Shipbuilding Whitepaper

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IndianShipbuildingIndustry:Poised forTakeoff? Global Conference and Exposition on Shipbuilding KPMG IN INDIA

Preface Theglobalshipbuildingindustryisinthemidstofanunprecedentedboomat present.Attheendof2007,theglobalorderbookhadswelledto457mnDWT havingquadrupledinthelast5years.1 Thislargeincreaseindemandhasledto theemergenceofnewshipbuildingdestinations.CountriessuchasChinaandto someextentVietnam,PhilippinesandTaiwanhaveleveragedtheirinherent advantageoflowcostmanufacturingtoenterintoshipbuilding.

Indianshipbuildingindustryhasalsowitnessedhealthygrowthintherecent past.Theannualturnoveroftheindustryhasincreasedby259percentfrom 2002-2007.2 Spurredbythisrecentgrowthseveralcompaniesaresettingup shipbuildingcapacity.Theexistingshipyardsareaggressivelyexpandingcapacity. Theoverallannouncedinvestmentoftheupcomingprivateshipyardsexceeds INR200billion,allproposedtocomeonlinewithinthenext5-7years.3

Giventheinherentlaborintensivenatureoftheshipbuildingindustry,Indiahasa naturaladvantagebyvirtueofitslowercostoflaborandavailabilityofskills. However,inordertoestablishIndiaasapreferredshipbuildingdestination certainareashavetobeaddressed.Eliminationofregulatoryhurdlesand continuanceofsupportinlinewiththatenjoyedbycompetingnationslikeChina andVietnamarerequiredfortheindustrytodevelopscale.

DevelopmentofamaturelargescaleshipbuildingindustryinIndiaislikelyto drivethedevelopmentoftheheavyengineeringindustry–acriticalsupportfor notjustshipbuildingbutotherkeyinfrastructuresectorslikePowerandAviation. TheINR200bninvestmentinshipbuildinghasthepotentialtotriggeran additionalinvestmentofINR2200bninrelatedsectorssuchasteeland engineeringgoodsmanufacturing,IT/ITESandconsumables.4

Inaddition,laborintensityofshipbuildingandshiprepairalongwiththegrowth inlinkedancillaryandsupportindustrieswouldleadtosignificantemployment generation.Employmenttotheextentof0.4millionnewdirectjobsinthe shipbuildingsectorandaround2.4millionnewjobsinrelatedsectorscouldbe generatediftheaboveinvestmentcommitmentsarerealized.5

ThisKPMGwhitepaperprovidesanoverviewoftheglobalandIndian shipbuildingindustryandelaboratestheopportunitiesandchallengesforIndiain becomingapreferredshipbuildingdestination.Ihopeyoufindituseful.

Arvind Mahajan, Executive Director, Advisory Services

1 Source: Clarkson’s Data, KPMG Analysis 2 Source: SAI, KPMG Analysis 3 Source: SAI, KPMG Analysis 4 Source: SAI, KPMG Analysis 5 Source: SAI, KPMG Analysis

1

Shipbuilding has witnessed robust demand growth Shipbuildinghashistoricallywitnessedarobust growthindemandfornewvessels.Thoughtheshort termdemandhasseenpeaksandtroughs,overallthe sectorhasshownahealthyrisingtrendindemand (referFig1).TheoverallCAGRbetween1980and 2005isaround6percent,whichishigherthanmost manufacturingindustries.

Thisunparalleledgrowthhasbeenbecauseofa uniquesituationwhereseveraldrivershavepushed newbuildingdemandatthesameperiod.Thekey amongthesedriversareasfollows: Commodity driven trade growth: Therehasbeena discontinuousgrowthincommoditytrade(referFig.2) withtheriseofemergingeconomieslikeChinaand Indiaandshiftingofproductionbases Super-sizing: Inrecentyears,theaveragesizeof shipshasincreasedsubstantiallyduetofreightsaving fromscale-economiesandiscreatingdemandfor largersizevessels.Forinstance,theaverage containershipsizehasmorethandoubledoverthe past4years,increasingfrom1,967TEUin2003to 2,372TEUin20076

Atpresent,thesectorisamidstanunprecedented boom,unseeninthelastthreedecades.Attheendof 2007,theglobalorderbookhadswelledto457mn DWThavingquadrupledinthelast5years.Thekey reasonistherapidincreaseinneworderswhichhas outgrownintheincreaseinglobalshipyardcapacity. Averagedeliveryinthelast5yearshasbeenaround 60mnDWTwhereasnewordersinthesameperiod havebeenaround100mnDWTperannum.

