Saeed Saman 08 08 12

‫ﺑﻼگ ﺳﻌﺪ ﺳﺎﻣﺎ ﺑﺴﺖ  ﻢ ﻣﺮ ﻣﺎ ‪١٣٨٧‬‬

‫ﭘـﺎﻳـﺎ ﻳـﻚ
ﻧـﺰ
!‬ ‫*ﻧﭽﻪ ﺗﺎ   ﭘﻴﺶ ﻋﻨﻮ
ﺑﺤﺮ
ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ  ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ
ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻮ‪ ،‬ﻣﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ! ﺑﺤﺮ
‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ
 ﺳــﺎ‪2‬ﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺷﺮ‪ 0‬ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻮ‪  ،‬ﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ  ﻣﺠﺎ ﺑﺤﺮ
ﺳﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺧﻠﻰ ﻓﺘﺎ‪  ،‬ﺑﺰ ﺷــﺪ  ﺳــﺖ ﻗﺪ‪7‬ﻫﺎ ﺑﺰگ ﺧﺎﺟﻰ‪* :;   ،‬ﻧﺎ
ﻳﺎﻻ‪ 7‬ﻣﺘﺤﺪ!  ﻣﻄﻠﺐ ﭘﻴﺸﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﺷﺘﺎﺑﺰ‪  .‬ﻣﻮ ﭘﻴﺸﻴﻨﻴﺔ ﺗﺎﻳﺨﻰ  ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎﺋﻰ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ
ﺋﻪ ﻳﻢ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻄﻠﺐ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻧﺎﺳﺎﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ‬ ‫ ﻳﻚ ﺑﻼگ ﺑﻴﺶ  ﻳﻦﻫﺎ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ
ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ  ﺑﺮﺳــﻰ ﭘﺮﺧﺖ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺻﻞ  ﺣﺎ‪ 2‬ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺔ ﺑﺮﺳــﻰ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ
ﻛﻔﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ *ﻧﻘﺪﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻨﻮ
ﻣﻰﺷﻮ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺗﻰ ﻳﻚﭘﺎﭼﻪ »ﮔﺮﺟﻰ ﻧﺴﺐ« ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪  ،‬ﻣﺤﺪ‪.‬ﻫﺎ‬

‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪  .‬ﻣﺘﻔﺎﺗﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ
 ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎ ﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ *
ﻣﺸﺎﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺤﻞ ﺳﻜﻮﻧﺖ ﻗﻮ‪ O‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﺳﺖ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎ
ﻣﻰﺗﻮ
‬ ‫ »ﺑﺨﺎﻫﺎ«‪» ،‬ﺟﺎﻫﺎ«‪ ،‬ﻣﻨﻪ‪ ،‬ﺗﺮ‪S‬ﻫﺎ  ﺣﺘﻰ ‪:‬ﻫﺎ ﻧﺎ‪ O‬ﺑﺮ؛  ﻛﻤﺎ‪ 2‬ﺗﺄﺳــﻒ ﺟﺰﺋﻴﺎ‪ 7‬ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎ ﻧﺴــﺎﻧﻰ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ
ﺑﻪ ﻻﺋﻞ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ
ﻳﺸﻪﻫﺎ *ﻧﺮ ﺣﺪ‪ ، :‬ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪ ﻳﺎ  ﭘﺮ‪ U‬ﺑﻬﺎ‪ O‬ﻗﺮ ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﻣﻄﻠﺐ ﺑﺎﻻ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻋﻨﻮ
ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﻪ  ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ ﻗﺪ‪7‬ﻫﺎ ﺑﺰگ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ‪،‬‬ ‫ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷــﺪ
ﺷــﻜﺎ‪Z‬ﻫﺎ ﻋﻈﻴﻢ ﺟﻤﻌﻴﺘﻰ  ﺟﻤﻬﻮﻫﺎ ﺷــﻮﺋﻰ ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪ‪ 7‬ﻫﺮ‪ :‬ﺷــﺖ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺗﺰﻟﺰ‪ 2‬‬ ‫ﻳﻦ ﺗﻮﻫﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﺑﺔ ﺧﻮ ﻣﺒﻠﻎ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ »ﻧﺴــﺠﺎ‪ O‬ﺟﻤﻌﻴﺘﻰ«  ﻳﻦ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﻫﺎ ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻮ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴﺖ ﻫﺮ ﻳﻚ  ﺑﻪ ﭼﻨﺪﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ‬ ‫ﻛﻮﭼﻚ ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ ﻛﺮ‪
* ،.‬ﻫﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﺳﻴﻠﻪ ﻳﺪ‪ 2*.‬ﺟﻬﺖ ﻋﻤﺎ‪ 2‬ﻓﺸﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﻛﻨﺪ‪  .‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ‪ ،‬ﺗﻼ] ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻟﺖ ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫ ﻧﺨﺴــﺘﻴﻦ ﮔﺎ‪O‬ﻫﺎ ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮ ﻳﻦ ﺻﻞ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺷﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷــﺪ
ﮔﻮﻧﻪﮔﻮﻧﻰﻫﺎ  ﺧﺘﻼﻓﺎ‪ 7‬ﺷﺪﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺎ
ﻗﻮ‪ O‬ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﮔﺮ‪.‬ﻫﺎ ﻣﻬﺎﺟﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻪﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ‪  ،‬ﻃﺮ‪ Z‬ﻟﺖ ﺷﻮﺋﻰ‪  ،‬ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺗﺸﻮﻳﻖ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺎﻣﺖ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻮﻧﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ *ﻳﺪ‪  .‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﺘﺎﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺤﺮ
ﻫﺎ ﺷﺪﻳﺪ ﻛﻪ  *ﺳﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﻣﻴﺎ
ﻛﺎﻫﺎ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻠﻜﺮ‪  .‬ﻣﺘﺨﺼﺺ‬ ‫ﺑﻠﺸــﻮﻳﻚ ـ ﻳﻨﺎ
ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻻً ‪:‬ﻧﺴــﺐ ﺑﻮﻧﺪ ـ  ﻫﺎﻟﻰ ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻻً ﻋﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﺤﻠﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻰﻛﺮ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺗﺮﻓﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻜﻮ‪ 7‬ﺳﺎﻧﻪ ﺑﺮﮔﺰ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ ﻳﻦ ﺑﺤﺮ
 ﻗﻔﻘﺎ  ﻳﮋﮔﻰ ﺑﺨﺼﻮﺻﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ﺑﻮ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺻﻌﺐﻟﻌﺒﻮ ﺑﻮ
‪ ،‬‬ ‫ﻗﺪﻳﻢﻻﻳﺎ‪ O‬ﻣﺤﻞ ﺳﻜﻮﻧﺖ ﻗﻮ‪ O‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻣﺘﻔﺎ‪  7‬ﮔﺮ‪.‬ﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻛﻮﭼﻚ  ﭘﺮﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻮ‪» .‬ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ«  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﮔﺎ‪ .‬ﭘﺪﻳﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﺔ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻫﻜﺪ‪ .‬ﺗﺠﺎ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﺪ!  ﻧﺒﻮ ﻳﻚ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻓﺮﮔﻴﺮ  ﻗﺪ‪ 7‬ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺎﮔﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﻣﻴﻨﻪﺳــﺎ‬ ‫ﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ‪ .‬ﺷــﻮ‪ .‬ﺟﻨﮓﻫﺎ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‪ ،‬ﭼﻪ *
ﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ  ﺧﺎ‪ S‬ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺻﻮ‪ 7‬ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ـ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦﺷﺎ
ﺟﻨﮓﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﭼﭽﻨــﻰ ﺑــﻮ ـ  ﭼﻪ *
ﻫﺎ ﻛــﻪ  ﻣﻴﺎ
ﻗﻮ‪ O‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ  ﻗﺒﻴﻞ *‪ ،c‬ﻣﻨﻰ‪ ،‬ﺗﺮ‪ ،S‬ﮔﺮﺟﻰ  ‪ ...‬ﺧﺪ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﻛﻢﺟﻤﻌﻴﺖ ﺑﻮ
ﻳﻦ ﻗﻮ‪ O‬ﻧﺘﻮﻧﺴﺖ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺤﺮ
ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ .‬ﺷﻮ‪  ،‬ﻋﻤﻞ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻄﺔ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺗﻰ ﻣﺘﻔﺎ‪  7‬ﺑﻂ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ  *ﺳﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺣﻞ  ﻓﺼﻞ ﮔﺮ‪ .‬ﺑﺤﺚ ﻣﺮ  ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﻣﺤﺪ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ ﺷﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻳﻦ ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺖﻫﺎ   ﻣﻮ *ﺳﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ  ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﺸﻜﺎﻓﻴﻢ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑــﻪ ﻫــﺮ ﺗﻘﺪﻳﺮ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‪ ،‬ﻫﻢ  ﻧﻈﺮ ﺟﻤﻌﻴﺘﻰ ﺑﺎ *ﺳــﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﻣﺘﻔﺎ‪ 7‬ﺳــﺖ‪  ،‬ﻫــﻢ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺟﻮ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻋﻈﻴــﻢ ﻧﻔﺖ  ﮔﺎ‪ ،‬‬ ‫ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﻧﺰﻳﻜﻰ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﺑﻪ ﻳﺎ ﺳﻴﺎ‪  .‬ﺧﺰ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﻛﻤﻮﻧﻴﺴﻢ  ﭘﺎ ﺷﺮﻗﻰ ﻋﻤ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ  ﻫﺪ‪ Z‬ﺻﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺷــﺪ‪.‬ﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺷﺎﻣﻞ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﮕﺰﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻣﺘﻔﺎ‪  7‬ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺷﺪ‪   ..‬ﻃﺮ‪ Z‬ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ  ﻣﻰﺗﻮ
‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﻠﻰ ﺑﻪ  ﻗﺴﻤﺖ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎ
ﻧﺸﻴﻦ  ﻣﺴﻴﺤﻰﻧﺸﻴﻦ ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎ
ﻧﺸﻴﻦ  ﻳﻦ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‪* ،‬ﻧﻘﺪﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎ‪7‬‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻧﻪ ﻋﻨﻮ
ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺸﻮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻧﺪﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﻣﺴﺌﻠﺔ ﻣﺬﻫﺐ ﺷﻴﻌﻪ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﻣﻴﺎ
ﺑﺴﻴﺎ  ﻳﻦ ﻗﻮ‪ O‬ﻣﺬﻫﺐ‬ ‫ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻤﺎ ﻣﻰ‪   ،‬ﻃﺮ‪ Z‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﻄﻪ  ﭘﻴﺸــﻴﻨﺔ ﺗﺎﻳﺨﻰ ﻳﻦ ﻗﻮ‪ O‬ﻣﻄﺮ‪ k‬ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻠﺖ ﻳﺮ
ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻻً ﺳﺘﺎﻧﻪﺗﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﻮ‪ .‬ﺗﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺮ‪S‬ﻫﺎ ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻰ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻨﺴــﺘﺎ
ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮ
ﻳﻚ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻣﺴﻴﺤﻰﻧﺸــﻴﻦ  ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻻﺋﻞ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﻳﺨﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮ
ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻠﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻧﺪ‪  ،‬ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ ﻣﺸــﺎﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﻛﺮﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺳﺘﻔﺎ‪ .‬‬ ‫ﺗﺮ‪S‬ﺳﺘﻴﺰ  ﻣﻴﺎ
ﻣﻨﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ  ﻋﻤ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺣﺎﺋﻞ ﻣﻴﺎ
*‪c‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ
ﺷﻮ ﺳﺎﺑﻖ  ﻛﺸﻮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻛﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ
ﻣﺸــﺎﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ  ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﻴﺮ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻧﻔﻮ‪ c‬ﺑﻪ ﺑﻄﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﻻ‪ 7‬ﻣﺘﺤﺪ  ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ‪ ،‬ﺳﺘﻔﺎ‪  .‬ﻫﺮﻫﺎ ﻧﻔﻮ‪ c‬ﻳﺮ
 ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺟﻤﻜﺮ
ﺑﻮ‪  .‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﺘﺎ  ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻜﺮ
ﻃﻰ ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ ﺳﺎ‪2‬ﻫﺎ ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺗﺤﺎﺷﻮ‪ ،‬ﻳﺮ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻏﺮﺑﻰﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺗﻼ]ﻫﺎ ﻳﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻧﺰﻳﻚ ﺷﺪ
ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﺻﻮ‪ 7‬ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﻃﻰ ﻳﻦ ‪ .‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺗﻨﺶﻫﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ U‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ  ﺧﻞ‪ ،‬ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ ﻏﺮ‪  o‬ﻣﻮ‬ ‫ﻧﻔﻮ‪ c‬ﺑﻪ ﺑﻄﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ  ﺑﺎ ﻧﮕﺮﻧﻰ ﻧﺒﺎ‪ 2‬ﻣﻰﻛﺮ‪ ،‬ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴــﺖ  ﺑﺮﺑﺮ *
