WHAT WOULD IT LOOK LIKE IF EVERYONE HAD SUFFICIENT VITAMIN D? Robert P. Heaney, MD, FACP, FASN
Creighton University Osteoporosis Research Center
VIT D & CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE
3.5 1739 Framingham 80 % increase Offspring members 3.0 in risk age: 59 yrs 2.5 follow-up: 5.4 yrs 2.0 120 individuals developed a CV event 1.5 HR calculated against 1.0 25(OH)D values > 15 ng/mL Wang et al. Circulation 0.5 2008
Hazard Ratio
0.0
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< 10 ng/mL
53 % increase in risk
< 15 ng/mL
> 15 ng/mL
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BREAST CANCER RISK
Abbas et al., Carcinogenesis (2008) 29:93–99
1.2 1.0
Hazard Ratio
Case-control study 1394 cases 1365 controls Odds ratio for CA inversely associated with vit D status [25(OH)D]
69 % decrease in risk
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
<
30
5 0 5 –4 –6 –7 0 5 0 3 4 6
>
75
Serum 25(OH)D (nmol/L)
VITAMIN D & INFLUENZA* 208 African-American, postmenopausal women 3 yr DB-RCT placebo or vit D3 800 IU/d – 2 yrs 2000 IU/d – 3rd yr basal 25(OH)D: 18.8 ± 7.5
P < 0.002
35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
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Placebo
Vitamin D
ORC
*Aloia & U-Ng (2007) Epidemiol & Infect
4
VITAMIN D & THE COMMON COLD*
P < 0.001 association stronger for those with asthma & COPD CU
25 20
% with URTI
18,883 individuals in NHANES-III tested association between serum 25(OH)D & recent URTI
15 10
29 % reduction
5 0
< 10
10–29.9
30+
Serum 25(OH)D (ng/mL)
ORC
Ginde et al., Arch Int Med 2009 169:
5
DIABETES & 25(OH)D
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ORC
White Hispanic
0.9
Relative Risk
Scragg et al., 2004 Diabetes Care 27:2813–18 NHANES-III 6,228 adults plasma glucose independently predicted by BMI & serum 25OHD (fasting and 2 hr post load)
1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
25(OH)D Quartiles 6
NEONATAL VIT D & DIABETES* 3-fold higher risk 10
Relative Risk
10,366 northern Finnish children 2000 IU Vit D/d 1st year of life prevalence of type I diabetes assessed at age 31 RR calculated vs. no supplementation
88% lower risk
*Hypponen et al., Lancet 2001;358:1500–03
1
0.1
0.01
R
u eg
l ar
Ir
u re g
l ar
?
k ri c
e ts
Vitamin D Administration
Similar clinical study results are being published weekly
Two questions: –
How can a single nutrient have such diverse effects in so many different tissues ? If these effects are correct, why haven’t they been apparent previously ?
Two questions: –
How can a single nutrient have such diverse effects in so many different tissues ? If these effects are correct, why haven’t they been apparent previously ?
THE VITAMIN D ICEBERG
Ca economy
cell cycle regulation gene control
THE VITAMIN D ICEBERG
endocrine
autocrine
VIT D – CANONICAL SCHEME skin
D3
liver
kidney
gut
25(OH)D3
1,25(OH)2D3
CaBP
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ORC 13
VIT D – EXPANDED SCHEME endocrine
skin D3
kidney
gut
1,25(OH)2D3
CaBP
liver 25(OH)D3
autocrine
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periphery 1,25(OH)2D3
various tissues cell signals
ORC 14
Autocrine functions
AUTOCRINE ACTION 25(OH)D 1,25D
VDR
1,25D
VDR
VDRE
RXR
Transcription
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ORC 16
AUTOCRINE ACTION 25(OH)D
cell proliferation cell differentiation apoptosis immune response 24-hydroxylase
VDRE
Transcription
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ORC 17
AUTOCRINE ACTION 25(OH)D
~ 800 genes have VDREs VDRE
Transcription
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ORC 18
AUTOCRINE ACTION 25(OH)D 25OHD
25OHD
1,25D
1,25D
VDR VDRE
1,25D
VDR
RXR Transcription
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ORC 19
AUTOCRINE ACTION 25(OH)D 25OHD
25OHD
1,25D
1,25D
VDR VDRE
1,25D
VDR
RXR Transcription
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ORC 20
This scheme means that each tissue
has the amount of 1,25(OH)2D it needs when it needs it and is not dependent upon a “one-sizefits all” systemic level of circulating 1,25(OH)2D
VITAMIN D & INNATE IMMUNITY* activated Toll-like receptor
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ORC
*Liu et al., Science 2006 22
VITAMIN D & INNATE IMMUNITY* 25(OH)D
bactericidal peptide
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Cathelicidin
ORC
*Liu et al., Science 2006 23
VITAMIN D & INNATE IMMUNITY* 25(OH)D
human monocytes in fetal calf serum the Vit D 1-a hydroxylase
