New Initiatives in credit flow to Farmers: NCDEX Journey Mr P.H.Ravikumar MD & CEO, NCDEX Limited
Oct 8, 2005
Present Financial Concerns Financial Risks of Framers
Pre-Production
Credit needs •Lack of timely farm inputs •Forward price risk •Credit flow 2
Insurance needs •Weather leading to crop failure •Yield risk
Post-Production • Price risk •Lack of proper storage •Credit flow
Present Financial Concerns Entities covering risk
Pre-Production
Post-Production
Credit needs
Insurance needs
• NCDEX
•NCDEX
•Insurance Company
•NCMSL
•Banks
• NCDEX –NCMSL
•Banks
Price risk •NCDEX 3
Integrated role of Arathiya
4
Price Buyback Insurance Liquidity Flexible turn around time
To replace Arathiyas, we need alternative ‘singlewindow’
agencies
performing
with
same
efficiency and turn around time; costs are secondary
5
Banks lend, but…
Banks charge farmers high interest rates
Price risk Volumetric risk Crop failure on account of natural factors as also failure in supply of inputs Other Risks run by farmers and lenders
Default Risk Accidental death of farmers
Slower process & lower quantum lent
Can the arathiya’s role be entwined with that of the banks? 6
Single window model: Pre-harvest Small Farmers
Small Farmers
Large Farmers
Aggregators Future price ensured Liquidity enhanced Banks Insurance NCDEX NCMSL
7
Weather derivatives /Crop Insurance Bank lending
Single window model: Post-harvest Small Farmers
Large Farmers
Sell forward Banks NCDEX NCMSL
Storage facility
Assaying & grading
Commodity backed bank finance (WR) 8
Information Dissemination Matrix Information on commodity price, warehouse status, weather & rainfall etc. Price Ticker Rural
Post offices Bank’s rural branches Railway platforms Co-operative offices Rural warehouses Panchayat offices Kissan Call centres
9
Awareness Program
Print Media
Electronic Media
Covering remote
TV
villages In vernaculars Documentary movies
newspapers Training materials
Radio
Regional
Current Spot Market Structure
Spot Markets
Over 7000 ‘Mandis’ Opaque prices Long Value Chain Asymmetric market & price information Bundled Processes Price Information Decision to buy/sell Geographically influenced Subjective Grading Physical Delivery Realisation of value
Currently both the buyer/seller to depend on intermediaries, elongating the value chain 10
NCDEX Approach in Spot Market Unbundling the process Price Information Information Dissemination Spot Prices
Informed decision on when & where to sell – at his place itself
Trade execution- at his place itself
Physical Delivery of produce – quality migration
Prompt commercial realization Low cost funding of stocks Cashflow funding for intermediary period, when sold forward
Electronic Trades
Warehouse & Logistics Accredited warehouses Weather Scientific Grading
11
Receipt of value
Benefits of unbundling
Increase of holding power of small & marginal farmers Remove the price & market information asymmetry Improves realization Larger flow of credit to the sector through risk mitigation Shrinkage of value chain
12
Higher realization to the primary producer & lower cost to the consumer
NCDEX Pilots
Cotton grading project with CIRCOT Grading cotton scientifically possible Reduced subjectivity in grading of cotton MOU with IARI Objective gradation of cereals Cotton pilot in AP & Gujarat farmers to sell forward before harvest Insurance player included to cover volumetric risk Issue of aggregators Farmers said they preferred options Bank finance in MP with MPSWC Banks to provide finance up to 85% of crop value
13
Impact of NCDEX on farm incomes Guar Seed Price (Rs/qtl)
Raw Jute Price (Rs qtl)
FY02
FY0 3
FY02
FY0 3
FY04
FY05
FY04
FY05
1st Qtr
823
840
1217
1082
1491
1st Qtr
1146
1008
842
1056
1454
2nd Qtr
821
1575
847
1625
-
2nd Qtr
1042
857
823
1405
-
3rd Qtr
698
1434
978
1669
-
3rd Qtr
1042
827
784
1557
-
4th Qtr
758
1439
958
1534
-
4th Qtr
1167
804
794
1303
-
FY06
FY06
Castor Seed price (Rs/20 kgs) FY02
FY03
FY04
1st Qtr
197
247
375
2nd Qtr
224
263
3rd Qtr
211
4th Qtr
211
FY05
FY06
304
304
287
357
-
297
292
348
-
363
300
305
-
Prices are those received by the farmers after adjusting for the taxes and other incidentals. The Prices are from the following mandis: Bikaner, Calcutta and Ahmedabad. Numbers marked in red pertain to Prices after trading was enabled on NCDEX. 14
One-stop shop in Non Urban India Unit
Function
Warehouse
Hub of activities
Banking
Franchised branches Low cost ATMs, Agri-loans, financing, aggregation
Crop Insurance
Franchised branches, Crop risk mitigation
Life Insurance
Life risk mitigation
NCDEX (Price & Trading)
Price risk mitigation & real time knowledge
Grading Agencies
Scientific grading, quality migration
Input suppliers (seed, fertilizers & Increase availability to farmers machine tools) Agri-extension services 15
Facilitate other needs & services
Regulatory Facilitation
Options
Can be a substitute for MSP Can be done for specific commodities without amendment in FCRA (by notification under Section 27)
Indices & weather derivatives not tradable Bank participation as aggregators
16
Can be done by notification under Section 6 (1)(o) of Banking Regulation Act
Regulatory Facilitation
Institutional participation
Mutual funds: Modification in SEBI regulation
FIIs: Notification by RBI
SEBI to issue a notification Policy to be put in place
Legal recognition needed for demat WR
Not under Depository Act presently Not a negotiable instrument
17
About NCDEX
18
NCDEX – Current shareholders
NABARD 15%
NSE 15%
ICICI Bank 15%
LIC 15%
IFFCO 12%
Canara Bank 8%
-No private shareholding, only institutional shareholding -NCDEX fully compliant with shareholding guidelines 19
CRISIL 12%
PNB 8%
Independent Board of Directors Name
Organisation
Expertise in
Shri U. S. Awasthi
MD, IFFCO
Agriculture
Shri A.K. Shukla
Chairman, LIC
Insurance
Shri B.V. Bhargava
Chairman, CRISIL
Credit rating/finance
Shri S.H. Bhojani
Partner, Amarchand Mangaldas & Co.
