FINDING MONEY and MOTIVATION FOR CHANGE
The fallacy of averages •Burden as a percentage of •Material •Labor •Cost of Goods sold as a percentage of Sales
With one foot in boiling water and one foot in freezing water, on average …….
Outrunning the Bear
STRATEGIC VS. TACTICAL ELEMENTS OF ENTERISE LAUNCH OR PROCESS IMPROVEMENT
STRATEGIC ELEMENTS
S
W
O
T
INDENTIFY AND DOCUMENT THE DESIRED OUTCOME DEFINE AND DELINEATE THE FIELD OF ENGAGEMENT DEFINE AND ENFORCE THE RULES OF ENGAGEMENT DEFINE DIVISIONS OF LABOR AND SPAN OF CONTROL DEFINE AND ACQUIRE THE SKILL SETS DEFINE AND ACQUIRE COMPETIVE WEAPONRY EXECUTE
EXECUTE
EXECUTE
TACTICAL ELEMENTS PERFORMANCE STANDARDS SKILLS KNOWLEDGE ATTITUDE PLAN AND EXECUTE MANAGE CHANGE AFTER ACTION (BODY COUNTS)
PRACTICE
PRACTICE
PRACTICE
SHOW ME THE
ON THE MORNING OF MM/DD/YYYY OUR WORLD WILL LOOK LIKE THIS:
• IMPROVEMENTS REFLECT IN FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND • IMPROVEMENTS RESULT IN SUSTAINABLE COMPETITIVE
ADVANTAGE
HURDLE RATE The required rate of return in a discounted cash flow analysis, above which an investment makes sense and below which it does not. Based on The cost of capital OR The weighted average cost of capital Plus or minus a risk premium to reflect the project's specific risk characteristics. also called required rate of return and return on investment (ROI). AND WHAT SHOULD THE NUMBER BE?
General Terms Risk Class
Project Category
1 2 3
Cost Savings Revenue Expansion Research/Development
Minimum Acceptable Rate of Return 15% 20% 26%
to to to
19% 25% Above
COST OF CAPITAL ELEMENTS FACTOR
VALUE
ANTICIPATED BORROWING COST E.G. DEBT COST
10%
TAX RATE
40%
PERCENT OF TOTAL FINANCING FROM DEBT
30%
WEIGHTED DEBT FINANCING
1.8%
ANTICIPATED RETURN ON EQUITY( BALANCE SHEET HISTORY)
15%
PERCENT OF TOTAL FINANCING FROM EQUITY
70%
WEIGHTED DEBT FINANCING
10.50%
ACCOUNT BALANCE
$ 10,000
YEAR ONE
YEAR TWO
YEAR THREE
YEAR FOUR
$ 2,250
$ 6,750
$ 11,250
$ 15,750
IMPROVEMENT INVESTMENT
$ 10,000
DURATION OF IMPROVEMENT
INDEFINITE-------------------------------------------~
ANNUAL IMPROVEMENT
$ 4,500
$ 4,500
$ 4,500
$ 4,500
But is that all there is?
Does a dollar at some point in the future have the same value as a dollar today?
How much less is the value of a dollar in the future ? Considering: Time and Risk
P=F n
1 ─────── (1 + i)
n
P = Present value F = Future cash inflow in time period n i = Discount rate n = number of years
PRESENT VALUE DISCOUNT TABLE Years 1 2 3 4 5
18% 0.848 0.718 0.609 0.516 0.437
20% 0.833 0.694 0.579 0.482 0.402
22% 0.82 0.672 0.551 0.451 0.37
24% 0.807 0.65 0.525 0.423 0.341
25% 0.8 0.64 0.512 0.41 0.328
26% 0.794 0.63 0.5 0.397 0.315
YEAR ONE ACCOUNT BALANCE IN CURRENT $’S ACCOUNT BALANCE IN DISCOUNTED $’S
YEAR TWO
YEAR THREE
YEAR FOUR
$ 10,000
$ 3,500
$ 10,500
$ 17,500
$ 24,500
$ 10,000
$ 2,778
$ 7,187
$ 10,870
$ 13,464
IMPROVEMENT INVESTMENT
$ 10,000
DURATION OF IMPROVEMENT
INDEFINITE-------------------------------------------~
ANNUAL IMPROVEMENT
$ 7,000
$ 7,000
$ 7,000
$ 7,000
26% HURDLE RATE
0.7937
0.6299
0.4999
0.3968
DISCOUNTED IMPROVEMENT
$ 5,566
$4,409
$ 3,499
$ 2,778
THE QUESTION: At the end of four years would you rather have…. The process improvement
and the MONEY
OR No process improvement
and no MONEY