Cyp27B1 VDR
the Vit D receptor
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ORC
*Liu et al., Science 2006 24
VITAMIN D & INNATE IMMUNITY* 25(OH)D
human monocytes in fetal calf serum fetal calf serum is low in both 25(OH)D & 1,25(OH)2D
Cyp27B1 VDR …………
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ORC
*Liu et al., Science 2006 25
VITAMIN D & INNATE IMMUNITY* 25(OH)D
human monocytes in fetal calf serum add 1,25(OH)2D to the system
1,25D
Cyp27B1 VDR
Cathelicidin Cyp24
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ORC
*Liu et al., Science 2006 26
VITAMIN D & INNATE IMMUNITY* 25(OH)D
human monocytes in fetal calf serum add 25(OH) D to the system
25OHD
1,25D
Cyp27B1 VDR
Cathelicidin Cyp24
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ORC
*Liu et al., Science 2006 27
VITAMIN D & TUBERCULOSIS human monocytes Cathelicidin mRNA activated with M. 4 Tuberculosis and incubated in human 3 serum 25(OH)D: serum 78 nmol/L African-American 2 serum 25(OH)D: White 22 nmol/L African-American 1 with added 25(OH)D 0 A- A
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ORC
W
A- A + 25D
*Liu et al., Science 2006 28
VITAMIN D & TUBERCULOSIS these experiments show that: vit D is an essential mediator in the innate immune response serum 25(OH)D is the critical variable at least some of the increased sensitivity to infection in vit D-deficiency is due to reduction in response to infectious agents because 25(OH)D is rate-limiting the greater tuberculosis susceptibility of blacks is due in part to their low vit D status CU
ORC 29
If this new understanding is correct,
do we see evidence of impaired function in patients with low vitamin D status?
VITAMIN D & TUBERCULOSIS* 67 pts with pulmonary TB standard treatment for all in addition, randomized to either vit D 10,000 IU/d or placebo P = 0.002
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Sputum Conversion (%) 100 90 80 70 60 50
ORC
Placebo
Vit D
*Nursyam et al., Acta Med Indones 2006 31
CELL MODELS
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old:
DNA in somatic cells functions mainly to make faithful copies for tissue repair or replacement
new:
DNA functions constantly in synthesis of needed cellular apparatus
ORC ORC
HOW A CELL RESPONDS Signal/ . . . but I do have Demand the plans for what I need in my DNA I don’tlibrary. have . . . the equipment I need . . . . newly synthesized cellular equipment
Response CU
ORC 33
HOW A CELL RESPONDS 25(OH)D
Signal/ Demand 1,25(OH)2D is the key that unlocks the DNA library newly synthesized cellular equipment
Response CU
ORC 34
PERSPECTIVE vitamin D is an integral component of the mechanism whereby cells control gene transcription in response to a variety of extracellular stimuli adequate vitamin D status enables optimal response to a broad variety of signals deficiency will manifest itself differently, depending upon the tissue being stressed, thus explaining the diversity of responses CU
ORC 35
Two questions: –
How can a single nutrient have such diverse effects in so many different tissues ? If these effects are real, why haven’t they been apparent previously ?
VITAMIN D & INFLUENZA* 208 African-American, postmenopausal women 3 yr DB-RCT placebo or vit D3 800 IU/d – 2 yrs 2000 IU/d – 3rd yr basal 25(OH)D: 18.8 ± 7.5
P < 0.002
35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
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Placebo
Vitamin D
ORC
*Aloia & U-Ng (2007) Epidemiol & Infect
37
Such differences would not be apparent in ordinary medical practice because people who don’t get sick do not see the doctor – are not tracked and would not be recognized as having been protected. The protection is seen only when a cohort of well individuals is followed prospectively.
Endocrine mechanism
A VITAMIN D THRESHOLD ABSORPTION FRACTION
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
SERUM 25(OH)D (nmol/L)
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ORC 42
A VITAMIN D THRESHOLD 0.5
ABSORPTION FRACTION
physiological 0.4 regulation no longer limited by vit D 0.3 availability 0.2
0.1
0.0 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
SERUM 25(OH)D (nmol/L)
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ORC 43
A VITAMIN D THRESHOLD ABSORPTION FRACTION
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
SERUM 25(OH)D (nmol/L)
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ORC 44
VITAMIN D – Sources
?
