Product and Process Design Dr. Ranjan Ghosh Indian Institute of Management Calcutta
The Manufacturing Environment • Rapid Changes – New products rapidly introduced – Short, unknown product life cycles
• • • •
High Variety of Products Long Production Lead Times Increasing storage and transportation costs Difficult to forecast demand
The Goals of the Manufacturing Organization • • • •
Responsiveness Competitive pricing Efficiency Customer service
Conflicting Goals
Why Do These Goals Conflict? • Forces for keeping low inventory – inventory expensive – low salvage values
• Forces for keeping high inventory – long lead times – customer service is important – demand is hard to predict – reduction in transportation quantity
Design for Logistics • Product and process design key cost drivers of product cost • Design for Manufacturing used design to decrease manufacturing costs • Major supply chain costs include transportation costs, inventory costs, distribution costs
Design for Logistics (cont’d) • Design for Logistics uses product design to address logistics costs • Key Concepts of Design for Logistics – Economic packaging and transportation – Concurrent/Parallel Processing – Mass Customization
Economic Transportation and Storage • Design products so that they can be efficiently packed and stored • Design packaging so that products can be consolidated at cross docking points • Design products to efficiently utilize retail space
Examples • Ikea – World’s largest furniture retailer – 131 stores in 21 countries – Large stores, centralized manufacturing, compactly and efficiently packed products
• Rubbermaid – Clear Classic food containers - designed to fit 14x14” Wal-Mart shelves
Concurrent/Parallel Processing • Objective is to minimize lead times • Achieved by redesigning products so that several manufacturing steps can take place in parallel • Modularity/Decoupling is key to implementation • Enables different inventory levels for different parts
Traditional Manufacturing • Set schedules as early as possible • Use large lot sizes to make efficient use of equipment and minimize costs • Large centralized facilities take advantage of economies of scale
Mass Customization • Customization, Predictability and Performance Mass Customization Performance
Predictability
Mass Customization • Predictability of Demand • Predictability of Operations – Inventory levels – Equipment capacity requirements – Increase in the number of components and hence in the number of suppliers
Mass Customization • How should/do companies implement mass customization without suffering the negative effects of increased product variety and variability?
Strategies for Managing Variety • • • • •
Modularity Standardization Postponement Process Re-sequencing Quick Response
Modularity in Product and Process • Modular Product: – Can be made by appropriately combining the different modules – It entails providing customers a number of options for each module
• Modular Process: – Each product undergo a discrete set of operations making it possible to store inventory in semi-finished form – Products differ from each other in terms of the subset of operations that are performed on them
Modularity in Product and Process • Semiconductor wafer fabrication is modular since the type of chip produced depends on the unique set of operations performed • Oil refining is not modular since it is continuous and inventory storage of semifinished product is difficult
Modularity in Product and Process
• Are modular products always made from modular processes?
Modularity in Product and Process • Modular products are not always made from modular processes – Bio-tech and pharmaceutical industries make modular products but use non-modular processes; many products are made by varying the mix of a small number of ingredients – Lubricants are produced by varying the composition and quantity of ingredients.
A Framework for Mass Customization Part Standardization
Process Standardization
Product Non-Modular Standardization
Procurement Standardization
Modular
Product
Modular
Non-Modular Processes
Product Standardization • Downward Substitution – Produce only a subset of products (because producing each one incurs high setup cost) – Guide customers to existing products – Substitute products with higher feature set for those with lower feature set – Which products to offer, how much to keep, how to optimally substitute ?
