Africa Market Watch (november 2008)

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Africa in numbers

Africa

November 2008

EXCHANGE RATES (against US$) Country Angola Botswana Côte d’ Ivoire DRC Egypt Ghana* Kenya o Lesotho Malawi Mauritius Mozambique* o Namibia Nigeria Seychelles South Africa o Swaziland Tanzania Uganda Zambia # Zimbabwe*

Currency Kwanza Pula CFA Franc Congolese Franc Pound Cedi Shilling Loti Kwacha Rupee New Metical Namibian Dollar Naira Rupee Rand Lilangeni Shilling Shilling Kwacha Zimbabwean Dollar

November 2008 Month-end

November 2007 Month-end

2007 Average

2006 Average

75.03 7.99 516.00 585.62 5.51 1.21 79.25 10.05 140.60 31.55 24.44 10.05 119.33 16.88 10.05 10.05 1 270.00 1 972.00 4 560.00 65 656.56

75.02 5.99 444.07 556.50 5.53 0.98 64.35 6.80 139.93 29.70 24.76 6.80 118.93 8.02 6.80 6.80 1 167.00 1 735.10 3 760.00 30 000.00

76.81 6.16 448.66 555.38 5.64 0.93 67.30 7.05 139.99 31.09 25.82 7.05 125.70 6.72 7.05 7.05 1 241.01 1 724.04 3 996.76 9 670.84

80.37 5.82 523.33 464.81 5.74 9 180.00 72.06 6.77 136.03 31.42 26.04 6.77 128.49 5.51 6.77 6.77 1 251.50 1 830.95 3 595.30 162.05 Source: Bloomberg

o

Pegged to the South African rand at par. Three zeroes were slashed from the Mozambican metical and Zimbabwean dollar in July 2006 and August 2006 respectively. Four zeroes were slashed from the Ghanaian cedi in July 2007. # Zimbabwe's interbank official exchange rate was devalued from Z$250 per US dollar to Z$30 000 per US dollar on 6 September 2007 and the official rate was allowed to float on 5 May 2008. 10 zeroes were slashed from the Zimbabwean Dollar on 01 August 2008. *

CONSUMER INFLATION (y/y %) Latest Angola

13.2

Oct

2007 Average 12.3

PRIME LENDING RATES (%) Latest

2007 Average

15.82

Sep

16.21 36.25

17.40

Botswana

13.1

Oct

7.07

17.00

Sep

DRC

21.1

Sep

16.9

35.00

Sep

Ghana

17.3

Oct

10.5

24.79

Nov

22.00

Kenya

29.4

Nov

9.8

13.66

Aug

13.25

Lesotho

12.1

Oct

8.0

16.58

Nov

13.90

7.9

19.58

Nov

21.46

9.7

7.75

Malawi

9.4

Oct

Mauritius*

9.9

Oct Nov

8.2

18.39

Oct

6.7

Nov

8.94

Jul

19.63

15.25

Nov

14.38

Mozambique

8.6

Namibia

12.0

Nigeria

14.7

Oct

5.4

15.84

Sep

15.67

South Africa

12.1

Oct

7.1

15.50

Nov

13.17

Swaziland

13.7

Sep

8.1

15.00

Nov

13.17

Tanzania

11.8

Oct

7.0

14.83

Aug

16.04

Uganda

14.9

Nov

5.8

21.23

Sep

19.1

15.3

Nov

10.7

26.70

Oct

24.98

Zambia Zimbabwe * Policy Interest rate

Samantha Singh

231 162 000.0

Jul

12 562.7

((+27 11) 636-2058

Nov

5 000.00 504.17 Source: Central Banks and Statistics Offices

* [email protected]

Standard Bank Group Economics

Group Economics Goolam Ballim – Group Economist +27-11-636-2910 [email protected]

South Africa Johan Botha +27-11-636-2463 [email protected]

Shireen Darmalingam Jeremy Stevens +27-11-636-2905 +27-11-631-7855 [email protected] [email protected]

Danelee van Dyk +27-11-636-6242 [email protected]

Anita Last +27-11-631-5990 [email protected] Angola Ghana Malawi Mauritius

Victor Munyama +27 11-631-1279 [email protected] DRC Nigeria Tanzania Zimbabwe

Rest of Africa Jan Duvenage +27-11-636-4557 [email protected] Botswana Lesotho Namibia Swaziland

Yvonne Mhango +27-11-631-2190 [email protected] Kenya Mozambique Uganda Zambia

All current research is available on the Standard Bank Group Economics home page. In order to receive Group Economics’research via email, all clients (new and existing) are required to register and select publications on the website. Click on http://ws9.standardbank.co.za/sbrp/LatestResearch.do, select Register and enter your email address. A username and password will then be emailed to you.

Analyst certification The authors certify that: 1) all recommendations and views detailed in this document reflect his/her personal opinion of the financial instrument or market class discussed; and 2) no part of his/her compensation was, is, nor will be, directly (nor indirectly) related to opinion(s) or recommendation(s) expressed in this document Disclaimer This document does not constitute an offer, or the solicitation of an offer for the sale or purchase of any investment or security. This is a commercial communication. If you are in any doubt about the contents of this document or the investment to which this document relates you should consult a person who specialises in advising on the acquisition of such securities. Whilst every care has been taken in preparing this document, no representation, warranty or undertaking (express or implied) is given and no responsibility or liability is accepted by the Standard Bank Group Limited, its subsidiaries, holding companies or affiliates as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates contained in this report may be changed after publication at any time without notice. Members of the Standard Bank Group Limited, their directors, officers and employees may have a long or short position in currencies or securities mentioned in this report or related investments, and may add to, dispose of or effect transactions in such currencies, securities or investments for their own account and may perform or seek to perform advisory or banking services in relation thereto. No liability is accepted whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from the use of this document. This document is not intended for the use of private customers. This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are private customers. Any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to persons other than private customers and will be engaged in only with such persons. In European Union countries this document has been issued to persons who are investment professionals (or equivalent) in their home jurisdictions. Neither this document nor any copy of it nor any statement herein may be taken or transmitted into the United States or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or to any U.S. person except where those U.S. persons are, or are believed to be, qualified institutions acting in their capacity as holders of fiduciary accounts for the benefit or account of non U.S. persons; The distribution of this document and the offering, sale and delivery of securities in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. Persons into whose possession this document comes are required by the Standard Bank Group Limited to inform themselves about and to observe any such restrictions. You are to rely on your own independent appraisal of and investigations into (a) the condition, creditworthiness, affairs, status and nature of any issuer or obligor referred to and (b) all other matters and things contemplated by this document. This document has been sent to you for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. By accepting this document, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. Unauthorised use or disclosure of this document is strictly prohibited. Copyright 2004 Standard Bank Group. All rights reserved.

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