Background to the DFF
Investors are scared of ….. The Downside
Risk in Equities
The
Risk
of Market Volatility
The
Risk
of Market Timing
The
Risk
of Wrong Advice
Need for an investment avenue that aims to provide stable positive returns & capital appreciation
Fund with embedded advice
Unique fund – Dynamic Floor Fund embedded investment advice in a single fund from experts aims for stable returns & capital appreciation in real terms (i.e. inflation +5%-6% over rolling three years) assumes equities are the key driver of real returns and so aims to maximize equity exposure, but more importantly books profits along the way shields the savings for your children / for your retirement from shorter term market volatility by aiming to protect 90% of NAV 1 year out (rolling basis)
Fund with embedded advice
Benefits to you : Peace of mind that you’ll meet your children’s milestones / your long term needs like retirement by comfortably outpacing the cost of living and booking profits along the way Hassle free in that it you don’t need to worry about switching across asset classes to try time the markets … you won’t need to depend on the advice of others and worry that they might get it wrong! Flexibility to change course …profit booking means that … should you need the funds earlier than expected, you don’t need to wait 10-20 years for a maturity guarantee!
Smarter avenues for Growth Dynamic Floor Fund
Specialized investing with…
In-built investment advice from experts Inflation protected returns & capital appreciation Shields investment from shorter term market volatility Books profit along the way Protects 90% of NAV 1 year out (rolling basis)
180 160
Nifty
Profit booking
140
DFF NAV
120
Floor
100
Crisil Liquid
80
N
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*One year annualized returns as on Nov 30th, 2007. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Delivered
In-built dynamic asset allocation to allow for profit booking and capital appreciation
26% * returns
Ja
t0
1 n0 Ap 2 r0 Ju 2 l -0 Oc 2 t0 Ja 2 n0 Ap 3 r0 Ju 3 l -0 Oc 3 t0 Ja 3 n0 Ap 4 r04 Ju l-0 Oc 4 t0 Ja 4 n0 Ap 5 r05 Ju l-0 Oc 5 t0 Ja 5 n0 Ap 6 r06 Ju l-0 6
Oc
Long term benefits 500 Call Index
400 I bex Nifty
Balance
Lower interest rates, lower inflation, higher real economic growth
300
200
100
-
Risk and return … the efficient frontier
increasing expected return =>
Dynamic Floor Fund Aggressive Growth Bonds
Balanced
Gilt
Increasing volatility => Decreasing inflation risk =>
The Dynamic Floor Fund Solution
Investment Objective To generate stable, real returns over the medium to longer term, with limited downside over the short term - targeting a gross return of WPI + 6% over rolling three years.
Investment Strategy Strategic allocation to maximize equity exposure Active asset management to provide ‘alpha’ (including credit) Proprietary risk management model to control downside
Dynamic Floor Protection Principle of the dynamic risk model … A first in India
100
Time 90
Dynamic adjustment …..
DFF Asset Allocation Ranges
Maximum %
Minimum %
Equities
75%
0%
Bonds & Gilts
100%
0%
Cash & Floating Rate Instruments
100%
0%
Average equity exposure range over past 5 years between 45% and 50% (modeling ignores alpha from stock picks and credit/interest rate calls)
Logic behind the risk model
Equity Market Movements Rising Markets Sideways Markets Falling Markets Interest Rate Movements Rising Interest Rates Constant Interest Rates Declining Interest Rates
Equity Exposure
Debt Exposure
Increase Little change Decrease
Decrease Little change Increase
Increase Little change Decrease
Increase Little change No change
Trade-off between raising equity exposure and raising the floor
DFF model over last 10 years
Profit booking The comfort of a floor
DFF Performance Personality Equity Market Performance
Likely overall Performance
Likely Performance relative to equities
positive Underperform
Likely Performance Relative to cash
Rampant bull
Strong (real)
Outperform
Gently rising
Positive (real)
Outperform
Outperform
Flat
Positive
Outperform
Outperform
Gradually falling
Mild positive or Outperform negative
Mildly underperform
Rapidly tumbling
Negative Outperform (subject to floor)
Underperform
Note the above is indicative only. Actual performance could deviate. Note also that in volatile circumstances, where markets are tumbling and running concurrently, additional underperformance may arise due to the impact of increased trading costs (brokerage and impact)
Dynamic hedging & maturity guarantees Maturity Guarantees
Apply at a point in time far in the future (10, 15, 20 yrs) & not on surrender or part withdrawal Are fixed in notional terms, often close to return of gross premiums Don’t track inflation Leaves the booking of profits and market timing decisions to the client or adviser
DIY
Dynamic Floor Protection Not an explicit guarantee but a rigourous, quantitative means of ensuring 90% of principal is protected 1yr out Profit booking ensures the floor is periodically raised. As the NAV grows in real terms, so the floor moves with it Liquidity is dramatically enhanced … unexpected withdrawals come off a much more stable NAV. Protection is at most 12 mths away. The stresses of unpredictable subjective market timing calls are removed.
Thank You Mr. Kirang Gandhi Mob. No. -9271267305,9766319919 Web site: www.kgandhi.anindia.com
[email protected]