Bondad.xlsx

  • Uploaded by: Elimelex Fernandez Narvais
  • 0
  • 0
  • December 2019
  • PDF

This document was uploaded by user and they confirmed that they have the permission to share it. If you are author or own the copyright of this book, please report to us by using this DMCA report form. Report DMCA


Overview

Download & View Bondad.xlsx as PDF for free.

More details

  • Words: 856
  • Pages: 8
ESTUDIO DE PREINVERSION A NIVEL DE PERFIL PARA LA CONSTRUCCION DEL PUENTE KUTUCTAY

Cuadro 3: PRUEBA DE LA BONDAD DEL AJUSTE - GRÁFICA DE PROBABILIDADES

Numero de datos: n Promedio: x Desviación estándar: s Coeficiente asimetría: Cs Cs/6: k

N

T

P(X≤xT)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

11.00 5.50 3.67 2.75 2.20 1.83 1.57 1.38 1.22 1.10

9.09% 18.18% 27.27% 36.36% 45.45% 54.55% 63.64% 72.73% 81.82% 90.91%

T: P:

P24 10 20.23 9.56 -0.51 -0.08

VALOR OBSERVADO P24 log(P24) 34.8 1.5416 31.4 1.4971 24.1 1.3815 22.1 1.3453 21.8 1.3386 20.3 1.3084 19.1 1.2810 16.3 1.2114 11.2 1.0487 1.1 0.0531

Periodo de retorno en años Probabilidad de ocurrencia

ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO E HIDRAULICO

log(P24) 1.20 0.43 -2.58 -0.43

NORMAL ESPERADO 1.3352 33.0 0.9085 28.9 0.6046 26.0 0.3488 23.6 0.1142 21.3 -0.1142 19.1 -0.3488 16.9 -0.6046 14.4 -0.9085 11.5 -1.3352 7.5 KT

GUMBEL ESPERADO 1.3827 33.4 0.8022 27.9 0.4421 24.5 0.1691 21.8 -0.0597 19.7 -0.2647 17.7 -0.4590 15.8 -0.6542 14.0 -0.8659 12.0 -1.1320 9.4 KT

LOGNORMAL KT ESPERADO 1.3352 58.9 0.9085 38.7 0.6046 28.7 0.3488 22.4 0.1142 17.8 -0.1142 14.2 -0.3488 11.3 -0.6046 8.8 -0.9085 6.5 -1.3352 4.3

PEARSON III KT ESPERADO 1.2557 32.2 0.9119 28.9 0.6499 26.4 0.4179 24.2 0.1957 22.1 -0.0294 19.9 -0.2698 17.6 -0.5429 15.0 -0.8825 11.8 -1.3877 7.0

LOGPEARSON III KT ESPERADO 0.7557 33.3 0.7069 31.8 0.6332 29.5 0.5374 26.9 0.4168 23.9 0.2647 20.6 0.0680 17.0 -0.1986 13.1 -0.5943 8.9 -1.3136 4.4

P m ax 24 h rs (m m )

ESTUDIO DE PREINVERSION A NIVEL DE PERFIL PARA LA CONSTRUCCION DEL PUENTE KUTUCTAY

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO - NORMAL 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 Valor Observado

20.0

Normal

15.0 10.0 5.0 -1.0000

0.0 0.0000

-0.5000

P m ax 24 hrs (m m )

-1.5000

0.5000

1.0000

1.5000

Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO - GUMBEL 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0

Valor Observado

15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0

P m ax 24 hrs (m m )

-1.50

-1.00

ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO E HIDRAULICO

-0.50

0.00

0.50

Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO - LOG NORMAL 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0

1.00

1.50

2.00

Gumbel

P m ax 24 hrs (m m )

ESTUDIO DE PREINVERSION A NIVEL DE PERFIL PARA LA CONSTRUCCION DEL PUENTE KUTUCTAY

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO - LOG NORMAL 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0

Valor Observado

30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 -1.50

-1.00

-0.50

0.00

Variable reducida KT

ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO E HIDRAULICO

0.50

1.00

1.50

LogNormal

P m ax 24 hrs (m m )

ESTUDIO DE PREINVERSION A NIVEL DE PERFIL PARA LA CONSTRUCCION DEL PUENTE KUTUCTAY

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO - PEARSON TIPO III 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 Valor Observado

20.0

Pearson Tipo III

15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -2.00

-1.50

-1.00

-0.50

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

P m ax 24 hrs (m m )

