Saeed Saman 08 08 14

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‫ﺑﻼگ ﺳﻌﺪ ﺳﺎﻣﺎ ﺑﺴﺖ  ﺳﻮ ﻣﺮ ﻣﺎ ‪١٣٨٧‬‬

‫ ﺳـﻴﻪ ﻳﺎ ﺳـﻴﺎ!‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﭼﻨﺪ‪ '%‬ﺗﺶ ‪%‬ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻴﺮ‪%‬ﻫﺎ ﮔﺮﺟﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻋﻼ ﺳــﻤﻰ ﺗﺮ ﻣﺨﺎﺻﻤﻪ  ﺳﻮ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ‪  ،‬ﻧﻈﺮ ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﻳــﺎ‪ /‬ﺳــﻴﺪ‪ ،-‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻋﻨﻮ‪ /‬ﻛﺮ ﻛــﻪ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ‪ %‬ﺗﺒﻌﺎ‪ 1‬ﻣﺘﻔﺎ‪ /0 1%‬ﺗﺎ ﭘﺎﻳﺎ‪ /‬ﺧــﻮ ‪   -‬ﭘﻴﺶ  ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﺑﻌﺎ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻌﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺗﺨﺎﺻﻢ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ  ﻳﻜﻰ  ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺟﻬﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮ ﮔﻴﺮ ‪ ،‬ﻫﻨﻮ  ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ‬ ‫‪0‬ﻏﺎﻳﻦ ﻗﺮ ﻳﻢ‪  .‬ﺳــﺎ‪D‬ﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺳــﺎﻣﺎ‪0 /‬ﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻤﺎ‪ D‬ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﺸﺨﺼﻰ  ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ‪%‬‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ﻧﺪ‪ /‬ﺗﻴﺰ ﻛﺮ ‪ -‬ﺑﻮ ‪ % .‬ﺟﺎ ﺗﻌﺠﺐ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﻣﻴﺎ‪ /‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪% % /‬ﻛﺮﻳﻦ  ﻟﻮﻳﺖﻫﺎ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷــﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﮔﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻳﺎ ﺳــﻴﺎ‪ -‬ﻛﻪ ﻳﻜﻰ  ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺷﺎﻫﺮگﻫﺎ ﺗﺒﺎﻃﻰ ﻗﺎ' ‪%‬ﭘﺎ ‪0 %‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻳﺎﺑﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺴﺎﺳﻴﺖﻫﺎ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﺑﺮ ﭼﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺳﺘﻮ ﺷﺪ‪.-‬‬

‫ ﻳﺎ ﺳــﻴﺎ‪  -‬ﺳــﻮﺣﻞ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ﺧﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺸﻮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻣﺤﺪ‪ %‬ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ ‪ % ،‬ﻣﻰ ﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﺳﺎ‪D‬ﻫﺎﺳﺖ ﻋﻀﻮ ﺳﻤﻰ ﭘﻴﻤﺎ‪/‬‬ ‫‪0‬ﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ ﺷــﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﻃﻰ ‪ /%‬ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺮ ‪ ،‬ﺷــﺮ‪ S‬ﻛﺎﻣﻞ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ‪0‬ﺑﺮ‪-‬ﻫﺎ ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﻧﻪ  ﻳﺎ ﺳﻴﺎ‪ ،-‬ﻳﻜﻰ  ﻻﺋﻠﻰ ﺑﻮ ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﻧﺴــﺖ  ﺗﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻔﻮ‪ X‬ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ‪ %‬ﺳــﺎﺑﻖ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﻧﻘﺶ‪0‬ﻓﺮﻳﻨﻰ ﻛﻨﺪ؛ ﻳﮕﺮ ﺳﻮﺣﻞ ﻳﻦ ﻳﺎ ﻃﻰ ‪/%‬‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳــﺮ  ﺳــﺖ ﺷﻮ‪%‬ﻫﺎ ‪ %‬ﻳﺎ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ‪/‬ﺷﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﻮ ‪ .‬ﻣﺮ‪ %‬ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻫﻨﻮ ﺑﺮ ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺟﻨﻮ‪ V‬ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎ‪ -‬ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺧﻮ  ﺣﻔﻆ ﻛﺮ ‪ ،-‬ﻛﻪ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ ‪%‬ﻣﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﻠﻐﺎﺳﺘﺎ‪% ،/‬ﻛﺮﻳﻦ ‪ %‬ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪  ،/‬ﺳﻮﺣﻞ ﻳﻦ ﻳﺎ  ﻛﻨﺎ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪﻧﺪ! ‪ %‬ﮔﺮ ‪%‬ﻛﺮﻳﻦ ‪ %‬ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺳﺎﺑﻘﺎً ﺷﻮﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻤﺎ ﻣﻰ‪%‬ﻧﺪ‪% ،‬ﻣﺎﻧﻰ ‪ %‬ﺑﻠﻐﺎﺳﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﻫﻢ  ﻧﻈﺮ ﺗﺎﻳﺨﻰ ‪%‬‬ ‫ﻫﻢ  ﻧﻈﺮ ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻧﻰ ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻞﻧﺪ‪  % ،‬ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪% V‬ﺑﻂ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ  ‪ %‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﺎﻛﺎﻣﻰﻫﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ' ﻗﺘﺼﺎ  ‪ %‬ﻣﺎﻟﻰ  ﻧﻈﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴــﻢ ﻋﻠﻤﻰ‪  ،‬ﻓﻀﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ  ﺣﺎ‪ D‬ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﺮ ﺳــﻮﺣﻞ ﻳﺎ ﺳﻴﺎ‪ -‬ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺷــﺪ‪  ،-‬ﺧﻮ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻞ ﺷﺪﻳﺪ ﺑﺮ ﻧﺰ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ  ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﻧﺸﺎ‪ /‬ﻣﻰ ﻫﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫‪%‬ﻟﻰ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ‪ /‬ﺣﺪ`  ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﺻﺮﻓﺎً ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺎﻫﺎ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺧﻮ ﻗﺎ  ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﭘﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪0 ،‬ﻧﻬﻢ  ﺟﻮ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﻗﺪ‪ 1‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﮕﺬ ‪ .‬ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﻧﻴﺎﻣﻨﺪ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﻧﻔﻮ‪ X‬ﺧﻮ  ﮔﺎ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺎ ﻓﺮﻫﻢ ‪  % ، %0‬ﻳﻦ ‪  -‬ﻏﺎ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ‪% % /‬ﻛﺮﻳﻦ  ﺑﻄﻦ ﭘﻴﻤﺎ‪0 /‬ﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ ﺷــﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﻳﻜﻰ  ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻫﺪ‪ S‬ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ  ﻳﺎ ﺳــﻴﺎ‪ -‬ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻤﺎ ﻣﻰ‪. %‬‬ ‫ﺑﻰ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﺟﻼ` ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﺔ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺘﻦ ﻳﻨﺪ‪ %‬ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﭘﻴﻤﺎ‪ /‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺳﻤﺎً ﻣﻄﺮ‪ b‬ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻀﺎ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺖ ﻓﺸــﺎ ‪%‬ﺳــﻴﻪ‪  ،‬ﻟﺤﺎ‪/0 c‬ﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﻤﺎ‪0 /‬ﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ ﺷــﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﻣﻤﺎﻧﻌﺖ ﻛﺮ ﻧﺪ‪% .‬ﻟﻰ ﺑﺎ  ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ‪%‬ﻧﺪ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﮔﺮ ﺧﺎﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ‪ %‬ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ  ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ‪%‬ﺳــﻴﻪ ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺘﻦ ﻳﻦ ‪ %‬ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﻤﺎ‪0 /‬ﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ  ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﺎﻣﻞ  ‪ %‬ﻣﺬﻛﺮ‪1‬‬ ‫ﺧﺎ‪ d‬ﻧﻜﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻳﺮ ﻳﺎ ‪ %‬ﻳﻦ ﻧﺎﻣﺰ  ﺑﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻄﺮ‪ b‬ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪  % ،‬ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ‪%‬ﻳﮋ‪ %% -‬ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪% % /‬ﻛﺮﻳﻦ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﻤﺎ‪ /‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺟﺘﻨﺎ‪ V‬ﻣﻰﺷﻮ ‪ .‬ﺣﺎ‪ D‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻳﺪ ﻳﻦ »ﻋﻀﻮﻳﺖ« ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ‪ %‬ﻣﻔﻬﻮ ‪%‬ﻗﻌﻰ‪ f‬ﭼﻴﺴﺖ؟‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ  ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺐ ﭘﻴﺸــﻴﻦ ‪- %0‬ﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﻫﺎ ﺻﻨﻌﺘﻰ‪ ،‬ﺧﺪﻣﺎ‪ % 1‬ﺗﺒﺎﻃﺎ‪  1‬ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ ‪%‬ﻛﺮﻳﻦ ‪ %‬ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ‬ ‫‪%‬ﺑﺴــﺘﮕﻰ ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ‪ -‬ﺑﻪ ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ ﻛﺎﮔﺮ ﺳﺎﺑﻘﺎً »ﺷﻮ‪ «%‬ﺑﻪ ‪  %‬ﺗﺒﺎ‪ g‬ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺑﺎ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﻫﺎ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﺔ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮ ‬ ‫ﻧﺨﻮﻫﻨﺪ ﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﺧﻄﻮ‪0- g‬ﻫﻦ‪ ،‬ﺧﻄﻮ‪ g‬ﻧﺘﻘﺎ‪ D‬ﻧﻴﺮ‪ ،%‬ﺷﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎ ‪0‬ﺑﺮﺳﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﺧﻄﻮ‪ g‬ﻧﻔﺖ ‪ %‬ﮔﺎ‪ ... % ،‬ﻫﻤﮕﻰ  »ﻧﺮﻫﺎ« ﺗﺤﺎ ‬ ‫ﺷــﻮ‪ %‬ﺳــﺎﺑﻖﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮ‪ /‬ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻫﻤﭽﻮ‪ /‬ﺗﺠﺮﺑﺔ ‪0‬ﻟﻤﺎ‪ /‬ﻓﺪ‪ D‬ﺟﻬﺖ ﺑﺎﺳﺎ ﺷﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎ ﺗﺒﺎﻃﻰ ‪ %‬ﺧﺪﻣﺎ‪1‬‬ ‫  ﻳﻦ ‪ %‬ﻛﺸــﻮ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﺎ ﻻ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﮔﺰ ﻛﻨﺪ؛ ‪0‬ﻧﻬﻢ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎ ‪%‬ﺳــﻴﻪ! ﺣﻀﻮ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ' ﻏﺮﺑﻰﻫﺎ  ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﻃﻰ‬ ‫ﺳﺎ‪D‬ﻫﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﻛﺖ ﭼﭙﺎ‪ D%‬ﻧﻔﺖ ‪X0‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ‪» /‬ﭘﻮ‪D‬ﺳﺎ« ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻮ ‪0 ،-‬ﻧﻘﺪﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎ‪ 1‬ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻋﻨﻮ‪ /‬ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻻ ﺑﺮ ‪ /‬ﺳﻄﺢ ﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﮔﺮﺟﻰﻫﺎ ﺧﺎﻟﺖ ﻧﺪﺷﺘﻪ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻛﻢ ﻳﺎ ﺑﻴﺶ  ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺳﺖ ‪ %‬ﭘﺎ ﻣﻰﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺿﺎﻓﻪ ‪0‬ﻧﻜﻪ ﻫﻤﻪ‬ ‫ﺳــﺎﻟﻪ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮ‪ /‬ﻻ ﺟﻨﮓﻓﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻬﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﻣﺠﺎ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺧﺮﻳﺪ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ! ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻳﺪ ﻳﻚ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻛﻮﭼﻚ ‪%‬‬ ‫ﻛﻢﺟﻤﻌﻴﺖ ﻳﻨﻬﻤﻪ ﺟﻨﮓﻓﺰ  ﺑﺮ ﭼﻪ »ﻧﺒﺎ« ﻛﺮ ‪-‬؟ ﻫﺪ‪ S‬ﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓﻓﺰﻫﺎ ﭼﻪ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ ‪ %‬ﭼﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﺋﻰﻧﺪ؟‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﭘﺎﺳــﺦ  ‪ /‬ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺌﻮﻻ‪ 1‬ﻛﺎﻓﻰ ﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻠﻜﺮ ﺷﺮﻛﺖﻫﺎ ﺳﻠﺤﻪﺳــﺎ ﻏﺮ‪  V‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻣﺜﺎ‪ D‬ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎ ﻋﺮﺑﻰ  ﺟﻨﻮ‪ V‬ﺧﻠﻴﺞﻓﺎ`  ﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎ‪ /‬ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ ﺟﺎﻟﺐﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﻪ ﺳــﺎﻟﻪ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﻣﻴﻠﻴﻮ‪ /‬ﻻ ‬ ‫ ‪0‬ﻣﺪﻫﺎ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺴــﺎ‪ V‬ﻛﻤﭙﺎﻧﻰﻫﺎ ﺳﻠﺤﻪﺳﺎ  ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﺗﺰﻳﻖ ﻣﻰﺷﻮ ‪% ،‬ﻟﻰ ﺟﻨﮕﻨﺪ‪-‬ﻫﺎ ﻓﻮ‪c‬ﻣﺪ‪0 /‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ ‪ %‬ﮔﺎ‪ -‬ﻓﺮﻧﺴﻪ ﺑﺪ‪ /%‬ﻣﺴﺘﺸﺎ ‪ %‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖﻫﺎ »ﻟﻮﺟﻴﺴﺘﻴﻚ« ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﻗﺎ  ﻧﺨﻮﻫﻨﺪ ﺑﻮ ﻓﺮ‪ %‬ﮔﺎ‪-‬ﻫﺎ ‪%‬ﺑﻰ‪ ،‬ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﺳﻌﻮ ‬ ‫‪ %‬ﻛﻮﻳﺖ  ﺣﺘﻰ ﺑﺮ ‪ 5‬ﻗﻴﻘﻪ ﺗﺮ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ‪» q‬ﺗﺴﻠﻴﺢ« ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ‪ ،-‬ﺟﺰ ﭼﭙﺎ‪ D%‬ﺑﻮ ﺟﺔ ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎ ‪ %‬ﺑﻪ ﺳﺎ‪ 1‬ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ‪%‬ﻟﺖﻫﺎ ‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺒﺮ' ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻗﺪ‪1‬ﻫﺎ ﺑﺰگ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﺋﻰ ﻧﺪ ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﺗﺴﻠﻴﺤﺎ‪ ،1‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﺔ ﻳﺮ‪ /‬ﭘﺲ  ﻛﻮ ﺗﺎ ‪ 22‬ﺑﻬﻤﻦ ﻧﺸﺎ‪ ،  /‬ﻓﻘﻂ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ  ﻗﻤﭙﺰ  ﻛﺮ ‪%  /‬ﻫﺎ ژ' ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﻰﺧﻮ ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻﺔ ﻛﻼ‪ ،‬ﺗﺴﻠﻴﺤﺎ‪ 1‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﺪ‪% /%‬ﺟﻮ »ﺻﻨﺎﻳﻊ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ« ﻣﺮﺗﺒﻂ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫‪ ،/0‬ﻓﻘﻂ ﻗﻮ ﺳﺖ ﺑﺎﻻ ﻗﻮ!