayrJ uayrJh etzt}uD;tuJ Adv oef;a&$u, dk w f idk u f bmrS h wGuf wpHw k &mta&;,ljcif; r&dcS ygbl Jhygbl;? bmrSrajymwJt yg tJ'ED pS f ZGev f rSm w&kwjf ynfol@wyfrawmfu Adv k cf sKyf}uD; ZDtefu;GD (General. Zi Aun Quai) u ta&;ay:tajctaerSm csucf si;f vufwek f@jyefEidk zf dk@twGuf “tv#it f jrefwek f@jyefwu dk cf u dk a&;txl fa&;txl;wyfzGJ@” wckudk a&; tjrefq;Hk zGJ@pnf;xlaxmifzdk@ etzppfacgi;f aqmifawGudk aemufq;Hk t}udrt f jzpfeJ@ xyfrt H }uHjyKcJ jyKcJa=umif ha=umif; od&&dS yg w,f? tJ'w D yfzGJ@twGuf vdktyfwJh avhusio fh ifwef;ay;r_awGeJ@ okawoejyKr_awG/ ppfvuf vufeufypPn;f wyfqifay;r_ awGuvnf dkvnf; w&kwjf ynfol@vw G af jrmufa&;wyfrawmfu wm0ef,al y;r,fvdk@ urf;vSr;f cJyg hygw,f? 'Dwpf}ud }udrrf mS awmh w&kwEf idk if &H J@t}uHjyKcsuu f dk 'kwyfcsKyf 'kAv dk cf sKyfrLS ;}uD;armifat;u t;u vufccH +Jh yD; qufvuf taumiftxnfaz:aqmifzdk@ Adv k cf sKyf}uD; ol&a&$ref;udk wm0efay;tyfcyJh gw,f? 'kAv dk cf sKyfrLS ;}uD; __________________________________________________________________ NDD Weekly Inside News Commentary – 361

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armifat; k cf sKyfjrifah qG&J&@J udik wG fw, G aqmif faqmif&u G yf aHk wGudk r}udKufwma=umif t;u p&z t}uD;tuJ Adv ma=umifh ol@udk wm0efray; k cf sKyf}uD; ol&a&$ref;udk wm0efay;vdu k w f mjzpfw,f w,fvdk@ qdyg kygw,f? Adv k cf sKyf}uD;a&$ref;u tv#it f jref wkef@jyef bJ Adv wdu k cf u dk af &; txl;wyfzGJ@wpfckck zGJ@pnf;xlaxmifEidk zf dk@twGuf =unf;/ a&/ av wyfzGJ@awGxu J Adv k rf LS ;tqif&dh&Sd vufa&G;pift&m&dS (20)udk pDppf ppfa&G;cs,+f yD; w&kwjf ynfrmS oifwef;wufcidk ;f cJyh gw,f? wpfjynf jynfv;Hk rSm&dw S Jh ppfwidk ;f XmecsKyfawG/ wyfrXmecsKyfawG/ ppfqifa&;uGyu f rJ X_ mecsKyfawGeJ@ a'oqdik &f muGyf uJrp_ pfXmecsKyfawGudk t=urf;zufwd wu kd cf u dk rf r_ cH&atmif vdt k yfwvH Jhv+kH cHKa&;tpDtrHawG tjrefq;Hk aqmif&u G +f yD; ol@xH udk Zlvidk (31)&uf f(31)&ufae@rwdik rf D jyefvnfwifjytpD f pf&yf &yfuv dk nf; xkwjf yefcyJh gw,f? ytpD&ifc=H uzdk@ ta&;ay:!$e=f um;csuw ppftm%m&Siaf [mif; Adv k cf sKyf}uD;ae0if;vufxufrmS oeu(4) (cr&(cr&-303) udk oleJ@ ol@rdom;pk&J&@J vH+k cHKa&; twGuf txl;wyf&if;tjzpfeJ@ toH;k jyKcJzh ;l ygw,f? oeu(4)[m Adv k cf sKyf}uD;ae0if; aetdrt f us,cf sKyfcscaH e&wJh tcsed t f xd ol@tay: opPmapmifo h cJdcw hJ mudk awG@&ygw,f? 2002 ckEpS f rwfvtwGi;f jzpfymG ;cJw h Jh OD;ae0if;rdom;pk&J@ ratmifjrif jrifwJh tm%modr;f &ef}uHpnfrr_ mS avwyfumuG,af &;OD;pD;csKyf Adv k cf sKyfjrifah qG(av)/ }wd*aH 'owdik ;f ppfXme csKyf wdik ;f rSL; Adv k cf sKyfcscspo f ef;/ urf;&d;k wef;wdik ;f ppfXmecsKyf wdik ;f rSL; Adv k cf sKyfat;aºuGeJ@ &JcsKyf Adv k rf LS ;}uD;pd;k 0if; wdk@tjyif oeu (4) wyf&if;rSL; 'kAv h&if dk rf LS ;}uD;ausmjf rifh tygt0if wyfrLS ;wyfom;wcsKd @vnf; yg0iifyf wfoufaewmud=k unf&if odEidk yg fygw,f? e0w u OD;ae0if;rdom;pk OD;aqmifonfh ratmifjrifwJh tm%modr;f &ef}uHpnfru _ dk az:xkwt f a&;,lcJh pOfu oeu(4) d m;pkawGudk zrf;qD;xdr;f odr;f oeu(4) wyf wy&f if;wpf&if;vH;k udk vufeufjzKwford ;f cJyh gw,f? wyfzGJ@0ifawGeJ@ rDcS rdk o +yD; wyfr(11)XmecsKyfrmS ppfaq;ar;jref;r_awG jyKvkycf a=umif Jha=umif; od&&dS ygw,f? tm%modr;f zdk@}uHpnfrr_ mS yg0ifywf oufcw Jh Jh t&m&d/S t&mcH/ t=uyfwyfom;awGudk ppf S af xmif'%fawG csrw S cf yJh g ppcf &Hk ;Hk rSmwif+yD; tvky=f urf;eJ@ ESp&f n w,f? olwdk@&J@ rdom;pkawGuv dk nf; wyfu ESix f w k yf pfcyJh gw,f? tJ't D csed u f p+yD; xdyw f ef; ppftm%m&Si}f uD;(2)OD;jzpf k cf sKyfrLS ;}uD;oef;a&$eJe@J 'k'w k , d Adv k cf sKyfrLS ;}uD; jzpfwJh Adv armifat;wd t;wdk@[m aemufausmrvHjk zpfc=Jh u+yD; ud, k yf idk f cg;ydu k af qmif vH+k cHKa&;wyfawGudk pwifzGJ@pnf;cJ=h uygw,f? 2004 ckEpS f atmufwb dk mvtwGi;f Adv k cf sKyf}uD;cif!eG f@eJ@ ol@&J@ uu§vSrfr;f tzGJ@udk ta&;,lccJh sed rf mS tv,ftvwf ppfaxmufvrS ;f a&;t&m&dS trsm;tjym;[m tzrf;rcHb/J jynfwiG ;f eJeJ@ e,fpyfa'oawGrmS yke;f atmif;v_ ;v_y&f mS ;cJ=h uwJ uwJh twGuf etzAdv k cf sKyf}uD;awGudk ydrk dk pd;k &drx f yd v f ef@apcJyh gw,f? etzAdv k cf sKyf}uD;awG[m tJ'tcs Dtcsed u f p+yD; vH+k cHKa&;qd f vufawG&&dzS dk@ w&kwEf idk if ud Hukd ydrk dk a&;qdik &f m owif;tcsut rDcS dk tm;ud;k vmcJ&yg h&ygw,f? ppfaxmufvS vrS ;f a&;t}uD;tuJ Adv facgi;f k cf sKyf}uD;cif!eG f@udk ta&;,l+yD;aemufyidk ;f w&kwacg aqmif}uD;awG jrefrmjynf f ef;Adv k cf sKyf}uD }uD;awGuvnf uvnf; mjynfudk r=umc% vma&mufc=Jh uwmawG uwmawG@&ovdk etz xdyw w&kwEf idk if u H dk w&m;0ifa&m/ w&m;r0if cd;k a=umifc;dk 0Suf oGm;a&muf ;a&mufwmawGygyg jyKvkycf =Jh uyg uygw,f? w&kwjf ynfol@vw G af jrmufa&;wyfrawmf&J@ 'kw, d umuG,af &;OD;pD;csKyf Adv k cf sKyf}uD; *d*k sizfh ek ;f (Gen. Ge f ef;ppfbufu, dk pf m;vS,t f zGJ@[m 2004 ckEpS f 'DZifbm(1)&ufae@rmS jrefrmjynfudk Zhenfeng) acgi;f aqmifwJh xdyw vma&muf+yD; (5) &uf=umaexdik u f m etzacgi;f aqmif aqmifawGeJ@ awG@qaHk qG;aEG;r_awG jyKvkycf yJh gw,f? etz =unf;/ a&/ av/ !du S yG f Adv k cf sKyf}uD; ol&a&$ref;eJ@vnf; ESpEf idk if w H yfrawmfawGt=um; vH+k cHKa&;eJ@ pDrcH ef@caGJ &;qdik &f m em;vnfr_ pmc|ev f m$ (MOU) udk vufrw S af &;xd;k cJyh gw,f? Adv k cf sKyf}uD;a&$ref; acgi;f aqmifwJh xdyw f ef;ppfzuf zufu, dk pf m;vS,t f zGJ@uvnf; 2004ckEpS f 'DZifbmvukeyf idk ;f eJ@ 2005 H dk ra=ujimbJeJ@ cd;k a=umifc;dk 0Suf oGm;a&mufc+Jh yD; w&kwaf cgi;f aqmif 2005 ckEpS f rwfvtwGi;f rSm w&kwEf idk if u awGeJ@ v#Kd @0u S af qG;aEG;cJ=h uygw,f? 2005 ckEpS f ZGev f yxrywftwGi;f rSmvnf mvnf; etz 'kw, d umuG,af &;0ef &;0e}f uD; Adv k cf sKyfatmifvid_ eJfe@J ppfbufu, dk pf m;vS,t f zGJ@wpfckc[ k m w&kwjf ynf yDuif;+rdK@udk v#Kd @0u S pGfpmG oGm;a&mufc+Jh yD; ZGev f (8) &ufae@rmS w&kwjf ynfol@vw G af jrmufa&;wyfrawmfu xdyw f ef;t&m&daS wGeJ@ awG@qaHk qG;aEG;cJah =umif; od&&dS yg w,f? tjyefrmS ,leefjynfe,f ulrif;+rdK@rmS c&D;waxmufem;+yD; jrefrmjynfudk jyefvnfxu G cf mG oGm;wm ;wm awG@&d&S yg w,f? tJ'v D dk etzppfacgi;f aqmifawG w&kwEf idk if u H dk r=umc% cd;k a=umifc;dk 0Suf oGm;a&mufwu Jh pd aP wGeJ@ ywfouf +yD; jrefrmEdik if q H idk &f m w&kwpf pforH LS ; Adv k rSfrL;}uD LS ;}uD;aZmf0w d f ac: &Seaf &Smifa0ud h cg ta=umif;&if;udk ol@ 0udk ar;jref;wJt k m ar;jref;=unfyg hygq+dk yD; jyef taeeJ@ rod&adS =umif;/ etz ppfbufa&;&mvH+k cHKa&;wyfzGJ@u Adv k rf LS ;}uD; atmif&0J if; udo vnfajz=um;avh ajz=um;avh&yg dSygw,f? __________________________________________________________________ NDD Weekly Inside News Commentary – 361

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etz[m tJ't D csed u f p+yD; &JreG w f yf+rdK@rmS t=urf t=urf;zufErSd ef if;a&;oifwef;awGudk qufwu dk zGfziG v fh pS yf dk@csay; cJyh gw,f? ,H=k unfpw d cf s&+yD; wdu k yf aGJ wGrmS xl;c|ew f Jh ppfonfawGxu J ppfbufa&;&mvH+k cHKa&;oifwef;eJ@ wefjyef axmufvrS ;f a&;oifwef;awGudk wufa&mufatmifjrif+yD;ol/ t&yf 5ay 7vuf Sd /l touf 40ES 7vufr txuf&o 40ESpf atmuf&o Sd /l t&m&Stqif dtqiftwG htwGuf bGJ@&+yD;ol/ tjcm;tqift h wGuf 10 wef;atmif+yD;ol/ use;f rma&;aumif;rGe+f yD; aq;tqif d /l pdww f nf+idr+yD f+yD; qH;k jzwfcsujf ywfom;ol/ vkyif ef;vkyu f idk &f mrSm yd&ad ooyfo/l pGef@vw $ pf eG f@pm;vdk aq;tqif(h u) &So pdw&f o Sd /l awGxu J pDppfa&G;cs,+f yD; (4)v=um (4)v=um oifwef;ay;cJyh gw,f? 'Doifwef;rSm usnu f mtus/ô "gwaf iG@um rsuEf mS zH;k awGtygt0if acwfrw G f SD u dk yf 0GJ if 0wfpaHk wG/ qufo, a&;pufawGeJ@ acwfrv SD ufeufawGudk toH;k jyK+yD; ae@a&mnyg jyif;jyif;xefxef avhusi=fh u&w,fvdk@ qdyk gw,f? "g;pmcH dk nf; jyKvkycf =Jh u&ovd "g;pmcHawGudk pGef@peG f@pm;pm; m;pm; toufpGpeG f@+yD; 0ifa&mufu,fwif&wJh avhusicfh ef;awGuv u&ovd/k =unf;/ u&w,f w,fvdk@ qdyk gw,f? tJ'o D ifwef;awGxu J rS xl;c|ew f Jh a&/ av wyfzGJ@awGeJ@vnf; yl;aygi;f avhusirfh a_ wGudk jyKvky=f u& taumif;qH;k oifwef;om;awGudk xyfrpH ppf dppfa&G;cs,+f yD; ud, k &f aH wmftxl txl;wyfzGJ@tjzpf cef@tyfwm0efay;cJwmjzpf hwmjzpf a=umif; od&&dS ygw,f? etz&J@ 0g'jzef@ &kyjf rifo=H um;owif;awGxrJ mS r=umc%awG@&avh&w dS Jh Adv k cf sKyfrLS ;}uD;oef;a&$eJ@ ol@ro d m;pk awG&J@ wdik ;f cef;vSnvnf fhvnfyaGJ wGtwGi;f tlZpD ufaoeyfawG wudik u f idk ef J@ [efa&;jyaeolawG[m w&kwu f avhusifh oifwef;ay;xm;wJ k &f aH wmfwyfom;awG jzpfyg ygw,f? ? ay;xm;wJh etz txl;ud,

End of report / Thursday, April 30, 2009

0jzefef‹cso d nf? 'Dru dk a&pDEiS zfh GH‹òz;wd;k wufa&;tiftm;pk/ okawoeESifh rSww f rf;wifXmerS xkwaf 0jz Documentation and Research Department (NDD)

__________________________________________________________________ NDD Weekly Inside News Commentary – 361

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