Macro Economic Forecast Vietnam
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Macroeconomic Forecast Vietnam - Asia Monitor
Page 1 of 1
VIETNAM - MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS 2007
2008
2009
2010
Population, mn 2
85.60
86.80
e -
Latest Period -
88.00
f 89.20
f
Nominal GDP, US$bn 3
70.94
84.59
-
-
90.11
f 95.00
f
GDP per capita, US$ 3
829
975
-
-
1024
f 1065
f
Real GDP growth, % change y-o-y 3
8.5
6.3
5.7
Oct-Dec
2.9
f 5.0
f
f 10.0
f
Industrial production index, % y-o-y, ave 4
16.3
14.4
2.5
Feb
6.0
Fiscal revenue, VNDbn 5
287900.0
331350.0
-
-
346942.5 f 401983.9 f
Fiscal expenditure, VNDbn 5
321970.0
407457.0
-
-
456500.0 f 521575.0 f
Budget balance, % of GDP 5
-5.4
-7.2
-
-
-8.2
f -8.1
f
Consumer prices, % y-o-y, ave 1,4
8.3
23.0
14.8
Feb
7.0
f 9.0
f
f 12.00
f
Lending rate, %, eop 2
12.00
15.00
-
-
9.00
Exchange rate VND/US$, eop 6
16018.00
17480.00
17473.00
3-4-09
19000.00 f 20000.00 f
Imports, US$bn 7
58.92
81.00
4.40
Feb
60.20
f 65.02
f
Exports, US$bn 7
48.56
63.25
4.30
Feb
50.90
f 55.99
f
Trade balance, US$bn 7
-10.36
-17.75
-0.10
Feb
-9.30
f -9.03
f
Current account, US$bn 7
-6.99
-10.27
e -
-
-4.00
f -2.73
f
Current account, % of GDP 7
-9.86
-12.14
e -
-
-4.44
f -2.87
f
Foreign reserves ex gold, US$bn 7
22.00
22.00
e 22.00
February
25.00
f 27.00
f
Import cover, months g&s 7
4.3
3.3
e -
-
5.0
f 5.0
f
Total external debt stock, US$mn 8
21.8
e 24.0
e -
-
28.0
f 34.0
f
Total external debt stock, % of GDP 8
0.03
e 0.03
e -
-
0.03
f 0.04
f
Notes: e BMI estimates. f BMI forecasts. 1 Base year 2000; Sources: 2 IMF. 3 IMF (General Statistics Office); 4 General Statistics Office; 5 ADB, Ministry of Finance; 6 BMI; 7 Asian Development Bank, State Bank of Vietnam; 8 World Bank.
All material on this site is protected by international copyright laws and use of this site is subject to our Terms & Conditions. © 2009 Business Monitor International Ltd
http://www.asia-monitor.com/file/table/1/75923/macroeconomic-forecast-vietnam.html
5/4/2009
Page 1 of 1
VIETNAM - MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS 2007
2008
2009
2010
Population, mn 2
85.60
86.80
e -
Latest Period -
88.00
f 89.20
f
Nominal GDP, US$bn 3
70.94
84.59
-
-
90.11
f 95.00
f
GDP per capita, US$ 3
829
975
-
-
1024
f 1065
f
Real GDP growth, % change y-o-y 3
8.5
6.3
5.7
Oct-Dec
2.9
f 5.0
f
f 10.0
f
Industrial production index, % y-o-y, ave 4
16.3
14.4
2.5
Feb
6.0
Fiscal revenue, VNDbn 5
287900.0
331350.0
-
-
346942.5 f 401983.9 f
Fiscal expenditure, VNDbn 5
321970.0
407457.0
-
-
456500.0 f 521575.0 f
Budget balance, % of GDP 5
-5.4
-7.2
-
-
-8.2
f -8.1
f
Consumer prices, % y-o-y, ave 1,4
8.3
23.0
14.8
Feb
7.0
f 9.0
f
f 12.00
f
Lending rate, %, eop 2
12.00
15.00
-
-
9.00
Exchange rate VND/US$, eop 6
16018.00
17480.00
17473.00
3-4-09
19000.00 f 20000.00 f
Imports, US$bn 7
58.92
81.00
4.40
Feb
60.20
f 65.02
f
Exports, US$bn 7
48.56
63.25
4.30
Feb
50.90
f 55.99
f
Trade balance, US$bn 7
-10.36
-17.75
-0.10
Feb
-9.30
f -9.03
f
Current account, US$bn 7
-6.99
-10.27
e -
-
-4.00
f -2.73
f
Current account, % of GDP 7
-9.86
-12.14
e -
-
-4.44
f -2.87
f
Foreign reserves ex gold, US$bn 7
22.00
22.00
e 22.00
February
25.00
f 27.00
f
Import cover, months g&s 7
4.3
3.3
e -
-
5.0
f 5.0
f
Total external debt stock, US$mn 8
21.8
e 24.0
e -
-
28.0
f 34.0
f
Total external debt stock, % of GDP 8
0.03
e 0.03
e -
-
0.03
f 0.04
f
Notes: e BMI estimates. f BMI forecasts. 1 Base year 2000; Sources: 2 IMF. 3 IMF (General Statistics Office); 4 General Statistics Office; 5 ADB, Ministry of Finance; 6 BMI; 7 Asian Development Bank, State Bank of Vietnam; 8 World Bank.
All material on this site is protected by international copyright laws and use of this site is subject to our Terms & Conditions. © 2009 Business Monitor International Ltd
http://www.asia-monitor.com/file/table/1/75923/macroeconomic-forecast-vietnam.html
5/4/2009
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