Variable reducida KT

AJUSTE ESTADISTICO - LOG PEARSON TIPO III 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 Valor Observado

20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 -1.50

-1.00

-0.50

Variable reducida KT

ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO E HIDRAULICO

0.00

0.50

1.00

Log Pearson Tipo III

ESTUDIO DE PREINVERSION A NIVEL DE PERFIL PARA LA CONSTRUCCION DEL PUENTE KUTUCTAY

STADISTICO - NORMAL 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 Valor Observado

20.0

Normal

15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0000

0.5000

1.0000

ucida KT

TICO - LOG NORMAL

70.0

60.0

50.0

40.0

ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO E HIDRAULICO

1.5000

ESTUDIO DE PREINVERSION A NIVEL DE PERFIL PARA LA CONSTRUCCION DEL PUENTE KUTUCTAY

TICO - LOG NORMAL

70.0

60.0

50.0

40.0

Valor Observado

30.0

20.0

10.0 0.0 0.00

0.50

1.00

ucida KT

ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO E HIDRAULICO

1.50

LogNormal

ESTUDIO DE PREINVERSION A NIVEL DE PERFIL PARA LA CONSTRUCCION DEL PUENTE KUTUCTAY

CUADRO 4: PRUEBA DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV m

xm

Fo(xm)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

34.8 31.4 24.1 22.1 21.8 20.3 19.1 16.3 11.2 1.1

0.909091 0.818182 0.727273 0.636364 0.545455 0.454545 0.363636 0.272727 0.181818 0.090909

X S CS n

20.23 9.56 -0.509 10 0.05 0.41280

a Dcritico

ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO E HIDRAULICO

F(xm) Normal 0.936413959 0.879123548 0.656169011 0.579656569 0.565741203 0.504717147 0.452937122 0.339490382 0.172086319 0.022840698

|Fo(xm)-F(xm)| Normal 0.02732 0.06094 0.07110 0.05671 0.02029 0.05017 0.08930 0.06676 0.00973 0.06807

y =Ln(xo)

Z=(y-Y)/SY

3.5497 3.4473 3.1809 3.0977 3.0823 3.0126 2.9495 2.7894 2.4148 0.1222

0.7999 0.6955 0.4242 0.3394 0.3237 0.2526 0.1884 0.0253 -0.3565 -2.6925

F(ym) Log - Normal 0.788129 0.756638 0.664274 0.632847 0.626912 0.599724 0.574711 0.510078 0.360724 0.003546

|Fo(ym)-F(ym)| Log - Normal 0.12096 0.06154 0.06300 0.00352 0.08146 0.14518 0.21107 0.23735 0.17891 0.08736

2.765 0.981 -2.575 Dmáx Dcritico > Dmax

Mejor Ajuste

0.08930 Si se ajusta 1

0.23735 Si se ajusta 3

F(ym) Pearson III 0.991585 0.789521 0.816160 0.839047 0.869304 0.882959 0.896887 0.927006 0.926868 0.991381

ESTUDIO DE PREINVERSION A NIVEL DE PERFIL PARA LA CONSTRUCCION DEL PUENTE KUTUCTAY

A DE BONDAD DE AJUSTE KOLMOGOROV - SMIRNOV |Fo(ym)-F(ym)| Pearson III 0.08249 0.02866 0.08889 0.20268 0.32385 0.42841 0.53325 0.65428 0.74505 0.90047

0.90047 No se ajusta 5

ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO E HIDRAULICO

F(ym) Log Pearson III 0.991476 0.792859 0.819078 0.840834 0.868740 0.880784 0.893074 0.917896 0.917910 0.964531

|Fo(ym)-F(ym)| Log Pearson III 0.08238 0.02532 0.09181 0.20447 0.32329 0.42624 0.52944 0.64517 0.73609 0.87362

0.87362 No se ajusta 4

F(xm) Gumbel 0.9237 0.8824 0.7151 0.6480 0.6350 0.5752 0.5203 0.3849 0.1512 0.0007

|Fo(xm)-F(xm)| Gumbel 0.01460 0.06422 0.01213 0.01163 0.08959 0.12067 0.15663 0.11222 0.03059 0.09022

0.15663 Si se ajusta 2

More Documents from "Elimelex Fernandez Narvais"

Bondad.xlsx
December 2019 4
Hidraulica Hec Ras.docx
December 2019 4
Etica.docx
December 2019 7
Portales Cms
November 2019 45