Body D3 stores
25(OH)D
VITAMIN D – Sources
?
Body D3 stores
25(OH)D
VITAMIN D – Sources
150
Body D3 stores
25(OH)D
VITAMIN D – Sources
150
Body D3 stores
25(OH)D
typical input, all sources: ~2350 iu
VITAMIN D – Sources
150
Body D3 stores
25(OH)D
needed input, all sources: ~4000 iu
VIT D – EXPANDED SCHEME endocrine
skin D3
kidney
gut
1,25(OH)2D3
CaBP
liver 25(OH)D3
autocrine
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periphery 1,25(OH)2D3
various tissues cell signals
ORC 50
VIT D – EXPANDED SCHEME endocrine
skin D3
kidney
gut
1,25(OH)2D3
CaBP
liver 25(OH)D3
autocrine
periphery 1,25(OH)2D3
various tissues cell signals
Won’t calcitriol meet the body’s need for vitamin D?
NO!
VIT D – CANONICAL SCHEME skin
D3
liver
kidney
gut
25(OH)D3
1,25(OH)2D3
CaBP
Why not Answer: just give 1,25(OH) you can’t2give D? enough This is the value that It’s the active to achieve agent, isn’t needed it? levels. needs to be optimized
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ORC 53
Bone strength
Serum 25(OH)D and Hip BMD NHANES-III Adults Age 20 – 49 yrs LOWESS plot of difference from lowest quantile
Non-Hispanic whites
Hispanics
African-Americans
Bischoff-Ferrari HA. Am J Med 2004; 116: 634-9.
VITAMIN D & FRACTURE RISK N = 2,686 ages 65–85 5 yr RCT Vit D 800 IU/d Trivedi et al. BMJ 2003; 326:469
(hip, forearm, spine)
FRACTURE RELATIVE RISK
1.0
–33%
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0
25
50
75
100
125
150 (nmol/L)
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ORC 56
VITAMIN D & FRACTURES Relative Risk
meta-analysis 9 RCTs Vit D doses > 400 IU (but none > 800 IU) n = ~ 32,000
1.0 0.8 0.6
0.4
Bischoff-Ferrari et al. Arch Int Med (2009);169:551
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0.2 0.0
Non-vertebral
Hip
ORC 57
VITAMIN D & RISK OF FALLING*
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1.0
–49%
0.8
Fall Risk
122 women Age: 63–99 DB-RCT Ca 1,200 mg/d Ca + 800 IU Vit D 12 week duration 25(OH)D 12 ng/mL at baseline
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Ca only
Ca + D
ORC
*Bischoff et al. JBMR. 2003;18:343–351.
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VIT D & NEUROMUSCULAR FUNCTION* Performance Score
1359 men & women; mean age 75.5 Amsterdam longitud. aging study neuromuscular performance measured on a scale of 0 to 12 (higher is better) each step statistically significant *Wicherts et al. JBMR. 2005.
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
<25
25–50 50–75 SERUM 25(OH)D
>75
In brief, raising serum 25(OH)D from 50 to ~80 nmol/L improves Ca absorption, raises BMD, and reduces falls and osteoporotic fracture risk
OTHER CHRONIC DISEASES? Disease
Status of Evidence
osteoporosis osteoarthritis falls/neuromusc. fcn multiple sclerosis fibromyalgia-like syndrome type I diabetes insulin sensitivity cardiovascular disease periodontal disease various cancers tuberculosis hypertension CU
++++ + ++++ ++ ++ ++ ++ +++ ++++ ++++ ++++ ++++
ORC 61
Cardiovascular effects
VIT D & BLOOD PRESSURE*
–5.7
–13.1
125
0
*Pfeifer et al., JCEM 2001; 86:1633–37
P < 0.01 P < 0.01
Systolic BP (mm Hg)
148 women, aged 74 ± 1 DB–RCT baseline 25(OH)D < 50 nmol/L treated for 8 wks with: Ca 1200 mg/d or Ca + 800 IU vit D/d
P < 0.02
150
Ca only
Ca+D
INTERVENTION
VIT D & BLOOD PRESSURE* 10
Relative Risk
1811 men & women with measured 25(OH)D levels** 4 yrs’ observation 97 cases of incident hypertension RR computed for 25(OH)D <15ng/mL vs. >30 ng/mL
3.18 1
0.1
*Forman at al., 2007;Hypertension 49:1063 ** Health Profs Follow-up Study & Nurses Health Study
>30
<15
Anti-promotion for cancer
VITAMIN D & PROSTATE CA* 2.5
2.0
RELATIVE RISK
13 yr longitudinal study 19,000 men 149 cases prostate CA
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
*Ahonen et al., CancerCauses&Control 11:847-852 (2000)
1
2
3
25(OH)D QUARTILES
4
VITAMIN D & PROSTATE CA* 2.0
RELATIVE RISK
those below the median 25(OH)D level were 70% more likely to develop prostate CA than those above
2.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
*Ahonen et al., CancerCauses&Control 11:847-852 (2000)
1
2
3
25(OH)D QUARTILES
4
COLORECTAL CANCER
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
5t
h– 4
1 h– 3
7
4t
d– 2
3r
2n
d– 2
2
0.0
t– 16
Feskanich et al., Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2004 13:1502–08
0.8
1s
1.0
Odds Ratio
Nurses’ Health Study ages 46–78 nested case-control study 193 incident cases 25(OH)D measured twice, prior to diagnosis
25(OH)D Quintiles (with medians*)
*ng/mL
COLORECTAL CANCER 1.0
P < 0.001
0.8
Odds Ratio
5 prospective studies > 200,000 individuals 430 cases ORs computed for 25(OH)D quantiles Garland et al, 2005
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0 0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Serum 25(OH)D (nmol/L) CU
ORC 69
MAMMOGRAPHIC DENSITIES
[Berube et al., 2004; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 13:1466–72]
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1.0 Vit D Ca
0.8
Odds Ratio
543 women aged 40–60 1989–90 dietary intakes assessed with FFQ odds ratios developed for <30% vs. >70% of film with densities
0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Quartiles 70
VITAMIN D & CANCER* 1179 healthy women aged 66.7 ± 7.3 four year trial 1032 finished (87.5%) baseline 25(OH)D: 71.8 nmol/L ± 20.3 three treatment groups: control Ca (1400–1500 mg/d) Ca plus D3 (1100 IU/d) achieved 25(OH)D: 96 nmol/L ± 21.4
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ORC
*Lappe et al. AJCN 2007 71
VITAMIN D & CANCER* Fraction Cancer-Free
1.00
0.98
Ca+D 0.96
Ca-only 0.94
0.92
RR P< = 0.01 0.402
Placebo
0.90 0
1
2
Time (yrs)
3
4
*Lappe et al. AJCN 2007
VITAMIN D & CANCER* Fraction Cancer-Free
1.00
Ca+D
0.98
0.96
Ca-only
RR = 0.232
0.94
Placebo 0.92
0.90 0
1
2
3
Time (yrs)
4
5
*Lappe et al. AJCN 2007
VITAMIN D & CANCER* Fraction Cancer-Free
1.00
96 nmol/L Ca+D
0.98
0.96
Ca-only
71.8 nmol/L
0.94
Placebo 0.92
0.90 0
1
2
3
Time (yrs)
4
5
*Lappe et al. AJCN 2007
CANCERS BY TREATMENT (YRS 2–4) Site
Placebo (n=266)
Ca+D (n = 403)
Breast
7 (2.6%)
4 (1.0%)
Colon
2 (0.7%)
0 (0.0%)
Lung
3 (1.1%)
1 (0.2%)
Marrow/Lymphoma
4 (1.5%)
2(0.5%)
Other
2 (0.7%)
1 (0.2%)
Total
18 (6.8%)
8 (2.0%)*
* P < 0.05
Safety
Serum 25(OH)D (nmol/L)
VITAMIN D INTAKE & TOXICITY* 1,800
1,600 below no toxicity 30,000 IU/d 1,400
15 studies of adults receiving vitamin D supplementation (means)
1,200 1,000
8 studies reporting toxicity (individual values)
800 600 400
no toxicity below 500 nmol/L (200 ng/mL)
200 0 1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
Vitamin D Intake (IU/day) * Hathcock JN et al. Am J Clin Nutr. 2007;85:6–18.
TUIL: 10,000 IU/d*
*Hathcock et al.,(2007) AJCN 85:6–18
TWO KEY QUESTIONS assuming a target value of 80 nmol/L: how much of an increase in daily inputs would be required to ensure that no more than 2.5% of the population fell below the target value? what , if anything, is the risk of raising their 25(OH)D in those who already are at or above the target value?
