Ups And Downs

Ups and Downs

The rise and fall of the Indian equity markets Ups and downs are the part and parcel of life. We rise to fall and vice versa. Not all days are sunny. The same analogy applies to the equity markets as well. Presently we are experiencing a bearish market. But this is not the first time. Before this, several bull and bear phases have taken place. Of course, what we saw during 2003-08 was an unprecedented bull rally India has ever experienced. But you must remember the law of gravity. More the force you use to throw, the thing will fall with equal amount of force. In other words, an unprecedented bull rally will follow an unprecedented bear phase too. Technically we see a bearish phase after every 8 years of an uptrend. BSE Sensex witnessed them in 1985, 1992, 2000 and then recently in 2008. We found out that from its highs during each bull phase, Sensex fell down by 55-60%. However it surged by 191% and 703% during the next bull phases from the lows of the 8 year cycle during 1992- 2000 and 2000-2008. The 2000-08 rallies were one of its kind, and if we are going to see the same sort of bull phase in the next cycle then will we see Sensex touching 59,500 by 2016? You never know. But we are certain that the next rally will be unparalleled too. It may be 34,000 or 59,500.

Year

Fall from high

Rise in next boom

High

Low

1992

54.40%

191%

4467.32 as on April 22, 1992

2036.81 as on April 26, 1993

2000

56.20%

702.80%

5933.56 as on Feb 11, 2000

2600.12 as on Sept 21, 2001

59.20%

?

20873.33 as on Jan 08, 2008

8509.56 as on Oct 27, 2008

2008

Now let us take the stock of our portfolios. Who has lost what? We have carried out a detailed analysis about the indices including sectoral indices and stocks they are comprised of. We found out that realty and metal stocks are the biggest losers with 70 and 81% respectively since January 18, 2008. Sensex and Nifty lost 48% in comparison BSE mid and small cap that lost 64-68%. Sectors that could weather the storm included FMCG, Health Care and IT with 14-30% losses since January level. In last one month sectors that have suffered the most were metal, energy and auto. Sectors that could buck the falling trend included FMCG, IT, bankex and technology in the same period. During previous week, however the most beaten down stocks recoiled. Sectors that made good come back during the previous week were realty (9.4% up) and power (5.4% up). Since January, sector wise stocks that annihilated by over 60% are as follows: Sensex: Auto: Bankex: CD: CG:

Deepak Tiwari Research Analyst [email protected] T: + 91 22 4063 3032

Nov 10, 2008

FMCG: HC: IT: Metal: Oil & Gas: Power: PSU: Realty: Media & Tech:

JP, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Rel Infra, Sterlite, DLF, Grasim, RCom, ICICI Bank and Hindaco Amtek, Tata Motors, Bharat Forge, Escort, MRF, and Ashok Leyland Yes Bank, ICICI Bank, Karnataka Bank, Kotak Bank and Indusind Bank BPL, Videocon, Rajesh Exports, Gitanjali Gems and Blue Star Gammon Infra, Walchandnagar, Elecon, Suzlon, RIIL, Bharat Bijlee, Jyoti Struct, Kalpataru Power, BEML, Havells, Usha Martin, Alstom Projects, Siemens, Praj, Bharat Elect, ABB and Punj Industries Pantaloon Wockhardt, Aurobindo, Opto Circuits, Bilcare and Sun Pharma NIIT, Aptech, Financial Tech, Moser Baer and Tech Mahindra Jai Corp, Ispat, Welspun Gujarat, Jindal Steel & Power, JSW Steel, Gujarat NRE, SAIL, NMDC, Nalco Aban, RNRL and Essar Oil GVK Power, Lanco Infratech, Neyveli, GMR and Torrent Power STC, Hind Copper, RCF, Dredging Corp, Central Bank, Bank of Maharashtra, Chennai Petro and Vijaya Bank Except Akruti all stocks annihilated by over 72% IOL Netcom, Adlabs, Teledata, HFCL, Dish TV, Deccan Chr, NDTV, Balaji Tele, Hexaware, Tanla Solutions, UTV Software, HT Media and Jagaran Prakashan,