ﻣﻮﺿﻌﻰ ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻞ   ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪ o‬ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺧﻮ ﺗﺨﺎ‪c‬‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ‪ ،‬ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻳﻚ ﺻﻞ ﻛﻠﻰ  ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻧﺼﺐﻟﻌﻴﻦ ﺧﻮ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﺑﻮ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﻧﺴــﺖ ﻳﺠﺎ ﺗﺒﺎ‪ p‬ﺑﺎ‪ .‬ﻣﻴﺎ
‬ ‫ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ ﻳﺮ
ﻛﻪ  ﻗﻊ ﻧﻄﻔﺔ ﺻﻠﻰ ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﺳﺖ‪   ،‬ﻣﺪ‪ 7‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﺮ ﺳﻴﻪ ﺳﺮ ﻓﺮ
‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻧﺒﺎ‪  .* 2‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻋﻤﺎ‪ 2‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ ﻣﺘﻔﺎ‪ ،7‬ﺿﻤﻦ ﻣﻤﺎﻧﻌﺖ  ﺷــﻜﻞﮔﻴﺮ ﻣﺤﻮ »ﻳﺮ
ـ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ«‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  *ﻧﭽﻪ »ﺳﻼ‪O‬ﮔﺮﺋﻰ« ﺗﻨﺪ  ﻳﺮ
ﻋﻨﻮ
ﻣﻰﺷﺪ‪  ،‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴﺖ ﺳﻮ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻮ‪ r‬ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎ‪ 7‬ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ U‬ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ً »ﺿﺪﻃﺎﻟﺒﺎﻧﻰ«‬ ‫ﻏﺮ‪ o‬ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎ   ﻳﻜﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ ﻳﺮ
ﺳــﺮﺧﻮ‪ .‬ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻳﺮ
  ﻳﻦ ﺻﺤﻨﻪ ﻣﻨﺰ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺷــﺎﻫﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫»*‪c‬ﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎ
ـ ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ
«  ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮ
ﻣﺴــﻴﺮ ﻧﻔﻮ‪ c‬ﻏﺮ‪ o‬ﻣﻮ ﺗﺸــﻮﻳﻖ ﻗﺮ ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴﻢ‪  ،‬ﻗﻊ‪ ،‬ﺑﺤﺮ
ﻣﺮ‬

‫ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ
ﻛﻪ ﻳﺸــﻪﻫﺎ *
 ﺣﻀﻮ  ﻗﺪ‪7‬ﻳﺎﺑﻰ ﺑﻰﺿﺎﺑﻄﺔ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ  ﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻧﻬﻔﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻧﺎﺷــﻰ  ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ‬ ‫ﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻃﻰ ﻳﻦ ‪  .‬ﻳﺮ
‪ ،‬ﻫﺎﺷﻤﻰ ﺑﻬﺮﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖ ﻗﺪﺗﻤﻨﺪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ  ﻋﻤﺪ‪ U‬ﻛﺸﻮ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻮ! »ﻗﺪﺗﻰ« ﻛﻪ ﺑﻌﺪًﺧﻮ ‬ ‫ﺳــﺮ ﺳــﺎﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﻧﺎﻣﻴﺪ‪   ،‬ﻛﻼ‪ O‬ﻫﻮ
] ﺗﺤﺖ ﺷﻌﺎ »ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﻫﺎﺷﻤﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﭘﻴﻐﻤﺒﺮ«‪ ،‬ﻧﻌﻠﻴﻦ ﺧﻮ  ﺟﺎ ﭘﺎ ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺒﺮ‬ ‫ﺳــﻼ‪ O‬ﮔﺬﺷــﺖ؛ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻧﺶ   ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺘﻬﺰء »ﻛﺒﺮ ﺷﺎ‪ «.‬ﻣﻰﻧﺎﻣﻴﺪﻧﺪ‪  .‬ﻗﻊ‪ ،‬ﺳــﻴﻪ ﻃﻰ ﻳﻦ ‪ .‬ﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﺎ‪2‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎ
ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﺋﻰ  ﻳﺮ
 ﻛﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﻠﺸــﻮﻳﻚﻫﺎ ﻃﻰ ﻛﻮﺗﺎ ﻣﻴﺮﭘﻨﺞ ﺑﻪ *
ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻞ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻮ‪ :‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  ﻳﻚ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻀﺤﻚ  ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻏﺮ‪  o‬ﻳﺮ
ﺑﺮ *ﻧﻜﻪ  ﻣﻴﺎ
ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎ ﻫﻤﺴﺎﻳﻪ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺟﺬﺑﻴﺖ ﻳﺮ
 ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ ﻳﺮﻧﻰ   ﻣﻴﺎ
ﺑﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻳﺪﻳﻢ  ﻫﺮ  ﻣﻮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪ ﻣﻮﻓﻖ ﺑﻮ‪..‬‬ ‫ﻟﻰ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮ  ‪ U‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺣﺰ‪ o‬ﻛﺎﮔﺮ  ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ
ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﺳﺎﺳﻰ ﭘﻴﺪ ﻛﺮ‪ ،‬ﺷﺘﻬﺎ ﻏﺮ‪ o‬ﺑﺮ ﻧﻔﺖ  ﺑﻪ ﻓﺰﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﺑﻮ‪  ،‬ﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ ﭘﻴﺶ  ﻫﻤﺪﺳــﺘﺎ
ﺷــﺪ
ﺑﺎ *ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰﻫﺎ  ﻣﺎﺟﺮﺟﻮﺋﻰ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚﺷــﺎ
 ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎ
 ﺳﭙﺲ  ﻋﺮ‪ ،w‬ﺳﻌﻰ‬ ‫ﻛﺮ  ﻣﻬﺮ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎ‪» O‬ﺳﻴﺪﻛﺎ
« ﺑﺮ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻳﻦ »ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖﺳﺎ« ﺳﺘﻔﺎ‪ .‬ﻛﺮ‪ . ،.‬ﻧﻔﻮ‪ c‬ﺑﻪ 
ﻗﻔﻘﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﻠﻪ ‬ ‫ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺧﺎ‪ S‬ﻳﺮ
ﻓﺮﻫﻢ *‪ .‬ﺗﻼﺷﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ »ﺗﺌﺎﺗﺮ« ﻣﻀﺤﻚ  ﻃﻮﻻﻧﻰ ﺻﻼ‪k‬ﻃﻠﺒﻰ ﻋﻤ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺑﻰﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻣﺎﻧﺪ  ﻛﺎ ﺑﻪ »ﻣﻬﺮ«‬ ‫ﻧﺠﺎﻣﻴﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺷــﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ  ‪ U‬ﻣﻬﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺳــﻴﻪ ﻫﻤﺎ
ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ »ﻣﻴﺮﭘﻨﺞﻳﺴــﻢ« ﺧﻮ  ﮔﺎ‪ O‬ﺑﻪ ﮔﺎ‪ O‬ﻧﺒﺎ‪ 2‬ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ‪،‬‬ ‫ ﻣﻴــﺎ
ﻣﻠــﻞ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﻣﺮ ﻛﻤﺘﺮ ﻣﻠﺘﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ
ﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ‪.‬ﻫﺎ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ  ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ  ﺷــﻴﻮ‪ U‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ  ﻳﺮ
ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻳﺠﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﺒﺎﻃﺎ‪ 7‬ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ U‬ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﻰ‪ ،‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ  ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮ ﺳﺎ‪* :‬ﻧﭽﻪ  ﺑﺎﻻ *ﻣﺪ‪ ،‬ﻳﺎ ﻣﺤﺪ   ﻣﻮ ﻋﻤﺎ‪2‬‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﻧﺰ ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ‪ ،‬ﻣﻄﺮ‪ k‬ﻛﺮﻳﻢ‪ .‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺑﻌﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺗﺐ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪.‬ﺗﺮ  ﻳﻦﻫﺎ    ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﺼﺮ ﻣﺠﺎ‪ 2‬ﺑﺮﺳﻰ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﻓﻘﻂ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ  ﻣﻮ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﻫﺎ ﺣﺰ‪ o‬ﺗﻮ‪  .‬ﻳﺎ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﻧﮕﺬ
ﻳﻦ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻼ‪7‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎ »ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻫﺎ«  ﻳﺮ
ﺳﺨﻦ ﮔﻔﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﻳﻢ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺮ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ
 ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﺗﺒﺎ‪ p‬ﺑﺎ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻳﮋ‪ .‬ﭘﻴﺮﻣﻮ
»ﺑﺤﺮ
ﻧﺮژ«‪» ،‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ U‬ﻗﻴﻤﺖ ﻧﻔﺖ«‪» ،‬ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ«  ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‪  7‬ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﻛﻼ
ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ‬ ‫»ﻓﺮﺿﻰ« ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ‪ 7‬ﻳﺎﻻ‪ 7‬ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺻﻮ‪ 7‬ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻳﻦ ﺻﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻋﺘﻨﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ »ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ـ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ« ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺑﺮ *ﻧﭽﻪ ﭘﻴﺸــﺘﺮ »ﻧﺰ« ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ ﻧﺎﻣﻴﺪﻳﻢ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮﺗﻰ ﭘﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺮ ﺟﺎ ﮔﺬ‪ ،‬ﻳﺎ ﺣﺪﻗﻞ ﻳﻦ »ﻗﺮﻧﻄﻴﻨﻪﺳــﺎ«  ‬ ‫ﺻﻮ‪7‬ﻫﺎ ﺳــﻨﺘﻰ ﺧﻮ ﺧﺎ‪ r‬ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻰﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﻴﺮ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻳﺠﺎ ﺗﺒﺎ‪ p‬ﻣﻴﺎ
ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎ‪  ،‬ﻛﻤﺎ‪ 2‬ﺗﺄﺳــﻒ ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﺟﻨﮓ‬ ‫ﺳﺖ!   ﻳﻦ ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪ ،o‬ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ ﺟﻨﮓ  ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ
ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺎ ﻳﺮﻧﻴﺎ
 ﻫﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ﺷﻮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻟﺖ ﺳﻴﻪ  ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻗﺒﻮ‪ 2‬ﻟﺘﻰ  ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺘﻰ  ﻳﺮ
ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺻﻮ‪ 7‬ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻛــﻪ ﺑــﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ‪» 0‬ﺷﺨﺼﻴﺖﺳــﺎ« ﻳﺠــﺎ ﺑﻄﻪ ﻣﻴﺎ
ﻣﻠﺖ ﻳﺮ
 ﻣﻠــﻞ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘــﺎ‪ ،‬ﮔﺮ ﻧﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﻏﻴﺮﻣﻤﻜﻦ‪ ،‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺳﺘﻔﺎ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﻫﻜﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ »ﻧﺰ« ﻣﻄﻠﻮ‪ o‬ﺧﻮ  ﺑﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻗﻔﻘﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ‬ ‫ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ ﮔﺮ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻳﻦ »ﻧﺰ« ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ  *ﻧﭽﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻴﺐ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺑﺮ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺷﺎﻫﺮگﻫﺎ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ﻏﺮ‪ o‬ﺗﺰﻳﻖ ﺷﻮ‬ ‫ـ ﺷــﺎﻫﺮگﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺑﺮ *
ﻫﺎ ﻧﻈﺎ‪ 7‬ﻧﺪ ـ ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﮔﺸﻮ
ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﺑﻂ ﺑﺎ ﻳﺮ
 ﻧﻈﺮ ﺳﻴﻪ ‪.‬ﺣﻠﻰ ﺟﻬﺖ ﭘﺎﺳﺨﮕﻮﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻳﻦ ﻣﻌﻀﻞ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﺷﻮ‪   .‬ﺻﻮ‪ 7‬ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ  ﻳﻦ »‪.‬ﻫﺎ«‪ ،‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺑﻰﻗﻔﺔ ﺳﻴﻪ  ﺑﻮ‪o‬ﺟﻤﻌﻰ *ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰﻫﺎ  ﺟﻤﻜﺮ
ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺪ] ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ  ﻳﻨﻤﻮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ‪* 7‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﺷــﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺤﺮ
ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ  ﺣﺎ‪ 2‬ﺣﺎﺿﺮ  ﺑﻄﻦ‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻳﺮ
ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺗﻰ ﻣﺴــﻠﻢ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﻴﺮ ﺷــﺪ‪.‬؛ ﻇﻬﺎ‪» 7‬ﻏﻴﺮﻋﺎ« ﻣﺸﺎ ﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ  ﻣﻮ ﻣﺮ‪ O‬ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ‪ ،‬ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷﺪ
‬ ‫ﻣﺪ‪ S‬ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻠﻰ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﮕﻰ ﻳﺮ ﻛﺸــﻮ‪ ،‬ﻇﻬﺎ‪ 7‬ﻋﻀﺎء ﺳــﭙﺎ‪ .‬ﭘﺎﺳﺪ
 ﻣﻮ ﺑﺴﺘﻦ ﺗﻨﮕﺔ ﻫﺮﻣﺰ‪ ...  ،‬ﻫﻤﻪ ﻧﺸﺎ
ﻣﻰﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮ
ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ
 ﻣﺮﻫﺎ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﻣﺎﻧﺪ‪.‬‬