Equity Investment Through
Mutual Funds
Agenda
• Why Save • Why Save through Equities • Why Equities through mutual funds • Why Systematic Investment Plan
Why Save?
• B’cos the cost of living is Ç… •
1983
2003
2023
•
Toothpaste
Rs.4
Rs.20
Rs.100
•
LPG Gas
Rs.27
Rs.250
Rs.2315
•
Education
1000’s
100,000’s
?
Why Save? •…while sources of revenue are È •Age 25
Start career
100% dependent on job
•Age 30
Marriage
•Age 40
Buying a house
•Age 55 •
Children’s Education/ Marriage
•Age 60
Retirement
100% dependent on earnings from investment
Are your savings earning you enough?
Inflation assumed @5% p.a Returns assumed @9% p.a.
•
Ram, 30 yrs
• •
Present monthly spending:
Rs. 15,000
• •
Estimated monthly spending at 60:
Rs. 65,000
• •
Accumulation required at 60:
Rs. 85 lakhs
Reality Check… •
Falling rates will reduce the net accumulation from traditional Investment avenues
•
Age: 30 yrs; Annual savings: Rs.40,000; Increase in Annual Saving: 5% Rs.85.0 lakhs
Accumulation at 60 Rs.71.4 lakhs Rs.60.1 lakhs
9%
Rs.50.9 lakhs
8% 7% 6%
Savings(Wealth creation)– Basic Principles…(1) •
Start early… Value at the age 60 Rs.17.45 lakhs
Rs.12.97 lakhs
Ram: Rs.1 lakh invested at the age of 30
Shyam: Rs.5 lakhs invested at the age of 50
Returns: 10%
Power of Compounding
Savings(Wealth creation)– Basic Principles…(2) •
Save regularly…it all adds up! 25
Rs.21.7 lakhs Rs.1000 invested every month for 30 years @10%
Rs. Lakhs
20 15 10 5 0 1
5
9
13
17
21
25
29 30
No. years
A small amount invested regularly can grow to substantial lumpsum
Savings(Wealth creation)– Basic Principles…(3) •
Earn more…it can make a big difference
One time investment of Rs.1 lakh invested for 30 yrs
@ 6%
@ 10%
@ 15%
5.7 lakhs
17.45 lakhs
66.2 lakhs
OR Wealth Creation Principle is nothing but Enhancement Of future Value.
Enhancing Future Value •
Wealth creation is nothing but enhancement of future value
n n • FV = PV PV (1 + rr ) The more you save, makes a difference
The more you earn, makes a difference
The sooner you start, makes a difference
How to enhance Future Value in the Long run ?? • Starting Early & Saving Regularly helps in wealth creation but the most important part in wealth creation are the returns & EQUITY is the only asset class which has a potential to generate higher returns in the long term………
BUT PEOPLE OFTEN LOOSE MONEY IN EQUITY ………
Why People Loose money in Equity ?
T h e c y c le Fe a r
o f fe a r,
g re e d
a nd
G r ee d
hope H o pe
Z u ri ch
I n d ia
M u u t a l F u nd
Investors gets trapped in the Cycle of fear , greed and hope
Simply put …
Other Reasons of Failure •
Equity Investments are made on Tips & Flavors
•
Equity Investments are tracked part time & not full time
•
Equity Investments are made for short term
•
Equity Investments are not adequately diversified
•
People look at acquisition price & not future value
Wealth Creation MANTRA
To break the cycle of Fear,Greed & Hope & become a successful equity investor one should START
WHY !!!!
Why Equity Mutual Funds are successful? Qualities
Description
Does a mutual Do fund you have ? have it?
A systematic method of selection of the scrips, with the synchronization of objective.
??
Yes
Infrastructure
Technology, information at hand, statistical tools, research team, time etc.
??
Yes
Experience
The experience of making investment decisions on a regular basis & experience of standing all the business/economy cycles.
??
Yes
Investment process
Why Equity Mutual Funds are successful? Qualities
Knowledge & qualification
Description
Most Fund managers are professionally qualified. Moreover, their knowledge is assisted by a lot many support which they get in the form of their research team, study etc.
Reviewing & analyzing your Constant monitoring investment at every moment of time .
Does a mutual Do fund you have ? have it? ??
Yes
??
Yes
Why
Systematic Investment Plan?
What is Rupee Cost Averaging / SIP •
We call it Disciplined Regular Investment
•
Science, Art or A Habit?
