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ANOVA Analysis of Variance

Prof. M.K.Tiwari Department of Industrial Engineering and Management IIT Kharagpur

Analysis of variance (ANOVA)





ANOVA assesses the extent to which the distributions of two or more variables overlap The more the distributions overlap the less likely it is that they are different

Analysis of Variance





Analysis of variance, or ANOVA, or F tests, were designed to overcome these shortcomings of the t test. An ANOVA with ONE IV with only two levels is the same as a t test.

The Logic of ANOVA 



Hypothesis testing in ANOVA is about whether the means of the samples differ more than you would expect if the null hypothesis were true. This question about means is answered by analyzing variances. 

Among other reasons, you focus on variances because when you want to know how several means differ, you are asking about the variances among those means.

Two Sources of Variability 

In ANOVA, an estimate of variability between groups is compared with variability within groups.  Between-group variation is the variation among the means of the different treatment conditions due to chance (random sampling error) and treatment effects, if any exist.  Within-group variation is the variation due to chance (random sampling error) among individuals given the same treatment. A N O VA T o ta l V a r ia tio n A m o n g S c o r e s W ith in -G r o u p s V a r ia tio n V a ria t io n d u e t o c h a n c e .

B e tw e e n -G r o u p s V a r ia tio n V a ria t io n d u e t o c h a n c e a n d t r e a t m e n t e f f e c t ( i f a n y e x is t i s ) .

Variability Between Groups

 





There is a lot of variability from one mean to the next. Large differences between means probably are not due to chance. It is difficult to imagine that all six groups are random samples taken from the same population. The null hypothesis is rejected, indicating a treatment effect in at least one of the groups.

Variability Within Groups

  

Same amount of variability between group means. However, there is more variability within each group. The larger the variability within each group, the less confident we can be that we are dealing with samples drawn from different populations.

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance Say, we have ‘a’ different levels of single factor to be compared (Table 1), where, yij - represents the jth observation taken under treatment i. Table 1: Typical data for a single factor experiment Treatment (level)

Observations

Totals

Averages

1

y11

y12

.

.

.

y1a

y1.

y1.

2

y21

y22

.

.

.

.

y2.

y1.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

a

ya1

ya2

.

.

.

yan

ya.

. . . y a.

y..

y..

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

• The levels of the factor are sometimes called treatments.

• Each treatment has six observations or replicates. • The runs are run in random order.

The observations may be described by the linear statistical model

 i = 1, 2,..., a yij = µ + τ i + ε ij   j = 1, 2,..., n Where,

µ : Overall mean τ i : Parameter associated with the i th treatment (i th treatment effect) ε ij : Random error component

The model can be written as

i = 1,2,..., a yij = µi + ε ij   j = 1,2,..., n Where, µi = µ + τ i : Mean of i th treatment

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance Example 1 The development engineer is interested in determining if the cotton weight percentage in a synthetic fiber affects the tensile strength, and she has run a completely randomized experiment with fiber levels of cotton weight percentage and five replicates. The data is given as below Observed tensile Strength lb/in2 Cotton Weight (%) 15 20 25 30 35

1 7 12 14 19 7

2 7 17 18 25 10

3 15 12 18 22 11

4 11 18 19 19 15

5 9 18 19 23 11

Totals 49 77 88 108 54 376

Averages 9.8 15.4 17.6 21.6 10.8 15.04

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

have to test the hypothesis H 0 : 1   2  3   4  5 against H1 : some means are different • We

The sum of squares are computed as follows

y 2.. SST   yij  = 636.96 N i 1 j 1 5

5

1 5 2 y 2.. SSTreatements   y i.  n i 1 N

=475.76

Completely Randomized Experiment and Analysis of Variance

SS E  SST  SSTreatments

=161.20

ANOVA Table for above data Source of variation

Sum of Degrees of Squares freedom

Mean Square

F0

P- Value

Cotton weight Percentage Error Total

475.76

4

118.94

14.76

<0.01

161.20 636.96

20 24

8.06

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