‬ ‫ﺣﺎ‪ D‬ﻛﻪ »ﻣﻮﺿﻊ« ‪%‬ﻗﻌﻰ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪ % ،/‬ﻧﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ »ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ« ‪0‬ﻧﺮ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ  ﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮ‪ q‬ﺑﺎ ﻣﻰﮔﺮ ﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ »ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪،«/‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎ  ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ‪%‬ﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰﻫﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ‪ -‬ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ‪ /%‬ﺳﺎﻛﺎﺷﻮﻳﻠﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ‪ %‬ﻟﻬﺎﻣﺎ‪% 1‬ﻛﺮﻳﻦ ﻳﺠﺎ ﻛﺮ ‪ ،-‬ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‬ ‫ ﺗﺶ ‪%‬ﺳــﻴﻪ   ﺑﻌﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ‪ /0‬ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻫﻀﻢ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﻛﺮ ؟ ﺑﺮ ﻛﻨﺎ ﮔﺮ‪ -%‬ﺳﺎﻛﺎﺷﻮﻳﻠﻰ  ﻗﺪ‪ ،1‬ﮔﺮ ﭼﻪ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻤﺎً ﺗﺤﺖ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮ‪ /‬ﻳﻜﻰ  ﭘﻴﺶﺷﺮ‪g‬ﻫﺎ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺗﺮ ﻣﺨﺎﺻﻤﻪ ﻋﻼ ﻧﺸﺪ‪% ،-‬ﻟﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ‪ /‬ﺣﺪ`  ﺗﺤﺖ ﺿﻮﺑﻂ ‪ %‬ﺷﺮﻳﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً‬

‫  ‪%‬ﻫﺎ ‪0‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪ -‬ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ‪ `u  ،‬ﺗﻮﻓﻘﺎﺗﻰ ﻗﺮ ﺷــﺘﻪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮ ﻣﺨﺎﺻﻤﻪ ﺷــﺪ‪ .-‬ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ‪%‬ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺎﻣﺎ‪/‬‬ ‫ﺳــﻴﺎ‪ ،‬ﭘﻨﺘﺎﮔﻮ‪ % /‬ﮔﺮ‪-%‬ﻫﺎ ﻻﻟﻰ ﺳــﻠﺤﻪ ﻛﻪ  ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮ‪» /‬ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖﻫﺎ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ‪ %‬ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« ﺳﺎ‪D‬ﻫﺎﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﭘﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺤﻨﺔ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ‪ ،‬ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ‪ %‬ﺣﺘﻰ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻼ‪ 1‬ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ‪ %‬ﻃﻼﻋﺎﺗﻰ ﮔﺬ ‪-‬ﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﭘﺲ  ﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻓﻠﺴﻔﺔ ‪%‬ﺟﻮ  ﺧﻮ  ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻃﻮ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ ‪  -‬ﺳــﺖ ﺧﻮﻫﻨﺪ  ‪% .‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﮔﺮ ﺑﺮ ﻛﻨﺎ ﺳﺎﻛﺎﺷــﻮﻳﻠﻰ   ﻛﻨﺎ ﻳﻦ »ﭘﻴﺮ‪ «%‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻧﻜﻨﺪ‪%  ،‬ﻗﻊ‬ ‫  ﻳﻦ ﮔﻴﺮ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺧﻮ ‪.-‬‬ ‫ ﻃﺮ‪ S‬ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﺣﺎ‪ D‬ﻛﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ  ﻗﺒﺎ‪» D‬ﻣﺎﻳﺶﻫﺎ« ﻏﺮ‪  V‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺳﺎﺑﻘﺎً ﺷﻮﺋﻰ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷﺪ‪ ،-‬ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ‪/‬‬ ‫‪%‬ﺑﻂ ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ   ﭘﺸــﺖ ﺻﻮﺗﻚﻫﺎ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻟﺼﻼ‪ ،b‬ﻫﻤﭽﻮ‪ /‬ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪﻫﺎ ﭘﻨﻬﺎ‪ /‬ﻧﮕﺎ‪ -‬ﺷــﺖ‪ .‬ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮ‪%‬ﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ‬ ‫ﺷــﻮ‪  ،%‬ﻧﻈﺮ ﻏﺮ‪ % V‬ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪ ﺑﺮ ‪0‬ﻳﻨﺪ' ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻛﺸــﻮ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ  ﺳــﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ »ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻗﺒﻮ‪ «D‬ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﻣﻰﺷﺪ! ﮔﺮ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ‬ ‫»ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻗﺒﻮ‪ «D‬ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ‪ %‬ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴــﺖ ﺑﺎﺗﺎ‪ V‬ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻛﻠﻰ ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ! ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻛﺸــﻮ ‪%‬ﭘﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﻮ ؛ ﻛﺸــﻮ  ﻗﺎﻟﺐ ﻓﺮﻧﺴﻪ ‪ %‬ﻳﺎ ‪0‬ﻟﻤﺎ‪ /‬ﺛﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ  ﭘﻴﺸــﺮﻓﺖﻫﺎ »ﭼﺸﻢﮔﻴﺮ«  ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﻓﻨﺎ‪%‬ﻫﺎ ‪%‬‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ‪ %‬ﻗﺘﺼﺎ   ﺳﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ  ﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺣﺮ‪0 S‬ﺧﺮ  ‪%‬ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ  ﻣﻮ ‪0‬ﻳﻨﺪ' ‪ /0‬ﻣﻰﻧﺪ! ﻛﺸﻮ ﻛﻪ ﺳﺘﻘﻼ‪D‬‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ‪ f‬ﻓﻘﻂ  ﺗﺒﺎ‪ g‬ﺑﺎ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﻫﺎ »ﺗﺮﻧﺲ‪0‬ﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ« ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ‪ %‬ﻣﻔﻬﻮ ﭘﻴﺪ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ‪%» q‬ﺳــﻴﻪ« ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴــﺖ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮ‪ /‬ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻫﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ  ﺳﺖ ‪%‬ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻠﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻛﻨﺘﺮ‪ D‬ﻛﺎﻣﻞ ﭼﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﻫﻨﺪ ‪ %‬ﺟﻬﺎ‪ /‬ﺳﻼ ﺷﻮ ! ﻣﺎ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ‬ ‫ ﻳﮕــﺮ ﻧﻴــﺰ  ﻣﻴﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﻮ ‪ % ،‬ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴــﺖ ‪0‬ﻧﺮ »ﻗﺎﺑــﻞ ﻗﺒﻮ‪ «D‬ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ »ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪ«‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ ﮔﺮ ﻧﺪ‪% /‬ﺑﻂ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺟﻬﺎ‪/‬‬ ‫  ﻗﺎﻟﺐ ﻧﻮ‪ q‬ﺟﺪﻳﺪ  ‪%‬ﺑﻂ »ﺟﻨﮓﺳــﺮ « ﺑﻮ ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪ‪0 ،‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ‪% %‬ﭘﺎ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﻳﻚ »ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳــﺮ « ‪ %‬ﻋﻤﺎ‪D‬‬ ‫ ‪%‬ﺑﺎ' »ﻗﺮﻧﻄﻴﻨﺔ« ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ‪ %‬ﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ ﺑﺮ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ ‪ %‬ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎ ﻫﻤﺮ‪ -‬ﺑﺎ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻫﻤﭽﻮ‪ '% /‬ﭘﺮﺑﺮﻛﺖ ﺳﺘﺎﻟﻴﻦ ‪%‬‬ ‫ﺧﺮ‪%‬ﺷــﭽﻒ ﻛﻴﺴﻪﻫﺎﺷــﺎ‪   /‬ﻗﺒﻞ ﭼﭙﺎ‪ D%‬ﺟﻬﺎ‪ /‬ﺳــﻮ ﭘﺮ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ؛ ﺗﻘﺼﻴﺮﻫﺎ  ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮ ‪ » /‬ﻳﻜﺘﺎﺗﻮ« ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺑﻴﻨﺪﻧﺪ! ‬ ‫ ‪» '%‬ﭘﺮﺑﺮﻛﺖ« ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳــﺮ ‪ ،‬ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﺟﻨﺎﻳﺎﺗﻰ  ﻗﺒﻴﻞ ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﻢﻗﺮ‪ /‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺑﺮ ‪0   -‬ﻓﺮﻳﻘــﺎ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮﻗﺮ ﻣﺪ‪%‬‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎ ‪0‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻻﺗﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴــﻢ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ‪ %‬ﻳﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ  ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎ‪ /‬ﻧﺸﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﺟﻨﮓﻫﺎ‬ ‫‪%‬ﻳﺘﻨﺎ ‪ %‬ﻏﻴﺮ‪ -‬ﺑﻮ ﻳﻢ‪ % ،‬ﺑﺪﻳﻬﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻨﻬﻤﻪ‪ ،‬ﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺳــﻮ ﺟﻮﺋﻰ ‪ %‬ﭼﭙﺎ‪ D%‬ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ  ﻏﺮﺑﻰ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﺻﺮﻓﺎً ﺑﺮ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮ‬ ‫ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ f‬ﺧﻄﺮ »ﺳﺘﺒﺪ ﻛﻤﻮﻧﻴﺴﻢ« ﺑﻮ ‪!-‬‬ ‫ ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ ﺳﺎ‪D‬ﻫﺎ ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮ‪%‬ﭘﺎﺷﻰ‪ ،‬ﻛﺸﻮ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺳﻌﻰ ﻛﺮ ‪ -‬ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﺧﻮ   ﻣﺮ ﻳﻦ ‪» %‬ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪ« ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻒ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺪ‪0 /%‬ﻧﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺗﻰ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺑﺎﮔﺸﺖ ﭘﺎ ﺑﻪ ‪ /%‬ﻫﺮ ﻳﻚ  ﻳﻨﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﮕﺬ ؛ ‪ %%‬ﻗﻄﻌﻰ ‪ %‬ﻣﺪ‪ 1‬ﺑﻪ ‪ /%‬ﻫﺮ ﻛﺪ  ﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ‪ %‬ﻧﺎﻛﺎﻣﻰ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ‪ .