•
The Markets are volatile: they move up and down in an unpredictable manner
•
Invest a fixed amount, at regular, predetermined intervals and use the market fluctuations to your benefit
•
How does it help you: – You buy more more when the market is down – You buy less when the market is up – Over time the market fluctuations are averaged – Most likely you will realise a saving on the cost per unit – This leads to HIGHER RETURNS
Power of Compounding - QUIZ • Rs. 10,000 invested every month for a period of 30 years At 8% -
At 15% -
At 20% -
1.5 crores
Postal Recurring
7.0 crores
SIP in Balance Funds
23 crores
SIP in Equity Funds
Working of SIP in any kind of market Month
Amount Invested
Rising Market
Falling Market
Volatile Market
NAV
Units Alloted
NAV
Units Alloted
NAV
Units Alloted
1
1,000
10
100.00
10
100.00
10
100.00
2
1,000
12
83.33
8
125.00
12
83.33
3
1,000
14
71.43
6
166.67
8
125.00
4
1,000
16
62.50
4
250.00
10
100.00
Total
4,000
52
317.26
28
641.67
40
408.33
Average Purchase Price
13
7
10
Average Cost Per Unit
12.61
6.23
9.80
Past Performance (BSE Sensex)
In past
Year
Sensex
Investment Rs.
1979
100
1,00,000
2006
13,000
1,30,00,000
27 years BSE Sensex has given about 19.5% returns
This is in spite of … • Two wars • At least 3 recessionary periods • At least three major financial scandals • 10 different governments and • Assassination of 2 prime ministers • An unfair share of natural disasters
Years
YEAR END
SENSEX level
1 year
3 years
0
31-Mar-79
100.00
1
31-Mar-80
128.57
28.57%
2
31-Mar-81
173.44
34.90%
3
31-Mar-82
217.71
25.52%
29.61%
4
31-Mar-83
211.51
-2.85%
18.05%
5
31-Mar-84
245.33
15.99%
12.25%
5 years
7 years
10 years
15 years
19.66%
6
31-Mar-85
353.86
44.24%
17.58%
22.44%
7
31-Mar-86
574.11
62.24%
39.49%
27.05%
28.36%
8
31-Mar-87
510.36
-11.10%
27.66%
18.58%
21.77%
9
31-Mar-88
398.37
-21.94%
4.03%
13.50%
12.61%
10
31-Mar-89
713.60
79.13%
7.52%
23.81%
18.48%
21.72%
11
31-Mar-90
781.05
9.45%
15.24%
17.16%
20.52%
19.77%
12
31-Mar-91
1167.97
49.54%
43.12%
15.26%
24.97%
21.01%
13
31-Mar-92
4285.00
266.88%
81.76%
53.04%
42.80%
34.71%
14
31-Mar-93
2280.52
-46.78%
42.93%
41.76%
21.78%
26.84%
15
31-Mar-94
3778.99
65.71%
47.90%
39.57%
33.11%
31.45%
27.40%
16
31-Mar-95
3260.96
-13.71%
-8.70%
33.09%
35.03%
24.87%
24.05%
17
31-Mar-96
3366.61
3.24%
13.86%
23.58%
24.81%
19.35%
21.86%
18
31-Mar-97
3360.89
-0.17%
-3.83%
-4.74%
23.18%
20.74%
20.02%
19
31-Mar-98
3892.75
15.82%
6.08%
11.29%
18.77%
25.60%
21.43%
20
31-Mar-99
3739.96
-3.92%
3.57%
-0.21%
-1.92%
18.02%
19.92%
21
31-Mar-00
5001.28
33.73%
14.17%
8.93%
11.87%
20.40%
19.31%
22
31-Mar-01
3604.38
-27.93%
-2.53%
1.37%
-0.67%
11.93%
13.03%
23
31-Mar-02
3469.35
-3.75%
-2.47%
0.64%
0.89%
-2.09%
13.63%
24
31-Mar-03
3048.72
-12.12%
-15.21%
-4.77%
-1.41%
2.95%
14.53%
25
31-Mar-04
5590.60
83.38%
15.76%
8.37%
7.54%
3.99%
14.71%
26
31-Mar-05
6492.82
16.14%
23.23%
5.36%
7.58%
7.13%
15.16%
27
31-Mar-06
11279
73.71%
54.66%
25.62%
17.08%
12.85%
16.32%
10/27
5/25
3/23
3/21
1/18
0/13
Probability of Loss
Selecting Right Asset Class Equity market (represented by BSE Sensex) has outperformed all other investment avenues 6,000
Sensex
5,000
Bank Deposits
Company Deposits
4,000 3,000 2,000
Inflation
1,000
Gold
0 1990- 1991- 1992- 1993- 1994- 1995- 1996- 1997- 1998- 1999- 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 200491
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
A Snapshot of poor performing schemes Scheme Name Pru Tech Fund Alliance New Millenium
Amount Invested through SIP(Rs. 1000 p.m.) from March 2000 61,000 61,000
Current Value As on 31-03-2005
SIP Returns
105,930
22.06%
106,347
22.22%
Amount Invested One Annualised Current Value Time Returns Pru Tech Fund
61,000
41,480
-7.34%
Alliance New Millenium
61,000
33,673
-11.08%
A Snapshot of better performing schemes Amount Invested through SIP(Rs. 1000 p.m.) from March 2000
Current Value As on 31-03-2005
SIP Returns
HDFC Equity
61,000
161,209
39.69%
Reliance Growth
61,000
226,349
54.64%
Scheme Name
Amount Invested One Annualised Current Value Time Returns HDFC Equity
61,000
146,501
18.90%
Reliance Growth
61,000
167,023
22.02%
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