Replacement of aging fleet: Withanaveragelife spanof30years,asizeableproportionofthecurrent fleetwhichcameinlifearound1975reachedthe replacementagefromaround2005,spurringnew buildingdemand Conversion of single-hull tankers: Concernsaround theriskofenvironmentaldamagearisingfromsingle hulltankershaveledtoregulationthatnecessitates replacementofsinglehullVeryLargeCrudeCarriers (VLCC)bydoublehulltankersorVeryLargeOre Carriers(VLOC),furtherboostingshipyardactivity.

6

Source: Nomura Research

2

Healthy demand growth is likely to continue in the long term Inthelongterm,shipbuildingdemandgrowthislikelytodemonstrate continuedhealthygrowth.Thebasicdriverofshipbuildingisglobal seabornetradewhichisgrowingatahealthyrateof4percentinthelast 25yearsandislikelytocontinuedoingso.

Latesttrendsindicatethattheshipbuildingdemandisreachingashorttermpeak7 anditisestimatedthatthatby2012,theshipbuildingmarket wouldstabilize.Thereafter,thedemandwouldreturntoitsseculargrowth rateoverthelongterm. Deliverieswouldincreaseaswellastheorderbook,andtheratio betweenthemwouldremainathistoricallevels(referFig.3).

7 New orders in 2008 have declined by over 30 percent compared to last year.

3

Supply bases have shifted to new destinations driven by supply constraints and cost advantages… Shipbuildingisatrulyglobalindustryastradingofshipsisnotprotected byanytariffbarriers.Thiscanbeascertainedbythefactthatmorethan 90percentofKorea’s(theworldleader)currentorderbookisfor exports8. Theindustryhaschangedsupplybasestolowcostdestinationsinthe lastcentury.Newcountrieshavegainedprominence,especiallyduring boomperiods.EnglandandUSweretheworldleaderstill1950(referFig. 4).JapanandKoreaemergedasprominentshipbuildingnationsduring the1950sand1970s.ThecurrentboomhasbroughtChinatothefore (referinsetonChina).Korea,JapanandChinaaccountformorethan85 percentofworlddeliveriesatpresent.

Vesselswithlessercomplexityaremovingtonewerdestinationsgiven therelativeeaseintheirmanufactureandrelativelylowerlevelsof customerloyaltyintheirpurchase.ThecurrentorderbookofKoreaand Europeistiltedtowardscomplexvesselssuchascontainershipsand cruises,whilethatofemergingnationsandChinaisdominatedbybulk vessels(referFig.5).Emergingnationshavethereforestartedwithbulk ordersandmightgraduallymoveupthevaluechainwithexperience.

8 Source: Clarkson’s data, KPMG Analysis

4

Thedriversforsuchshiftinshipbuildingbasesarecapacityconstraintsin leadingcountriesandlowershipbuildingcostsintheemergingnations. Thelowercostcomesfrominherenteconomicadvantages(e.g.cheap labor)andenablingGovernmentsupportwhichcouldresultinareduction ofshipbuilder’scost(e.g.direct/indirectsubsidy)ortheshipbuyer’scost (e.g.exportbuyerscredit).CountriessuchasVietnamandIndia,with inherenteconomicadvantages,arewellplacedtoemergeasnewplayers andgrabafairshareoftheshipbuildingpie.

Case Study: Emergence of China 9 China’sriseasashipbuildingpowerisaweinspiring.Withinaspanof fiveyearsChinahasrisentobecomethethirdlargestshipbuilding nationafterSouthKoreaandJapanintermsofdeliveries.Intermsof orderbooksizeithassurpassedJapanaswell,indicatingthatitmight soonbeedgingJapanoutofitslongheldsecondspot. Chinaaimstobecometheworld’sleadingshipbuildingnationby2015. TheChineseGovernment,throughitstwolargecompanies–CSSCand CSICandhostofotherpublic/privateshipyardsisaddingmassive capacities.WhathavebeenthedriversforChinagrowthstory?Chinese Shipyardshavebeenpropelledbyacombinationoffavorable Governmentpolicyandeconomicfactors. Chinaiscurrentlyintoits11thfive-yearplan,whichhasastrong emphasisonshipbuildinglikethepreviousplan.TheGovernmentfavors domesticshippinglinessuchasCOSCOpurchasingshipsfromChinese yardsandprovidesthemwithdiscountsandeconomicalcreditforthe purpose.Forexports,theGovernmenthasotherbenefitssuchasVAT refundonexportandprovidingsovereignguaranteeandlowmargin credittoshipbuyers. China’sbiggesteconomicadvantageislowlaborcost.Evenafter incorporatingproductivitydifferences,Chineselaborcostisaround50 percentofKoreanandJapaneselabor.ThatChinaisthecheapeststeel manufacturerintheworldalsohelpsitsyardstoreducecostandlower theirshipbuildingpricesintheglobalmarket. However,thereareafewconcerns.Chinastillhastodependonimports for60percentofrawmaterials.Governmenthassetatargetof reducingthisto30percentbytheendofthe11thfive-yearplan.Lackof technologyisanotherobstaclethatChineseyardshavetoovercometo getordersforcomplexvessels.Toaddressit,Chineseyardsaretyingup withKoreanandJapaneseyardsfortechnologyandfocussingon smallerandlesscomplexvessels(referFig.6).