Legal
Shri Dileep Choksi
Sr. Partner, C.C Choksi & Co.
Accounting
Shri D. S. Kolamkar
Director, FMC
Market Regulation
Smt Ranjana Kumar
Chairperson, NABARD
Rural finance/Banking
Shri Ravi Narain
MD & CEO, NSE
Exchange operation
Shri Lamon Rutten
Chief - Finance & Energy, UNCTAD
Finance & Energy
Shri Ravi Mohan
MD, CRISIL
Credit rating
Dr. Ajay Shah
Consultant, Ministry of Finance
Economics & Finance
Shri H.N. Sinor
CEO & Secretary, IBA
Banking & Finance
Shri P. H. Ravikumar
MD, NCDEX
Banking & Finance
20
Product Calendar Dec 2003 Gold, Gold, Silver, Silver, Crude Crude Palm Palm oil, oil, RBD RBD Palmolein, Palmolein, Cotton, Cotton, Mustard Mustard seed, seed, Mustard Mustard oil oil Soybean, Soybean, Refined Refined soy soy oil oil
Apr-Dec 2004 Guar Guar seed, seed, Jute Jute sacking, sacking, Chana, Chana, Rubber, Rubber, Pepper, Pepper, Wheat, Wheat, Castor Castor seed, seed, Guar Guar gum, gum, Raw Raw jute, jute, Urad, Urad, Yellow Yellow peas, peas, Sugar, Sugar, Turmeric, Turmeric, Soymeal Soymeal
Crude oil just
Jan – Aug 2005 Gur, Gur, Rice, Rice, Maize, Maize, Raw Raw silk, silk, Cocoon, Cocoon, Jeera, Jeera, Chilli, Chilli, Steel, Steel, Cashew, Cashew, Cottonseed Cottonseed oilcake, oilcake, Sesame Sesame seed, seed, Tur, Arabica Tur, Arabica & & Robusta Robusta Coffee, Coffee, Copper Copper cathode cathode ,, mentha mentha oil, oil, Crude Crude oil oil
launched
In pipeline Other Other base base Metals, Metals, Energy Energy Products, Products, More More Agricultural Agricultural products products
Indices Indices-NCDEXAGRI NCDEXAGRI FUTEXAGRI FUTEXAGRI NCDEXRAIN NCDEXRAIN
Each product is selected after in-depth research & market feedback 21
Average daily volumes
Rs cr
4500
4157 3835
4000 3500
Peak Volume for a single day
3000
Rs. 7,197 cr on 22 Aug’05
3040 2575
2500
2231 2015
2000
1619
1500
1231
1000
2095
1444 1229
691 21
55
Q 1 -2 0 0 4
Q 2 -2 0 0 4
500
•Impressive growth of NCDEX with 85% volume contribution from agriculture •Volumes in Steel & Copper picking up- daily average steel trade- 10,000 tonnes •NCDEX has 60% of the market share in commodity trading 22
S e p '0 5
A u g '0 5
J u l y '0 5
J u n e '0 5
M a y '0 5
A p r '0 5
M a r '0 5
F e b '0 5
J a n '0 5
D e c - '0 4
O c t -N o v 0 4
Q 3 -2 0 0 4
0
Thank You
23
Value Chain Farmers Farmers Kaccha Kaccha Arathiya Arathiya
Pucca Pucca Arathiya Arathiya
Farmers Farmers Co-operatives Co-operatives
Mandis Mandis Co-operative Co-operative Mills Mills
Pucca Pucca Arathiya Arathiya
Private Private Mills Mills Consumer Consumer 24
Retailer Retailer
Wholeseller Wholeseller