Mpar Trade Studies: Mark Weber

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MPAR Trade Studies

Mark Weber 12 October 2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory 2007 ICNS-1 MEW 5/2/2007

Lincoln Laboratory ATC Program History 1970

1980

1990

Discrete Address Beacon System

Mode S

Surveillance and Communications Microwave Landing System Beacon Collision Avoidance System TCAS Moving Target Detector

Communication, Navigation and Surveillance

ASR-9

Mode S Surface Comms

Automation

Weather

2000

UAS

Airport Surface Detection Equipment SLEP Proc. Augmentation Card

Parallel Runway Monitor GPS Applications Runway Status Lights ADS-B Airport Surface GCNSS/SWIM Traffic Automation Terminal ATC Automation NASA ATM Research

Storm Turbulence Terminal Doppler Weather Radar SLEP ASR-9 Wind Shear Processor NEXRAD Enhancements Multi Function Phased Array Radar Integrated Terminal Weather System Aviation Weather Research Wake Vortex Corridor Integrated Weather System

MIT Lincoln Laboratory 2007 ICNS-2 MEW 5/2/2007

National Air Surveillance Infrastructure Future

Today ASR-9 ASR-9

ASR-8 ASR-8

ARSR-1/2 ARSR-1/2

ASR-11 ASR-11

ARSR-3 ARSR-3

NEXRAD NEXRAD

ADS-B

ARSR-4 ARSR-4

TDWR TDWR

FAA transition to Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) dictates that the nation re-think its overall surveillance architecture. Needs:

MPAR

Weather (national scale and at airports) ADS-B integrity verification and backup Airspace situational awareness for homeland security 2007 ICNS-3 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Today’s Operational Radar Capabilities Function

Maximum Range for Detection of 1m2 Target

Terminal Area Aircraft Surveillance (ASR-9/11) En Route Aircraft Surveillance (ARSR-4) Airport Weather (TDWR)

60 nmi

205 nmi

Required Coverage Range

60 nm

250 nm

Altitude

20,000'

60,000'

Angular Resol. Az El

Nationwide Weather (NEXRAD) 225 nmi

250 nmi

20,000'

50,000'

Waveform*

>18 pulses PRI ~ 0.001 sec

5 sec

1.4°

>10 pulses 2.0° PRI ~ 0.001 sec

12 sec



~50 pulses 0.5° PRI ~ 0.001 sec

180 sec



~50 pulses PRI ~ 0.001 sec

>240 sec

1.4°

212 nmi 60 nmi

Scan Period

5

o



Weather surveillance drives requirements for radar power and aperture size Aircraft surveillance functions can be provided “for free” if necessary airspace coverage and update rates can be achieved Active array radar an obvious approach, but only if less expensive and/or more capable than “conventional” alternatives 2007 ICNS-4 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Outline •

Perspectives on operational needs



A specific MPAR concept



Summary

2007 ICNS-5 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Key Questions • What are the operational driver’s for the “next generation” ground weather radar network?

– Improved low altitude coverage, particularly at airports? – Volume scan update rate? – Capability to observe low-cross section phenomena (e.g clear air boundary winds)? – High integrity measurements, devoid of clutter, out-of-trip returns, velocity aliasing, etc.?

• What are requirements for the ADS-B backup system? • Are additional non-cooperative aircraft surveillance capabilities needed to maintain airspace security?

2007 ICNS-6 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

U.S. Airport “Weather” Radars

Current WSR-88D network does not provide the near-airport low altitude coverage or update rate (30 – 60 sec) needed by terminal ATC

2007 ICNS-7 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Airport Weather Radar Alternatives Analysis

Airport

Over ARENA TDWR

ASR-9

NEXRAD

ADW

97 93

85 59

82 90

ATL

96 89

83 61

94 97

BNA

98 96

82 69

92 83

BOS

97 94

92 95

86 96

BWI

98 95

85 63

10 10

CLE

98 96

91 91

97 95

CLT

99 98

84 56

0 0

CMH

100 100

87 72

10 10

CVG

99 99

89 77

10 10

DAL

97 91

43 40

82 75

DAY

98 95

88 73

67 14

DCA

98 95

86 64

88 98

Wind Shear Detection Probability

2007 ICNS-8 MEW 5/2/2007

TDWR

NEXRAD

ASR-9

Airplane

Lidar LLWAS

Sensors Considered Without TDWR

With TDWR

ITWS “Terminal Winds” Accuracy MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Preliminary Findings •