9 Source: Clarkson’s Data, KPMG Research, Deutsche Bank

5

Indian shipbuilding industry has demonstrated strong growth Theyear2002servedasawater-shedforIndianshipbuildingindustry.In thatyear,theGovernmentofIndiaintroducedasubsidyschemeforboth publicandprivatesectorshipyards.Thesubsidywastargetedat addressingthedistortionsofthedomesticeconomicenvironmentwhich impactdomesticshipbuildersadverselyaswellasaddressingtheimpact ofdirectandindirectsupportprovidedtotheshipyardsinothercountries. Withglobalshipbuildingwitnessinganupwardtrend,theIndian shipbuildingindustryhasbeenabletotakeadvantageofthis Governmentsupporttoestablishitspresenceinglobalshipbuilding.The followingtablesummarizesthegrowthexperiencedbyIndian shipbuilders. Table1.PerformanceofIndianYards(INRmn) Period 1997-2002 Between2002-2007 Percentagedifference

Order Book

Turn Over

Investment

8,160

10,170

430

148,770

36,570

8,430

1,723%

259%

1,860%

Havinggainedexperienceandsomecredibilitywithinternationalbuyers, IndianyardsarenowgraduatingfromsmallervesselssuchasOSV/PSV tolargervesselssuchasbulkcarriers.Recently,theRatnagiri-based Rajapuryardhaswontheordertobuild300,000DWTVLCC,thefirst orderofthissizebyanIndianyard.10

10 Source: Clarkson’s Database, KPMG research

6

Healthy growth has attracted new players into shipbuilding 11

Spurredbythisrecentgrowth,severalcompaniesaresettingup shipbuildingcapacities.Mostexistingyards,suchasABGandBharatiare expandingcapacityandundertakinggreen-fieldexpansion.Port companies,notablyAdaniandSKILareindifferentstagesofdeveloping shipyards.Shippinglinesareeyeingshipyardsaslateralexpansion. ApeejayShipping,MercatorLinesandGarwareOffshorehaveentered theshipbuildingmarketinalliancewithleadingplayers.Finally,related heavyindustryplayersarealsoplanningtograbashareofthismarket. ThissegmentincludesengineeringgiantL&T,andsteelmakersTataand JSW.Theoverallannouncedinvestmentoftheupcomingprivate shipyardsexceedsINR200billion,allcomingonlinewithinthenext5-7 years.

11 Source: SAI, KPMG Research

7

India enjoys competitive advantages Indiaalsoenjoysseveraloftheadvantageswhichhavepropelled emergingcountriessuchasChinaandVietnamintotheforefrontof globalshipbuilding.Someofthekeyadvantagesthatcanbeleveragedby shipbuildersinIndiaare: Low Labor Cost: Lowlaborcostisakeydrivingfactorinshipbuilding nations,asitaccountsformorethan10percentofthetotalcost(refer Fig.7a).Indianlaborcostsareonthelowersideascomparedtothoseof theleadingshipbuildingnations(referFig.7b).Evenafterfactoringin impactofproductivity,IndianlaborissubstantiallycheaperthanKorean andChineselabor.Moreimportantly,Indianlaborcostisgrowingathalf therateinChina,whichimpliesthatIndiamightcontinuetohavean edgeoverChinainthefuture.

Strong Domestic Demand: Indianshippingtradeisboomingonthe backofeconomicgrowthattherateofapproximately8percent. Domesticshippinglinesareexpandingtheirfleetsandhaveplaced orderswithglobalyards.Thereisalsoastrongthrustinbasicsectors suchaspowerandsteelandcompaniesarelookingtoacquireshipsto controltransportfrominternationalmines.

12 Source: Guangzhou is a leading yard in China owned by CSSC. ‘Others’ includes SG&A cost and financing expenses.

8

TheGovernment’snewinitiativesinCoastalShippingandIWT,islikelyto furtherboostdemandfornewships.NewportsandIWTlaneswould requiredredgingandotherport-relatedvesselsupport.Finally,the ongoingoffshoreexplorationsareexpectedtocreatedemandforrigs, OSVandPSV.Thus,eveninapossibleshort-termlowdemandscenario, thereisenoughdomesticdemand,whichIndianshipbuilderscan capitalizeupon. Supporting industry infrastructure for some components: Indiahas domesticindustrieswhichcanproducesomeoftherawmaterials requiredinshipbuilding.Specifically,Indiahascompetitivesteel manufacturing,lightengineeringandIT/ITESindustrieswhichcanoffer therequiredproductsateconomicalcosts.Theseindustriesarecurrently notproducinggoodsfortheshipbuildingsector,mainlyduetolackof sufficientscaleofshipbuildinginthecountry. Long Coastline: Indiaenjoysalongcoastlineofmorethan7,500kmlong withseveraldeepwaterportsservingasgoodlocationsforsettingup shipyards. OtherdriversforshipbuildingindustryinIndiaincludethelimitedsurplus capacityavailablewiththeglobalshipbuildingyardsandabooming capitalmarketwhichcouldprovideeasyfinancingforcapitaland operationalexpensesoftheseyards.Indiahasproveditscapabilityin shipbuildingintheareaofsmallervessels(referFig.8)bygettinga sizeablemarketshare.However,therearespecificareaswhichhaveto beaddressedifIndiahastoachievethesameinlargervessels.

However, these advantages are negated by regulatory hurdles Indianyardsfacesystemicdisadvantagesinseveralareaswhichnegate theirnaturalcompetitivenessandadverselyimpacttheirchancesof succeedinginaglobalizedshipbuildingindustry.Indianshipbuildersface acostdisadvantageof30-40percentofthecostofmanufacturingaship onaccountofthesefactors13.Thekeydisadvantagesareasfollows:

StatutoryBurden Shipbuildingattractsacomplexsetofleviesandduties.Thedifferential rateofdutiesandtaxesbetweenIndiaandothernationsleadsto additionalcostburdenforIndianshipyards.

13 All figures taken from Shipbuilding Economic Benefits and Benchmarking Government Support across Countries prepared by KPMG

9

Levies Octroi,CST,VATandexcisearesomeoftheleviesapplicableto shipyards.Severalshipbuildingnationshaverelaxedtheseleviesto encourageshipyards.Forinstance,ChinarefundsVATcompletelyon domesticsaleofshipswhereasinIndiaVATisrefundedonlyoninputs. Thelackofsuchspecialincentivesfortheshipbuildingsectorleadstoan additionalburdenof8percentfordomesticsalesandaround3percent forexportsales. Indirect Taxes ServiceTax@12.36percentisapplicableonalldesignandengineering servicesprocuredbytheshipyardsduringthecourseofship construction.Itisestimatedthattheextentofservicecontributioninthe contractpriceofashipisaround12percent.IncountriessuchasChina, alumpsumVATisapplicable,whichislaterrefunded. CorporatetaxalsoimpactsIndianshipbuildersadverselyascomparedto competitorsinChinaandVietnam.Thegovernmentsinthesecountries offeraslewofincentivestotheshipbuildingsector.Manysegmentsof shipbuildinginChinahavebeennotifiedas‘Encouragedsector’which enablecompaniestooffsetapartofinvestmentagainsttaxationwithin fiveyearsofcommencement.Suchconcessionshelpyardstoreduce costduringtheinitialyearswhentheyarecompetingtoestablish themselves.However,therecentinitiativesofIndianshipyardsto structurethemselvesasSEZenablesthemtooffsetthisdisadvantage significantly.

FinancingCosts Financingcostsassumegreatersignificanceinshipbuildingduetoits specialrequirements.Majorshipbuildingcountrieshavecreated supportivemechanismstoeasetheburdenofthesecosts.Indian shipyards,withnosuchdirectsupport,faceadditionalcostsonaccount offinancing. Bank Guarantees Shipyardsarerequiredtoprovidebankguaranteestoprotecttheship buyer.Theseguaranteescompriseperformanceguarantee(fortimely delivery),refundguarantee(forstagepayments)andpost-construction guarantee(towardsdefects). InChina,thegovernmentprovidessovereignrefundguaranteesfor certainclassofvessels,thusremovinganyrelatedburdenonthe shipyard.InKorea,shipyardfinancinghasmaturedandtheevolved mechanismsdrivethecostlower.However,inIndia,financialinstitutions donothaveafocusontheshipbuildingsectorandthereisnosupport fromtheGovernmenttoreducethechargesasinthecaseofKorea.Asa result,thecostofbankguaranteesinIndiaishigherthancompeting countries.

10

Working Capital Typically,ashipyardrequiresaworkingcapitalofaround25-35percentof thecostoftheshipduringtheentireconstructionperiod.Theinterest ratesonworkingcapitalinIndiaaverage10.5percent.Incontrast,the interestratespresentlyofferedtoshipbuildingyardsoverseasare significantlylowerataround5-6percentinKoreaandaround4-8percent lowerinChina.Inaddition,exportcreditinthesecountriesisofferedat muchlowerinterestrates.

Othercosts Indianshipbuildingindustryisatanearlystagebuthastocompete againstestablishedyardsinKoreaandChinatograbashareofthe market.Itslowerscaleleadstoseveraldisadvantagesindesignand manpowercosts.Leadingshipbuildingcountriessupporttheindustryby creatingenablingpoliciesfordevelopmentoftechnicalandmanpower capabilities. Forinstance,Chinaprovidesscientificresearchsubsidytomaritime universities,andprovidesR&Dandlivingallowancetopostgraduate students,toensureavailabilityofatalentpoolforshipyards.Korea establishedashiplaboratoryentirelythroughGovernmentfundingin 1976tointroduceadvancedforeigntechniquesanddevelopsuch techniquesindigenously. ThereisanincreasedfocusbyIndianshipbuildersondevelopingdesign capabilitieseitherin-houseorthroughestablishedbodieslikeNational ShipDesignResearchCentre(NSDRC).However,itmaystilltakesome timeforIndiatomitigatethiscostdisadvantagewhichclearlydepends ontheirabilitytoattractordersandoffsetashareofprofitintheseareas.

11

Government support is critical to mitigate regulatory disadvantages Incontextofsales,theshipbuildingindustryisatypicalglobal manufacturingindustry,however,whenitcomestoproduction,itis highlyconcentrated,duetotherelativelyhighlevelsofstateintervention. Mostcountries,throughaseriesofmeasures,helptheshipyardsin reducingcostsandattractingglobalbusiness.Thesupportprovidedby Chinaishighlightedinthefollowinginset.

Case Study: China’s support to shipbuilding Chinahasfollowedtherouteofplanneddevelopmentalratherthan market-rationaldevelopmentfortheshipbuildingsector.Overthelast decade,Chinahasundertakenaseriesofinitiativestopromoteand supportthegrowthofshipbuildingindustry.Thesemeasures,introduced atbothcentralandprovinciallevel,havecontributedsignificantlyto growthofshipbuildingsectorinChina.Thefollowingfiguredepictsthe timingofthesemeasuresvis-à-visthegrowthtrendwitnessedinthe shipbuildingsectorandclearlyindicatesthattherewasleadtimeinthe realizationofbenefits.

12

1.LossreimbursementtodomesticshipbuilderssuchasDalian Shipyard 2.Scrappingaidonallshipsproducedduring1972-2001 3.SupportinAcquiringland.Preferentialratesonacquisition.CapitalTax subsidiesprovided.VATrefundispresentupto17percent 4.ExchangeRateControl 5.Incentivestoencourageshipbuildingindustrydevelopmentat LiaoningShipbuildingZone 6.Circularonacceleratingshipbuildingindustrydevelopmentin Zhejiangprovince 7. Tenthfive-yeardevelopmentplanforshipbuildingindustry.Interim ProvisionsonPromotingIndustrialStructureAdjustment. Thereasonforthissupportisnothardtoguess,viz.-onaccountofthe largecontributionoftheindustrytothecountry’seconomy.Interestingly, countrieshavenotonlysupportedtheindustryduringitsinitialgrowth phase,butcontinuedtoextendbenefitsevenwhentheindustry matured.Thesupportcontinuedevenduringglobaldownturn,underlining thesignificantcorrelationbetweenshipbuildingandthenational economy. InIndia,theGovernmenthastraditionallybeenprovidingsupporttothe Indianshipbuildingindustrythroughvariousmeasures.Whilemostof thesemeasureswereaimedatprotectingthepublicsectorshipyards, theGovernmentintroducedsupportivemeasuresfortheprivatesectorin 2002.TheconsequentstronggrowthinshipbuildingsectorinIndiabears testimonytothecriticalityofGovernmentsupportasshowninTable1. Currently,Indiahasemergedasoneofthepotentialleadersintheglobal shipbuildingmarket.However,theIndianyardsareyettoachievethe criticalscaletoovercomethedisadvantagescomparedtoother competingnations.Hence,GovernmentsupportisessentialforIndiato realizeitsshipbuildingpotentialandenjoytheconsequentbenefitstothe economy,atleasttillthetimethecriticalhurdleiscrossed.Certainstates arealreadytakingthelead.Gujarat,thecurrentfavoreddestinationfor Indianshipbuilders,iscomingupwithashipbuildingpolicy,tofurther promotethesector.14

14 Source: Marinelink

13

ThefollowingaresomeoftheoptionsthattheCentralandState Governmentscanuseassupportingmeasures: • • • • • • •

Directsubsidyagainstcontractprices Provisionofrefundguarantees State-fundedorsubsidizedinnovation,R&Dtodevelopshipdesign, shipbuildingtechnology,orshipyardproductionexpertise Project/workingcapitalfinanceonsubsidizedinterestorinterest-free loans,underwritingdebttoreducethecommercialrisk Preferentialtaxschemesforshipownersorforshipyards Exchangeratecontrolforshipyards-thisreducesoneofthekeyrisk factors Incentivestoancillaries–e.g.steelproducers,mainenginebuildersor equipmentsuppliers.