‬ﻣﺮ‪ %‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻋﻼ‪ /‬ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ  ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪ ،/‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﮔﺎﻣﻰ  ﺟﻬﺖ »ﮔﻼﺳﻨﻮﺳــﺖ« ﺑﺮ ﺷــﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﭘﺮ ‪%‬ﺿﺢ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻞ ﺻﻠﻰ ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﻓﺮﻫﻢ ‪ / %0‬ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﻻ ﺑﺮ ﻓﺮ‪%‬ﻧﺪﺧﺘﻦ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﻪ ‪ /%‬ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ »ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺮ « ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪  .‬ﻫﻢ ﻳﻨﻚ ﺑﻠﻨﺪﮔﻮﻫﺎ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺳﻌﻰ ﻧﺪ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ  ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮ‪ /‬ﻳﻚ ﻗﺪ‪ 1‬ﺧﻴﺮ‪-‬ﺳﺮ‬ ‫‪ %‬ﻣﺘﺠﺎ‪ %‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪  .‬ﻳﻨﻜﻪ »ﻣﻘﺼﺮ« ﺻﻠﻰ  ﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻛﺪ ﻃﺮ‪ S‬ﺳــﺖ‪0 ،‬ﻧﻘﺪﻫﺎ ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻖ ‪ %‬ﺑﺮﺳــﻰ‬ ‫ﭘﺮ ﺧﺖ؛ ﻳﻜﻰ  »ﻫﻨﺮﻫﺎ« ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎ‪ 1‬ﻧﻮﻳﻦ  ﻋﻤﻞ ﺧﻠﻖ »ﻣﻘﺼﺮ« ﺳﺖ! ﻛﺎﻓﻰ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ﻣﻮ ﻧﻴﺎ  ﺧﺘﻴﺎ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻗﺮ ﮔﻴﺮ ‪ .‬ﻧﻤﻮﻧﺔ ﻋﺮ‪ % c‬ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﻳﻨﻚ  ﺑﺮﺑﺮﻣﺎ‪ /‬ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻠﻨﺪﮔﻮﻫﺎ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﻳﻨﭽﻨﻴﻦ ‪%‬ﻧﻤﻮ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ‪ /‬ﺳﺮﺑﺎ‪ /‬ﺷﻐﺎﻟﮕﺮ  ﻋﺮ‪ % c‬ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﻳﻚ ﻓﺎﺟﻌﻪ ﺳﺖ! ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻳﻨﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮ ﺟﺎ‪ -‬ﻣﻰ ﻫﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ »ﻓﺘﺨﺎ« ﻓﺮ‪/%‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻗﺘﻞ ﺳــﺎﻧﺪ‪» /‬ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎ‪ «/‬ﺧﻮ   ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮ‪ /‬ﭘﻴﺮ‪» %‬ﺑﺸــﺮﻳﺖ« ﺑﺮ »ﺑﺮﺑﺮﻳﺖ« ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ!  ‪ '%‬ﺟﻨﮓ‬ ‫‪%‬ﻳﺘﻨﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺗﻌﺎﻳﻒ ﭘﻴﺶﺳــﺎﺧﺘﻪ  ﻣﻮ ﺳــﺮﺑﺎ‪0 /‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰ ‪% %‬ﻳﺖﻛﻨﮓﻫﺎ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﻮ ‪ ،‬ﻳﻜﻰ ﭘﻴﺎ‪» % « 0» %0‬ﺑﺸﺮﻳﺖ«‬ ‫ﺷﺪ‪ -‬ﺑﻮ ‪ % ،‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﺳﻤﺒﻞ »‪%‬ﺣﺸﻴﮕﺮ«! ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً  ﻣﻮ ﺟﻨﮓ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﺴﺌﻠﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺻﻮ‪ 1‬ﺣﻞ ‪ %‬ﻓﺼﻞ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ؛‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻳﺪ ﻛﺪ ﻃﺮ‪  S‬ﻧﻈﺮ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ  ﻣﻜﺎﻧﺎ‪ 1‬ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ‪-‬ﺗﺮ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ  ﻣﻰﺷﻮ !‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ ‪%‬ﺟﻮ ﻋﻼ ﭘﺎﻳﺎ‪ /‬ﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎ  ﻃﺮ‪ S‬ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﭘﻴﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮ‪  -‬؛  ﺻﻮ‪ 1‬ﺗﻬﺎﺟﻤﺎ‪ 1‬ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ‪ %‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ‪%‬ﺳــﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻘﺼﺮ ﺻﻠﻰ ﻃﺮ‪S‬ﻫﺎ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﺧﻮﻫﻨﺪ ﺑﻮ ‪ % ،‬ﻣﺴــﺌﻮﻟﻴﺖ ﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮ ‪% /‬ﺳــﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﺎﻓﺘﺪ! ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒﺎ‪ 1‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﻳﻨﻚ ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺧﻮ  »ﺟﺒﺎً« ﺑﺮ ﺗﻖ‪%‬ﻓﺘﻖ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺻﻠﺢ ‪0‬ﻣﺎ ‪ -‬ﻛﻨﺪ‪% .‬ﻟﻰ ﻳﻦ ﺳﺌﻮ‪ D‬ﻣﻄﺮ‪ b‬ﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ  ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ‪0‬ﻳﺎ »ﺻﻠﺢ«  ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ‪ %‬ﻣﻔﻬﻮﻣﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ  ﺷﻮ ؟ ﺻﻮﻻً ﻣﻘﺼﻮ  »ﺻﻠﺢ« ﭼﻴﺴﺖ؟ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ‬

‫  ﻣﻮ ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﻧﺸــﺎ‪  /‬ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ  ﺣﻀﻮ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ ' ﻧﻴﺮ‪%‬ﻫﺎ ﺳﺎﻣﺎ‪ /‬ﺳﻴﺎ ‪ %‬ﭘﻨﺘﺎﮔﻮ‪  /‬ﻣﺮﻫﺎ ﺧﻮ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ؛ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺿﻌﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ‪ .‬ﻋﻜﺲﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻄﻰ ﮔﺮ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻧﺒﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﺣﺪﻗﻞ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ f‬ﺗﻨﺶﻫﺎ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻋﻤﻴﻖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ‪  .‬ﺳــﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ‪%‬ﺳــﻴﻪ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻳﺎ ﺳــﻴﺎ‪ % -‬ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﻣﺤﺪ‪ %‬ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ‪/‬‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺷــﻮ ؛ ‪%‬ﻛﺮﻳﻦ‪% ،‬ﻣﺎﻧﻰ ‪ %‬ﺑﻠﻐﺎﺳﺘﺎ‪ /‬ﻧﺎﻣﺰ ﻫﺎ ‪0‬ﺗﻰ  ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺘﮕﺬﻫﺎ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪﻧﺪ‪ % .‬ﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ  ﺑﻌﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً  ﺷــﻤﺎ‪% D‬ﭘﺎ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ  ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ ـ ﺑﺮﺳﻰ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ »ﺑﺎﻟﺖ«  ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﻳﮕﺮ ‪%‬ﮔﺬ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻴﻢ‪0 .‬ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺳــﺖ  ﻗﺒﺎ‪ D‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  ژﻳﻢﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻣﺘﺰﻟﺰ‪ % D‬ﺑﺤﺮ‪  - /‬ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎ ـ ﻳﻦ ژﻳﻢﻫﺎ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ ﻫﻨﻮ ﺗﺎ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻳﺒﺎ‪  /‬ﮔﻴﺮ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﻫﺎ ﺻﻨﻌﺘﻰ ﺷﻮ‪ %‬ﺳﺎﺑﻖﻧﺪ ـ ﺧﻮ   ﺳﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ‪% %  %‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﻗﺮ ﻫﺪ؟ ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺻﻮﺗﺒﻨﺪ‬ ‫»ﺟﻨﮓﺳــﺮ «  ﻓﺮﻣﻮ‪ f‬ﻧﻜﻨﻴﻢ‪% ،‬ﻟﻰ ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺌﻮ‪   D‬ﺷﺮﻳﻄﻰ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﮔﻔﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮ‪ %‬ﻛﻨﺘﺮ‪% D‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺑﺎﻫﺎ ﻧﻔﺖﺧﺎ‬ ‫‪ %‬ﮔﺎﻃﺒﻴﻌﻰ  ﺟﻬﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﻴﺶ  ﭘﻴﺶ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷﺪ‪.-‬‬ ‫ ﻃﺮ‪ S‬ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﺣﻔﻆ ﺳﻴﺎ ‪ 1‬ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﺑﺮ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺪ‪ /%‬ﺣﻀﻮ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ ‪  -‬ﻣﺮﻫﺎ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ‪0‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ‪% %‬ﭘﺎ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﻣﻜﺎﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒﺎ‪ 1‬ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﻳﻦ ﻫﻤﺎ‪ /‬ﺣﻜﺎﻳﺖ ﻗﺪﻳﻤﻰ »ﻳﻚ ﻗﻠﻴﻢ ‪ % %‬ﭘﺎ ﺷﺎ‪ «-‬ﺳﺖ! ﺳﺨﻨﺎ‪ /‬ﻣﻚﻛﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﻧﺎﻣﺰ ﺣﺰ‪ V‬ﺟﻤﻬﻮﻳﺨﻮ‪،-‬‬ ‫  ﻣﻮ »ﺧﺮ‪% «d‬ﺳــﻴﻪ  »ژ‪ % ،«8‬ﻳﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ ﺳــﺖﻧﺪﻛﺎ‪  /‬ﻣﻮ ﭘﻴﺶﮔﻴﺮ  ‪% %%‬ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ »ﺳﺎﻣﺎ‪ /‬ﺗﺠﺎ‪ 1‬ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ«‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺑﭽﮕﺎﻧﻪ ﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻣﺼﺮ‪ S‬ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ  ! ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ  ﺳﺎ‪D‬ﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻄﺔ ﺧﻮ  ﺑﺎ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ ﺟﻬﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﺮ ﭘﺎﻳﻪ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﻧﮕﺬ ﻛﺮ ‪ -‬ﻛﻪ ﻳﮕﺮ ﭘﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺖ ‪» %‬ﻗﺮﻧﻄﻴﻨﺔ« ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺮ ﻧﮕﺬ ‪  ،‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ﻫﺎﺋﻰ  ﻧﻮ‪» q‬ﻣﻚﻛﻴﻦ«  ﭘﻴﺶ ﻣﺤﻜﻮ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ‪ .‬ﭘﻴﺶ ﻧﺪ‪ /‬ﻇﻬﺎ‪ 1‬ﻣﺜﺎ‪» D‬ﻣﻚﻛﻴﻦ« ‪ %‬ﭘﺎﻓﺸﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ‬ ‫»‪`%‬ﺳــﺘﻴﺰ«‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺣﺘﻤﺎ‪ D‬ﻳﺎ ﺧﻮﺳــﺖ ‪%‬ﻗﻌﻰ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺳﺖ‪  .‬ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻄﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ »ﭘﻴﺮ‪% «%‬ﺑﺎ' ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺧﻮﻫﺎ‪/‬‬ ‫  ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ‪ 1‬ﻛﺎ‪z‬ﺳــﻔﻴﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ﻳﻚ »ﺷﻜﺴﺖ« ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺑﺮ ﻫﻴﺌﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺔ ‪0‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ؛ ﺷﻜﺴﺘﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﻳﺎﻻ‪ 1‬ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻃﻰ ﺳﺪ' ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ  ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳﻰ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻤﺎ ‪0‬ﻳﺪ‪ .‬ﮔﺮ ‪0‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪﮔﻴﺮ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ« ﺳﺖ ﻳﺎﺑﺪ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺟﺮ‪ d‬ﺑﻮ‪  f‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺎ »ﻣﻚﻛﻴﻦ« ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺰﻳﻦ ﻛﺮ ‪0 ،‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﭘﺎ ﺑﻪ ‪» /%‬ﭘﻴﺶ ‪%‬ﻳﻠﺴﻮﻧﻰ« ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﮔﺬ ‪ % ،‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﻳﻦ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻨﺰ‪ %‬ﻣﻰﺷﻮ ‪% ،‬ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ  ﺳﻄﺢ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻨﺰ‪ %‬ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪  % .‬ﻳﻦ ‪%‬ﻳﺮﺳﺖ ‪%‬ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺧﻮ  ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﺰ‪0 %‬ﻣﺎ ‪ -‬ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ‪%‬ﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰﻫﺎ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻊ ﺑﻪ ‪ 1 %‬ﻣﻮ ﺧﺎ‪ ،‬ﻋﻤ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺎ‪%‬ﺷﻴﺮ ' ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻋﺘﻘﺎ ﻧﻮﻳﺴــﻨﺪ' ﻳﻦ ‪%‬ﺑﻼگ ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﺑﺮ ﭘﻴﺸــﮕﻴﺮ  ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻄﻰ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﻫﺎ ﻛﻠﻰ ﺧﻮ ﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ﺑﺎﻧﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮ‪%‬ﭘﺎﺷﻰ  ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ‪ ،%‬ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ﺑﺎﻧﮕﺮ  ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ ﻛﻠﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ ﺗﻦ  ﻫﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﮔﺮ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ‪%‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺿﺮﺑﻪ ‪ %‬ﻛﻨﺪ‪  ،‬ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﻛﻨﻮﻧﻰ ﭘﺲ  ﺗﺄﺋﻴﺪ ﻧﺰ‪ %‬ﻛﺎ‪z‬ﺳﻔﻴﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺻﺪﻣﺎ‪ 1‬ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ‪ %‬ﻗﺘﺼﺎ  ﻛﻪ ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﻣﺘﺤﻤﻞ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ ﭼﻨﺪﻳﻦ ﺑﺮﺑﺮ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ ‪ .‬ﺷــﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﺳــﺖ‪ ،‬ﻗﺒﻞ  ‪0‬ﻧﻜﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﻧﮕﺮ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺻﻮ‪» 1‬ﺟﺒﺎ« ﺑﺮ ﻏﺮ‪ V‬ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﺷﻮ ‪ ،‬ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ‪u -‬ﺳﺎً ﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﻧﮕﺮ  ﻋﻤﺎ‪ D‬ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬

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