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25(OH)D IN OLDER WOMEN* 100
80
Frequency
1168 women aged 55 & older latitude 41º N 25(OH)D values adjusted for season median vit D supplement dose = 200 IU
*Lappe et al., JACN 2006
60
40
20
0 0
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40
80
120
160
25(OH)D (nmol/L) 80
SHIFTING THE DISTRIBUTION improving vitamin D status at a population level means raising everybody’s value, i.e., moving the distribution to the right
RELATIVE FREQUENCY
0.025
0.020
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.000 0
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ORC
20
40
60
80 100 120 140 160 180
25(OH)D (nmol/L) 81
SHIFTING THE DISTRIBUTION 0.025
RELATIVE FREQUENCY
using an effect size of 1 nmol/L/mg/d it would require ~2000 IU of additional D each day to shift the distribution sufficiently to ensure that no more than 2.5 % fell below 80 nmol/L
0.020
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.000 0
50
100
150
200
25(OH)D (nmol/L) CU
ORC 82
SHIFTING THE DISTRIBUTION 0.025
RELATIVE FREQUENCY
taking an effect size of 1 nmol/L/mg/d it would require ~2000 IU of additional D each day to shift the distribution sufficiently to ensure that no more than 2.5 % fell below 80 nmol/L
0.020
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.000 0
50
100
150
200
25(OH)D (nmol/L) CU
ORC 83
SHIFTING THE DISTRIBUTION 0.025
RELATIVE FREQUENCY
what about those already 2 SD above the mean? the rise with an extra ~2000 IU/d would be predicted to bring them to no more than 170–180 nmol/L – well below the toxic range
0.020
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.000 0
50
100
150
200
25(OH)D (nmol/L) CU
ORC 84
CONCLUSIONS vitamin D acts in multiple systems serum 25(OH)D levels below 80 nmol/L are not adequate for any body system levels of as high as 120 nmol/L may be closer to optimal inputs from all sources combined (needed to sustain 80 nmol/L) are in the range of ~4,000 IU/d and higher CU
ORC 86
WHAT IS THE OPERATIVE MODEL?
for for for for
the media? regulators? nutritional policy makers? nutritional physiologists?
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WHAT IS THE OPERATIVE MODEL? for the media and for regulators nutrition is about killing yourself
with a fork it’s about avoiding risks it’s about warnings & cautions
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ORC 88
For a package of macaroni & cheese
http://vm.cfsan.fda.gov/~dms/foodlab.html
Limit these nutrients
Get enough of these nutrients
MEDIA REPORTING the overwhelming majority of media reports about nutrition emphasizes harm and risk while the explanation is partly that harm is more newsworthy than benefit (and the media battens on controversy) still the impression unwittingly conveyed to the general public is one of concern and danger CU
ORC 91
WHAT IS THE OPERATIVE MODEL? for nutritional policy makers nutrition is about determining
the least one can get by on without suffering overt disease (once called MDRs)
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WHAT IS THE OPERATIVE MODEL? for nutritional physiologists adult nutrition is about preventive maintenance of tissues and organs it’s about keeping them from wearing out or breaking down prematurely its referent is the intake that prevailed when human physiology evolved
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THE PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE MODEL foundational premises: all tissues need all nutrients shortages impair the functioning of all body systems premature organ/system “wearing out”, as a consequence of nutrient deficiency, will vary from person to person, depending on variable genetic composition; and therefore, expression of nutrient deficiency will usually be pluriform – both between and within individuals CU
ORC 94
THE PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE MODEL also recognizes that: the organism will work perfectly well without maintenance – for a while . . . it thus reconciles the seeming paradox that an organism can be “deficient” without being clinically “sick” – for a while . . . it’s also about squaring the morbidity/ mortality curve CU
ORC 95
THEORETICAL MORTALITY CURVE
0
20
40
60
80
100
AGE (yrs) CU
ORC 96
THEORETICAL MORTALITY CURVE 100
SURVIVAL (%)
80
60
40
20
0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
AGE (yrs) CU
ORC 97
SQUARING THE MORTALITY CURVE
Percent alive/well
100
80
Optimal nutrition has the 60 to contribute to potential this improvement 40
Certainly, NCEP and DGA take this for granted
20
0 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Age (yrs) CU
ORC 98
WHAT WOULD IT BE LIKE?
fewer cancers less diabetes fewer osteoporotic fractures less hypertension & CV disease less periodontal disease less multiple sclerosis less severe infectious disease CU
ORC 99
We don’t really know the true burden of chronic disease. And we won’t, until everyone has enough vitamin D.
Thank you . . .