GovernmentsupportiscriticaltilltheIndianshipbuildingindustrygains criticalvolumestoremoveitsscalerelateddisadvantagesandremoveits dependenceonimportsforprocuringraw-materials.

14

Development of an ancillary setup Ancillaryindustriesusuallylagthedevelopmentofshipbuildingindustry inanycountry.Itrequirestheshipyardstoachieveacriticalmassbefore globallyrenownedancillarycompaniessuchasMan,Wartsila,Caterpillar andRollsRoyceestablishasizeablepresencethere.Thisisevidencedby theevolutionofshipbuildinginputindustryinChinaasdepictedinFig.9.

MostgloballyreputedcompaniesstartedestablishinginChinaafter2002 whenitcrossedacapacityof5mnDWT15.Eventhenmostoftheseare jointventureswithleadinglocalshipyardstomitigateriskandtie-in customers.Incontrast,India’scurrentcapacityaswellasitsexpected capacityin2011ismuchlowerthantheChinesethresholdcapacity.This mightimplythatIndianshipyardswouldcontinuetheirdependenceon importsforsourcingtheirinputs.

15 The capacity is not defined as a threshold volume but is shown as an indicator of scale

15

However,India’sstrengthsinthemanufacturingsectormightadvance theprocesshere.Indiaisrecognizedasaglobalplayerinlight engineeringandamajorbaseforautoancillaries.Thishascreatedawellestablishedpoolofengineeringgraduatesandsuppliercompaniesto suchindustries.Indiacanbeusedbyancillarycompaniesasaglobal productionbasecateringtolocalshipbuildersaswellastheglobal market. Somesignsofthisoccurrencearealreadyvisible.ManDieselhassetup anengineplantatAurangabadandWartsilaisinnegotiationswithseveral domesticshipyardstosetupasimilarunitinthecountry.RollsRoyceis settingupanelectronicsandcommunicationplantinNaviMumbai.16 However,forIndiatohaveasizeablecomponentsetup,domestic demandhastoreachacriticalmasstosustainglobalinterest.Also,the shipbuildingindustryneedstobeproactive.AscanbeseenfromFig.9, CSSCandCSICaswellasotherlocalplayerspartneredwith manufacturingcompaniestostartlocalproductionofthesecomponents. Indianplayersneedtoreplicatethemodel.

16 Source: KPMG Research

16

The multiple benefits of shipbuilding justify the support 17

Shipbuildingisaunusualindustryas65percentofvalueadditionduring buildingofshipscomesfromotherindustries.Also,shipbuildingisa laborintensiveindustry.Asanestimate,about750workersworkingfora yeararerequiredtobuilda30,000DWTvesselinIndia. Thegrowthofthedomesticshipbuildingsector,whichtodayimports about45percentofitsinputrequirements,canprovideamajortrigger forlarge-scaleindigenizationofheavyengineeringproductsand ancillaries.Heavyengineeringindustryisintegratedwithvariouscore sectorsforitsdemand.Thedemandisderivedprimarilyfromcapacity creationsinsectorslikeinfrastructureandgeneralmanufacturing includingprocessindustries.Beinganintermediateindustry,itsdemand dependsonend-userindustries.However,astheenduserindustrymix isfairlydiverse,itisnecessarytogeneratelong-termsustainablegrowth driversforheavyengineeringsegment,inordertoexpandthe manufacturingbaseandenhanceoverallmanufacturingcompetitiveness. Shipbuildingindustrycanplaytheroleofmotherindustrytoheavy engineering,similartothecriticalroleessayedbyautomanufacturingin caseoflightengineering.Thegrowthprojectionsformanufacturingin Indiawouldbemuchhigheriftheshipbuildingindustrytakesoffinthe nextfewyears. TheIndianShipbuildingIndustryhasdemonstratedaspirationstoacquire a7.5percentshareinglobalshipbuildingby2017,whichisexpectedto haveasizeofabove500mnDWT.Analysissuggestthatthiswould requireIndianshipbuilderstoinvestclosetoINR200Bninnewyard capacity,whichinterestingly,isthecurrentlevelofcumulativeinvestment declaredbyvariousentrantsinthissector. ThisINR200bninvestmentinshipbuildingcantriggeradditional investmentofINR2200bninrelatedsectorssuchassteeland engineeringgoodsmanufacturing(referFig.10a),IT/ITESand consumables.Likewise,shipbuildingislikelytogeneratearevenueof INR800bnandanoverallrevenueofINR3300bnincludingassociated sectors.ThisrevenuecouldprovidearoundINR250bnintaxesforthe Government. 17 Source: All figures taken from Shipbuilding Economic Benefits and Benchmarking Government Support across Countries prepared by KPMG

17

Table2 Labor employed / Turnover (INR mn) for various industries Shipbuilding

97

Auto-CommercialVehicles

12

HeavyEngineering

33

Construction-Civil

18

Source:KPMGAnalysis

Suchascaleofinvestmentcanalsoleadtosignificantmultiplierbenefits intermsofemploymentgenerationandinvestmentinother manufacturingsectors.Employmenttotheextentof0.4millionnew directjobsinshipbuildingsectorandaround2.4millionnewjobs(refer Fig.10b)inrelatedsectorscanbegeneratediftheaboveinvestment commitmentsarerealized18.Furthermore,thejobcreationpotentialof shipbuildingismorethanothercomparablesectorsascanbeseenin Table2. Inaddition,ahealthyshipbuildingindustryisalsolikelytoattractshiprepairbusiness.Shiprepairisevenmorelaborintensivethan shipbuilding.India,withitslaboradvantageanditsidealpositionon internationaltraderoute,iswellplacedtowrestthisbusinessfrom competitors,oncetheshipbuildingindustryisdeveloped.Thiscancreate additionalrevenueandemploymentopportunitieswithmarginalincrease ininvestment. Finally,aboomingdomesticshipbuildingindustrywouldalsoprovidethe muchneededdomesticcapabilitywhichcanbeaccessedforfuture needsoftheNavyandCoastGuardandhelprealizethegoalof indigenizationindefenceproduction.

18 Source: Shipyards Association of India

18

Conclusion Thedevelopmentoftheshipbuildingsectorhasthepotentialtopositively impacttheeconomyincludingservicesectors.Torealizeitsgrowth potential,thesectorneedstoestablishandachieveacriticalmass.The windowofopportunitypresentedbytheongoingboomphaseneedsto becapitalizedtofirmlygroundtheindustryalongwithitsancillaries. IndianshipbuildinghassubstantialplansforinvestmentofaroundINR 200bnoverthenext5-10years,incapacityexpansionandupgradation oftheexistingyards.However,thisinvestmentandconsequentbenefits canmaterializeonlyifsupportivemeasuresarecontinuedbythe Governmenttoaddressthesystemicdisadvantagesaffectingthe competitivenessofIndianshipbuildingindustry.Inaddition,proactive actionbyshipyardstopromoteancillarybuildupiscritical.Addressing thesedisadvantagesarelikelytonotonlymakethecommercial shipbuildingindustrycompetitive,butalsocreatestrategicallybeneficial optionsformeetingIndia’sdefenserequirements.

19

Glossary CAGR

CompoundedAnnualGrowthRate

CIF

CostInsuranceFreight

COSCO

ChinaOceanShippingCompany

CSIC

ChinaShipbuildingIndustryCorporation

CSSC

ChinaStateShipbuildingCorporation

CST

CentralSalesTax

DWT

DeadWeightTonnage

EIU

EconomicIntelligenceUnit

GT

GrossTonnage

INR

IndianRupee

IT

InformationTechnology

ITES

InformationTechnologyEnabledServices

IWT

InlandWaterTransport

JSW

JindalSouthWest

KOSHIPA

KoreanShipbuildingAssociation

L&T

LarsenandToubro

LNG

LiquifiedNaturalGas

MN

Million

OSV

OffshoreSupplyVessel

PSV

PlatformSupplyVessel

R&D

ResearchandDevelopment

SAI

SihpyardsAssociationofIndia

SG&A

SellingGeneralandAdministration

SKIL

SeaKingInfrastructureLimited

TEU

TwentyfeetEquivalentUnit

VAT

ValueAddedTax

VLCC

VeryLargeCrudeCarrier

VLOC

VeryLargeOreCarrier

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About FICCI FICCIistherallyingpointforfreeenterprisesinIndia.Ithasempowered Indianbusinesses,inthechangingtimes,toshoreuptheir competitivenessandenhancetheirglobalreach. Withanationwidemembershipofover1500corporatesandover500 chambersofcommerceandbusinessassociations,FICCIespousesthe sharedvisionofIndianbusinessesandspeaksdirectlyandindirectlyfor over2,50,000businessunits.Ithasanexpandingdirectmembershipof enterprisesdrawnfromlarge,medium,smallandtinysegmentsof manufacturing,distributivetradeandservices.FICCImaintainsthelead astheproactivebusinesssolutionproviderthroughresearch,interactions atthehighestpoliticallevelandglobalnetworking. Setupin1927,ontheadviceofMahatmaGandhi,FICCIisthelargest andoldestapexbusinessorganizationofIndianbusiness.Itshistoryis verycloselyinterwovenwiththefreedommovement.FICCIinspired economicnationalismasapoliticaltooltofightagainstdiscriminatory economicpolicies.Thatcommitment,driveandmissioncontinueinthe ever-changingeconomiclandscapeofIndia,chasingalwaysnewer agenda. Intheknowledge-drivenglobalizedeconomy,FICCIstandsforquality, competitiveness,transparency,accountabilityandbusiness-governmentcivilsocietypartnershiptospreadethics-basedbusinesspracticesandto enhancethequalityoflifeofthecommonpeople.

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About KPMG in India KPMGistheglobalnetworkofprofessionalservicesfirmsofKPMG International.Ourmemberfirmsprovideaudit,taxandadvisoryservices throughindustryfocused,talentedprofessionalswhodelivervalueforthe benefitoftheirclientsandcommunities.Withnearly123,000people worldwide,KPMGmemberfirmsprovideservicesin145countries. ThememberfirmsofKPMGInternationalinIndiawereestablishedin September1993.Asmembersofacohesivebusinessunit,theyrespond toaclientserviceenvironmentbyleveragingtheresourcesofaglobal networkoffirms,providingdetailedknowledgeoflocallaws,regulations, marketsandcompetition.Weprovideservicestoover5,000international andnationalclients,inIndia.KPMGhasofficesinIndiainMumbai,Delhi, Bangalore,Chennai,Hyderabad,KolkataandPune.ThefirmsinIndiahave accesstomorethan3000Indianandexpatriateprofessionals,manyof whomareinternationallytrained.Westrivetoproviderapid,performancebased,industry-focusedandtechnology-enabledservices,whichreflecta sharedknowledgeofglobalandlocalindustriesandourexperience oftheIndianbusinessenvironment.

in.kpmg.com

KPMGinIndia

KPMGContacts

FICCI

Mumbai KPMG House, Kamala Mills Compound 448, Senapati Bapat Marg, Lower Parel, Mumbai 400 013 Tel: +91 22 3989 6000 Fax: +91 22 3983 6000

Arvind Mahajan Executive Director Advisory Services e-Mail: [email protected] Tel: +91 22 3989 6206

FICCI Federation House, Tansen Marg, New Delhi 110001 Tel.: +91 11 2373 8760-70 Fax: +91 11 2372 1504, 2332 0714

Delhi 4B, DLF Corporate Park DLF City, Phase III Gurgaon 122 002 Tel: +91 124 3074000 Fax: +91 124 2549101

Manish Sharma Director Advisory Services e-Mail: [email protected] Tel: +91 124 3074836

Pune 703, Godrej Castlemaine Bund Garden Pune - 411 001 Tel: +91 20 3058 5764/65 Fax: +91 20 3058 5775

FICCIContact Mahesh Y Reddy Senior Director e-Mail: [email protected] Tel: +91 11 2373 8760

Bangalore Maruthi Info-Tech Centre 11-12/1, Inner Ring Road Koramangala, Bangalore – 560 071 Tel: +91 80 3980 6000 Fax: +91 80 3980 6999 Chennai No.10 Mahatma Gandhi Road Nungambakkam Chennai 600 034 Tel: +91 44 3914 5000 Fax: +91 44 3914 5999 Hyderabad 8-2-618/2 Reliance Humsafar, 4th Floor Road No.11, Banjara Hills Hyderabad - 500 034 Tel: +91 40 2335 0060 Fax: +91 40 2335 0070 Kolkata Park Plaza, Block F, Floor 6 71 Park Street Kolkata 700 016 Tel: +91 33 2217 2858 Fax: +91 33 2217 2868

Theinformationcontainedhereinisofageneralnatureandisnotintendedtoaddressthecircumstancesofanyparticularindividual orentity.Althoughweendeavortoprovideaccurateandtimelyinformation,therecanbenoguaranteethatsuchinformationis accurateasofthedateitisreceivedorthatitwillcontinuetobeaccurateinthefuture.Nooneshouldactonsuchinformation withoutappropriateprofessionaladviceafterathoroughexaminationoftheparticularsituation.

©2008KPMG,anIndianPartnershipandamemberfirm oftheKPMGnetworkofindependentmemberfirms affiliatedwithKPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.All rightsreserved.PrintedinIndia. KPMGandtheKPMGlogoareregisteredtrademarksof KPMGInternational,aSwisscooperative.

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