Procurement Standardization • Consider a large semiconductor manufacturer – The wafer fabrication facility produces highly customized integrated circuits – Processing equipment that manufactures these wafers are very expensive with long lead time and are made to order – Although there is a degree of variety at the final product level, each wafer has to undergo a common set of operations – The firm reduces risk of investing in the wrong equipment by pooling demand across a variety of products
Postponement Example • Demand for black t-shirts – 50% probability 100 – 50% probability 200
• Same for white t-shirts • Production alternatives Produce 150 of each color ahead of time Produce 300 which can be dyed after demand is observed
Postponement: Example First Alternative – 25% probability -- short 50 of each – 25% probability -- extra 50 of each – 50% probability -- short 50 of one, extra 50 of the other
Second Alternative – 25% probability -- short 50 of each – 25% probability -- extra 50 of each – 50% probability -- no shortage or extra
Postponement: Key Concepts • Delay differentiation of products in the same family as late as possible • Enables the use of aggregate forecasts • Enables the delay of detailed forecasts • Reduces scrapped or obsolete inventory, increases customer service • May require new processes or product design with associated costs
Benetton: Background • A world leader in knitwear • Massive volume, many stores • Logistics – Large, flexible production network – Many independent subcontractors – Subcontractors responsible for product movement
• Retailers – Many, small stores with limited storage
Benetton: Supply Cycle • Primary collection in stores in January – – – – –
Final designs in March of previous year Store owners place firm orders through July Production starts in July based on first 10% of orders August - December stores adjust orders (colors) 80%-90% of items in store for January sales
• Mini collection based on customer requests designed in January for Spring sales • To refill hot selling items – Late orders as items sell out – Delivery promised in less than five weeks
Benetton: Flexibility • Business goals – Increase sales of fashion items – Continue to expand sales network – Minimize costs
• Flexibility important in achieving these goals – Hard to predict what items, colors, etc. will sell – Customers make requests once items are in stores – Small stores may need frequent replenishments
It is hard to be Flexible when • Lead times are long • Retailers are committed to purchasing early orders • Purchasing plans for raw materials are based upon extrapolating from 10% of the orders
How to be flexible?
Postponement
Benetton Old Manufacturing Process Sequence of Processes • • • • •
Spin or Purchase Yarn Dye Yarn Finish Yarn Manufacture Garment Parts Join Parts
Benetton New Manufacturing Process Re-Sequencing of Processes • • • • •
Spin or Purchase Yarn Manufacture Garment Parts Join Parts Dye Garment (This step is postponed) Finish Garment
Benetton: Postponement • Why the change? – The change enables Benetton to start manufacturing before color choices are made
• What does the change result in? – Delayed forecasts of specific colors – Still use aggregate forecasts to start manufacturing early – React to customer demand and suggestions
• Issues with postponement – Costs are 10% higher for manufacturing – New processes had to be developed – New equipment had to be purchased
A new Supply Chain Paradigm • A shift from a Push System... – Production decisions are based on forecast
• …to a Push-Pull System
From Make-to-Stock Model…. Suppliers
Assembly
Configuration
Demand Forecast • The three principles of all forecasting techniques: – Forecasts are usually wrong – The longer the forecast horizon the worst is the forecast – Aggregate forecasts are more accurate • The Risk Pooling Concept
Push-Pull Boundary • Point where the Production Process switches from Push to Pull (or Build-to-Forecast to Build-to-Order); also known as De-Couple Point.
De-Couple Points • • • • •
Before Product Variety explodes After long lead time stages After stages with constraint capacity After stages with large setup times or costs. They occur typically between component manufacturing and Sub-assembly, or between Sub-assembly and Final assembly, or between Final assembly and Distribution, or between Distribution and Retail.
Push-Pull Supply Chains The Supply Chain Time Line
Customers
Suppliers
PUSH STRATEGY Low Uncertainty
PULL STRATEGY High Uncertainty Push-Pull Boundary
A new Supply Chain Paradigm • A shift from a Push System... – Production decisions are based on forecast
• …to a Push-Pull System – Parts inventory is replenished based on forecasts – Assembly is based on accurate customer demand
….to Assemble-to-Order Model Suppliers
Assembly
Configuration
Business models in the Book Industry • From Push Systems... – Barnes and Noble
• ...To Pull Systems – Amazon.com, 1996-1999
• And, finally to Push-Pull Systems – Amazon.com, 1999-present • 7 warehouses, 3M sq. ft.,
Matching Supply Chain Strategies with Products Demand uncertainty (C.V.)
Pull
H
I
II
Computer
IV
Push
III Delivery cost Unit price
L L
Pull
H
Push
Economies of Scale
Locating the Push-Pull Boundary
Organizational Skills Needed Raw Material
Customers Push
Pull
Low Uncertainty
High Uncertainty
Long Lead Times
Short Cycle Times
Cost Minimization
Service Level
Resource Allocation
Responsiveness