For Private Circulation only

1

The fall in the indices and stocks constituting them (in the order of maximum loss since Jan. ‘08) Indices and BSE sectoral indices % Change

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

Realty

2342.82

-80.5%

-17.6%

9.4%

Metal

5152.33

-70.1%

-28.5%

-8.4%

3900.1

-67.9%

-17.0%

-0.7%

CD

2094.87

-64.2%

-12.0%

-0.5%

Midcap

3355.38

-62.3%

-16.3%

0.0%

Power

1777.57

-58.7%

-12.6%

5.4%

CG

7635.41

-58.4%

-13.2%

0.6%

Oil & Gas

6013.57

-52.3%

-22.9%

-8.1%

Bankex

Smallcap

5532.15

-51.4%

-4.2%

2.7%

PSU

4965.8

-48.6%

-14.3%

2.5%

Auto

2661.53

-48.3%

-22.7%

-3.1%

Nifty

2973

-47.9%

-15.4%

-2.3%

Sensex

9964.29

-47.6%

-12.0%

-3.6%

Technology

2085.84

-40.0%

-7.9%

-6.0%

IT

2670.54

-29.5%

-1.1%

-7.1%

HC

2937.11

-27.0%

-12.2%

2.8%

1968.7

-14.5%

1.1%

5.2%

FMCG 20.0%

%age change 10.0%

0.0%

-10.0%

-20.0%

-30.0%

-40.0%

-50.0%

-60.0%

-70.0% Since January

Last one month

Last one week

-80.0%

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

Technology

Realty

PSU

Power

Oil & Gas

Metal

IT

HC

FMCG

CG

CD

Bankex

Auto

Smallcap

Midcap

Nifty

Sensex

-90.0%

2

Stocks constituting the BSE indices Sensex %age Change Jaiprakash Associates Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

87.7

-79.1%

-3.6%

7.7%

Tata Motors Ltd.

158.9

-76.8%

-47.0%

-16.8%

Tata Steel Ltd.

190.1

-75.7%

-43.8%

-15.6%

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd.

560.9

-73.6%

-12.1%

4.8%

246.15

-72.1%

-15.9%

-16.5%

280.9

-72.1%

-9.0%

11.0%

1043.15

-68.8%

-33.8%

-5.3%

Reliance Communications Ltd.

228.15

-67.5%

-24.1%

-1.9%

I C I C I Bank Ltd.

431.25

-65.4%

-4.9%

0.1%

Hindalco Industries Ltd.

60.45

-64.0%

-33.4%

-4.8%

Reliance Industries Ltd.

1217.85

-56.5%

-26.2%

-15.3%

Larsen & Toubro Ltd.

870.95

-55.7%

-9.9%

-2.4%

Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.

372.25

-48.9%

-22.7%

-3.1%

Tata Power Co. Ltd.

737.35

-48.6%

-8.4%

6.4%

478.7

-44.6%

-16.1%

-6.4%

1249.25

-44.1%

-5.5%

0.7%

218.4

-43.5%

-21.8%

14.7%

Wipro Ltd.

260.45

-42.8%

-7.8%

-5.7%

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd.

524.55

-42.0%

-4.0%

-4.4%

Housing Development Finance Corpn. Ltd.

1700.5

-39.7%

-10.0%

-10.1%

Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd.

1405.1

-39.0%

-4.2%

4.8%

Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd.

741.6

-38.7%

-23.0%

4.3%

N T P C Ltd.

151.2

-36.9%

-13.7%

0.0%

1088.55

-30.9%

-1.5%

1.7%

597.65

-28.9%

-13.2%

-0.7%

650

-25.6%

-11.3%

-5.5%

277.75

-25.5%

4.9%

-7.4%

Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. D L F Ltd. Grasim Industries Ltd.

A C C Ltd. State Bank Of India Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd.