Easy to make the case for high capability airport weather radar at pacing airports (e.g. NYC, ORD, ATL, DFW, ....) – Large delay aversion benefits associated with high quality measurements of adverse winds and precipitation (>$10M per year per airport)



Business case for “TDWR-like” capability at smaller airports less convincing – Alternative solutions may provide adequate safety margin – Weather related delay benefits small



Implications for MPAR – Scalability key to realizing cost-effective solutions – Airport-specific integrated observation system configurations will be appropriate in some cases (e.g. western U.S. “dry sites”)

2007 ICNS-9 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

ADS-B Backup Separation Services Map

2007 ICNS-10 MEW 5/2/2007

Airspace Type Separation Airspace Type Separation En Route SSR 5 nm En Route SSR 5 nm

Altitude Altitude Yes Beacon

Range Range 250 nm 200 nm

Coverage Area Coverage Area 2,820,000 nm22 2,820,000 nm

Terminal SSR Terminal SSR PSR Terminal PSR No coverage No coverage

Beacon No Yes Pilot

60 nm 60 nm 40 40nm nm

314,000 nm2 2 661,000 314,000 nm nm22 661,000 nm

3 nm 3 nm nm 3

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Required Surveillance Performance (RSP) Methodology

2007 ICNS-11 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

RSP Derived from En Route Radar Capabilities* Currently Acceptable (sliding window SSR) Registration Errors Range Errors

Location Bias

200’ uniform any direction

Azimuth Bias

± 0.3° uniform

Radar Bias

± 30’ uniform

Radar Jitter

σ = 25’ Gaussian σ = 0.230°

σ = 0.068°

Azimuth Error

Azimuth Jitter

Data Quant. (CD2 format)

Range

760’ (1/8 NM)

Azimuth

0.088° (1 ACP)

Uncorrelated* Sensor Scan

Time Error

10-12 sec

Transponder Error

Range Error (ATCRBS)

± 250’ uniform σ = 144’

RSP Analysis

Location Error

σ = 1.0 NM

σ ≈ 0.30 NM

Separation Errors (at 200 NM @ 600 kts)

σ = 0.8 NM

σ = 0.25 NM

90% < ± 1.4 NM 99% < ± 2.4 NM 99.9% < ± 3.3 NM

90% < ± 0.43 NM 99% < ± 0.76 NM 99.9% < ± 1.02 NM

*Only applies for multiple sensors

2007 ICNS-12 MEW 5/2/2007

Latest Technology (monopulse SSR)

*Supports 5 nmi separation MIT Lincoln Laboratory

RSP Derived from Terminal Radar Capabilities* Currently Acceptable (sliding window SSR) Registration Errors Range Errors

Intermediate (primary radar)

Location Bias

200’ uniform any direction

Azimuth Bias

± 0.3° uniform

Radar Bias

± 30’ uniform

Latest Technology (monopulse SSR)

Radar Jitter

σ = 25’ Gaussian

σ = 275’ Gaussian

σ = 25’ Gaussian

Azimuth Error

Azimuth Jitter

σ = 0.230°

σ = 0.160°

σ = 0.068°

Data Quant. (CD2 format)

Range

95’ (1/64 NM)

Azimuth

0.088° (1 ACP)

Uncorrelated* Sensor Scan

Time Error

4-5 sec

Transponder Error

Range Error (ATCRBS)

± 250’ uniform σ = 144’

N/A

± 250’ uniform σ = 144’

RSP Analysis

Location Error

σ = 0.20 NM

σ ≈ 0.15 NM

σ ≈ 0.10 NM

Separation Errors (at specified range @ 250 kts)

σ = 0.16 NM at 40 nm

σ = 0.12 NM at 40 nm

σ = 0.08 NM at 60 nm

90% < ± 0.28 NM 99% < ± 0.49 NM 99.9% < ± 0.65 NM

90% < ± 0.20 NM 99% < ± 0.35 NM 99.9% < ± 0.46 NM

90% < ± 0.13 NM 99% < ± 0.23 NM 99.9% < ± 0.32 NM

*Only applies for multiple sensors 2007 ICNS-13 MEW 5/2/2007

*Supports 3 nmi separation MIT Lincoln Laboratory

MPAR RSP Analysis

20:1 Monopulse

4.4° antenna beamwidth meets Terminal RSP Separation Error 4.6° antenna beamwidth meets En Route RSP Separation Error 2007 ICNS-14 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Enhanced Regional Situation Awareness System Elements SENSORS

Wide Area

FAA Radars And Data Bases

Mode-S RCVR

3-D

NORAD TADIL-J

Elevated Sentinel Radars

Visual

Ground Based Sentinel Radars

Hi-Res EO Sites

Hi-Perf EO/IR and Warning Systems

FUSION

Redundant Networks

• Lincoln facilities provided infrastructure for rapid system development Evidence Accrual and Decision Support

Primary Facility Fusion and Aggregation

– Radar and camera sites – FAA data feeds and fusion – Network connectivity

• Lincoln developed Integrated Air Picture, Decision Support, ID, and Visual Warning deployed for operational use in NCR

USERS

Redundant Networks

Fan-out to Multiple Users

Air Situation Decision Support Display and Camera Control 2007 ICNS-15 MEW 5/2/2007

Portable Air Situation Display

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Lincoln Perspectives on Role of FAA Surveillance Systems •

Current primary/secondary radars “as is” will provide an essential backbone to homeland air picture and decision support system



Enhancement recommendations – “Network compatible interface” – External access to unfiltered target detections (amplitude, Doppler velocity, …) – Target height information would be very valuable



DoD/DHS will deploy ancillary sensor as necessary to meet specific operational needs

2007 ICNS-16 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Outline •

Perspectives on operational needs



A specific MPAR concept



Summary

2007 ICNS-17 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Concept MPAR Parameters Aircraft Surveillance



Diameter: 8m TR elements/face: 20,000 Dual polarization Beamwidth: 0.7° (broadside) 1.0° (@ 45°) Gain: > 46 dB



Weather Surveillance

2007 ICNS-18 MEW 5/2/2007

Transmit/Receive Modules Wavelength: Bandwidth/channel: Frequency channels: Pulse length: Peak power/element:

Non cooperative target tracking and characterization

334 MPARS required to duplicate today’s airspace coverage. Half of these are scaled “Terminal MPARS”

Active Array (planar, 4 faces)



10 cm (2.7–2.9 GHz) 1 MHz 3 30 µ s 2W

Architecture Overlapped subarray Number of subarrays: 300–400 Maximum concurrent beams: ~160

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Concept MPAR Capability Summary • Airspace coverage equal to today’s operational radar networks. • Angular resolution, minimum detectible reflectivity and volume scan update rate equal or exceed today’s operational weather radars –

Ancillary benefits from improved data integrity and cross-beam wind measurement

• Can easily support 3-5 nmi separation standards required for ADS-B backup • Can provide non-cooperative aircraft surveillance data of significantly higher quality that today’s surveillance radars – –

2007 ICNS-19 MEW 5/2/2007

Altitude information Substantially lower minimum RCS threshold

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

2W Dual Mode T/R Module Parts Costs

Item Quantity HPA 2 SP2T 3 LNA 1 BPF 1 Diplx 1 Vect Mod 3 Load 1 Board 1

Unit Cost $2.37 $4.00 $1.69 $3.00 v $1.50 $2.14 $2.00 $20.00

Total Cost $4.74 $12.00 $1.69 $3.00 $1.50 $6.42 $2.00 $20.00

Total = $51.35

• •

Parts costs driven by SP2T switches and multi-layer PC board fabrication Packaging / test costs not included

2007 ICNS-20 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Preliminary Parts Cost Estimates Equivalent Cost per Element - Parts Only

Component

Pre-Prototype

Full Scale MPAR

Antenna Element

$1.25

$1.25

T/R Module

$115.00*

$51.00**

Power, Timing and Control

$18.00

$18.00

Digital Transceiver

$12.50

$6.25

Analog Beamformer

$186.00***

$55.00****

Digital Beamformer

$18.00

$8.00

Mechanical/Packaging

$105.00

$25.00

Totals:

$455.75

$164.50

* Assumes 8W module incl RF board with sequential polarization ** Assumes 2W module and sequential polarization (updated 18 Sept 2007) *** Assumes standard beamformer in azimuth **** Assumes hybrid tile/brick architecture with RFIC overlapped subarray beamformer

2007 ICNS-21 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

Summary •

As a community, we are making substantial progress in exposing requirements for the Next Generation surveillance radar network – Multifunction, active array (MPAR) approach continues to be a leading candidate



Low cost is the key to success of MPAR – ‘Commercial’ approach needed to achieve extremely low cost goals



We are ready to solicit input from industry on specific design concepts and cost



Need to sell concept to policy makers – Compelling operational application demonstration – Business case substantiating agency cost savings

2007 ICNS-22 MEW 5/2/2007

MIT Lincoln Laboratory

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