H D F C Bank Ltd. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. Bharti Airtel Ltd. Satyam Computer Services Ltd. I T C Ltd. Infosys Technologies Ltd. Hindustan Unilever Ltd.

174.8

-17.8%

5.6%

10.2%

1262.5

-13.8%

0.6%

-8.4%

249.3

16.4%

4.7%

4.8%

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

3

Auto %age Change

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

Amtek Auto Ltd.

70.2

-81.5%

-50.5%

-3.0%

Tata Motors Ltd.

158.9

-76.8%

-47.0%

-16.8%

Bharat Forge Ltd.

101.6

-70.7%

-38.6%

-2.1%

Escorts Ltd.

39.55

-70.0%

-16.5%

2.9%

M R F Ltd.

2022

-67.0%

-20.7%

-4.8%

Ashok Leyland Ltd.

16.7

-63.5%

-31.4%

-19.5%

25.75

-51.0%

-24.0%

5.3%

372.25

-48.9%

-22.7%

-3.1%

49.8

-36.2%

-13.8%

3.6%

Cummins India Ltd.

226.95

-34.0%

-17.2%

7.1%

Maruti Suzuki India Ltd.

597.65

-28.9%

-13.2%

-0.7%

3447.95

-24.7%

-2.4%

5.2%

Hero Honda Motors Ltd.

753.7

9.0%

-13.9%

3.9%

Bajaj Auto Ltd.

411.3

NA

-24.2%

-17.5%

Apollo Tyres Ltd. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Exide Industries Ltd.

Bosch Ltd.

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Bankex %age Change Yes Bank Ltd. I C I C I Bank Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

82.1

-66.9%

Last one month

Last one week

-8.6%

5.7%

431.25

-65.4%

-4.9%

0.1%

Karnataka Bank Ltd.

91.15

-64.3%

-14.4%

8.0%

Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd.

411.5

-63.6%

-9.3%

11.3%

Indusind Bank Ltd.

44.7

-60.9%

-7.5%

5.4%

Allahabad Bank

53.9

-57.1%

-9.7%

4.7%

147.3

-56.1%

-20.0%

5.3%

65.1

-56.0%

-6.1%

4.7%

Indian Overseas Bank

83.95

-54.0%

-1.8%

6.9%

Oriental Bank Of Commerce

148.5

-48.6%

-4.9%

13.9%

581

-47.8%

-9.7%

-3.5%

1249.25

-44.1%

-5.5%

0.7%

193.2

-39.2%

16.0%

15.3%

292.65

-33.1%

3.4%

17.9%

271.7

-33.1%

0.4%

9.8%

1088.55

-30.9%

-1.5%

1.7%

155.35

-23.1%

7.1%

14.0%

496.3

-22.1%

1.4%

9.7%

Federal Bank Ltd. I D B I Bank Ltd.

Axis Bank Ltd. State Bank Of India Canara Bank Bank Of Baroda Bank Of India H D F C Bank Ltd. Union Bank Of India Punjab National Bank Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

4

Consumer Durables %age Change B P L Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

20.05

-85.3%

-15.4%

2.6%

126.75

-78.8%

-20.8%

0.8%

Rajesh Exports Ltd.

30.5

-78.4%

28.7%

22.2%

Gitanjali Gems Ltd.

91.4

-75.2%

-33.9%

11.9%

Blue Star Ltd.

193

-60.2%

-23.8%

3.0%

916.9

-34.1%

2.9%

-7.5%

Videocon Industries Ltd.

Titan Industries Ltd. Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Capital Goods %age Change Gammon India Ltd. Walchandnagar Industries Ltd. Elecon Engineering Co. Ltd. Suzlon Energy Ltd. Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

84.95

-86.1%

-26.8%

7.2%

113.95

-85.7%

-31.4%

-8.0%

47.25

-83.2%

-30.4%

16.7%

70.7

-81.4%

-37.8%

53.9%

428.6

-81.1%

-1.9%

2.4%

740.55

-78.4%

-13.0%

-4.1%

63.1

-76.6%

-18.8%

6.2%

695.45

-76.1%

-7.6%

10.1%

Kalpataru Power Transmission Ltd.

419.3

-74.2%

-40.3%

-7.3%

B E M L Ltd.

418.5

-73.8%

-25.3%

-5.7%

170.05

-73.8%

-30.4%

-6.7%

32.3

-72.7%

-33.0%

-13.9%

Bharat Bijlee Ltd. Jyoti Structures Ltd. Lakshmi Machine Works Ltd.

Havells India Ltd. Usha Martin Ltd. Alstom Projects India Ltd.

258.55

-71.1%

-16.0%

5.0%

Siemens Ltd.

295.6

-69.7%

-9.8%

3.5%

Praj Industries Ltd.

72.15

-63.8%

-18.2%

1.5%

662.05

-63.7%

-17.5%

4.1%

497.2

-63.5%

-28.0%

-11.4%

199

-60.3%

-15.8%

2.3%

S K F India Ltd.

163.35

-59.3%

-4.8%

-4.6%

Thermax Ltd.

314.75

-57.0%

-9.8%

-3.9%

Bharat Electronics Ltd. A B B Ltd. Punj Lloyd Ltd.

Areva T & D India Ltd. Larsen & Toubro Ltd. Crompton Greaves Ltd. A I A Engineering Ltd. Everest Kanto Cylinder Ltd. Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd.

178

-55.9%

-24.1%

-8.9%

870.95

-55.7%

-9.9%

-2.4%

168.8

-53.2%

-19.1%

0.2%

153.25

-50.0%

-27.6%

-9.3%

182.3

-43.4%

-20.0%

-5.4%

1405.1

-39.0%

-4.2%

4.8%

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

5

FMCG %age Change Pantaloon Retail (India) Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

237.5

-64.5%

13.4%

14.4%

60

-57.7%

0.1%

-1.2%

90.5

-57.5%

-14.3%

0.2%

802.85

-56.5%

-14.5%

-13.2%

514.2

-33.8%

-17.0%

-2.3%

Britannia Industries Ltd.

1147

-26.0%

-8.9%

-2.6%

Dabur India Ltd.

85.85

-24.3%

-1.0%

3.5%

50.2

-23.1%

-8.2%

1.0%

764.65

-22.6%

8.3%

0.3%

Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd.

374.1

-18.4%

1.0%

-3.4%

I T C Ltd.

174.8

-17.8%

5.6%

10.2%

Glaxosmithkline Consumer Healthcare Ltd.

556.95

-17.1%

-4.8%

-7.2%

Godrej Consumer Products Ltd.

108.65

-10.7%

0.9%

7.1%

Radico Khaitan Ltd. Nirma Ltd. United Spirits Ltd. Tata Tea Ltd.

Marico Ltd. Gillette India Ltd.

Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Health Care Ltd.

737.1

-2.9%

6.1%

-2.4%

Hindustan Unilever Ltd.

249.3

16.4%

4.7%

4.8%

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

6

Health Care %age Change Wockhardt Ltd. Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. Opto Circuits (India) Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

103.1

-74.7%

-32.7%

-4.3%

113.15

-72.4%

-46.4%

-13.0%

94.9

-66.1%

-13.9%

-0.8%

450.1

-64.0%

-11.1%

-5.4%

Sun Pharma Advanced Research Co. Ltd.

48.9

-61.8%

-32.2%

-5.4%

Orchid Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd.

119.75

-59.1%

-37.5%

10.9%

Matrix Laboratories Ltd.

87.85

-58.7%

-15.7%

13.6%

Dishman Pharmaceuticals & Chemicals Ltd.

139.6

-57.7%

-42.8%

7.1%

119.75

-53.8%

-12.9%

18.3%

397.4

-44.0%

-23.1%

1.5%

306.15

-43.7%

-14.2%

-0.9%

Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd.

218.4

-43.5%

-21.8%

14.7%

Dr. Reddy'S Laboratories Ltd.

407.4

-39.6%

-11.8%

1.0%

215

-34.9%

-22.4%

-11.6%

500.8

-29.0%

-8.4%

2.9%

Divi'S Laboratories Ltd.

1257.9

-23.0%

8.2%

2.8%

Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd.

402.85

-18.3%

1.0%

-0.7%

Cipla Ltd.

184.35

-8.9%

-11.2%

4.9%

Bilcare Ltd.

Biocon Ltd. Ipca Laboratories Ltd. Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd.

Piramal Healthcare Ltd. Pfizer Ltd.

Cadila Healthcare Ltd. Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. Sterling Biotech Ltd. Lupin Ltd.

260

-5.8%

-15.1%

-4.2%

1063.7

5.5%

-2.6%

-3.2%

1193

9.6%

-12.7%

7.8%

179.45

11.7%

5.6%

-0.7%

690.7

20.2%

-4.6%

-3.3%

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Information Technology %age Change

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

N I I T Ltd.

28.8

-78.1%

-14.9%

-15.5%

Aptech Ltd.

87.8

-72.3%

-13.3%

0.9%

684.1

-71.0%

-10.4%

9.3%

77.2

-69.6%

-24.7%

-1.8%

325.2

-64.1%

-29.6%

-3.4%

595.35

-57.0%

5.4%

-1.0%

165

-52.1%

1.9%

-13.5%

Patni Computer Systems Ltd.

139.05

-46.6%

-13.1%

0.6%

Wipro Ltd.

260.45

-42.8%

-7.8%

-5.7%

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd.

524.55

-42.0%

-4.0%

-4.4%

163.7

-40.0%

4.1%

0.4%

H C L Technologies Ltd.

165.35

-37.8%

-12.6%

-5.2%

Satyam Computer Services Ltd.

277.75

-25.5%

4.9%

-7.4%

Infosys Technologies Ltd.

1262.5

-13.8%

0.6%

-8.4%

Financial Technologies (India) Ltd. Moser Baer India Ltd. Tech Mahindra Ltd. Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd. Rolta India Ltd.

Mphasis Ltd.

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

7

Metal %age Change Jai Corp Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

158.05

-85.1%

-21.3%

5.4%

Ispat Industries Ltd.

12.35

-79.6%

-17.7%

0.2%

Tata Steel Ltd.

190.1

-75.7%

-43.8%

-15.6%

Welspun-Gujarat Stahl Rohren Ltd.

120.7

-75.6%

-32.6%

-7.3%

Jindal Steel & Power Ltd.

737.6

-74.3%

-22.1%

-8.7%

J S W Steel Ltd.

285.35

-74.0%

-2.5%

-8.5%

Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd.

246.15

-72.1%

-15.9%

-16.5%

Gujarat N R E Coke Ltd.

30.75

-69.0%

11.3%

-6.8%

Hindalco Industries Ltd.

60.45

-64.0%

-33.4%

-4.8%

Steel Authority Of India Ltd.

84.45

-63.9%

-27.3%

-6.3%

N M D C Ltd.

155.9

-62.5%

-17.9%

3.2%

165.75

-62.1%

-55.7%

12.5%

Jindal Saw Ltd.

397.4

-59.2%

-2.9%

-1.2%

Hindustan Zinc Ltd.

315.3

-55.8%

-2.4%

-0.8%

79.9

-50.3%

-17.9%

-4.0%

National Aluminium Co. Ltd.

Sesa Goa Ltd. Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Oil & Gas %age Change Aban Offshore Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

970.15

-77.9%

-10.3%

9.9%

51.7

-74.9%

-13.5%

-3.8%

82.15

-69.7%

-33.6%

-9.5%

Reliance Petroleum Ltd.

85.2

-59.2%

-30.3%

-6.6%

Reliance Industries Ltd.

1217.85

-56.5%

-26.2%

-15.3%

367.35

-39.5%

-0.4%

4.6%

Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd.

741.6

-38.7%

-23.0%

4.3%

Cairn India Ltd.

143.3

-35.7%

-16.1%

3.2%

G A I L (India) Ltd.

213.9

-32.6%

-13.5%

-3.9%

Hindustan Petroleum Corpn. Ltd.

219.25

-29.5%

2.6%

6.6%

Bharat Petroleum Corpn. Ltd.

332.15

-23.5%

-2.5%

9.6%

Reliance Natural Resources Ltd. Essar Oil Ltd.

Indian Oil Corpn. Ltd.

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

8

Power %age Change Suzlon Energy Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

70.7

-81.4%

-37.8%

53.9%

G V K Power & Infrastructure Ltd.

18.19

-76.9%

9.9%

51.2%

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd.

560.9

-73.6%

-12.1%

4.8%

168.95

-72.6%

0.1%

22.6%

Neyveli Lignite Corpn. Ltd.

64.45

-69.9%

-14.1%

8.3%

Siemens Ltd.

295.6

-69.7%

-9.8%

3.5%

67.5

-66.9%

-4.9%

29.6%

A B B Ltd.

497.2

-63.5%

-28.0%

-11.4%

Torrent Power Ltd.

75.35

-61.1%

-7.0%

5.5%

Crompton Greaves Ltd.

168.8

-53.2%

-19.1%

0.2%

737.35

-48.6%

-8.4%

6.4%

75.3

-43.4%

-16.4%

4.5%

1405.1

-39.0%

-4.2%

4.8%

N T P C Ltd.

151.2

-36.9%

-13.7%

0.0%

Reliance Power Ltd.

117.2

NA

-14.8%

7.8%

Lanco Infratech Ltd.

G M R Infrastructure Ltd.

Tata Power Co. Ltd. Power Grid Corpn. Of India Ltd. Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd.

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

9

PSU %age Change State Trading Corpn. Of India Ltd.

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

123.75

-78.3%

-21.6%

4.4%

Hindustan Copper Ltd.

100.3

-78.0%

-19.1%

-0.4%

B E M L Ltd.

418.5

-73.8%

-25.3%

-5.7%

Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd.

32.85

-73.5%

-10.6%

-1.1%

247.85

-73.4%

-34.0%

7.7%

38

-70.8%

-13.8%

-0.7%

Neyveli Lignite Corpn. Ltd.

64.45

-69.9%

-14.1%

8.3%

Bank Of Maharashtra

25.25

-68.6%

-9.2%

-4.5%

Chennai Petroleum Corpn. Ltd.

127.8

-64.7%

-27.9%

-2.5%

Steel Authority Of India Ltd.

84.45

-63.9%

-27.3%

-6.3%

662.05

-63.7%

-17.5%

4.1%

Vijaya Bank

28.25

-63.0%

-19.6%

6.0%

N M D C Ltd.

155.9

-62.5%

-17.9%

3.2%

165.75

-62.1%

-55.7%

12.5%

393.4

-59.4%

-15.8%

-5.1%

Dredging Corpn. Of India Ltd. Central Bank Of India

Bharat Electronics Ltd.

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. Engineers India Ltd. Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd.

337.85

-59.2%

-18.2%

-12.2%

Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd.

70.1

-58.8%

-1.1%

1.7%

Dena Bank

32.2

-58.6%

-6.9%

3.4%

Uco Bank

30.1

-57.6%

0.0%

-2.1%

Allahabad Bank

53.9

-57.1%

-9.7%

4.7%

I D B I Bank Ltd.

65.1

-56.0%

-6.1%

4.7%

13655.25

-55.0%

-18.1%

-2.9%

86.1

-54.1%

-0.8%

-0.8%

M M T C Ltd. Shipping Corpn. Of India Ltd. Indian Overseas Bank

83.95

-54.0%

-1.8%

6.9%

Bongaigaon Refinery & Petrochemicals Ltd.

39.1

-53.5%

-9.4%

2.4%

Andhra Bank

50.5

-52.5%

-4.8%

9.3%

110.95

-52.2%

-0.1%

1.5%

Syndicate Bank

54.55

-50.4%

-6.2%

5.5%

Oriental Bank Of Commerce

148.5

-48.6%

-4.9%

13.9%

214.45

-48.0%

-8.0%

1.6%

1249.25

-44.1%

-5.5%

0.7%

Power Finance Corpn. Ltd.

Corporation Bank State Bank Of India Power Grid Corpn. Of India Ltd.

75.3

-43.4%

-16.4%

4.5%

367.35

-39.5%

-0.4%

4.6%

193.2

-39.2%

16.0%

15.3%

Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd.

1405.1

-39.0%

-4.2%

4.8%

Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd.

741.6

-38.7%

-23.0%

4.3%

N T P C Ltd.

151.2

-36.9%

-13.7%

0.0%

Indian Bank

136.2

-34.1%

7.8%

-0.5%

292.65

-33.1%

3.4%

17.9%

Bank Of India

271.7

-33.1%

0.4%

9.8%

G A I L (India) Ltd.

213.9

-32.6%

-13.5%

-3.9%

219.25

-29.5%

2.6%

6.6%

Indian Oil Corpn. Ltd. Canara Bank

Bank Of Baroda

Hindustan Petroleum Corpn. Ltd.

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

10

Bharat Petroleum Corpn. Ltd.

332.15

-23.5%

-2.5%

9.6%

Union Bank Of India

155.35

-23.1%

7.1%

14.0%

Punjab National Bank

496.3

-22.1%

1.4%

9.7%

Container Corpn. Of India Ltd.

687.7

-11.6%

-13.2%

7.9%

Rural Electrification Corpn. Ltd.

66.4

NA

-5.4%

-1.6%

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

11

Realty %age Change

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

Orbit Corporation Ltd.

74.7

-92.1%

-38.3%

5.7%

Unitech Ltd.

50.8

-89.3%

-46.2%

3.7%

Parsvnath Developers Ltd.

47.4

-88.5%

-34.4%

4.8%

105.8

-88.1%

-8.6%

-7.4%

116.95

-87.9%

2.9%

-15.5%

Phoenix Mills Ltd.

58.6

-86.9%

-51.1%

11.5%

Omaxe Ltd.

63.6

-85.0%

-21.6%

4.9%

Ansal Properties & Infrastructure Ltd.

47.2

-84.9%

-34.0%

1.2%

Anant Raj Inds. Ltd.

55.7

-84.4%

-40.9%

14.0%

Peninsula Land Ltd.

25

-80.7%

-25.7%

6.4%

189.4

-76.4%

-26.1%

0.8%

157.15

-76.1%

32.6%

23.7%

D L F Ltd.

280.9

-72.1%

-9.0%

11.0%

Akruti City Ltd.

649.8

-49.7%

-6.3%

-5.6%

Sobha Developers Ltd. Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd.

Mahindra Lifespace Developers Ltd. Indiabulls Real Estate Ltd.

Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Media & Technology %age Change

Current levels

Since January

Last one month

Last one week

I O L Netcom Ltd.

33.65

-92.9%

-41.0%

3.9%

Adlabs Films Ltd.

183.1

-87.3%

-27.7%

-1.0%

Teledata Informatics Ltd.

6.75

-87.0%

-10.4%

-5.5%

Himachal Futuristic Communications Ltd.

7.96

-80.3%

-11.8%

0.4%

Dish T V India Ltd.

16.97

-79.5%

-13.6%

9.0%

Deccan Chronicle Holdings Ltd.

45.25

-78.5%

-33.3%

3.5%

N I I T Ltd.

28.8

-78.1%

-14.9%

-15.5%

New Delhi Television Ltd.

98.1

-78.0%

-32.5%

-6.4%

Balaji Telefilms Ltd.

66.9

-77.7%

-46.0%

-10.0%

Hexaware Technologies Ltd.

20.4

-73.2%

-30.1%

2.0%

Aptech Ltd.

87.8

-72.3%

-13.3%

0.9%

Tanla Solutions Ltd.

93.45

-72.3%

-31.0%

-6.1%

Financial Technologies (India) Ltd.

684.1

-71.0%

-10.4%

9.3%

U T V Software Communications Ltd.

266.4

-70.8%

-61.1%

-40.4%

H T Media Ltd.

69.25

-69.4%

-28.9%

-11.7%

Reliance Communications Ltd.

228.15

-67.5%

-24.1%

-1.9%

Jagran Prakashan Ltd.

50.8

-64.7%

-21.5%

-6.0%

Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd.

70.1

-58.8%

-1.1%

1.7%

Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd.

595.35

-57.0%

5.4%

-1.0%

Sun T V Network Ltd.

158.15

-56.8%

-10.4%

5.9%

Ibn18 Broadcast Ltd.

100.9

-52.0%

6.7%

4.2%

142.15

-50.9%

-19.6%

-6.6%

36.7

-47.3%

4.6%

-5.2%

Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. Zee News Ltd.

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

12

Patni Computer Systems Ltd.

139.05

-46.6%

-13.1%

0.6%

Wipro Ltd.

260.45

-42.8%

-7.8%

-5.7%

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd.

524.55

-42.0%

-4.0%

-4.4%

163.7

-40.0%

4.1%

0.4%

165.35

-37.8%

-12.6%

-5.2%

650

-25.6%

-11.3%

-5.5%

Satyam Computer Services Ltd.

277.75

-25.5%

4.9%

-7.4%

Tata Communications Ltd.

491.35

-23.4%

6.5%

-9.4%

198.6

-21.7%

24.9%

1.6%

1262.5

-13.8%

0.6%

-8.4%

Mphasis Ltd. H C L Technologies Ltd. Bharti Airtel Ltd.

G T L Ltd. Infosys Technologies Ltd. Source: Prowess, Artha Money Research

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

13

Sensex during 1990-94

Sensex during 1994-2000 7000

5000 6000

4500 4000

5000 3500 4000

3000 2500

3000 2000 2000

1500 1000

1000 500

15-Jul-00 1-Sep-08

15-Nov-00

15-Mar-00 1-May-08

15-Jul-99

15-Nov-99

15-Jul-98

15-Nov-98 15-Mar-99

1-Jan-07

15-Jul-97

15-Nov-97 15-Mar-98

15-Jul-96

15-Nov-96 15-Mar-97

15-Mar-96

15-Jul-95

15-Nov-95

1-May-07

Sensex during 2001-03

15-Mar-95

2-Jan-90 2-Apr-90 2-Jul-90 2-Oct-90 2-Jan-91 2-Apr-91 2-Jul-91 2-Oct-91 2-Jan-92 2-Apr-92 2-Jul-92 2-Oct-92 2-Jan-93 2-Apr-93 2-Jul-93 2-Oct-93 2-Jan-94 2-Apr-94 2-Jul-94 2-Oct-94

15-Nov-94

0

0

Sensex during 2003-08

7000

25000

6000 20000 5000 15000 4000

3000

10000

2000 5000 1000

1-Jan-08

1-Sep-07

1-Sep-06

1-Jan-06

1-May-06

1-Sep-05

1-Jan-05

1-May-05

1-Sep-04

1-May-04

1-Nov-03

1-Jul-03

1-Sep-03

1-May-03

1-Jan-03 1-Mar-03

1-Nov-02

1-Jul-02

1-Sep-02

1-May-02

1-Jan-02 1-Mar-02

1-Nov-01

1-Jul-01

1-Sep-01

1-May-01

1-Jan-01 1-Mar-01

31-Dec-03

0

0

Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by Arthaeon Financial Services and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. This document is not to be reported or copied or made available to others. It should not be considered to be taken as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. The information contained herein is from sources believed to be reliable. We do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Arthaeon Financial Services and/or its affiliates or employees shall not be liable for loss or damage that may arise from any error in this document. Arthaeon Financial Services may have from time to time positions or options on, and buy and sell securities referred to herein. We may from time to time solicit from, or perform investment banking, or other services for, any company mentioned in this document.

Nov 10, 2008

For Private Circulation only

14